FinalWin Prob.pScore
1140%98
104
760%102
108
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
108.396104.9
ATL logo ATL
111.39789.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL104
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Smith 1' Putback Layup104
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 0:03.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)104
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 0:04.0ATLMISS Smith 1' Alley Oop Layup104
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 0:11.0DENHarris STEAL (3 STL)104
0.7%
108
99.3%
Q4 - 0:17.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)104
3.1%
108
96.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)104
3.6%
107
96.4%
Q4 - 0:23.0DENIguodala 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)104
7.8%
106
92.2%
Q4 - 0:31.0ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)101
2.1%
106
97.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0DENSmith STEAL (1 STL)101
8.8%
103
91.2%
Q4 - 0:39.0DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)101
22.8%
103
77.2%
Q4 - 0:41.0DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
14.2%
103
85.8%
Q4 - 0:53.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)101
24.7%
103
75.3%
Q4 - 0:53.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)101
26.7%
102
73.3%
Q4 - 1:03ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)101
37.7%
101
62.3%
Q4 - 1:06DENMISS Faried 17' Jump Shot101
43.0%
101
57.0%
Q4 - 1:19ATLHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)101
54.5%
101
45.5%
Q4 - 1:21DENHarris STEAL (2 STL)101
38.6%
101
61.4%
Q4 - 1:39ATLHorford 20' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Harris 5 AST)101
53.3%
101
46.7%
Q4 - 2:00DENLawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS)101
63.8%
99
36.2%
Q4 - 2:02DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)98
42.5%
99
57.5%
Q4 - 2:04DENMISS Iguodala 16' Turnaround Jump Shot98
32.6%
99
67.4%
Q4 - 2:23ATLSmith Dunk (13 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)98
43.3%
99
56.7%
Q4 - 2:34DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)98
51.6%
97
48.4%
Q4 - 2:34DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)97
50.0%
97
50.0%
Q4 - 2:52DENNuggets Rebound96
42.2%
97
57.8%
Q4 - 2:52ATLMISS Smith 5' Jump Shot96
38.2%
97
61.8%
Q4 - 3:16DENMozgov 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)96
29.5%
97
70.5%
Q4 - 3:30DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)94
23.4%
97
76.6%
Q4 - 3:31ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 194
24.1%
97
75.9%
Q4 - 3:32ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)94
31.7%
95
68.3%
Q4 - 3:33ATLMISS Harris 3PT Jump Shot94
38.2%
95
61.8%
Q4 - 3:54DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)94
31.4%
95
68.6%
Q4 - 3:54DENMozgov Putback Layup (4 PTS)94
31.4%
95
68.6%
Q4 - 3:56DENStevenson BLOCK (1 BLK)92
19.5%
95
80.5%
Q4 - 4:13DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)92
24.4%
95
75.6%
Q4 - 4:18ATLMISS Teague 10' Turnaround Jump Shot92
22.0%
95
78.0%
Q4 - 4:34DENLawson Foul Turnover (P2.T17)92
17.3%
95
82.7%
Q4 - 4:37ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)92
24.2%
95
75.8%
Q4 - 4:56ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)92
17.2%
95
82.8%
Q4 - 4:57DENMISS Faried 4' Driving Layup92
19.1%
95
80.9%
Q4 - 5:17ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)92
26.0%
95
74.0%
Q4 - 5:33DENLawson 1' Running Layup (29 PTS)92
19.6%
95
80.4%
Q4 - 5:37ATLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)90
15.1%
95
84.9%
Q4 - 5:58DENLawson 1' Driving Layup (27 PTS)90
10.9%
95
89.1%
Q4 - 6:10ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)88
10.2%
95
89.8%
Q4 - 6:10ATLJohnson Putback Layup (6 PTS)88
10.2%
95
89.8%
Q4 - 6:12ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot88
15.7%
93
84.3%
Q4 - 6:28DENMozgov 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)88
12.8%
93
87.2%
Q4 - 6:44DENIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
10.0%
93
90.0%
Q4 - 6:45ATLMISS Teague 21' Jump Shot86
9.2%
93
90.8%
Q4 - 7:13DENHorford STEAL (4 STL)86
8.8%
93
91.2%
Q4 - 7:20DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)86
11.5%
93
88.5%
Q4 - 7:22DENMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot86
9.5%
93
90.5%
Q4 - 7:30DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)86
11.5%
93
88.5%
Q4 - 7:32DENMISS Lawson 18' Jump Shot86
9.5%
93
90.5%
Q4 - 7:47ATLJohnson 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)86
11.4%
93
88.6%
Q4 - 7:59ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
14.3%
91
85.7%
Q4 - 8:00DENMISS Faried 16' Jump Shot86
15.4%
91
84.6%
Q4 - 8:22ATLHorford 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)86
19.6%
91
80.4%
Q4 - 8:47DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)86
24.0%
89
76.0%
Q4 - 8:47DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)85
23.3%
89
76.7%
Q4 - 9:07ATLJohnson 2' Putback Layup (2 PTS)84
20.7%
89
79.3%
Q4 - 9:08ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
25.0%
87
75.0%
Q4 - 9:09ATLMISS Johnson 3' Driving Jump Shot84
28.2%
87
71.8%
Q4 - 9:30DENMiller 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)84
25.0%
87
75.0%
Q4 - 9:39DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
20.7%
87
79.3%
Q4 - 9:42ATLMISS Williams 17' Fadeaway Jumper82
19.5%
87
80.5%
Q4 - 10:02ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)82
17.9%
87
82.1%
Q4 - 10:03ATLMISS Teague 8' Driving Jump Shot82
20.3%
87
79.7%
Q4 - 10:07ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)82
17.9%
87
82.1%
Q4 - 10:09ATLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
20.3%
87
79.7%
Q4 - 10:20ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
17.9%
87
82.1%
Q4 - 10:22DENMISS Iguodala 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
18.9%
87
81.1%
Q4 - 10:34DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
21.4%
87
78.6%
Q4 - 10:36ATLMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
20.3%
87
79.7%
Q4 - 10:56DENMiller 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)82
17.8%
87
82.2%
Q4 - 11:19ATLTeague Running Layup (9 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)80
15.6%
87
84.4%
Q4 - 11:25DENJohnson STEAL (1 STL)80
18.7%
85
81.3%
Q4 - 11:34DENIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
22.1%
85
77.9%
Q4 - 11:35ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
21.0%
85
79.0%
Q4 - 11:53DENMcGee 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)80
18.7%
85
81.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN78
15.6%
85
84.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound78
15.6%
85
84.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Brewer 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
13.7%
85
86.3%
Q3 - 0:03.0ATLTeague 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)78
16.3%
85
83.7%
Q3 - 0:06.0ATLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
22.9%
82
77.1%
Q3 - 0:08.0DENPachulia BLOCK (1 BLK)78
24.0%
82
76.0%
Q3 - 0:30.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)78
26.5%
82
73.5%
Q3 - 0:30.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)78
27.1%
81
72.9%
Q3 - 0:52.0DENBrewer 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Iguodala 4 AST)78
30.9%
80
69.1%
Q3 - 1:07ATLWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)75
23.3%
80
76.7%
Q3 - 1:25DENMcGee 2' Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)75
31.0%
77
69.0%
Q3 - 1:30DENIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
26.9%
77
73.1%
Q3 - 1:32ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot73
25.8%
77
74.2%
Q3 - 1:52ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)73
23.3%
77
76.7%
Q3 - 1:57ATLMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
25.8%
77
74.2%
Q3 - 2:17DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)73
23.7%
77
76.3%
Q3 - 2:17DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)72
23.2%
77
76.8%
Q3 - 2:36ATLSmith 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)71
20.5%
77
79.5%
Q3 - 2:55DENMcGee 1' Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)71
23.6%
75
76.4%
Q3 - 3:07DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
21.1%
75
78.9%
Q3 - 3:08ATLMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot69
20.2%
75
79.8%
Q3 - 3:27DENBrewer 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)69
18.2%
75
81.8%
Q3 - 3:39DENNuggets Rebound67
15.8%
75
84.2%
Q3 - 3:41DENMISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
14.1%
75
85.9%
Q3 - 4:00ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P1.T10)67
15.7%
75
84.3%
Q3 - 4:20DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)67
13.8%
75
86.2%
Q3 - 4:20DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)66
13.5%
75
86.5%
Q3 - 4:30ATLHorford 2' Putback Layup (21 PTS)65
12.2%
75
87.8%
Q3 - 4:31ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)65
13.8%
73
86.2%
Q3 - 4:32ATLMISS Williams 10' Jump Shot65
15.5%
73
84.5%
Q3 - 4:48DENLawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)65
13.8%
73
86.2%
Q3 - 5:09ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)62
10.9%
73
89.1%
Q3 - 5:14ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)62
14.3%
70
85.7%
Q3 - 5:15DENMISS McGee 15' Jump Shot62
15.0%
70
85.0%
Q3 - 5:23DENNuggets Rebound62
16.7%
70
83.3%
Q3 - 5:23DENHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)62
15.0%
70
85.0%
Q3 - 5:40ATLHorford 3' Layup (16 PTS)62
16.7%
70
83.3%
Q3 - 5:59ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)62
18.8%
68
81.2%
Q3 - 6:00DENMISS Gallinari 5' Jump Shot62
19.7%
68
80.3%
Q3 - 6:18ATLStevenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)62
22.4%
68
77.6%
Q3 - 6:22ATLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
28.0%
65
72.0%
Q3 - 6:24DENSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)62
29.1%
65
70.9%
Q3 - 6:31ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)62
31.8%
65
68.2%
Q3 - 6:31ATLHorford 1' Putback Layup (14 PTS)62
31.8%
65
68.2%
Q3 - 6:33ATLMISS Stevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
37.8%
63
62.2%
Q3 - 6:45ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)62
34.8%
63
65.2%
Q3 - 6:46DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 262
35.4%
63
64.6%
Q3 - 6:46DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)62
37.8%
63
62.2%
Q3 - 6:49ATLSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)61
35.4%
63
64.6%
Q3 - 7:05ATLHAWKS Rebound61
31.4%
63
68.6%
Q3 - 7:06DENMISS Brewer 3PT Jump Shot61
32.5%
63
67.5%
Q3 - 7:25ATLHorford 1' Running Layup (12 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)61
35.1%
63
64.9%
Q3 - 7:33ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)61
38.4%
61
61.6%
Q3 - 7:34DENWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)61
39.6%
61
60.4%
Q3 - 7:46DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
42.4%
61
57.6%
Q3 - 7:48ATLMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot61
41.2%
61
58.8%
Q3 - 7:56ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
38.4%
61
61.6%
Q3 - 7:58DENMISS Iguodala 13' Jump Shot61
39.6%
61
60.4%
Q3 - 8:15ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)61
42.2%
61
57.8%
Q3 - 8:15ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 261
43.3%
60
56.7%
Q3 - 8:33ATLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
41.8%
60
58.2%
Q3 - 8:34DENMISS Iguodala Free Throw 1 of 161
42.3%
60
57.7%
Q3 - 8:46DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)59
38.5%
60
61.5%
Q3 - 8:47DENMISS Iguodala 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
35.8%
60
64.2%
Q3 - 9:05ATLHarris 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)59
38.2%
60
61.8%
Q3 - 9:21DENWilliams STEAL (2 STL)59
45.1%
57
54.9%
Q3 - 9:26DENIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
49.0%
57
51.0%
Q3 - 9:27ATLMISS Horford 16' Jump Shot59
47.8%
57
52.2%
Q3 - 9:47DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)59
45.1%
57
54.9%
Q3 - 9:47DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)58
44.6%
57
55.4%
Q3 - 9:52DENNuggets Rebound57
41.8%
57
58.2%
Q3 - 9:53DENMISS Faried 6' Running Hook Shot57
39.2%
57
60.8%
Q3 - 10:09ATLSmith 2' Layup (6 PTS)57
41.4%
57
58.6%
Q3 - 10:30DENLawson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Mozgov 1 AST)57
44.7%
55
55.3%
Q3 - 10:34DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)54
38.0%
55
62.0%
Q3 - 10:35DENMISS Faried 6' Hook Shot54
35.5%
55
64.5%
Q3 - 10:49DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
38.0%
55
62.0%
Q3 - 10:50ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot54
36.9%
55
63.1%
Q3 - 11:15DENLawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Gallinari 3 AST)54
34.6%
55
65.4%
Q3 - 11:21DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
28.8%
55
71.2%
Q3 - 11:23ATLMISS Teague 4' Driving Jump Shot51
27.9%
55
72.1%
Q3 - 11:29ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
26.0%
55
74.0%
Q3 - 11:31DENMISS Gallinari 22' Jump Shot51
26.8%
55
73.2%
Q3 - 11:44DENNuggets Rebound51
28.8%
55
71.2%
Q3 - 11:45ATLMISS Horford 4' Jump Shot51
27.9%
55
72.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL51
25.9%
55
74.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound51
25.9%
55
74.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Smith 5' Putback Layup51
27.9%
55
72.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
27.0%
55
73.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Teague 10' Running Jump Shot51
28.2%
55
71.8%
Q2 - 0:05.0DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)51
26.9%
55
73.1%
Q2 - 0:05.0DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)50
26.4%
55
73.6%
Q2 - 0:16.0ATLHarris 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)49
23.7%
55
76.3%
Q2 - 0:32.0ATLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
26.9%
53
73.1%
Q2 - 0:33.0DENMISS Brewer 6' Driving Jump Shot49
27.4%
53
72.6%
Q2 - 0:47.0DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
28.8%
53
71.2%
Q2 - 0:48.0ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot49
28.2%
53
71.8%
Q2 - 0:59.0DENBrewer 3' Running Layup (14 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)49
26.8%
53
73.2%
Q2 - 1:10ATLStevenson 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)47
24.0%
53
76.0%
Q2 - 1:18ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)47
29.9%
50
70.1%
Q2 - 1:19DENMISS Gallinari 6' Running Jump Shot47
30.4%
50
69.6%
Q2 - 1:27DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
31.6%
50
68.4%
Q2 - 1:28ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
31.1%
50
68.9%
Q2 - 1:50DENMcGee Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)47
29.9%
50
70.1%
Q2 - 1:55DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
23.9%
50
76.1%
Q2 - 1:57ATLMISS Horford 2' Layup44
23.5%
50
76.5%
Q2 - 2:28DENBrewer 1' Running Dunk (12 PTS) (Iguodala 3 AST)44
22.4%
50
77.6%
Q2 - 2:32ATLStevenson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)42
20.3%
50
79.7%
Q2 - 2:45DENIguodala Foul Turnover (P5.T13)42
18.4%
50
81.6%
Q2 - 2:48DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
20.3%
50
79.7%
Q2 - 2:50ATLMISS Pachulia 1' Putback Layup42
19.7%
50
80.3%
Q2 - 2:51ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)42
18.4%
50
81.6%
Q2 - 2:52ATLMISS Pachulia 2' Running Layup42
19.7%
50
80.3%
Q2 - 2:57ATLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
18.4%
50
81.6%
Q2 - 2:58DENMISS Brewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
19.0%
50
81.0%
Q2 - 3:15ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)42
20.9%
50
79.1%
Q2 - 3:26DENGallinari 14' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)42
24.7%
47
75.3%
Q2 - 3:43DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
22.9%
47
77.1%
Q2 - 3:44ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 240
22.6%
47
77.4%
Q2 - 3:44ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)40
21.3%
47
78.7%
Q2 - 3:45ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
22.6%
46
77.4%
Q2 - 3:47ATLMISS Teague 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
24.3%
46
75.7%
Q2 - 3:54ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)40
22.6%
46
77.4%
Q2 - 3:55DENMISS Iguodala 2' Driving Layup40
23.3%
46
76.7%
Q2 - 4:06DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)40
25.2%
46
74.8%
Q2 - 4:08ATLMISS Teague 20' Jump Shot40
24.5%
46
75.5%
Q2 - 4:28DENMcGee 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS) (Iguodala 2 AST)40
22.9%
46
77.1%
Q2 - 4:44ATLTeague 10' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
21.1%
46
78.9%
Q2 - 5:03DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Gallinari 2 AST)38
23.3%
44
76.7%
Q2 - 5:08DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)36
21.4%
44
78.6%
Q2 - 5:10DENMISS Iguodala 14' Jump Shot36
20.1%
44
79.9%
Q2 - 5:37ATLHarris 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)36
21.3%
44
78.7%
Q2 - 5:50ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
23.3%
42
76.7%
Q2 - 5:51DENMISS Iguodala 3' Driving Layup36
23.9%
42
76.1%
Q2 - 6:04DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)36
25.8%
42
74.2%
Q2 - 6:06ATLMISS Stevenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
25.0%
42
75.0%
Q2 - 6:18DENBrewer Free Throw 3 of 3 (10 PTS)36
23.3%
42
76.7%
Q2 - 6:18DENMISS Brewer Free Throw 2 of 335
22.8%
42
77.2%
Q2 - 6:18DENBrewer Free Throw 1 of 3 (9 PTS)35
24.2%
42
75.8%
Q2 - 6:41ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)34
21.8%
42
78.2%
Q2 - 6:41ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
25.4%
39
74.6%
Q2 - 6:42ATLMISS Horford 5' Driving Jump Shot34
27.2%
39
72.8%
Q2 - 7:05DENRandolph Foul Turnover (P2.T12)34
25.8%
39
74.2%
Q2 - 7:16ATLHorford 1' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)34
28.1%
39
71.9%
Q2 - 7:38DENLawson 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)34
30.0%
37
70.0%
Q2 - 7:48DENNuggets Rebound32
28.1%
37
71.9%
Q2 - 7:49ATLMISS Pachulia 2' Running Layup32
27.4%
37
72.6%
Q2 - 7:54DENHorford STEAL (3 STL)32
25.7%
37
74.3%
Q2 - 8:13ATLPachulia 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)32
28.2%
37
71.8%
Q2 - 8:24DENWilliams STEAL (1 STL)32
30.3%
35
69.7%
Q2 - 8:26DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
32.6%
35
67.4%
Q2 - 8:29DENMISS Brewer 3PT Jump Shot32
31.0%
35
69.0%
Q2 - 8:35DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
32.6%
35
67.4%
Q2 - 8:38ATLMISS Horford 5' Hook Shot32
31.9%
35
68.1%
Q2 - 8:53DENIguodala Illegal Screen Turnover (P3.T9)32
30.3%
35
69.7%
Q2 - 8:59DENNuggets Rebound32
32.6%
35
67.4%
Q2 - 9:00ATLMISS Morrow 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
31.9%
35
68.1%
Q2 - 9:05ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)32
30.2%
35
69.8%
Q2 - 9:06DENMISS Miller 3' Driving Layup32
30.9%
35
69.1%
Q2 - 9:26ATLWilliams 1' Running Dunk (7 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)32
32.5%
35
67.5%
Q2 - 9:32DENHorford STEAL (2 STL)32
34.6%
33
65.4%
Q2 - 9:40DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
37.1%
33
62.9%
Q2 - 9:43ATLMISS Johnson 3' Jump Shot32
36.3%
33
63.7%
Q2 - 9:59DENBrewer Running Layup (8 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)32
34.6%
33
65.4%
Q2 - 10:02DENRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
32.7%
33
67.3%
Q2 - 10:04ATLMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
31.9%
33
68.1%
Q2 - 10:13DENRandolph 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)30
30.2%
33
69.8%
Q2 - 10:26ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
28.5%
33
71.5%
Q2 - 10:26ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
29.0%
32
71.0%
Q2 - 10:32ATLMorrow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
30.2%
31
69.8%
Q2 - 10:33DENMISS Hamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
31.0%
31
69.0%
Q2 - 10:57ATLMorrow 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)28
32.7%
31
67.3%
Q2 - 11:00ATLMorrow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
34.5%
29
65.5%
Q2 - 11:01ATLMISS Pachulia 16' Jump Shot28
36.2%
29
63.8%
Q2 - 11:20DENBrewer 4' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS)28
34.6%
29
65.4%
Q2 - 11:41ATLMorrow 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)26
32.5%
29
67.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL26
34.6%
27
65.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENHorford STEAL (1 STL)26
34.8%
27
65.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)26
36.5%
27
63.5%
Q1 - 0:05.0DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
34.8%
27
65.2%
Q1 - 0:05.0DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
34.5%
27
65.5%
Q1 - 0:10.0DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
32.2%
27
67.8%
Q1 - 0:12.0ATLMISS Horford 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
31.7%
27
68.3%
Q1 - 0:31.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
30.6%
27
69.4%
Q1 - 0:33.0DENMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot24
31.1%
27
68.9%
Q1 - 0:46.0ATLHorford 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)24
32.2%
27
67.8%
Q1 - 0:50.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
34.8%
25
65.2%
Q1 - 0:52.0DENMISS Brewer 21' Jump Shot24
35.3%
25
64.7%
Q1 - 0:59.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)24
36.5%
25
63.5%
Q1 - 0:59.0ATLHorford 1' Putback Dunk (6 PTS)24
36.5%
25
63.5%
Q1 - 1:01ATLMISS Morrow 17' Jump Shot24
40.4%
23
59.6%
Q1 - 1:15DENFaried Foul Turnover (P2.T6)24
39.3%
23
60.7%
Q1 - 1:29ATLWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)24
40.9%
23
59.1%
Q1 - 1:45DENMcGee Foul Turnover (P1.T5)24
46.1%
20
53.9%
Q1 - 1:58ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)24
47.7%
20
52.3%
Q1 - 2:17DENBrewer 1' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)24
50.3%
18
49.7%
Q1 - 2:22ATLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)22
47.9%
18
52.1%
Q1 - 2:27ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
45.8%
18
54.2%
Q1 - 2:28DENMISS McGee 8' Hook Shot22
46.4%
18
53.6%
Q1 - 2:40DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
47.9%
18
52.1%
Q1 - 2:41ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot22
47.2%
18
52.8%
Q1 - 2:54ATLMorrow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
45.8%
18
54.2%
Q1 - 2:55ATLMISS Morrow 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
47.2%
18
52.8%
Q1 - 3:12ATLHAWKS Rebound22
45.4%
18
54.6%
Q1 - 3:14ATLMISS Morrow 7' Driving Jump Shot22
47.0%
18
53.0%
Q1 - 3:20ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
45.4%
18
54.6%
Q1 - 3:23ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot22
47.0%
18
53.0%
Q1 - 3:29ATLHAWKS Rebound22
45.4%
18
54.6%
Q1 - 3:30ATLMISS Horford 13' Jump Shot22
47.1%
18
52.9%
Q1 - 3:48DENBrewer 1' Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)22
45.4%
18
54.6%
Q1 - 3:54ATLWilliams 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)20
43.3%
18
56.7%
Q1 - 3:59ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
45.4%
16
54.6%
Q1 - 4:03DENMISS Lawson 19' Jump Shot20
45.6%
16
54.4%
Q1 - 4:14ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P1.T5)20
47.2%
16
52.8%
Q1 - 4:29DENIguodala Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)20
44.9%
16
55.1%
Q1 - 4:44ATLHorford 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
47.2%
16
52.8%
Q1 - 5:05DENLawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Iguodala 1 AST)20
48.5%
14
51.5%
Q1 - 5:17DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
44.5%
14
55.5%
Q1 - 5:18ATLMISS Teague 6' Driving Jump Shot17
43.8%
14
56.2%
Q1 - 5:30DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
42.3%
14
57.7%
Q1 - 5:30DENGallinari 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)17
42.3%
14
57.7%
Q1 - 5:31DENMISS Gallinari 2' Driving Layup15
38.9%
14
61.1%
Q1 - 5:48ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
40.4%
14
59.6%
Q1 - 5:48ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
41.0%
13
59.0%
Q1 - 6:00DENFaried 5' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)15
42.3%
12
57.7%
Q1 - 6:05DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
39.9%
12
60.1%
Q1 - 6:07ATLMISS Teague 1' Driving Layup13
39.3%
12
60.7%
Q1 - 6:18DENHarris STEAL (1 STL)13
37.9%
12
62.1%
Q1 - 6:30DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
40.0%
12
60.0%
Q1 - 6:33ATLMISS Stevenson 16' Turnaround Jump Shot13
39.3%
12
60.7%
Q1 - 6:51ATLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
37.9%
12
62.1%
Q1 - 6:52DENMISS Faried Free Throw 2 of 213
38.2%
12
61.8%
Q1 - 6:52DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
39.2%
12
60.8%
Q1 - 6:52DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
38.1%
12
61.9%
Q1 - 6:53DENMISS Lawson 19' Jump Shot12
36.6%
12
63.4%
Q1 - 7:08ATLHarris 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)12
38.0%
12
62.0%
Q1 - 7:20ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
41.3%
9
58.7%
Q1 - 7:23DENMISS Mozgov 18' Jump Shot12
42.0%
9
58.0%
Q1 - 7:37ATLHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)12
43.6%
9
56.4%
Q1 - 7:49DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
41.3%
9
58.7%
Q1 - 7:49DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
41.1%
9
58.9%
Q1 - 8:05ATLTeague 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
39.6%
9
60.4%
Q1 - 8:14DENGallinari 4' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
41.3%
7
58.7%
Q1 - 8:38ATLHorford Putback Dunk (2 PTS)8
39.6%
7
60.4%
Q1 - 8:39ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
41.3%
5
58.7%
Q1 - 8:41ATLMISS Horford 1' Running Layup8
42.7%
5
57.3%
Q1 - 8:48ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
41.3%
5
58.7%
Q1 - 8:49DENMISS Iguodala 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
41.9%
5
58.1%
Q1 - 9:04DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
43.1%
5
56.9%
Q1 - 9:06ATLMISS Teague 6' Floating Jump Shot8
42.5%
5
57.5%
Q1 - 9:25DENLawson 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)8
41.2%
5
58.8%
Q1 - 9:34ATLHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)6
39.6%
5
60.4%
Q1 - 9:52DENLawson Driving Layup (4 PTS)6
37.7%
5
62.3%
Q1 - 10:05ATLStevenson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)4
36.1%
5
63.9%
Q1 - 10:26DENLawson 20' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)4
39.2%
2
60.8%
Q1 - 10:32DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
37.8%
2
62.2%
Q1 - 10:33ATLMISS Smith 9' Running Hook Shot2
37.2%
2
62.8%
Q1 - 10:52DENFaried 1' Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)2
35.9%
2
64.1%
Q1 - 10:57ATLTeague Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)0
34.6%
2
65.4%
Q1 - 11:07DENStevenson STEAL (1 STL)0
32.9%
2
67.1%
Q1 - 11:12ATLTeague Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
34.2%
2
65.8%
Q1 - 11:14DENTeague STEAL (1 STL)0
32.9%
2
67.1%
Q1 - 11:30ATLHarris 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)0
34.2%
2
65.8%
Q1 - 11:35ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.9%
0
64.1%
Q1 - 11:36DENMISS Faried 6' Jump Shot0
36.3%
0
63.7%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Mozgov: Tip to Lawson0
37.3%
0
62.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.14 57.1%
ATL
1.03 51.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
23
33
70%
ATL
26
42
62%
Midrange
DEN
8
29
28%
ATL
8
31
26%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
7
10.5
17
41%
62%
ATL
8
12.0
22
36%
55%
Free Throws
DEN
21
25
84%
ATL
16
19
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Lawson3289%16.0 / 18
C. Brewer1959%9.5 / 16
D. Gallinari1653%8.0 / 15
J. McGee1169%5.5 / 8
A. Miller857%4.0 / 7
T. Mozgov660%3.0 / 5
A. Iguodala525%2.5 / 10
K. Faried528%2.5 / 9
A. Randolph2100%1.0 / 1
J. Hamilton0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Horford2563%12.5 / 20
J. Smith1647%8.0 / 17
L. Williams1650%8.0 / 16
D. Harris12100%6.0 / 6
Z. Pachulia1161%5.5 / 9
D. Stevenson975%4.5 / 6
J. Teague928%4.5 / 16
I. Johnson650%3.0 / 6
A. Morrow433%2.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
76
+15
-20
91
ATL
83
+22
-14
105
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.14 57.1%
ATL
1.03 51.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.6
104.6
DEN 108.3
ATL 111.3 +3.0
Pace
95.0
92.9
DEN 104.9 +15.5
ATL 89.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.4
DEN 13.7 +2.4
ATL 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
51.7%
DEN 52.5% +4.1%
ATL 48.4%
TO %
15.3%
15.2%
DEN 18.2%
ATL 11.9% +6.3%
ORB %
31.4%
22.2%
DEN 28.2%
ATL 39.6% +11.4%
FTrt
30.8
24.4
DEN 31.6 +11.6
ATL 20.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
65.1%
DEN 63.2% +6.1%
ATL 57.1%
STL %
9.7%
8.7%
DEN 10.4%
ATL 13.4% +3.0%
BLK %
10.4%
7.1%
DEN 5.5%
ATL 8.1% +2.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
53.2%
DEN 57.1% +5.7%
ATL 51.4%
Rim FG%
60.5%
62.5%
DEN 69.7% +7.8%
ATL 61.9%
Mid FG%
35.7%
38.3%
DEN 27.6% +1.8%
ATL 25.8%
3P %
34.3%
37.1%
DEN 41.2% +4.8%
ATL 36.4%
FT %
70.1%
71.5%
DEN 84.0%
ATL 84.2% +0.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
50.1%
34.9%
DEN 41.8%
ATL 44.2% +2.4%
Mid Att. %
28.2%
36.5%
DEN 36.7%
ATL 32.6% +4.1%
3P Att. %
21.7%
28.6%
DEN 21.5%
ATL 23.2% +1.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.3 and 3.3.
Game TotalsDENATL
Possessions9697
Possession Minutes22.026.0
Points104108
Rebounds4047
Assists2424
Steals1013
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)20 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)19 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (4)28 (1)
Field Goals38-7942-95
At-the-Rim FG23-3326-42
Midrange FG8-298-31
2-Point FG31-6234-73
3-Point FG7-178-22
Free Throws21-2516-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 215 · 29
38.5
5
25%
4
4
1
0
7
1
0
4
0-1
0%
1-6
17%
1-4
25%
G · 5'11" 195 · 25
37.2
32
89%
1
7
5
0
4
4
0
1
3-4
75%
7-11
64%
5-5
100%
F · 6'10" 225 · 24
33.8
16
53%
5
4
0
0
1
0
1
4
10-10
100%
3-8
38%
0-2
0%
C · 7'1" 275 · 26
27.8
6
60%
13
1
0
1
0
5
7
6
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 228 · 23
26.0
5
28%
8
0
2
1
2
4
3
5
1-2
50%
2-8
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 186 · 27
24.8
19
59%
3
1
1
0
0
3
0
3
2-3
67%
7-10
70%
1-5
20%
C · 7'0" 270 · 25
23.6
11
69%
3
0
0
2
1
2
0
3
1-1
100%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 37
17.9
8
57%
1
7
0
0
3
3
0
1
4-4
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
· 6'10" 225 · 23
6.3
2
100%
1
0
1
0
2
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22
4.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20
F · 6'9" 210 · 20
G · 6'6" 200 · 24
#41 · C · 7'0" 265 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · F · 6'9" 225 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
57%
40
24
10
4
20
0
11
29
21-25
84%
31-62
50%
7-17
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.