FinalWin Prob.pScore
243%97
97
457%100
103
ORTG#PossPace
OKC logo OKC
106.691110.3
MIA logo MIA
112.09278.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventOKCMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0OKC97
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)97
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 0:05.0OKCMISS Westbrook 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 0:07.0OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)97
4.8%
100
95.2%
Q4 - 0:10.0OKCMISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
2.8%
100
97.2%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)97
8.4%
100
91.6%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)97
9.3%
99
90.7%
Q4 - 0:18.0OKCDurant 14' Jump Shot (33 PTS)97
16.2%
98
83.8%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIABosh 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (James 9 AST)95
10.3%
98
89.7%
Q4 - 0:44.0OKCDurant 1' Driving Dunk (31 PTS)95
23.0%
96
77.0%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T14)93
14.7%
96
85.3%
Q4 - 1:08OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)93
9.4%
96
90.6%
Q4 - 1:08OKCMISS Durant Free Throw 1 of 292
8.9%
96
91.1%
Q4 - 1:10OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)92
10.2%
96
89.8%
Q4 - 1:11MIAMISS James 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup92
8.8%
96
91.2%
Q4 - 1:20MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)92
6.5%
96
93.5%
Q4 - 1:21OKCBattier BLOCK (1 BLK)92
7.9%
96
92.1%
Q4 - 1:30OKCMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
12.8%
96
87.2%
Q4 - 1:31MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
11.1%
96
88.9%
Q4 - 1:53OKCPerkins Foul Turnover (P4.T17)92
9.0%
96
91.0%
Q4 - 2:04OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
15.8%
96
84.2%
Q4 - 2:05MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot92
13.4%
96
86.6%
Q4 - 2:13MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
9.1%
96
90.9%
Q4 - 2:14MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot92
13.5%
96
86.5%
Q4 - 2:29OKCWestbrook Foul Turnover (P5.T16)92
9.1%
96
90.9%
Q4 - 2:33OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)92
16.2%
96
83.8%
Q4 - 2:34MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Finger Roll Layup92
13.6%
96
86.4%
Q4 - 2:53MIAHEAT Rebound92
10.8%
96
89.2%
Q4 - 2:54OKCMISS Westbrook 1' Driving Layup92
12.5%
96
87.5%
Q4 - 2:56OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)92
17.3%
96
82.7%
Q4 - 2:56MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot92
15.0%
96
85.0%
Q4 - 3:12OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)92
10.6%
96
89.4%
Q4 - 3:12OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)91
10.0%
96
90.0%
Q4 - 3:24MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)90
7.9%
96
92.1%
Q4 - 3:24MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)90
8.6%
95
91.4%
Q4 - 3:42MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
14.1%
94
85.9%
Q4 - 3:43OKCChalmers BLOCK (1 BLK)90
15.7%
94
84.3%
Q4 - 3:58OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
19.6%
94
80.4%
Q4 - 3:59MIAMISS James 9' Jump Bank Shot90
17.6%
94
82.4%
Q4 - 4:10MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)90
13.6%
94
86.4%
Q4 - 4:11OKCMISS Durant 11' Jump Shot90
15.2%
94
84.8%
Q4 - 4:31MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (27 PTS)90
19.3%
94
80.7%
Q4 - 4:54OKCMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)90
25.1%
92
74.9%
Q4 - 4:54OKCMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)89
24.4%
92
75.6%
Q4 - 5:02MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)88
21.8%
92
78.2%
Q4 - 5:23MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
16.1%
92
83.9%
Q4 - 5:24OKCMISS Durant 16' Turnaround Jump Shot88
17.7%
92
82.3%
Q4 - 5:43MIAWade 1' Alley Oop Layup (21 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)88
21.6%
92
78.4%
Q4 - 5:56OKCDurant 1' Driving Layup (28 PTS)88
27.3%
90
72.7%
Q4 - 6:20MIAWade 1' Running Dunk (19 PTS)86
23.6%
90
76.4%
Q4 - 6:40OKCCollison 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Durant 3 AST)86
28.8%
88
71.2%
Q4 - 6:49OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)84
23.5%
88
76.5%
Q4 - 6:50MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
21.7%
88
78.3%
Q4 - 7:13OKCDurant 12' Running Jump Shot (26 PTS)84
19.9%
88
80.1%
Q4 - 7:31MIABosh 7' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (James 8 AST)82
16.1%
88
83.9%
Q4 - 7:58OKCMartin 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Westbrook 3 AST)82
19.7%
86
80.3%
Q4 - 8:16MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)79
14.1%
86
85.9%
Q4 - 8:28MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
21.6%
83
78.4%
Q4 - 8:29OKCMISS Martin 9' Jump Shot79
22.9%
83
77.1%
Q4 - 8:49MIAChalmers 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (James 7 AST)79
26.1%
83
73.9%
Q4 - 9:08OKCJackson Foul Turnover (P1.T15)79
32.3%
81
67.7%
Q4 - 9:17MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)79
37.5%
81
62.5%
Q4 - 9:17MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)79
38.7%
80
61.3%
Q4 - 9:32OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)79
43.5%
79
56.5%
Q4 - 9:32OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)78
42.8%
79
57.2%
Q4 - 9:43OKCThunder Rebound77
37.5%
79
62.5%
Q4 - 9:44OKCMISS Westbrook 21' Jump Shot77
33.8%
79
66.2%
Q4 - 9:48OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)77
37.5%
79
62.5%
Q4 - 9:50MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
35.9%
79
64.1%
Q4 - 10:16OKCDurant 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)77
32.6%
79
67.4%
Q4 - 10:37MIAWade 1' Dunk (15 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)74
23.5%
79
76.5%
Q4 - 10:52OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)74
27.8%
77
72.2%
Q4 - 10:52OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)73
27.1%
77
72.9%
Q4 - 10:54MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)72
23.5%
77
76.5%
Q4 - 11:04OKCAnthony STEAL (2 STL)72
20.6%
77
79.4%
Q4 - 11:12MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)72
24.3%
77
75.7%
Q4 - 11:29MIAHEAT Rebound72
33.1%
74
66.9%
Q4 - 11:31OKCMISS Martin 2' Driving Layup72
34.5%
74
65.5%
Q4 - 11:34MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)72
37.9%
74
62.1%
Q4 - 11:47OKCMartin Traveling Turnover (P2.T13)72
33.0%
74
67.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA72
37.9%
74
62.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
33.0%
74
67.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0OKCMISS Durant 16' Jump Shot72
34.9%
74
65.1%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)72
38.0%
74
62.0%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)72
39.1%
73
60.9%
Q3 - 0:36.0OKCDurant 21' Jump Shot (19 PTS)72
43.2%
72
56.8%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 6 AST)70
38.0%
72
62.0%
Q3 - 1:07OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)70
47.8%
69
52.2%
Q3 - 1:07OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)69
47.3%
69
52.7%
Q3 - 1:07OKCThunder Rebound68
42.9%
69
57.1%
Q3 - 1:08OKCMISS Ibaka 18' Jump Shot68
39.7%
69
60.3%
Q3 - 1:23MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)68
42.9%
69
57.1%
Q3 - 1:23MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)68
44.2%
68
55.8%
Q3 - 1:23MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
47.9%
67
52.1%
Q3 - 1:24MIAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
51.2%
67
48.8%
Q3 - 1:36MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
47.9%
67
52.1%
Q3 - 1:37OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)68
52.7%
67
47.3%
Q3 - 1:37OKCMISS Westbrook 1' Tip Shot68
49.3%
67
50.7%
Q3 - 1:38OKCMISS Durant 2' Layup68
49.3%
67
50.7%
Q3 - 1:42OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
52.7%
67
47.3%
Q3 - 1:44OKCMISS Westbrook 11' Turnaround Bank Shot68
49.4%
67
50.6%
Q3 - 1:51OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
52.7%
67
47.3%
Q3 - 1:52MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot68
51.2%
67
48.8%
Q3 - 2:07OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)68
47.2%
67
52.8%
Q3 - 2:07OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)67
46.4%
67
53.6%
Q3 - 2:25MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (23 PTS)66
42.7%
67
57.3%
Q3 - 2:47OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)66
47.2%
65
52.8%
Q3 - 2:47OKCMISS Westbrook Free Throw 1 of 265
46.5%
65
53.5%
Q3 - 2:51OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
47.3%
65
52.7%
Q3 - 2:52MIAMISS James 2' Layup65
45.9%
65
54.1%
Q3 - 3:07MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
42.5%
65
57.5%
Q3 - 3:08OKCAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)65
43.9%
65
56.1%
Q3 - 3:18OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)65
47.1%
65
52.9%
Q3 - 3:19OKCMISS Ibaka 3PT Jump Shot65
43.9%
65
56.1%
Q3 - 3:29MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)65
47.1%
65
52.9%
Q3 - 3:38MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
42.5%
65
57.5%
Q3 - 3:39OKCMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
43.9%
65
56.1%
Q3 - 3:53MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)65
47.1%
65
52.9%
Q3 - 3:53MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)65
48.0%
64
52.0%
Q3 - 3:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
51.3%
63
48.7%
Q3 - 3:54MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
54.6%
63
45.4%
Q3 - 4:04MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
50.6%
63
49.4%
Q3 - 4:05OKCMISS Perkins 1' Tip Shot65
52.2%
63
47.8%
Q3 - 4:06OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
55.7%
63
44.3%
Q3 - 4:07OKCMISS Durant 11' Jump Shot65
52.2%
63
47.8%
Q3 - 4:21MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)65
55.7%
63
44.3%
Q3 - 4:21MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)65
56.4%
62
43.6%
Q3 - 4:38OKCIbaka 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)65
59.2%
61
40.8%
Q3 - 4:49OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
55.7%
61
44.3%
Q3 - 4:50MIAMISS Bosh 9' Hook Shot63
54.2%
61
45.8%
Q3 - 5:08OKCDurant 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (15 PTS)63
50.2%
61
49.8%
Q3 - 5:29MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)61
46.6%
61
53.4%
Q3 - 5:29MIAHEAT Rebound61
41.9%
61
58.1%
Q3 - 5:30MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
45.2%
61
54.8%
Q3 - 5:58OKCWestbrook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Durant 2 AST)61
41.9%
61
58.1%
Q3 - 6:23MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (James 5 AST)58
34.9%
61
65.1%
Q3 - 6:32MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)58
41.9%
58
58.1%
Q3 - 6:33OKCMISS Westbrook 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
43.3%
58
56.7%
Q3 - 6:55MIAJames 1' Layup (21 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)58
46.5%
58
53.5%
Q3 - 7:05OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)58
49.4%
56
50.6%
Q3 - 7:12OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
42.0%
56
58.0%
Q3 - 7:13MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot55
40.8%
56
59.2%
Q3 - 7:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
38.1%
56
61.9%
Q3 - 7:29MIAMISS Chalmers 20' Jump Shot55
40.8%
56
59.2%
Q3 - 7:53OKCDurant 14' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)55
38.1%
56
61.9%
Q3 - 8:09MIABosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)53
34.9%
56
65.1%
Q3 - 8:16OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)53
31.2%
56
68.8%
Q3 - 8:16OKCMISS Westbrook Free Throw 1 of 252
30.7%
56
69.3%
Q3 - 8:22OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
31.5%
56
68.5%
Q3 - 8:23MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot52
30.5%
56
69.5%
Q3 - 8:49OKCWestbrook Foul Turnover (P3.T12)52
28.1%
56
71.9%
Q3 - 8:50MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)52
31.5%
56
68.5%
Q3 - 8:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
28.1%
56
71.9%
Q3 - 8:55OKCMISS Durant 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
29.1%
56
70.9%
Q3 - 9:06OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)52
31.6%
56
68.4%
Q3 - 9:07MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot52
30.6%
56
69.4%
Q3 - 9:31OKCWestbrook 14' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Sefolosha 2 AST)52
28.3%
56
71.7%
Q3 - 9:36OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
25.6%
56
74.4%
Q3 - 9:37MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
24.7%
56
75.3%
Q3 - 10:01OKCIbaka 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)50
23.1%
56
76.9%
Q3 - 10:14OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
20.8%
56
79.2%
Q3 - 10:15MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot48
20.1%
56
79.9%
Q3 - 10:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
18.4%
56
81.6%
Q3 - 10:30OKCMISS Ibaka 19' Jump Shot48
19.1%
56
80.9%
Q3 - 10:57MIABosh 9' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (James 4 AST)48
20.8%
56
79.2%
Q3 - 11:19OKCThunder Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)48
23.7%
54
76.3%
Q3 - 11:43OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
26.4%
54
73.6%
Q3 - 11:44MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot48
25.6%
54
74.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA48
23.7%
54
76.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound48
23.7%
54
76.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 42' 3PT Jump Shot48
25.6%
54
74.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
24.9%
54
75.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0OKCJames BLOCK (1 BLK)48
25.4%
54
74.6%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (19 PTS)48
26.6%
54
73.4%
Q2 - 0:47.0OKCIbaka Layup (11 PTS)48
30.0%
52
70.0%
Q2 - 0:48.0OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)46
26.6%
52
73.4%
Q2 - 0:49.0OKCMISS Westbrook 14' Turnaround Jump Shot46
25.3%
52
74.7%
Q2 - 1:01OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
27.0%
52
73.0%
Q2 - 1:02MIAMISS Wade 17' Turnaround Jump Shot46
26.5%
52
73.5%
Q2 - 1:16OKCPerkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)46
25.3%
52
74.7%
Q2 - 1:16OKCPerkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)45
24.5%
52
75.5%
Q2 - 1:30MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)44
22.2%
52
77.8%
Q2 - 1:53OKCMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)44
27.8%
49
72.2%
Q2 - 1:53OKCMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 243
27.6%
49
72.4%
Q2 - 1:58MIABattier Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)43
26.9%
49
73.1%
Q2 - 2:17OKCWestbrook 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)43
25.3%
49
74.7%
Q2 - 2:40MIAHaslem Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)41
23.0%
49
77.0%
Q2 - 2:47OKCHaslem STEAL (1 STL)41
25.3%
47
74.7%
Q2 - 2:59MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)41
27.7%
47
72.3%
Q2 - 3:17OKCDurant Foul Turnover (P4.T9)41
30.4%
45
69.6%
Q2 - 3:39MIAWade 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)41
33.4%
45
66.6%
Q2 - 4:08OKCIbaka 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Westbrook 2 AST)41
35.8%
43
64.2%
Q2 - 4:27MIAJames 1' Putback Dunk (12 PTS)39
33.4%
43
66.6%
Q2 - 4:28MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)39
35.8%
41
64.2%
Q2 - 4:29MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
37.9%
41
62.1%
Q2 - 4:40OKCChalmers STEAL (1 STL)39
35.8%
41
64.2%
Q2 - 4:53MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T5)39
38.8%
41
61.2%
Q2 - 4:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
35.8%
41
64.2%
Q2 - 4:55OKCMISS Martin 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
36.7%
41
63.3%
Q2 - 5:05OKCMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
38.8%
41
61.2%
Q2 - 5:06MIAMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot39
38.0%
41
62.0%
Q2 - 5:18MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
36.1%
41
63.9%
Q2 - 5:19OKCMISS Westbrook 14' Pullup Jump Shot39
36.9%
41
63.1%
Q2 - 5:28OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
38.8%
41
61.2%
Q2 - 5:29MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
37.9%
41
62.1%
Q2 - 5:55MIAHEAT Rebound39
36.1%
41
63.9%
Q2 - 5:56MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
37.9%
41
62.1%
Q2 - 6:25MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
35.9%
41
64.1%
Q2 - 6:26OKCMISS Durant 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup39
36.8%
41
63.2%
Q2 - 6:31OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
39.0%
41
61.0%
Q2 - 6:32MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Bank Shot39
38.0%
41
62.0%
Q2 - 6:40MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
35.9%
41
64.1%
Q2 - 6:41OKCMISS Durant 12' Turnaround Jump Shot39
36.8%
41
63.2%
Q2 - 7:03MIAJames 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)39
39.0%
41
61.0%
Q2 - 7:15MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
41.2%
39
58.8%
Q2 - 7:16MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
43.2%
39
56.8%
Q2 - 7:33OKCMartin 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)39
41.2%
39
58.8%
Q2 - 7:55OKCThunder Rebound37
39.0%
39
61.0%
Q2 - 7:56MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
38.1%
39
61.9%
Q2 - 8:15OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)37
36.3%
39
63.7%
Q2 - 8:15OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)36
36.0%
39
64.0%
Q2 - 8:31MIABattier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)35
34.1%
39
65.9%
Q2 - 8:48OKCDurant 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)35
31.7%
39
68.3%
Q2 - 9:02MIABosh 9' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)32
27.7%
39
72.3%
Q2 - 9:22OKCMartin Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)32
29.6%
37
70.4%
Q2 - 9:32MIABosh 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)29
25.8%
37
74.2%
Q2 - 9:48OKCMartin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)29
27.6%
35
72.4%
Q2 - 10:04MIAMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)26
24.2%
35
75.8%
Q2 - 10:08MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
27.7%
32
72.3%
Q2 - 10:09OKCMISS Westbrook 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup26
28.4%
32
71.6%
Q2 - 10:27MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)26
30.0%
32
70.0%
Q2 - 10:53OKCCollison 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)26
33.9%
29
66.1%
Q2 - 10:54OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
32.1%
29
67.9%
Q2 - 10:55OKCMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot24
30.4%
29
69.6%
Q2 - 11:09MIACole Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)24
32.0%
29
68.0%
Q2 - 11:13MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)24
29.9%
29
70.1%
Q2 - 11:14OKCMISS Collison 1' Layup24
30.5%
29
69.5%
Q2 - 11:32MIAJames 12' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)24
32.0%
29
68.0%
Q2 - 11:38MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
34.1%
27
65.9%
Q2 - 11:39MIAMISS Cole 5' Driving Jump Shot24
35.7%
27
64.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
34.1%
27
65.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0OKCCollison Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
34.1%
27
65.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0OKCCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
33.5%
27
66.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
32.0%
27
68.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0OKCAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)22
30.7%
27
69.3%
Q1 - 0:11.0OKCMartin Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)22
31.8%
27
68.2%
Q1 - 0:11.0OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
29.8%
27
70.2%
Q1 - 0:12.0MIAMISS James 6' Driving Jump Shot21
29.3%
27
70.7%
Q1 - 0:33.0OKCJackson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)21
28.3%
27
71.7%
Q1 - 0:35.0OKCJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
24.2%
27
75.8%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot18
23.7%
27
76.3%
Q1 - 0:57.0OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)18
22.8%
27
77.2%
Q1 - 0:57.0OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)17
22.5%
27
77.5%
Q1 - 1:05OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
21.3%
27
78.7%
Q1 - 1:06MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
20.9%
27
79.1%
Q1 - 1:30OKCAnthony STEAL (1 STL)16
20.1%
27
79.9%
Q1 - 1:53OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)16
21.2%
27
78.8%
Q1 - 1:54MIAMISS Battier 21' Jump Shot16
20.9%
27
79.1%
Q1 - 2:08MIAAllen Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)16
20.2%
27
79.8%
Q1 - 2:08OKCDurant Foul Turnover (P3.T6)16
21.8%
26
78.2%
Q1 - 2:22MIAChalmers 8' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)16
23.3%
26
76.7%
Q1 - 2:46OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)16
25.0%
24
75.0%
Q1 - 2:46OKCMISS Durant Free Throw 1 of 215
24.9%
24
75.1%
Q1 - 3:00MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 3 AST)15
24.9%
24
75.1%
Q1 - 3:08MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
28.6%
21
71.4%
Q1 - 3:09OKCMISS Martin 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
29.2%
21
70.8%
Q1 - 3:24MIAJames 1' Layup (6 PTS)15
30.6%
21
69.4%
Q1 - 3:25MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
32.4%
19
67.6%
Q1 - 3:26MIAMISS James 1' Driving Layup15
33.9%
19
66.1%
Q1 - 3:47OKCMartin Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)15
32.4%
19
67.6%
Q1 - 3:56OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
34.6%
19
65.4%
Q1 - 3:57MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot15
33.9%
19
66.1%
Q1 - 4:13OKCIbaka Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)15
32.5%
19
67.5%
Q1 - 4:13OKCIbaka Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)14
32.0%
19
68.0%
Q1 - 4:29MIAWade 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)13
30.7%
19
69.3%
Q1 - 4:40OKCWestbrook 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Perkins 1 AST)13
32.5%
17
67.5%
Q1 - 4:50OKCThunder Rebound11
30.7%
17
69.3%
Q1 - 4:51OKCMISS Westbrook 12' Jump Shot11
29.3%
17
70.7%
Q1 - 5:15MIAWade 9' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
31.0%
17
69.0%
Q1 - 5:40OKCWestbrook 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)11
32.7%
15
67.3%
Q1 - 5:53OKCThunder Rebound9
30.9%
15
69.1%
Q1 - 5:54MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
30.4%
15
69.6%
Q1 - 6:18OKCDurant 11' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
29.3%
15
70.7%
Q1 - 6:23OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
27.8%
15
72.2%
Q1 - 6:24MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot7
27.2%
15
72.8%
Q1 - 6:37OKCIbaka 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)7
26.1%
15
73.9%
Q1 - 6:49OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)5
24.6%
15
75.4%
Q1 - 6:50OKCMISS Perkins 9' Jump Shot5
23.5%
15
76.5%
Q1 - 6:59MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)5
24.6%
15
75.4%
Q1 - 7:09MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
23.5%
15
76.5%
Q1 - 7:10MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
24.7%
15
75.3%
Q1 - 7:29OKCPerkins 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Durant 1 AST)5
23.5%
15
76.5%
Q1 - 7:44MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)3
22.3%
15
77.7%
Q1 - 7:57OKCIbaka Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)3
23.4%
13
76.6%
Q1 - 7:57OKCMISS Ibaka Free Throw 1 of 22
23.1%
13
76.9%
Q1 - 7:57MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
23.7%
13
76.3%
Q1 - 8:01OKCJames STEAL (2 STL)2
22.6%
13
77.4%
Q1 - 8:20MIAChalmers Driving Layup (5 PTS)2
24.0%
13
76.0%
Q1 - 8:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
25.3%
11
74.7%
Q1 - 8:24OKCMISS Ibaka 14' Jump Shot2
25.8%
11
74.2%
Q1 - 8:28OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
26.9%
11
73.1%
Q1 - 8:32OKCMISS Westbrook 7' Driving Jump Shot2
25.8%
11
74.2%
Q1 - 8:47MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)2
26.9%
11
73.1%
Q1 - 9:08OKCDurant Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)2
28.8%
9
71.2%
Q1 - 9:29MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
30.5%
9
69.5%
Q1 - 9:46OKCIbaka 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Westbrook 1 AST)2
31.9%
7
68.1%
Q1 - 9:50OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
30.4%
7
69.6%
Q1 - 9:51OKCMISS Sefolosha 3PT Jump Shot0
29.3%
7
70.7%
Q1 - 10:07OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.0%
7
69.0%
Q1 - 10:08MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
30.5%
7
69.5%
Q1 - 10:29OKCPerkins Foul Turnover (P1.T2)0
29.3%
7
70.7%
Q1 - 10:45MIAJames 1' Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)0
31.0%
7
69.0%
Q1 - 10:49OKCJames STEAL (1 STL)0
32.3%
5
67.7%
Q1 - 10:59MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)0
34.1%
5
65.9%
Q1 - 11:07MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
37.2%
2
62.8%
Q1 - 11:08OKCMISS Westbrook 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
37.6%
2
62.4%
Q1 - 11:33MIAWade 2' Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)0
38.6%
2
61.4%
Q1 - 11:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
40.3%
0
59.7%
Q1 - 11:43OKCMISS Perkins 9' Jump Shot0
40.8%
0
59.2%
Q1 - 12:00OKCJump Ball Ibaka vs. Bosh: Tip to Durant0
41.8%
0
58.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.08 53.9%
MIA
1.12 56.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
OKC
10
21
48%
MIA
16
21
76%
Midrange
OKC
15
34
44%
MIA
14
31
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
OKC
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
MIA
8
12.0
28
29%
43%
Free Throws
OKC
32
38
84%
MIA
19
19
100%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Durant3366%16.5 / 25
R. Westbrook2142%10.5 / 25
S. Ibaka1563%7.5 / 12
K. Martin1563%7.5 / 12
N. Collison675%3.0 / 4
K. Perkins433%2.0 / 6
R. Jackson375%1.5 / 2
T. Sefolosha0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2966%14.5 / 22
D. Wade2155%10.5 / 19
M. Chalmers2071%10.0 / 14
C. Bosh1662%8.0 / 13
R. Allen758%3.5 / 6
M. Miller675%3.0 / 4
U. Haslem250%1.0 / 2
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
S. Battier0-0.0 / 5
N. Cole0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

OKC
75
+14
-16
89
MIA
79
+12
-13
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.08 53.9%
MIA
1.12 56.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.9
112.1
OKC 106.6
MIA 112.0 +5.4
Pace
93.9
90.9
OKC 110.3 +32.0
MIA 78.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
16.0
OKC 13.1 +5.3
MIA 18.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
55.2%
OKC 45.8%
MIA 52.5% +6.7%
TO %
15.5%
14.5%
OKC 16.2%
MIA 13.7% +2.5%
ORB %
26.6%
22.2%
OKC 30.6% +6.3%
MIA 24.3%
FTrt
33.8
29.7
OKC 53.5 +29.7
MIA 23.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.1%
60.0%
OKC 46.7%
MIA 52.6% +5.9%
STL %
8.8%
9.5%
OKC 8.8% +2.3%
MIA 6.5%
BLK %
12.0%
9.1%
OKC 1.9%
MIA 9.1% +7.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.4%
57.0%
OKC 53.9%
MIA 56.0% +2.1%
Rim FG%
62.2%
65.9%
OKC 47.6%
MIA 76.2% +28.6%
Mid FG%
41.8%
41.9%
OKC 44.1%
MIA 45.2% +1.1%
3P %
37.7%
39.6%
OKC 31.3% +2.7%
MIA 28.6%
FT %
82.8%
75.4%
OKC 84.2%
MIA 100.0% +15.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.7%
34.8%
OKC 29.6% +3.3%
MIA 26.3%
Mid Att. %
39.9%
36.7%
OKC 47.9%
MIA 38.8% +9.1%
3P Att. %
24.4%
28.5%
OKC 22.5%
MIA 35.0% +12.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsOKCMIA
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes19.828.2
Points97103
Rebounds3934
Assists1420
Steals86
Blocks15
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)25 (2)
Field Goals30-7138-80
At-the-Rim FG10-2116-21
Midrange FG15-3414-31
2-Point FG25-5530-52
3-Point FG5-168-28
Free Throws32-3819-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 200 · 24
43.4
21
42%
11
3
2
0
5
4
6
5
10-12
83%
4-15
27%
1-4
25%
F · 6'11" 240 · 24
38.9
33
66%
7
3
0
0
4
4
1
6
9-11
82%
9-17
53%
2-4
50%
F · 6'10" 235 · 23
36.9
15
63%
6
0
0
1
0
3
2
4
3-4
75%
6-9
67%
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 220 · 29
27.6
0
0%
3
2
2
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 270 · 28
25.7
4
33%
5
1
2
0
4
4
0
5
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 199 · 30
35.0
15
63%
2
1
1
0
2
3
0
2
5-6
83%
2-5
40%
2-5
40%
F · 6'10" 255 · 32
19.4
6
75%
4
2
1
0
0
3
2
2
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 208 · 23
13.1
3
75%
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 175 · 26
C · 7'3" 263 · 26
F · 6'11" 235 · 21
G · 6'5" 185 · 21
G · 6'6" 209 · 25
#33 · C · 6'10" 275 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
54%
39
14
8
1
16
0
11
28
32-38
84%
25-55
45%
5-16
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.