FinalWin Prob.pScore
1158%99
84
2542%96
85
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
92.39197.6
DET logo DET
92.49286.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLDET
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL84
0%
85
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound84
5.1%
85
94.9%
Q4 - 0:00.0ATLDrummond BLOCK (2 BLK)84
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 0:04.0DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)84
12.2%
85
87.8%
Q4 - 0:05.0ATLHorford 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Teague 9 AST)84
4.5%
85
95.5%
Q4 - 0:24.0ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
13.2%
85
86.8%
Q4 - 0:25.0DETMISS Prince 7' Hook Shot82
10.1%
85
89.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T17)82
8.7%
85
91.3%
Q4 - 0:46.0DETKnight Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)82
18.8%
85
81.2%
Q4 - 1:06DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
12.6%
85
87.4%
Q4 - 1:08ATLMaxiell BLOCK (3 BLK)82
15.4%
85
84.6%
Q4 - 1:11ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)82
23.5%
85
76.5%
Q4 - 1:12ATLMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
16.4%
85
83.6%
Q4 - 1:30ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)82
26.8%
85
73.2%
Q4 - 1:30DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 282
25.2%
85
74.8%
Q4 - 1:30DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 282
20.4%
85
79.6%
Q4 - 1:30DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)82
16.5%
85
83.5%
Q4 - 1:31ATLMaxiell BLOCK (2 BLK)82
19.7%
85
80.3%
Q4 - 1:39ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
28.0%
85
72.0%
Q4 - 1:40DETMISS Stuckey 17' Jump Shot82
24.7%
85
75.3%
Q4 - 1:56DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)82
19.0%
85
81.0%
Q4 - 1:57ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot82
21.6%
85
78.4%
Q4 - 2:15DETStuckey 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST)82
31.1%
85
68.9%
Q4 - 2:31ATLKnight STEAL (2 STL)82
38.7%
83
61.3%
Q4 - 2:41ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)82
54.9%
83
45.1%
Q4 - 2:42DETMISS Monroe Layup82
49.9%
83
50.1%
Q4 - 2:57DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)82
40.5%
83
59.5%
Q4 - 2:59DETMISS Knight 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
50.1%
83
49.9%
Q4 - 3:13ATLWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)82
40.3%
83
59.7%
Q4 - 3:22ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)79
23.7%
83
76.3%
Q4 - 3:23DETMISS Bynum 18' Jump Shot79
20.6%
83
79.4%
Q4 - 3:40ATLKorver 29' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)79
19.9%
83
80.1%
Q4 - 3:57ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
10.6%
83
89.4%
Q4 - 3:58DETMISS Knight 3PT Jump Shot76
9.4%
83
90.6%
Q4 - 4:20DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
7.0%
83
93.0%
Q4 - 4:21ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 176
7.4%
83
92.6%
Q4 - 4:32DETBynum Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)74
5.0%
83
95.0%
Q4 - 5:00ATLPachulia 1' Layup (9 PTS)74
3.3%
83
96.7%
Q4 - 5:17DETKnight Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)72
3.9%
83
96.1%
Q4 - 5:21DETKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
2.8%
83
97.2%
Q4 - 5:23ATLMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot72
3.1%
83
96.9%
Q4 - 5:33ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
3.9%
83
96.1%
Q4 - 5:34DETMISS Villanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot72
3.5%
83
96.5%
Q4 - 5:56ATLHorford Alley Oop Layup (14 PTS) (Teague 8 AST)72
2.7%
83
97.3%
Q4 - 6:01ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
3.2%
83
96.8%
Q4 - 6:02DETMISS Villanueva 9' Jump Shot70
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q4 - 6:21ATLKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)70
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q4 - 6:36ATLKorver Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)67
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q4 - 6:36ATLHawks Rebound66
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q4 - 6:36DETMISS Daye 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q4 - 6:48ATLTolliver Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)66
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q4 - 7:00DETBynum 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)66
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q4 - 7:16ATLPachulia Layup (7 PTS) (Teague 7 AST)66
1.9%
81
98.1%
Q4 - 7:22ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)64
1.5%
81
98.5%
Q4 - 7:23DETMISS Bynum 18' Jump Shot64
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 7:40DETBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q4 - 7:42ATLVillanueva BLOCK (2 BLK)64
1.2%
81
98.8%
Q4 - 8:02DETBynum 7' Jump Bank Shot (3 PTS)64
2.1%
81
97.9%
Q4 - 8:18DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)64
2.7%
79
97.3%
Q4 - 8:20ATLMISS Tolliver 18' Jump Shot64
2.9%
79
97.1%
Q4 - 8:34ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
3.4%
79
96.6%
Q4 - 8:35DETMISS Stuckey 4' Jump Shot64
3.1%
79
96.9%
Q4 - 8:49DETBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q4 - 8:50ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot64
2.8%
79
97.2%
Q4 - 9:04DETDaye 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS)64
4.3%
79
95.7%
Q4 - 9:11DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
5.5%
77
94.5%
Q4 - 9:13DETMISS Bynum 1' Layup64
6.4%
77
93.6%
Q4 - 9:25ATLJohnson Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T14)64
5.4%
77
94.6%
Q4 - 9:41DETBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)64
6.7%
77
93.3%
Q4 - 9:41DETMISS Bynum Free Throw 1 of 264
7.0%
76
93.0%
Q4 - 9:56ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)64
6.7%
76
93.3%
Q4 - 10:00ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
8.4%
76
91.6%
Q4 - 10:01DETMISS Stuckey 6' Jump Shot64
9.2%
76
90.8%
Q4 - 10:17DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
7.9%
76
92.1%
Q4 - 10:17ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 164
8.1%
76
91.9%
Q4 - 10:34ATLHawks Rebound62
6.4%
76
93.6%
Q4 - 10:34DETMISS Villanueva Tip Shot62
6.0%
76
94.0%
Q4 - 10:34DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
5.1%
76
94.9%
Q4 - 10:37DETMISS Bynum 1' Layup62
6.0%
76
94.0%
Q4 - 10:41ATLStuckey STEAL (1 STL)62
5.1%
76
94.9%
Q4 - 11:01DETDaye Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T10)62
7.4%
76
92.6%
Q4 - 11:14DETPISTONS Rebound62
6.0%
76
94.0%
Q4 - 11:14ATLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot62
6.4%
76
93.6%
Q4 - 11:30DETDrummond 1' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Bynum 5 AST)62
7.3%
76
92.7%
Q4 - 11:43ATLPachulia 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T11)62
8.9%
74
91.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET62
10.8%
74
89.2%
Q3 - 0:06.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)62
10.1%
74
89.9%
Q3 - 0:06.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)61
9.7%
74
90.3%
Q3 - 0:27.0DETDaye 9' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Knight 4 AST)60
8.3%
74
91.7%
Q3 - 0:43.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)60
10.0%
72
90.0%
Q3 - 0:44.0ATLMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot60
10.6%
72
89.4%
Q3 - 0:57.0ATLTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
11.9%
72
88.1%
Q3 - 0:58.0DETMISS Stuckey 1' Layup60
11.3%
72
88.7%
Q3 - 1:04DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
11.1%
72
88.9%
Q3 - 1:05ATLMISS Jenkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
11.7%
72
88.3%
Q3 - 1:12ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
13.2%
72
86.8%
Q3 - 1:13DETMISS Knight 27' 3PT Jump Shot60
12.5%
72
87.5%
Q3 - 1:28DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
11.1%
72
88.9%
Q3 - 1:29DETMISS Monroe 5' Jump Shot60
12.4%
72
87.6%
Q3 - 1:32DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)60
11.1%
72
88.9%
Q3 - 1:34DETMISS Drummond 1' Layup60
12.4%
72
87.6%
Q3 - 1:52DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)60
11.0%
72
89.0%
Q3 - 1:54ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 260
11.3%
72
88.7%
Q3 - 1:54ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)60
12.6%
72
87.4%
Q3 - 2:05DETStuckey Foul Turnover (P2.T9)59
12.4%
72
87.6%
Q3 - 2:14DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
10.5%
72
89.5%
Q3 - 2:16ATLMISS Tolliver 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
11.0%
72
89.0%
Q3 - 2:23DETStuckey Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)59
12.4%
72
87.6%
Q3 - 2:42DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
10.4%
72
89.6%
Q3 - 2:43ATLMISS Smith 8' Floating Jump Shot59
10.9%
72
89.1%
Q3 - 2:55DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)59
12.3%
72
87.7%
Q3 - 2:55DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 259
12.7%
71
87.3%
Q3 - 3:14ATLSmith Layup (20 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)59
13.6%
71
86.4%
Q3 - 3:30DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)57
11.7%
71
88.3%
Q3 - 3:30DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)57
12.1%
70
87.9%
Q3 - 3:47ATLHorford 5' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)57
13.5%
69
86.5%
Q3 - 4:08DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)55
12.6%
69
87.4%
Q3 - 4:08DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)55
16.5%
66
83.5%
Q3 - 4:09DETMISS Prince 12' Turnaround Jump Shot55
18.6%
66
81.4%
Q3 - 4:18DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)55
16.5%
66
83.5%
Q3 - 4:19ATLMISS Williams 8' Jump Shot55
17.4%
66
82.6%
Q3 - 4:41ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)55
19.5%
66
80.5%
Q3 - 4:42DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot55
18.5%
66
81.5%
Q3 - 5:08ATLWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Teague 6 AST)55
17.5%
66
82.5%
Q3 - 5:35DETSingler 1' Layup (2 PTS)52
13.4%
66
86.6%
Q3 - 5:37DETSingler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
15.1%
64
84.9%
Q3 - 5:38DETMISS Prince 7' Jump Shot52
16.9%
64
83.1%
Q3 - 6:05ATLWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)52
16.4%
64
83.6%
Q3 - 6:15ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
12.7%
64
87.3%
Q3 - 6:17DETMISS Knight 1' Driving Layup49
12.1%
64
87.9%
Q3 - 6:33ATLTeague 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Korver 4 AST)49
10.8%
64
89.2%
Q3 - 6:53DETKnight Driving Layup (8 PTS)46
8.2%
64
91.8%
Q3 - 7:04ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)46
10.2%
62
89.8%
Q3 - 7:04ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)45
9.8%
62
90.2%
Q3 - 7:23ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
9.0%
62
91.0%
Q3 - 7:24DETMISS Knight 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
8.6%
62
91.4%
Q3 - 7:33DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)44
7.7%
62
92.3%
Q3 - 7:34ATLMISS Teague 1' Layup44
8.1%
62
91.9%
Q3 - 7:45DETKnight 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)44
8.9%
62
91.1%
Q3 - 7:56DETSingler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
10.2%
60
89.8%
Q3 - 7:57ATLMISS Teague 27' 3PT Jump Shot44
10.6%
60
89.4%
Q3 - 8:03ATLHawks Rebound44
12.5%
60
87.5%
Q3 - 8:03ATLMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
11.3%
60
88.7%
Q3 - 8:19DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)44
12.5%
60
87.5%
Q3 - 8:19DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)44
12.9%
59
87.1%
Q3 - 8:19DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)44
14.0%
58
86.0%
Q3 - 8:21DETMISS Monroe 1' Layup44
15.5%
58
84.5%
Q3 - 8:49ATLSmith Driving Dunk (16 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)44
14.0%
58
86.0%
Q3 - 9:09DETMonroe 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Singler 1 AST)42
13.2%
58
86.8%
Q3 - 9:25ATLKorver 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)42
14.8%
56
85.2%
Q3 - 9:39DETMaxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)39
11.5%
56
88.5%
Q3 - 9:39DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 239
12.1%
55
87.9%
Q3 - 9:55ATLWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)39
11.4%
55
88.6%
Q3 - 10:19DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)36
9.7%
55
90.3%
Q3 - 10:19DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)36
10.0%
54
90.0%
Q3 - 10:24ATLSingler STEAL (1 STL)36
10.9%
53
89.1%
Q3 - 10:41ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
12.4%
53
87.6%
Q3 - 10:44DETMISS Knight Layup36
11.9%
53
88.1%
Q3 - 10:48ATLKnight STEAL (1 STL)36
10.9%
53
89.1%
Q3 - 11:03DETKnight 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Maxiell 2 AST)36
13.7%
53
86.3%
Q3 - 11:11DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)36
15.2%
51
84.8%
Q3 - 11:12ATLMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot36
15.8%
51
84.2%
Q3 - 11:37ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)36
17.1%
51
82.9%
Q3 - 11:38DETMISS Maxiell 18' Jump Shot36
16.5%
51
83.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET36
15.1%
51
84.9%
Q2 - 0:07.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)36
16.8%
51
83.2%
Q2 - 0:07.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)35
16.3%
51
83.7%
Q2 - 0:22.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
14.5%
51
85.5%
Q2 - 0:24.0DETMISS Monroe Reverse Layup34
14.2%
51
85.8%
Q2 - 0:46.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)34
13.4%
51
86.6%
Q2 - 0:46.0ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 233
12.9%
51
87.1%
Q2 - 0:53.0DETDaye 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)33
12.9%
51
87.1%
Q2 - 1:21ATLWilliams 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Korver 3 AST)33
15.8%
49
84.2%
Q2 - 1:27ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)31
13.6%
49
86.4%
Q2 - 1:28DETMISS Monroe Tip Shot31
13.3%
49
86.7%
Q2 - 1:29DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)31
12.7%
49
87.3%
Q2 - 1:30DETMISS Daye 27' 3PT Jump Shot31
13.3%
49
86.7%
Q2 - 1:36ATLMonroe STEAL (3 STL)31
12.7%
49
87.3%
Q2 - 1:54DETDaye 16' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)31
13.6%
49
86.4%
Q2 - 2:06DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
16.5%
47
83.5%
Q2 - 2:07ATLMISS Horford 21' Jump Shot31
17.1%
47
82.9%
Q2 - 2:22ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
18.3%
47
81.7%
Q2 - 2:23DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 2 of 231
18.0%
47
82.0%
Q2 - 2:23DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 1 of 231
16.9%
47
83.1%
Q2 - 2:26ATLMonroe STEAL (2 STL)31
16.5%
47
83.5%
Q2 - 2:40ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
18.2%
47
81.8%
Q2 - 2:41DETMISS Daye Free Throw 1 of 131
18.0%
47
82.0%
Q2 - 2:49DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)31
20.1%
45
79.9%
Q2 - 2:51ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
20.7%
45
79.3%
Q2 - 3:19DETMonroe 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bynum 4 AST)31
23.5%
45
76.5%
Q2 - 3:33ATLTeague Palming Turnover (P4.T6)31
25.3%
43
74.7%
Q2 - 3:39DETMonroe Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)31
28.1%
43
71.9%
Q2 - 3:40DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)31
25.3%
43
74.7%
Q2 - 3:42DETMISS Monroe 1' Layup31
27.2%
43
72.8%
Q2 - 4:00ATLHorford 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)31
25.3%
43
74.7%
Q2 - 4:16DETMaxiell Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)29
24.4%
43
75.6%
Q2 - 4:26DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
22.2%
43
77.8%
Q2 - 4:28ATLMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot29
22.8%
43
77.2%
Q2 - 4:43ATLHawks Rebound29
24.4%
43
75.6%
Q2 - 4:43ATLStuckey BLOCK (1 BLK)29
22.8%
43
77.2%
Q2 - 5:01DETPISTONS Rebound29
25.2%
43
74.8%
Q2 - 5:01DETMISS Monroe 4' Layup29
24.6%
43
75.4%
Q2 - 5:01DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)29
25.2%
43
74.8%
Q2 - 5:03DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
23.2%
43
76.8%
Q2 - 5:04DETMISS Bynum 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
24.6%
43
75.4%
Q2 - 5:30ATLTeague 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)29
23.1%
43
76.9%
Q2 - 5:36ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)27
21.1%
43
78.9%
Q2 - 5:37ATLMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot27
19.9%
43
80.1%
Q2 - 5:47ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)27
21.1%
43
78.9%
Q2 - 5:48DETMISS Bynum 27' 3PT Jump Shot27
20.6%
43
79.4%
Q2 - 5:58DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
19.3%
43
80.7%
Q2 - 5:59ATLMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
19.8%
43
80.2%
Q2 - 6:08ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
22.2%
43
77.8%
Q2 - 6:09DETMISS Maxiell 11' Jump Shot27
21.5%
43
78.5%
Q2 - 6:21DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)27
19.9%
43
80.1%
Q2 - 6:23ATLMISS Teague 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
20.6%
43
79.4%
Q2 - 6:47DETDaye 13' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bynum 3 AST)27
22.1%
43
77.9%
Q2 - 6:57ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T5)27
23.7%
41
76.3%
Q2 - 7:10DETDaye 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST)27
27.2%
41
72.8%
Q2 - 7:16DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
31.4%
38
68.6%
Q2 - 7:18ATLMaxiell BLOCK (1 BLK)27
32.1%
38
67.9%
Q2 - 7:31DETDaye 19' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)27
34.0%
38
66.0%
Q2 - 7:50DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
36.0%
36
64.0%
Q2 - 7:50ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 127
36.4%
36
63.6%
Q2 - 7:55DETBynum Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)25
33.9%
36
66.1%
Q2 - 8:10ATLWilliams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)25
32.2%
36
67.8%
Q2 - 8:15ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
28.0%
36
72.0%
Q2 - 8:19DETMISS Drummond Alley Oop Dunk22
27.3%
36
72.7%
Q2 - 8:31ATLVillanueva STEAL (1 STL)22
25.8%
36
74.2%
Q2 - 8:37ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
28.0%
36
72.0%
Q2 - 8:38ATLMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot22
26.5%
36
73.5%
Q2 - 8:49DETStuckey Layup (8 PTS) (Daye 1 AST)22
27.9%
36
72.1%
Q2 - 8:52DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
30.0%
34
70.0%
Q2 - 8:53ATLVillanueva BLOCK (1 BLK)22
30.7%
34
69.3%
Q2 - 9:13ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
33.2%
34
66.8%
Q2 - 9:14DETMISS Villanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot22
32.5%
34
67.5%
Q2 - 9:27ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
30.8%
34
69.2%
Q2 - 9:27ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
30.2%
34
69.8%
Q2 - 9:31DETBynum Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)20
28.9%
34
71.1%
Q2 - 9:41DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
26.7%
34
73.3%
Q2 - 9:43ATLMISS Jenkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
27.3%
34
72.7%
Q2 - 10:05DETDaye 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)20
29.4%
34
70.6%
Q2 - 10:12DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
33.2%
31
66.8%
Q2 - 10:13ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot20
34.0%
31
66.0%
Q2 - 10:37DETStuckey 1' Layup (6 PTS)20
35.8%
31
64.2%
Q2 - 10:38DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
37.7%
29
62.3%
Q2 - 10:39DETMISS Stuckey 1' Layup20
39.6%
29
60.4%
Q2 - 10:48DETBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
37.7%
29
62.3%
Q2 - 10:52ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 220
38.1%
29
61.9%
Q2 - 10:52ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 220
39.5%
29
60.5%
Q2 - 10:52ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)20
40.5%
29
59.5%
Q2 - 10:52ATLMISS Horford 5' Jump Shot20
38.6%
29
61.4%
Q2 - 11:08DETStuckey 7' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
40.4%
29
59.6%
Q2 - 11:23DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
42.7%
27
57.3%
Q2 - 11:26ATLDrummond BLOCK (1 BLK)20
43.5%
27
56.5%
Q2 - 11:44DETDrummond 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)20
45.2%
27
54.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET20
47.5%
25
52.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound20
47.5%
25
52.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMISS Stuckey 49' 3PT Jump Shot20
49.3%
25
50.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
48.0%
25
52.0%
Q1 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Teague 5' Jump Shot20
48.6%
25
51.4%
Q1 - 0:27.0DETDaye Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)20
49.8%
25
50.2%
Q1 - 0:36.0DETKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
48.0%
25
52.0%
Q1 - 0:37.0ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot20
48.5%
25
51.5%
Q1 - 0:52.0DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)20
49.8%
25
50.2%
Q1 - 0:52.0DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)20
50.4%
24
49.6%
Q1 - 1:05ATLTeague Foul Turnover (P3.T3)20
53.1%
23
46.9%
Q1 - 1:15ATLJenkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
54.8%
23
45.2%
Q1 - 1:16DETMISS Knight 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
54.3%
23
45.7%
Q1 - 1:34ATLTeague Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)20
53.1%
23
46.9%
Q1 - 1:54DETDrummond Dunk (2 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)20
54.8%
23
45.2%
Q1 - 2:22ATLSmith 4' Hook Shot (12 PTS)20
57.7%
21
42.3%
Q1 - 2:45DETMonroe Layup (6 PTS)18
55.3%
21
44.7%
Q1 - 2:50DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)18
57.7%
19
42.3%
Q1 - 2:51DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 118
59.5%
19
40.5%
Q1 - 2:53DETKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
62.1%
17
37.9%
Q1 - 2:55ATLPrince BLOCK (1 BLK)18
62.7%
17
37.3%
Q1 - 3:04ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)18
64.3%
17
35.7%
Q1 - 3:05DETMISS Monroe 6' Hook Shot18
63.7%
17
36.3%
Q1 - 3:15ATLMonroe STEAL (1 STL)18
62.1%
17
37.9%
Q1 - 3:34DETMaxiell 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)18
64.3%
17
35.7%
Q1 - 3:50DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)18
66.3%
15
33.7%
Q1 - 3:51ATLMISS Korver 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
66.9%
15
33.1%
Q1 - 3:59DETMonroe Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)18
68.4%
15
31.6%
Q1 - 4:11DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
66.2%
15
33.8%
Q1 - 4:15ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 218
66.5%
15
33.5%
Q1 - 4:15ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)18
67.5%
15
32.5%
Q1 - 4:23DETMaxiell 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)17
66.3%
15
33.7%
Q1 - 4:49ATLSmith 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)17
68.2%
13
31.8%
Q1 - 4:59ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)14
64.3%
13
35.7%
Q1 - 5:00DETMISS Prince 14' Jump Shot14
63.7%
13
36.3%
Q1 - 5:27ATLHorford 1' Reverse Layup (8 PTS)14
61.8%
13
38.2%
Q1 - 5:38ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)12
60.0%
13
40.0%
Q1 - 5:39ATLMISS Teague 20' Jump Shot12
58.5%
13
41.5%
Q1 - 5:55ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
60.0%
13
40.0%
Q1 - 5:56ATLMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot12
58.5%
13
41.5%
Q1 - 6:19ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
59.9%
13
40.1%
Q1 - 6:20DETMISS Monroe 17' Jump Shot12
59.3%
13
40.7%
Q1 - 6:42ATLHorford 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)12
57.8%
13
42.2%
Q1 - 6:53DETMaxiell 1' Putback Dunk (2 PTS)10
56.0%
13
44.0%
Q1 - 6:54DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
57.8%
11
42.2%
Q1 - 6:55DETMISS Singler 1' Layup10
59.3%
11
40.7%
Q1 - 7:20ATLSmith Dunk (6 PTS) (Korver 2 AST)10
58.0%
11
42.0%
Q1 - 7:39DETPrince 7' Hook Shot (5 PTS)8
56.4%
11
43.6%
Q1 - 7:54DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
57.9%
9
42.1%
Q1 - 7:55ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
58.6%
9
41.4%
Q1 - 8:11DETPrince 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Maxiell 1 AST)8
60.5%
9
39.5%
Q1 - 8:24DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
63.9%
6
36.1%
Q1 - 8:25ATLMISS Korver 3PT Jump Shot8
64.5%
6
35.5%
Q1 - 8:33ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
65.8%
6
34.2%
Q1 - 8:36DETMISS Singler Layup8
65.2%
6
34.8%
Q1 - 8:45DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)8
63.9%
6
36.1%
Q1 - 8:46ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
64.5%
6
35.5%
Q1 - 8:57DETKnight Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
65.8%
6
34.2%
Q1 - 9:09ATLHorford 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)8
67.4%
4
32.6%
Q1 - 9:21DETMonroe Dunk (4 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)6
65.9%
4
34.1%
Q1 - 9:43ATLSmith Dunk (4 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)6
67.4%
2
32.6%
Q1 - 9:52DETMonroe Reverse Layup (2 PTS)4
65.9%
2
34.1%
Q1 - 10:20ATLSmith Layup (2 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)4
67.1%
0
32.9%
Q1 - 10:37ATLHawks Rebound2
65.8%
0
34.2%
Q1 - 10:37DETMISS Prince Tip Shot2
65.2%
0
34.8%
Q1 - 10:37DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)2
63.9%
0
36.1%
Q1 - 10:40DETMISS Prince 1' Tip Shot2
65.2%
0
34.8%
Q1 - 10:40DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
63.9%
0
36.1%
Q1 - 10:41DETMISS Prince 1' Tip Shot2
65.2%
0
34.8%
Q1 - 10:42DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
63.9%
0
36.1%
Q1 - 10:44DETMISS Prince 1' Layup2
65.2%
0
34.8%
Q1 - 11:07ATLHorford Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)2
64.0%
0
36.0%
Q1 - 11:17ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
62.3%
0
37.7%
Q1 - 11:18DETMISS Prince 9' Jump Shot0
61.9%
0
38.1%
Q1 - 11:34DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
60.9%
0
39.1%
Q1 - 11:35ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot0
61.3%
0
38.7%
Q1 - 11:38ATLHawks Rebound0
62.3%
0
37.7%
Q1 - 11:40ATLMISS Smith 1' Layup0
61.3%
0
38.7%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Monroe vs. Horford: Tip to Williams0
62.3%
0
37.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.00 50.0%
DET
0.87 43.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
16
26
62%
DET
21
44
48%
Midrange
ATL
5
20
25%
DET
11
26
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
10
15.0
29
34%
52%
DET
3
4.5
15
20%
30%
Free Throws
ATL
12
20
60%
DET
12
21
57%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2053%10.0 / 19
A. Horford1864%9.0 / 14
L. Williams1757%8.5 / 15
K. Korver1056%5.0 / 9
Z. Pachulia964%4.5 / 7
J. Teague528%2.5 / 9
I. Johnson542%2.5 / 6
J. Jenkins0-0.0 / 2
A. Tolliver0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Daye2091%10.0 / 11
G. Monroe1847%9.0 / 19
J. Maxiell1063%5.0 / 8
R. Stuckey1045%5.0 / 11
B. Knight836%4.0 / 11
T. Prince623%3.0 / 13
A. Drummond660%3.0 / 5
W. Bynum528%2.5 / 9
K. Singler233%1.0 / 3
C. Villanueva0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
74
+10
-17
84
DET
79
+19
-13
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.00 50.0%
DET
0.87 43.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.6
103.8
ATL 92.3
DET 92.4 +0.1
Pace
92.9
90.9
ATL 97.6 +11.4
DET 86.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
15.8
ATL 14.8 +1.9
DET 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
48.7%
ATL 48.0% +5.1%
DET 42.9%
TO %
15.2%
15.9%
ATL 16.9%
DET 12.9% +4.0%
ORB %
22.2%
28.3%
ATL 13.3%
DET 34.7% +21.4%
FTrt
24.4
28.2
ATL 26.7 +2.0
DET 24.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.1%
58.5%
ATL 83.9% +32.5%
DET 51.4%
STL %
8.7%
7.6%
ATL 7.7%
DET 8.7% +1.0%
BLK %
7.1%
8.0%
ATL 5.7%
DET 19.6% +13.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.2%
50.7%
ATL 50.0% +6.6%
DET 43.4%
Rim FG%
62.5%
55.8%
ATL 61.5% +13.8%
DET 47.7%
Mid FG%
38.3%
36.1%
ATL 25.0%
DET 42.3% +17.3%
3P %
37.1%
35.6%
ATL 34.5% +14.5%
DET 20.0%
FT %
71.5%
69.9%
ATL 60.0% +2.9%
DET 57.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
45.1%
ATL 34.7%
DET 51.8% +17.1%
Mid Att. %
36.5%
33.2%
ATL 26.7% +3.9%
DET 30.6%
3P Att. %
28.6%
21.7%
ATL 38.7% +21.0%
DET 17.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.
Game TotalsATLDET
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points8485
Rebounds3856
Assists2618
Steals78
Blocks49
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (4)17 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (3)39 (1)
Field Goals31-7535-85
At-the-Rim FG16-2621-44
Midrange FG5-2011-26
2-Point FG21-4632-70
3-Point FG10-293-15
Free Throws12-2012-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 189 · 25
41.8
5
28%
4
9
2
0
5
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
20%
1-4
25%
G · 6'1" 175 · 26
40.3
17
57%
3
8
1
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-6
17%
5-9
56%
C · 6'10" 245 · 27
39.5
18
64%
15
3
0
0
2
4
4
11
0-3
0%
9-13
69%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 212 · 32
33.5
10
56%
3
5
1
0
0
4
0
3
1-1
100%
0-0
-
3-9
33%
F · 6'9" 225 · 27
31.1
20
53%
3
1
2
2
3
4
0
3
3-5
60%
7-13
54%
1-4
25%
C · 6'11" 270 · 29
20.2
9
64%
6
0
0
0
2
3
1
5
3-5
60%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 255 · 29
12.2
5
42%
2
0
1
1
2
2
0
2
5-6
83%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 22
12.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 28
9.2
0
0%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 32
F · 6'8" 237 · 24
G · 6'5" 210 · 27
C · 7'0" 247 · 27
#34 · G · 6'3" 185 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
50%
38
26
7
4
17
0
6
32
12-20
60%
21-46
46%
10-29
34%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.