FinalWin Prob.pScore
923%98
105
177%108
108
ORTG#PossPace
LAL logo LAL
104.0101114.2
SAS logo SAS
108.010089.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventLALSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0LAL105
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0LALMISS Bryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot105
0.9%
108
99.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T19)105
5.0%
108
95.0%
Q4 - 0:31.0LALClark 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Nash 9 AST)105
2.9%
108
97.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)102
1.1%
108
98.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)102
5.0%
105
95.0%
Q4 - 0:54.0LALMISS Bryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
6.3%
105
93.7%
Q4 - 1:05LALJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)102
10.9%
105
89.1%
Q4 - 1:06SASMISS Duncan 12' Jump Bank Shot102
9.1%
105
90.9%
Q4 - 1:29SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)102
7.4%
105
92.6%
Q4 - 1:31LALMISS Jamison 3PT Jump Shot102
9.0%
105
91.0%
Q4 - 1:40LALLakers Rebound102
13.5%
105
86.5%
Q4 - 1:40LALMISS World Peace 24' 3PT Jump Shot102
9.6%
105
90.4%
Q4 - 1:56LALJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)102
13.8%
105
86.2%
Q4 - 1:57SASMISS Parker 14' Jump Shot102
12.0%
105
88.0%
Q4 - 2:17SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)102
8.8%
105
91.2%
Q4 - 2:18SASMISS Leonard 3PT Jump Shot102
13.2%
105
86.8%
Q4 - 2:26SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)102
8.8%
105
91.2%
Q4 - 2:28LALDuncan BLOCK (4 BLK)102
10.6%
105
89.4%
Q4 - 2:35LALClark REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)102
15.8%
105
84.2%
Q4 - 2:36LALMISS World Peace 2' Layup102
10.6%
105
89.4%
Q4 - 2:41SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T18)102
15.9%
105
84.1%
Q4 - 2:56LALJamison 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Nash 8 AST)102
9.8%
105
90.2%
Q4 - 3:12SASLeonard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)100
7.2%
105
92.8%
Q4 - 3:32LALNash Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)100
6.1%
105
93.9%
Q4 - 3:32LALBryant 27' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Clark 3 AST)99
4.3%
105
95.7%
Q4 - 3:39LALNash Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)96
2.1%
105
97.9%
Q4 - 3:42LALJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)95
1.4%
105
98.6%
Q4 - 3:43SASMISS Jackson 11' Turnaround Bank Shot95
1.3%
105
98.7%
Q4 - 4:02LALBryant 21' Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS)95
0.9%
105
99.1%
Q4 - 4:15SASParker 5' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)93
0.6%
105
99.4%
Q4 - 4:30LALWorld Peace 1' Layup (23 PTS)93
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 4:36SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)91
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 4:47SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 4:48LALMISS World Peace 3PT Jump Shot91
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 4:56LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)91
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 4:57SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 5:24LALJamison 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Sacre 1 AST)91
0.7%
103
99.3%
Q4 - 5:36SASNeal 21' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)89
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 6:00LALJamison 5' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)89
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 6:15SASNeal Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)87
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 6:21LALWorld Peace 1' Driving Layup (21 PTS)87
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 6:45LALJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 6:46SASMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot85
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 6:58SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)85
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 6:59LALMISS Nash 2' Layup85
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 7:07SASJackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)85
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 7:15SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)85
1.0%
98
99.0%
Q4 - 7:16LALMISS Jamison 3PT Jump Shot85
1.1%
98
98.9%
Q4 - 7:32SASJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Diaw 5 AST)85
1.3%
98
98.7%
Q4 - 7:46LALClark 2' Driving Layup (19 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)85
2.3%
95
97.7%
Q4 - 7:58LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)83
1.8%
95
98.2%
Q4 - 7:59SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot83
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q4 - 8:12SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)83
1.7%
95
98.3%
Q4 - 8:13LALMISS Clark 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
1.9%
95
98.1%
Q4 - 8:25LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
2.2%
95
97.8%
Q4 - 8:26SASMISS Splitter 2' Layup83
2.0%
95
98.0%
Q4 - 8:36SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)83
1.7%
95
98.3%
Q4 - 8:37LALMISS Bryant 19' Jump Shot83
1.8%
95
98.2%
Q4 - 8:51SASNeal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)83
2.2%
95
97.8%
Q4 - 9:02LALClark REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)83
4.2%
92
95.8%
Q4 - 9:02LALClark Tip Shot (17 PTS)83
4.2%
92
95.8%
Q4 - 9:03LALMISS World Peace 2' Layup81
2.8%
92
97.2%
Q4 - 9:17SASJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)81
3.3%
92
96.7%
Q4 - 9:36LALNash 19' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bryant 5 AST)81
2.6%
92
97.4%
Q4 - 9:49SASJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Diaw 4 AST)79
2.0%
92
98.0%
Q4 - 10:00SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)79
3.3%
89
96.7%
Q4 - 10:02LALMISS Nash 2' Layup79
3.9%
89
96.1%
Q4 - 10:12SASNeal 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)79
4.5%
89
95.5%
Q4 - 10:21SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)79
5.6%
87
94.4%
Q4 - 10:23SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
6.5%
87
93.5%
Q4 - 10:37LALClark Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)79
5.6%
87
94.4%
Q4 - 10:37LALClark Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)78
5.3%
87
94.7%
Q4 - 10:40LALJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
4.5%
87
95.5%
Q4 - 10:41SASMISS Neal 19' Pullup Jump Shot77
4.2%
87
95.8%
Q4 - 10:54SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
3.6%
87
96.4%
Q4 - 10:56LALMISS Sacre 13' Jump Shot77
3.9%
87
96.1%
Q4 - 11:08SASGinobili 4' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)77
5.0%
87
95.0%
Q4 - 11:28LALClark 2' Layup (13 PTS)77
6.1%
85
93.9%
Q4 - 11:35LALLakers Rebound75
5.0%
85
95.0%
Q4 - 11:36LALDiaw BLOCK (1 BLK)75
4.3%
85
95.7%
Q4 - 11:46LALClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)75
5.0%
85
95.0%
Q4 - 11:47SASMISS Neal 3PT Jump Shot75
4.7%
85
95.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0LAL75
4.0%
85
96.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0LALClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)75
4.9%
85
95.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Neal 6' Jump Shot75
4.6%
85
95.4%
Q3 - 0:04.0SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
4.4%
85
95.6%
Q3 - 0:05.0SASMISS Neal 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
5.0%
85
95.0%
Q3 - 0:24.0SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)75
4.4%
85
95.6%
Q3 - 0:25.0LALMISS Bryant 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot75
4.7%
85
95.3%
Q3 - 0:33.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)75
5.3%
85
94.7%
Q3 - 0:33.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 275
5.4%
84
94.6%
Q3 - 0:33.0SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)75
5.4%
84
94.6%
Q3 - 0:49.0LALBryant 22' Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS)75
6.5%
83
93.5%
Q3 - 1:00LALClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)73
5.3%
83
94.7%
Q3 - 1:01SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
5.3%
83
94.7%
Q3 - 1:24LALClark 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bryant 4 AST)73
4.7%
83
95.3%
Q3 - 1:33LALClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)71
3.9%
83
96.1%
Q3 - 1:35SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot71
3.6%
83
96.4%
Q3 - 1:51LALBryant 5' Jump Shot (20 PTS)71
3.2%
83
96.8%
Q3 - 1:59LALLakers Rebound69
2.6%
83
97.4%
Q3 - 1:59LALMISS World Peace Free Throw 2 of 269
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q3 - 1:59LALMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 269
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q3 - 1:59SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)69
2.6%
83
97.4%
Q3 - 2:02SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q3 - 2:03LALMISS World Peace 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
2.6%
83
97.4%
Q3 - 2:11LALClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)69
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q3 - 2:12SASMISS Ginobili 15' Running Bank Shot69
2.8%
83
97.2%
Q3 - 2:38LALWorld Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Jamison 3 AST)69
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q3 - 2:54SASParker 17' Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)66
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q3 - 3:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)66
2.2%
81
97.8%
Q3 - 3:12LALMISS Bryant 16' Jump Shot66
2.3%
81
97.7%
Q3 - 3:27SASLeonard 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)66
2.6%
81
97.4%
Q3 - 3:44SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
3.7%
78
96.3%
Q3 - 3:45LALDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)66
3.9%
78
96.1%
Q3 - 3:47LALLakers Rebound66
4.4%
78
95.6%
Q3 - 3:47LALMISS Bryant 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
3.9%
78
96.1%
Q3 - 3:56LALClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
4.4%
78
95.6%
Q3 - 3:57SASMISS Ginobili 9' Running Jump Shot66
4.2%
78
95.8%
Q3 - 4:03SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
3.8%
78
96.2%
Q3 - 4:04LALMISS Jamison 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
4.1%
78
95.9%
Q3 - 4:17SASParker 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS)66
4.6%
78
95.4%
Q3 - 4:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)66
5.3%
76
94.7%
Q3 - 4:31LALMISS Bryant Free Throw 1 of 166
5.5%
76
94.5%
Q3 - 4:45SASLeonard 1' Layup (8 PTS)64
4.6%
76
95.4%
Q3 - 4:49LALLeonard STEAL (2 STL)64
5.3%
74
94.7%
Q3 - 4:52LALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
6.4%
74
93.6%
Q3 - 4:53SASMISS Duncan 6' Running Jump Shot64
6.1%
74
93.9%
Q3 - 5:16LALBryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)64
5.5%
74
94.5%
Q3 - 5:26SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)61
4.1%
74
95.9%
Q3 - 5:46LALBryant 32' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)61
5.5%
71
94.5%
Q3 - 6:11SASParker 6' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Green 2 AST)58
4.4%
71
95.6%
Q3 - 6:28LALWorld Peace 2' Layup (16 PTS)58
5.0%
69
95.0%
Q3 - 6:32LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)56
4.3%
69
95.7%
Q3 - 6:33LALMISS Jamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
3.8%
69
96.2%
Q3 - 6:43SASLeonard 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)56
4.3%
69
95.7%
Q3 - 6:51SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)56
5.8%
66
94.2%
Q3 - 6:52LALDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)56
6.1%
66
93.9%
Q3 - 7:09LALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
7.0%
66
93.0%
Q3 - 7:10SASMISS Duncan 11' Turnaround Jump Shot56
6.7%
66
93.3%
Q3 - 7:26SASLeonard Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)56
6.0%
66
94.0%
Q3 - 7:26LALBryant 1' Layup (10 PTS)56
6.9%
65
93.1%
Q3 - 7:31LALSacre REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
6.1%
65
93.9%
Q3 - 7:32SASMISS Parker 4' Jump Shot54
5.8%
65
94.2%
Q3 - 7:44SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
5.2%
65
94.8%
Q3 - 7:45LALMISS Bryant 20' Jump Shot54
5.4%
65
94.6%
Q3 - 7:59SASParker 10' Floating Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)54
6.1%
65
93.9%
Q3 - 8:10LALNash 23' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bryant 3 AST)54
7.0%
63
93.0%
Q3 - 8:20SASMISS Parker Free Throw Technical52
6.2%
63
93.8%
Q3 - 8:20SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)52
6.2%
63
93.8%
Q3 - 8:27LALParker STEAL (3 STL)52
8.1%
60
91.9%
Q3 - 8:31LALMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
9.4%
60
90.6%
Q3 - 8:32SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot52
9.0%
60
91.0%
Q3 - 8:52LALSacre 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)52
8.1%
60
91.9%
Q3 - 9:06SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)50
7.2%
60
92.8%
Q3 - 9:06SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)50
7.4%
59
92.6%
Q3 - 9:10SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)50
8.2%
58
91.8%
Q3 - 9:11LALMISS Morris 2' Layup50
8.6%
58
91.4%
Q3 - 9:24SASParker 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS)50
9.5%
58
90.5%
Q3 - 9:33SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
10.7%
56
89.3%
Q3 - 9:34LALMISS Bryant 13' Jump Shot50
11.2%
56
88.8%
Q3 - 9:44SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)50
12.3%
56
87.7%
Q3 - 10:05LALWorld Peace 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bryant 2 AST)50
10.6%
56
89.4%
Q3 - 10:16LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)47
8.2%
56
91.8%
Q3 - 10:17SASMISS Green 3' Layup47
7.9%
56
92.1%
Q3 - 10:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
7.2%
56
92.8%
Q3 - 10:37LALMISS Bryant 15' Jump Shot47
7.5%
56
92.5%
Q3 - 10:43SASSplitter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)47
8.2%
56
91.8%
Q3 - 10:57LALMorris 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)47
7.2%
56
92.8%
Q3 - 11:26SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)45
6.5%
56
93.5%
Q3 - 11:26SASSplitter 2' Layup (14 PTS)45
6.5%
56
93.5%
Q3 - 11:27SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
8.0%
54
92.0%
Q3 - 11:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
7.3%
54
92.7%
Q3 - 11:44LALMISS Sacre 2' Layup45
7.6%
54
92.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0LAL45
8.4%
54
91.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0LALLakers Rebound45
8.4%
54
91.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0LALMISS World Peace 27' 3PT Jump Shot45
8.1%
54
91.9%
Q2 - 0:04.0SASGinobili Dunk (12 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)45
8.5%
54
91.5%
Q2 - 0:24.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
9.9%
52
90.1%
Q2 - 0:25.0LALMISS Nash 3' Reverse Layup45
10.2%
52
89.8%
Q2 - 0:32.0SASDuncan 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)45
10.8%
52
89.2%
Q2 - 0:52.0SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
12.5%
50
87.5%
Q2 - 0:53.0LALMISS Duhon 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
12.9%
50
87.1%
Q2 - 1:05LALClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
13.7%
50
86.3%
Q2 - 1:06SASMISS Duncan 12' Turnaround Jump Shot45
13.4%
50
86.6%
Q2 - 1:24LALWorld Peace 2' Putback Layup (11 PTS)45
12.8%
50
87.2%
Q2 - 1:25LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
11.0%
50
89.0%
Q2 - 1:26LALMISS World Peace 2' Layup43
10.4%
50
89.6%
Q2 - 1:49SASLeonard 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)43
11.0%
50
89.0%
Q2 - 1:59LALBryant 8' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)43
12.8%
48
87.2%
Q2 - 2:18SASParker Foul Turnover (P3.T10)41
11.3%
48
88.7%
Q2 - 2:22LALGinobili STEAL (1 STL)41
10.1%
48
89.9%
Q2 - 2:35SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)41
11.3%
48
88.7%
Q2 - 2:35SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)41
11.5%
47
88.5%
Q2 - 2:49LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)41
12.6%
46
87.4%
Q2 - 2:49LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)40
12.4%
46
87.6%
Q2 - 3:00LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
11.3%
46
88.7%
Q2 - 3:01SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot39
11.0%
46
89.0%
Q2 - 3:17SASSPURS Rebound39
10.1%
46
89.9%
Q2 - 3:19LALMISS Nash 16' Jump Shot39
10.5%
46
89.5%
Q2 - 3:29SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)39
11.4%
46
88.6%
Q2 - 3:34LALWorld Peace 3' Layup (9 PTS)39
13.8%
43
86.2%
Q2 - 3:45LALSacre REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
12.7%
43
87.3%
Q2 - 3:46SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
12.2%
43
87.8%
Q2 - 3:55SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
11.2%
43
88.8%
Q2 - 3:56LALMISS Sacre 5' Jump Shot37
11.6%
43
88.4%
Q2 - 4:16SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)37
12.6%
43
87.4%
Q2 - 4:32LALDiaw STEAL (2 STL)37
15.3%
40
84.7%
Q2 - 4:37SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)37
17.0%
40
83.0%
Q2 - 4:54LALSacre 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)37
15.3%
40
84.7%
Q2 - 5:13LALClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
13.9%
40
86.1%
Q2 - 5:14SASMISS Parker 20' Pullup Jump Shot35
13.5%
40
86.5%
Q2 - 5:29LALClark 1' Layup (9 PTS)35
12.6%
40
87.4%
Q2 - 5:35SASNeal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)33
11.4%
40
88.6%
Q2 - 5:54LALNash 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)33
10.3%
40
89.7%
Q2 - 6:05SASNeal 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Green 1 AST)31
9.5%
40
90.5%
Q2 - 6:26LALDuhon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)31
10.3%
38
89.7%
Q2 - 6:52SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)28
8.6%
38
91.4%
Q2 - 6:52SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)28
8.7%
37
91.3%
Q2 - 6:56SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
9.3%
36
90.7%
Q2 - 6:57LALMISS Sacre 9' Jump Shot28
9.7%
36
90.3%
Q2 - 7:08SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)28
10.6%
36
89.4%
Q2 - 7:08SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)28
10.9%
35
89.1%
Q2 - 7:24LALClark 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)28
11.5%
34
88.5%
Q2 - 7:35SASSplitter 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)26
10.6%
34
89.4%
Q2 - 7:52LALNash 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jamison 2 AST)26
11.5%
32
88.5%
Q2 - 7:57LALJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
10.6%
32
89.4%
Q2 - 7:58LALSplitter BLOCK (1 BLK)24
9.8%
32
90.2%
Q2 - 8:07SASJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)24
10.7%
32
89.3%
Q2 - 8:19SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)24
9.7%
32
90.3%
Q2 - 8:20LALMISS World Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
10.0%
32
90.0%
Q2 - 8:33SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)24
10.7%
32
89.3%
Q2 - 8:33SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)24
11.0%
31
89.0%
Q2 - 8:52LALClark 13' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jamison 1 AST)24
11.7%
30
88.3%
Q2 - 9:09SASNeal Foul Turnover (P1.T6)22
10.7%
30
89.3%
Q2 - 9:12LALNeal STEAL (1 STL)22
9.7%
30
90.3%
Q2 - 9:17LALClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
10.7%
30
89.3%
Q2 - 9:18SASMISS Diaw 13' Turnaround Jump Shot22
10.4%
30
89.6%
Q2 - 9:33LALNash 3' Layup (4 PTS)22
9.7%
30
90.3%
Q2 - 9:44LALJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
8.9%
30
91.1%
Q2 - 9:45SASMISS Neal 21' Jump Bank Shot20
8.7%
30
91.3%
Q2 - 9:58SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)20
8.1%
30
91.9%
Q2 - 9:59LALMISS Clark Free Throw 2 of 220
8.2%
30
91.8%
Q2 - 9:59LALClark Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
8.6%
30
91.4%
Q2 - 10:11SASSplitter 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)19
8.3%
30
91.7%
Q2 - 10:30LALJamison 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Clark 1 AST)19
9.0%
28
91.0%
Q2 - 10:45SASGinobili 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
8.3%
28
91.7%
Q2 - 10:53SASSPURS Rebound17
9.0%
26
91.0%
Q2 - 10:53SASMISS Splitter 2' Layup17
9.6%
26
90.4%
Q2 - 10:54SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
9.0%
26
91.0%
Q2 - 10:55SASMISS Neal 28' 3PT Jump Shot17
9.6%
26
90.4%
Q2 - 11:18SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
9.1%
26
90.9%
Q2 - 11:19LALMISS Meeks 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
9.4%
26
90.6%
Q2 - 11:31SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
10.0%
26
90.0%
Q2 - 11:31SASSplitter 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)17
10.0%
26
90.0%
Q2 - 11:33SASMISS Diaw 3' Layup17
11.6%
24
88.4%
Q2 - 11:46SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
10.9%
24
89.1%
Q2 - 11:47LALMISS Clark 19' Jump Shot17
11.2%
24
88.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0LAL17
11.9%
24
88.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0LALLakers Rebound17
11.9%
24
88.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0LALMISS Jamison 3PT Jump Shot17
11.3%
24
88.7%
Q1 - 0:21.0SASSplitter 4' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)17
11.8%
24
88.2%
Q1 - 0:34.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
13.1%
22
86.9%
Q1 - 0:35.0LALMISS Meeks 2' Driving Layup17
13.3%
22
86.7%
Q1 - 0:46.0LALJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
13.9%
22
86.1%
Q1 - 0:47.0SASMISS Ginobili 19' Step Back Jump Shot17
13.7%
22
86.3%
Q1 - 1:03LALBryant 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)17
13.2%
22
86.8%
Q1 - 1:16SASNeal 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)15
11.9%
22
88.1%
Q1 - 1:32LALClark 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bryant 1 AST)15
14.3%
19
85.7%
Q1 - 1:44LALClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
12.9%
19
87.1%
Q1 - 1:46SASMISS Neal 23' Jump Shot13
12.6%
19
87.4%
Q1 - 2:04LALLakers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)13
12.1%
19
87.9%
Q1 - 2:44SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)13
13.0%
19
87.0%
Q1 - 3:05LALMeeks 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)13
11.9%
19
88.1%
Q1 - 3:10SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)11
11.0%
19
89.0%
Q1 - 3:16SASJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
10.1%
19
89.9%
Q1 - 3:18SASMISS Jackson 5' Jump Shot11
10.8%
19
89.2%
Q1 - 3:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
10.1%
19
89.9%
Q1 - 3:31LALMISS Bryant 20' Jump Shot11
10.4%
19
89.6%
Q1 - 3:41SASSPURS Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#3)11
11.0%
19
89.0%
Q1 - 3:52SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
10.1%
19
89.9%
Q1 - 3:53LALMISS Sacre 14' Jump Shot11
10.4%
19
89.6%
Q1 - 4:00LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
11.0%
19
89.0%
Q1 - 4:01SASMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
10.7%
19
89.3%
Q1 - 4:08SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
10.1%
19
89.9%
Q1 - 4:09LALMISS Nash 18' Jump Shot11
10.4%
19
89.6%
Q1 - 4:21SASJackson 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)11
11.0%
19
89.0%
Q1 - 4:24SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
11.8%
17
88.2%
Q1 - 4:26LALDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)11
12.1%
17
87.9%
Q1 - 4:41SASJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)11
12.8%
17
87.2%
Q1 - 4:47LALDiaw STEAL (1 STL)11
14.9%
14
85.1%
Q1 - 4:56SASDuncan 6' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)11
16.1%
14
83.9%
Q1 - 5:16LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
17.2%
12
82.8%
Q1 - 5:16LALMISS Bryant Free Throw 1 of 210
17.1%
12
82.9%
Q1 - 5:24LALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
17.3%
12
82.7%
Q1 - 5:25SASMISS Parker 19' Pullup Jump Shot10
16.9%
12
83.1%
Q1 - 5:40SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
16.1%
12
83.9%
Q1 - 5:42SASMISS Leonard 3PT Jump Shot10
16.9%
12
83.1%
Q1 - 6:03LALParker STEAL (2 STL)10
15.9%
12
84.1%
Q1 - 6:07SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
17.1%
12
82.9%
Q1 - 6:36LALNash 7' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)10
15.9%
12
84.1%
Q1 - 6:48SASDuncan 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
14.9%
12
85.1%
Q1 - 7:03LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)8
15.7%
10
84.3%
Q1 - 7:03LALMISS Bryant Free Throw 1 of 27
15.6%
10
84.4%
Q1 - 7:10SASParker 18' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)7
15.9%
10
84.1%
Q1 - 7:32SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Sacre: Tip to Splitter7
16.8%
8
83.2%
Q1 - 7:44LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
18.1%
8
81.9%
Q1 - 7:45SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot7
17.7%
8
82.3%
Q1 - 8:01LALLeonard STEAL (1 STL)7
16.6%
8
83.4%
Q1 - 8:09LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
17.7%
8
82.3%
Q1 - 8:11SASMISS Parker 2' Layup7
17.4%
8
82.6%
Q1 - 8:30LALWorld Peace 1' Reverse Layup (7 PTS)7
16.6%
8
83.4%
Q1 - 8:42LALMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
15.7%
8
84.3%
Q1 - 8:43SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot5
15.3%
8
84.7%
Q1 - 8:53SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
14.6%
8
85.4%
Q1 - 8:54LALMISS World Peace 20' Jump Shot5
14.9%
8
85.1%
Q1 - 9:16SASDuncan 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)5
15.7%
8
84.3%
Q1 - 9:26SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
16.6%
6
83.4%
Q1 - 9:27LALMISS Nash 19' Jump Shot5
16.9%
6
83.1%
Q1 - 9:39SASParker 11' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)5
17.7%
6
82.3%
Q1 - 9:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
18.7%
4
81.3%
Q1 - 9:47LALMISS Bryant 6' Jump Shot5
19.1%
4
80.9%
Q1 - 10:01SASParker 4' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)5
19.8%
4
80.2%
Q1 - 10:13LALWorld Peace 2' Layup (5 PTS)5
20.7%
2
79.3%
Q1 - 10:31SASParker 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)3
19.8%
2
80.2%
Q1 - 10:46LALWorld Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)3
20.8%
0
79.2%
Q1 - 10:54LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
18.7%
0
81.3%
Q1 - 10:55SASMISS Leonard 1' Layup0
18.4%
0
81.6%
Q1 - 10:59SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.5%
0
82.5%
Q1 - 11:01LALLeonard BLOCK (1 BLK)0
17.6%
0
82.4%
Q1 - 11:15SASParker Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
18.2%
0
81.8%
Q1 - 11:24SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.3%
0
82.7%
Q1 - 11:25LALMISS Bryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
17.6%
0
82.4%
Q1 - 11:42LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.2%
0
81.8%
Q1 - 11:44SASMISS Duncan 13' Turnaround Jump Shot0
18.0%
0
82.0%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Sacre: Tip to Parker0
17.3%
0
82.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
0.99 49.5%
SAS
1.19 59.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
LAL
22
38
58%
SAS
16
24
67%
Midrange
LAL
14
30
47%
SAS
13
35
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
LAL
8
12.0
27
30%
44%
SAS
12
18.0
25
48%
72%
Free Throws
LAL
9
15
60%
SAS
14
16
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Bryant2750%13.5 / 27
M. World Peace2350%11.5 / 23
E. Clark2279%11.0 / 14
S. Nash1458%7.0 / 12
A. Jamison844%4.0 / 9
R. Sacre422%2.0 / 9
C. Duhon375%1.5 / 2
D. Morris250%1.0 / 2
J. Meeks233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker2467%12.0 / 18
M. Ginobili1959%9.5 / 16
T. Splitter1478%7.0 / 9
S. Jackson1478%7.0 / 9
G. Neal1250%6.0 / 12
K. Leonard1179%5.5 / 7
T. Duncan831%4.0 / 13
D. Green675%3.0 / 4
B. Diaw0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

LAL
92
+13
-9
105
SAS
82
+9
-18
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
0.99 49.5%
SAS
1.19 59.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.3
107.8
LAL 104.0
SAS 108.0 +4.0
Pace
94.1
94.7
LAL 114.2 +24.5
SAS 89.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
15.4
LAL 12.6 +3.4
SAS 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
53.1%
LAL 50.5%
SAS 56.0% +5.5%
TO %
15.5%
14.8%
LAL 9.0% +8.3%
SAS 17.3%
ORB %
27.0%
20.7%
LAL 13.0%
SAS 19.0% +6.0%
FTrt
34.5
25.8
LAL 15.8
SAS 19.0 +3.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.8%
64.1%
LAL 50.0%
SAS 61.0% +11.0%
STL %
7.5%
8.9%
LAL 11.9% +2.9%
SAS 9.0%
BLK %
7.9%
8.1%
LAL 3.4%
SAS 10.3% +6.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.3%
55.3%
LAL 49.5%
SAS 59.3% +9.8%
Rim FG%
59.2%
60.8%
LAL 57.9%
SAS 66.7% +8.8%
Mid FG%
40.3%
42.4%
LAL 46.7% +9.6%
SAS 37.1%
3P %
35.5%
37.6%
LAL 29.6%
SAS 48.0% +18.4%
FT %
69.2%
79.1%
LAL 60.0%
SAS 87.5% +27.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.0%
37.7%
LAL 40.0% +11.4%
SAS 28.6%
Mid Att. %
32.7%
35.9%
LAL 31.6% +10.1%
SAS 41.7%
3P Att. %
30.3%
26.4%
LAL 28.4%
SAS 29.8% +1.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsLALSAS
Possessions101100
Possession Minutes21.226.8
Points105108
Rebounds4048
Assists2225
Steals129
Blocks27
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)18 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (7)8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (0)40 (1)
Field Goals44-9541-84
At-the-Rim FG22-3816-24
Midrange FG14-3013-35
2-Point FG36-6829-59
3-Point FG8-2712-25
Free Throws9-1514-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 260 · 33
40.2
23
50%
8
0
7
0
1
1
2
6
0-2
0%
7-14
50%
3-8
38%
G · 6'3" 178 · 39
39.4
14
58%
3
9
2
0
3
0
0
3
2-2
100%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 212 · 34
38.7
27
50%
4
5
0
0
1
3
0
4
4-7
57%
7-16
44%
3-8
38%
C · 7'0" 270 · 24
25.2
4
22%
2
1
0
1
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
2-9
22%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 195 · 22
10.2
2
50%
2
0
1
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 37
30.6
8
44%
8
3
1
1
0
0
1
7
0-0
-
4-4
100%
0-5
0%
F · 6'10" 234 · 25
27.6
22
79%
13
3
0
0
1
4
3
10
3-4
75%
8-9
89%
1-3
33%
G · 6'1" 190 · 30
21.6
3
75%
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 210 · 25
6.4
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 27
C · 7'0" 250 · 33
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25
F · 6'9" 215 · 23
#5 · G · 6'3" 172 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
50%
40
22
12
2
9
0
6
34
9-15
60%
36-68
53%
8-27
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.