| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAS | 95.7 | 94 | 97.1 |
| POR | 101.0 | 97 | 94.0 |
Scoring Opportunities
SAS
75
+8
-19
83
POR
83
+14
-14
97
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
SAS
1.06 52.9%
POR
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | SAS | POR |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | POR | 90 0% | 98 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:03.0 | POR | Batum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 90 0.1% | 98 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:04.0 | SAS | MISS Neal 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 90 0.1% | 98 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:08.0 | POR | Batum Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 90 0.1% | 98 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:08.0 | POR | Batum Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 90 0.1% | 97 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:12.0 | POR | Lillard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 90 0.2% | 96 99.8% |
| Q4 - 0:16.0 | SAS | MISS Green 3PT Jump Shot | 90 0.3% | 96 99.7% |
| Q4 - 0:22.0 | SAS | Ginobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 90 1.3% | 96 98.7% |
| Q4 - 0:25.0 | SAS | MISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 90 0.8% | 96 99.2% |
| Q4 - 0:32.0 | POR | Babbitt Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15) | 90 1.9% | 96 98.1% |
| Q4 - 0:50.0 | POR | Batum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 90 1.9% | 96 98.1% |
| Q4 - 0:52.0 | SAS | Batum BLOCK (2 BLK) | 90 2.8% | 96 97.2% |
| Q4 - 1:08 | POR | Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lillard 6 AST) | 90 6.2% | 96 93.8% |
| Q4 - 1:26 | POR | Hickson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8) | 90 21.7% | 93 78.3% |
| Q4 - 1:30 | POR | MISS Lillard 22' Jump Shot | 90 30.8% | 93 69.2% |
| Q4 - 1:47 | SAS | Duncan 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Parker 5 AST) | 90 25.9% | 93 74.1% |
| Q4 - 2:04 | POR | Lillard 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (29 PTS) | 88 19.7% | 93 80.3% |
| Q4 - 2:22 | SAS | Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST) | 88 25.8% | 91 74.2% |
| Q4 - 2:36 | POR | Hickson 5' Running Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Batum 8 AST) | 85 13.3% | 91 86.7% |
| Q4 - 2:57 | SAS | Ginobili 2' Running Layup (12 PTS) | 85 21.1% | 89 78.9% |
| Q4 - 3:03 | SAS | Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 83 15.8% | 89 84.2% |
| Q4 - 3:05 | POR | MISS Batum 19' Jump Shot | 83 13.7% | 89 86.3% |
| Q4 - 3:20 | POR | Hickson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8) | 83 9.6% | 89 90.4% |
| Q4 - 3:21 | SAS | MISS Duncan 20' Jump Shot | 83 11.2% | 89 88.8% |
| Q4 - 3:35 | POR | Aldridge 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Pavlovic 2 AST) | 83 21.8% | 89 78.2% |
| Q4 - 3:50 | SAS | Neal Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T19) | 83 27.1% | 87 72.9% |
| Q4 - 4:06 | POR | Aldridge Foul Turnover (P5.T14) | 83 35.8% | 87 64.2% |
| Q4 - 4:27 | SAS | Duncan Dunk (14 PTS) (Splitter 3 AST) | 83 26.4% | 87 73.6% |
| Q4 - 4:48 | POR | Hickson Putback Layup (10 PTS) | 81 20.1% | 87 79.9% |
| Q4 - 4:48 | POR | Hickson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7) | 81 26.2% | 85 73.8% |
| Q4 - 4:49 | POR | MISS Pavlovic 16' Jump Shot | 81 32.4% | 85 67.6% |
| Q4 - 5:16 | SAS | Parker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 81 31.7% | 85 68.3% |
| Q4 - 5:16 | SAS | Parker 5' Jump Shot (21 PTS) | 81 31.7% | 85 68.3% |
| Q4 - 5:18 | SAS | MISS Parker 4' Jump Shot | 79 20.9% | 85 79.1% |
| Q4 - 5:38 | SAS | Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 79 25.2% | 85 74.8% |
| Q4 - 5:40 | POR | MISS Hickson 2' Layup | 79 23.1% | 85 76.9% |
| Q4 - 5:56 | SAS | Parker 1' Driving Layup (19 PTS) | 79 18.8% | 85 81.2% |
| Q4 - 6:05 | POR | Aldridge Foul Turnover (P4.T13) | 77 19.3% | 85 80.7% |
| Q4 - 6:19 | POR | Hickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 77 14.5% | 85 85.5% |
| Q4 - 6:20 | SAS | MISS Splitter 3' Hook Shot | 77 15.8% | 85 84.2% |
| Q4 - 6:30 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 77 19.0% | 85 81.0% |
| Q4 - 6:31 | POR | MISS Pavlovic 18' Pullup Jump Shot | 77 17.5% | 85 82.5% |
| Q4 - 6:38 | SAS | Pavlovic STEAL (4 STL) | 77 14.4% | 85 85.6% |
| Q4 - 6:54 | POR | Hickson 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Batum 7 AST) | 77 18.9% | 85 81.1% |
| Q4 - 7:10 | SAS | Parker 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Splitter 2 AST) | 77 28.0% | 83 72.0% |
| Q4 - 7:24 | SAS | Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 75 23.1% | 83 76.9% |
| Q4 - 7:25 | POR | MISS Lillard 21' Jump Shot | 75 21.5% | 83 78.5% |
| Q4 - 7:35 | POR | TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound | 75 18.1% | 83 81.9% |
| Q4 - 7:37 | POR | MISS Aldridge 22' Jump Shot | 75 21.4% | 83 78.6% |
| Q4 - 7:57 | POR | Hickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 75 18.0% | 83 82.0% |
| Q4 - 7:59 | SAS | MISS Duncan 11' Jump Bank Shot | 75 19.4% | 83 80.6% |
| Q4 - 8:13 | SAS | Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 75 26.3% | 83 73.7% |
| Q4 - 8:15 | POR | MISS Babbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 75 24.8% | 83 75.2% |
| Q4 - 8:32 | SAS | Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 75 21.6% | 83 78.4% |
| Q4 - 8:32 | SAS | Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 74 20.5% | 83 79.5% |
| Q4 - 8:41 | SAS | Mills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 73 17.5% | 83 82.5% |
| Q4 - 8:42 | POR | MISS Babbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 73 16.4% | 83 83.6% |
| Q4 - 9:02 | SAS | Pavlovic STEAL (3 STL) | 73 16.7% | 83 83.3% |
| Q4 - 9:09 | SAS | Splitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 73 20.2% | 83 79.8% |
| Q4 - 9:10 | POR | MISS Smith 14' Jump Shot | 73 19.1% | 83 80.9% |
| Q4 - 9:17 | POR | Pavlovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 73 16.6% | 83 83.4% |
| Q4 - 9:18 | SAS | MISS Duncan 20' Jump Shot | 73 17.6% | 83 82.4% |
| Q4 - 9:36 | POR | TRAIL BLAZERS Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#12) | 73 20.0% | 83 80.0% |
| Q4 - 9:49 | SAS | Ginobili 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST) | 73 16.5% | 83 83.5% |
| Q4 - 10:08 | POR | Aldridge 11' Pullup Jump Shot (20 PTS) | 71 15.6% | 83 84.4% |
| Q4 - 10:27 | SAS | Ginobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16) | 71 18.7% | 81 81.3% |
| Q4 - 10:36 | POR | Leonard 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 2 AST) | 71 22.4% | 81 77.6% |
| Q4 - 10:41 | POR | Leonard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 71 26.5% | 79 73.5% |
| Q4 - 10:45 | SAS | Pavlovic BLOCK (1 BLK) | 71 27.9% | 79 72.1% |
| Q4 - 10:49 | POR | Smith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11) | 71 31.1% | 79 68.9% |
| Q4 - 11:04 | SAS | Splitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 71 28.5% | 79 71.5% |
| Q4 - 11:04 | SAS | Splitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 70 27.2% | 79 72.8% |
| Q4 - 11:23 | POR | Lillard 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (27 PTS) | 69 24.2% | 79 75.8% |
| Q4 - 11:43 | POR | Lillard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 69 32.9% | 76 67.1% |
| Q4 - 11:44 | SAS | MISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 69 34.4% | 76 65.6% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | POR | 69 37.8% | 76 62.2% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | POR | TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound | 69 32.9% | 76 67.1% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | POR | MISS Lillard 68' 3PT Jump Shot | 69 36.3% | 76 63.7% |
| Q3 - 0:02.0 | SAS | Splitter 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST) | 69 35.2% | 76 64.8% |
| Q3 - 0:24.0 | POR | Lillard 23' Step Back Jump Shot (24 PTS) | 67 30.3% | 76 69.7% |
| Q3 - 0:40.0 | SAS | Diaw 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST) | 67 35.0% | 74 65.0% |
| Q3 - 0:46.0 | POR | Lillard Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS) | 64 26.1% | 74 73.9% |
| Q3 - 0:46.0 | POR | Lillard Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS) | 64 26.8% | 73 73.2% |
| Q3 - 0:57.0 | SAS | Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST) | 64 30.5% | 72 69.5% |
| Q3 - 1:07 | POR | Pavlovic 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Batum 6 AST) | 61 24.5% | 72 75.5% |
| Q3 - 1:16 | POR | Lillard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 61 32.4% | 69 67.6% |
| Q3 - 1:17 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 61 33.7% | 69 66.3% |
| Q3 - 1:33 | POR | Babbitt 21' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 61 36.7% | 69 63.3% |
| Q3 - 1:40 | POR | Leonard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 61 41.4% | 67 58.6% |
| Q3 - 1:42 | POR | MISS Lillard 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 61 44.7% | 67 55.3% |
| Q3 - 1:54 | POR | Leonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 61 41.4% | 67 58.6% |
| Q3 - 1:55 | SAS | MISS Neal 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 61 42.9% | 67 57.1% |
| Q3 - 2:09 | SAS | Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 61 48.1% | 67 51.9% |
| Q3 - 2:09 | POR | MISS Babbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 61 46.7% | 67 53.3% |
| Q3 - 2:17 | SAS | Pavlovic STEAL (2 STL) | 61 43.3% | 67 56.7% |
| Q3 - 2:23 | POR | Leonard Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T10) | 61 48.0% | 67 52.0% |
| Q3 - 2:23 | POR | Leonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 61 43.3% | 67 56.7% |
| Q3 - 2:23 | SAS | MISS Parker 2' Driving Layup | 61 44.7% | 67 55.3% |
| Q3 - 2:39 | POR | Lillard 21' Jump Shot (20 PTS) | 61 48.0% | 67 52.0% |
| Q3 - 2:58 | SAS | Parker 17' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS) | 61 52.5% | 65 47.5% |
| Q3 - 3:21 | POR | Lillard 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (18 PTS) | 59 50.1% | 65 49.9% |
| Q3 - 3:34 | SAS | Diaw Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14) | 59 54.3% | 63 45.7% |
| Q3 - 3:47 | POR | Babbitt 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Batum 5 AST) | 59 58.8% | 63 41.2% |
| Q3 - 3:58 | POR | Leonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 59 62.8% | 61 37.2% |
| Q3 - 3:59 | POR | MISS Lillard 22' Jump Shot | 59 65.8% | 61 34.2% |
| Q3 - 4:04 | POR | Lillard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 59 63.2% | 61 36.8% |
| Q3 - 4:05 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 59 64.6% | 61 35.4% |
| Q3 - 4:23 | SAS | Splitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 59 67.8% | 61 32.2% |
| Q3 - 4:24 | POR | MISS Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 59 66.4% | 61 33.6% |
| Q3 - 4:32 | POR | Leonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 59 63.2% | 61 36.8% |
| Q3 - 4:35 | SAS | Aldridge BLOCK (2 BLK) | 59 64.6% | 61 35.4% |
| Q3 - 4:48 | SAS | Spurs Rebound | 59 67.7% | 61 32.3% |
| Q3 - 4:49 | POR | MISS Leonard 1' Driving Slam Dunk | 59 66.4% | 61 33.6% |
| Q3 - 5:03 | POR | Pavlovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 59 63.7% | 61 36.3% |
| Q3 - 5:05 | POR | MISS Aldridge 10' Turnaround Jump Shot | 59 66.7% | 61 33.3% |
| Q3 - 5:26 | SAS | Ginobili 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (Neal 2 AST) | 59 63.7% | 61 36.3% |
| Q3 - 5:47 | POR | Aldridge Foul Turnover (P3.T9) | 57 60.3% | 61 39.7% |
| Q3 - 5:51 | SAS | Aldridge STEAL (3 STL) | 57 55.6% | 61 44.4% |
| Q3 - 6:10 | POR | Lillard 15' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS) | 57 61.5% | 61 38.5% |
| Q3 - 6:28 | POR | Hickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 57 64.6% | 59 35.4% |
| Q3 - 6:29 | SAS | MISS Neal 6' Hook Shot | 57 65.9% | 59 34.1% |
| Q3 - 6:47 | POR | Aldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 57 68.7% | 59 31.3% |
| Q3 - 6:47 | POR | Aldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 57 69.3% | 58 30.7% |
| Q3 - 6:56 | POR | Hickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 57 71.5% | 57 28.5% |
| Q3 - 6:56 | SAS | MISS Parker 9' Running Jump Shot | 57 72.7% | 57 27.3% |
| Q3 - 7:09 | SAS | Blair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 57 75.0% | 57 25.0% |
| Q3 - 7:10 | POR | MISS Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 57 74.0% | 57 26.0% |
| Q3 - 7:16 | POR | TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound | 57 71.7% | 57 28.3% |
| Q3 - 7:17 | POR | MISS Claver 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 57 74.0% | 57 26.0% |
| Q3 - 7:34 | POR | Lillard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 57 71.7% | 57 28.3% |
| Q3 - 7:35 | SAS | MISS Neal 3PT Jump Shot | 57 72.8% | 57 27.2% |
| Q3 - 7:48 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 57 75.0% | 57 25.0% |
| Q3 - 7:48 | POR | MISS Batum 3PT Jump Shot | 57 74.0% | 57 26.0% |
| Q3 - 8:01 | SAS | Aldridge STEAL (2 STL) | 57 71.9% | 57 28.1% |
| Q3 - 8:04 | SAS | Blair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 57 75.2% | 57 24.8% |
| Q3 - 8:05 | SAS | MISS Parker 19' Step Back Jump Shot | 57 73.0% | 57 27.0% |
| Q3 - 8:15 | SAS | Spurs Rebound | 57 75.2% | 57 24.8% |
| Q3 - 8:15 | SAS | Aldridge BLOCK (1 BLK) | 57 72.9% | 57 27.1% |
| Q3 - 8:30 | POR | Lillard 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS) | 57 75.2% | 57 24.8% |
| Q3 - 8:41 | SAS | Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 57 77.6% | 55 22.4% |
| Q3 - 8:41 | SAS | Parker Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS) | 56 77.1% | 55 22.9% |
| Q3 - 8:45 | POR | Batum Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8) | 55 75.1% | 55 24.9% |
| Q3 - 8:58 | SAS | Parker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11) | 55 71.9% | 55 28.1% |
| Q3 - 9:07 | POR | Batum 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Lillard 5 AST) | 55 75.2% | 55 24.8% |
| Q3 - 9:21 | POR | Hickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 55 77.7% | 53 22.3% |
| Q3 - 9:22 | SAS | MISS Neal 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot | 55 78.5% | 53 21.5% |
| Q3 - 9:28 | SAS | Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 55 80.3% | 53 19.7% |
| Q3 - 9:29 | POR | MISS Aldridge 22' Jump Shot | 55 79.5% | 53 20.5% |
| Q3 - 9:54 | SAS | Parker 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS) | 55 77.7% | 53 22.3% |
| Q3 - 10:09 | POR | Aldridge 6' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS) | 53 76.0% | 53 24.0% |
| Q3 - 10:30 | SAS | Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 4 AST) | 53 78.3% | 51 21.7% |
| Q3 - 10:46 | POR | Aldridge 8' Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 50 73.2% | 51 26.8% |
| Q3 - 11:08 | SAS | Diaw 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Neal 1 AST) | 50 76.4% | 49 23.6% |
| Q3 - 11:19 | SAS | Green REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 48 74.0% | 49 26.0% |
| Q3 - 11:19 | POR | MISS Lillard 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 48 73.1% | 49 26.9% |
| Q3 - 11:36 | SAS | Neal 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Green 2 AST) | 48 71.1% | 49 28.9% |
| Q3 - 11:44 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 45 65.3% | 49 34.7% |
| Q3 - 11:46 | POR | MISS Claver 7' Jump Shot | 45 64.3% | 49 35.7% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | SAS | 45 61.9% | 49 38.1% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | POR | Lillard 23' Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 45 65.3% | 49 34.7% |
| Q2 - 0:19.0 | SAS | Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 45 69.2% | 47 30.8% |
| Q2 - 0:19.0 | SAS | Parker Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 44 68.7% | 47 31.3% |
| Q2 - 0:19.0 | SAS | Parker Free Throw Technical (7 PTS) | 43 65.5% | 47 34.5% |
| Q2 - 0:22.0 | SAS | Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 42 62.5% | 47 37.5% |
| Q2 - 0:24.0 | POR | MISS Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 42 61.8% | 47 38.2% |
| Q2 - 0:34.0 | POR | Lillard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 42 60.2% | 47 39.8% |
| Q2 - 0:36.0 | SAS | Batum BLOCK (1 BLK) | 42 60.9% | 47 39.1% |
| Q2 - 0:39.0 | POR | Lillard Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7) | 42 62.5% | 47 37.5% |
| Q2 - 0:51.0 | SAS | Parker 5' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 42 60.2% | 47 39.8% |
| Q2 - 1:06 | POR | Aldridge 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Lillard 4 AST) | 40 56.7% | 47 43.3% |
| Q2 - 1:15 | POR | Aldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 40 60.9% | 45 39.1% |
| Q2 - 1:16 | SAS | MISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 40 61.5% | 45 38.5% |
| Q2 - 1:31 | POR | Lillard Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 40 62.8% | 45 37.2% |
| Q2 - 1:31 | POR | Lillard Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 40 63.4% | 44 36.6% |
| Q2 - 1:38 | POR | Aldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 40 66.8% | 43 33.2% |
| Q2 - 1:39 | SAS | MISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 40 67.3% | 43 32.7% |
| Q2 - 1:43 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 40 68.6% | 43 31.4% |
| Q2 - 1:44 | SAS | MISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 2 | 40 67.0% | 43 33.0% |
| Q2 - 1:44 | SAS | MISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 2 | 40 69.2% | 43 30.8% |
| Q2 - 2:03 | POR | Batum Dunk (4 PTS) (Lillard 3 AST) | 40 69.6% | 43 30.4% |
| Q2 - 2:06 | SAS | Babbitt STEAL (1 STL) | 40 72.0% | 41 28.0% |
| Q2 - 2:27 | POR | Babbitt 16' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 40 74.5% | 41 25.5% |
| Q2 - 2:46 | SAS | Duncan 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST) | 40 76.8% | 39 23.2% |
| Q2 - 2:59 | SAS | Spurs Rebound | 38 74.5% | 39 25.5% |
| Q2 - 2:59 | POR | MISS Batum 21' Jump Shot | 38 73.7% | 39 26.3% |
| Q2 - 3:12 | POR | Aldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 38 72.6% | 39 27.4% |
| Q2 - 3:14 | SAS | MISS Parker 3' Running Jump Shot | 38 73.4% | 39 26.6% |
| Q2 - 3:20 | SAS | Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 38 75.3% | 39 24.8% |
| Q2 - 3:22 | POR | MISS Hickson 2' Layup | 38 74.4% | 39 25.6% |
| Q2 - 3:24 | POR | Hickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 38 72.5% | 39 27.5% |
| Q2 - 3:25 | POR | MISS Babbitt 3PT Jump Shot | 38 74.4% | 39 25.6% |
| Q2 - 3:46 | SAS | Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 38 72.5% | 39 27.5% |
| Q2 - 3:46 | SAS | Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 37 71.9% | 39 28.1% |
| Q2 - 4:11 | POR | Hickson 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 36 70.9% | 39 29.1% |
| Q2 - 4:25 | SAS | Parker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9) | 36 73.0% | 37 27.0% |
| Q2 - 4:33 | SAS | Green REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 36 75.4% | 37 24.6% |
| Q2 - 4:34 | POR | MISS Aldridge 11' Fadeaway Jumper | 36 74.7% | 37 25.3% |
| Q2 - 4:58 | SAS | Splitter 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) | 36 73.0% | 37 27.0% |
| Q2 - 5:15 | POR | Babbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Batum 4 AST) | 34 71.3% | 37 28.7% |
| Q2 - 5:35 | POR | Aldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 34 75.7% | 34 24.3% |
| Q2 - 5:37 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 34 77.7% | 34 22.3% |
| Q2 - 5:37 | SAS | MISS Duncan Tip Shot | 34 76.3% | 34 23.7% |
| Q2 - 5:38 | SAS | MISS Splitter Free Throw 2 of 2 | 34 75.9% | 34 24.1% |
| Q2 - 5:38 | SAS | MISS Splitter Free Throw 1 of 2 | 34 77.1% | 34 22.9% |
| Q2 - 5:49 | SAS | Diaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 34 77.7% | 34 22.3% |
| Q2 - 5:50 | POR | MISS Pavlovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 34 77.1% | 34 22.9% |
| Q2 - 5:58 | POR | Pavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 34 75.6% | 34 24.4% |
| Q2 - 5:59 | SAS | MISS Neal 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 34 76.3% | 34 23.7% |
| Q2 - 6:15 | SAS | Splitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 34 77.9% | 34 22.1% |
| Q2 - 6:17 | POR | MISS Lillard 2' Driving Layup | 34 77.2% | 34 22.8% |
| Q2 - 6:31 | SAS | Diaw Traveling Turnover (P1.T8) | 34 75.5% | 34 24.5% |
| Q2 - 6:47 | POR | Barton 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Hickson 1 AST) | 34 77.9% | 34 22.1% |
| Q2 - 7:06 | SAS | Green 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 34 79.6% | 32 20.4% |
| Q2 - 7:12 | SAS | Diaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 32 78.1% | 32 21.9% |
| Q2 - 7:14 | POR | MISS Pavlovic 7' Running Jump Shot | 32 77.4% | 32 22.6% |
| Q2 - 7:36 | POR | Hickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 32 75.9% | 32 24.1% |
| Q2 - 7:38 | SAS | MISS Splitter 4' Jump Bank Shot | 32 76.6% | 32 23.4% |
| Q2 - 7:42 | SAS | Diaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 32 78.0% | 32 22.0% |
| Q2 - 7:43 | SAS | MISS Splitter 6' Hook Shot | 32 76.6% | 32 23.4% |
| Q2 - 8:05 | SAS | Spurs Rebound | 32 78.0% | 32 22.0% |
| Q2 - 8:06 | POR | MISS Barton 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 32 77.4% | 32 22.6% |
| Q2 - 8:26 | SAS | Mills 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST) | 32 76.1% | 32 23.9% |
| Q2 - 8:43 | SAS | Splitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 30 74.2% | 32 25.8% |
| Q2 - 8:43 | POR | MISS Babbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 30 73.6% | 32 26.4% |
| Q2 - 8:49 | POR | Lillard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 30 72.1% | 32 27.9% |
| Q2 - 8:50 | SAS | MISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 30 72.8% | 32 27.2% |
| Q2 - 8:57 | SAS | Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 30 74.2% | 32 25.8% |
| Q2 - 8:58 | POR | MISS Lillard Driving Layup | 30 73.6% | 32 26.4% |
| Q2 - 9:17 | SAS | De Colo 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) | 30 72.5% | 32 27.5% |
| Q2 - 9:24 | SAS | De Colo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 28 70.6% | 32 29.4% |
| Q2 - 9:25 | POR | MISS Leonard 8' Jump Shot | 28 69.9% | 32 30.1% |
| Q2 - 9:51 | SAS | Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST) | 28 68.3% | 32 31.7% |
| Q2 - 10:11 | POR | Babbitt 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lillard 2 AST) | 25 64.2% | 32 35.8% |
| Q2 - 10:25 | SAS | Leonard STEAL (1 STL) | 25 68.2% | 29 31.8% |
| Q2 - 10:39 | POR | Lillard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Pavlovic 1 AST) | 25 70.7% | 29 29.3% |
| Q2 - 10:54 | SAS | Splitter 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST) | 25 74.3% | 26 25.7% |
| Q2 - 11:13 | POR | Lillard 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS) | 23 72.4% | 26 27.6% |
| Q2 - 11:23 | POR | Lillard Free Throw Technical (3 PTS) | 23 74.3% | 24 25.7% |
| Q2 - 11:26 | SAS | Diaw 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (De Colo 1 AST) | 23 76.1% | 23 23.9% |
| Q2 - 11:36 | POR | Lillard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6) | 21 74.3% | 23 25.7% |
| Q2 - 11:45 | POR | Leonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 21 72.3% | 23 27.7% |
| Q2 - 11:45 | POR | MISS Lillard 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 21 73.7% | 23 26.3% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | POR | 21 72.3% | 23 27.7% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | POR | TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound | 21 72.3% | 23 27.7% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | POR | MISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 21 73.7% | 23 26.3% |
| Q1 - 0:03.0 | SAS | Mills 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST) | 21 72.6% | 23 27.4% |
| Q1 - 0:05.0 | SAS | Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 19 70.2% | 23 29.8% |
| Q1 - 0:06.0 | POR | MISS Pavlovic 22' Jump Shot | 19 69.8% | 23 30.2% |
| Q1 - 0:29.0 | POR | Aldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 19 68.7% | 23 31.3% |
| Q1 - 0:31.0 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 6' Running Bank Shot | 19 69.2% | 23 30.8% |
| Q1 - 0:35.0 | POR | Aldridge 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS) | 19 70.2% | 23 29.8% |
| Q1 - 0:50.0 | SAS | Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 19 72.6% | 21 27.4% |
| Q1 - 0:50.0 | SAS | MISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 2 | 18 72.4% | 21 27.6% |
| Q1 - 1:02 | POR | Aldridge 2' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 18 72.5% | 21 27.5% |
| Q1 - 1:03 | POR | Aldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 18 74.8% | 19 25.2% |
| Q1 - 1:04 | POR | MISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 1 | 18 75.9% | 19 24.1% |
| Q1 - 1:12 | POR | Leonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 18 78.1% | 17 21.9% |
| Q1 - 1:12 | SAS | MISS Diaw 15' Jump Shot | 18 78.5% | 17 21.5% |
| Q1 - 1:22 | SAS | Splitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 18 79.3% | 17 20.7% |
| Q1 - 1:24 | POR | MISS Smith 17' Jump Shot | 18 78.9% | 17 21.1% |
| Q1 - 1:41 | SAS | Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 18 78.1% | 17 21.9% |
| Q1 - 1:41 | SAS | Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 17 77.9% | 17 22.1% |
| Q1 - 1:46 | POR | Aldridge Foul Turnover (P2.T5) | 16 76.0% | 17 24.0% |
| Q1 - 2:01 | SAS | Splitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 16 74.9% | 17 25.1% |
| Q1 - 2:01 | SAS | MISS Splitter Free Throw 1 of 2 | 15 74.3% | 17 25.7% |
| Q1 - 2:09 | SAS | Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 15 74.8% | 17 25.2% |
| Q1 - 2:11 | POR | MISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 15 74.3% | 17 25.7% |
| Q1 - 2:33 | SAS | Parker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6) | 15 73.1% | 17 26.9% |
| Q1 - 2:48 | POR | Batum 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST) | 15 74.7% | 17 25.3% |
| Q1 - 3:02 | SAS | Pavlovic STEAL (1 STL) | 15 76.8% | 15 23.2% |
| Q1 - 3:16 | POR | Aldridge Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4) | 15 78.4% | 15 21.6% |
| Q1 - 3:31 | SAS | Green Foul Turnover (P1.T4) | 15 76.8% | 15 23.2% |
| Q1 - 3:33 | POR | Smith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3) | 15 78.4% | 15 21.6% |
| Q1 - 3:57 | SAS | Splitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 15 76.8% | 15 23.2% |
| Q1 - 3:57 | SAS | MISS Splitter Free Throw 1 of 2 | 14 76.3% | 15 23.7% |
| Q1 - 4:02 | POR | Batum Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 14 77.1% | 15 22.9% |
| Q1 - 4:13 | POR | Pavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 14 75.4% | 15 24.6% |
| Q1 - 4:14 | SAS | MISS Duncan 2' Driving Layup | 14 76.0% | 15 24.0% |
| Q1 - 4:35 | POR | Pavlovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Batum 3 AST) | 14 77.1% | 15 22.9% |
| Q1 - 4:52 | SAS | Splitter 1' Layup (2 PTS) | 14 80.0% | 12 20.0% |
| Q1 - 4:53 | SAS | Splitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 12 78.6% | 12 21.4% |
| Q1 - 4:53 | SAS | MISS Parker 17' Jump Shot | 12 77.5% | 12 22.5% |
| Q1 - 5:05 | SAS | Splitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 12 78.4% | 12 21.6% |
| Q1 - 5:06 | POR | MISS Aldridge 20' Pullup Jump Shot | 12 77.9% | 12 22.1% |
| Q1 - 5:29 | SAS | Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 12 76.8% | 12 23.2% |
| Q1 - 5:29 | SAS | Parker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 11 76.5% | 12 23.5% |
| Q1 - 5:47 | SAS | Green REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 10 75.4% | 12 24.6% |
| Q1 - 5:48 | POR | MISS Lillard 22' Pullup Jump Shot | 10 74.9% | 12 25.1% |
| Q1 - 6:00 | SAS | Blair Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST) | 10 73.7% | 12 26.3% |
| Q1 - 6:24 | POR | Hickson 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Batum 2 AST) | 8 72.4% | 12 27.6% |
| Q1 - 6:44 | SAS | Duncan Dunk (6 PTS) (Green 1 AST) | 8 73.9% | 10 26.1% |
| Q1 - 6:58 | POR | Hickson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 6 72.4% | 10 27.6% |
| Q1 - 6:58 | POR | Hickson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 6 72.9% | 9 27.1% |
| Q1 - 7:02 | SAS | Claver STEAL (2 STL) | 6 74.3% | 8 25.7% |
| Q1 - 7:15 | SAS | Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 6 76.0% | 8 24.0% |
| Q1 - 7:16 | POR | MISS Lillard 20' Pullup Jump Shot | 6 75.5% | 8 24.5% |
| Q1 - 7:34 | SAS | Duncan Dunk (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST) | 6 74.3% | 8 25.7% |
| Q1 - 7:42 | SAS | Blair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 73.0% | 8 27.0% |
| Q1 - 7:44 | POR | MISS Batum 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 4 72.5% | 8 27.5% |
| Q1 - 7:59 | SAS | Parker 13' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST) | 4 71.2% | 8 28.8% |
| Q1 - 8:15 | SAS | Spurs Rebound | 2 70.6% | 8 29.4% |
| Q1 - 8:16 | POR | MISS Aldridge 21' Jump Shot | 2 70.1% | 8 29.9% |
| Q1 - 8:32 | SAS | Claver STEAL (1 STL) | 2 68.9% | 8 31.1% |
| Q1 - 8:48 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 70.6% | 8 29.4% |
| Q1 - 8:49 | POR | MISS Claver 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 2 70.0% | 8 30.0% |
| Q1 - 8:57 | SAS | Aldridge STEAL (1 STL) | 2 68.8% | 8 31.2% |
| Q1 - 9:12 | POR | Aldridge 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 2 71.3% | 8 28.7% |
| Q1 - 9:26 | POR | TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound | 2 72.7% | 6 27.3% |
| Q1 - 9:26 | SAS | MISS Neal 12' Jump Shot | 2 73.1% | 6 26.9% |
| Q1 - 9:40 | POR | Aldridge 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Batum 1 AST) | 2 74.2% | 6 25.8% |
| Q1 - 9:49 | POR | Batum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 75.5% | 4 24.5% |
| Q1 - 9:49 | SAS | MISS Parker 9' Running Hook Shot | 2 75.9% | 4 24.1% |
| Q1 - 10:02 | POR | Claver Backcourt Turnover (P1.T1) | 2 77.2% | 4 22.8% |
| Q1 - 10:18 | SAS | Duncan 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST) | 2 75.7% | 4 24.3% |
| Q1 - 10:37 | POR | Lillard 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 0 74.6% | 4 25.4% |
| Q1 - 10:45 | POR | Hickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 0 75.7% | 2 24.3% |
| Q1 - 10:45 | SAS | MISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot | 0 76.2% | 2 23.8% |
| Q1 - 11:06 | POR | Aldridge 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lillard 1 AST) | 0 77.3% | 2 22.7% |
| Q1 - 11:12 | POR | TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound | 0 78.5% | 0 21.5% |
| Q1 - 11:12 | POR | MISS Hickson 1' Layup | 0 79.2% | 0 20.8% |
| Q1 - 11:14 | POR | Hickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 0 78.5% | 0 21.5% |
| Q1 - 11:16 | POR | MISS Claver 2' Layup | 0 79.2% | 0 20.8% |
| Q1 - 11:32 | POR | TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound | 0 78.5% | 0 21.5% |
| Q1 - 11:34 | SAS | MISS Neal 20' Jump Shot | 0 78.8% | 0 21.2% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | POR | Jump Ball Hickson vs. Duncan: Tip to Parker | 0 79.5% | 0 20.5% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
SAS
1.06 52.9%
POR
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
21
34
62%
POR
13
20
65%
Midrange
SAS
6
19
32%
POR
20
41
49%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
POR
7
10.5
27
26%
39%
Free Throws
SAS
18
25
72%
POR
11
12
92%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Spurs| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Parker | 21 | 58% | 10.5 / 18 | |
| T. Duncan | 16 | 53% | 8.0 / 15 | |
| M. Ginobili | 12 | 60% | 6.0 / 10 | |
| T. Splitter | 12 | 50% | 6.0 / 12 | |
| B. Diaw | 7 | 88% | 3.5 / 4 | |
| P. Mills | 7 | 58% | 3.5 / 6 | |
| G. Neal | 6 | 30% | 3.0 / 10 | |
| D. Green | 5 | 42% | 2.5 / 6 | |
| D. Blair | 2 | 100% | 1.0 / 1 | |
| N. De Colo | 2 | 100% | 1.0 / 1 | |
| M. Bonner | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Trail Blazers| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Lillard | 29 | 60% | 14.5 / 24 | |
| L. Aldridge | 22 | 65% | 11.0 / 17 | |
| J. Hickson | 12 | 67% | 6.0 / 9 | |
| L. Babbitt | 12 | 60% | 6.0 / 10 | |
| N. Batum | 11 | 46% | 5.5 / 12 | |
| S. Pavlovic | 6 | 43% | 3.0 / 7 | |
| M. Leonard | 2 | 33% | 1.0 / 3 | |
| N. Smith | 2 | 20% | 1.0 / 5 | |
| W. Barton | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 | |
| V. Claver | 0 | - | 0.0 / 4 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
SAS
75
+8
-19
83
POR
83
+14
-14
97
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
SAS
1.06 52.9%
POR
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 107.8 105.9 | SAS 95.7 +5.3 POR 101.0 |
| Pace | 94.7 91.3 | SAS 97.1 +3.1 POR 94.0 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 15.4 15.9 | SAS 14.8 +0.5 POR 15.3 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 53.1% 49.8% | SAS 50.0% +0.6% POR 49.4% |
| TO % | 14.8% 15.4% | SAS 18.6% POR 13.9% +4.7% |
| ORB % | 20.7% 25.3% | SAS 18.4% POR 22.5% +4.1% |
| FTrt | 25.8 25.0 | SAS 34.7 +21.1 POR 13.6 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 64.1% 59.3% | SAS 69.7% +22.2% POR 47.5% |
| STL % | 8.9% 7.1% | SAS 8.5% POR 11.3% +2.8% |
| BLK % | 8.1% 6.7% | SAS 3.3% POR 9.4% +6.1% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 55.3% 52.4% | SAS 52.9% +2.4% POR 50.5% |
| Rim FG% | 60.8% 57.5% | SAS 61.8% POR 65.0% +3.2% |
| Mid FG% | 42.4% 40.4% | SAS 31.6% POR 48.8% +17.2% |
| 3P % | 37.6% 35.3% | SAS 31.6% +5.7% POR 25.9% |
| FT % | 79.1% 77.6% | SAS 72.0% POR 91.7% +19.7% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 37.7% 34.2% | SAS 47.2% +24.5% POR 22.7% |
| Mid Att. % | 35.9% 37.4% | SAS 26.4% +20.2% POR 46.6% |
| 3P Att. % | 26.4% 28.4% | SAS 26.4% POR 30.7% +4.3% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
| Game Totals | SAS | POR |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 94 | 97 |
| Possession Minutes | 23.2 | 24.8 |
| Points | 90 | 98 |
| Rebounds | 38 | 40 |
| Assists | 23 | 19 |
| Steals | 8 | 11 |
| Blocks | 2 | 5 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 19 (0) | 14 (1) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 7 (1) | 9 (5) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 31 (4) | 31 (2) |
| Field Goals | 33-72 | 40-88 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 21-34 | 13-20 |
| Midrange FG | 6-19 | 20-41 |
| 2-Point FG | 27-53 | 33-61 |
| 3-Point FG | 6-19 | 7-27 |
| Free Throws | 18-25 | 11-12 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.