FinalWin Prob.pScore
166%101
117
1534%96
110
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
114.7102103.2
MIL logo MIL
110.010098.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS117
100%
110
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)117
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 0:03.0MILMISS Lamb 24' 3PT Jump Shot117
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0SASMills Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)117
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0SASMills Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)116
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0MILDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)115
99.8%
110
0.2%
Q4 - 0:13.0MILDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)115
99.8%
109
0.2%
Q4 - 0:18.0MILHenson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)115
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0SASMISS De Colo Free Throw 2 of 2115
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0SASMISS De Colo Free Throw 1 of 2115
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0MILHenson 1' Alley Oop Dunk (20 PTS) (Daniels 4 AST)115
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0SASHenson STEAL (1 STL)115
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0MILLamb Layup (2 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)115
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 1:01MILHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)115
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 1:04SASMISS Leonard 3PT Jump Shot115
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 1:20MILUdoh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)115
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 1:20MILUdoh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)115
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 1:28SASDuncan 3' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)115
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)113
99.8%
102
0.2%
Q4 - 1:47SASMISS Parker 6' Jump Shot113
99.7%
102
0.3%
Q4 - 2:14MILJennings Layup (31 PTS) (Henson 3 AST)113
99.8%
102
0.2%
Q4 - 2:16MILHenson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)113
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 2:17MILMISS Ellis 19' Jump Shot113
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 2:25MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)113
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 2:25MILMISS Jennings 24' 3PT Jump Shot113
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 2:30MILHenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)113
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 2:31SASMISS Green 1' Layup113
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 2:38SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)113
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 2:39MILMISS Jennings 4' Jump Shot113
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 2:52SASParker 10' Jump Shot (23 PTS)113
99.8%
100
0.2%
Q4 - 3:09MILJennings 11' Running Hook Shot (29 PTS)111
99.7%
100
0.3%
Q4 - 3:26SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Parker 11 AST)111
99.8%
98
0.2%
Q4 - 3:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)108
98.9%
98
1.1%
Q4 - 3:47MILMISS Ilyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot108
98.8%
98
1.2%
Q4 - 3:56MILHenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)108
98.4%
98
1.6%
Q4 - 3:57SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot108
98.6%
98
1.4%
Q4 - 4:11MILHenson 5' Hook Shot (18 PTS) (Ellis 8 AST)108
99.0%
98
1.0%
Q4 - 4:30MILHenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)108
99.3%
96
0.7%
Q4 - 4:31SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot108
99.4%
96
0.6%
Q4 - 4:58MILDunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Ellis 7 AST)108
99.5%
96
0.5%
Q4 - 5:11SASParker 1' Layup (21 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)108
99.5%
93
0.5%
Q4 - 5:16MILEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)106
99.4%
93
0.6%
Q4 - 5:22MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)106
99.1%
93
0.9%
Q4 - 5:23SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot106
99.2%
93
0.8%
Q4 - 5:45MILHenson 1' Running Dunk (16 PTS) (Ellis 6 AST)106
99.4%
93
0.6%
Q4 - 5:55MILBUCKS Rebound106
99.6%
91
0.4%
Q4 - 5:55SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot106
99.6%
91
0.4%
Q4 - 6:04SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)106
99.5%
91
0.5%
Q4 - 6:05MILMISS Jennings 16' Jump Shot106
99.4%
91
0.6%
Q4 - 6:17SASParker 9' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS)106
99.3%
91
0.7%
Q4 - 6:19SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)104
99.1%
91
0.9%
Q4 - 6:22MILMISS Ellis 1' Layup104
99.0%
91
1.0%
Q4 - 6:34MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)104
98.7%
91
1.3%
Q4 - 6:36SASMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 2104
98.8%
91
1.2%
Q4 - 6:36SASMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 2104
99.0%
91
1.0%
Q4 - 6:52MILHenson 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Ellis 5 AST)104
99.1%
91
0.9%
Q4 - 6:56MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)104
99.3%
89
0.7%
Q4 - 6:57SASHenson BLOCK (1 BLK)104
99.4%
89
0.6%
Q4 - 7:16MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)104
99.3%
89
0.7%
Q4 - 7:16MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)104
99.3%
88
0.7%
Q4 - 7:24MILHenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)104
99.5%
87
0.5%
Q4 - 7:26SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot104
99.5%
87
0.5%
Q4 - 7:31SASJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)104
99.6%
87
0.4%
Q4 - 7:33SASMISS Parker 14' Jump Shot104
99.5%
87
0.5%
Q4 - 7:44MILHenson 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)104
99.6%
87
0.4%
Q4 - 8:01SASParker 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS)104
99.5%
85
0.5%
Q4 - 8:20SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)102
99.4%
85
0.6%
Q4 - 8:21MILMISS Dunleavy 15' Jump Shot102
99.4%
85
0.6%
Q4 - 8:38SASParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)102
99.2%
85
0.8%
Q4 - 8:46SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)99
98.8%
85
1.2%
Q4 - 8:47MILMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
98.7%
85
1.3%
Q4 - 9:17SASSplitter Layup (6 PTS) (Duncan 6 AST)99
98.0%
85
2.0%
Q4 - 9:30SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)97
97.4%
85
2.6%
Q4 - 9:31MILMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
97.3%
85
2.7%
Q4 - 9:45SASGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 10 AST)97
96.8%
85
3.2%
Q4 - 10:03MILJennings 15' Jump Shot (25 PTS)94
94.3%
85
5.7%
Q4 - 10:10MILBUCKS Rebound94
95.4%
83
4.6%
Q4 - 10:10SASMISS Jackson 1' Layup94
95.7%
83
4.3%
Q4 - 10:23SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)94
96.3%
83
3.7%
Q4 - 10:23MILMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot94
96.0%
83
4.0%
Q4 - 10:35SASJackson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T7)94
95.4%
83
4.6%
Q4 - 11:00MILJennings 14' Jump Shot (23 PTS)94
96.3%
83
3.7%
Q4 - 11:23SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)94
96.5%
81
3.5%
Q4 - 11:23SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 293
96.4%
81
3.6%
Q4 - 11:36SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)93
96.6%
81
3.4%
Q4 - 11:38MILMISS Jennings 1' Layup93
96.3%
81
3.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS93
95.8%
81
4.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILDunleavy Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)93
96.1%
81
3.9%
Q3 - 0:06.0SASDunleavy STEAL (1 STL)93
95.3%
81
4.7%
Q3 - 0:26.0MILEllis 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)93
96.1%
81
3.9%
Q3 - 0:35.0MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
96.9%
79
3.1%
Q3 - 0:36.0SASMISS Neal 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
97.0%
79
3.0%
Q3 - 0:54.0MILDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)93
97.4%
79
2.6%
Q3 - 0:54.0MILDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)93
97.5%
78
2.5%
Q3 - 1:05SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)93
97.6%
77
2.4%
Q3 - 1:05SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 292
97.5%
77
2.5%
Q3 - 1:18MILDunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)92
97.6%
77
2.4%
Q3 - 1:24MILHenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)92
98.4%
74
1.6%
Q3 - 1:26SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup92
98.5%
74
1.5%
Q3 - 1:42MILEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)92
98.7%
74
1.3%
Q3 - 1:42MILEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)92
98.7%
73
1.3%
Q3 - 1:46MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)92
98.9%
72
1.1%
Q3 - 1:48SASIlyasova BLOCK (1 BLK)92
99.0%
72
1.0%
Q3 - 1:50SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)92
99.1%
72
0.9%
Q3 - 1:51SASMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.0%
72
1.0%
Q3 - 1:59SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
99.1%
72
0.9%
Q3 - 2:00MILMISS Henson 1' Layup92
99.0%
72
1.0%
Q3 - 2:13SASGinobili 4' Jump Shot (11 PTS)92
98.6%
72
1.4%
Q3 - 2:34MILEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)90
98.4%
72
1.6%
Q3 - 2:34MILEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)90
98.4%
71
1.6%
Q3 - 2:38SASParker Foul Turnover (P3.T5)90
98.7%
70
1.3%
Q3 - 2:44MILEllis 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jennings 5 AST)90
98.9%
70
1.1%
Q3 - 2:57SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)90
99.1%
68
0.9%
Q3 - 2:57SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)89
99.1%
68
0.9%
Q3 - 3:10MILJennings 1' Layup (21 PTS)88
98.7%
68
1.3%
Q3 - 3:23SASDiaw Layup (9 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)88
98.9%
66
1.1%
Q3 - 3:46MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)86
98.7%
66
1.3%
Q3 - 3:50MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)86
99.1%
63
0.9%
Q3 - 3:53SASMISS Blair 1' Layup86
99.2%
63
0.8%
Q3 - 4:05MILSanders Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)86
99.2%
63
0.8%
Q3 - 4:10MILSanders REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)86
99.0%
63
1.0%
Q3 - 4:11SASMISS Ginobili 4' Jump Shot86
99.0%
63
1.0%
Q3 - 4:20SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
99.2%
63
0.8%
Q3 - 4:21MILMISS Jennings 17' Jump Shot86
99.1%
63
0.9%
Q3 - 4:34SASDiaw 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)86
99.0%
63
1.0%
Q3 - 4:44SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
98.8%
63
1.2%
Q3 - 4:45MILMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
98.8%
63
1.2%
Q3 - 5:01SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)84
98.4%
63
1.6%
Q3 - 5:19SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)81
97.8%
63
2.2%
Q3 - 5:20MILMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 281
97.7%
63
2.3%
Q3 - 5:20MILMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 281
97.5%
63
2.5%
Q3 - 5:39SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)81
97.4%
63
2.6%
Q3 - 5:55MILJennings 1' Reverse Layup (16 PTS)79
97.0%
63
3.0%
Q3 - 5:59MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)79
97.4%
61
2.6%
Q3 - 6:00SASMISS Parker 9' Jump Shot79
97.5%
61
2.5%
Q3 - 6:15SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
97.6%
61
2.4%
Q3 - 6:16MILMISS Jennings 19' Jump Shot79
97.4%
61
2.6%
Q3 - 6:24MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
97.1%
61
2.9%
Q3 - 6:27SASSanders BLOCK (4 BLK)79
97.3%
61
2.7%
Q3 - 6:30MILSanders Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)79
97.6%
61
2.4%
Q3 - 6:50SASDuncan 1' Dunk (24 PTS) (Green 1 AST)79
97.1%
61
2.9%
Q3 - 6:57MILSanders Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)77
96.7%
61
3.3%
Q3 - 7:01SASJennings STEAL (1 STL)77
95.7%
61
4.3%
Q3 - 7:03SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
96.3%
61
3.7%
Q3 - 7:05SASMISS Parker 1' Layup77
95.9%
61
4.1%
Q3 - 7:11MILEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)77
96.3%
61
3.7%
Q3 - 7:23SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P1.T3)77
95.7%
61
4.3%
Q3 - 7:44MILJennings 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)77
96.3%
61
3.7%
Q3 - 7:51MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)77
96.8%
59
3.2%
Q3 - 7:53MILMISS Ellis Layup77
97.2%
59
2.8%
Q3 - 7:54MILSanders REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)77
96.8%
59
3.2%
Q3 - 7:56MILMISS Daniels 3PT Jump Shot77
97.2%
59
2.8%
Q3 - 8:12SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)77
96.6%
59
3.4%
Q3 - 8:12SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)76
96.5%
59
3.5%
Q3 - 8:26MILJennings Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T10)75
96.1%
59
3.9%
Q3 - 8:34SASLeonard 1' Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)75
95.5%
59
4.5%
Q3 - 8:52MILJennings 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)73
94.9%
59
5.1%
Q3 - 8:54MILDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
95.5%
57
4.5%
Q3 - 8:56SASMISS Parker 5' Jump Shot73
95.7%
57
4.3%
Q3 - 9:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)73
95.9%
57
4.1%
Q3 - 9:12MILMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 273
95.8%
57
4.2%
Q3 - 9:12MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)73
95.4%
57
4.6%
Q3 - 9:19MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
95.8%
56
4.2%
Q3 - 9:23SASSanders BLOCK (3 BLK)73
96.0%
56
4.0%
Q3 - 9:36MILMbah a Moute 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jennings 4 AST)73
96.4%
56
3.6%
Q3 - 9:50SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)73
96.9%
54
3.1%
Q3 - 10:12MILJump Ball Daniels vs. Duncan: Tip to Green71
96.3%
54
3.7%
Q3 - 10:12MILMISS Daniels 1' Layup71
96.1%
54
3.9%
Q3 - 10:14MILDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
95.7%
54
4.3%
Q3 - 10:15MILMISS Jennings 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
96.1%
54
3.9%
Q3 - 10:22MILSanders REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)71
95.7%
54
4.3%
Q3 - 10:24SASJennings BLOCK (2 BLK)71
95.9%
54
4.1%
Q3 - 10:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)71
96.3%
54
3.7%
Q3 - 10:34MILMISS Sanders 4' Hook Shot71
96.1%
54
3.9%
Q3 - 10:52SASParker 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)71
95.7%
54
4.3%
Q3 - 11:05SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
94.8%
54
5.2%
Q3 - 11:06SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot69
94.3%
54
5.7%
Q3 - 11:25MILEllis 1' Layup (10 PTS)69
94.9%
54
5.1%
Q3 - 11:34MILSanders REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
95.5%
52
4.5%
Q3 - 11:37SASSanders BLOCK (2 BLK)69
95.7%
52
4.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL69
96.1%
52
3.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound69
95.5%
52
4.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
95.9%
52
4.1%
Q2 - 0:08.0SASParker 1' Layup (8 PTS)69
95.2%
52
4.8%
Q2 - 0:30.0MILHenson 3' Running Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Jennings 3 AST)67
94.3%
52
5.7%
Q2 - 0:35.0SASParker Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)67
95.2%
50
4.8%
Q2 - 0:37.0MILHenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)67
95.6%
50
4.4%
Q2 - 0:37.0MILHenson 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)67
95.6%
50
4.4%
Q2 - 0:37.0MILMISS Jennings 5' Jump Shot67
96.5%
48
3.5%
Q2 - 0:44.0SASParker Driving Layup (6 PTS)67
96.3%
48
3.7%
Q2 - 0:58.0MILJennings 13' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)65
95.6%
48
4.4%
Q2 - 1:07SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)65
96.0%
46
4.0%
Q2 - 1:07SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)64
95.9%
46
4.1%
Q2 - 1:29MILDunleavy 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Henson 2 AST)63
95.3%
46
4.7%
Q2 - 1:33MILHenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)63
96.0%
44
4.0%
Q2 - 1:34MILMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot63
96.3%
44
3.7%
Q2 - 1:40MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
96.0%
44
4.0%
Q2 - 1:41SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot63
96.1%
44
3.9%
Q2 - 2:07MILHenson 2' Layup (6 PTS)63
96.1%
44
3.9%
Q2 - 2:26MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
96.6%
42
3.4%
Q2 - 2:28SASMISS Leonard 3PT Jump Shot63
96.7%
42
3.3%
Q2 - 2:40SASSpurs Rebound63
97.0%
42
3.0%
Q2 - 2:41MILMISS Dunleavy 3PT Jump Shot63
96.9%
42
3.1%
Q2 - 2:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
96.6%
42
3.4%
Q2 - 2:53SASDuncan 2' Dunk (18 PTS)63
96.6%
42
3.4%
Q2 - 2:55SASMISS Ginobili 1' Layup61
95.8%
42
4.2%
Q2 - 3:15MILHenson 3' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)61
96.0%
42
4.0%
Q2 - 3:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
96.4%
40
3.6%
Q2 - 3:27SASDuncan 1' Tip Shot (16 PTS)61
96.4%
40
3.6%
Q2 - 3:28SASMISS Parker 7' Jump Shot59
95.6%
40
4.4%
Q2 - 3:48MILDunleavy 4' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Henson 1 AST)59
96.0%
40
4.0%
Q2 - 4:01SASBonner 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)59
96.1%
38
3.9%
Q2 - 4:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
95.7%
38
4.3%
Q2 - 4:23MILMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 257
95.6%
38
4.4%
Q2 - 4:23MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)57
95.3%
38
4.7%
Q2 - 4:41SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)57
95.7%
37
4.3%
Q2 - 4:41SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)56
95.6%
37
4.4%
Q2 - 4:54SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
95.2%
37
4.8%
Q2 - 4:55SASMISS Bonner 15' Jump Shot55
94.8%
37
5.2%
Q2 - 5:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
95.0%
37
5.0%
Q2 - 5:20MILMISS Jennings 16' Jump Shot55
94.8%
37
5.2%
Q2 - 5:37SASBonner 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)55
94.4%
37
5.6%
Q2 - 5:51MILHenson 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)52
93.1%
37
6.9%
Q2 - 6:09SASNeal 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)52
93.4%
35
6.6%
Q2 - 6:21MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)50
92.9%
35
7.1%
Q2 - 6:37SASJackson Layup (8 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)50
94.1%
32
5.9%
Q2 - 6:56SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
93.6%
32
6.4%
Q2 - 6:57MILMISS Jennings 15' Jump Shot48
93.3%
32
6.7%
Q2 - 7:10SASGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Neal 2 AST)48
92.4%
32
7.6%
Q2 - 7:26MILDaniels 1' Reverse Layup (3 PTS)45
90.9%
32
9.1%
Q2 - 7:41MILBUCKS Rebound45
91.6%
30
8.4%
Q2 - 7:41SASMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot45
91.9%
30
8.1%
Q2 - 7:55MILJennings Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T9)45
92.5%
30
7.5%
Q2 - 8:06SASJackson 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)45
91.3%
30
8.7%
Q2 - 8:28MILDunleavy 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)43
90.5%
30
9.5%
Q2 - 8:52SASNeal 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)43
91.3%
28
8.7%
Q2 - 9:12MILJennings 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)41
90.2%
28
9.8%
Q2 - 9:31SASDiaw 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)41
91.8%
25
8.2%
Q2 - 9:45SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
91.1%
25
8.9%
Q2 - 9:46MILMISS Daniels Free Throw 2 of 239
90.9%
25
9.1%
Q2 - 9:46MILDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)39
90.4%
25
9.6%
Q2 - 9:57SASGinobili Layup (4 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)39
91.0%
24
9.0%
Q2 - 10:01MILIlyasova Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)37
90.0%
24
10.0%
Q2 - 10:14SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)37
88.9%
24
11.1%
Q2 - 10:14SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
88.6%
24
11.4%
Q2 - 10:30MILDunleavy 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)35
88.1%
24
11.9%
Q2 - 10:42MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
88.9%
22
11.1%
Q2 - 10:44SASMISS Neal 19' Jump Shot35
89.3%
22
10.7%
Q2 - 10:50SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
90.0%
22
10.0%
Q2 - 10:51MILMISS Udoh 10' Jump Shot35
89.7%
22
10.3%
Q2 - 11:10MILDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
88.7%
22
11.3%
Q2 - 11:12SASMISS Ginobili 18' Jump Shot35
89.0%
22
11.0%
Q2 - 11:21SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
89.7%
22
10.3%
Q2 - 11:22MILMISS Udoh 3' Hook Shot35
89.4%
22
10.6%
Q2 - 11:45SASJackson 1' Layup (4 PTS)35
88.7%
22
11.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL33
87.8%
22
12.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound33
86.6%
22
13.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot33
87.4%
22
12.6%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASNeal 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)33
86.4%
22
13.6%
Q1 - 0:08.0SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
83.7%
22
16.3%
Q1 - 0:09.0MILMISS Ellis 1' Layup30
83.4%
22
16.6%
Q1 - 0:26.0MILUdoh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
82.7%
22
17.3%
Q1 - 0:27.0SASMISS Ginobili 13' Jump Shot30
83.1%
22
16.9%
Q1 - 0:33.0SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
83.8%
22
16.2%
Q1 - 0:35.0MILMISS Ilyasova 19' Jump Shot30
83.5%
22
16.5%
Q1 - 0:51.0SASSplitter 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)30
82.7%
22
17.3%
Q1 - 1:03MILIlyasova Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)28
80.9%
22
19.1%
Q1 - 1:03MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
79.8%
22
20.2%
Q1 - 1:04MILMISS Ilyasova 12' Jump Shot28
80.5%
22
19.5%
Q1 - 1:13MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
79.8%
22
20.2%
Q1 - 1:14SASMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot28
80.1%
22
19.9%
Q1 - 1:35MILDunleavy 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ilyasova 1 AST)28
80.9%
22
19.1%
Q1 - 1:50SASDiaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)28
83.9%
19
16.1%
Q1 - 2:07MILIlyasova 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)25
81.1%
19
18.9%
Q1 - 2:13MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
83.8%
16
16.2%
Q1 - 2:14MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
84.6%
16
15.4%
Q1 - 2:23SASEllis STEAL (1 STL)25
83.8%
16
16.2%
Q1 - 2:28SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
84.9%
16
15.1%
Q1 - 2:30MILMISS Ilyasova 3' Hook Shot25
84.6%
16
15.4%
Q1 - 2:51SASDuncan 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)25
83.8%
16
16.2%
Q1 - 3:13MILEllis 1' Reverse Layup (8 PTS)23
82.6%
16
17.4%
Q1 - 3:31SASJackson Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)23
83.8%
14
16.2%
Q1 - 3:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
82.6%
14
17.4%
Q1 - 3:34MILMISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
82.1%
14
17.9%
Q1 - 3:48SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)21
81.1%
14
18.9%
Q1 - 3:53MILDunleavy Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)18
78.3%
14
21.7%
Q1 - 4:00MILEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
76.6%
14
23.4%
Q1 - 4:01SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot18
77.1%
14
22.9%
Q1 - 4:09SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
78.3%
14
21.7%
Q1 - 4:10MILSanders REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)18
76.6%
14
23.4%
Q1 - 4:10MILMISS Sanders 1' Tip Shot18
77.8%
14
22.2%
Q1 - 4:12MILMISS Jennings 13' Jump Shot18
77.8%
14
22.2%
Q1 - 4:34SASParker Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)18
76.6%
14
23.4%
Q1 - 4:38MILJennings Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)16
75.1%
14
24.9%
Q1 - 4:50MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
73.3%
14
26.7%
Q1 - 4:52SASMbah a Moute BLOCK (1 BLK)16
73.9%
14
26.1%
Q1 - 5:09MILEllis 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Sanders 1 AST)16
74.7%
14
25.3%
Q1 - 5:26SASGinobili 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)16
76.1%
12
23.9%
Q1 - 5:36MILSanders 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)14
74.7%
12
25.3%
Q1 - 5:45MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)14
76.2%
10
23.8%
Q1 - 5:47SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot14
76.7%
10
23.3%
Q1 - 6:02MILEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)14
77.5%
10
22.5%
Q1 - 6:11MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
75.9%
10
24.1%
Q1 - 6:13SASMISS Duncan Layup14
76.4%
10
23.6%
Q1 - 6:31MILJennings Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)14
77.5%
10
22.5%
Q1 - 6:32MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
75.9%
10
24.1%
Q1 - 6:35SASJennings BLOCK (1 BLK)14
76.4%
10
23.6%
Q1 - 6:49MILSanders 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)14
77.5%
10
22.5%
Q1 - 6:56MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
78.8%
8
21.2%
Q1 - 6:57MILMISS Mbah a Moute 1' Layup14
79.8%
8
20.2%
Q1 - 6:59MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
78.8%
8
21.2%
Q1 - 7:01MILMISS Ellis Driving Dunk14
79.7%
8
20.3%
Q1 - 7:02MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
78.6%
8
21.4%
Q1 - 7:04MILMISS Ellis 9' Jump Shot14
79.7%
8
20.3%
Q1 - 7:21SASLeonard Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)14
78.6%
8
21.4%
Q1 - 7:35SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
77.5%
8
22.5%
Q1 - 7:36MILMISS Mbah a Moute 17' Jump Shot12
77.0%
8
23.0%
Q1 - 8:03SASParker 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
76.3%
8
23.7%
Q1 - 8:11SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
75.0%
8
25.0%
Q1 - 8:12MILMISS Ellis 16' Jump Shot10
74.5%
8
25.5%
Q1 - 8:24SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)10
73.4%
8
26.6%
Q1 - 8:24SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 29
73.0%
8
27.0%
Q1 - 8:30MILSanders Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
73.5%
8
26.5%
Q1 - 8:37MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
71.9%
8
28.1%
Q1 - 8:38SASMISS Parker 5' Jump Shot9
72.4%
8
27.6%
Q1 - 8:51MILEllis 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)9
73.5%
8
26.5%
Q1 - 9:02MILDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
75.0%
6
25.0%
Q1 - 9:04SASSanders BLOCK (1 BLK)9
75.5%
6
24.5%
Q1 - 9:08MILJennings Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)9
76.5%
6
23.5%
Q1 - 9:20SASDuncan 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)9
75.0%
6
25.0%
Q1 - 9:37MILJennings 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
73.7%
6
26.3%
Q1 - 9:47MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
75.0%
4
25.0%
Q1 - 9:48SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot7
75.5%
4
24.5%
Q1 - 9:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
76.5%
4
23.5%
Q1 - 10:01MILMISS Daniels 17' Jump Shot7
75.9%
4
24.1%
Q1 - 10:22SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)7
74.8%
4
25.2%
Q1 - 10:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
73.7%
4
26.3%
Q1 - 10:31MILMISS Mbah a Moute 16' Jump Shot5
73.3%
4
26.7%
Q1 - 10:46SASDuncan 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
72.1%
4
27.9%
Q1 - 11:08MILSanders Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)3
70.9%
4
29.1%
Q1 - 11:08MILSanders Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
71.4%
3
28.6%
Q1 - 11:22SASGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)3
72.4%
2
27.6%
Q1 - 11:40MILEllis 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
69.5%
2
30.5%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Sanders vs. Duncan: Tip to Jennings0
71.0%
0
29.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.15 57.4%
MIL
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
23
42
55%
MIL
22
36
61%
Midrange
SAS
14
30
47%
MIL
16
35
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
9
13.5
17
53%
79%
MIL
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
Free Throws
SAS
16
23
70%
MIL
19
24
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2861%14.0 / 23
T. Parker2348%11.5 / 24
M. Ginobili1653%8.0 / 15
D. Green990%4.5 / 5
B. Diaw9113%4.5 / 4
S. Jackson844%4.0 / 9
G. Neal770%3.5 / 5
T. Splitter6100%3.0 / 3
M. Bonner583%2.5 / 3
K. Leonard433%2.0 / 6
P. Mills2100%1.0 / 1
D. Blair0-0.0 / 1
N. De Colo0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Jennings3157%15.5 / 27
J. Henson2091%10.0 / 11
M. Dunleavy1973%9.5 / 13
M. Ellis1843%9.0 / 21
L. Sanders660%3.0 / 5
M. Daniels542%2.5 / 6
L. Mbah a Moute433%2.0 / 6
E. Ilyasova330%1.5 / 5
E. Udoh233%1.0 / 3
D. Lamb250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
94
+8
-8
102
MIL
84
+15
-16
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.15 57.4%
MIL
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.8
103.6
SAS 114.7 +4.7
MIL 110.0
Pace
94.7
94.8
SAS 103.2 +4.4
MIL 98.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
15.4
SAS 14.0 +0.6
MIL 14.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.1%
47.6%
SAS 56.7% +5.0%
MIL 51.7%
TO %
14.8%
14.3%
SAS 7.5% +6.5%
MIL 14.0%
ORB %
20.7%
28.0%
SAS 19.0%
MIL 28.9% +9.9%
FTrt
25.8
23.6
SAS 25.8
MIL 27.3 +1.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.1%
60.0%
SAS 69.6% +13.8%
MIL 55.8%
STL %
8.9%
8.8%
SAS 7.8% +3.8%
MIL 4.0%
BLK %
8.1%
10.1%
SAS 4.2%
MIL 12.5% +8.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
49.7%
SAS 57.4% +2.9%
MIL 54.5%
Rim FG%
60.8%
54.6%
SAS 54.8%
MIL 61.1% +6.3%
Mid FG%
42.4%
36.8%
SAS 46.7% +1.0%
MIL 45.7%
3P %
37.6%
36.0%
SAS 52.9% +23.5%
MIL 29.4%
FT %
79.1%
73.6%
SAS 69.6%
MIL 79.2% +9.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.7%
38.4%
SAS 47.2% +6.3%
MIL 40.9%
Mid Att. %
35.9%
38.3%
SAS 33.7% +6.1%
MIL 39.8%
3P Att. %
26.4%
23.2%
SAS 19.1%
MIL 19.3% +0.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASMIL
Possessions102100
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points117110
Rebounds4047
Assists3224
Steals84
Blocks39
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (0)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (2)34 (3)
Field Goals46-8943-88
At-the-Rim FG23-4222-36
Midrange FG14-3016-35
2-Point FG37-7238-71
3-Point FG9-175-17
Free Throws16-2319-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 185 · 31
35.6
23
48%
3
11
2
0
3
2
1
2
2-2
100%
9-21
43%
1-2
50%
F · 6'11" 250 · 37
34.4
28
61%
13
6
1
3
1
3
3
10
6-7
86%
11-20
55%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 26
29.7
9
90%
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-4
75%
F · 6'7" 225 · 22
23.5
4
33%
5
0
1
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 245 · 28
18.9
6
100%
5
1
0
0
0
5
1
4
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 35
27.2
16
53%
2
6
2
0
1
3
1
1
4-6
67%
3-9
33%
2-3
67%
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31
22.9
9
113%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-3
100%
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 35
20.9
8
44%
3
4
1
0
2
2
1
2
0-2
0%
4-6
67%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 210 · 28
12.6
7
70%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33
7.3
5
83%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 195 · 26
1.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 185 · 24
1.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
#5 · G · 6'2" 200 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
117
57%
40
32
8
3
8
0
8
32
16-23
70%
37-72
51%
9-17
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.