FinalWin Prob.pScore
2614%92
90
386%106
106
ORTG#PossPace
NOH
95.79488.9
MIA logo MIA
115.29297.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOHMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0NOH90
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0NOHLopez REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)90
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Cole 1' Layup90
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0NOHMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0NOHLopez REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAMISS James 15' Turnaround Jump Shot90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01NOHRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 7 AST)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39NOHMISS Anderson 21' Pullup Jump Shot87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (26 PTS)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19NOHMISS Vasquez 8' Floating Jump Shot87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 6 AST)87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:51MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)87
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 2:52NOHMISS Anderson 21' Pullup Jump Shot87
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 3:13MIACole 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)87
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 3:18NOHCole STEAL (2 STL)87
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 3:38MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)87
1.7%
96
98.3%
Q4 - 3:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q4 - 3:46NOHMISS Roberts 21' Jump Shot87
1.2%
96
98.8%
Q4 - 4:06MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)87
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 4:14NOHWade STEAL (1 STL)87
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q4 - 4:27MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)87
1.5%
96
98.5%
Q4 - 4:27MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 287
1.7%
95
98.3%
Q4 - 4:40NOHLopez Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)87
1.5%
95
98.5%
Q4 - 4:58MIABosh 1' Dunk (13 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)84
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 5:19NOHAnderson 1' Dunk (24 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)84
1.5%
93
98.5%
Q4 - 5:33MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)82
1.1%
93
98.9%
Q4 - 5:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)82
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 5:45NOHVasquez 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)82
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q4 - 5:54NOHAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q4 - 5:55MIAMISS James 17' Fadeaway Jumper80
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 6:23NOHAnderson 21' Jump Shot (22 PTS)80
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q4 - 6:46MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS)78
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 7:06NOHLopez Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)78
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 7:06NOHLopez Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)77
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 7:19MIABattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)76
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 7:19MIAMISS Battier Free Throw 1 of 276
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q4 - 7:35NOHSmith 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Roberts 3 AST)76
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 7:48MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)74
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 7:53MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 7:54NOHMISS Miller 1' Tip Shot74
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 7:55NOHMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 7:56NOHMISS Anderson 12' Jump Shot74
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 8:15MIAMiller Foul Turnover (P1.T13)74
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 8:23NOHMiller Foul Turnover (P1.T17)74
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 8:31NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 8:32MIAMISS Allen 2' Reverse Layup74
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 8:44NOHHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)74
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 8:49NOHAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)74
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 8:50NOHMISS Anderson 7' Jump Shot74
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 9:08MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)74
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q4 - 9:15MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 9:16NOHMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot74
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 9:33NOHRivers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q4 - 9:34MIAMISS Cole 19' Jump Shot74
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q4 - 9:46MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 9:47NOHMISS Rivers 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 10:09MIABattier 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)74
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q4 - 10:23MIAHEAT Rebound74
1.7%
86
98.3%
Q4 - 10:24MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup74
2.0%
86
98.0%
Q4 - 10:39NOHRivers Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T15)74
1.7%
86
98.3%
Q4 - 10:48MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)74
2.2%
86
97.8%
Q4 - 11:06NOHRivers 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)74
2.0%
86
98.0%
Q4 - 11:17MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)72
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q4 - 11:25MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q4 - 11:26NOHMISS Thomas 5' Turnaround Hook Shot72
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q4 - 11:52MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P1.T9)72
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH72
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHHornets Rebound72
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0NOHMISS Roberts 33' 3PT Jump Shot72
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T8)72
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q3 - 0:13.0NOHMISS Vasquez 2' Driving Layup72
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q3 - 0:35.0NOHRivers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAMISS James 20' Pullup Jump Shot72
1.7%
86
98.3%
Q3 - 0:58.0NOHMiller 6' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)72
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q3 - 1:24MIAAllen Layup (11 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)70
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q3 - 1:43NOHAnderson 1' Layup (20 PTS) (Vasquez 7 AST)70
1.6%
84
98.4%
Q3 - 2:06MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 5 AST)68
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q3 - 2:30NOHJames STEAL (2 STL)68
2.1%
81
97.9%
Q3 - 2:35MIAWade 1' Running Layup (20 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)68
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q3 - 2:40MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q3 - 2:41NOHMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
3.2%
79
96.8%
Q3 - 2:47MIAJames 1' Tip Shot (23 PTS)68
3.6%
79
96.4%
Q3 - 2:49MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
4.3%
77
95.7%
Q3 - 2:50MIAMISS James 10' Jump Shot68
4.9%
77
95.1%
Q3 - 3:20NOHAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Vasquez 6 AST)68
4.5%
77
95.5%
Q3 - 3:41MIAJames 1' Layup (21 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)65
3.2%
77
96.8%
Q3 - 3:59NOHVasquez 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rivers 1 AST)65
3.8%
75
96.2%
Q3 - 4:09NOHMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
2.8%
75
97.2%
Q3 - 4:10MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot62
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q3 - 4:19MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 4:20NOHMISS Anderson 7' Driving Jump Shot62
2.5%
75
97.5%
Q3 - 4:39NOHVasquez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
2.8%
75
97.2%
Q3 - 4:40MIAMISS Bosh 11' Jump Shot62
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q3 - 4:52NOHVasquez Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)62
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 4:52NOHVasquez Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)61
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 4:58NOHMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q3 - 4:59MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot60
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q3 - 5:20NOHAnderson 9' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS)60
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q3 - 5:46MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)58
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q3 - 5:46MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)58
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q3 - 5:59NOHLopez Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)58
1.8%
73
98.2%
Q3 - 6:00NOHLopez REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)55
1.3%
73
98.7%
Q3 - 6:01NOHMISS Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot55
1.3%
73
98.7%
Q3 - 6:15NOHHenry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
1.4%
73
98.6%
Q3 - 6:16MIAMISS Bosh 1' Dunk55
1.3%
73
98.7%
Q3 - 6:17MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
1.2%
73
98.8%
Q3 - 6:18MIAMISS Bosh 1' Dunk55
1.3%
73
98.7%
Q3 - 6:27MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
1.2%
73
98.8%
Q3 - 6:28NOHMISS Vasquez Free Throw 2 of 255
1.2%
73
98.8%
Q3 - 6:28NOHVasquez Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)55
1.3%
73
98.7%
Q3 - 6:34NOHLopez REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
1.2%
73
98.8%
Q3 - 6:35MIAMISS Bosh 1' Driving Dunk54
1.1%
73
98.9%
Q3 - 6:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
1.0%
73
99.0%
Q3 - 6:46NOHMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
1.1%
73
98.9%
Q3 - 7:07MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)54
1.3%
73
98.7%
Q3 - 7:07MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 254
1.3%
72
98.7%
Q3 - 7:10NOHHaslem STEAL (2 STL)54
1.3%
72
98.7%
Q3 - 7:37MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)54
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q3 - 7:37MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)54
1.6%
71
98.4%
Q3 - 7:44NOHHaslem STEAL (1 STL)54
1.7%
70
98.3%
Q3 - 7:58MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)54
2.0%
70
98.0%
Q3 - 8:12MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
1.8%
70
98.2%
Q3 - 8:13NOHMISS Lopez 5' Running Hook Shot54
1.9%
70
98.1%
Q3 - 8:41MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (19 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)54
2.1%
70
97.9%
Q3 - 8:46NOHChalmers STEAL (2 STL)54
2.4%
68
97.6%
Q3 - 9:11MIABosh Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)54
2.9%
68
97.1%
Q3 - 9:24NOHMason Jr. Foul Turnover (P2.T10)54
2.5%
68
97.5%
Q3 - 9:29NOHLopez REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
2.9%
68
97.1%
Q3 - 9:30MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot54
2.8%
68
97.2%
Q3 - 9:47NOHAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Vasquez 5 AST)54
2.5%
68
97.5%
Q3 - 10:05MIAJames 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (17 PTS)51
1.9%
68
98.1%
Q3 - 10:23NOHMason Jr. 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Vasquez 4 AST)51
2.2%
66
97.8%
Q3 - 10:28NOHVasquez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
1.9%
66
98.1%
Q3 - 10:29MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Layup49
1.8%
66
98.2%
Q3 - 10:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
1.7%
66
98.3%
Q3 - 10:42NOHMISS Anderson 20' Jump Shot49
1.7%
66
98.3%
Q3 - 11:03MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS)49
2.0%
66
98.0%
Q3 - 11:32NOHHenry 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)49
2.3%
64
97.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH47
2.0%
64
98.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIABosh 2' Layup (11 PTS) (James 4 AST)47
2.2%
64
97.8%
Q2 - 0:18.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
2.5%
62
97.5%
Q2 - 0:19.0NOHAnthony BLOCK (3 BLK)47
2.6%
62
97.4%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAAnthony 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)47
2.8%
62
97.2%
Q2 - 0:45.0NOHSmith 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS)47
3.3%
60
96.7%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)45
2.8%
60
97.2%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
2.5%
60
97.5%
Q2 - 0:59.0NOHMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot45
2.6%
60
97.4%
Q2 - 1:20MIAWade 14' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)45
2.9%
60
97.1%
Q2 - 1:41NOHSmith 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)45
3.4%
58
96.6%
Q2 - 2:00MIAJames 15' Pullup Bank Shot (13 PTS)43
2.9%
58
97.1%
Q2 - 2:19NOHAnthony STEAL (1 STL)43
3.5%
56
96.5%
Q2 - 2:38MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)43
3.9%
56
96.1%
Q2 - 3:00NOHSmith 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Roberts 2 AST)43
3.5%
56
96.5%
Q2 - 3:19MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)41
3.2%
56
96.8%
Q2 - 3:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
3.5%
54
96.5%
Q2 - 3:27NOHMISS Roberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
3.6%
54
96.4%
Q2 - 3:38MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)41
4.0%
54
96.0%
Q2 - 3:38MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 241
4.1%
53
95.9%
Q2 - 3:47MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
3.9%
53
96.1%
Q2 - 3:48NOHAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)41
4.1%
53
95.9%
Q2 - 3:50NOHThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
4.5%
53
95.5%
Q2 - 3:51NOHMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot41
4.1%
53
95.9%
Q2 - 4:05NOHThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
4.5%
53
95.5%
Q2 - 4:06MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup41
4.4%
53
95.6%
Q2 - 4:11NOHMiller STEAL (2 STL)41
4.0%
53
96.0%
Q2 - 4:27MIAMiller 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)41
4.5%
53
95.5%
Q2 - 4:50NOHSmith 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Roberts 1 AST)41
5.0%
51
95.0%
Q2 - 5:02MIAJames 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)39
4.6%
51
95.4%
Q2 - 5:07MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
5.1%
49
94.9%
Q2 - 5:08NOHMISS Thomas 16' Jump Shot39
5.3%
49
94.7%
Q2 - 5:29MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)39
5.7%
49
94.3%
Q2 - 5:32NOHJames STEAL (1 STL)39
7.0%
46
93.0%
Q2 - 5:46MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)39
7.8%
46
92.2%
Q2 - 5:51MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
7.0%
46
93.0%
Q2 - 5:52NOHBosh BLOCK (3 BLK)39
7.3%
46
92.7%
Q2 - 6:15MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)39
8.0%
46
92.0%
Q2 - 6:15MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)39
8.1%
45
91.9%
Q2 - 6:29NOHHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)39
8.6%
44
91.4%
Q2 - 6:56MIAMiller 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)39
9.7%
44
90.3%
Q2 - 7:18NOHLopez 1' Putback Dunk (12 PTS)39
10.5%
42
89.5%
Q2 - 7:21NOHLopez REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
9.7%
42
90.3%
Q2 - 7:22NOHMISS Rivers 21' Jump Shot37
9.0%
42
91.0%
Q2 - 7:38NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
9.7%
42
90.3%
Q2 - 7:39MIAMISS Wade 18' Pullup Jump Shot37
9.4%
42
90.6%
Q2 - 7:51NOHMiller STEAL (1 STL)37
8.7%
42
91.3%
Q2 - 8:15MIABosh 15' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)37
9.6%
42
90.4%
Q2 - 8:25MIAHEAT Rebound37
10.5%
40
89.5%
Q2 - 8:25MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot37
11.3%
40
88.7%
Q2 - 8:34MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
10.5%
40
89.5%
Q2 - 8:35NOHMISS Lopez 12' Jump Shot37
10.9%
40
89.1%
Q2 - 8:56MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)37
11.6%
40
88.4%
Q2 - 8:56MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 237
11.8%
39
88.2%
Q2 - 9:07MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
11.3%
39
88.7%
Q2 - 9:08NOHBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)37
11.6%
39
88.4%
Q2 - 9:30MIAAllen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)37
12.4%
39
87.6%
Q2 - 9:43MIAHEAT Rebound37
14.7%
36
85.3%
Q2 - 9:44NOHMISS Roberts 2' Driving Layup37
15.1%
36
84.9%
Q2 - 9:50NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
16.1%
36
83.9%
Q2 - 9:51MIAMISS Battier 1' Driving Layup37
15.7%
36
84.3%
Q2 - 10:05NOHRoberts Foul Turnover (P2.T4)37
14.7%
36
85.3%
Q2 - 10:17MIACole 4' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)37
16.2%
36
83.8%
Q2 - 10:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
17.3%
34
82.7%
Q2 - 10:22NOHMISS Roberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
17.8%
34
82.2%
Q2 - 10:40MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)37
19.0%
34
81.0%
Q2 - 11:01NOHRivers Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)37
21.9%
31
78.1%
Q2 - 11:17MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)34
18.8%
31
81.2%
Q2 - 11:33NOHSmith 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)34
17.3%
31
82.7%
Q2 - 11:34NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)32
16.0%
31
84.0%
Q2 - 11:35NOHMISS Roberts 8' Hook Shot32
15.1%
31
84.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH32
16.1%
31
83.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHHornets Rebound32
16.1%
31
83.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Roberts 71' 3PT Jump Shot32
15.1%
31
84.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0NOHRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
15.7%
31
84.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Cole 8' Jump Shot32
15.4%
31
84.6%
Q1 - 0:07.0NOHRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)32
14.8%
31
85.2%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIABattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
12.3%
31
87.7%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIABattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
12.6%
30
87.4%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
13.6%
29
86.4%
Q1 - 0:28.0NOHBattier BLOCK (1 BLK)29
13.9%
29
86.1%
Q1 - 0:29.0NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
14.5%
29
85.5%
Q1 - 0:30.0NOHMISS Rivers 10' Jump Shot29
13.9%
29
86.1%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIACole 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
14.5%
29
85.5%
Q1 - 1:00NOHAminu 9' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)29
16.0%
27
84.0%
Q1 - 1:21NOHThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
14.3%
27
85.7%
Q1 - 1:22MIAMISS Cole 19' Jump Shot27
14.1%
27
85.9%
Q1 - 1:39NOHCole STEAL (1 STL)27
13.5%
27
86.5%
Q1 - 2:04NOHThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
14.4%
27
85.6%
Q1 - 2:05MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
14.1%
27
85.9%
Q1 - 2:10MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
13.3%
27
86.7%
Q1 - 2:11NOHAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)27
13.6%
27
86.4%
Q1 - 2:30MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T1)27
14.4%
27
85.6%
Q1 - 2:44MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
13.4%
27
86.6%
Q1 - 2:45NOHMISS Smith 1' Driving Layup27
13.7%
27
86.3%
Q1 - 2:56MIAJames 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)27
14.4%
27
85.6%
Q1 - 3:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
15.2%
25
84.8%
Q1 - 3:06NOHMISS Vasquez 7' Running Jump Shot27
15.6%
25
84.4%
Q1 - 3:30MIAJames 4' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)27
16.5%
25
83.5%
Q1 - 3:42MIAHEAT Rebound27
17.7%
23
82.3%
Q1 - 3:43NOHMISS Vasquez 1' Driving Layup27
18.2%
23
81.8%
Q1 - 3:50NOHLopez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
19.2%
23
80.8%
Q1 - 3:51NOHMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot27
18.2%
23
81.8%
Q1 - 4:01NOHMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
18.5%
23
81.5%
Q1 - 4:02MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot27
18.1%
23
81.9%
Q1 - 4:13MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
17.1%
23
82.9%
Q1 - 4:14NOHMISS Lopez 19' Jump Shot27
17.5%
23
82.5%
Q1 - 4:28MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)27
18.5%
23
81.5%
Q1 - 4:43NOHLopez 1' Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS)27
21.3%
20
78.7%
Q1 - 5:07MIABosh 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)25
19.4%
20
80.6%
Q1 - 5:24NOHAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Vasquez 3 AST)25
20.7%
18
79.3%
Q1 - 5:39NOHLopez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
18.2%
18
81.8%
Q1 - 5:40MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot22
17.8%
18
82.2%
Q1 - 5:57NOHLopez 7' Hook Shot (8 PTS)22
16.9%
18
83.1%
Q1 - 6:17MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)20
15.4%
18
84.6%
Q1 - 6:31NOHHenry Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)20
17.5%
15
82.5%
Q1 - 6:39NOHHenry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
15.4%
15
84.6%
Q1 - 6:40MIAMISS James 7' Turnaround Jump Shot17
15.0%
15
85.0%
Q1 - 7:07NOHAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Henry 1 AST)17
13.9%
15
86.1%
Q1 - 7:14NOHAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
12.3%
15
87.7%
Q1 - 7:15MIAMISS Chalmers 5' Running Jump Shot14
12.0%
15
88.0%
Q1 - 7:19NOHChalmers STEAL (1 STL)14
11.3%
15
88.7%
Q1 - 7:40MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)14
12.3%
15
87.7%
Q1 - 7:53NOHAnderson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)14
13.9%
12
86.1%
Q1 - 7:54NOHAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
15.0%
12
85.0%
Q1 - 7:55NOHBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)14
14.2%
12
85.8%
Q1 - 8:08MIAWade 1' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)14
14.6%
12
85.4%
Q1 - 8:18NOHMason Jr. Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)14
15.5%
10
84.5%
Q1 - 8:32MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)10
12.8%
10
87.2%
Q1 - 8:44NOHAnderson 16' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
13.6%
8
86.4%
Q1 - 8:57NOHAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
12.8%
8
87.2%
Q1 - 8:58MIAMISS Bosh 14' Fadeaway Jumper8
12.5%
8
87.5%
Q1 - 9:20NOHLopez Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)8
11.8%
8
88.2%
Q1 - 9:20NOHLopez Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)7
11.6%
8
88.4%
Q1 - 9:33MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
11.1%
8
88.9%
Q1 - 9:33MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
11.2%
7
88.8%
Q1 - 9:46NOHLopez 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)6
11.8%
6
88.2%
Q1 - 10:10MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
11.1%
6
88.9%
Q1 - 10:23MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
11.7%
4
88.3%
Q1 - 10:24NOHMISS Mason Jr. 19' Jump Shot4
12.0%
4
88.0%
Q1 - 10:40MIAWade 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)4
12.6%
4
87.4%
Q1 - 10:51NOHAnderson 2' Layup (2 PTS)4
13.2%
2
86.8%
Q1 - 11:10MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
12.2%
2
87.8%
Q1 - 11:25NOHLopez 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Vasquez 1 AST)2
13.0%
0
87.0%
Q1 - 11:41NOHVasquez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.2%
0
87.8%
Q1 - 11:42MIAMISS Chalmers 22' Jump Shot0
12.0%
0
88.0%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Lopez: Tip to Chalmers0
11.5%
0
88.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.02 51.1%
MIA
1.32 66.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOH
15
25
60%
MIA
23
33
70%
Midrange
NOH
12
35
34%
MIA
10
25
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOH
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
MIA
7
10.5
11
64%
95%
Free Throws
NOH
12
13
92%
MIA
19
24
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Anderson2463%12.0 / 19
R. Lopez2083%10.0 / 12
J. Smith1250%6.0 / 12
G. Vasquez850%4.0 / 8
R. Mason Jr.660%3.0 / 5
B. Roberts633%3.0 / 9
X. Henry5125%2.5 / 2
A. Rivers542%2.5 / 6
D. Miller233%1.0 / 3
A. Aminu250%1.0 / 2
L. Thomas0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2681%13.0 / 16
L. James2471%12.0 / 17
C. Bosh1346%6.5 / 14
S. Battier1179%5.5 / 7
R. Allen1192%5.5 / 6
M. Chalmers650%3.0 / 6
N. Cole643%3.0 / 7
M. Miller467%2.0 / 3
J. Anthony375%1.5 / 2
U. Haslem250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH
77
+11
-17
88
MIA
76
+4
-16
80
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.02 51.1%
MIA
1.32 66.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
112.1
NOH 95.7 +19.5
MIA 115.2
Pace
88.3
90.9
NOH 88.9
MIA 97.6 +8.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.0
NOH 16.2
MIA 14.8 +1.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.9%
55.2%
NOH 50.0%
MIA 63.0% +13.0%
TO %
15.4%
14.5%
NOH 18.5%
MIA 16.7% +1.8%
ORB %
29.2%
22.2%
NOH 22.5% +15.1%
MIA 7.4%
FTrt
24.8
29.7
NOH 16.7
MIA 34.8 +18.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.2%
60.0%
NOH 45.7%
MIA 57.5% +11.8%
STL %
7.1%
9.5%
NOH 5.3%
MIA 13.0% +7.7%
BLK %
9.3%
9.1%
NOH 5.2%
MIA 11.7% +6.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.2%
57.0%
NOH 51.1%
MIA 66.3% +15.2%
Rim FG%
55.0%
65.9%
NOH 60.0%
MIA 69.7% +9.7%
Mid FG%
39.5%
41.9%
NOH 34.3%
MIA 40.0% +5.7%
3P %
36.3%
39.6%
NOH 44.4%
MIA 63.6% +19.2%
FT %
77.6%
75.4%
NOH 92.3% +13.1%
MIA 79.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.0%
34.8%
NOH 32.1%
MIA 47.8% +15.8%
Mid Att. %
38.6%
36.7%
NOH 44.9%
MIA 36.2% +8.6%
3P Att. %
22.4%
28.5%
NOH 23.1% +7.1%
MIA 15.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsNOHMIA
Possessions9492
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points90106
Rebounds3433
Assists1623
Steals512
Blocks37
Turnovers (Team)17 (2)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)2 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (0)31 (2)
Field Goals35-7840-69
At-the-Rim FG15-2523-33
Midrange FG12-3510-25
2-Point FG27-6033-58
3-Point FG8-187-11
Free Throws12-1319-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 217 · 26
31.2
8
50%
3
7
1
0
4
3
0
3
3-4
75%
1-5
20%
1-1
100%
C · 7'0" 277 · 25
30.2
20
83%
8
0
0
1
0
2
3
5
6-6
100%
7-10
70%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 25
29.6
24
63%
5
1
0
0
2
4
2
3
0-0
-
6-13
46%
4-6
67%
F · 6'6" 220 · 22
21.1
5
125%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 32
15.3
6
60%
1
0
0
0
3
2
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
G · 6'1" 173 · 27
24.1
6
33%
1
3
2
0
4
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
2-6
33%
F · 6'8" 225 · 23
23.8
2
33%
3
2
0
0
1
5
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27
21.5
12
50%
5
1
1
2
1
2
2
3
0-0
-
6-12
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 20
20.5
5
42%
2
1
0
0
2
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
14.7
0
0%
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 220 · 22
8.0
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 20
#10 · G · 6'3" 215 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
51%
34
16
5
3
17
0
9
25
12-13
92%
27-60
45%
8-18
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.