FinalWin Prob.pScore
365%101
110
2035%96
95
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
113.49795.0
DAL logo DAL
97.99799.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADAL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA110
100%
95
0%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T20)110
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0DALJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)110
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIABeaubois STEAL (1 STL)110
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0DALJones 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)110
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0DALJames REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)110
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAJames BLOCK (3 BLK)110
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)110
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot110
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0DALCrowder 5' Driving Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Beaubois 3 AST)110
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 1:09MIAPittman 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)110
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:24DALJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)108
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:24DALJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)108
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 1:29DALJames REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)108
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:31MIAMISS Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot108
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:50DALJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)108
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:50DALJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)108
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:02MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)108
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:24MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)108
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:26DALMISS Jones 5' Running Jump Shot108
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:43MIALewis 10' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)108
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 3:04DALJames 2' Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Collison 5 AST)106
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 3:17MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)106
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 3:43DALCrowder 17' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 1 AST)106
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 4:00MIACole 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)106
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 4:19DALJames 5' Driving Bank Shot (10 PTS)104
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 4:38MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)104
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 4:53DALCrowder Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)101
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 4:53DALMISS Crowder Free Throw 1 of 2101
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 4:58DALJames REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)101
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 4:59DALMISS Crowder 3PT Jump Shot101
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 5:14MIABosh 9' Turnaround Fadeaway (17 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)101
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 5:45DALCollison 18' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)99
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 5:55MIAAllen 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)99
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 6:12DALCarter 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Crowder 3 AST)97
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 6:27MIACole 2' Running Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)97
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 6:31MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)95
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 6:33DALMISS Beaubois 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 6:50MIAAllen 13' Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)95
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 7:07DALMayo 6' Running Bank Shot (8 PTS)93
99.8%
73
0.2%
Q4 - 7:13DALMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)93
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 7:14MIAMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 7:26MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 7:30DALMISS Jones 1' Running Finger Roll Layup93
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 7:33DALMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)93
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 7:35MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 7:55DALCollison 1' Running Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)93
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 7:57DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)93
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 7:59MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 8:06MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)93
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 8:07DALMISS Marion 5' Jump Shot93
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 8:18MIAMarion STEAL (2 STL)93
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 8:28MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)93
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 8:30MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 8:51DALMayo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)93
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 8:51DALMayo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)93
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 8:55DALMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 8:56MIAMISS Bosh 9' Turnaround Jump Shot93
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 9:04MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 9:05DALMISS Mayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 9:17DALMAVERICKS Rebound93
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 9:18MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 9:35DALMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)93
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 9:35DALMarion 2' Tip Shot (10 PTS)93
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 9:37DALMISS Jones 2' Driving Layup93
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 9:44MIAJones STEAL (1 STL)93
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 9:55MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 9:57DALMISS Jones 5' Driving Jump Shot93
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 10:07MIABattier 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)93
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 10:25DALCarter 2' Driving Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)91
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 10:47MIAMarion STEAL (1 STL)91
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 11:05MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)91
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 11:07DALMISS Mayo 12' Driving Jump Shot91
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 11:22DALMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 11:23MIAMISS Cole 9' Floating Jump Shot91
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 11:43DALCarter 19' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Beaubois 2 AST)91
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA91
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound91
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot91
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q3 - 0:08.0DALCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)91
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q3 - 0:08.0DALCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)91
99.9%
60
0.1%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIACarter STEAL (2 STL)91
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q3 - 0:41.0DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q3 - 0:41.0DALCarter 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)91
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q3 - 0:41.0DALMISS James 2' Driving Layup91
99.9%
57
0.1%
Q3 - 0:55.0DALJames REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)91
99.9%
57
0.1%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.9%
57
0.1%
Q3 - 1:10DALCrowder Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)91
99.9%
57
0.1%
Q3 - 1:10DALCrowder Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)91
99.9%
56
0.1%
Q3 - 1:21MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 5 AST)91
99.9%
55
0.1%
Q3 - 1:41MIAHeat Rebound88
99.9%
55
0.1%
Q3 - 1:41DALMISS James 11' Step Back Jump Shot88
99.9%
55
0.1%
Q3 - 1:50DALMAVERICKS Rebound88
99.9%
55
0.1%
Q3 - 1:51DALMISS Crowder 3PT Jump Shot88
99.9%
55
0.1%
Q3 - 2:11MIAChalmers 11' Running Bank Shot (4 PTS)88
99.9%
55
0.1%
Q3 - 2:32DALJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)86
99.8%
55
0.2%
Q3 - 2:32DALJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)86
99.9%
54
0.1%
Q3 - 2:35DALJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
99.9%
53
0.1%
Q3 - 2:36MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot86
99.9%
53
0.1%
Q3 - 2:44MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)86
99.9%
53
0.1%
Q3 - 2:48DALMISS Crowder 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
99.9%
53
0.1%
Q3 - 3:01MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)86
99.8%
53
0.2%
Q3 - 3:01MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)85
99.8%
53
0.2%
Q3 - 3:20DALJames 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Mayo 2 AST)84
99.8%
53
0.2%
Q3 - 3:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)84
99.8%
51
0.2%
Q3 - 3:31MIAWade 2' Tip Shot (17 PTS)84
99.8%
51
0.2%
Q3 - 3:34MIAMISS Haslem 3' Layup82
99.8%
51
0.2%
Q3 - 3:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)82
99.8%
51
0.2%
Q3 - 3:56DALMISS Mayo 2' Driving Layup82
99.8%
51
0.2%
Q3 - 4:03MIAMayo STEAL (2 STL)82
99.7%
51
0.3%
Q3 - 4:18MIAHeat Rebound82
99.8%
51
0.2%
Q3 - 4:19DALMISS Jones 8' Driving Bank Shot82
99.8%
51
0.2%
Q3 - 4:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
99.7%
51
0.3%
Q3 - 4:32MIAWade 2' Putback Layup (15 PTS)82
99.7%
51
0.3%
Q3 - 4:34MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
99.6%
51
0.4%
Q3 - 4:43DALJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)80
99.7%
51
0.3%
Q3 - 4:53DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)80
99.6%
51
0.4%
Q3 - 4:54MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot80
99.6%
51
0.4%
Q3 - 5:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)80
99.6%
51
0.4%
Q3 - 5:18DALMISS Mayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
99.6%
51
0.4%
Q3 - 5:30MIABosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)80
99.5%
51
0.5%
Q3 - 5:44MIAHeat Rebound80
99.6%
51
0.4%
Q3 - 5:44MIAJames BLOCK (2 BLK)80
99.6%
51
0.4%
Q3 - 5:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)80
99.6%
51
0.4%
Q3 - 5:51DALMISS Crowder 3PT Jump Shot80
99.6%
51
0.4%
Q3 - 6:08MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)80
99.5%
51
0.5%
Q3 - 6:08MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 279
99.4%
51
0.6%
Q3 - 6:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)79
99.5%
51
0.5%
Q3 - 6:25DALMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 279
99.5%
51
0.5%
Q3 - 6:25DALJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)79
99.4%
51
0.6%
Q3 - 6:34DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)79
99.5%
50
0.5%
Q3 - 6:36DALMISS Marion 5' Jump Shot79
99.5%
50
0.5%
Q3 - 6:59MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
99.5%
50
0.5%
Q3 - 6:59MIABosh 2' Putback Layup (15 PTS)79
99.5%
50
0.5%
Q3 - 7:02MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
99.2%
50
0.8%
Q3 - 7:10DALJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)77
99.3%
50
0.7%
Q3 - 7:26MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)77
99.1%
50
0.9%
Q3 - 7:38DALKaman 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)74
98.9%
50
1.1%
Q3 - 7:47MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 4 AST)74
99.0%
48
1.0%
Q3 - 8:09DALMarion 1' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Crowder 2 AST)72
98.8%
48
1.2%
Q3 - 8:23MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)72
98.9%
46
1.1%
Q3 - 8:32DALJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)72
99.1%
46
0.9%
Q3 - 8:42MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)72
98.9%
46
1.1%
Q3 - 8:42MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)71
98.9%
46
1.1%
Q3 - 8:47DALKaman Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)70
98.8%
46
1.2%
Q3 - 8:58MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)70
98.5%
46
1.5%
Q3 - 9:24DALMayo 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)67
97.9%
46
2.1%
Q3 - 9:33DALMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
98.2%
44
1.8%
Q3 - 9:35MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
98.2%
44
1.8%
Q3 - 9:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
98.4%
44
1.6%
Q3 - 9:43DALMISS Collison 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
98.3%
44
1.7%
Q3 - 9:55MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)67
98.2%
44
1.8%
Q3 - 10:01MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)64
97.4%
44
2.6%
Q3 - 10:02DALMISS Marion 14' Jump Shot64
97.3%
44
2.7%
Q3 - 10:23MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)64
97.0%
44
3.0%
Q3 - 10:23MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)63
96.9%
44
3.1%
Q3 - 10:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
96.6%
44
3.4%
Q3 - 10:33DALMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot62
96.5%
44
3.5%
Q3 - 10:48MIAWade 2' Driving Slam Dunk (10 PTS)62
96.1%
44
3.9%
Q3 - 11:01MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)60
95.3%
44
4.7%
Q3 - 11:02DALMISS Kaman 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot60
95.1%
44
4.9%
Q3 - 11:14MIAWade 5' Turnaround Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)60
94.6%
44
5.4%
Q3 - 11:32DALKaman 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Collison 4 AST)58
93.9%
44
6.1%
Q3 - 11:45DALCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
94.6%
42
5.4%
Q3 - 11:46MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Bank Shot58
94.8%
42
5.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA58
95.3%
42
4.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound58
95.3%
42
4.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 35' 3PT Jump Shot58
94.8%
42
5.2%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
94.7%
42
5.3%
Q2 - 0:08.0DALMISS Mayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
94.6%
42
5.4%
Q2 - 0:13.0DALMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)58
94.3%
42
5.7%
Q2 - 0:15.0DALMISS Mayo 8' Driving Jump Shot58
94.6%
42
5.4%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAJames 4' Jump Shot (16 PTS)58
94.3%
42
5.7%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
93.3%
42
6.7%
Q2 - 0:47.0DALMISS Collison Free Throw 2 of 256
93.2%
42
6.8%
Q2 - 0:47.0DALCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)56
92.6%
42
7.4%
Q2 - 1:00MIAMiller 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)56
93.5%
41
6.5%
Q2 - 1:07MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)53
91.1%
41
8.9%
Q2 - 1:09DALMISS Marion 11' Driving Jump Shot53
90.9%
41
9.1%
Q2 - 1:26MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)53
90.4%
41
9.6%
Q2 - 1:29DALCollison Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)53
91.1%
41
8.9%
Q2 - 1:37MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)53
90.4%
41
9.6%
Q2 - 1:42MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
91.1%
41
8.9%
Q2 - 1:43DALMISS Mayo 20' Pullup Jump Shot53
90.9%
41
9.1%
Q2 - 1:56MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)53
90.4%
41
9.6%
Q2 - 1:56MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 252
90.2%
41
9.8%
Q2 - 2:10DALKaman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
89.8%
41
10.2%
Q2 - 2:10DALKaman 2' Putback Layup (4 PTS)52
89.8%
41
10.2%
Q2 - 2:12DALMISS Marion 2' Running Layup52
91.6%
39
8.4%
Q2 - 2:25DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)52
90.9%
39
9.1%
Q2 - 2:27MIAMISS James 2' Layup52
91.2%
39
8.8%
Q2 - 2:43DALCollison 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)52
91.9%
39
8.1%
Q2 - 2:59MIAMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)52
92.8%
37
7.2%
Q2 - 3:19DALMayo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)49
90.8%
37
9.2%
Q2 - 3:41MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)49
89.5%
37
10.5%
Q2 - 3:50MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
88.6%
37
11.4%
Q2 - 3:51DALMISS Kaman 9' Fadeaway Jumper47
88.1%
37
11.9%
Q2 - 4:12DALMAVERICKS Rebound47
86.8%
37
13.2%
Q2 - 4:13MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot47
87.2%
37
12.8%
Q2 - 4:35DALJones 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)47
88.2%
37
11.8%
Q2 - 4:49MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)47
89.2%
35
10.8%
Q2 - 5:05MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
86.7%
35
13.3%
Q2 - 5:07DALMISS Crowder 14' Jump Shot44
86.3%
35
13.7%
Q2 - 5:26MIABosh 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)44
85.3%
35
14.7%
Q2 - 5:37MIAHeat Rebound42
83.8%
35
16.2%
Q2 - 5:39DALMISS Jones 9' Driving Jump Shot42
83.3%
35
16.7%
Q2 - 5:52DALJames REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)42
82.2%
35
17.8%
Q2 - 5:53DALMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
83.3%
35
16.7%
Q2 - 6:01DALMAVERICKS Rebound42
81.7%
35
18.3%
Q2 - 6:01DALMISS Jones 9' Running Bank Shot42
83.1%
35
16.9%
Q2 - 6:09MIAWade 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)42
81.7%
35
18.3%
Q2 - 6:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
80.4%
35
19.6%
Q2 - 6:21DALMISS Beaubois 3PT Jump Shot40
79.7%
35
20.3%
Q2 - 6:30DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
78.2%
35
21.8%
Q2 - 6:32MIAMISS Bosh 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot40
78.9%
35
21.1%
Q2 - 6:54DALJames 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)40
80.4%
35
19.6%
Q2 - 7:03MIABosh 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)40
81.6%
33
18.4%
Q2 - 7:19MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
80.1%
33
19.9%
Q2 - 7:21DALMISS Carter 27' 3PT Jump Shot38
79.6%
33
20.4%
Q2 - 7:28DALJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)38
78.2%
33
21.8%
Q2 - 7:29DALMISS Crowder 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
79.6%
33
20.4%
Q2 - 7:54MIABosh 6' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS)38
78.2%
33
21.8%
Q2 - 8:13DALJames 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)36
76.2%
33
23.8%
Q2 - 8:30MIAJames STEAL (1 STL)36
78.0%
31
22.0%
Q2 - 8:49DALCrowder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)36
79.8%
31
20.2%
Q2 - 9:03MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)36
82.6%
28
17.4%
Q2 - 9:23DALJones 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Beaubois 1 AST)33
79.7%
28
20.3%
Q2 - 9:26DALJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
81.1%
26
18.9%
Q2 - 9:28MIACarter BLOCK (1 BLK)33
81.6%
26
18.4%
Q2 - 9:50DALJames 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)33
82.7%
26
17.3%
Q2 - 10:07MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)33
83.7%
24
16.3%
Q2 - 10:07MIAAnthony 3' Tip Shot (2 PTS)33
83.7%
24
16.3%
Q2 - 10:10MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)31
82.5%
24
17.5%
Q2 - 10:10MIAMISS Anthony 2' Tip Shot31
81.3%
24
18.7%
Q2 - 10:11MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
81.3%
24
18.7%
Q2 - 10:41DALBeaubois 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Crowder 1 AST)31
82.5%
24
17.5%
Q2 - 10:46MIACarter STEAL (1 STL)31
83.7%
22
16.3%
Q2 - 10:57MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
85.2%
22
14.8%
Q2 - 10:59DALMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
84.8%
22
15.2%
Q2 - 11:05DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
83.5%
22
16.5%
Q2 - 11:07MIAJames BLOCK (1 BLK)31
83.9%
22
16.1%
Q2 - 11:23DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
84.8%
22
15.2%
Q2 - 11:23DALCrowder 1' Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)31
84.8%
22
15.2%
Q2 - 11:27DALMISS Crowder 1' Driving Layup31
86.8%
20
13.2%
Q2 - 11:36MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)31
86.0%
20
14.0%
Q2 - 11:36MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
87.2%
20
12.8%
Q2 - 11:38MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
86.4%
20
13.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL31
87.2%
20
12.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
87.2%
20
12.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0DALJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)31
85.8%
20
14.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0DALMISS James 2' Tip Shot31
86.4%
20
13.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0DALJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
85.8%
20
14.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0DALMISS James 1' Tip Shot31
86.4%
20
13.6%
Q1 - 0:04.0DALMISS Jones 2' Driving Layup31
86.4%
20
13.6%
Q1 - 0:14.0MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)31
85.8%
20
14.2%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
86.7%
20
13.3%
Q1 - 0:33.0DALMISS Mayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
86.4%
20
13.6%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIACole 7' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)31
85.8%
20
14.2%
Q1 - 1:05DALCrowder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)29
84.1%
20
15.9%
Q1 - 1:18MIABattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)29
86.7%
17
13.3%
Q1 - 1:18MIABattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)28
86.5%
17
13.5%
Q1 - 1:30MIAHeat Rebound27
85.3%
17
14.7%
Q1 - 1:30DALMISS Mayo 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
85.1%
17
14.9%
Q1 - 1:37DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)27
84.5%
17
15.5%
Q1 - 1:39MIAMISS James 11' Fadeaway Jumper27
84.7%
17
15.3%
Q1 - 1:47DALKaman 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Mayo 1 AST)27
85.3%
17
14.7%
Q1 - 2:00DALMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
86.8%
15
13.2%
Q1 - 2:02MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
86.9%
15
13.1%
Q1 - 2:14MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
87.6%
15
12.4%
Q1 - 2:20DALMISS Collison 2' Driving Reverse Layup27
87.3%
15
12.7%
Q1 - 2:25MIAMayo STEAL (1 STL)27
86.6%
15
13.4%
Q1 - 2:47DALMarion 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)27
87.6%
15
12.4%
Q1 - 3:07MIAJames 2' Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)27
88.5%
13
11.5%
Q1 - 3:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
87.6%
13
12.4%
Q1 - 3:13DALMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
87.3%
13
12.7%
Q1 - 3:14DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
86.5%
13
13.5%
Q1 - 3:18DALMISS Marion 6' Turnaround Hook Shot25
87.3%
13
12.7%
Q1 - 3:27DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
86.5%
13
13.5%
Q1 - 3:29MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
86.9%
13
13.1%
Q1 - 3:39MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
87.6%
13
12.4%
Q1 - 3:40DALMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot25
87.3%
13
12.7%
Q1 - 3:54MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)25
86.5%
13
13.5%
Q1 - 4:15DALCollison Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
84.1%
13
15.9%
Q1 - 4:15DALCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
84.3%
12
15.7%
Q1 - 4:22MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)22
85.2%
11
14.8%
Q1 - 4:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
82.9%
11
17.1%
Q1 - 4:29DALMISS Marion 4' Running Jump Shot19
82.5%
11
17.5%
Q1 - 4:32MIACollison STEAL (1 STL)19
81.6%
11
18.4%
Q1 - 4:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
82.9%
11
17.1%
Q1 - 4:35DALMISS Marion 2' Layup19
82.5%
11
17.5%
Q1 - 4:45DALMAVERICKS Rebound19
81.6%
11
18.4%
Q1 - 4:46DALMISS Mayo 14' Fadeaway Jumper19
82.5%
11
17.5%
Q1 - 5:04MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)19
80.9%
11
19.1%
Q1 - 5:11MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
78.2%
11
21.8%
Q1 - 5:12DALMISS Kaman 13' Jump Shot16
77.8%
11
22.2%
Q1 - 5:22DALMAVERICKS Rebound16
76.7%
11
23.3%
Q1 - 5:22DALMISS Mayo 2' Driving Layup16
77.8%
11
22.2%
Q1 - 5:25DALCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
76.7%
11
23.3%
Q1 - 5:27MIAMayo BLOCK (2 BLK)16
77.2%
11
22.8%
Q1 - 5:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
78.3%
11
21.7%
Q1 - 5:46DALMISS Kaman 9' Turnaround Hook Shot16
77.8%
11
22.2%
Q1 - 6:09MIAJames 2' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)16
76.4%
11
23.6%
Q1 - 6:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
75.0%
11
25.0%
Q1 - 6:15DALMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot14
74.5%
11
25.5%
Q1 - 6:30DALMAVERICKS Rebound14
73.4%
11
26.6%
Q1 - 6:31DALMISS Marion 11' Running Jump Shot14
74.5%
11
25.5%
Q1 - 6:53MIAJames 23' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)14
73.4%
11
26.6%
Q1 - 7:14DALCollison 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)12
72.1%
11
27.9%
Q1 - 7:23MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
73.4%
9
26.6%
Q1 - 7:32DALJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Collison 3 AST)10
72.1%
9
27.9%
Q1 - 7:49MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
74.9%
6
25.1%
Q1 - 7:49MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
74.6%
6
25.4%
Q1 - 8:00DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
73.6%
6
26.4%
Q1 - 8:00DALMarion 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)8
73.6%
6
26.4%
Q1 - 8:01DALMISS Collison 1' Driving Layup8
76.3%
4
23.7%
Q1 - 8:05DALKaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
75.3%
4
24.7%
Q1 - 8:07MIAMayo BLOCK (1 BLK)8
75.7%
4
24.3%
Q1 - 8:17DALKaman Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)8
76.7%
4
23.3%
Q1 - 8:37MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
75.2%
4
24.8%
Q1 - 8:37MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
74.9%
4
25.1%
Q1 - 8:41DALJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
73.9%
4
26.1%
Q1 - 8:58MIAJames 5' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
72.3%
4
27.7%
Q1 - 9:21DALMarion 1' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)4
71.1%
4
28.9%
Q1 - 9:41MIABosh 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)4
72.5%
2
27.5%
Q1 - 9:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
71.1%
2
28.9%
Q1 - 9:51DALMISS Kaman 2' Driving Layup2
70.6%
2
29.4%
Q1 - 10:02MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
69.5%
2
30.5%
Q1 - 10:08DALCollison Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
71.2%
2
28.8%
Q1 - 10:16MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
69.5%
2
30.5%
Q1 - 10:30MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
68.3%
2
31.7%
Q1 - 10:32DALMISS Kaman 14' Jump Shot0
67.8%
2
32.2%
Q1 - 10:53DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
66.5%
2
33.5%
Q1 - 10:54MIAMISS Bosh 9' Fadeaway Jumper0
67.1%
2
32.9%
Q1 - 11:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
68.3%
2
31.7%
Q1 - 11:14DALMISS Collison 2' Driving Layup0
67.9%
2
32.1%
Q1 - 11:26DALCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
67.0%
2
33.0%
Q1 - 11:28MIAMISS Wade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot0
67.4%
2
32.6%
Q1 - 11:49DALMayo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)0
68.3%
2
31.7%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Kaman vs. Bosh: Tip to Collison0
69.8%
0
30.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.21 60.4%
DAL
0.89 44.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
28
68%
DAL
27
47
57%
Midrange
MIA
13
22
59%
DAL
7
27
26%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
28
36%
54%
DAL
3
4.5
22
14%
20%
Free Throws
MIA
16
18
89%
DAL
18
21
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2480%12.0 / 15
D. Wade1963%9.5 / 15
C. Bosh1761%8.5 / 14
S. Battier1365%6.5 / 10
R. Allen1071%5.0 / 7
N. Cole650%3.0 / 6
M. Miller675%3.0 / 4
U. Haslem550%2.5 / 5
M. Chalmers467%2.0 / 3
J. Anthony233%1.0 / 3
R. Lewis2100%1.0 / 1
D. Pittman250%1.0 / 2
J. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Crowder1550%7.5 / 15
D. Jones1275%6.0 / 8
B. James1260%6.0 / 10
D. Collison1155%5.5 / 10
S. Marion1036%5.0 / 14
V. Carter1050%5.0 / 10
O. Mayo827%4.0 / 15
C. Kaman840%4.0 / 10
D. Jones732%3.5 / 11
R. Beaubois233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+11
-18
90
DAL
88
+18
-9
106
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.21 60.4%
DAL
0.89 44.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.1
106.1
MIA 113.4
DAL 97.9 +15.5
Pace
90.9
94.0
MIA 95.0
DAL 99.1 +4.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.0
MIA 15.2
DAL 14.5 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.2%
50.6%
MIA 60.3% +20.2%
DAL 40.1%
TO %
14.5%
14.2%
MIA 18.9%
DAL 7.9% +11.0%
ORB %
22.2%
22.0%
MIA 25.8% +0.8%
DAL 25.0%
FTrt
29.7
24.2
MIA 23.1 +1.2
DAL 21.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
59.9%
MIA 59.5%
DAL 62.2% +2.7%
STL %
9.5%
8.3%
MIA 8.2%
DAL 10.3% +2.1%
BLK %
9.1%
8.9%
MIA 5.4%
DAL 12.0% +6.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.0%
53.0%
MIA 60.4% +16.0%
DAL 44.4%
Rim FG%
65.9%
58.5%
MIA 67.9% +10.5%
DAL 57.4%
Mid FG%
41.9%
42.4%
MIA 59.1% +33.2%
DAL 25.9%
3P %
39.6%
37.2%
MIA 35.7% +22.1%
DAL 13.6%
FT %
75.4%
79.3%
MIA 88.9% +3.2%
DAL 85.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
31.0%
MIA 35.9%
DAL 49.0% +13.1%
Mid Att. %
36.7%
45.4%
MIA 28.2%
DAL 28.1% +0.1%
3P Att. %
28.5%
23.6%
MIA 35.9% +13.0%
DAL 22.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsMIADAL
Possessions9797
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points11095
Rebounds4736
Assists2523
Steals810
Blocks46
Turnovers (Team)18 (2)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)13 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (4)23 (2)
Field Goals42-7837-96
At-the-Rim FG19-2827-47
Midrange FG13-227-27
2-Point FG32-5034-74
3-Point FG10-283-22
Free Throws16-1818-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 235 · 29
34.7
17
61%
7
4
3
1
1
3
1
6
1-1
100%
8-13
62%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
30.9
24
80%
9
5
1
1
5
0
0
9
3-4
75%
6-8
75%
3-5
60%
G · 6'2" 190 · 27
27.3
4
67%
1
5
3
1
3
3
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 31
26.2
19
63%
5
6
0
1
3
1
2
3
4-4
100%
6-10
60%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 235 · 33
16.7
5
50%
7
1
1
0
0
0
0
7
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 34
24.6
13
65%
4
2
0
0
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
23.1
6
50%
2
1
0
0
3
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
G · 6'5" 205 · 37
18.5
10
71%
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
2
1-1
100%
3-3
100%
1-4
25%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
18.1
6
75%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-4
50%
C · 6'9" 245 · 30
10.0
2
33%
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 33
3.3
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 285 · 25
3.3
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#14 · G · 6'4" 190 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#55 · F-C · 6'10" 275 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
60%
47
25
8
4
18
0
8
39
16-18
89%
32-50
64%
10-28
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.