FinalWin Prob.pScore
1928%95
89
572%103
105
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
96.79295.6
MIA logo MIA
112.99390.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA89
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)89
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0UTAMISS Burks Free Throw 1 of 189
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAPittman Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)87
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)87
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Harris 1' Driving Layup87
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0UTABurks 8' Running Jump Shot (3 PTS)87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0UTAMISS Burks Free Throw 2 of 285
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0UTABurks Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0UTAEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13UTAEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)84
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13UTAEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21MIAPittman Foul Turnover (P1.T15)82
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25UTACole STEAL (2 STL)82
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)82
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30UTAMISS Burks 18' Jump Shot82
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43MIAMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)82
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59UTAMISS Evans 1' Alley Oop Layup82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:13MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20UTAAllen STEAL (2 STL)82
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)82
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)82
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43UTAMISS Favors 16' Jump Shot82
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)82
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)82
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)82
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04UTABattier BLOCK (3 BLK)82
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)82
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42UTAAllen STEAL (1 STL)82
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 3:55MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (25 PTS)82
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q4 - 4:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)82
1.1%
92
98.9%
Q4 - 4:02UTAMISS Foye 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 4:27MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)82
1.5%
92
98.5%
Q4 - 4:27MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)82
1.7%
91
98.3%
Q4 - 4:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)82
2.1%
90
97.9%
Q4 - 4:40UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 2 of 282
2.2%
90
97.8%
Q4 - 4:40UTAMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)82
2.8%
90
97.2%
Q4 - 4:41UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)81
2.2%
90
97.8%
Q4 - 4:42UTAMISS Tinsley 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
1.7%
90
98.3%
Q4 - 5:00UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)81
2.2%
90
97.8%
Q4 - 5:00MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
1.9%
90
98.1%
Q4 - 5:14UTAWade STEAL (2 STL)81
2.2%
90
97.8%
Q4 - 5:20MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)81
3.2%
90
96.8%
Q4 - 5:33UTAFavors Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)81
2.2%
90
97.8%
Q4 - 5:33UTAFavors Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)80
2.0%
90
98.0%
Q4 - 5:38UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)79
1.6%
90
98.4%
Q4 - 5:39MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot79
1.5%
90
98.5%
Q4 - 5:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q4 - 6:00MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot79
1.4%
90
98.6%
Q4 - 6:26UTAHayward 1' Dunk (15 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)79
1.6%
90
98.4%
Q4 - 6:31MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)77
1.2%
90
98.8%
Q4 - 6:50UTATinsley 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Carroll 2 AST)77
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q4 - 7:18MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)74
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 7:39UTAKanter Traveling Turnover (P1.T16)74
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q4 - 7:57MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)74
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 8:05MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 8:06UTAMISS Carroll 3PT Jump Shot74
1.7%
87
98.3%
Q4 - 8:24UTAHayward Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)74
2.0%
87
98.0%
Q4 - 8:26MIACole 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)73
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 8:49UTACarroll 9' Jump Shot (3 PTS)73
2.0%
85
98.0%
Q4 - 8:51UTACarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q4 - 8:52UTAMISS Favors 17' Turnaround Jump Shot71
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q4 - 9:14MIAAnthony 2' Layup (4 PTS)71
2.0%
85
98.0%
Q4 - 9:15MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)71
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q4 - 9:16MIAMISS Allen 1' Reverse Layup71
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q4 - 9:28MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q4 - 9:29UTAMISS Carroll Free Throw 2 of 271
2.6%
83
97.4%
Q4 - 9:29UTACarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)71
3.0%
83
97.0%
Q4 - 9:47MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (21 PTS)70
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q4 - 9:57UTATinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)70
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q4 - 9:57UTATinsley Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)69
2.9%
81
97.1%
Q4 - 9:59MIAAllen Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)68
2.4%
81
97.6%
Q4 - 10:17MIABattier Free Throw 3 of 3 (15 PTS)68
3.5%
80
96.5%
Q4 - 10:17MIABattier Free Throw 2 of 3 (14 PTS)68
3.7%
79
96.3%
Q4 - 10:17MIABattier Free Throw 1 of 3 (13 PTS)68
4.0%
78
96.0%
Q4 - 10:33UTAFavors Foul Turnover (P1.T15)68
5.4%
77
94.6%
Q4 - 10:55MIAWade 1' Dunk (19 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)68
6.7%
77
93.3%
Q4 - 11:13UTATinsley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carroll 1 AST)68
8.9%
75
91.1%
Q4 - 11:28MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)65
5.9%
75
94.1%
Q4 - 11:28MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)65
6.2%
74
93.8%
Q4 - 11:43UTAFavors Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)65
7.3%
73
92.7%
Q4 - 11:43UTAFavors Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)64
6.8%
73
93.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTA63
5.9%
73
94.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAAnthony Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)63
5.9%
73
94.1%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAHEAT Rebound63
5.3%
73
94.7%
Q3 - 0:04.0UTAMISS Hayward 14' Turnaround Jump Shot63
5.6%
73
94.4%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P2.T9)63
6.4%
73
93.6%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
5.3%
73
94.7%
Q3 - 0:32.0UTAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
5.6%
73
94.4%
Q3 - 0:55.0UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
6.3%
73
93.7%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
6.0%
73
94.0%
Q3 - 1:07UTAHayward Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)63
5.6%
73
94.4%
Q3 - 1:14UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)60
3.9%
73
96.1%
Q3 - 1:15MIAMISS James 14' Jump Shot60
3.7%
73
96.3%
Q3 - 1:41UTAFavors 2' Layup (6 PTS)60
3.2%
73
96.8%
Q3 - 1:57MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS)58
2.6%
73
97.4%
Q3 - 2:16UTAHayward 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)58
3.5%
71
96.5%
Q3 - 2:40MIAJames 12' Fadeaway Bank Shot (19 PTS)55
2.5%
71
97.5%
Q3 - 2:56UTAWilliams 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)55
2.9%
69
97.1%
Q3 - 3:02UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)53
2.7%
69
97.3%
Q3 - 3:03MIAMISS Haslem 1' Layup53
2.6%
69
97.4%
Q3 - 3:13UTAMiller STEAL (2 STL)53
2.3%
69
97.7%
Q3 - 3:18UTAWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)53
2.7%
69
97.3%
Q3 - 3:19MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot53
2.6%
69
97.4%
Q3 - 3:41UTAWilliams 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)53
2.3%
69
97.7%
Q3 - 3:45MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)51
1.9%
69
98.1%
Q3 - 4:10UTAJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)51
1.7%
69
98.3%
Q3 - 4:10UTAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)50
1.7%
69
98.3%
Q3 - 4:20MIAJames 2' Finger Roll Layup (17 PTS)49
1.5%
69
98.5%
Q3 - 4:21MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)49
1.7%
67
98.3%
Q3 - 4:22MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot49
2.0%
67
98.0%
Q3 - 4:28UTABattier STEAL (1 STL)49
1.7%
67
98.3%
Q3 - 4:48MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 7 AST)49
2.1%
67
97.9%
Q3 - 5:04UTAJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)49
3.1%
64
96.9%
Q3 - 5:18MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)49
3.7%
64
96.3%
Q3 - 5:22MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
3.1%
64
96.9%
Q3 - 5:23UTAMISS Watson 1' Layup49
3.2%
64
96.8%
Q3 - 5:34MIAJames 1' Driving Reverse Layup (15 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)49
3.7%
64
96.3%
Q3 - 5:54MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
4.2%
62
95.8%
Q3 - 5:55UTAMISS Millsap 5' Jump Shot49
4.5%
62
95.5%
Q3 - 6:08MIAJump Ball Wade vs. Watson: Tip to Jefferson49
5.4%
62
94.6%
Q3 - 6:20UTAWatson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)49
4.5%
62
95.5%
Q3 - 6:26UTAWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
4.0%
62
96.0%
Q3 - 6:27MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot47
3.7%
62
96.3%
Q3 - 6:48UTAMillsap Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)47
3.3%
62
96.7%
Q3 - 7:01UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
4.2%
62
95.8%
Q3 - 7:02MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot47
4.0%
62
96.0%
Q3 - 7:10MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)47
3.6%
62
96.4%
Q3 - 7:11UTAMISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
3.8%
62
96.2%
Q3 - 7:27MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS)47
4.2%
62
95.8%
Q3 - 7:40MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
4.8%
60
95.2%
Q3 - 7:41UTAMISS Jefferson 17' Jump Shot47
5.0%
60
95.0%
Q3 - 8:01UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
5.8%
60
94.2%
Q3 - 8:02MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
5.5%
60
94.5%
Q3 - 8:14MIAHEAT Rebound47
4.9%
60
95.1%
Q3 - 8:14MIAMISS James 1' Driving Layup47
5.5%
60
94.5%
Q3 - 8:28UTAMillsap 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)47
4.9%
60
95.1%
Q3 - 8:40MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)45
4.3%
60
95.7%
Q3 - 8:40MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)45
4.5%
59
95.5%
Q3 - 8:43MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
4.9%
58
95.1%
Q3 - 8:44UTAMISS Watson 2' Reverse Layup45
5.2%
58
94.8%
Q3 - 9:07MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 6 AST)45
6.0%
58
94.0%
Q3 - 9:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
7.8%
55
92.2%
Q3 - 9:23UTAMISS Jefferson 18' Jump Shot45
8.1%
55
91.9%
Q3 - 9:46UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
8.9%
55
91.1%
Q3 - 9:47MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
8.6%
55
91.4%
Q3 - 10:06UTAJefferson 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Watson 4 AST)45
7.8%
55
92.2%
Q3 - 10:12MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)43
6.9%
55
93.1%
Q3 - 10:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
6.0%
55
94.0%
Q3 - 10:17UTAMISS Foye 14' Jump Shot43
6.3%
55
93.7%
Q3 - 10:32MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)43
6.9%
55
93.1%
Q3 - 10:41UTAChalmers STEAL (1 STL)43
8.9%
52
91.1%
Q3 - 11:03MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 5 AST)43
10.5%
52
89.5%
Q3 - 11:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
13.3%
49
86.7%
Q3 - 11:15UTAMISS Jefferson 9' Jump Shot43
13.8%
49
86.2%
Q3 - 11:35MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)43
15.0%
49
85.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA43
16.7%
47
83.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTAHaslem STEAL (1 STL)43
16.7%
47
83.3%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)43
18.7%
47
81.3%
Q2 - 0:14.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
21.5%
45
78.5%
Q2 - 0:15.0UTAHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)43
21.9%
45
78.1%
Q2 - 0:32.0UTAHayward Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)43
23.1%
45
76.9%
Q2 - 0:38.0UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
20.8%
45
79.2%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAMISS James 2' Layup42
20.4%
45
79.6%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
19.3%
45
80.7%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot42
20.4%
45
79.6%
Q2 - 1:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
19.5%
45
80.5%
Q2 - 1:10UTAMISS Hayward 17' Jump Shot42
19.9%
45
80.1%
Q2 - 1:29UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
20.9%
45
79.1%
Q2 - 1:30MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot42
20.5%
45
79.5%
Q2 - 1:57UTAHayward 9' Running Bank Shot (5 PTS)42
19.5%
45
80.5%
Q2 - 2:18MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (James 4 AST)40
17.4%
45
82.6%
Q2 - 2:21MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)40
19.2%
43
80.8%
Q2 - 2:22UTAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot40
19.8%
43
80.2%
Q2 - 2:27UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
21.2%
43
78.8%
Q2 - 2:28UTAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
19.8%
43
80.2%
Q2 - 2:36UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
21.2%
43
78.8%
Q2 - 2:37MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot40
20.6%
43
79.4%
Q2 - 2:48UTAWilliams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)40
19.2%
43
80.8%
Q2 - 2:53MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)40
21.2%
43
78.8%
Q2 - 3:00UTAWade STEAL (1 STL)40
19.2%
43
80.8%
Q2 - 3:19UTAJazz Rebound40
21.2%
43
78.8%
Q2 - 3:20MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot40
20.5%
43
79.5%
Q2 - 3:29MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
19.0%
43
81.0%
Q2 - 3:30UTAMISS Carroll 12' Jump Shot40
19.6%
43
80.4%
Q2 - 3:37UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
21.2%
43
78.8%
Q2 - 3:38UTABattier BLOCK (2 BLK)40
19.6%
43
80.4%
Q2 - 3:53UTACarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
21.2%
43
78.8%
Q2 - 3:54MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 240
20.9%
43
79.1%
Q2 - 3:54MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 240
19.7%
43
80.3%
Q2 - 4:05UTAFavors Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
19.0%
43
81.0%
Q2 - 4:05UTAFavors Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
18.4%
43
81.6%
Q2 - 4:25MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)38
17.4%
43
82.6%
Q2 - 5:01UTAFavors 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)38
19.1%
41
80.9%
Q2 - 5:23MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)36
17.4%
41
82.6%
Q2 - 5:38UTAKanter 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
19.1%
39
80.9%
Q2 - 5:46UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
17.4%
39
82.6%
Q2 - 5:47UTAMISS Hayward 2' Layup34
16.3%
39
83.7%
Q2 - 6:03MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)34
17.6%
39
82.4%
Q2 - 6:03MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)34
17.9%
38
82.1%
Q2 - 6:12UTACole STEAL (1 STL)34
18.9%
37
81.1%
Q2 - 6:22MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)34
21.0%
37
79.0%
Q2 - 6:39UTAKanter 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)34
18.9%
37
81.1%
Q2 - 7:03MIAWade 9' Running Bank Shot (9 PTS)32
17.6%
37
82.4%
Q2 - 7:19UTAHayward 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)32
19.0%
35
81.0%
Q2 - 7:37MIAAnthony 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)29
16.1%
35
83.9%
Q2 - 8:01MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
17.6%
33
82.4%
Q2 - 8:02UTAMISS Favors 2' Driving Reverse Layup29
18.0%
33
82.0%
Q2 - 8:18UTACarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
19.2%
33
80.8%
Q2 - 8:19MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot29
18.7%
33
81.3%
Q2 - 8:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)29
17.5%
33
82.5%
Q2 - 8:31UTAMISS Favors 10' Running Jump Shot29
18.0%
33
82.0%
Q2 - 8:48MIAWade 17' Turnaround Fadeaway (7 PTS)29
19.2%
33
80.8%
Q2 - 9:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
20.7%
31
79.3%
Q2 - 9:01UTAMISS Millsap 18' Jump Shot29
21.0%
31
79.0%
Q2 - 9:19UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
22.3%
31
77.7%
Q2 - 9:20MIAMISS Cole 13' Jump Shot29
21.8%
31
78.2%
Q2 - 9:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
20.5%
31
79.5%
Q2 - 9:43UTAMISS Carroll 20' Jump Shot29
21.1%
31
78.9%
Q2 - 10:03UTAWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
22.5%
31
77.5%
Q2 - 10:04MIAMISS Cole 19' Jump Shot29
21.9%
31
78.1%
Q2 - 10:18UTAMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)29
20.5%
31
79.5%
Q2 - 10:18UTAMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)28
20.2%
31
79.8%
Q2 - 10:32MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)27
19.2%
31
80.8%
Q2 - 10:32MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 227
19.5%
30
80.5%
Q2 - 10:36UTAAnthony STEAL (1 STL)27
18.9%
30
81.1%
Q2 - 10:44UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
20.8%
30
79.2%
Q2 - 10:45MIAMISS Anthony 6' Jump Shot27
20.2%
30
79.8%
Q2 - 11:05UTAMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)27
19.1%
30
80.9%
Q2 - 11:05UTAMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)26
18.7%
30
81.3%
Q2 - 11:12UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
17.7%
30
82.3%
Q2 - 11:13UTAAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)25
16.7%
30
83.3%
Q2 - 11:29MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)25
17.7%
30
82.3%
Q2 - 11:29MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
17.8%
29
82.2%
Q2 - 11:36MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
19.1%
28
80.9%
Q2 - 11:37UTAMISS Millsap 11' Fadeaway Jumper25
19.6%
28
80.4%
Q2 - 11:52MIAAnthony Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)25
20.7%
28
79.3%
Q2 - 11:54MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
19.1%
28
80.9%
Q2 - 11:55MIAMISS James 9' Running Jump Shot25
20.2%
28
79.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
19.1%
28
80.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound25
19.1%
28
80.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Anthony 12' Jump Shot25
20.1%
28
79.9%
Q1 - 0:10.0UTAWilliams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)25
19.3%
28
80.7%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAAllen 2' Layup (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)25
20.4%
28
79.6%
Q1 - 0:41.0UTAFoye 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)25
22.4%
26
77.6%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAJames 7' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
20.4%
26
79.6%
Q1 - 1:11UTAWilliams 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Foye 1 AST)23
22.4%
24
77.6%
Q1 - 1:29MIAAllen 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)21
20.4%
24
79.6%
Q1 - 1:53UTAWilliams 3' Jump Shot (10 PTS)21
22.4%
22
77.6%
Q1 - 1:54UTAWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)19
20.4%
22
79.6%
Q1 - 1:55UTAMISS Williams 1' Tip Shot19
19.7%
22
80.3%
Q1 - 1:56UTAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)19
20.4%
22
79.6%
Q1 - 1:57UTAMISS Jefferson 18' Jump Shot19
19.7%
22
80.3%
Q1 - 2:13MIACole 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)19
20.6%
22
79.4%
Q1 - 2:22UTAMiller STEAL (1 STL)19
23.9%
19
76.1%
Q1 - 2:47MIAHaslem 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)19
25.5%
19
74.5%
Q1 - 3:04UTAMillsap 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)19
26.9%
17
73.1%
Q1 - 3:33MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)17
25.3%
17
74.7%
Q1 - 3:39UTAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)17
27.0%
15
73.0%
Q1 - 3:56MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)14
23.6%
15
76.4%
Q1 - 4:16UTAWilliams 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)14
26.5%
12
73.5%
Q1 - 4:28UTAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
24.9%
12
75.1%
Q1 - 4:29MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot12
24.4%
12
75.6%
Q1 - 4:33MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
23.2%
12
76.8%
Q1 - 4:34UTABattier BLOCK (1 BLK)12
23.7%
12
76.3%
Q1 - 4:41UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
24.9%
12
75.1%
Q1 - 4:42MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
24.4%
12
75.6%
Q1 - 4:52MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
23.2%
12
76.8%
Q1 - 4:53UTAMISS Jefferson 18' Jump Shot12
23.7%
12
76.3%
Q1 - 5:09UTAFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
24.7%
12
75.3%
Q1 - 5:10MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot12
24.2%
12
75.8%
Q1 - 5:24MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
23.1%
12
76.9%
Q1 - 5:25UTAMISS Foye 14' Jump Shot12
23.6%
12
76.4%
Q1 - 5:39UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
24.7%
12
75.3%
Q1 - 5:40MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
24.2%
12
75.8%
Q1 - 6:07UTAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)12
22.8%
12
77.2%
Q1 - 6:26MIAHaslem 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)9
20.2%
12
79.8%
Q1 - 6:46UTAMillsap 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)9
21.4%
10
78.6%
Q1 - 7:07MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)7
20.1%
10
79.9%
Q1 - 7:29UTAJefferson 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)7
21.2%
8
78.8%
Q1 - 7:39UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
20.1%
8
79.9%
Q1 - 7:40MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot5
19.7%
8
80.3%
Q1 - 7:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
18.7%
8
81.3%
Q1 - 7:48UTAMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot5
19.1%
8
80.9%
Q1 - 7:54UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
20.1%
8
79.9%
Q1 - 7:55MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot5
19.7%
8
80.3%
Q1 - 8:08UTAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)5
18.6%
8
81.4%
Q1 - 8:14UTAFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.5%
8
83.5%
Q1 - 8:15MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot2
16.2%
8
83.8%
Q1 - 8:32UTAJazz Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)2
15.4%
8
84.6%
Q1 - 8:32UTAJazz Rebound2
16.5%
8
83.5%
Q1 - 8:33UTAMISS Foye 16' Jump Shot2
15.8%
8
84.2%
Q1 - 8:58MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (3 PTS)2
16.5%
8
83.5%
Q1 - 9:10MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.7%
6
82.3%
Q1 - 9:11UTAMISS Foye 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
18.0%
6
82.0%
Q1 - 9:27MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
18.8%
6
81.2%
Q1 - 9:36UTAMillsap Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
17.6%
6
82.4%
Q1 - 9:54MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)2
18.8%
6
81.2%
Q1 - 9:54MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 22
19.1%
5
80.9%
Q1 - 10:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
18.8%
5
81.2%
Q1 - 10:03UTAMISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
19.2%
5
80.8%
Q1 - 10:17MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
20.1%
5
79.9%
Q1 - 10:26MIAHEAT Rebound2
21.1%
3
78.9%
Q1 - 10:27UTAMISS Williams 2' Tip Shot2
21.5%
3
78.5%
Q1 - 10:28UTAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
22.4%
3
77.6%
Q1 - 10:29UTAMISS Jefferson 12' Jump Shot2
21.5%
3
78.5%
Q1 - 10:45MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)2
22.4%
3
77.6%
Q1 - 10:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.7%
0
75.3%
Q1 - 10:57UTAMISS Millsap 17' Jump Shot2
25.2%
0
74.8%
Q1 - 11:13UTAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
25.5%
0
74.5%
Q1 - 11:14MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
25.2%
0
74.8%
Q1 - 11:40UTAWilliams Layup (2 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)2
24.4%
0
75.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball James vs. Jefferson: Tip to Millsap0
23.2%
0
76.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.03 51.7%
MIA
1.22 61.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
14
27
52%
MIA
14
19
74%
Midrange
UTA
9
30
30%
MIA
13
30
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
MIA
11
16.5
24
46%
69%
Free Throws
UTA
22
26
85%
MIA
18
22
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Williams1667%8.0 / 12
G. Hayward1594%7.5 / 8
P. Millsap1150%5.5 / 11
D. Favors1045%5.0 / 11
J. Tinsley8100%4.0 / 4
A. Jefferson633%3.0 / 9
M. Williams583%2.5 / 3
A. Burks563%2.5 / 4
E. Kanter4100%2.0 / 2
D. Carroll330%1.5 / 5
R. Foye211%1.0 / 9
E. Watson233%1.0 / 3
J. Evans250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3060%15.0 / 25
D. Wade2162%10.5 / 17
S. Battier1583%7.5 / 9
R. Allen13108%6.5 / 6
U. Haslem650%3.0 / 6
M. Miller6100%3.0 / 3
M. Chalmers550%2.5 / 5
N. Cole542%2.5 / 6
J. Anthony450%2.0 / 4
T. Harris0-0.0 / 1
J. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
73
+12
-19
85
MIA
77
+8
-16
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.03 51.7%
MIA
1.22 61.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.4
112.1
UTA 96.7 +16.2
MIA 112.9
Pace
91.3
90.9
UTA 95.6 +4.9
MIA 90.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.0
UTA 15.1 +0.8
MIA 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
55.2%
UTA 45.9%
MIA 59.6% +13.7%
TO %
15.4%
14.5%
UTA 19.1%
MIA 16.2% +2.9%
ORB %
28.8%
22.2%
UTA 25.0% +6.8%
MIA 18.2%
FTrt
28.1
29.7
UTA 35.6 +5.5
MIA 30.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.0%
60.0%
UTA 60.0%
MIA 60.5% +0.5%
STL %
9.2%
9.5%
UTA 10.9%
MIA 12.9% +2.0%
BLK %
10.2%
9.1%
UTA 4.1%
MIA 8.8% +4.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.9%
57.0%
UTA 51.7%
MIA 61.0% +9.3%
Rim FG%
58.8%
65.9%
UTA 51.9%
MIA 73.7% +21.8%
Mid FG%
38.2%
41.9%
UTA 30.0%
MIA 43.3% +13.3%
3P %
36.6%
39.6%
UTA 43.8%
MIA 45.8% +2.0%
FT %
76.5%
75.4%
UTA 84.6% +2.8%
MIA 81.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.4%
34.8%
UTA 37.0% +11.0%
MIA 26.0%
Mid Att. %
43.0%
36.7%
UTA 41.1%
MIA 41.1%
3P Att. %
20.6%
28.5%
UTA 21.9%
MIA 32.9% +11.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsUTAMIA
Possessions9293
Possession Minutes23.124.6
Points89105
Rebounds3839
Assists1823
Steals1012
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (1)6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)33 (2)
Field Goals30-7338-73
At-the-Rim FG14-2714-19
Midrange FG9-3013-30
2-Point FG23-5727-49
3-Point FG7-1611-24
Free Throws22-2618-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'10" 280 · 28
31.8
6
33%
11
2
0
2
1
2
1
10
2-2
100%
2-8
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 246 · 28
29.1
11
50%
5
1
1
0
3
3
2
3
5-6
83%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 237 · 27
27.3
16
67%
4
1
0
0
1
1
3
1
0-0
-
5-7
71%
2-5
40%
G · 6'4" 218 · 29
22.8
2
11%
2
1
1
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-4
0%
G · 6'1" 198 · 30
16.3
5
83%
2
4
1
0
3
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 226 · 23
26.6
15
94%
1
0
0
0
3
2
0
1
3-3
100%
3-6
50%
2-2
100%
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21
23.5
10
45%
4
0
2
0
1
2
2
2
6-6
100%
2-8
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 199 · 34
17.1
2
33%
2
4
2
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
15.1
3
30%
3
2
1
0
1
2
1
2
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 188 · 35
14.1
8
100%
0
3
1
0
2
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
-
2-3
67%
C · 6'11" 245 · 21
10.6
4
100%
3
0
1
0
2
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 214 · 21
2.9
5
63%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 200 · 25
2.9
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#19 · G · 6'5" 210 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#55 · G · 6'6" 185 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
52%
38
18
10
2
19
0
11
27
22-26
85%
23-57
40%
7-16
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.