FinalWin Prob.pScore
1326%92
96
474%100
89
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
111.68679.7
MIA logo MIA
106.08491.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHI96
100%
89
0%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)96
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)96
99.8%
89
0.2%
Q4 - 0:19.0CHIMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 296
99.8%
89
0.2%
Q4 - 0:19.0CHIButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)96
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)95
99.6%
89
0.4%
Q4 - 0:30.0CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)95
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)94
99.8%
86
0.2%
Q4 - 0:41.0CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)93
99.4%
86
0.6%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.2%
86
0.8%
Q4 - 0:46.0CHIBoozer 1' Layup (27 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)93
98.4%
86
1.6%
Q4 - 0:47.0CHIButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
97.0%
86
3.0%
Q4 - 0:48.0CHIMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot91
94.7%
86
5.3%
Q4 - 1:13MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)91
94.4%
86
5.6%
Q4 - 1:30MIAMISS James Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 291
87.3%
86
12.7%
Q4 - 1:30MIAJames Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (30 PTS)91
82.0%
86
18.0%
Q4 - 1:33CHIJames STEAL (1 STL)91
91.6%
85
8.4%
Q4 - 1:44MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bosh 5 AST)91
94.1%
85
5.9%
Q4 - 1:58CHIBelinelli 12' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS) (Hinrich 8 AST)91
97.5%
82
2.5%
Q4 - 2:21CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
96.4%
82
3.6%
Q4 - 2:22MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
95.7%
82
4.3%
Q4 - 2:39CHIBoozer 5' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Noah 4 AST)89
93.5%
82
6.5%
Q4 - 3:00MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)87
88.0%
82
12.0%
Q4 - 3:00MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 287
88.9%
81
11.1%
Q4 - 3:07MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)87
87.2%
81
12.8%
Q4 - 3:08CHIMISS Butler 1' Layup87
88.9%
81
11.1%
Q4 - 3:21MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T10)87
92.2%
81
7.8%
Q4 - 3:30MIAHEAT Rebound87
87.4%
81
12.6%
Q4 - 3:32CHIMISS Noah 12' Hook Shot87
82.8%
81
17.2%
Q4 - 3:45CHIButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
87.1%
81
12.9%
Q4 - 3:48MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup87
85.6%
81
14.4%
Q4 - 3:55MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)87
81.9%
81
18.1%
Q4 - 3:56CHIMISS Butler 12' Fadeaway Jumper87
83.7%
81
16.3%
Q4 - 4:09CHIButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
87.5%
81
12.5%
Q4 - 4:10MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot87
86.1%
81
13.9%
Q4 - 4:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
82.3%
81
17.7%
Q4 - 4:23CHIMISS Boozer 1' Driving Layup87
84.1%
81
15.9%
Q4 - 4:35MIABosh 1' Driving Dunk (14 PTS) (James 2 AST)87
87.8%
81
12.2%
Q4 - 4:54CHIButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)87
91.1%
79
8.9%
Q4 - 4:54CHIButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)86
90.5%
79
9.5%
Q4 - 5:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)85
83.0%
79
17.0%
Q4 - 5:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)85
83.9%
78
16.1%
Q4 - 5:14MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
86.9%
77
13.1%
Q4 - 5:15CHIBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)85
88.1%
77
11.9%
Q4 - 5:30MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)85
90.6%
77
9.4%
Q4 - 5:30MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)85
91.2%
76
8.8%
Q4 - 5:34MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)85
92.9%
75
7.1%
Q4 - 5:36CHIMISS Robinson 1' Driving Layup85
93.6%
75
6.4%
Q4 - 5:40MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)85
95.0%
75
5.0%
Q4 - 5:57CHIBoozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)85
93.0%
75
7.0%
Q4 - 5:57CHIBoozer Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)84
92.4%
75
7.6%
Q4 - 5:58CHIBulls Rebound83
90.7%
75
9.3%
Q4 - 5:59CHIMISS Deng 18' Jump Shot83
88.4%
75
11.6%
Q4 - 6:03CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)83
87.1%
75
12.9%
Q4 - 6:03CHIMISS Gibson Tip Shot83
84.2%
75
15.8%
Q4 - 6:04CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)83
87.1%
75
12.9%
Q4 - 6:05CHIMISS Robinson 18' Jump Shot83
84.3%
75
15.7%
Q4 - 6:20MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (26 PTS)83
87.2%
75
12.8%
Q4 - 6:34CHIRobinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Deng 5 AST)83
90.0%
73
10.0%
Q4 - 6:47MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P1.T8)80
83.6%
73
16.4%
Q4 - 6:54MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)80
78.6%
73
21.4%
Q4 - 6:55MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
82.2%
73
17.8%
Q4 - 7:09MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
74.8%
73
25.2%
Q4 - 7:10CHIMISS Gibson Free Throw 2 of 280
75.5%
73
24.5%
Q4 - 7:10CHIGibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)80
78.4%
73
21.6%
Q4 - 7:12CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)79
75.2%
73
24.8%
Q4 - 7:14CHIMISS Deng 3' Driving Layup79
71.2%
73
28.8%
Q4 - 7:21CHIBulls Rebound79
75.3%
73
24.7%
Q4 - 7:22CHIMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
71.2%
73
28.8%
Q4 - 7:51MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)79
75.5%
73
24.5%
Q4 - 7:51MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 279
76.5%
72
23.5%
Q4 - 8:08CHIRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)79
72.0%
72
28.0%
Q4 - 8:08CHIRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)78
71.2%
72
28.8%
Q4 - 8:31MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)77
66.7%
72
33.3%
Q4 - 8:42MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
60.8%
72
39.2%
Q4 - 8:43MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot77
65.0%
72
35.0%
Q4 - 9:05CHIRobinson 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)77
58.4%
72
41.6%
Q4 - 9:26MIAJames Running Slam Dunk (24 PTS)75
52.5%
72
47.5%
Q4 - 9:41CHIGibson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)75
58.6%
70
41.4%
Q4 - 9:42CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)75
64.1%
70
35.9%
Q4 - 9:43CHIBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)75
60.3%
70
39.7%
Q4 - 9:56CHIBulls Rebound75
64.2%
70
35.8%
Q4 - 9:56CHIMISS Boozer 18' Jump Shot75
60.3%
70
39.7%
Q4 - 10:16MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)75
61.7%
70
38.3%
Q4 - 10:16MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)75
62.8%
69
37.2%
Q4 - 10:22MIAJames Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (20 PTS)75
66.9%
68
33.1%
Q4 - 10:22MIAJames Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (19 PTS)75
68.1%
67
31.9%
Q4 - 10:39MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
76.1%
66
23.9%
Q4 - 10:40CHIMISS Belinelli 3PT Jump Shot75
77.4%
66
22.6%
Q4 - 10:52CHINoah REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)75
80.1%
66
19.9%
Q4 - 10:53MIAMISS Cole 2' Driving Layup75
78.9%
66
21.1%
Q4 - 11:08MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
74.0%
66
26.0%
Q4 - 11:09CHIMISS Noah Tip Shot75
75.2%
66
24.8%
Q4 - 11:10CHINoah REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)75
77.9%
66
22.1%
Q4 - 11:11CHIMISS Deng 12' Jump Shot75
75.3%
66
24.7%
Q4 - 11:32CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)75
78.0%
66
22.0%
Q4 - 11:33MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 2 of 275
77.5%
66
22.5%
Q4 - 11:33MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 1 of 275
75.0%
66
25.0%
Q4 - 11:35MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
74.1%
66
25.9%
Q4 - 11:36CHIMISS Robinson 11' Floating Jump Shot75
75.4%
66
24.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHI75
78.1%
66
21.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)75
78.1%
66
21.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
74.7%
66
25.3%
Q3 - 0:25.0CHIBoozer Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)75
72.2%
66
27.8%
Q3 - 0:28.0CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)75
75.9%
66
24.1%
Q3 - 0:29.0CHIMISS Hinrich 20' Jump Shot75
73.4%
66
26.6%
Q3 - 0:49.0CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)75
76.0%
66
24.0%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
74.9%
66
25.1%
Q3 - 1:14MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
70.1%
66
29.9%
Q3 - 1:15CHIMISS Gibson 19' Jump Shot75
71.3%
66
28.7%
Q3 - 1:36CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
74.0%
66
26.0%
Q3 - 1:37MIAMISS Cole 12' Jump Shot75
72.9%
66
27.1%
Q3 - 1:59CHIBelinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hinrich 7 AST)75
70.2%
66
29.8%
Q3 - 2:14MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)72
58.8%
66
41.2%
Q3 - 2:14MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 272
59.8%
65
40.2%
Q3 - 2:28CHIDeng 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hinrich 6 AST)72
58.8%
65
41.2%
Q3 - 2:50CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
54.4%
65
45.6%
Q3 - 2:51MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot70
53.0%
65
47.0%
Q3 - 3:00MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
49.7%
65
50.3%
Q3 - 3:01CHIMISS Boozer 19' Jump Shot70
49.2%
65
50.8%
Q3 - 3:29MIAJames Alley Oop Dunk (17 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)70
52.5%
65
47.5%
Q3 - 3:34CHIBattier STEAL (1 STL)70
56.8%
63
43.2%
Q3 - 3:42CHIBulls Rebound70
61.3%
63
38.7%
Q3 - 3:43MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
59.9%
63
40.1%
Q3 - 3:59CHIWade STEAL (2 STL)70
56.8%
63
43.2%
Q3 - 4:17MIABosh Foul Turnover (P3.T6)70
60.1%
63
39.9%
Q3 - 4:30CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)70
55.2%
63
44.8%
Q3 - 4:30CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)69
54.4%
63
45.6%
Q3 - 4:53MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)68
51.7%
63
48.3%
Q3 - 5:18CHIBoozer 12' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Hinrich 5 AST)68
53.8%
61
46.2%
Q3 - 5:40MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)66
50.3%
61
49.7%
Q3 - 5:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)66
51.1%
60
48.9%
Q3 - 6:01CHINoah 8' Hook Bank Shot (13 PTS) (Deng 4 AST)66
52.1%
59
47.9%
Q3 - 6:17CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)64
48.8%
59
51.2%
Q3 - 6:18MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot64
47.4%
59
52.6%
Q3 - 6:41CHIHinrich 8' Driving Jump Shot (8 PTS)64
44.3%
59
55.7%
Q3 - 7:00MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)62
40.9%
59
59.1%
Q3 - 7:20CHIHinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)62
47.0%
56
53.0%
Q3 - 7:45MIAChalmers 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 1 AST)59
39.7%
56
60.3%
Q3 - 8:08CHIHamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)59
42.3%
54
57.7%
Q3 - 8:23MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)56
35.5%
54
64.5%
Q3 - 8:23MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)56
36.1%
53
63.9%
Q3 - 8:33MIAHEAT Rebound56
38.7%
52
61.3%
Q3 - 8:34MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Layup56
41.5%
52
58.5%
Q3 - 8:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
38.7%
52
61.3%
Q3 - 8:47CHIMISS Noah 19' Jump Shot56
39.9%
52
60.1%
Q3 - 9:05CHIHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
41.6%
52
58.4%
Q3 - 9:06MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot56
40.5%
52
59.5%
Q3 - 9:16CHINoah Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)56
37.9%
52
62.1%
Q3 - 9:16CHIMISS Noah Free Throw 1 of 255
37.2%
52
62.8%
Q3 - 9:16CHINoah REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)55
38.2%
52
61.8%
Q3 - 9:17CHIMISS Hamilton 8' Jump Shot55
35.6%
52
64.4%
Q3 - 9:31CHIHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
38.2%
52
61.8%
Q3 - 9:32MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
37.1%
52
62.9%
Q3 - 9:43CHIBoozer 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS)55
34.6%
52
65.4%
Q3 - 10:02MIAHaslem 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)53
30.6%
52
69.4%
Q3 - 10:09MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
33.5%
50
66.5%
Q3 - 10:10MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
35.9%
50
64.1%
Q3 - 10:28CHIBoozer 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Noah 3 AST)53
33.6%
50
66.4%
Q3 - 10:34CHINoah REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)51
30.7%
50
69.3%
Q3 - 10:35MIAMISS Wade 1' Running Layup51
29.7%
50
70.3%
Q3 - 10:39CHIWade STEAL (1 STL)51
27.6%
50
72.4%
Q3 - 10:59MIAWade 9' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)51
30.7%
50
69.3%
Q3 - 11:14CHIHamilton 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Hinrich 4 AST)51
32.9%
48
67.1%
Q3 - 11:18CHINoah REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)49
30.1%
48
69.9%
Q3 - 11:19CHIMISS Noah 16' Jump Shot49
28.0%
48
72.0%
Q3 - 11:35CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)49
30.1%
48
69.9%
Q3 - 11:36MIAMISS Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper49
29.1%
48
70.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA49
27.1%
48
72.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIButler 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Boozer 1 AST)49
27.1%
48
72.9%
Q2 - 0:13.0CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)47
24.2%
48
75.8%
Q2 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Battier 13' Running Jump Shot47
23.7%
48
76.3%
Q2 - 0:39.0CHINoah Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)47
22.5%
48
77.5%
Q2 - 0:39.0CHINoah Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)46
22.0%
48
78.0%
Q2 - 1:02MIAJames 16' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)45
19.7%
48
80.3%
Q2 - 1:28CHIRobinson 6' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)45
22.6%
46
77.4%
Q2 - 1:34CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)43
19.7%
46
80.3%
Q2 - 1:35CHIMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot43
18.8%
46
81.2%
Q2 - 1:48MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)43
19.7%
46
80.3%
Q2 - 1:48MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 243
20.2%
45
79.8%
Q2 - 1:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
20.5%
45
79.5%
Q2 - 1:53MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot43
21.4%
45
78.6%
Q2 - 2:11CHIButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)43
20.0%
45
80.0%
Q2 - 2:18CHIButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
16.3%
45
83.7%
Q2 - 2:19MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot40
15.8%
45
84.2%
Q2 - 2:31CHIHaslem STEAL (2 STL)40
14.7%
45
85.3%
Q2 - 2:46CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)40
16.3%
45
83.7%
Q2 - 2:47MIAMISS Chalmers 20' Jump Shot40
15.8%
45
84.2%
Q2 - 3:12CHIRobinson 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)40
14.6%
45
85.4%
Q2 - 3:15MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)38
13.4%
45
86.6%
Q2 - 3:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
11.8%
45
88.2%
Q2 - 3:23CHIMISS Boozer 15' Pullup Jump Shot38
12.3%
45
87.7%
Q2 - 3:42MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)38
13.4%
45
86.6%
Q2 - 4:03CHIRobinson 6' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)38
14.7%
43
85.3%
Q2 - 4:22MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)36
13.4%
43
86.6%
Q2 - 4:22MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)36
13.7%
42
86.3%
Q2 - 4:44CHINoah 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)36
14.7%
41
85.3%
Q2 - 5:07CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)34
13.5%
41
86.5%
Q2 - 5:08MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot34
13.1%
41
86.9%
Q2 - 5:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
12.2%
41
87.8%
Q2 - 5:18CHIMISS Noah 18' Jump Shot34
12.6%
41
87.4%
Q2 - 5:43MIABosh 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)34
13.4%
41
86.6%
Q2 - 6:05CHINoah 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)34
14.8%
39
85.2%
Q2 - 6:06CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)32
13.7%
39
86.3%
Q2 - 6:07CHIMISS Boozer 14' Turnaround Jump Shot32
12.6%
39
87.4%
Q2 - 6:29MIABosh 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)32
13.7%
39
86.3%
Q2 - 6:49CHIBoozer 16' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)32
14.8%
37
85.2%
Q2 - 7:14MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)30
13.8%
37
86.2%
Q2 - 7:33CHINoah Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)30
16.3%
34
83.7%
Q2 - 7:42CHIButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
18.0%
34
82.0%
Q2 - 7:43MIAMISS Cole 19' Jump Shot30
17.5%
34
82.5%
Q2 - 7:48MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
16.3%
34
83.7%
Q2 - 7:49CHIMISS Belinelli 2' Driving Layup30
16.8%
34
83.2%
Q2 - 8:14MIACole 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)30
18.0%
34
82.0%
Q2 - 8:38CHIBoozer 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)30
19.5%
32
80.5%
Q2 - 8:49CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
18.0%
32
82.0%
Q2 - 8:50MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot28
17.5%
32
82.5%
Q2 - 9:04CHIBelinelli Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)28
16.3%
32
83.7%
Q2 - 9:16MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)28
17.9%
32
82.1%
Q2 - 9:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
19.3%
30
80.7%
Q2 - 9:30CHIMISS Gibson 1' Tip Shot28
19.8%
30
80.2%
Q2 - 9:31CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)28
21.0%
30
79.0%
Q2 - 9:33CHIMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
19.8%
30
80.2%
Q2 - 9:43MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
21.0%
30
79.0%
Q2 - 9:43MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
21.3%
29
78.7%
Q2 - 10:00MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
22.6%
28
77.4%
Q2 - 10:02CHIMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
23.2%
28
76.8%
Q2 - 10:14CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
24.6%
28
75.4%
Q2 - 10:16CHIMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
23.1%
28
76.9%
Q2 - 10:38MIACole 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)28
24.6%
28
75.4%
Q2 - 10:59CHINoah Tip Shot (4 PTS)28
26.1%
26
73.9%
Q2 - 11:00CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
24.6%
26
75.4%
Q2 - 11:01CHIMISS Belinelli 1' Driving Layup26
23.1%
26
76.9%
Q2 - 11:19MIACole 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)26
24.4%
26
75.6%
Q2 - 11:23MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
26.2%
24
73.8%
Q2 - 11:24CHIMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot26
26.8%
24
73.2%
Q2 - 11:44MIAAllen 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)26
28.2%
24
71.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA26
30.1%
22
69.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIBoozer 2' Layup (11 PTS)26
30.1%
22
69.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)24
28.2%
22
71.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0CHIMISS Belinelli 5' Driving Jump Shot24
26.7%
22
73.3%
Q1 - 0:14.0CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)24
27.7%
22
72.3%
Q1 - 0:15.0MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot24
27.2%
22
72.8%
Q1 - 0:32.0CHIGibson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
26.2%
22
73.8%
Q1 - 0:32.0CHIGibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
25.7%
22
74.3%
Q1 - 0:39.0CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
24.0%
22
76.0%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
23.6%
22
76.4%
Q1 - 1:02CHIGibson 1' Layup (2 PTS)22
22.7%
22
77.3%
Q1 - 1:03CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)20
20.7%
22
79.3%
Q1 - 1:04CHIMISS Hinrich 17' Fadeaway Jumper20
19.9%
22
80.1%
Q1 - 1:30CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
20.7%
22
79.3%
Q1 - 1:31MIAMISS Cole 21' Jump Shot20
20.3%
22
79.7%
Q1 - 2:06CHIBelinelli 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
19.4%
22
80.6%
Q1 - 2:26CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
18.0%
22
82.0%
Q1 - 2:27MIAMISS Anthony 12' Jump Shot18
17.6%
22
82.4%
Q1 - 2:57CHIBoozer 10' Jump Shot (9 PTS)18
16.7%
22
83.3%
Q1 - 3:13CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
15.4%
22
84.6%
Q1 - 3:14CHIMISS Hinrich 3PT Jump Shot16
14.5%
22
85.5%
Q1 - 3:34MIAJames 7' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)16
15.4%
22
84.6%
Q1 - 3:44MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
16.5%
20
83.5%
Q1 - 3:45CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
16.9%
20
83.1%
Q1 - 3:49CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
17.9%
20
82.1%
Q1 - 3:50CHIMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
16.9%
20
83.1%
Q1 - 4:05CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
17.7%
20
82.3%
Q1 - 4:06MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
17.3%
20
82.7%
Q1 - 4:21CHIBoozer 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)16
16.4%
20
83.6%
Q1 - 4:39MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)14
15.2%
20
84.8%
Q1 - 4:54CHIHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T6)14
16.4%
18
83.6%
Q1 - 4:57CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
17.7%
18
82.3%
Q1 - 4:58MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
17.3%
18
82.7%
Q1 - 5:22CHIHamilton 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Noah 2 AST)14
16.5%
18
83.5%
Q1 - 5:35MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)12
15.5%
18
84.5%
Q1 - 5:54CHIBoozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)12
17.7%
15
82.3%
Q1 - 5:54CHIMISS Boozer Free Throw 1 of 211
17.4%
15
82.6%
Q1 - 6:11MIAWade Running Dunk (7 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)11
17.7%
15
82.3%
Q1 - 6:16CHIHaslem STEAL (1 STL)11
18.8%
13
81.2%
Q1 - 6:30MIABosh 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)11
20.2%
13
79.8%
Q1 - 6:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
21.4%
11
78.6%
Q1 - 6:46CHIMISS Noah 1' Layup11
21.9%
11
78.1%
Q1 - 7:01MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)11
22.7%
11
77.3%
Q1 - 7:07MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
25.2%
8
74.8%
Q1 - 7:08CHIMISS Deng 14' Jump Shot11
25.8%
8
74.2%
Q1 - 7:21MIABosh Foul Turnover (P2.T4)11
27.0%
8
73.0%
Q1 - 7:30CHIChalmers STEAL (1 STL)11
25.3%
8
74.7%
Q1 - 7:32CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
27.1%
8
72.9%
Q1 - 7:34CHIMISS Hamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
25.8%
8
74.2%
Q1 - 7:50MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)11
27.1%
8
72.9%
Q1 - 7:59CHIHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)11
28.3%
6
71.7%
Q1 - 8:11MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P1.T3)11
29.6%
6
70.4%
Q1 - 8:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
27.9%
6
72.1%
Q1 - 8:30CHIMISS Boozer Free Throw 1 of 111
28.2%
6
71.8%
Q1 - 8:40MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
26.6%
6
73.4%
Q1 - 8:40MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
26.9%
5
73.1%
Q1 - 8:59CHIHinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)9
28.0%
4
72.0%
Q1 - 9:05MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)6
24.9%
4
75.1%
Q1 - 9:21CHIBoozer 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Noah 1 AST)6
23.4%
4
76.6%
Q1 - 9:38MIAJames 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)4
22.2%
4
77.8%
Q1 - 9:52CHIDeng 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)4
23.4%
2
76.6%
Q1 - 9:59CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
22.2%
2
77.8%
Q1 - 10:00MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot2
21.8%
2
78.2%
Q1 - 10:08MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
20.8%
2
79.2%
Q1 - 10:09CHIMISS Hamilton 11' Jump Shot2
21.2%
2
78.8%
Q1 - 10:18MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
22.2%
2
77.8%
Q1 - 10:38CHINoah 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)2
20.8%
2
79.2%
Q1 - 10:56MIAWade 12' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
19.9%
2
80.1%
Q1 - 11:02MIAHEAT Rebound0
20.6%
0
79.4%
Q1 - 11:03MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot0
21.3%
0
78.7%
Q1 - 11:23CHIHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)0
20.6%
0
79.4%
Q1 - 11:32CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.6%
0
78.4%
Q1 - 11:33MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot0
21.3%
0
78.7%
Q1 - 11:44CHIBosh STEAL (1 STL)0
20.6%
0
79.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Noah: Tip to Boozer0
21.7%
0
78.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.03 51.6%
MIA
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
16
28
57%
MIA
9
13
69%
Midrange
CHI
15
38
39%
MIA
16
32
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
MIA
5
7.5
20
25%
38%
Free Throws
CHI
19
24
79%
MIA
24
31
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Boozer2771%13.5 / 19
J. Noah1350%6.5 / 13
N. Robinson1365%6.5 / 10
K. Hinrich1056%5.0 / 9
J. Butler850%4.0 / 8
R. Hamilton758%3.5 / 6
M. Belinelli744%3.5 / 8
L. Deng630%3.0 / 10
T. Gibson531%2.5 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3075%15.0 / 20
D. Wade2273%11.0 / 15
C. Bosh1450%7.0 / 14
N. Cole633%3.0 / 9
M. Chalmers542%2.5 / 6
R. Allen583%2.5 / 3
U. Haslem467%2.0 / 3
S. Battier325%1.5 / 6
M. Miller0-0.0 / 1
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
71
+22
-15
93
MIA
72
+6
-12
78
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.03 51.6%
MIA
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.1
112.1
CHI 111.6 +5.7
MIA 106.0
Pace
88.9
90.9
CHI 79.7
MIA 91.2 +11.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.6
16.0
CHI 18.1
MIA 15.8 +2.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.0%
55.2%
CHI 48.1%
MIA 50.0% +1.9%
TO %
15.3%
14.5%
CHI 14.2%
MIA 13.2% +1.0%
ORB %
29.4%
22.2%
CHI 44.2% +32.1%
MIA 12.1%
FTrt
25.9
29.7
CHI 30.0
MIA 47.7 +17.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.5%
60.0%
CHI 61.1% +4.4%
MIA 56.7%
STL %
8.0%
9.5%
CHI 8.1%
MIA 9.5% +1.4%
BLK %
7.9%
9.1%
CHI 4.4% +1.4%
MIA 3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.8%
57.0%
CHI 51.6%
MIA 55.6% +4.0%
Rim FG%
56.6%
65.9%
CHI 57.1%
MIA 69.2% +12.1%
Mid FG%
36.3%
41.9%
CHI 39.5%
MIA 50.0% +10.5%
3P %
35.3%
39.6%
CHI 35.7% +10.7%
MIA 25.0%
FT %
77.3%
75.4%
CHI 79.2% +1.8%
MIA 77.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.2%
34.8%
CHI 35.0% +15.0%
MIA 20.0%
Mid Att. %
44.0%
36.7%
CHI 47.5% +1.7%
MIA 49.2%
3P Att. %
18.9%
28.5%
CHI 17.5%
MIA 30.8% +13.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions8684
Possession Minutes25.922.1
Points9689
Rebounds4828
Assists2217
Steals78
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)19 (3)4 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)24 (2)
Field Goals36-8030-65
At-the-Rim FG16-289-13
Midrange FG15-3816-32
2-Point FG31-6625-45
3-Point FG5-145-20
Free Throws19-2424-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 220 · 28
43.4
6
30%
4
5
2
0
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 258 · 31
42.1
27
71%
12
1
0
1
3
1
6
6
3-5
60%
12-17
71%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 230 · 28
36.5
13
50%
12
4
1
0
3
3
6
6
3-4
75%
5-11
45%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 32
29.2
10
56%
4
8
1
1
3
4
0
4
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
2-5
40%
G · 6'7" 193 · 35
17.2
7
58%
2
1
0
0
4
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
G · 5'9" 180 · 29
18.8
13
65%
0
1
3
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27
17.8
7
44%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-3
33%
F · 6'7" 230 · 23
17.6
8
50%
5
2
0
0
0
3
1
4
4-5
80%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 28
17.3
5
31%
9
0
0
0
1
2
5
4
3-4
75%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 250 · 35
G · 6'2" 189 · 20
F · 6'10" 235 · 32
#1 · G · 6'3" 190 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
52%
48
22
7
2
15
0
19
29
19-24
79%
31-66
47%
5-14
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.