FinalWin Prob.pScore
2417%93
109
283%106
119
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
103.810595.6
MIA logo MIA
113.310594.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALMIA
OT1 - 0:00.0MIA109
0%
119
100%
OT1 - 0:18.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)109
0.1%
119
99.9%
OT1 - 0:19.0DALMISS Collison 25' 3PT Jump Shot109
0.1%
119
99.9%
OT1 - 0:29.0DALJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)109
0.1%
119
99.9%
OT1 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2109
0.1%
119
99.9%
OT1 - 0:31.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)109
0.1%
119
99.9%
OT1 - 0:39.0DALWade STEAL (2 STL)109
0.1%
118
99.9%
OT1 - 0:48.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (32 PTS)109
0.1%
118
99.9%
OT1 - 1:05DALCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)109
0.8%
115
99.2%
OT1 - 1:05DALCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)108
0.7%
115
99.3%
OT1 - 1:12DALMavericks Rebound107
0.6%
115
99.4%
OT1 - 1:13DALMISS Nowitzki 11' Fadeaway Jumper107
0.4%
115
99.6%
OT1 - 1:34MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)107
0.9%
115
99.1%
OT1 - 1:34MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)107
1.0%
114
99.0%
OT1 - 1:55DALMayo 19' Jump Shot (30 PTS)107
1.8%
113
98.2%
OT1 - 2:06DALMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)105
1.4%
113
98.6%
OT1 - 2:07MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot105
1.1%
113
98.9%
OT1 - 2:22MIAHEAT Rebound105
0.7%
113
99.3%
OT1 - 2:23DALMISS Marion 9' Floating Jump Shot105
0.9%
113
99.1%
OT1 - 2:42MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 9 AST)105
1.4%
113
98.6%
OT1 - 3:04DALMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)105
3.7%
110
96.3%
OT1 - 3:04DALMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)104
3.4%
110
96.6%
OT1 - 3:21MIAWade 1' Dunk (26 PTS)103
2.6%
110
97.4%
OT1 - 3:24DALWade STEAL (1 STL)103
3.6%
108
96.4%
OT1 - 3:44MIAJames 17' Jump Bank Shot (29 PTS)103
7.5%
108
92.5%
OT1 - 4:09DALMarion Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)103
10.0%
106
90.0%
OT1 - 4:32MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)103
14.4%
106
85.6%
OT1 - 5:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Kaman: Tip to Wade103
26.1%
103
73.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0DALNowitzki 14' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS) (Collison 3 AST)103
38.6%
103
61.4%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 8 AST)101
13.9%
103
86.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)101
43.7%
100
56.3%
Q4 - 0:33.0DALMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot101
51.5%
100
48.5%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAAllen 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)101
62.5%
100
37.5%
Q4 - 0:46.0DALJames STEAL (3 STL)101
74.4%
98
25.6%
Q4 - 1:04DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)101
82.5%
98
17.5%
Q4 - 1:05MIAMISS James 1' Driving Layup101
79.0%
98
21.0%
Q4 - 1:13DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)101
68.0%
98
32.0%
Q4 - 1:13DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2100
66.9%
98
33.1%
Q4 - 1:18DALMavericks Rebound100
68.5%
98
31.5%
Q4 - 1:19DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Fadeaway Jumper100
57.9%
98
42.1%
Q4 - 1:38DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)100
64.2%
98
35.8%
Q4 - 1:39MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot100
59.9%
98
40.1%
Q4 - 1:58MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)100
49.3%
98
50.7%
Q4 - 1:59DALMISS Mayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
53.4%
98
46.6%
Q4 - 2:19MIAJames 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (27 PTS)100
64.8%
98
35.2%
Q4 - 2:34MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)100
72.2%
96
27.8%
Q4 - 2:35DALMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot100
76.0%
96
24.0%
Q4 - 3:02MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (24 PTS)100
78.8%
96
21.2%
Q4 - 3:10MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)100
84.2%
94
15.8%
Q4 - 3:11DALMISS Collison 14' Jump Shot100
86.3%
94
13.7%
Q4 - 3:25DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)100
90.3%
94
9.7%
Q4 - 3:26MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 2100
89.7%
94
10.3%
Q4 - 3:26MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 2100
86.8%
94
13.2%
Q4 - 3:37DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)100
76.8%
94
23.2%
Q4 - 4:01MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 7 AST)97
63.1%
94
36.9%
Q4 - 4:09DALMayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)97
78.0%
91
22.0%
Q4 - 4:22MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)94
63.4%
91
36.6%
Q4 - 4:29MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
53.1%
91
46.9%
Q4 - 4:30DALWade BLOCK (2 BLK)94
56.4%
91
43.6%
Q4 - 4:35MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)94
63.5%
91
36.5%
Q4 - 4:49DALBrand 2' Tip Shot (7 PTS)94
53.3%
91
46.7%
Q4 - 4:50DALBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)92
44.5%
91
55.5%
Q4 - 4:51DALMISS Carter 8' Jump Shot92
37.3%
91
62.7%
Q4 - 5:05MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)92
40.8%
91
59.2%
Q4 - 5:05MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)92
42.5%
90
57.5%
Q4 - 5:11MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)92
48.4%
89
51.6%
Q4 - 5:12DALMISS Mayo 3PT Jump Shot92
51.2%
89
48.8%
Q4 - 5:30DALMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)92
57.8%
89
42.2%
Q4 - 5:31MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
55.0%
89
45.0%
Q4 - 5:44DALMayo 18' Jump Shot (25 PTS)92
48.7%
89
51.3%
Q4 - 5:53MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (22 PTS)90
41.1%
89
58.9%
Q4 - 6:15DALMarion 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Mayo 6 AST)90
44.7%
87
55.3%
Q4 - 6:33DALJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
38.2%
87
61.8%
Q4 - 6:34MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot88
35.8%
87
64.2%
Q4 - 6:46DALMayo 29' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Kaman 2 AST)88
30.7%
87
69.3%
Q4 - 7:14DALMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)85
19.4%
87
80.6%
Q4 - 7:15MIAMISS Cole 3' Driving Layup85
18.0%
87
82.0%
Q4 - 7:39DALKaman 1' Tip Shot (14 PTS)85
15.1%
87
84.9%
Q4 - 7:41DALKaman REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)83
12.1%
87
87.9%
Q4 - 7:42DALMISS Kaman 4' Running Hook Shot83
10.1%
87
89.9%
Q4 - 8:01MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)83
12.6%
87
87.4%
Q4 - 8:14MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
15.7%
85
84.3%
Q4 - 8:15DALMISS Mayo 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
16.7%
85
83.3%
Q4 - 8:20DALCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
19.3%
85
80.7%
Q4 - 8:21MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot83
18.2%
85
81.8%
Q4 - 8:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)83
15.7%
85
84.3%
Q4 - 8:42DALMISS Kaman 18' Jump Shot83
16.7%
85
83.3%
Q4 - 8:58DALMavericks Rebound83
19.3%
85
80.7%
Q4 - 8:59MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot83
18.1%
85
81.9%
Q4 - 9:30DALMarion 9' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)83
16.0%
85
84.0%
Q4 - 9:54MIAWade 5' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS)81
12.9%
85
87.1%
Q4 - 10:11DALMayo 11' Jump Shot (20 PTS)81
15.9%
83
84.1%
Q4 - 10:23DALBeaubois REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
13.1%
83
86.9%
Q4 - 10:24MIAMISS Bosh 1' Alley Oop Layup79
12.3%
83
87.7%
Q4 - 10:28MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
10.7%
83
89.3%
Q4 - 10:29DALMISS Beaubois 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
11.4%
83
88.6%
Q4 - 10:41DALMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)79
13.1%
83
86.9%
Q4 - 10:42MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
12.3%
83
87.7%
Q4 - 10:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)79
10.7%
83
89.3%
Q4 - 10:58DALMISS Beaubois 10' Floating Jump Shot79
11.4%
83
88.6%
Q4 - 11:15MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)79
13.4%
83
86.6%
Q4 - 11:15MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)79
14.0%
82
86.0%
Q4 - 11:21MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
16.2%
81
83.8%
Q4 - 11:22MIAMISS Allen 7' Jump Shot79
18.3%
81
81.7%
Q4 - 11:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)79
16.1%
81
83.9%
Q4 - 11:43DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
17.0%
81
83.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL79
19.2%
81
80.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound79
19.2%
81
80.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Jones 32' 3PT Jump Shot79
17.0%
81
83.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)79
19.0%
81
81.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)79
16.2%
81
83.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0DALMISS Carter 1' Driving Layup79
17.0%
81
83.0%
Q3 - 0:13.0DALBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
19.0%
81
81.0%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
18.1%
81
81.9%
Q3 - 0:34.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)79
16.2%
81
83.8%
Q3 - 0:34.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)78
16.0%
81
84.0%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)77
13.5%
81
86.5%
Q3 - 1:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)77
18.8%
78
81.2%
Q3 - 1:15DALMISS Jones 1' Driving Layup77
19.8%
78
80.2%
Q3 - 1:20MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)77
22.0%
78
78.0%
Q3 - 1:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
18.9%
78
81.1%
Q3 - 1:32MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
21.0%
78
79.0%
Q3 - 1:49DALNowitzki 1' Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS)77
18.9%
78
81.1%
Q3 - 2:00DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)75
16.0%
78
84.0%
Q3 - 2:01MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
15.0%
78
85.0%
Q3 - 2:20DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Beaubois 1 AST)75
13.4%
78
86.6%
Q3 - 2:32MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P2.T6)72
9.7%
78
90.3%
Q3 - 2:46DALCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Brand 1 AST)72
8.1%
78
91.9%
Q3 - 3:02MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)69
5.9%
78
94.1%
Q3 - 3:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
6.9%
76
93.1%
Q3 - 3:18DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot69
7.3%
76
92.7%
Q3 - 3:36MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (James 6 AST)69
8.2%
76
91.8%
Q3 - 3:47DALHaslem STEAL (3 STL)69
9.6%
74
90.4%
Q3 - 4:02MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)69
11.5%
74
88.5%
Q3 - 4:18DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)69
15.1%
71
84.9%
Q3 - 4:38MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 5 AST)67
13.4%
71
86.6%
Q3 - 4:59DALJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mayo 5 AST)67
17.5%
68
82.5%
Q3 - 5:11MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)64
13.3%
68
86.7%
Q3 - 5:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
15.0%
66
85.0%
Q3 - 5:32DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
15.8%
66
84.2%
Q3 - 5:52MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)64
17.7%
66
82.3%
Q3 - 5:52MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)64
18.1%
65
81.9%
Q3 - 6:11DALCollison 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Kaman 1 AST)64
19.4%
64
80.6%
Q3 - 6:28MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)61
15.2%
64
84.8%
Q3 - 6:34DALChalmers STEAL (3 STL)61
17.0%
62
83.0%
Q3 - 6:41DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)61
19.8%
62
80.2%
Q3 - 6:42MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup61
18.9%
62
81.1%
Q3 - 7:04DALKaman 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)61
16.8%
62
83.2%
Q3 - 7:21MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)59
14.9%
62
85.1%
Q3 - 7:38DALCarter 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)59
16.8%
60
83.2%
Q3 - 7:47DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
14.9%
60
85.1%
Q3 - 7:48MIAMISS Chalmers 9' Jump Shot57
14.3%
60
85.7%
Q3 - 8:10DALCarter Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)57
12.8%
60
87.2%
Q3 - 8:16DALMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)54
10.0%
60
90.0%
Q3 - 8:17MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
9.5%
60
90.5%
Q3 - 8:44DALHaslem STEAL (2 STL)54
8.6%
60
91.4%
Q3 - 8:53MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)54
10.0%
60
90.0%
Q3 - 9:03MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
11.2%
58
88.8%
Q3 - 9:04DALMISS Kaman 6' Running Hook Shot54
11.7%
58
88.3%
Q3 - 9:25MIAJames 1' Dunk (18 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)54
12.8%
58
87.2%
Q3 - 9:30DALChalmers STEAL (2 STL)54
14.5%
56
85.5%
Q3 - 9:47MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)54
16.5%
56
83.5%
Q3 - 10:02DALKaman 1' Layup (10 PTS)54
13.9%
56
86.1%
Q3 - 10:15MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)52
12.4%
56
87.6%
Q3 - 10:15MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)52
12.8%
55
87.2%
Q3 - 10:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
14.0%
54
86.0%
Q3 - 10:21DALMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
14.5%
54
85.5%
Q3 - 10:37MIABosh 1' Alley Oop Layup (11 PTS) (James 4 AST)52
15.9%
54
84.1%
Q3 - 10:41MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)52
17.8%
52
82.2%
Q3 - 10:42DALBosh BLOCK (3 BLK)52
18.5%
52
81.5%
Q3 - 11:06MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)52
19.5%
52
80.5%
Q3 - 11:20MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)52
17.4%
52
82.6%
Q3 - 11:21DALMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
18.0%
52
82.0%
Q3 - 11:42MIABosh 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (James 3 AST)52
19.5%
52
80.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA52
21.7%
50
78.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0DALKaman 7' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Mayo 4 AST)52
21.8%
50
78.2%
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)50
19.0%
50
81.0%
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)50
19.5%
49
80.5%
Q2 - 0:31.0DALCarter 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)50
21.8%
48
78.2%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)48
19.0%
48
81.0%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)48
19.5%
47
80.5%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
21.7%
46
78.3%
Q2 - 0:53.0DALJames BLOCK (1 BLK)48
22.3%
46
77.7%
Q2 - 1:03MIAJump Ball James vs. Kaman: Tip to Mayo48
23.1%
46
76.9%
Q2 - 1:03MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot48
22.7%
46
77.3%
Q2 - 1:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
21.7%
46
78.3%
Q2 - 1:13DALMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
22.1%
46
77.9%
Q2 - 1:35MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)48
23.1%
46
76.9%
Q2 - 1:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
26.4%
44
73.6%
Q2 - 1:48MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup48
27.5%
44
72.5%
Q2 - 2:00MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
26.4%
44
73.6%
Q2 - 2:02DALMISS Mayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
25.9%
44
74.1%
Q2 - 2:05DALCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
27.6%
44
72.4%
Q2 - 2:06MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup48
26.9%
44
73.1%
Q2 - 2:24DALMayo 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)48
25.3%
44
74.7%
Q2 - 2:38MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)46
23.0%
44
77.0%
Q2 - 2:42DALJames STEAL (2 STL)46
27.7%
41
72.3%
Q2 - 2:50MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)46
30.2%
41
69.8%
Q2 - 2:55DALChalmers STEAL (1 STL)46
33.0%
39
67.0%
Q2 - 3:02DALKaman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)46
34.6%
39
65.4%
Q2 - 3:03MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup46
33.6%
39
66.4%
Q2 - 3:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
31.5%
39
68.5%
Q2 - 3:18DALWade BLOCK (1 BLK)46
32.5%
39
67.5%
Q2 - 3:38MIAJames Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)46
34.7%
39
65.3%
Q2 - 3:38DALKaman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)46
37.4%
38
62.6%
Q2 - 3:39MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
36.5%
38
63.5%
Q2 - 3:49DALHaslem STEAL (1 STL)46
34.2%
38
65.8%
Q2 - 4:04DALMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
35.8%
38
64.2%
Q2 - 4:05MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
35.0%
38
65.0%
Q2 - 4:21DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mayo 3 AST)46
33.0%
38
67.0%
Q2 - 4:46MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)44
30.8%
38
69.2%
Q2 - 4:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
35.7%
35
64.3%
Q2 - 4:48MIAMISS Wade 1' Tip Shot44
37.8%
35
62.2%
Q2 - 4:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
35.7%
35
64.3%
Q2 - 4:50MIAMISS James 2' Layup44
37.8%
35
62.2%
Q2 - 5:07DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)44
34.9%
35
65.1%
Q2 - 5:32MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)44
37.6%
35
62.4%
Q2 - 5:32MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 244
38.0%
34
62.0%
Q2 - 5:37MIAHEAT Rebound44
37.6%
34
62.4%
Q2 - 5:38MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
39.4%
34
60.6%
Q2 - 5:58DALMayo 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS)44
37.6%
34
62.4%
Q2 - 6:09MIAHEAT Turnover: Backcourt (T#3)42
34.2%
34
65.8%
Q2 - 6:17DALCollison Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)42
31.3%
34
68.7%
Q2 - 6:17DALMISS Collison Free Throw 1 of 241
31.0%
34
69.0%
Q2 - 6:19DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
31.8%
34
68.2%
Q2 - 6:20MIAMISS Cole 21' Jump Shot41
30.9%
34
69.1%
Q2 - 6:46MIAHEAT Rebound41
29.1%
34
70.9%
Q2 - 6:47DALMISS Carter 12' Jump Shot41
29.9%
34
70.1%
Q2 - 6:58DALKaman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)41
31.9%
34
68.1%
Q2 - 6:59MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup41
31.0%
34
69.0%
Q2 - 7:16DALMayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)41
28.2%
34
71.8%
Q2 - 7:35MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)38
24.4%
34
75.6%
Q2 - 7:48MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
28.3%
31
71.7%
Q2 - 7:49DALMISS Kaman 15' Jump Shot38
29.0%
31
71.0%
Q2 - 8:19MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)38
29.9%
31
70.1%
Q2 - 8:37DALMayo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)38
34.3%
28
65.7%
Q2 - 8:41DALMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)35
29.9%
28
70.1%
Q2 - 8:42DALMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
28.3%
28
71.7%
Q2 - 8:53MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)35
29.9%
28
70.1%
Q2 - 9:02MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
26.6%
28
73.4%
Q2 - 9:03DALBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)35
27.3%
28
72.7%
Q2 - 9:17MIACole 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)35
28.8%
28
71.2%
Q2 - 9:20MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
30.8%
26
69.2%
Q2 - 9:21DALMISS Beaubois 10' Running Jump Shot35
31.5%
26
68.5%
Q2 - 9:30MIACole 7' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)35
33.1%
26
66.9%
Q2 - 10:01DALMayo 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)35
34.8%
24
65.2%
Q2 - 10:15DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
32.9%
24
67.1%
Q2 - 10:16MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
32.1%
24
67.9%
Q2 - 10:36DALBeaubois 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mayo 2 AST)33
30.4%
24
69.6%
Q2 - 10:44DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
26.7%
24
73.3%
Q2 - 10:45MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
26.0%
24
74.0%
Q2 - 10:53MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
24.5%
24
75.5%
Q2 - 10:54DALMISS Jones 11' Jump Shot30
25.2%
24
74.8%
Q2 - 11:17DALBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
26.4%
24
73.6%
Q2 - 11:18MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 230
26.1%
24
73.9%
Q2 - 11:18MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 230
25.0%
24
75.0%
Q2 - 11:19MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
24.5%
24
75.5%
Q2 - 11:20MIAMISS Cole 2' Driving Layup30
25.8%
24
74.2%
Q2 - 11:26MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
24.5%
24
75.5%
Q2 - 11:27DALMISS Brand 13' Jump Shot30
25.1%
24
74.9%
Q2 - 11:44MIAAllen 1' Driving Reverse Layup (5 PTS)30
26.4%
24
73.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL30
28.3%
22
71.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound30
30.4%
22
69.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0DALMISS Mayo 22' Jump Shot30
28.5%
22
71.5%
Q1 - 0:10.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
29.5%
22
70.5%
Q1 - 0:10.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
30.0%
21
70.0%
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
32.0%
20
68.0%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Cole 5' Jump Shot30
33.1%
20
66.9%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
32.0%
20
68.0%
Q1 - 0:32.0DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Fadeaway Jumper30
32.5%
20
67.5%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAJames 11' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)30
33.7%
20
66.3%
Q1 - 1:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
35.5%
18
64.5%
Q1 - 1:06DALMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 230
35.7%
18
64.3%
Q1 - 1:06DALJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
37.2%
18
62.8%
Q1 - 1:14DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
34.9%
18
65.1%
Q1 - 1:15MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot29
34.5%
18
65.5%
Q1 - 1:33DALBrand 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)29
33.4%
18
66.6%
Q1 - 1:54DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
30.9%
18
69.1%
Q1 - 1:55MIAMISS Anthony 8' Jump Shot27
30.5%
18
69.5%
Q1 - 2:15DALBrand Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)27
28.9%
18
71.1%
Q1 - 2:20DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
25.2%
18
74.8%
Q1 - 2:21MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
24.7%
18
75.3%
Q1 - 2:37DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
23.6%
18
76.4%
Q1 - 2:54DALMavericks Rebound22
21.9%
18
78.1%
Q1 - 2:55DALBattier BLOCK (2 BLK)22
20.9%
18
79.1%
Q1 - 3:01DALCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
21.5%
18
78.5%
Q1 - 3:02MIAMISS James 3' Hook Shot22
21.0%
18
79.0%
Q1 - 3:16DALMayo 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
20.0%
18
80.0%
Q1 - 3:32MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)20
18.7%
18
81.3%
Q1 - 3:39MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
21.5%
15
78.5%
Q1 - 3:40DALMISS Nowitzki 1' Layup20
22.0%
15
78.0%
Q1 - 3:52DALKaman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)20
23.1%
15
76.9%
Q1 - 3:53MIAMISS James 6' Jump Shot20
22.6%
15
77.4%
Q1 - 4:11DALKaman Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
20.8%
15
79.2%
Q1 - 4:11DALKaman Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
20.5%
15
79.5%
Q1 - 4:12DALKaman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)18
19.5%
15
80.5%
Q1 - 4:14DALMISS Marion 3' Layup18
18.5%
15
81.5%
Q1 - 4:15DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)18
19.5%
15
80.5%
Q1 - 4:16DALBattier BLOCK (1 BLK)18
18.5%
15
81.5%
Q1 - 4:17DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
19.5%
15
80.5%
Q1 - 4:18DALBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)18
18.5%
15
81.5%
Q1 - 4:33MIAChalmers 1' Layup (2 PTS)18
19.5%
15
80.5%
Q1 - 4:37MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
20.8%
13
79.2%
Q1 - 4:38DALMISS Mayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
21.3%
13
78.7%
Q1 - 4:47DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
22.4%
13
77.6%
Q1 - 4:48MIAMISS James 1' Layup18
21.9%
13
78.1%
Q1 - 4:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
20.8%
13
79.2%
Q1 - 4:53DALMISS Mayo 15' Jump Shot18
21.3%
13
78.7%
Q1 - 5:16MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)18
21.9%
13
78.1%
Q1 - 5:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
23.3%
11
76.7%
Q1 - 5:22DALMISS Marion 5' Hook Shot18
23.8%
11
76.2%
Q1 - 5:39MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)18
24.9%
11
75.1%
Q1 - 5:45MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
26.5%
9
73.5%
Q1 - 5:46DALMISS Kaman 1' Tip Shot18
27.0%
9
73.0%
Q1 - 5:47DALKaman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
28.2%
9
71.8%
Q1 - 5:48DALMISS Collison 15' Jump Shot18
27.0%
9
73.0%
Q1 - 6:09MIAWade 1' Layup (6 PTS)18
27.1%
9
72.9%
Q1 - 6:26DALCollison Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)18
28.6%
7
71.4%
Q1 - 6:29DALKaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
25.6%
7
74.4%
Q1 - 6:30MIAMISS Wade 9' Floating Jump Shot15
25.1%
7
74.9%
Q1 - 6:46DALJames STEAL (1 STL)15
24.0%
7
76.0%
Q1 - 6:54DALMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
25.6%
7
74.4%
Q1 - 6:55MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot15
25.1%
7
74.9%
Q1 - 7:10DALKaman 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)15
23.1%
7
76.9%
Q1 - 7:26MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
22.0%
7
78.0%
Q1 - 7:26MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
22.3%
6
77.7%
Q1 - 7:32DALBattier STEAL (1 STL)13
23.1%
5
76.9%
Q1 - 7:44DALKaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
24.8%
5
75.2%
Q1 - 7:45MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot13
24.3%
5
75.7%
Q1 - 7:58DALCarter Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)13
23.1%
5
76.9%
Q1 - 7:59DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
20.7%
5
79.3%
Q1 - 8:00DALMISS Carter 2' Layup10
19.7%
5
80.3%
Q1 - 8:15DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
20.0%
5
80.0%
Q1 - 8:16MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Reverse Layup10
19.6%
5
80.4%
Q1 - 8:27DALMayo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
18.8%
5
81.2%
Q1 - 8:27DALMayo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
18.6%
5
81.4%
Q1 - 8:30DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
17.7%
5
82.3%
Q1 - 8:31MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
17.4%
5
82.6%
Q1 - 8:42DALCollison 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)8
16.6%
5
83.4%
Q1 - 8:48MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
15.6%
5
84.4%
Q1 - 8:57MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
14.6%
5
85.4%
Q1 - 8:58DALMISS Kaman 6' Jump Hook Shot6
14.9%
5
85.1%
Q1 - 9:16DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
15.5%
5
84.5%
Q1 - 9:17MIAMISS Haslem 4' Hook Shot6
15.1%
5
84.9%
Q1 - 9:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
14.4%
5
85.6%
Q1 - 9:44DALMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
14.7%
5
85.3%
Q1 - 10:03DALKaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
15.3%
5
84.7%
Q1 - 10:04MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot6
15.0%
5
85.0%
Q1 - 10:27DALCollison 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)6
14.3%
5
85.7%
Q1 - 10:37MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)4
13.6%
5
86.4%
Q1 - 10:49MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
15.2%
2
84.8%
Q1 - 10:50DALMISS Marion 17' Jump Shot4
15.5%
2
84.5%
Q1 - 11:02DALCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
15.6%
2
84.4%
Q1 - 11:03MIAMISS Wade 4' Hook Shot4
15.4%
2
84.6%
Q1 - 11:12DALKaman 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mayo 1 AST)4
14.9%
2
85.1%
Q1 - 11:23MIAWade 10' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
14.0%
2
86.0%
Q1 - 11:42DALMayo 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
14.9%
0
85.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Kaman: Tip to Collison0
14.0%
0
86.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.04 51.9%
MIA
1.12 56.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
13
26
50%
MIA
21
38
55%
Midrange
DAL
18
40
45%
MIA
11
25
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
10
15.0
28
36%
54%
MIA
10
15.0
26
38%
58%
Free Throws
DAL
17
20
85%
MIA
25
31
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
O. Mayo3068%15.0 / 22
D. Nowitzki1956%9.5 / 17
V. Carter1544%7.5 / 17
C. Kaman1450%7.0 / 14
D. Collison1155%5.5 / 10
E. Brand788%3.5 / 4
S. Marion633%3.0 / 9
D. Jones440%2.0 / 5
R. Beaubois338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3267%16.0 / 24
D. Wade2756%13.5 / 24
C. Bosh1777%8.5 / 11
R. Allen1568%7.5 / 11
M. Chalmers950%4.5 / 9
S. Battier660%3.0 / 5
U. Haslem450%2.0 / 4
N. Cole429%2.0 / 7
M. Miller350%1.5 / 3
J. Anthony233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
92
+13
-13
105
MIA
96
+9
-9
105
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.04 51.9%
MIA
1.12 56.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.1
112.1
DAL 103.8
MIA 113.3 +9.5
Pace
94.0
90.9
DAL 95.6 +1.0
MIA 94.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
16.0
DAL 15.1 +0.2
MIA 15.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
55.2%
DAL 48.9%
MIA 52.8% +3.9%
TO %
14.2%
14.5%
DAL 12.0%
MIA 8.9% +3.1%
ORB %
22.0%
22.2%
DAL 17.0% +1.8%
MIA 15.2%
FTrt
24.2
29.7
DAL 21.3
MIA 34.8 +13.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.9%
60.0%
DAL 46.3%
MIA 50.0% +3.7%
STL %
8.3%
9.5%
DAL 6.7%
MIA 11.4% +4.7%
BLK %
8.9%
9.1%
DAL 7.9%
MIA 12.1% +4.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
57.0%
DAL 51.9%
MIA 56.1% +4.2%
Rim FG%
58.5%
65.9%
DAL 50.0%
MIA 55.3% +5.3%
Mid FG%
42.4%
41.9%
DAL 45.0% +1.0%
MIA 44.0%
3P %
37.2%
39.6%
DAL 35.7%
MIA 38.5% +2.8%
FT %
79.3%
75.4%
DAL 85.0% +4.4%
MIA 80.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.0%
34.8%
DAL 27.7%
MIA 42.7% +15.0%
Mid Att. %
45.4%
36.7%
DAL 42.6%
MIA 28.1% +14.5%
3P Att. %
23.6%
28.5%
DAL 29.8% +0.6%
MIA 29.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsDALMIA
Possessions105105
Possession Minutes26.426.6
Points109119
Rebounds4746
Assists1921
Steals712
Blocks58
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (5)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (2)39 (2)
Field Goals41-9442-89
At-the-Rim FG13-2621-38
Midrange FG18-4011-25
2-Point FG31-6632-63
3-Point FG10-2810-26
Free Throws17-2025-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
46.0
30
68%
3
6
2
0
6
3
0
3
2-2
100%
8-11
73%
4-10
40%
G · 6'2" 185 · 25
40.1
11
55%
4
3
1
0
1
2
0
4
2-3
67%
3-7
43%
1-2
50%
F · 6'6" 220 · 36
36.1
15
44%
9
3
1
1
3
3
1
8
4-4
100%
4-8
50%
1-8
13%
F · 6'7" 228 · 35
32.5
6
33%
9
1
1
0
1
1
3
6
2-2
100%
2-8
25%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 265 · 31
28.5
14
50%
10
2
0
3
0
5
3
7
2-2
100%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35
29.2
19
56%
6
1
0
0
2
3
0
6
3-4
75%
5-11
45%
2-4
50%
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32
21.1
4
40%
2
1
2
0
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 254 · 34
17.1
7
88%
3
1
0
0
0
3
1
2
1-1
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 25
13.4
3
38%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'7" 210 · 26
0.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 235 · 28
0.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 235 · 22
G · 6'5" 215 · 24
#34 · F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · G · 6'4" 194 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
109
52%
47
19
7
5
13
0
8
39
17-20
85%
31-66
47%
10-28
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.