FinalWin Prob.pScore
470%101
112
2730%94
110
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
120.49386.3
ORL logo ORL
119.69281.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
OT1 - 0:00.0MIA112
100%
110
0%
OT1 - 0:00.0ORLTurkoglu 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Redick 5 AST)112
99.9%
110
0.1%
OT1 - 0:02.0ORLMcRoberts 1' Layup (12 PTS)110
98.6%
108
1.4%
OT1 - 0:02.0ORLMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)110
99.5%
106
0.5%
OT1 - 0:03.0ORLMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot110
99.8%
106
0.2%
OT1 - 0:06.0MIAWade 1' Slam Dunk (21 PTS)110
98.8%
106
1.2%
OT1 - 0:09.0ORLRedick Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)108
96.4%
106
3.6%
OT1 - 0:22.0ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:11 Def:18)108
86.0%
106
14.0%
OT1 - 0:22.0MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot108
89.7%
106
10.3%
OT1 - 0:46.0ORLTurkoglu Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T16)108
91.6%
106
8.4%
OT1 - 1:07MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (34 PTS)108
81.5%
106
18.5%
OT1 - 1:25ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)106
71.8%
106
28.2%
OT1 - 1:25ORLMAGIC Rebound106
57.6%
106
42.4%
OT1 - 1:26ORLMISS McRoberts 40' 3PT Jump Shot106
67.8%
106
32.2%
OT1 - 1:51MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)106
59.0%
106
41.0%
OT1 - 1:51MIAHeat Rebound105
59.9%
106
40.1%
OT1 - 1:51MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2105
56.6%
106
43.4%
OT1 - 1:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)105
59.9%
106
40.1%
OT1 - 1:51MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot105
50.9%
106
49.1%
OT1 - 1:55MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)105
59.9%
106
40.1%
OT1 - 1:56MIAMISS James 17' Fadeaway Jumper105
50.7%
106
49.3%
OT1 - 2:11ORLRedick 2' Layup (23 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)105
62.0%
106
38.0%
OT1 - 2:25ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:11 Def:17)105
69.7%
104
30.3%
OT1 - 2:26MIAHeat Rebound105
81.4%
104
18.6%
OT1 - 2:26MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2105
71.5%
104
28.5%
OT1 - 2:26MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2105
77.4%
104
22.6%
OT1 - 2:36ORLRedick 3' Driving Layup (21 PTS)105
81.5%
104
18.5%
OT1 - 2:45ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)105
86.0%
102
14.0%
OT1 - 2:46MIAVucevic BLOCK (2 BLK)105
88.2%
102
11.8%
OT1 - 3:04MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)105
90.8%
102
9.2%
OT1 - 3:05ORLMISS Vucevic Free Throw 2 of 2105
90.2%
102
9.8%
OT1 - 3:05ORLVucevic Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)105
88.0%
102
12.0%
OT1 - 3:19MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)105
90.0%
101
10.0%
OT1 - 3:19MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)104
89.1%
101
10.9%
OT1 - 3:37ORLAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)103
83.6%
101
16.4%
OT1 - 3:37ORLAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)103
84.3%
100
15.7%
OT1 - 3:57MIAJames 7' Jump Shot (30 PTS)103
87.9%
99
12.1%
OT1 - 4:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)101
83.9%
99
16.1%
OT1 - 4:18ORLMISS Turkoglu 20' Step Back Jump Shot101
82.1%
99
17.9%
OT1 - 4:40MIAJames 11' Jump Shot (28 PTS)101
77.4%
99
22.6%
OT1 - 5:00ORLJump Ball McRoberts vs. Bosh: Tip to James99
70.7%
99
29.3%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)99
75.6%
99
24.4%
Q4 - 0:14.0ORLMISS Afflalo 12' Pullup Jump Shot99
67.4%
99
32.6%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)99
50.7%
99
49.3%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAHeat Rebound97
33.5%
99
66.5%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIATurkoglu BLOCK (1 BLK)97
19.8%
99
80.2%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)97
38.0%
99
62.0%
Q4 - 0:44.0ORLMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
32.4%
99
67.6%
Q4 - 1:03MIABosh 2' Layup (20 PTS) (James 11 AST)97
25.9%
99
74.1%
Q4 - 1:07ORLVucevic 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Redick 4 AST)95
17.4%
99
82.6%
Q4 - 1:27MIAWade 11' Jump Bank Shot (18 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)95
31.2%
97
68.8%
Q4 - 1:36ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)93
23.7%
97
76.3%
Q4 - 1:46ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:11 Def:16)93
16.4%
97
83.6%
Q4 - 1:47MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
18.9%
97
81.1%
Q4 - 2:12ORLAfflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Turkoglu 8 AST)93
27.4%
97
72.6%
Q4 - 2:28MIAWade 1' Layup (16 PTS) (James 10 AST)93
46.4%
94
53.6%
Q4 - 2:45ORLAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)91
38.5%
94
61.5%
Q4 - 2:50ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:11 Def:15)91
58.5%
91
41.5%
Q4 - 2:51MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
63.7%
91
36.3%
Q4 - 3:16ORLVucevic 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Redick 3 AST)91
72.4%
91
27.6%
Q4 - 3:36MIAJames 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (26 PTS)91
77.0%
89
23.0%
Q4 - 3:59MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
62.2%
89
37.8%
Q4 - 3:59ORLMISS Afflalo 15' Jump Shot88
59.1%
89
40.9%
Q4 - 4:17MIAWade 2' Layup (14 PTS)88
51.6%
89
48.4%
Q4 - 4:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
43.0%
89
57.0%
Q4 - 4:20MIAMISS Wade 6' Driving Jump Shot86
35.9%
89
64.1%
Q4 - 4:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
42.8%
89
57.2%
Q4 - 4:36ORLMISS Redick 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
39.7%
89
60.3%
Q4 - 4:57MIABosh 2' Layup (18 PTS) (James 9 AST)86
32.6%
89
67.4%
Q4 - 5:12ORLAfflalo 18' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS) (McRoberts 3 AST)84
30.6%
89
69.4%
Q4 - 5:35ORLMAGIC Rebound84
37.3%
87
62.7%
Q4 - 5:37MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot84
39.9%
87
60.1%
Q4 - 5:50MIAHeat Rebound84
46.2%
87
53.8%
Q4 - 5:50MIAMISS Allen 3' Jump Shot84
39.9%
87
60.1%
Q4 - 6:16ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:11 Def:14)84
49.5%
87
50.5%
Q4 - 6:16ORLVucevic 1' Tip Shot (15 PTS)84
49.5%
87
50.5%
Q4 - 6:17ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:10 Def:14)84
56.3%
85
43.7%
Q4 - 6:17ORLMISS Vucevic 1' Tip Shot84
61.8%
85
38.2%
Q4 - 6:18ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:9 Def:14)84
56.3%
85
43.7%
Q4 - 6:18ORLMISS Vucevic 3' Tip Shot84
61.8%
85
38.2%
Q4 - 6:19ORLMISS Vucevic 2' Tip Shot84
61.8%
85
38.2%
Q4 - 6:21ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:8 Def:14)84
56.3%
85
43.7%
Q4 - 6:22ORLMISS McRoberts 3' Layup84
61.8%
85
38.2%
Q4 - 6:38ORLMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
56.2%
85
43.8%
Q4 - 6:39MIAMISS Miller 2' Reverse Layup84
58.7%
85
41.3%
Q4 - 6:42MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
64.1%
85
35.9%
Q4 - 6:44MIAMISS James 19' Fadeaway Jumper84
58.6%
85
41.4%
Q4 - 6:58MIAAnthony Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (8 PTS)84
64.1%
85
35.9%
Q4 - 6:58MIAAnthony Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (7 PTS)83
62.0%
85
38.0%
Q4 - 7:07MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
52.4%
85
47.6%
Q4 - 7:08ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
50.1%
85
49.9%
Q4 - 7:15ORLMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
44.9%
85
55.1%
Q4 - 7:16MIAMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
47.1%
85
52.9%
Q4 - 7:36ORLAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)82
52.3%
85
47.7%
Q4 - 7:36ORLAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)82
53.3%
84
46.7%
Q4 - 7:49ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:7 Def:14)82
58.5%
83
41.5%
Q4 - 7:51MIAMISS Miller 27' 3PT Jump Shot82
60.7%
83
39.3%
Q4 - 8:17ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (19 PTS) (Turkoglu 7 AST)82
66.1%
83
33.9%
Q4 - 8:47MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)82
76.5%
80
23.5%
Q4 - 9:07ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)79
66.3%
80
33.7%
Q4 - 9:12ORLMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
76.2%
77
23.8%
Q4 - 9:12ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
79.0%
77
21.0%
Q4 - 9:36MIAJames Slam Dunk (23 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)79
76.2%
77
23.8%
Q4 - 9:42ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)77
71.5%
77
28.5%
Q4 - 10:01MIAMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 8 AST)77
66.8%
77
33.2%
Q4 - 10:16ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)74
56.1%
77
43.9%
Q4 - 10:34ORLMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
50.4%
77
49.6%
Q4 - 10:35MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot74
52.1%
77
47.9%
Q4 - 10:59ORLRedick Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)74
56.0%
77
44.0%
Q4 - 11:16MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)74
51.3%
77
48.7%
Q4 - 11:16MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)73
50.1%
77
49.9%
Q4 - 11:21MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
45.9%
77
54.1%
Q4 - 11:21ORLMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot72
44.3%
77
55.7%
Q4 - 11:43MIAAllen 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 7 AST)72
40.6%
77
59.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL70
35.5%
77
64.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAAnthony 3' Layup (6 PTS)70
30.8%
77
69.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)68
28.4%
77
71.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
25.8%
77
74.2%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
28.3%
77
71.7%
Q3 - 0:19.0ORLMISS Vucevic 7' Hook Shot68
27.1%
77
72.9%
Q3 - 0:25.0ORLMAGIC Rebound68
24.5%
77
75.5%
Q3 - 0:25.0ORLMISS Smith 1' Driving Layup68
27.1%
77
72.9%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (19 PTS)68
24.5%
77
75.5%
Q3 - 0:50.0ORLMcRoberts 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)66
20.7%
77
79.3%
Q3 - 1:13MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)66
26.3%
75
73.7%
Q3 - 1:13MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 265
25.3%
75
74.7%
Q3 - 1:34ORLAfflalo 10' Step Back Jump Shot (16 PTS)65
26.1%
75
73.9%
Q3 - 1:57ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:7 Def:13)65
30.1%
73
69.9%
Q3 - 1:57MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup65
31.4%
73
68.6%
Q3 - 2:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
36.6%
73
63.4%
Q3 - 2:05ORLMISS Afflalo 2' Driving Layup65
35.2%
73
64.8%
Q3 - 2:17MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)65
32.2%
73
67.8%
Q3 - 2:17MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)64
31.3%
73
68.7%
Q3 - 2:38ORLAfflalo 2' Running Layup (14 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)63
28.3%
73
71.7%
Q3 - 2:44ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:7 Def:12)63
32.1%
71
67.9%
Q3 - 2:46MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot63
33.4%
71
66.6%
Q3 - 2:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
36.4%
71
63.6%
Q3 - 2:54ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper63
35.0%
71
65.0%
Q3 - 3:19MIAWade 9' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)63
34.4%
71
65.6%
Q3 - 3:41ORLAfflalo 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS)61
30.5%
71
69.5%
Q3 - 4:02MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)61
35.3%
69
64.7%
Q3 - 4:18ORLMcRoberts 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Turkoglu 6 AST)59
32.1%
69
67.9%
Q3 - 4:43MIABosh 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)59
35.3%
67
64.7%
Q3 - 5:01ORLJones 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)57
33.4%
67
66.6%
Q3 - 5:21ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:7 Def:11)57
36.6%
65
63.4%
Q3 - 5:22MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
37.9%
65
62.1%
Q3 - 5:36ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)57
41.1%
65
58.9%
Q3 - 6:07MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)57
50.3%
62
49.7%
Q3 - 6:21ORLNicholson 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Vucevic 2 AST)55
46.8%
62
53.2%
Q3 - 6:41ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:7 Def:10)55
50.2%
60
49.8%
Q3 - 6:41MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
51.6%
60
48.4%
Q3 - 6:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)55
54.7%
60
45.3%
Q3 - 6:57ORLMISS Nicholson Free Throw 1 of 155
54.1%
60
45.9%
Q3 - 6:57ORLNicholson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)55
58.1%
58
41.9%
Q3 - 6:57ORLMISS Afflalo 13' Jump Shot55
61.1%
58
38.9%
Q3 - 7:04ORLNicholson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
58.8%
58
41.2%
Q3 - 7:05MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot55
60.0%
58
40.0%
Q3 - 7:21ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)55
62.7%
58
37.3%
Q3 - 7:27MIAAfflalo STEAL (1 STL)55
66.0%
56
34.0%
Q3 - 7:45ORLAfflalo Foul Turnover (P2.T10)55
69.6%
56
30.4%
Q3 - 8:05ORLMAGIC Rebound55
66.2%
56
33.8%
Q3 - 8:05MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot55
67.4%
56
32.6%
Q3 - 8:28ORLAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)55
69.8%
56
30.2%
Q3 - 8:28ORLAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
70.3%
55
29.7%
Q3 - 8:37ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
72.6%
54
27.4%
Q3 - 8:39MIAMISS Wade 8' Hook Shot55
73.6%
54
26.4%
Q3 - 8:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
75.8%
54
24.2%
Q3 - 8:56ORLMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
74.8%
54
25.2%
Q3 - 9:18MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS)55
72.8%
54
27.2%
Q3 - 9:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
70.0%
54
30.0%
Q3 - 9:31ORLMISS Turkoglu 2' Driving Layup53
68.9%
54
31.1%
Q3 - 9:58MIAHaslem 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)53
66.6%
54
33.4%
Q3 - 10:10MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
64.6%
54
35.4%
Q3 - 10:10ORLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot51
63.5%
54
36.5%
Q3 - 10:15ORLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)51
61.0%
54
39.0%
Q3 - 10:16ORLMISS Jones 8' Jump Shot51
63.5%
54
36.5%
Q3 - 10:39MIABosh 12' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)51
60.9%
54
39.1%
Q3 - 10:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
57.7%
54
42.3%
Q3 - 10:56ORLMISS Afflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
56.6%
54
43.4%
Q3 - 11:18ORLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
55.6%
54
44.4%
Q3 - 11:20MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 249
56.1%
54
43.9%
Q3 - 11:20MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)49
58.2%
54
41.8%
Q3 - 11:38MIAHeat Rebound48
55.7%
54
44.3%
Q3 - 11:40ORLMISS Nicholson 18' Jump Shot48
54.6%
54
45.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA48
52.1%
54
47.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound48
55.7%
54
44.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 53' 3PT Jump Shot48
53.2%
54
46.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0ORLTurkoglu 18' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)48
56.3%
54
43.7%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)48
60.3%
52
39.7%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)47
59.7%
52
40.3%
Q2 - 0:36.0ORLJones Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T9)46
56.2%
52
43.8%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAWade 1' Running Dunk (4 PTS) (James 6 AST)46
53.8%
52
46.2%
Q2 - 1:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
50.4%
52
49.6%
Q2 - 1:04ORLMISS Vucevic Free Throw 2 of 244
50.1%
52
49.9%
Q2 - 1:04ORLVucevic Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)44
48.3%
52
51.7%
Q2 - 1:13MIAVucevic STEAL (3 STL)44
51.5%
51
48.5%
Q2 - 1:34ORLMcRoberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)44
53.5%
51
46.5%
Q2 - 1:34ORLMcRoberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)44
54.4%
50
45.6%
Q2 - 1:34ORLMAGIC Rebound44
57.8%
49
42.2%
Q2 - 1:34ORLMISS Turkoglu 2' Driving Layup44
59.2%
49
40.8%
Q2 - 1:39ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
57.8%
49
42.2%
Q2 - 1:40MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot44
58.4%
49
41.6%
Q2 - 1:47MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
59.8%
49
40.2%
Q2 - 1:48MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 244
58.1%
49
41.9%
Q2 - 1:48MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 244
60.2%
49
39.8%
Q2 - 1:48MIAHeat Rebound44
59.8%
49
40.2%
Q2 - 1:49MIAMISS Bosh 10' Jump Shot44
58.4%
49
41.6%
Q2 - 2:06ORLAfflalo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)44
61.1%
49
38.9%
Q2 - 2:08ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:7 Def:9)44
58.0%
49
42.0%
Q2 - 2:09MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Reverse Layup44
58.9%
49
41.1%
Q2 - 2:33ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)44
61.0%
49
39.0%
Q2 - 2:33ORLVucevic Tip Shot (12 PTS)44
61.0%
49
39.0%
Q2 - 2:35ORLMISS Vucevic 2' Layup44
65.8%
47
34.2%
Q2 - 2:38ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
63.9%
47
36.1%
Q2 - 2:39MIAAfflalo BLOCK (1 BLK)44
64.8%
47
35.2%
Q2 - 2:52MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
66.7%
47
33.3%
Q2 - 2:52ORLMISS Vucevic 15' Jump Shot44
65.8%
47
34.2%
Q2 - 3:08MIAWade 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)44
64.6%
47
35.4%
Q2 - 3:24ORLVucevic 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)42
62.2%
47
37.8%
Q2 - 3:34ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)42
64.5%
45
35.5%
Q2 - 3:35ORLMISS McRoberts 3' Jump Shot42
66.7%
45
33.3%
Q2 - 3:56ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)42
64.5%
45
35.5%
Q2 - 3:58MIAMISS Haslem Layup42
65.5%
45
34.5%
Q2 - 4:09MIAHeat Rebound42
68.0%
45
32.0%
Q2 - 4:10ORLMISS McRoberts 28' 3PT Jump Shot42
67.2%
45
32.8%
Q2 - 4:33MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)42
65.2%
45
34.8%
Q2 - 4:33MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)41
64.6%
45
35.4%
Q2 - 4:52ORLRedick 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)40
62.8%
45
37.2%
Q2 - 4:59MIAVucevic STEAL (2 STL)40
67.8%
42
32.2%
Q2 - 5:09ORLMcRoberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
70.8%
42
29.2%
Q2 - 5:09ORLMcRoberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
71.4%
41
28.6%
Q2 - 5:20ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)40
73.1%
40
26.9%
Q2 - 5:21MIAMISS Bosh 9' Hook Shot40
73.8%
40
26.2%
Q2 - 5:41ORLRedick 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)40
75.3%
40
24.7%
Q2 - 5:55ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)40
77.3%
38
22.7%
Q2 - 5:58MIAVucevic BLOCK (1 BLK)40
77.9%
38
22.1%
Q2 - 6:20ORLAfflalo 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)40
79.3%
38
20.7%
Q2 - 6:26ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
80.7%
36
19.3%
Q2 - 6:27MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
81.4%
36
18.6%
Q2 - 6:43ORLRedick 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Vucevic 1 AST)40
82.7%
36
17.3%
Q2 - 7:05MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)40
85.3%
33
14.7%
Q2 - 7:08MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
82.6%
33
17.4%
Q2 - 7:10MIAMISS Cole 1' Layup37
81.4%
33
18.6%
Q2 - 7:15ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)37
82.6%
33
17.4%
Q2 - 7:23MIABosh 3' Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)37
80.8%
33
19.2%
Q2 - 7:42ORLMcRoberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)35
79.3%
33
20.7%
Q2 - 7:42ORLMcRoberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)35
79.7%
32
20.3%
Q2 - 7:56MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)35
80.8%
31
19.2%
Q2 - 7:56MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)34
80.5%
31
19.5%
Q2 - 8:15ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)33
79.1%
31
20.9%
Q2 - 8:15ORLVucevic Tip Shot (8 PTS)33
79.1%
31
20.9%
Q2 - 8:18ORLMISS Redick 3PT Jump Shot33
81.8%
29
18.2%
Q2 - 8:35ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
80.7%
29
19.3%
Q2 - 8:36MIAMISS Bosh 13' Turnaround Jump Shot33
81.2%
29
18.8%
Q2 - 8:59ORLVucevic 2' Layup (6 PTS)33
82.3%
29
17.7%
Q2 - 9:00ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)33
83.7%
27
16.3%
Q2 - 9:02ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)33
83.6%
27
16.4%
Q2 - 9:02ORLMISS Vucevic 1' Tip Shot33
84.6%
27
15.4%
Q2 - 9:04ORLMISS Afflalo Free Throw 2 of 233
84.9%
27
15.1%
Q2 - 9:04ORLAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)33
83.9%
27
16.1%
Q2 - 9:07MIAVucevic STEAL (1 STL)33
85.0%
26
15.0%
Q2 - 9:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
86.3%
26
13.7%
Q2 - 9:16ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
85.9%
26
14.1%
Q2 - 9:29ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
85.0%
26
15.0%
Q2 - 9:31MIAMISS Wade 11' Running Jump Shot33
85.4%
26
14.6%
Q2 - 9:40MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
86.3%
26
13.7%
Q2 - 9:40ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
85.9%
26
14.1%
Q2 - 9:52ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)33
85.0%
26
15.0%
Q2 - 9:53MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup33
85.4%
26
14.6%
Q2 - 10:19ORLVucevic 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)33
86.1%
26
13.9%
Q2 - 10:29ORLMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
87.1%
24
12.9%
Q2 - 10:30MIAMISS Cole 27' 3PT Jump Shot33
87.5%
24
12.5%
Q2 - 10:53MIAHeat Rebound33
88.3%
24
11.7%
Q2 - 10:54ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)33
87.1%
24
12.9%
Q2 - 10:54ORLMISS Vucevic 1' Tip Shot33
88.0%
24
12.0%
Q2 - 10:57ORLMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
88.0%
24
12.0%
Q2 - 11:16MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)33
86.9%
24
13.1%
Q2 - 11:16MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)32
86.8%
24
13.2%
Q2 - 11:38ORLAfflalo 8' Running Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)31
85.8%
24
14.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL31
86.9%
22
13.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLMAGIC Rebound31
86.8%
22
13.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0ORLMISS Nicholson 19' Jump Shot31
87.3%
22
12.7%
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAJames 21' Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS)31
86.8%
22
13.2%
Q1 - 0:40.0ORLNicholson 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)29
85.4%
22
14.6%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)29
86.8%
20
13.2%
Q1 - 1:02ORLRedick Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)26
84.1%
20
15.9%
Q1 - 1:12ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
83.1%
20
16.9%
Q1 - 1:13MIAMISS Cole 17' Jump Shot26
83.4%
20
16.6%
Q1 - 1:40ORLNicholson 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS)26
84.1%
20
15.9%
Q1 - 1:57MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)26
85.6%
18
14.4%
Q1 - 1:57MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)25
85.3%
18
14.7%
Q1 - 2:03MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
84.3%
18
15.7%
Q1 - 2:04ORLMISS Redick 28' 3PT Jump Shot24
83.9%
18
16.1%
Q1 - 2:29MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)24
83.1%
18
16.9%
Q1 - 2:43ORLRedick 10' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)22
81.7%
18
18.3%
Q1 - 2:55MIAJones STEAL (1 STL)22
83.1%
16
16.9%
Q1 - 3:00MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
84.2%
16
15.8%
Q1 - 3:02MIAMISS Anthony 3' Tip Shot22
83.6%
16
16.4%
Q1 - 3:02MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
84.4%
16
15.6%
Q1 - 3:04MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot22
83.6%
16
16.4%
Q1 - 3:15MIAHeat Rebound22
84.4%
16
15.6%
Q1 - 3:16MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot22
83.5%
16
16.5%
Q1 - 3:29ORLO'Quinn Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)22
84.4%
16
15.6%
Q1 - 3:33ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
83.1%
16
16.9%
Q1 - 3:33ORLMISS McRoberts 17' Jump Shot22
84.0%
16
16.0%
Q1 - 3:51MIAJames 1' Driving Dunk (6 PTS)22
83.1%
16
16.9%
Q1 - 4:13ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)20
81.9%
16
18.1%
Q1 - 4:26MIAAllen 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)20
84.3%
13
15.7%
Q1 - 4:42ORLJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)18
83.2%
13
16.8%
Q1 - 4:42ORLJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
83.5%
12
16.5%
Q1 - 5:00MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)18
84.3%
11
15.7%
Q1 - 5:14ORLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T4)15
81.4%
11
18.6%
Q1 - 5:30MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 4 AST)15
80.1%
11
19.9%
Q1 - 5:52ORLAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)13
78.8%
11
21.2%
Q1 - 6:02ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)13
81.2%
8
18.8%
Q1 - 6:03ORLMISS Nicholson 20' Jump Shot13
82.1%
8
17.9%
Q1 - 6:17MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 3 AST)13
81.2%
8
18.8%
Q1 - 6:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
78.7%
8
21.3%
Q1 - 6:28ORLMISS Afflalo 21' Jump Shot10
78.2%
8
21.8%
Q1 - 6:39ORLMAGIC Rebound10
77.2%
8
22.8%
Q1 - 6:39ORLMISS Nicholson 17' Jump Shot10
78.2%
8
21.8%
Q1 - 6:44ORLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
77.2%
8
22.8%
Q1 - 6:45ORLMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot10
78.2%
8
21.8%
Q1 - 7:07MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)10
77.3%
8
22.7%
Q1 - 7:18ORLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)7
74.7%
8
25.3%
Q1 - 7:31ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)7
72.9%
8
27.1%
Q1 - 7:31MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 27
73.1%
8
26.9%
Q1 - 7:31MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 27
74.1%
8
25.9%
Q1 - 7:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
74.7%
8
25.3%
Q1 - 7:37ORLMISS Smith 3' Floating Jump Shot7
74.2%
8
25.8%
Q1 - 7:52MIABosh 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)7
72.9%
8
27.1%
Q1 - 8:06MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
72.2%
8
27.8%
Q1 - 8:07ORLMISS Nicholson 16' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot5
71.7%
8
28.3%
Q1 - 8:34MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)5
70.5%
8
29.5%
Q1 - 8:52ORLSmith Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)3
69.0%
8
31.0%
Q1 - 9:04ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)3
68.0%
8
32.0%
Q1 - 9:05MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Reverse Layup3
68.5%
8
31.5%
Q1 - 9:26ORLSmith 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)3
69.7%
8
30.3%
Q1 - 9:35ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
71.1%
6
28.9%
Q1 - 9:35MIAMISS Bosh 3' Jump Hook Shot3
71.6%
6
28.4%
Q1 - 9:50ORLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)3
72.7%
6
27.3%
Q1 - 9:54ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
71.1%
6
28.9%
Q1 - 9:55MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
71.6%
6
28.4%
Q1 - 10:03MIAJames Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)3
73.0%
6
27.0%
Q1 - 10:18ORLVucevic 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)2
71.6%
6
28.4%
Q1 - 10:37MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)2
72.8%
4
27.2%
Q1 - 10:45ORLNicholson 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
74.4%
4
25.6%
Q1 - 10:49ORLNicholson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
75.5%
2
24.5%
Q1 - 10:49ORLMISS Afflalo 23' Pullup Jump Shot2
76.5%
2
23.5%
Q1 - 11:16MIABosh 2' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
75.8%
2
24.2%
Q1 - 11:38ORLJones 2' Driving Slam Dunk (2 PTS)0
74.4%
2
25.6%
Q1 - 11:50MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
75.8%
0
24.2%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Vucevic vs. Bosh: Tip to James0
76.9%
0
23.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.4%
ORL
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
20
33
61%
ORL
22
35
63%
Midrange
MIA
14
31
45%
ORL
12
30
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
21
29%
43%
ORL
8
12.0
23
35%
52%
Free Throws
MIA
26
35
74%
ORL
18
22
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3662%18.0 / 29
C. Bosh2269%11.0 / 16
D. Wade2142%10.5 / 25
R. Allen1785%8.5 / 10
J. Anthony8100%4.0 / 4
M. Chalmers350%1.5 / 3
M. Miller338%1.5 / 4
U. Haslem233%1.0 / 3
S. Battier0-0.0 / 3
N. Cole0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Afflalo2861%14.0 / 23
J. Redick2388%11.5 / 13
N. Vučević2053%10.0 / 19
J. McRoberts1255%6.0 / 11
A. Nicholson1050%5.0 / 10
H. Turkoglu941%4.5 / 11
D. Jones643%3.0 / 7
I. Smith225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
86
+17
-7
103
ORL
76
+23
-16
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.4%
ORL
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.1
102.0
MIA 120.4 +0.9
ORL 119.6
Pace
90.9
91.9
MIA 86.3 +4.9
ORL 81.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.7
MIA 16.7 +1.0
ORL 17.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.2%
48.5%
MIA 50.6%
ORL 52.3% +1.7%
TO %
14.5%
15.2%
MIA 6.5% +8.3%
ORL 14.8%
ORB %
22.2%
25.4%
MIA 22.0%
ORL 42.9% +20.9%
FTrt
29.7
19.7
MIA 41.2 +16.2
ORL 25.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
60.5%
MIA 60.0% +2.9%
ORL 57.1%
STL %
9.5%
7.0%
MIA 9.7% +4.3%
ORL 5.4%
BLK %
9.1%
7.0%
MIA 4.6%
ORL 6.3% +1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.0%
50.2%
MIA 54.4%
ORL 54.5% +0.1%
Rim FG%
65.9%
58.5%
MIA 60.6%
ORL 62.9% +2.3%
Mid FG%
41.9%
39.6%
MIA 45.2% +5.2%
ORL 40.0%
3P %
39.6%
32.9%
MIA 28.6%
ORL 34.8% +6.2%
FT %
75.4%
75.5%
MIA 74.3%
ORL 81.8% +7.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
35.4%
MIA 38.8%
ORL 39.8% +0.9%
Mid Att. %
36.7%
42.3%
MIA 36.5%
ORL 34.1% +2.4%
3P Att. %
28.5%
22.3%
MIA 24.7%
ORL 26.1% +1.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions9392
Possession Minutes25.927.1
Points112110
Rebounds3350
Assists2424
Steals95
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (8)18 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (3)32 (2)
Field Goals40-8542-88
At-the-Rim FG20-3322-35
Midrange FG14-3112-30
2-Point FG34-6434-65
3-Point FG6-218-23
Free Throws26-3518-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
47.9
36
62%
8
11
1
0
3
2
1
7
15-16
94%
9-16
56%
1-6
17%
G · 6'4" 220 · 31
39.9
21
42%
6
3
2
1
3
1
2
4
3-10
30%
9-18
50%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 235 · 29
38.3
22
69%
4
1
1
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
10-15
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 27
26.1
3
50%
1
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 235 · 33
17.0
2
33%
6
0
0
0
0
4
0
6
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 37
32.8
17
85%
1
0
4
0
0
3
1
0
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
3-4
75%
F · 6'8" 220 · 34
26.0
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
17.5
3
38%
3
4
1
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
C · 6'9" 245 · 30
12.5
8
100%
3
0
0
1
1
0
3
0
4-5
80%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
7.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 24
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
F · 6'10" 235 · 33
#14 · G · 6'4" 190 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
112
54%
33
24
9
3
7
0
9
24
26-35
74%
34-64
53%
6-21
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.