FinalWin Prob.pScore
258%101
85
1642%98
104
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
92.49291.6
MIL logo MIL
114.39191.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL85
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIADunleavy STEAL (3 STL)85
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0MILHenson Layup (2 PTS)85
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0MILHenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0MILMISS Henson 3' Hook Shot85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#20)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10MILMISS Ilyasova 1' Tip Shot85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11MILMISS Henson 15' Jump Shot85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37MIAHarrellson 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39MIAHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41MILMISS Daniels 4' Jump Shot83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04MIAHarrellson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04MIAMISS Harrellson Free Throw 1 of 282
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04MIAHarrellson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06MIAMISS Harris Free Throw 2 of 282
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06MIAHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27MILDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27MILDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)81
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33MIAHarris STEAL (1 STL)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:40MIAHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41MILMISS Henson 19' Jump Shot81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01MIAHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01MIAHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:14MILJennings 27' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Dunleavy 6 AST)79
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:37MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 3:46MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 3:47MILMISS Dunleavy 10' Jump Shot79
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 3:57MILBUCKS Rebound79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57MILSanders REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57MILMISS Sanders 1' Tip Shot79
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 3:58MILMISS Mbah a Moute 1' Layup79
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 4:14MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:14MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 278
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23MILDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)78
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23MILDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:43MIAJames 1' Dunk (26 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)78
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 5:13MILDunleavy 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jennings 7 AST)76
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 5:22MIAJames Foul Turnover (P6.T18)76
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 5:34MILMbah a Moute 1' Layup (19 PTS) (Dunleavy 5 AST)76
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 5:45MILJennings Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (22 PTS)76
1.0%
90
99.0%
Q4 - 5:45MILJennings Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (21 PTS)76
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 5:46MIAEllis STEAL (5 STL)76
2.0%
88
98.0%
Q4 - 6:04MILSanders 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Ellis 9 AST)76
4.4%
88
95.6%
Q4 - 6:23MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)76
5.5%
86
94.5%
Q4 - 6:24MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot76
6.1%
86
93.9%
Q4 - 6:39MILSanders 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 1 AST)76
7.5%
86
92.5%
Q4 - 7:00MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)76
9.5%
84
90.5%
Q4 - 7:02MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 276
12.5%
84
87.5%
Q4 - 7:02MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)76
14.7%
84
85.3%
Q4 - 7:26MILMbah a Moute 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Udrih 4 AST)75
12.2%
84
87.8%
Q4 - 7:47MIAWade Reverse Dunk (22 PTS) (James 7 AST)75
19.1%
81
80.9%
Q4 - 8:06MILDunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)73
17.8%
81
82.2%
Q4 - 8:14MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)73
26.5%
78
73.5%
Q4 - 8:16MIAMbah a Moute BLOCK (2 BLK)73
28.0%
78
72.0%
Q4 - 8:31MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
31.7%
78
68.3%
Q4 - 8:33MILMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
30.0%
78
70.0%
Q4 - 8:37MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)73
26.4%
78
73.6%
Q4 - 8:40MIAMbah a Moute BLOCK (1 BLK)73
27.9%
78
72.1%
Q4 - 8:42MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
31.6%
78
68.4%
Q4 - 8:44MIASanders BLOCK (4 BLK)73
27.9%
78
72.1%
Q4 - 8:58MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)73
31.6%
78
68.4%
Q4 - 8:58MILBUCKS Rebound73
26.3%
78
73.7%
Q4 - 8:59MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
29.9%
78
70.1%
Q4 - 9:23MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS)73
28.3%
78
71.7%
Q4 - 9:43MILSanders 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Dunleavy 4 AST)71
23.6%
78
76.4%
Q4 - 9:54MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)71
28.3%
76
71.7%
Q4 - 9:56MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup71
29.7%
76
70.3%
Q4 - 9:58MIABosh REBOUND (Off:8 Def:8)71
33.2%
76
66.8%
Q4 - 10:02MIASanders BLOCK (3 BLK)71
31.3%
76
68.7%
Q4 - 10:18MILMbah a Moute 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)71
34.7%
76
65.3%
Q4 - 10:40MILBUCKS Rebound71
39.9%
74
60.1%
Q4 - 10:40MIAMISS Harrellson 3PT Jump Shot71
41.6%
74
58.4%
Q4 - 11:00MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
45.5%
74
54.5%
Q4 - 11:00MILSanders 1' Layup (10 PTS)71
45.5%
74
54.5%
Q4 - 11:02MILMISS Jennings 8' Running Jump Shot71
55.1%
72
44.9%
Q4 - 11:14MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)71
51.4%
72
48.6%
Q4 - 11:15MIAMISS Wade 10' Turnaround Jump Shot71
53.0%
72
47.0%
Q4 - 11:35MILDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)71
56.7%
72
43.3%
Q4 - 11:39MIAUdrih STEAL (1 STL)71
66.8%
69
33.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL71
71.4%
69
28.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)71
66.9%
69
33.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Cole 10' Running Hook Shot71
68.3%
69
31.7%
Q3 - 0:15.0MILUdrih 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ellis 8 AST)71
70.9%
69
29.1%
Q3 - 0:20.0MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)71
75.1%
67
24.9%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Bosh 7' Jump Shot71
76.2%
67
23.8%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAHeat Rebound71
78.6%
67
21.4%
Q3 - 0:44.0MILMISS Udrih 18' Jump Shot71
77.6%
67
22.4%
Q3 - 0:53.0MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
75.1%
67
24.9%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Harrellson 27' 3PT Jump Shot71
76.2%
67
23.8%
Q3 - 1:09MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
78.0%
67
22.0%
Q3 - 1:11MILMISS Daniels 27' 3PT Jump Shot71
77.0%
67
23.0%
Q3 - 1:24MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
74.5%
67
25.5%
Q3 - 1:25MIAMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot71
75.6%
67
24.4%
Q3 - 1:42MILEllis 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)71
78.0%
67
22.0%
Q3 - 2:04MIAJennings STEAL (4 STL)71
83.0%
64
17.0%
Q3 - 2:22MILIlyasova 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Ellis 7 AST)71
85.6%
64
14.4%
Q3 - 2:40MIAJames 13' Jump Bank Shot (24 PTS)71
87.7%
62
12.3%
Q3 - 2:48MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
85.6%
62
14.4%
Q3 - 2:49MILMISS Daniels 13' Jump Shot69
84.9%
62
15.1%
Q3 - 2:57MIAJames 16' Jump Bank Shot (22 PTS)69
83.1%
62
16.9%
Q3 - 3:04MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
79.9%
62
20.1%
Q3 - 3:05MILMISS Jennings 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
79.0%
62
21.0%
Q3 - 3:12MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)67
76.8%
62
23.2%
Q3 - 3:12MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 266
76.1%
62
23.9%
Q3 - 3:13MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
76.9%
62
23.1%
Q3 - 3:14MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
75.9%
62
24.1%
Q3 - 3:29MIAWade 16' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)66
73.4%
62
26.6%
Q3 - 3:51MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
70.0%
62
30.0%
Q3 - 3:52MILMISS Udoh 6' Jump Shot64
68.8%
62
31.2%
Q3 - 3:59MIAEllis STEAL (4 STL)64
65.9%
62
34.1%
Q3 - 4:02MILJennings 10' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Ellis 6 AST)64
69.9%
62
30.1%
Q3 - 4:24MIAHarrellson 1' Layup (2 PTS) (James 6 AST)64
72.9%
60
27.1%
Q3 - 4:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)62
70.0%
60
30.0%
Q3 - 4:37MILMISS Daniels 3' Jump Shot62
68.6%
60
31.4%
Q3 - 4:45MILJennings REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
65.6%
60
34.4%
Q3 - 4:46MILMISS Ilyasova 16' Jump Shot62
68.7%
60
31.3%
Q3 - 5:06MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)62
65.3%
60
34.7%
Q3 - 5:06MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)61
64.5%
60
35.5%
Q3 - 5:36MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
62.0%
60
38.0%
Q3 - 5:36MILIlyasova 1' Layup (4 PTS)60
62.0%
60
38.0%
Q3 - 5:38MILMISS Ilyasova 2' Layup60
68.2%
58
31.8%
Q3 - 5:39MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
65.3%
58
34.7%
Q3 - 5:41MILMISS Jennings 17' Jump Shot60
68.2%
58
31.8%
Q3 - 5:46MILUdoh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)60
65.3%
58
34.7%
Q3 - 5:47MILMISS Udoh 18' Jump Shot60
68.2%
58
31.8%
Q3 - 6:03MIAJames 1' Layup (18 PTS)60
65.3%
58
34.7%
Q3 - 6:09MILMbah a Moute Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)58
62.2%
58
37.8%
Q3 - 6:22MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)58
57.8%
58
42.2%
Q3 - 6:49MILJennings 14' Jump Shot (18 PTS)55
50.4%
58
49.6%
Q3 - 7:02MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)55
54.0%
56
46.0%
Q3 - 7:02MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)54
53.4%
56
46.6%
Q3 - 7:10MIABosh REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)53
50.4%
56
49.6%
Q3 - 7:12MILMISS Mbah a Moute 4' Jump Shot53
49.2%
56
50.8%
Q3 - 7:35MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)53
46.3%
56
53.7%
Q3 - 7:37MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
39.0%
56
61.0%
Q3 - 7:39MILMISS Ellis 2' Layup50
37.8%
56
62.2%
Q3 - 7:46MILUdoh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)50
35.1%
56
64.9%
Q3 - 7:47MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup50
36.3%
56
63.7%
Q3 - 7:52MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
39.0%
56
61.0%
Q3 - 7:53MILMISS Ellis 14' Jump Shot50
37.8%
56
62.2%
Q3 - 7:57MIADaniels STEAL (2 STL)50
35.1%
56
64.9%
Q3 - 7:59MIABosh REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)50
39.0%
56
61.0%
Q3 - 8:00MILMISS Daniels 3' Jump Shot50
37.8%
56
62.2%
Q3 - 8:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)50
35.7%
56
64.3%
Q3 - 8:22MIABosh 1' Tip Shot (10 PTS)50
35.7%
56
64.3%
Q3 - 8:22MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot48
30.2%
56
69.8%
Q3 - 8:33MIABosh REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)48
32.7%
56
67.3%
Q3 - 8:34MILMISS Jennings 19' Jump Shot48
31.5%
56
68.5%
Q3 - 8:47MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
29.1%
56
70.9%
Q3 - 8:48MIAMISS Bosh 2' Jump Hook Shot48
30.1%
56
69.9%
Q3 - 9:01MIABosh REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)48
33.3%
56
66.7%
Q3 - 9:02MILMISS Daniels 19' Jump Shot48
32.3%
56
67.7%
Q3 - 9:21MIAWade 1' Layup (16 PTS) (James 5 AST)48
29.9%
56
70.1%
Q3 - 9:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)46
27.1%
56
72.9%
Q3 - 9:27MILMISS Ellis 3' Layup46
26.2%
56
73.8%
Q3 - 9:35MIAEllis STEAL (3 STL)46
24.1%
56
75.9%
Q3 - 9:38MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
27.1%
56
72.9%
Q3 - 9:39MILMISS Ellis 16' Jump Shot46
26.2%
56
73.8%
Q3 - 9:52MIABosh 6' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)46
24.1%
56
75.9%
Q3 - 10:10MIABosh REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)44
22.9%
56
77.1%
Q3 - 10:12MILMISS Ellis 2' Layup44
22.1%
56
77.9%
Q3 - 10:15MILBUCKS Rebound44
20.3%
56
79.7%
Q3 - 10:15MILMISS Ellis 1' Layup44
22.1%
56
77.9%
Q3 - 10:17MILDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
20.3%
56
79.7%
Q3 - 10:19MIASanders BLOCK (2 BLK)44
21.1%
56
78.9%
Q3 - 10:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
22.8%
56
77.2%
Q3 - 10:28MILMISS Sanders 17' Jump Shot44
22.0%
56
78.0%
Q3 - 10:40MILEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
20.2%
56
79.8%
Q3 - 10:41MIAMISS Chalmers 8' Jump Shot44
21.0%
56
79.0%
Q3 - 10:56MIABosh REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1)44
22.8%
56
77.2%
Q3 - 10:56MIAMISS James 12' Jump Shot44
21.0%
56
79.0%
Q3 - 11:18MILMbah a Moute Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)44
24.2%
56
75.8%
Q3 - 11:30MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)44
21.7%
56
78.3%
Q3 - 11:42MIAHeat Rebound44
24.2%
56
75.8%
Q3 - 11:43MILMISS Mbah a Moute 1' Layup44
23.4%
56
76.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL44
21.6%
56
78.4%
Q2 - 0:17.0MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)44
23.4%
56
76.6%
Q2 - 0:33.0MILMbah a Moute 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Sanders 1 AST)42
20.5%
56
79.5%
Q2 - 0:53.0MILDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
23.3%
54
76.7%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Harrellson 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
23.9%
54
76.1%
Q2 - 1:02MIAHarrellson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
25.9%
54
74.1%
Q2 - 1:04MILMISS Ellis 5' Jump Shot42
25.4%
54
74.6%
Q2 - 1:24MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)42
24.3%
54
75.7%
Q2 - 1:38MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
19.2%
54
80.8%
Q2 - 1:39MILMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
18.8%
54
81.2%
Q2 - 1:45MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
17.9%
54
82.1%
Q2 - 1:46MIAMISS James 10' Jump Shot39
18.3%
54
81.7%
Q2 - 1:58MILEllis 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jennings 6 AST)39
19.2%
54
80.8%
Q2 - 2:20MIAWade Layup (14 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)39
24.9%
51
75.1%
Q2 - 2:47MILJennings 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Ellis 5 AST)37
22.6%
51
77.4%
Q2 - 3:06MILEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
25.9%
49
74.1%
Q2 - 3:07MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
26.7%
49
73.3%
Q2 - 3:37MILSanders 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Jennings 5 AST)37
28.5%
49
71.5%
Q2 - 3:46MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
30.6%
47
69.4%
Q2 - 3:47MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot37
31.5%
47
68.5%
Q2 - 4:06MILDaniels 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)37
34.5%
47
65.5%
Q2 - 4:09MILEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
37.0%
45
63.0%
Q2 - 4:11MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
37.9%
45
62.1%
Q2 - 4:26MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)37
39.9%
45
60.1%
Q2 - 4:26MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)37
40.4%
44
59.6%
Q2 - 4:37MILBUCKS Rebound37
42.5%
43
57.5%
Q2 - 4:37MILMISS Ellis 4' Jump Shot37
44.7%
43
55.3%
Q2 - 4:45MIABosh Layup (6 PTS)37
42.5%
43
57.5%
Q2 - 4:46MIABosh REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)35
39.9%
43
60.1%
Q2 - 4:47MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup35
37.8%
43
62.2%
Q2 - 5:09MILMbah a Moute Layup (10 PTS) (Jennings 4 AST)35
40.6%
43
59.4%
Q2 - 5:28MIAWade 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)35
43.3%
41
56.7%
Q2 - 5:44MILSanders 2' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Dunleavy 3 AST)33
40.5%
41
59.5%
Q2 - 6:02MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
43.5%
39
56.5%
Q2 - 6:03MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot33
44.5%
39
55.5%
Q2 - 6:12MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
46.8%
39
53.2%
Q2 - 6:13MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)33
43.5%
39
56.5%
Q2 - 6:13MILMISS Mbah a Moute 1' Tip Shot33
45.8%
39
54.2%
Q2 - 6:14MILMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
45.8%
39
54.2%
Q2 - 6:35MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
43.5%
39
56.5%
Q2 - 6:37MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot33
44.5%
39
55.5%
Q2 - 6:46MILEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)33
46.7%
39
53.3%
Q2 - 6:57MIAJames 1' Reverse Layup (8 PTS)33
43.5%
39
56.5%
Q2 - 7:15MILEllis 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)31
42.1%
39
57.9%
Q2 - 7:29MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)31
44.3%
37
55.7%
Q2 - 7:31MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
39.5%
37
60.5%
Q2 - 7:32MILMISS Udrih 3PT Jump Shot28
38.6%
37
61.4%
Q2 - 7:46MIAWade 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)28
36.6%
37
63.4%
Q2 - 8:04MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)26
35.2%
37
64.8%
Q2 - 8:12MIABosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)26
39.9%
34
60.1%
Q2 - 8:12MIABosh 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)26
39.9%
34
60.1%
Q2 - 8:13MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup24
35.8%
34
64.2%
Q2 - 8:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)24
37.6%
34
62.4%
Q2 - 8:26MILMISS Dunleavy 21' Jump Shot24
36.8%
34
63.2%
Q2 - 8:43MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
35.0%
34
65.0%
Q2 - 8:44MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot24
35.8%
34
64.2%
Q2 - 9:07MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
38.4%
34
61.6%
Q2 - 9:07MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
38.8%
33
61.2%
Q2 - 9:26MILUdoh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
40.6%
32
59.4%
Q2 - 9:27MILMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
42.4%
32
57.6%
Q2 - 9:40MIACole 1' Layup (2 PTS)24
40.5%
32
59.5%
Q2 - 9:58MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
38.3%
32
61.7%
Q2 - 10:00MILMISS Jennings 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
37.5%
32
62.5%
Q2 - 10:08MIADunleavy STEAL (2 STL)22
36.0%
32
64.0%
Q2 - 10:20MILDunleavy 2' Layup (5 PTS)22
38.7%
32
61.3%
Q2 - 10:24MIADunleavy STEAL (1 STL)22
40.7%
30
59.3%
Q2 - 10:37MILDunleavy Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)22
43.5%
30
56.5%
Q2 - 10:39MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
40.7%
30
59.3%
Q2 - 10:41MIAUdoh BLOCK (2 BLK)22
41.5%
30
58.5%
Q2 - 10:53MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)22
43.5%
30
56.5%
Q2 - 10:53MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)22
43.9%
29
56.1%
Q2 - 10:55MIAJennings STEAL (3 STL)22
45.5%
28
54.5%
Q2 - 11:05MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
48.2%
28
51.8%
Q2 - 11:06MILMISS Ilyasova 12' Jump Shot22
47.5%
28
52.5%
Q2 - 11:22MIAAllen 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)22
45.7%
28
54.3%
Q2 - 11:39MILDunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Udoh 1 AST)20
43.4%
28
56.6%
Q2 - 11:44MILUdoh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
48.1%
25
51.9%
Q2 - 11:45MILMISS Ilyasova 1' Layup20
49.9%
25
50.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA20
48.1%
25
51.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILEllis 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
50.7%
25
49.3%
Q1 - 0:12.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
53.4%
23
46.6%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
53.9%
23
46.1%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
55.2%
23
44.8%
Q1 - 0:30.0MILMISS Ellis 27' 3PT Jump Shot20
54.6%
23
45.4%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAMiller 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 4 AST)20
53.4%
23
46.6%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAHeat Rebound17
48.1%
23
51.9%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAUdoh BLOCK (1 BLK)17
46.8%
23
53.2%
Q1 - 1:00MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
48.1%
23
51.9%
Q1 - 1:01MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
46.8%
23
53.2%
Q1 - 1:01MILMISS Dunleavy Tip Shot17
48.0%
23
52.0%
Q1 - 1:02MILMISS Udoh 5' Jump Shot17
48.0%
23
52.0%
Q1 - 1:19MIAJennings STEAL (2 STL)17
46.8%
23
53.2%
Q1 - 1:39MILJennings Layup (7 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)17
48.5%
23
51.5%
Q1 - 1:45MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
51.4%
21
48.6%
Q1 - 1:46MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot17
51.9%
21
48.1%
Q1 - 2:11MILJennings 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)17
53.7%
21
46.3%
Q1 - 2:29MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)17
56.1%
19
43.9%
Q1 - 2:39MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)14
51.4%
19
48.6%
Q1 - 2:40MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
50.7%
19
49.3%
Q1 - 3:00MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
49.2%
19
50.8%
Q1 - 3:01MIAMISS Allen 11' Jump Shot14
50.2%
19
49.8%
Q1 - 3:09MIAHeat Rebound14
51.8%
19
48.2%
Q1 - 3:09MIASanders BLOCK (1 BLK)14
50.2%
19
49.8%
Q1 - 3:17MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
51.8%
19
48.2%
Q1 - 3:18MILMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot14
51.1%
19
48.9%
Q1 - 3:28MIAJennings STEAL (1 STL)14
49.4%
19
50.6%
Q1 - 3:38MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
51.8%
19
48.2%
Q1 - 3:40MILMISS Mbah a Moute 1' Layup14
51.1%
19
48.9%
Q1 - 3:41MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
49.4%
19
50.6%
Q1 - 3:43MILMISS Dunleavy 27' 3PT Jump Shot14
51.1%
19
48.9%
Q1 - 4:00MIAWade 2' Layup (5 PTS) (James 2 AST)14
49.4%
19
50.6%
Q1 - 4:10MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
47.7%
19
52.3%
Q1 - 4:10MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 212
45.7%
19
54.3%
Q1 - 4:10MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
47.2%
19
52.8%
Q1 - 4:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
45.5%
19
54.5%
Q1 - 4:16MILMISS Mbah a Moute 9' Jump Shot11
44.8%
19
55.2%
Q1 - 4:30MIADaniels STEAL (1 STL)11
43.2%
19
56.8%
Q1 - 4:45MILEllis 1' Layup (4 PTS)11
45.5%
19
54.5%
Q1 - 4:57MIAJames 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)11
47.6%
17
52.4%
Q1 - 5:10MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)9
46.0%
17
54.0%
Q1 - 5:10MILMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 29
46.6%
16
53.4%
Q1 - 5:10MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
45.9%
16
54.1%
Q1 - 5:10MILMISS Daniels 4' Jump Shot9
47.4%
16
52.6%
Q1 - 5:30MIABosh 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)9
45.9%
16
54.1%
Q1 - 5:44MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)7
43.9%
16
56.1%
Q1 - 5:44MIAMISS Bosh Layup7
42.4%
16
57.6%
Q1 - 5:45MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)7
43.9%
16
56.1%
Q1 - 5:46MIAMISS James 12' Jump Shot7
42.4%
16
57.6%
Q1 - 6:12MILSanders 1' Running Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)7
44.6%
16
55.4%
Q1 - 6:16MIAEllis STEAL (2 STL)7
46.4%
14
53.6%
Q1 - 6:28MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)7
48.6%
14
51.4%
Q1 - 6:37MIAJames Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)7
52.4%
11
47.6%
Q1 - 7:03MILEllis 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)5
51.3%
11
48.7%
Q1 - 7:20MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)5
52.8%
9
47.2%
Q1 - 7:37MILMbah a Moute 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)3
51.2%
9
48.8%
Q1 - 7:52MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
52.8%
7
47.2%
Q1 - 7:53MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 23
53.1%
7
46.9%
Q1 - 7:53MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 23
54.3%
7
45.7%
Q1 - 8:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)3
55.6%
7
44.4%
Q1 - 8:07MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup3
54.2%
7
45.8%
Q1 - 8:23MILSanders Dunk (2 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)3
55.6%
7
44.4%
Q1 - 8:31MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
57.3%
5
42.7%
Q1 - 8:32MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)3
59.3%
5
40.7%
Q1 - 8:32MIAMISS James Tip Shot3
57.9%
5
42.1%
Q1 - 8:34MIAMISS James 1' Layup3
57.9%
5
42.1%
Q1 - 8:44MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
59.3%
5
40.7%
Q1 - 8:45MILMISS Ellis 12' Jump Shot3
58.7%
5
41.3%
Q1 - 9:03MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
57.8%
5
42.2%
Q1 - 9:03MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 22
57.4%
5
42.6%
Q1 - 9:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
57.9%
5
42.1%
Q1 - 9:13MILMISS Daniels 13' Jump Shot2
57.3%
5
42.7%
Q1 - 9:41MIAJames 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
55.9%
5
44.1%
Q1 - 9:52MILJennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)0
54.3%
5
45.7%
Q1 - 10:01MILDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
58.0%
2
42.0%
Q1 - 10:02MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot0
58.6%
2
41.4%
Q1 - 10:13MILMbah a Moute Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
59.9%
2
40.1%
Q1 - 10:28MILDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
58.0%
2
42.0%
Q1 - 10:29MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot0
58.6%
2
41.4%
Q1 - 10:32MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
59.9%
2
40.1%
Q1 - 10:33MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot0
58.6%
2
41.4%
Q1 - 10:49MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
59.9%
2
40.1%
Q1 - 10:50MILMISS Sanders 13' Jump Shot0
59.3%
2
40.7%
Q1 - 11:02MIAEllis STEAL (1 STL)0
58.4%
2
41.6%
Q1 - 11:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
59.8%
2
40.2%
Q1 - 11:14MILMISS Mbah a Moute 4' Jump Shot0
59.4%
2
40.6%
Q1 - 11:27MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)0
58.4%
2
41.6%
Q1 - 11:40MILMbah a Moute 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)0
59.8%
2
40.2%
Q1 - 11:44MIAMbah a Moute STEAL (1 STL)0
61.5%
0
38.5%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Sanders vs. Bosh: Tip to Chalmers0
63.0%
0
37.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 47.8%
MIL
0.96 48.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
21
39
54%
MIL
25
48
52%
Midrange
MIA
8
24
33%
MIL
7
29
24%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
MIL
8
12.0
21
38%
57%
Free Throws
MIA
15
24
63%
MIL
16
17
94%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2659%13.0 / 22
D. Wade2455%12.0 / 22
C. Bosh1240%6.0 / 15
M. Chalmers536%2.5 / 7
J. Harrellson542%2.5 / 6
S. Battier338%1.5 / 4
M. Miller3150%1.5 / 1
T. Harris3150%1.5 / 1
R. Allen217%1.0 / 6
N. Cole250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Jennings2569%12.5 / 18
L. Mbah a Moute1959%9.5 / 16
M. Dunleavy1864%9.0 / 14
L. Sanders1673%8.0 / 11
M. Ellis1439%7.0 / 18
E. Ilyasova638%3.0 / 8
M. Daniels211%1.0 / 9
B. Udrih233%1.0 / 3
J. Henson225%1.0 / 4
E. Udoh0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
72
+15
-20
87
MIL
86
+18
-5
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 47.8%
MIL
0.96 48.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.1
103.6
MIA 92.4 +21.9
MIL 114.3
Pace
90.9
94.8
MIA 91.6 +0.2
MIL 91.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.4
MIA 15.7 +0.0
MIL 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.2%
47.6%
MIA 46.1% +1.2%
MIL 44.9%
TO %
14.5%
14.3%
MIA 19.5%
MIL 5.4% +14.1%
ORB %
22.2%
28.0%
MIA 29.5% +2.6%
MIL 26.9%
FTrt
29.7
23.6
MIA 31.6 +14.3
MIL 17.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
60.0%
MIA 54.5%
MIL 72.5% +18.0%
STL %
9.5%
8.8%
MIA 3.3%
MIL 18.7% +15.4%
BLK %
9.1%
10.1%
MIA 6.5%
MIL 12.7% +6.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.0%
49.7%
MIA 47.8%
MIL 48.1% +0.3%
Rim FG%
65.9%
54.6%
MIA 53.8% +1.7%
MIL 52.1%
Mid FG%
41.9%
36.8%
MIA 33.3% +9.2%
MIL 24.1%
3P %
39.6%
36.0%
MIA 30.8%
MIL 38.1% +7.3%
FT %
75.4%
73.6%
MIA 62.5%
MIL 94.1% +31.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
38.4%
MIA 51.3% +2.3%
MIL 49.0%
Mid Att. %
36.7%
38.3%
MIA 31.6%
MIL 29.6% +2.0%
3P Att. %
28.5%
23.2%
MIA 17.1%
MIL 21.4% +4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions9291
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points85104
Rebounds5145
Assists1829
Steals317
Blocks58
Turnovers (Team)20 (1)5 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (2)14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (2)31 (1)
Field Goals33-7640-98
At-the-Rim FG21-3925-48
Midrange FG8-247-29
2-Point FG29-6332-77
3-Point FG4-138-21
Free Throws15-2416-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
36.5
26
59%
6
7
2
1
6
2
1
5
3-5
60%
10-18
56%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 220 · 31
34.8
24
55%
6
4
0
0
3
1
1
5
4-7
57%
10-19
53%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 235 · 29
34.0
12
40%
16
2
0
0
2
2
8
8
2-2
100%
5-14
36%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 34
28.3
3
38%
4
0
0
2
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 190 · 27
28.1
5
36%
2
3
1
0
2
3
0
2
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
G · 6'5" 205 · 37
19.9
2
17%
5
1
0
1
2
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
19.9
2
50%
4
0
0
0
3
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 24
17.8
5
42%
2
0
0
1
1
3
1
1
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
C · 6'9" 245 · 30
7.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
6.5
3
150%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 25
3.2
3
150%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
3-4
75%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 33
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
48%
51
18
3
5
20
0
13
38
15-24
63%
29-63
46%
4-13
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.