FinalWin Prob.pScore
460%96
77
1640%93
87
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
95.18175.3
IND logo IND
107.48187.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA77
0%
87
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0INDAugustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)77
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0INDAugustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)77
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAWest STEAL (2 STL)77
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)77
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 0:27.0INDMISS Hansbrough Free Throw 1 of 277
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIABosh 1' Layup (14 PTS) (James 4 AST)77
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 0:38.0INDAugustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)75
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 0:38.0INDAugustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)75
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)75
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 274
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 0:45.0INDMISS West 8' Jump Shot74
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q4 - 1:05INDPACERS Rebound74
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 1:06INDMISS West 14' Jump Shot74
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q4 - 1:30INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q4 - 1:31MIAMISS Wade 28' 3PT Jump Shot74
1.8%
82
98.2%
Q4 - 1:43MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)74
3.3%
82
96.7%
Q4 - 1:44INDMISS West 8' Jump Shot74
2.9%
82
97.1%
Q4 - 1:57MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)74
2.1%
82
97.9%
Q4 - 1:57MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)73
1.9%
82
98.1%
Q4 - 2:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
1.5%
82
98.5%
Q4 - 2:10INDMISS Stephenson 21' Jump Shot72
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q4 - 2:33INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:9 Def:5)72
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q4 - 2:34MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot72
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q4 - 2:43MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)72
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q4 - 2:44INDMISS West 11' Jump Shot72
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q4 - 2:58INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:9 Def:4)72
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q4 - 3:00INDMISS Stephenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
1.9%
82
98.1%
Q4 - 3:13INDWest REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)72
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q4 - 3:15INDMISS Stephenson 20' Jump Shot72
1.8%
82
98.2%
Q4 - 3:41MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)72
2.7%
82
97.3%
Q4 - 3:49MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)69
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q4 - 3:50INDMISS Stephenson 22' Jump Shot69
1.2%
82
98.8%
Q4 - 4:07MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)69
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q4 - 4:07MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)68
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q4 - 4:34INDWest 5' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Augustin 8 AST)67
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q4 - 4:49MIAAugustin STEAL (2 STL)67
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q4 - 5:18INDGeorge 21' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Augustin 7 AST)67
2.2%
80
97.8%
Q4 - 5:26INDPACERS Rebound67
2.9%
78
97.1%
Q4 - 5:27INDMISS George 17' Jump Shot67
3.7%
78
96.3%
Q4 - 5:52MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS)67
2.9%
78
97.1%
Q4 - 6:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
3.5%
78
96.5%
Q4 - 6:05INDMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
3.1%
78
96.9%
Q4 - 6:17INDWest REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)65
2.5%
78
97.5%
Q4 - 6:18MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot65
2.7%
78
97.3%
Q4 - 6:35MIAHeat Rebound65
3.4%
78
96.6%
Q4 - 6:35INDMISS Hibbert 2' Layup65
3.1%
78
96.9%
Q4 - 6:35INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:8 Def:4)65
2.4%
78
97.6%
Q4 - 6:37INDMISS Hibbert 2' Layup65
3.1%
78
96.9%
Q4 - 6:39INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)65
2.4%
78
97.6%
Q4 - 6:39INDMISS Hibbert 1' Layup65
3.1%
78
96.9%
Q4 - 6:42INDWest REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)65
2.4%
78
97.6%
Q4 - 6:43INDMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
3.0%
78
97.0%
Q4 - 6:52MIAJames Foul Turnover (P5.T12)65
2.4%
78
97.6%
Q4 - 6:55INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)65
3.3%
78
96.7%
Q4 - 6:55INDMISS George Free Throw 1 of 265
3.5%
77
96.5%
Q4 - 7:16MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)65
4.6%
77
95.4%
Q4 - 7:16MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)64
4.3%
77
95.7%
Q4 - 7:28MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
3.6%
77
96.4%
Q4 - 7:29INDMISS Augustin 2' Layup63
3.3%
77
96.7%
Q4 - 7:52MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)63
2.6%
77
97.4%
Q4 - 8:09INDGeorge 27' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Augustin 6 AST)60
2.3%
77
97.7%
Q4 - 8:23MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P1.T11)60
3.7%
74
96.3%
Q4 - 8:26MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)60
4.7%
74
95.3%
Q4 - 8:27MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot60
4.0%
74
96.0%
Q4 - 8:48MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)60
4.7%
74
95.3%
Q4 - 8:48INDMISS Mahinmi Free Throw 2 of 260
4.5%
74
95.5%
Q4 - 8:48INDMahinmi Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)60
3.9%
74
96.1%
Q4 - 9:09MIAMahinmi STEAL (1 STL)60
5.9%
73
94.1%
Q4 - 9:41INDGeorge 12' Jump Shot (23 PTS)60
7.3%
73
92.7%
Q4 - 10:04INDAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
10.5%
71
89.5%
Q4 - 10:05MIAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
11.2%
71
88.8%
Q4 - 10:12MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
12.8%
71
87.2%
Q4 - 10:13INDMISS Hansbrough 1' Layup60
12.0%
71
88.0%
Q4 - 10:29MIACole 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)60
10.4%
71
89.6%
Q4 - 10:57INDMahinmi 2' Layup (6 PTS)57
6.9%
71
93.1%
Q4 - 10:58INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
8.4%
69
91.6%
Q4 - 10:59INDMISS George 3' Tip Shot57
9.7%
69
90.3%
Q4 - 11:01INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)57
9.7%
69
90.3%
Q4 - 11:02INDMISS George 13' Jump Shot57
11.1%
69
88.9%
Q4 - 11:16MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)57
9.7%
69
90.3%
Q4 - 11:27INDGeorge 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Augustin 5 AST)57
11.6%
69
88.4%
Q4 - 11:46INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
14.0%
67
86.0%
Q4 - 11:47MIAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
14.8%
67
85.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND57
16.8%
67
83.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)57
14.0%
67
86.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot57
14.8%
67
85.2%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAHeat Rebound57
18.3%
67
81.7%
Q3 - 0:05.0INDMISS George 27' 3PT Jump Shot57
17.4%
67
82.6%
Q3 - 0:28.0INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)57
15.5%
67
84.5%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
16.3%
67
83.7%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
18.2%
67
81.8%
Q3 - 0:40.0INDMISS Green 5' Jump Shot57
17.3%
67
82.7%
Q3 - 1:03INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)57
16.8%
67
83.2%
Q3 - 1:04MIAMISS Anthony 8' Jump Shot57
17.6%
67
82.4%
Q3 - 1:30INDGeorge 27' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)57
19.6%
67
80.4%
Q3 - 1:39INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
26.6%
64
73.4%
Q3 - 1:40MIAMISS James 2' Layup57
27.7%
64
72.3%
Q3 - 2:04INDGeorge 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Stephenson 2 AST)57
32.1%
64
67.9%
Q3 - 2:19MIAJames Driving Reverse Layup (16 PTS)57
40.5%
61
59.5%
Q3 - 2:42INDMahinmi 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (West 1 AST)55
36.1%
61
63.9%
Q3 - 2:51INDWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)55
40.4%
59
59.6%
Q3 - 2:52MIAMISS James 9' Jump Shot55
41.8%
59
58.2%
Q3 - 3:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)55
46.4%
59
53.6%
Q3 - 3:05INDMISS Stephenson Free Throw 2 of 255
45.7%
59
54.3%
Q3 - 3:05INDMISS Stephenson Free Throw 1 of 255
43.3%
59
56.7%
Q3 - 3:08MIAStephenson STEAL (2 STL)55
41.8%
59
58.2%
Q3 - 3:22INDGeorge 16' Step Back Jump Shot (13 PTS)55
46.3%
59
53.7%
Q3 - 3:31INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)55
50.5%
57
49.5%
Q3 - 3:32MIAMISS Allen 28' 3PT Jump Shot55
52.0%
57
48.0%
Q3 - 3:39MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
55.1%
57
44.9%
Q3 - 3:40INDMISS Hill 1' Layup55
53.7%
57
46.3%
Q3 - 3:44MIAWest STEAL (1 STL)55
50.5%
57
49.5%
Q3 - 4:07INDWest 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS)55
55.7%
57
44.3%
Q3 - 4:20INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
59.2%
55
40.8%
Q3 - 4:22MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot55
60.7%
55
39.3%
Q3 - 4:28INDHill Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T9)55
64.0%
55
36.0%
Q3 - 4:57MIAJames 13' Jump Hook Shot (14 PTS)55
59.2%
55
40.8%
Q3 - 5:18INDStephenson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)53
55.8%
55
44.2%
Q3 - 5:25INDWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)53
63.2%
52
36.8%
Q3 - 5:26INDMISS George 15' Jump Shot53
66.2%
52
33.8%
Q3 - 5:42MIAStephenson STEAL (1 STL)53
63.2%
52
36.8%
Q3 - 5:57INDWest 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Stephenson 1 AST)53
67.5%
52
32.5%
Q3 - 6:14MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)53
73.7%
49
26.3%
Q3 - 6:38INDStephenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (George 2 AST)51
71.0%
49
29.0%
Q3 - 6:52INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)51
76.7%
46
23.3%
Q3 - 6:53MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot51
77.7%
46
22.3%
Q3 - 7:18MIAHeat Rebound51
79.1%
46
20.9%
Q3 - 7:19INDMISS George Free Throw 1 of 151
78.7%
46
21.3%
Q3 - 7:21INDHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
81.3%
44
18.7%
Q3 - 7:22MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup51
82.1%
44
17.9%
Q3 - 7:40MIAHeat Rebound51
83.8%
44
16.2%
Q3 - 7:40MIAMISS Chalmers 14' Jump Shot51
82.1%
44
17.9%
Q3 - 8:03INDHill Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)51
83.4%
44
16.6%
Q3 - 8:24MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)51
81.0%
44
19.0%
Q3 - 8:40MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
76.2%
44
23.8%
Q3 - 8:42INDMISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
75.3%
44
24.7%
Q3 - 8:47INDWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
73.1%
44
26.9%
Q3 - 8:49INDMISS George 16' Jump Shot48
75.3%
44
24.7%
Q3 - 9:05MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)48
72.8%
44
27.2%
Q3 - 9:13INDHibbert Foul Turnover (P1.T7)48
75.8%
44
24.2%
Q3 - 9:22INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)48
72.8%
44
27.2%
Q3 - 9:23INDMISS Hibbert 7' Jump Shot48
74.9%
44
25.1%
Q3 - 9:41MIAJames 18' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)48
72.9%
44
27.1%
Q3 - 10:03INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)46
70.3%
44
29.7%
Q3 - 10:03INDGeorge 2' Tip Shot (9 PTS)46
70.3%
44
29.7%
Q3 - 10:05INDMISS West 9' Jump Shot46
75.0%
42
25.0%
Q3 - 10:22MIAJames 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)46
73.0%
42
27.0%
Q3 - 10:31MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)44
70.3%
42
29.7%
Q3 - 10:32INDMISS Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
69.3%
42
30.7%
Q3 - 10:52MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 3 AST)44
67.0%
42
33.0%
Q3 - 11:05INDHill Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)42
64.4%
42
35.6%
Q3 - 11:23INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
61.0%
42
39.0%
Q3 - 11:24MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
62.1%
42
37.9%
Q3 - 11:42INDHill Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)42
64.4%
42
35.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND42
61.0%
42
39.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDPACERS Rebound42
61.0%
42
39.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDMISS George 35' 3PT Jump Shot42
63.4%
42
36.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
61.8%
42
38.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Haslem 4' Jump Shot42
62.5%
42
37.5%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)42
64.0%
42
36.0%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot42
62.4%
42
37.6%
Q2 - 0:42.0INDHibbert 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)42
64.0%
42
36.0%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAWade Free Throw 3 of 3 (23 PTS)42
67.7%
40
32.3%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 3 (22 PTS)41
67.1%
40
32.9%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 3 (21 PTS)40
66.4%
40
33.6%
Q2 - 1:11INDHibbert 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)39
60.9%
40
39.1%
Q2 - 1:25MIAJames 2' Layup (8 PTS)39
64.9%
38
35.1%
Q2 - 1:27MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
60.9%
38
39.1%
Q2 - 1:28MIAMISS James 1' Layup37
59.5%
38
40.5%
Q2 - 1:34INDHill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)37
60.9%
38
39.1%
Q2 - 1:49MIAWade 27' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)37
58.9%
38
41.1%
Q2 - 2:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
51.4%
38
48.6%
Q2 - 2:02INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)34
49.3%
38
50.7%
Q2 - 2:02INDMISS Hibbert Tip Shot34
51.6%
38
48.4%
Q2 - 2:03INDMISS West 17' Jump Shot34
51.6%
38
48.4%
Q2 - 2:15INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)34
49.3%
38
50.7%
Q2 - 2:16INDMISS West 5' Jump Shot34
51.5%
38
48.5%
Q2 - 2:36MIAWade 9' Floating Jump Shot (17 PTS)34
49.4%
38
50.6%
Q2 - 2:47INDWest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)32
46.2%
38
53.8%
Q2 - 3:02MIAJames 6' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)32
44.0%
38
56.0%
Q2 - 3:17MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
41.5%
38
58.5%
Q2 - 3:18INDMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
40.4%
38
59.6%
Q2 - 3:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
38.1%
38
61.9%
Q2 - 3:42MIAWade Tip Shot (15 PTS)30
38.1%
38
61.9%
Q2 - 3:43MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup28
33.5%
38
66.5%
Q2 - 4:00MIAHeat Rebound28
35.7%
38
64.3%
Q2 - 4:00MIAGreen BLOCK (2 BLK)28
33.5%
38
66.5%
Q2 - 4:05MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
36.6%
38
63.4%
Q2 - 4:06INDMISS George 1' Dunk28
35.7%
38
64.3%
Q2 - 4:21INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
33.7%
38
66.3%
Q2 - 4:22MIAMISS James 9' Jump Shot28
34.6%
38
65.4%
Q2 - 4:34INDWest 14' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)28
36.6%
38
63.4%
Q2 - 4:37INDPACERS Rebound28
39.1%
36
60.9%
Q2 - 4:37INDMISS George 12' Jump Shot28
41.2%
36
58.8%
Q2 - 4:57INDAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
39.0%
36
61.0%
Q2 - 4:58MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot28
40.0%
36
60.0%
Q2 - 5:23INDWest 3' Layup (5 PTS)28
42.8%
36
57.2%
Q2 - 5:25INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
45.6%
34
54.4%
Q2 - 5:27INDMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
47.5%
34
52.5%
Q2 - 5:40INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)28
45.6%
34
54.4%
Q2 - 5:41MIAGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)28
46.4%
34
53.6%
Q2 - 5:50MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
48.4%
34
51.6%
Q2 - 5:54INDMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
47.5%
34
52.5%
Q2 - 6:10MIAWade 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)28
45.8%
34
54.2%
Q2 - 6:22INDGeorge 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Augustin 4 AST)25
40.9%
34
59.1%
Q2 - 6:47MIAWade 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)25
45.8%
31
54.2%
Q2 - 7:14INDGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)22
41.8%
31
58.2%
Q2 - 7:20MIAAugustin STEAL (1 STL)22
46.7%
28
53.3%
Q2 - 7:38INDGreen Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)22
49.7%
28
50.3%
Q2 - 7:53MIAMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)22
51.9%
26
48.1%
Q2 - 8:13INDMahinmi 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Augustin 3 AST)19
47.4%
26
52.6%
Q2 - 8:20INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
49.9%
24
50.1%
Q2 - 8:21MIAMISS Allen 2' Layup19
50.7%
24
49.3%
Q2 - 8:40INDHansbrough 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)19
52.6%
24
47.4%
Q2 - 9:00INDGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)19
55.0%
22
45.0%
Q2 - 9:01MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot19
56.2%
22
43.8%
Q2 - 9:12MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
58.0%
22
42.0%
Q2 - 9:13INDMISS Mahinmi 18' Jump Shot19
57.2%
22
42.8%
Q2 - 9:27INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
55.3%
22
44.7%
Q2 - 9:28MIAMISS Bosh 11' Jump Shot19
56.1%
22
43.9%
Q2 - 9:50INDGreen 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)19
58.0%
22
42.0%
Q2 - 10:06MIAGreen STEAL (2 STL)19
60.1%
20
39.9%
Q2 - 10:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
62.8%
20
37.2%
Q2 - 10:23INDMISS Hansbrough 5' Jump Shot19
62.0%
20
38.0%
Q2 - 10:38INDGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)19
60.1%
20
39.9%
Q2 - 10:39MIAMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot19
60.9%
20
39.1%
Q2 - 11:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
62.5%
20
37.5%
Q2 - 11:11INDMISS Green 16' Jump Shot19
61.7%
20
38.3%
Q2 - 11:24INDAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
60.1%
20
39.9%
Q2 - 11:25MIAMISS Miller 22' Jump Shot19
60.8%
20
39.2%
Q2 - 11:34MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
62.5%
20
37.5%
Q2 - 11:35INDMISS Augustin 17' Jump Shot19
61.8%
20
38.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND19
60.1%
20
39.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPACERS Rebound19
60.1%
20
39.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Hansbrough 1' Layup19
61.8%
20
38.2%
Q1 - 0:16.0INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)19
60.4%
20
39.6%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 219
60.6%
20
39.4%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 219
62.1%
20
37.9%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
62.1%
20
37.9%
Q1 - 0:29.0INDMISS Mahinmi 17' Jump Shot19
61.6%
20
38.4%
Q1 - 0:44.0INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
60.3%
20
39.7%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAMISS James 12' Jump Shot19
60.9%
20
39.1%
Q1 - 1:00INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
62.1%
20
37.9%
Q1 - 1:00INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
62.6%
19
37.4%
Q1 - 1:00INDPACERS Rebound19
64.8%
18
35.2%
Q1 - 1:02INDMISS Mahinmi 1' Layup19
66.0%
18
34.0%
Q1 - 1:13MIAGreen STEAL (1 STL)19
65.0%
18
35.0%
Q1 - 1:27INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
66.5%
18
33.5%
Q1 - 1:27INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
66.9%
17
33.1%
Q1 - 1:39MIAJames 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
69.1%
16
30.9%
Q1 - 1:50MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
66.5%
16
33.5%
Q1 - 1:51INDMISS Mahinmi 16' Jump Shot17
66.0%
16
34.0%
Q1 - 2:10MIACole 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)17
64.9%
16
35.1%
Q1 - 2:25INDGeorge 13' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
62.7%
16
37.3%
Q1 - 2:34INDGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)15
64.9%
14
35.1%
Q1 - 2:36INDMISS Green 15' Jump Shot15
66.3%
14
33.7%
Q1 - 2:37INDGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
64.9%
14
35.1%
Q1 - 2:39INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)15
64.9%
14
35.1%
Q1 - 2:39INDMISS Hibbert 2' Tip Shot15
66.3%
14
33.7%
Q1 - 2:40INDMISS Green 1' Layup15
66.3%
14
33.7%
Q1 - 2:55INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)15
64.9%
14
35.1%
Q1 - 2:56MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup15
65.5%
14
34.5%
Q1 - 3:17INDGeorge 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
67.1%
14
32.9%
Q1 - 3:42INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)15
69.0%
12
31.0%
Q1 - 3:42MIAHeat Rebound15
71.0%
12
29.0%
Q1 - 3:42MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 215
69.2%
12
30.8%
Q1 - 3:42MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 215
70.5%
12
29.5%
Q1 - 3:44INDGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)15
71.0%
12
29.0%
Q1 - 3:59MIAJames 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)15
69.0%
12
31.0%
Q1 - 4:23INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
67.1%
12
32.9%
Q1 - 4:23INDHibbert 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)13
67.1%
12
32.9%
Q1 - 4:24INDMISS Hibbert 1' Layup13
70.3%
10
29.7%
Q1 - 4:27INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
68.9%
10
31.1%
Q1 - 4:28INDMISS Hibbert 6' Jump Shot13
70.3%
10
29.7%
Q1 - 4:41INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
68.9%
10
31.1%
Q1 - 4:43MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot13
69.5%
10
30.5%
Q1 - 4:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
70.9%
10
29.1%
Q1 - 4:55INDMISS George 19' Jump Shot13
70.3%
10
29.7%
Q1 - 5:17MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)13
68.4%
10
31.6%
Q1 - 5:17MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)12
68.2%
10
31.8%
Q1 - 5:33INDGeorge Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)11
66.7%
10
33.3%
Q1 - 5:53MIAWade 1' Driving Reverse Layup (7 PTS)11
64.7%
10
35.3%
Q1 - 6:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
62.9%
10
37.1%
Q1 - 6:05INDMISS George 29' 3PT Jump Shot9
62.3%
10
37.7%
Q1 - 6:28MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)9
60.8%
10
39.2%
Q1 - 6:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
59.0%
10
41.0%
Q1 - 6:41MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot7
57.6%
10
42.4%
Q1 - 7:05INDWest 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)7
59.5%
10
40.5%
Q1 - 7:14INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
61.0%
8
39.0%
Q1 - 7:14MIAMISS James 7' Jump Shot7
61.7%
8
38.3%
Q1 - 7:32MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
63.2%
8
36.8%
Q1 - 7:34INDMISS Stephenson 1' Layup7
62.5%
8
37.5%
Q1 - 7:40INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
61.0%
8
39.0%
Q1 - 7:41MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot7
61.7%
8
38.3%
Q1 - 8:05INDStephenson 1' Layup (7 PTS)7
63.5%
8
36.5%
Q1 - 8:06INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
65.2%
6
34.8%
Q1 - 8:07INDMISS Hibbert 12' Jump Shot7
66.4%
6
33.6%
Q1 - 8:18INDPACERS Rebound7
65.1%
6
34.9%
Q1 - 8:19INDMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot7
66.4%
6
33.6%
Q1 - 8:36MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
65.1%
6
34.9%
Q1 - 8:55INDStephenson 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)7
67.0%
6
33.0%
Q1 - 9:02INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)7
68.6%
4
31.4%
Q1 - 9:03INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
68.6%
4
31.4%
Q1 - 9:03INDMISS George Tip Shot7
69.8%
4
30.2%
Q1 - 9:04INDMISS George 1' Layup7
69.8%
4
30.2%
Q1 - 9:09INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
68.6%
4
31.4%
Q1 - 9:10MIAMISS James 13' Jump Shot7
69.1%
4
30.9%
Q1 - 9:24MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
70.3%
4
29.7%
Q1 - 9:26MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot7
69.2%
4
30.8%
Q1 - 9:30MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
70.3%
4
29.7%
Q1 - 9:32MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot7
69.2%
4
30.8%
Q1 - 9:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
70.3%
4
29.7%
Q1 - 9:52INDMISS Stephenson 7' Jump Shot7
69.8%
4
30.2%
Q1 - 10:08MIAWade 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS)7
68.4%
4
31.6%
Q1 - 10:21MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
67.1%
4
32.9%
Q1 - 10:22INDMISS Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
66.6%
4
33.4%
Q1 - 10:41MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
65.3%
4
34.7%
Q1 - 11:00INDStephenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (George 1 AST)2
62.4%
4
37.6%
Q1 - 11:15MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
65.5%
1
34.5%
Q1 - 11:30INDWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)0
63.9%
1
36.1%
Q1 - 11:30INDMISS West Free Throw 1 of 20
64.1%
0
35.9%
Q1 - 11:44INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
64.0%
0
36.0%
Q1 - 11:45MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot0
64.4%
0
35.6%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball Hibbert vs. Bosh: Tip to Chalmers0
65.4%
0
34.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.00 50.0%
IND
0.84 42.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
7
16
44%
IND
12
32
38%
Midrange
MIA
13
33
39%
IND
12
37
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
IND
9
13.5
22
41%
61%
Free Throws
MIA
13
18
72%
IND
12
19
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3075%15.0 / 20
L. James2250%11.0 / 22
C. Bosh1458%7.0 / 12
N. Cole5125%2.5 / 2
M. Chalmers325%1.5 / 6
M. Miller350%1.5 / 3
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 2
S. Battier0-0.0 / 3
R. Allen0-0.0 / 5
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. George2952%14.5 / 28
D. West1450%7.0 / 14
L. Stephenson1354%6.5 / 12
G. Green732%3.5 / 11
I. Mahinmi744%3.5 / 8
T. Hansbrough750%3.5 / 7
R. Hibbert625%3.0 / 12
D. Augustin450%2.0 / 4
G. Hill0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
67
+10
-14
77
IND
72
+29
-9
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.00 50.0%
IND
0.84 42.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.1
104.7
MIA 95.1 +12.3
IND 107.4
Pace
90.9
89.9
MIA 75.3
IND 87.7 +12.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.3
MIA 19.1
IND 16.4 +2.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.2%
47.9%
MIA 47.1% +5.9%
IND 41.2%
TO %
14.5%
16.1%
MIA 15.6%
IND 8.3% +7.3%
ORB %
22.2%
30.3%
MIA 17.5%
IND 43.1% +25.6%
FTrt
29.7
29.3
MIA 26.5 +5.6
IND 20.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
57.8%
MIA 46.4%
IND 60.6% +14.2%
STL %
9.5%
7.9%
MIA 6.2%
IND 11.1% +4.9%
BLK %
9.1%
9.7%
MIA 14.5% +10.4%
IND 4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.0%
50.6%
MIA 50.0% +7.8%
IND 42.2%
Rim FG%
65.9%
55.7%
MIA 43.8% +6.3%
IND 37.5%
Mid FG%
41.9%
38.2%
MIA 39.4% +7.0%
IND 32.4%
3P %
39.6%
34.7%
MIA 42.1% +1.2%
IND 40.9%
FT %
75.4%
74.6%
MIA 72.2% +9.0%
IND 63.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
35.7%
MIA 23.5%
IND 35.2% +11.6%
Mid Att. %
36.7%
39.8%
MIA 48.5%
IND 40.7% +7.9%
3P Att. %
28.5%
24.5%
MIA 27.9% +3.8%
IND 24.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions8181
Possession Minutes25.822.2
Points7787
Rebounds3655
Assists1320
Steals59
Blocks102
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)22 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (3)33 (0)
Field Goals28-6833-91
At-the-Rim FG7-1612-32
Midrange FG13-3312-37
2-Point FG20-4924-69
3-Point FG8-199-22
Free Throws13-1812-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
42.6
22
50%
10
4
1
2
7
2
3
7
1-4
25%
9-19
47%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 235 · 29
36.1
14
58%
5
3
1
2
1
3
1
4
4-4
100%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 31
35.8
30
75%
5
3
0
1
2
3
1
4
8-10
80%
5-10
50%
4-6
67%
G · 6'2" 190 · 27
26.1
3
25%
4
1
3
0
2
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 235 · 33
24.3
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 34
17.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-3
0%
G · 6'5" 205 · 37
16.5
0
0%
1
1
0
2
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-4
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
15.0
5
125%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
14.5
3
50%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
C · 6'9" 245 · 30
11.8
0
0%
1
0
0
3
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
F · 6'10" 235 · 33
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
77
50%
36
13
5
10
14
0
7
29
13-18
72%
20-49
41%
8-19
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.