FinalWin Prob.pScore
373%101
99
2627%93
109
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
113.88787.4
DET logo DET
123.98887.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET99
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)99
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot99
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)99
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot99
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIABosh Putback Dunk (28 PTS)99
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)97
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Allen 27' 3PT Jump Shot97
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0DETBynum 9' Jump Shot (25 PTS)97
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)97
0.5%
107
99.5%
Q4 - 1:23MIAMISS Bosh 1' Tip Shot97
0.6%
107
99.4%
Q4 - 1:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)97
1.0%
107
99.0%
Q4 - 1:25MIAMISS James 28' 3PT Jump Shot97
0.7%
107
99.3%
Q4 - 1:37DETBynum 19' Pullup Jump Shot (23 PTS)97
1.5%
107
98.5%
Q4 - 2:02MIABosh 1' Dunk (26 PTS) (James 5 AST)97
3.0%
105
97.0%
Q4 - 2:16DETBynum 8' Jump Shot (21 PTS)95
2.1%
105
97.9%
Q4 - 2:39MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 4 AST)95
2.9%
103
97.1%
Q4 - 2:54DETPrince Driving Layup (11 PTS)92
2.0%
103
98.0%
Q4 - 3:15MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)92
2.7%
101
97.3%
Q4 - 3:15MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)91
2.6%
101
97.4%
Q4 - 3:29DETDaye Dunk (11 PTS) (Bynum 10 AST)90
1.9%
101
98.1%
Q4 - 3:34MIABynum STEAL (1 STL)90
5.7%
99
94.3%
Q4 - 3:44MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
8.1%
99
91.9%
Q4 - 3:45DETMISS Bynum 19' Jump Shot90
7.2%
99
92.8%
Q4 - 4:05MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)90
5.2%
99
94.8%
Q4 - 4:05MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)89
4.9%
99
95.1%
Q4 - 4:05MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)88
3.8%
99
96.2%
Q4 - 4:06MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
2.8%
99
97.2%
Q4 - 4:23DETBynum 6' Jump Shot (19 PTS)88
3.7%
99
96.3%
Q4 - 4:48DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)88
4.9%
97
95.1%
Q4 - 4:48MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 288
5.2%
97
94.8%
Q4 - 4:48MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)88
6.6%
97
93.4%
Q4 - 5:00DETVillanueva 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Bynum 9 AST)87
5.1%
97
94.9%
Q4 - 5:07DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)87
10.9%
95
89.1%
Q4 - 5:08MIAMISS Battier Free Throw 1 of 187
11.4%
95
88.6%
Q4 - 5:17MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
6.0%
95
94.0%
Q4 - 5:18MIAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
4.7%
95
95.3%
Q4 - 5:29DETVillanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bynum 8 AST)84
5.9%
95
94.1%
Q4 - 5:44DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
10.6%
92
89.4%
Q4 - 5:45MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot84
11.7%
92
88.3%
Q4 - 6:09DETBynum 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS)84
19.2%
92
80.8%
Q4 - 6:31MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)84
23.5%
90
76.5%
Q4 - 6:37MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
14.7%
90
85.3%
Q4 - 6:38MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
12.1%
90
87.9%
Q4 - 6:42MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
14.7%
90
85.3%
Q4 - 6:47DETMISS Prince Dunk81
13.5%
90
86.5%
Q4 - 6:48DETPISTONS Rebound81
11.0%
90
89.0%
Q4 - 6:48DETMISS Drummond Layup81
13.5%
90
86.5%
Q4 - 7:01MIAJames Driving Layup (35 PTS)81
14.6%
90
85.4%
Q4 - 7:07DETBynum Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)79
11.7%
90
88.3%
Q4 - 7:18DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
8.9%
90
91.1%
Q4 - 7:20MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup79
9.6%
90
90.4%
Q4 - 7:31DETDrummond Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)79
11.5%
90
88.5%
Q4 - 7:33DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)79
8.8%
90
91.2%
Q4 - 7:34DETMISS Villanueva 1' Layup79
10.6%
90
89.4%
Q4 - 7:54MIABosh 1' Layup (20 PTS) (James 2 AST)79
8.7%
90
91.3%
Q4 - 8:11DETPrince 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Daye 2 AST)77
9.0%
90
91.0%
Q4 - 8:29DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
11.3%
88
88.7%
Q4 - 8:32MIAMISS Cole 1' Reverse Layup77
12.1%
88
87.9%
Q4 - 8:55DETBynum 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)77
14.0%
88
86.0%
Q4 - 9:13DETBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
24.3%
85
75.7%
Q4 - 9:14MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
25.7%
85
74.3%
Q4 - 9:18MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
28.8%
85
71.2%
Q4 - 9:21MIADaye BLOCK (2 BLK)77
25.6%
85
74.4%
Q4 - 9:35DETVillanueva 1' Putback Dunk (13 PTS)77
28.8%
85
71.2%
Q4 - 9:36DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
34.0%
83
66.0%
Q4 - 9:38DETMISS Prince 1' Layup77
37.8%
83
62.2%
Q4 - 9:44MIADrummond STEAL (2 STL)77
34.0%
83
66.0%
Q4 - 10:05DETDrummond Layup (10 PTS)77
41.7%
83
58.3%
Q4 - 10:28MIAJames Driving Layup (33 PTS)77
47.2%
81
52.8%
Q4 - 10:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
41.6%
81
58.4%
Q4 - 10:38DETMISS Bynum 19' Jump Shot75
39.9%
81
60.1%
Q4 - 10:56MIAAllen 13' Jump Shot (3 PTS)75
36.1%
81
63.9%
Q4 - 11:12MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
32.9%
81
67.1%
Q4 - 11:12DETMISS Drummond Layup73
31.5%
81
68.5%
Q4 - 11:37MIAJames 17' Fadeaway Jumper (31 PTS)73
28.4%
81
71.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET71
24.1%
81
75.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (29 PTS)71
20.4%
81
79.6%
Q3 - 0:09.0DETBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)69
19.1%
81
80.9%
Q3 - 0:09.0DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)69
19.6%
80
80.4%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)69
22.6%
79
77.4%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
26.1%
79
73.9%
Q3 - 0:48.0DETMISS Bynum 16' Jump Shot69
24.9%
79
75.1%
Q3 - 0:59.0DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
22.5%
79
77.5%
Q3 - 1:00MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot69
23.5%
79
76.5%
Q3 - 1:12MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
28.2%
79
71.8%
Q3 - 1:15DETMISS Villanueva 1' Layup69
27.0%
79
73.0%
Q3 - 1:31DETBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
24.4%
79
75.6%
Q3 - 1:32MIAMISS Allen 27' 3PT Jump Shot69
25.5%
79
74.5%
Q3 - 1:50MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
28.1%
79
71.9%
Q3 - 1:51DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 269
27.5%
79
72.5%
Q3 - 1:51DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)69
25.5%
79
74.5%
Q3 - 2:00MIAJames 27' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)69
28.1%
78
71.9%
Q3 - 2:22MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
23.2%
78
76.8%
Q3 - 2:23DETMISS Knight 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
22.2%
78
77.8%
Q3 - 2:52MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 5 AST)66
19.9%
78
80.1%
Q3 - 3:15DETKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)63
16.8%
78
83.2%
Q3 - 3:15DETKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)63
17.3%
77
82.7%
Q3 - 3:22DETSingler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
19.3%
76
80.7%
Q3 - 3:25DETMISS Maxiell 1' Dunk63
21.4%
76
78.6%
Q3 - 3:50MIABosh Dunk (18 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)63
19.2%
76
80.8%
Q3 - 4:05DETMonroe Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T12)61
18.3%
76
81.7%
Q3 - 4:27MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (24 PTS)61
15.4%
76
84.6%
Q3 - 4:51DETMonroe 1' Layup (6 PTS)59
13.6%
76
86.4%
Q3 - 5:15DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)59
16.7%
74
83.3%
Q3 - 5:16MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot59
17.6%
74
82.4%
Q3 - 5:36DETKnight 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)59
19.5%
74
80.5%
Q3 - 5:55DETPISTONS Rebound59
24.8%
71
75.2%
Q3 - 5:57DETMISS Knight Free Throw 2 of 259
28.0%
71
72.0%
Q3 - 5:57DETKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)59
25.8%
71
74.2%
Q3 - 6:10MIAHaslem 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)59
30.2%
70
69.8%
Q3 - 6:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
27.3%
70
72.7%
Q3 - 6:27DETMISS Prince 1' Layup57
26.2%
70
73.8%
Q3 - 6:39MIABosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)57
23.8%
70
76.2%
Q3 - 6:55DETMonroe Backcourt Turnover (P4.T11)57
27.2%
70
72.8%
Q3 - 6:55DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
23.7%
70
76.3%
Q3 - 6:58DETMISS Monroe 1' Layup57
26.1%
70
73.9%
Q3 - 7:13MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS)57
25.5%
70
74.5%
Q3 - 7:23DETSingler Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)55
22.8%
70
77.2%
Q3 - 7:47MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)55
28.4%
67
71.6%
Q3 - 7:57MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
22.8%
67
77.2%
Q3 - 7:58DETMISS Monroe 9' Hook Shot52
21.9%
67
78.1%
Q3 - 8:24DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
21.1%
67
78.9%
Q3 - 8:25MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
21.9%
67
78.1%
Q3 - 8:50DETKnight Foul Turnover (P2.T10)52
23.9%
67
76.1%
Q3 - 8:56DETKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
21.0%
67
79.0%
Q3 - 8:57MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
21.9%
67
78.1%
Q3 - 9:03MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
25.2%
67
74.8%
Q3 - 9:05DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 1 of 152
24.8%
67
75.2%
Q3 - 9:17MIABosh Foul Turnover (P3.T10)52
27.9%
65
72.1%
Q3 - 9:37DETMaxiell 7' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (Monroe 2 AST)52
31.0%
65
69.0%
Q3 - 9:52MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)52
34.0%
63
66.0%
Q3 - 9:59MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
37.6%
63
62.4%
Q3 - 10:00DETMISS Singler 3PT Jump Shot52
36.5%
63
63.5%
Q3 - 10:14DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
36.1%
63
63.9%
Q3 - 10:16MIAMISS Miller 27' 3PT Jump Shot52
37.2%
63
62.8%
Q3 - 10:32DETMaxiell 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST)52
39.6%
63
60.4%
Q3 - 10:42DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
42.8%
61
57.2%
Q3 - 10:43MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot52
43.9%
61
56.1%
Q3 - 11:11DETPrince 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)52
48.7%
61
51.3%
Q3 - 11:32DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
55.2%
58
44.8%
Q3 - 11:33MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot52
56.3%
58
43.7%
Q3 - 11:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
58.8%
58
41.2%
Q3 - 11:43DETMISS Maxiell 19' Jump Shot52
57.7%
58
42.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET52
55.2%
58
44.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound52
55.2%
58
44.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Bynum 47' 3PT Jump Shot52
57.7%
58
42.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIABosh Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T8)52
57.1%
58
42.9%
Q2 - 0:14.0DETDaye 12' Step Back Jump Shot (9 PTS)52
59.3%
58
40.7%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAHaslem 1' Layup (5 PTS)52
63.3%
56
36.7%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
59.3%
56
40.7%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot50
57.7%
56
42.3%
Q2 - 0:52.0DETBynum 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)50
59.3%
56
40.7%
Q2 - 0:57.0DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
66.2%
53
33.8%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
66.9%
53
33.1%
Q2 - 1:11DETMonroe Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)50
68.6%
53
31.4%
Q2 - 1:24DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
66.7%
53
33.3%
Q2 - 1:26MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot50
67.3%
53
32.7%
Q2 - 1:39MIAHeat Rebound50
68.5%
53
31.5%
Q2 - 1:40MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot50
67.3%
53
32.7%
Q2 - 2:03DETSingler 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)50
69.5%
53
30.5%
Q2 - 2:21DETMISS Bynum Free Throw Technical50
72.0%
51
28.0%
Q2 - 2:21MIABosh 7' Jump Shot (14 PTS)50
72.0%
51
28.0%
Q2 - 2:47DETVillanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bynum 7 AST)48
69.4%
51
30.6%
Q2 - 3:01MIAJames 14' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)48
74.9%
48
25.1%
Q2 - 3:18DETBynum 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)46
72.9%
48
27.1%
Q2 - 3:32DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
74.8%
46
25.2%
Q2 - 3:33MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 246
75.2%
46
24.8%
Q2 - 3:33MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)46
76.6%
46
23.4%
Q2 - 3:36DETBynum Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)45
75.2%
46
24.8%
Q2 - 3:48MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)45
72.5%
46
27.5%
Q2 - 3:48MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)44
72.1%
46
27.9%
Q2 - 4:08DETBynum 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)43
70.8%
46
29.2%
Q2 - 4:31MIAJames 1' Dunk (16 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)43
75.2%
43
24.8%
Q2 - 4:53DETDrummond 1' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Bynum 6 AST)41
73.2%
43
26.8%
Q2 - 5:10MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)41
75.7%
41
24.3%
Q2 - 5:10MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)40
75.2%
41
24.8%
Q2 - 5:18MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
73.5%
41
26.5%
Q2 - 5:19DETMISS Villanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot39
72.8%
41
27.2%
Q2 - 5:34DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)39
71.2%
41
28.8%
Q2 - 5:35MIAMISS James 12' Floating Jump Shot39
71.9%
41
28.1%
Q2 - 5:57DETVillanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Singler 2 AST)39
73.4%
41
26.6%
Q2 - 6:06MIAVillanueva STEAL (1 STL)39
77.5%
38
22.5%
Q2 - 6:19DETSingler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bynum 5 AST)39
79.7%
38
20.3%
Q2 - 6:28MIACole 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)39
82.7%
35
17.3%
Q2 - 6:38MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
81.4%
35
18.6%
Q2 - 6:39DETMISS Singler 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
80.8%
35
19.2%
Q2 - 6:46DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
79.4%
35
20.6%
Q2 - 6:48MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup37
80.0%
35
20.0%
Q2 - 7:01DETBynum 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)37
81.4%
35
18.6%
Q2 - 7:18MIACole 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)37
82.8%
33
17.2%
Q2 - 7:39DETDrummond 1' Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Bynum 4 AST)34
79.8%
33
20.2%
Q2 - 7:53MIABosh 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)34
81.2%
31
18.8%
Q2 - 8:18DETVillanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bynum 3 AST)32
79.7%
31
20.3%
Q2 - 8:32MIABosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)32
82.7%
28
17.3%
Q2 - 8:48DETVillanueva Dunk (2 PTS) (Daye 1 AST)32
84.2%
28
15.8%
Q2 - 8:53MIADrummond STEAL (1 STL)32
85.5%
26
14.5%
Q2 - 9:00MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
86.8%
26
13.2%
Q2 - 9:01DETMISS Bynum 9' Jump Shot32
86.3%
26
13.7%
Q2 - 9:11DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
85.4%
26
14.6%
Q2 - 9:12MIAMISS Allen 7' Jump Shot32
85.8%
26
14.2%
Q2 - 9:37DETDaye Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)32
86.7%
26
13.3%
Q2 - 9:37DETMISS Daye Free Throw 1 of 232
86.9%
25
13.1%
Q2 - 9:51DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
86.6%
25
13.4%
Q2 - 9:53MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot32
87.0%
25
13.0%
Q2 - 10:18DETDrummond 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)32
87.7%
25
12.3%
Q2 - 10:21DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
88.5%
23
11.5%
Q2 - 10:23DETMISS Singler 14' Jump Shot32
89.3%
23
10.7%
Q2 - 10:27DETSingler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
88.6%
23
11.4%
Q2 - 10:29MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot32
88.9%
23
11.1%
Q2 - 10:49DETDaye 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST)32
89.7%
23
10.3%
Q2 - 11:06DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
91.1%
20
8.9%
Q2 - 11:07MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
91.3%
20
8.7%
Q2 - 11:28DETDaye 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)32
91.9%
20
8.1%
Q2 - 11:34DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
93.2%
17
6.8%
Q2 - 11:35MIAMISS Allen 8' Jump Shot32
93.4%
17
6.6%
Q2 - 11:44MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
93.8%
17
6.2%
Q2 - 11:45DETMISS Daye 17' Jump Shot32
93.6%
17
6.4%
Q2 - 11:50DETSingler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
93.2%
17
6.8%
Q2 - 11:52MIAMISS James Layup32
93.4%
17
6.6%
Q2 - 11:55DETVillanueva Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)32
93.8%
17
6.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET32
93.2%
17
6.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)32
93.0%
17
7.0%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
92.2%
17
7.8%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
91.9%
17
8.1%
Q1 - 0:41.0DETDrummond 1' Putback Dunk (2 PTS)30
92.2%
17
7.8%
Q1 - 0:41.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
93.0%
15
7.0%
Q1 - 0:41.0DETMISS Bynum 7' Jump Shot30
93.4%
15
6.6%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAJames 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)30
93.0%
15
7.0%
Q1 - 0:59.0DETDrummond Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)28
92.2%
15
7.8%
Q1 - 1:20MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)28
91.6%
15
8.4%
Q1 - 1:44DETDaye Foul Turnover (P1.T5)26
90.6%
15
9.4%
Q1 - 1:45DETKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
90.0%
15
10.0%
Q1 - 1:47MIADaye BLOCK (1 BLK)26
90.2%
15
9.8%
Q1 - 2:11MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
90.7%
15
9.3%
Q1 - 2:12DETMISS Knight Free Throw 2 of 226
90.6%
15
9.4%
Q1 - 2:12DETKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
90.0%
15
10.0%
Q1 - 2:19DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
90.7%
14
9.3%
Q1 - 2:20MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot26
90.9%
14
9.1%
Q1 - 2:29MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
91.4%
14
8.6%
Q1 - 2:30DETMISS Prince 14' Fadeaway Jumper26
91.2%
14
8.8%
Q1 - 2:55MIAAllen Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)26
90.7%
14
9.3%
Q1 - 3:04MIAAllen Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)26
91.5%
14
8.5%
Q1 - 3:14DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
90.8%
14
9.2%
Q1 - 3:14DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
90.9%
13
9.1%
Q1 - 3:29MIAJames 5' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)25
91.5%
12
8.5%
Q1 - 3:51DETMonroe 1' Layup (2 PTS)23
90.8%
12
9.2%
Q1 - 4:13MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)23
91.3%
10
8.7%
Q1 - 4:23MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
90.6%
10
9.4%
Q1 - 4:24DETMISS Monroe 5' Hook Shot21
90.4%
10
9.6%
Q1 - 4:46MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 1 AST)21
89.8%
10
10.2%
Q1 - 5:01MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
88.5%
10
11.5%
Q1 - 5:02DETMISS Maxiell 19' Jump Shot19
88.2%
10
11.8%
Q1 - 5:30MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)19
87.6%
10
12.4%
Q1 - 5:46DETMaxiell 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)17
86.7%
10
13.3%
Q1 - 6:05MIAMiller 1' Tip Shot (5 PTS)17
87.3%
8
12.7%
Q1 - 6:06MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
86.5%
8
13.5%
Q1 - 6:10MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 215
85.5%
8
14.5%
Q1 - 6:10MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
86.2%
8
13.8%
Q1 - 6:15MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
85.5%
8
14.5%
Q1 - 6:17DETMISS Singler 1' Layup14
85.1%
8
14.9%
Q1 - 6:21DETSingler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
84.4%
8
15.6%
Q1 - 6:23DETMISS Singler Layup14
85.1%
8
14.9%
Q1 - 6:43MIAJames 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
84.4%
8
15.6%
Q1 - 7:07DETSingler 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)12
83.5%
8
16.5%
Q1 - 7:25MIAJames 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
84.3%
6
15.7%
Q1 - 7:32DETKnight Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)10
83.4%
6
16.6%
Q1 - 7:36MIAKnight STEAL (1 STL)10
82.1%
6
17.9%
Q1 - 7:54DETSingler 1' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)10
83.4%
6
16.6%
Q1 - 8:15DETSingler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
84.6%
4
15.4%
Q1 - 8:16MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot10
85.0%
4
15.0%
Q1 - 8:32DETMaxiell 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Singler 1 AST)10
85.7%
4
14.3%
Q1 - 8:51MIAMiller Foul Turnover (P1.T2)10
86.5%
2
13.5%
Q1 - 9:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
87.4%
2
12.6%
Q1 - 9:03DETMISS Knight 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
87.1%
2
12.9%
Q1 - 9:11DETKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
86.5%
2
13.5%
Q1 - 9:12MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot10
86.8%
2
13.2%
Q1 - 9:30DETPrince 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)10
87.4%
2
12.6%
Q1 - 9:56MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)10
88.1%
0
11.9%
Q1 - 10:12DETSingler Foul Turnover (P1.T3)8
87.1%
0
12.9%
Q1 - 10:26MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)8
86.2%
0
13.8%
Q1 - 10:33MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
84.6%
0
15.4%
Q1 - 10:34MIAMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot5
83.8%
0
16.2%
Q1 - 10:39DETMonroe Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)5
84.6%
0
15.4%
Q1 - 10:55MIAMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)5
83.5%
0
16.5%
Q1 - 11:03MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
81.5%
0
18.5%
Q1 - 11:08DETMISS Singler Layup2
81.2%
0
18.8%
Q1 - 11:13MIASingler STEAL (1 STL)2
80.6%
0
19.4%
Q1 - 11:24DETMonroe Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
81.5%
0
18.5%
Q1 - 11:38MIAHaslem 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
80.6%
0
19.4%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Monroe vs. Bosh: Tip to Miller0
79.5%
0
20.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.18 58.9%
DET
1.28 64.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
20
70%
DET
17
30
57%
Midrange
MIA
16
28
57%
DET
14
25
56%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
29
31%
47%
DET
12
18.0
19
63%
95%
Free Throws
MIA
12
16
75%
DET
11
17
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3573%17.5 / 24
C. Bosh2870%14.0 / 20
R. Allen935%4.5 / 13
U. Haslem758%3.5 / 6
S. Battier660%3.0 / 5
M. Miller542%2.5 / 6
N. Cole583%2.5 / 3
M. Chalmers429%2.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
W. Bynum2574%12.5 / 17
C. Villanueva1890%9.0 / 10
K. Singler1255%6.0 / 11
T. Prince1155%5.5 / 10
A. Daye1192%5.5 / 6
A. Drummond1071%5.0 / 7
J. Maxiell956%4.5 / 8
B. Knight758%3.5 / 6
G. Monroe650%3.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
73
+11
-14
84
DET
74
+10
-14
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.18 58.9%
DET
1.28 64.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.1
103.8
MIA 113.8
DET 123.9 +10.1
Pace
90.9
90.9
MIA 87.4
DET 87.6 +0.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.8
MIA 16.5
DET 16.4 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.2%
48.7%
MIA 56.5%
DET 66.2% +9.7%
TO %
14.5%
15.9%
MIA 14.3% +0.4%
DET 14.7%
ORB %
22.2%
28.3%
MIA 24.4% +2.5%
DET 21.9%
FTrt
29.7
28.2
MIA 20.8
DET 23.0 +2.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
58.5%
MIA 46.2%
DET 55.8% +9.6%
STL %
9.5%
7.6%
MIA 6.9% +0.1%
DET 6.8%
BLK %
9.1%
8.0%
MIA 9.1% +4.9%
DET 4.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.0%
50.7%
MIA 58.9%
DET 64.1% +5.2%
Rim FG%
65.9%
55.8%
MIA 70.0% +13.3%
DET 56.7%
Mid FG%
41.9%
36.1%
MIA 57.1% +1.1%
DET 56.0%
3P %
39.6%
35.6%
MIA 31.0%
DET 63.2% +32.2%
FT %
75.4%
69.9%
MIA 75.0% +10.3%
DET 64.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
45.1%
MIA 26.0%
DET 40.5% +14.6%
Mid Att. %
36.7%
33.2%
MIA 36.4%
DET 33.8% +2.6%
3P Att. %
28.5%
21.7%
MIA 37.7% +12.0%
DET 25.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions8788
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points99109
Rebounds3538
Assists1824
Steals66
Blocks52
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (0)31 (0)
Field Goals39-7743-74
At-the-Rim FG14-2017-30
Midrange FG16-2814-25
2-Point FG30-4831-55
3-Point FG9-2912-19
Free Throws12-1611-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
44.3
35
73%
6
5
6
1
3
1
1
5
3-4
75%
13-18
72%
2-4
50%
C · 6'11" 235 · 29
39.5
28
70%
9
1
0
3
4
3
4
5
6-6
100%
11-16
69%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 27
28.7
4
29%
2
4
0
0
1
3
1
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
1-6
17%
G · 6'8" 218 · 33
23.2
5
42%
4
1
0
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-5
20%
F · 6'8" 235 · 33
20.5
7
58%
2
1
0
1
1
3
1
1
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 37
28.7
9
35%
5
0
0
0
2
1
1
4
1-1
100%
1-6
17%
2-7
29%
F · 6'8" 220 · 34
27.5
6
60%
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-1
0%
0-0
-
2-5
40%
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
19.1
5
83%
0
5
0
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
C · 6'9" 245 · 30
8.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 31
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
F · 6'10" 235 · 33
G · 6'4" 190 · 25
#55 · F-C · 6'10" 275 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
59%
35
18
6
5
14
0
10
25
12-16
75%
30-48
63%
9-29
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.