FinalWin Prob.pScore
1533%91
89
1067%97
81
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
103.58683.6
ATL logo ATL
95.38587.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSATL
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS89
100%
81
0%
Q4 - 0:23.0ATLJohnson Putback Layup (4 PTS)89
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)89
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0ATLMISS Smith 17' Fadeaway Jumper89
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0BOSBass 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST)89
99.8%
79
0.2%
Q4 - 1:06ATLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T21)87
99.3%
79
0.7%
Q4 - 1:12ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
98.4%
79
1.6%
Q4 - 1:13BOSMISS Rondo 21' Jump Shot87
98.7%
79
1.3%
Q4 - 1:30BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
98.7%
79
1.3%
Q4 - 1:32ATLMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
98.3%
79
1.7%
Q4 - 1:47BOSRondo 7' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)87
96.6%
79
3.4%
Q4 - 2:00BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)85
94.9%
79
5.1%
Q4 - 2:02ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
94.0%
79
6.0%
Q4 - 2:16ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
91.2%
79
8.8%
Q4 - 2:18BOSMISS Garnett 1' Reverse Layup85
92.6%
79
7.4%
Q4 - 2:32ATLSmith 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)85
95.2%
79
4.8%
Q4 - 2:45ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)85
97.8%
76
2.2%
Q4 - 2:46BOSMISS Rondo 2' Driving Reverse Layup85
98.2%
76
1.8%
Q4 - 3:03ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)85
98.1%
76
1.9%
Q4 - 3:03ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)85
98.2%
75
1.8%
Q4 - 3:11BOSRondo 1' Running Layup (12 PTS) (Bass 2 AST)85
98.7%
74
1.3%
Q4 - 3:14ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T20)83
98.1%
74
1.9%
Q4 - 3:31BOSBass 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)83
93.9%
74
6.1%
Q4 - 3:52BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)81
92.4%
74
7.6%
Q4 - 3:53BOSMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot81
90.1%
74
9.9%
Q4 - 4:16ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P5.T19)81
92.6%
74
7.4%
Q4 - 4:33ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)81
89.3%
74
10.7%
Q4 - 4:35BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
90.5%
74
9.5%
Q4 - 4:53ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)81
92.8%
74
7.2%
Q4 - 5:20BOSTerry 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rondo 10 AST)81
85.4%
74
14.6%
Q4 - 5:35ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
81.2%
74
18.8%
Q4 - 5:35ATLJohnson Putback Dunk (2 PTS)79
81.2%
74
18.8%
Q4 - 5:38ATLMISS Horford 16' Jump Shot79
88.4%
72
11.6%
Q4 - 6:03ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
81.7%
72
18.3%
Q4 - 6:04BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
83.1%
72
16.9%
Q4 - 6:12ATLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)79
86.2%
72
13.8%
Q4 - 6:13ATLHAWKS Rebound79
81.8%
72
18.2%
Q4 - 6:15ATLMISS Smith 3' Hook Shot79
85.0%
72
15.0%
Q4 - 6:35ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
81.9%
72
18.1%
Q4 - 6:37BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 2 of 279
82.6%
72
17.4%
Q4 - 6:37BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 279
85.5%
72
14.5%
Q4 - 6:48ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)79
86.4%
72
13.6%
Q4 - 6:48ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)79
87.3%
71
12.7%
Q4 - 7:09BOSGreen Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T13)79
86.7%
70
13.3%
Q4 - 7:19BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
89.8%
70
10.2%
Q4 - 7:20ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
89.0%
70
11.0%
Q4 - 7:23ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)79
86.7%
70
13.3%
Q4 - 7:25ATLMISS Smith Driving Reverse Layup79
89.0%
70
11.0%
Q4 - 7:44ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
86.8%
70
13.2%
Q4 - 7:46BOSMISS Garnett 17' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot79
87.8%
70
12.2%
Q4 - 7:57ATLHorford Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T16)79
89.9%
70
10.1%
Q4 - 8:04ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)79
84.4%
70
15.6%
Q4 - 8:06BOSMISS Bass 17' Jump Shot79
85.4%
70
14.6%
Q4 - 8:30ATLSmith 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)79
87.6%
70
12.4%
Q4 - 8:53BOSGarnett 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Rondo 9 AST)79
90.2%
68
9.8%
Q4 - 8:56BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)77
87.7%
68
12.3%
Q4 - 8:57ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
84.7%
68
15.3%
Q4 - 8:57ATLMISS Pachulia 1' Tip Shot77
86.8%
68
13.2%
Q4 - 9:00ATLMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
86.8%
68
13.2%
Q4 - 9:30BOSSullinger Putback Layup (8 PTS)77
82.4%
68
17.6%
Q4 - 9:32BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)75
78.6%
68
21.4%
Q4 - 9:33BOSMISS Rondo 20' Jump Shot75
75.7%
68
24.3%
Q4 - 9:42ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)75
78.6%
68
21.4%
Q4 - 10:03ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)75
72.0%
68
28.0%
Q4 - 10:05BOSMISS Rondo 20' Jump Shot75
73.4%
68
26.6%
Q4 - 10:15ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)75
76.4%
68
23.6%
Q4 - 10:15ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)75
77.1%
67
22.9%
Q4 - 10:34BOSGarnett 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)75
80.3%
66
19.7%
Q4 - 10:55ATLTeague 13' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)73
76.6%
66
23.4%
Q4 - 11:17BOSRondo 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)73
78.5%
64
21.5%
Q4 - 11:38ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)71
74.7%
64
25.3%
Q4 - 11:38ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)71
75.6%
63
24.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS71
78.6%
62
21.4%
Q3 - 0:14.0BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)71
80.2%
62
19.8%
Q3 - 0:16.0BOSMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
78.0%
62
22.0%
Q3 - 0:31.0BOSLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
80.2%
62
19.8%
Q3 - 0:33.0ATLMISS Stevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
79.3%
62
20.7%
Q3 - 0:45.0BOSPierce Driving Layup (26 PTS)71
77.0%
62
23.0%
Q3 - 0:56.0ATLTolliver Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)69
73.0%
62
27.0%
Q3 - 1:02BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)69
67.1%
62
32.9%
Q3 - 1:02BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)68
66.5%
62
33.5%
Q3 - 1:08BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
62.6%
62
37.4%
Q3 - 1:09ATLMISS Smith 2' Driving Layup67
61.3%
62
38.7%
Q3 - 1:32BOSPierce 17' Turnaround Fadeaway (22 PTS)67
58.1%
62
41.9%
Q3 - 1:54ATLWilliams Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T13)65
53.2%
62
46.8%
Q3 - 2:13BOSBass 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Pierce 5 AST)65
46.9%
62
53.1%
Q3 - 2:30ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)63
42.4%
62
57.6%
Q3 - 2:30ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)63
43.1%
61
56.9%
Q3 - 2:46BOSBass 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rondo 8 AST)63
46.9%
60
53.1%
Q3 - 2:58ATLWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)61
42.5%
60
57.5%
Q3 - 3:19BOSRondo Foul Turnover (P5.T12)61
37.2%
60
62.8%
Q3 - 3:22BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
41.6%
60
58.4%
Q3 - 3:23ATLMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot61
40.3%
60
59.7%
Q3 - 3:47BOSSullinger 1' Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST)61
37.2%
60
62.8%
Q3 - 3:54BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)59
33.3%
60
66.7%
Q3 - 3:57ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
32.1%
60
67.9%
Q3 - 4:16BOSBradley 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)59
29.0%
60
71.0%
Q3 - 4:25ATLHorford Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)57
26.2%
60
73.8%
Q3 - 4:30ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)57
22.5%
60
77.5%
Q3 - 4:31BOSMISS Bradley 17' Jump Shot57
23.5%
60
76.5%
Q3 - 4:35BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)57
26.2%
60
73.8%
Q3 - 4:37BOSMISS Pierce 17' Turnaround Jump Shot57
23.5%
60
76.5%
Q3 - 5:03BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
26.0%
60
74.0%
Q3 - 5:05ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
24.9%
60
75.1%
Q3 - 5:16ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
22.6%
60
77.4%
Q3 - 5:17BOSMISS Sullinger 1' Putback Layup57
23.6%
60
76.4%
Q3 - 5:19BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)57
26.0%
60
74.0%
Q3 - 5:20BOSMISS Rondo 19' Jump Shot57
23.6%
60
76.4%
Q3 - 5:30BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)57
26.0%
60
74.0%
Q3 - 5:32ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
24.9%
60
75.1%
Q3 - 5:40BOSBradley 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Sullinger 2 AST)57
22.5%
60
77.5%
Q3 - 6:00ATLWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)55
20.2%
60
79.8%
Q3 - 6:05ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
25.6%
57
74.4%
Q3 - 6:06ATLMISS Smith 1' Driving Layup55
28.2%
57
71.8%
Q3 - 6:22BOSPierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Bradley 1 AST)55
25.6%
57
74.4%
Q3 - 6:26BOSBass REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)52
20.4%
57
79.6%
Q3 - 6:28BOSMISS Rondo 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
18.4%
57
81.6%
Q3 - 6:56ATLKorver 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)52
20.4%
57
79.6%
Q3 - 7:03ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
25.7%
54
74.3%
Q3 - 7:04BOSMISS Pierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
26.6%
54
73.4%
Q3 - 7:15ATLTeague Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)52
28.9%
54
71.1%
Q3 - 7:30BOSRondo 3' Running Layup (8 PTS)52
25.7%
54
74.3%
Q3 - 7:37BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
23.0%
54
77.0%
Q3 - 7:39ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot50
22.1%
54
77.9%
Q3 - 7:52BOSRondo 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)50
20.2%
54
79.8%
Q3 - 7:58BOSBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
18.0%
54
82.0%
Q3 - 7:59ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
17.3%
54
82.7%
Q3 - 8:22BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)48
15.8%
54
84.2%
Q3 - 8:42ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)45
12.4%
54
87.6%
Q3 - 8:42ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 245
12.9%
53
87.1%
Q3 - 8:45BOSSmith STEAL (2 STL)45
12.2%
53
87.8%
Q3 - 8:50ATLSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T9)45
14.1%
53
85.9%
Q3 - 8:53ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
12.2%
53
87.8%
Q3 - 8:54BOSBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)45
14.1%
53
85.9%
Q3 - 8:54BOSMISS Bradley 1' Tip Shot45
12.8%
53
87.2%
Q3 - 8:56BOSMISS Garnett 15' Jump Shot45
12.8%
53
87.2%
Q3 - 9:17BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)45
14.3%
53
85.7%
Q3 - 9:19ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 245
14.0%
53
86.0%
Q3 - 9:19ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 245
13.1%
53
86.9%
Q3 - 9:44BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)45
12.4%
53
87.6%
Q3 - 10:01BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)42
9.9%
53
90.1%
Q3 - 10:02ATLMISS Smith 5' Driving Jump Shot42
9.5%
53
90.5%
Q3 - 10:21ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)42
8.6%
53
91.4%
Q3 - 10:23BOSMISS Bradley 19' Jump Shot42
9.0%
53
91.0%
Q3 - 10:29BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)42
9.9%
53
90.1%
Q3 - 10:30ATLMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot42
9.4%
53
90.6%
Q3 - 10:34ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
8.6%
53
91.4%
Q3 - 10:36BOSMISS Pierce 17' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot42
9.0%
53
91.0%
Q3 - 10:50BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
9.8%
53
90.2%
Q3 - 10:52ATLMISS Korver 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
9.4%
53
90.6%
Q3 - 11:07BOSPierce 9' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)42
9.0%
53
91.0%
Q3 - 11:19ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)40
8.0%
53
92.0%
Q3 - 11:44BOSGarnett 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (10 PTS) (Pierce 4 AST)40
7.0%
53
93.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS38
6.1%
53
93.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSCeltics Rebound38
6.1%
53
93.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
5.6%
53
94.4%
Q2 - 0:05.0BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)38
6.5%
53
93.5%
Q2 - 0:07.0ATLMISS Stevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
6.4%
53
93.6%
Q2 - 0:22.0ATLStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
6.0%
53
94.0%
Q2 - 0:24.0ATLMISS Teague 22' Jump Shot38
6.3%
53
93.7%
Q2 - 0:36.0BOSGarnett Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)38
6.0%
53
94.0%
Q2 - 0:37.0BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
6.5%
53
93.5%
Q2 - 0:38.0ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
6.3%
53
93.7%
Q2 - 1:00BOSGarnett 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bass 1 AST)38
5.9%
53
94.1%
Q2 - 1:10BOSBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
5.3%
53
94.7%
Q2 - 1:13BOSMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
5.1%
53
94.9%
Q2 - 1:28ATLTeague 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)36
5.3%
53
94.7%
Q2 - 1:53ATLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
6.3%
51
93.7%
Q2 - 1:55BOSMISS Rondo 2' Driving Reverse Layup36
6.4%
51
93.6%
Q2 - 2:03ATLHAWKS Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#7)36
7.3%
51
92.7%
Q2 - 2:03ATLHAWKS Rebound36
6.5%
51
93.5%
Q2 - 2:05ATLMISS Smith 3' Driving Hook Shot36
7.0%
51
93.0%
Q2 - 2:24BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)36
6.5%
51
93.5%
Q2 - 2:24BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)35
6.4%
51
93.6%
Q2 - 2:33ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)34
5.8%
51
94.2%
Q2 - 2:57BOSSmith STEAL (1 STL)34
5.1%
51
94.9%
Q2 - 3:18ATLTeague 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)34
6.1%
51
93.9%
Q2 - 3:39ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
7.5%
48
92.5%
Q2 - 3:41ATLMISS Teague 17' Jump Shot34
8.2%
48
91.8%
Q2 - 4:08BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)34
7.8%
48
92.2%
Q2 - 4:18ATLWilliams Running Dunk (21 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)31
6.3%
48
93.7%
Q2 - 4:27BOSCeltics Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)31
7.0%
46
93.0%
Q2 - 4:29BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
7.9%
46
92.1%
Q2 - 4:31BOSSmith BLOCK (3 BLK)31
7.3%
46
92.7%
Q2 - 4:32BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
7.9%
46
92.1%
Q2 - 4:34BOSHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)31
7.3%
46
92.7%
Q2 - 4:51BOSBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
7.9%
46
92.1%
Q2 - 4:52ATLMISS Williams 28' 3PT Jump Shot31
7.6%
46
92.4%
Q2 - 5:17ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
7.3%
46
92.7%
Q2 - 5:19BOSMISS Pierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
7.5%
46
92.5%
Q2 - 5:27ATLSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)31
8.1%
46
91.9%
Q2 - 5:38BOSRondo 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
7.3%
46
92.7%
Q2 - 5:42BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
6.6%
46
93.4%
Q2 - 5:43ATLMISS Teague 3' Driving Layup29
6.3%
46
93.7%
Q2 - 6:03BOSPierce 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)29
6.1%
46
93.9%
Q2 - 6:20ATLWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)27
5.6%
46
94.4%
Q2 - 6:39ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
6.7%
43
93.3%
Q2 - 6:40BOSMISS Bradley 3PT Jump Shot27
7.0%
43
93.0%
Q2 - 7:00ATLTeague 3' Running Layup (8 PTS)27
7.6%
43
92.4%
Q2 - 7:06ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
8.7%
41
91.3%
Q2 - 7:07BOSMISS Sullinger Free Throw 1 of 127
8.8%
41
91.2%
Q2 - 7:20ATLHorford 2' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)25
8.0%
41
92.0%
Q2 - 7:34BOSRondo 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sullinger 1 AST)25
8.7%
39
91.3%
Q2 - 7:48ATLSmith 2' Dunk (6 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)23
8.0%
39
92.0%
Q2 - 7:53BOSTeague STEAL (3 STL)23
8.7%
37
91.3%
Q2 - 7:57BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
9.7%
37
90.3%
Q2 - 7:58ATLMISS Korver 17' Running Jump Shot23
9.3%
37
90.7%
Q2 - 8:10ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
9.1%
37
90.9%
Q2 - 8:12BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
9.3%
37
90.7%
Q2 - 8:25ATLKorver 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)23
10.0%
37
90.0%
Q2 - 8:28ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
11.9%
34
88.1%
Q2 - 8:30ATLMISS Horford 21' Jump Shot23
12.7%
34
87.3%
Q2 - 8:43ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
11.9%
34
88.1%
Q2 - 8:45BOSMISS Sullinger 5' Jump Shot23
12.3%
34
87.7%
Q2 - 9:08ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P2.T4)23
13.3%
34
86.7%
Q2 - 9:28BOSTolliver STEAL (1 STL)23
12.1%
34
87.9%
Q2 - 9:33BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
13.3%
34
86.7%
Q2 - 9:35ATLMISS Korver 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
12.9%
34
87.1%
Q2 - 9:58BOSGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)23
12.1%
34
87.9%
Q2 - 9:58BOSMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 222
11.9%
34
88.1%
Q2 - 10:13ATLTolliver Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)22
12.5%
34
87.5%
Q2 - 10:16ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
14.6%
31
85.4%
Q2 - 10:17BOSMISS Green 2' Alley Oop Layup22
15.0%
31
85.0%
Q2 - 10:42BOSCeltics Rebound22
16.0%
31
84.0%
Q2 - 10:43ATLMISS Tolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
15.6%
31
84.4%
Q2 - 11:01BOSGreen 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)22
14.8%
31
85.2%
Q2 - 11:08BOSCeltics Rebound20
13.6%
31
86.4%
Q2 - 11:08BOSMISS Garnett 2' Driving Reverse Layup20
12.8%
31
87.2%
Q2 - 11:23ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P1.T3)20
13.6%
31
86.4%
Q2 - 11:36BOSLee 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
12.5%
31
87.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS18
11.5%
31
88.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLTeague 11' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)18
11.5%
31
88.5%
Q1 - 0:07.0BOSGarnett 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)18
12.8%
29
87.2%
Q1 - 0:27.0ATLTeague 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)16
11.5%
29
88.5%
Q1 - 0:33.0BOSGarnett Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)16
12.8%
27
87.2%
Q1 - 0:47.0ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
13.6%
27
86.4%
Q1 - 0:47.0ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
14.0%
26
86.0%
Q1 - 1:03ATLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
15.4%
25
84.6%
Q1 - 1:04BOSMISS Sullinger 19' Jump Shot16
15.6%
25
84.4%
Q1 - 1:21ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Tolliver 1 AST)16
16.3%
25
83.7%
Q1 - 1:49BOSSullinger 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)16
17.9%
23
82.1%
Q1 - 2:07BOSCeltics Rebound14
16.5%
23
83.5%
Q1 - 2:07BOSMISS Terry 20' Jump Shot14
15.7%
23
84.3%
Q1 - 2:21BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
16.5%
23
83.5%
Q1 - 2:23ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot14
16.2%
23
83.8%
Q1 - 2:46BOSCollins 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)14
15.4%
23
84.6%
Q1 - 3:01ATLWilliams 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS)12
14.2%
23
85.8%
Q1 - 3:22ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
15.3%
21
84.7%
Q1 - 3:24BOSMISS Green 17' Jump Shot12
15.7%
21
84.3%
Q1 - 3:44ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)12
16.6%
21
83.4%
Q1 - 3:44ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 212
16.8%
20
83.2%
Q1 - 3:47BOSWilliams STEAL (1 STL)12
16.5%
20
83.5%
Q1 - 4:07ATLKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
17.9%
20
82.1%
Q1 - 4:15ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
16.6%
20
83.4%
Q1 - 4:16BOSMISS Terry 21' Jump Shot12
16.9%
20
83.1%
Q1 - 4:30BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
17.9%
20
82.1%
Q1 - 4:32ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
17.5%
20
82.5%
Q1 - 4:40ATLHAWKS Rebound12
16.5%
20
83.5%
Q1 - 4:40ATLMISS Horford 8' Jump Shot12
17.5%
20
82.5%
Q1 - 4:57ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
16.5%
20
83.5%
Q1 - 4:59BOSMISS Rondo 21' Jump Shot12
16.9%
20
83.1%
Q1 - 5:17ATLKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)12
18.2%
20
81.8%
Q1 - 5:31BOSTerry 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
20.8%
17
79.2%
Q1 - 5:47ATLWilliams 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Korver 2 AST)10
19.5%
17
80.5%
Q1 - 5:50ATLHAWKS Rebound10
20.8%
15
79.2%
Q1 - 5:50ATLMISS Horford 2' Layup10
21.8%
15
78.2%
Q1 - 6:01BOSTeague STEAL (2 STL)10
20.8%
15
79.2%
Q1 - 6:24BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
22.3%
15
77.7%
Q1 - 6:25ATLMISS Korver 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
21.8%
15
78.2%
Q1 - 6:34ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
20.8%
15
79.2%
Q1 - 6:35BOSMISS Rondo 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
21.3%
15
78.7%
Q1 - 6:46BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)10
22.3%
15
77.7%
Q1 - 6:47BOSSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)10
21.3%
15
78.7%
Q1 - 6:49BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)10
22.3%
15
77.7%
Q1 - 6:50BOSMISS Pierce Putback Layup10
21.3%
15
78.7%
Q1 - 6:52BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)10
22.3%
15
77.7%
Q1 - 6:53BOSMISS Bradley 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
21.3%
15
78.7%
Q1 - 6:57BOSBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
22.3%
15
77.7%
Q1 - 6:58BOSSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)10
21.3%
15
78.7%
Q1 - 6:59BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
22.3%
15
77.7%
Q1 - 7:01BOSBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
22.4%
15
77.6%
Q1 - 7:01BOSMISS Bradley 1' Putback Layup10
21.3%
15
78.7%
Q1 - 7:02BOSMISS Pierce 1' Driving Layup10
21.3%
15
78.7%
Q1 - 7:27ATLWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)10
22.4%
15
77.6%
Q1 - 7:46BOSBass 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)10
25.0%
12
75.0%
Q1 - 7:53BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
23.8%
12
76.2%
Q1 - 7:54ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot8
23.3%
12
76.7%
Q1 - 8:12ATLHAWKS Rebound8
22.2%
12
77.8%
Q1 - 8:14BOSMISS Garnett 19' Jump Shot8
22.7%
12
77.3%
Q1 - 8:27ATLHorford 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)8
23.7%
12
76.3%
Q1 - 8:40BOSGarnett 3' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)8
25.0%
10
75.0%
Q1 - 8:56ATLWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)6
23.7%
10
76.3%
Q1 - 9:11BOSGarnett 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)6
26.5%
7
73.5%
Q1 - 9:31ATLWilliams 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)4
25.2%
7
74.8%
Q1 - 9:38BOSTeague STEAL (1 STL)4
26.5%
5
73.5%
Q1 - 9:56ATLWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)4
28.1%
5
71.9%
Q1 - 10:01BOSHorford STEAL (1 STL)4
30.7%
2
69.3%
Q1 - 10:11BOSBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
32.5%
2
67.5%
Q1 - 10:12ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot4
31.9%
2
68.1%
Q1 - 10:33BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
30.7%
2
69.3%
Q1 - 10:33BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
30.5%
2
69.5%
Q1 - 10:41ATLTeague 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
29.5%
2
70.5%
Q1 - 11:00BOSBradley 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)2
30.7%
0
69.3%
Q1 - 11:12ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
28.9%
0
71.1%
Q1 - 11:17ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.7%
0
72.3%
Q1 - 11:19BOSMISS Pierce 20' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot0
28.1%
0
71.9%
Q1 - 11:31BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
29.0%
0
71.0%
Q1 - 11:33ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
28.6%
0
71.4%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Garnett: Tip to Teague0
27.7%
0
72.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
0.94 46.8%
ATL
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
13
28
46%
ATL
13
22
59%
Midrange
BOS
23
41
56%
ATL
5
17
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
3
4.5
16
19%
28%
ATL
10
15.0
29
34%
52%
Free Throws
BOS
8
12
67%
ATL
15
19
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Pierce2654%13.0 / 24
R. Rondo1444%7.0 / 16
K. Garnett1458%7.0 / 12
B. Bass1083%5.0 / 6
J. Sullinger850%4.0 / 8
A. Bradley633%3.0 / 9
J. Terry425%2.0 / 8
J. Green330%1.5 / 5
C. Lee2100%1.0 / 1
J. Collins2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Williams2893%14.0 / 15
J. Teague1757%8.5 / 15
J. Smith1229%6.0 / 21
K. Korver950%4.5 / 9
A. Horford633%3.0 / 9
I. Johnson4100%2.0 / 2
A. Tolliver375%1.5 / 2
Z. Pachulia250%1.0 / 2
D. Stevenson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
74
+19
-12
93
ATL
67
+12
-18
79
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
0.94 46.8%
ATL
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.8
104.6
BOS 103.5
ATL 95.3 +8.2
Pace
92.1
92.9
BOS 83.6
ATL 87.9 +4.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.4
BOS 17.2
ATL 16.4 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.3%
51.7%
BOS 47.6%
ATL 48.5% +0.9%
TO %
14.8%
15.2%
BOS 12.6% +9.0%
ATL 21.6%
ORB %
20.2%
22.2%
BOS 36.4% +14.2%
ATL 22.2%
FTrt
26.3
24.4
BOS 14.1
ATL 27.9 +13.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.4%
65.1%
BOS 69.2% +4.9%
ATL 64.3%
STL %
8.8%
8.7%
BOS 12.8% +3.4%
ATL 9.4%
BLK %
7.3%
7.1%
BOS 10.3% +4.5%
ATL 5.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.11 and 2.11.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
53.2%
BOS 46.8%
ATL 50.6% +3.8%
Rim FG%
57.1%
62.5%
BOS 46.4%
ATL 59.1% +12.7%
Mid FG%
43.3%
38.3%
BOS 56.1% +26.7%
ATL 29.4%
3P %
35.8%
37.1%
BOS 18.8%
ATL 34.5% +15.7%
FT %
77.7%
71.5%
BOS 66.7%
ATL 78.9% +12.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.6%
34.9%
BOS 32.9% +0.6%
ATL 32.4%
Mid Att. %
43.9%
36.5%
BOS 48.2%
ATL 25.0% +23.2%
3P Att. %
21.5%
28.6%
BOS 18.8%
ATL 42.6% +23.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.
Game TotalsBOSATL
Possessions8685
Possession Minutes24.723.2
Points8981
Rebounds4436
Assists2718
Steals118
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)18 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (3)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (1)28 (1)
Field Goals39-8528-68
At-the-Rim FG13-2813-22
Midrange FG23-415-17
2-Point FG36-6918-39
3-Point FG3-1610-29
Free Throws8-1215-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 186 · 27
38.6
14
44%
11
10
3
0
5
3
3
8
0-0
-
7-14
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 235 · 35
36.5
26
54%
9
5
1
0
1
4
4
5
7-9
78%
5-12
42%
3-8
38%
F · 6'8" 250 · 28
35.7
10
83%
4
2
3
1
1
1
3
1
0-0
-
5-6
83%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 37
32.9
14
58%
5
3
3
1
3
2
0
5
0-0
-
7-12
58%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 180 · 22
19.6
6
33%
4
1
1
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 35
25.7
4
25%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-4
0%
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 21
23.5
8
50%
9
2
0
1
0
3
4
5
0-1
0%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
15.0
3
30%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 200 · 27
8.6
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 34
3.9
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 194 · 30
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25
#44 · F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · C · 7'0" 255 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#43 · F · 6'7" 210 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
47%
44
27
11
4
12
0
16
28
8-12
67%
36-69
52%
3-16
19%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.