FinalWin Prob.pScore
2129%96
110
1171%104
113
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
110.010093.0
DEN logo DEN
117.796103.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR110
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)110
1.7%
113
98.3%
Q4 - 0:05.0DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 2110
2.6%
112
97.4%
Q4 - 0:07.0TORJohnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)110
3.4%
112
96.6%
Q4 - 0:12.0DENIguodala Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)107
0.8%
112
99.2%
Q4 - 0:12.0DENIguodala Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)107
1.1%
111
98.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0TORLowry 28' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)107
1.9%
110
98.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)104
0.3%
110
99.7%
Q4 - 0:18.0DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)104
0.4%
109
99.6%
Q4 - 0:38.0DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)104
2.1%
108
97.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot104
2.7%
108
97.3%
Q4 - 0:46.0TORRoss REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)104
5.5%
108
94.5%
Q4 - 0:48.0DENMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot104
4.5%
108
95.5%
Q4 - 1:06DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)104
3.7%
108
96.3%
Q4 - 1:07TORFaried BLOCK (1 BLK)104
4.6%
108
95.4%
Q4 - 1:31TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)104
9.4%
108
90.6%
Q4 - 1:31DENMISS Lawson 3' Driving Reverse Layup104
7.9%
108
92.1%
Q4 - 1:44DENIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)104
6.1%
108
93.9%
Q4 - 1:45TORMISS Ross 24' 3PT Jump Shot104
7.2%
108
92.8%
Q4 - 2:01DENLawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Iguodala 8 AST)104
11.4%
108
88.6%
Q4 - 2:18TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)104
23.2%
105
76.8%
Q4 - 2:18TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)103
21.8%
105
78.2%
Q4 - 2:18DENLawson Foul Turnover (P4.T17)102
17.8%
105
82.2%
Q4 - 2:38TORRoss 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)102
10.2%
105
89.8%
Q4 - 2:50DENGallinari Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)99
4.8%
105
95.2%
Q4 - 3:09TORDavis 1' Layup (6 PTS)99
3.2%
105
96.8%
Q4 - 3:11TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)97
2.3%
105
97.7%
Q4 - 3:12TORMISS Lowry 5' Running Jump Shot97
1.6%
105
98.4%
Q4 - 3:26DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)97
2.3%
105
97.7%
Q4 - 3:26DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)97
2.4%
104
97.6%
Q4 - 3:41TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)97
4.9%
103
95.1%
Q4 - 3:41TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)96
4.6%
103
95.4%
Q4 - 3:48DENLawson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)95
3.5%
103
96.5%
Q4 - 4:07TORDavis 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Lowry 7 AST)95
2.2%
103
97.8%
Q4 - 4:18TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)93
1.6%
103
98.4%
Q4 - 4:18DENMISS Iguodala 17' Jump Shot93
1.4%
103
98.6%
Q4 - 4:42TORBargnani 3' Reverse Layup (23 PTS) (Lowry 6 AST)93
1.0%
103
99.0%
Q4 - 4:50TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
0.7%
103
99.3%
Q4 - 4:51DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 5:04DENNUGGETS Rebound91
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 5:04TORMISS Bargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
1.0%
103
99.0%
Q4 - 5:08TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)91
1.2%
103
98.8%
Q4 - 5:11DENMISS Lawson 2' Layup91
1.1%
103
98.9%
Q4 - 5:31TORRoss Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)91
0.8%
103
99.2%
Q4 - 5:34TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)89
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 5:35DENMISS Gallinari 3' Layup89
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 5:52TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)89
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 6:07DENFaried REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)86
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 6:07DENFaried 1' Dunk (17 PTS)86
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 6:08DENMISS Lawson 1' Layup86
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 6:12TORBrewer STEAL (4 STL)86
0.5%
101
99.5%
Q4 - 6:16TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)86
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 6:16TORMISS Lucas III 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 6:35DENMiller 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)86
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 6:57TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)86
0.9%
99
99.1%
Q4 - 6:57TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)85
0.9%
99
99.1%
Q4 - 7:13DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)84
1.0%
99
99.0%
Q4 - 7:13DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)84
1.1%
98
98.9%
Q4 - 7:13DENFaried REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)84
1.2%
97
98.8%
Q4 - 7:14DENFaried REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)84
1.2%
97
98.8%
Q4 - 7:14DENMISS Faried 1' Tip Shot84
1.5%
97
98.5%
Q4 - 7:15DENMISS Koufos 2' Layup84
1.5%
97
98.5%
Q4 - 7:36DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)84
1.2%
97
98.8%
Q4 - 7:36TORMISS Bargnani 17' Jump Shot84
1.3%
97
98.7%
Q4 - 7:54DENMiller 2' Layup (4 PTS)84
1.6%
97
98.4%
Q4 - 8:13TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
2.7%
95
97.3%
Q4 - 8:13TORDavis Putback Dunk (2 PTS)84
2.7%
95
97.3%
Q4 - 8:14TORMISS Lucas III 8' Floating Jump Shot82
1.8%
95
98.2%
Q4 - 8:25TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
2.1%
95
97.9%
Q4 - 8:27DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)82
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q4 - 8:27DENMISS Koufos 2' Tip Shot82
1.9%
95
98.0%
Q4 - 8:29DENMISS Brewer 3PT Jump Shot82
1.9%
95
98.1%
Q4 - 8:47DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)82
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q4 - 8:48TORMISS Ross 18' Jump Shot82
1.8%
95
98.2%
Q4 - 9:06DENBrewer 2' Reverse Layup (19 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)82
2.6%
95
97.4%
Q4 - 9:30TORLucas III 3' Layup (2 PTS)82
3.2%
93
96.8%
Q4 - 9:35DENBrewer Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)80
2.5%
93
97.5%
Q4 - 9:41DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)80
2.0%
93
98.0%
Q4 - 9:42TORMcGee BLOCK (5 BLK)80
2.2%
93
97.8%
Q4 - 10:02TORRoss REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
2.9%
93
97.1%
Q4 - 10:04DENMISS Hamilton 11' Turnaround Jump Shot80
2.7%
93
97.3%
Q4 - 10:25TORCalderon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)80
2.3%
93
97.7%
Q4 - 10:40DENMcGee 2' Reverse Dunk (17 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)77
1.5%
93
98.5%
Q4 - 10:46TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)77
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q4 - 10:49DENBrewer 1' Slam Dunk (17 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)77
2.3%
91
97.7%
Q4 - 10:54TORBrewer STEAL (3 STL)77
2.9%
89
97.1%
Q4 - 11:14TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
4.1%
89
95.9%
Q4 - 11:15DENMISS Koufos Free Throw 2 of 277
4.0%
89
96.0%
Q4 - 11:15DENMISS Koufos Free Throw 1 of 277
3.6%
89
96.4%
Q4 - 11:17DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)77
3.3%
89
96.7%
Q4 - 11:18DENMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot77
3.8%
89
96.2%
Q4 - 11:31TORDeRozan 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS)77
3.3%
89
96.7%
Q4 - 11:40TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q4 - 11:41DENMISS Brewer 17' Jump Shot75
2.5%
89
97.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR75
2.2%
89
97.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound75
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORMISS DeRozan 12' Floating Jump Shot75
2.3%
89
97.7%
Q3 - 0:03.0DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)75
3.0%
89
97.0%
Q3 - 0:23.0TORJohnson 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)75
2.5%
89
97.5%
Q3 - 0:33.0DENKoufos Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)73
2.0%
89
98.0%
Q3 - 0:33.0DENKoufos Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)73
2.1%
88
97.9%
Q3 - 0:45.0TORJohnson Foul Turnover (P2.T13)73
2.5%
87
97.5%
Q3 - 0:48.0DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)73
3.0%
87
97.0%
Q3 - 0:55.0DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)73
2.5%
87
97.5%
Q3 - 0:55.0TORMcGee BLOCK (4 BLK)73
2.6%
87
97.4%
Q3 - 1:01TORRoss REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
3.3%
87
96.7%
Q3 - 1:03TORMcGee BLOCK (3 BLK)73
2.9%
87
97.1%
Q3 - 1:17DENMcGee Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)73
3.3%
87
96.7%
Q3 - 1:17DENMcGee Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)73
3.6%
86
96.4%
Q3 - 1:24TORRoss 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)73
4.0%
85
96.0%
Q3 - 1:32TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
2.7%
85
97.3%
Q3 - 1:33DENMISS Hamilton 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot70
2.6%
85
97.4%
Q3 - 1:41DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q3 - 1:43DENMISS McGee Free Throw 2 of 270
2.7%
85
97.3%
Q3 - 1:43DENMcGee Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)70
2.4%
85
97.6%
Q3 - 1:54TORJohnson 1' Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)70
2.7%
84
97.3%
Q3 - 2:10TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
2.6%
84
97.4%
Q3 - 2:12DENMISS McGee Free Throw 2 of 268
2.5%
84
97.5%
Q3 - 2:12DENMcGee Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)68
2.3%
84
97.7%
Q3 - 2:17TORRoss Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)68
2.6%
83
97.4%
Q3 - 2:28TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
3.1%
83
96.9%
Q3 - 2:30DENMISS McGee Free Throw 2 of 268
3.0%
83
97.0%
Q3 - 2:30DENMISS McGee Free Throw 1 of 268
2.7%
83
97.3%
Q3 - 2:38DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q3 - 2:38TORMISS Ross 3PT Jump Shot68
2.7%
83
97.3%
Q3 - 2:47DENIguodala Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)68
3.1%
83
96.9%
Q3 - 2:49DENIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q3 - 2:50TORMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
2.7%
83
97.3%
Q3 - 3:14TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
3.4%
83
96.6%
Q3 - 3:15DENMISS Iguodala 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
3.2%
83
96.8%
Q3 - 3:33TORRoss Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)68
2.8%
83
97.2%
Q3 - 3:33TORRoss Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)67
2.6%
83
97.4%
Q3 - 3:44TORRaptors Rebound66
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q3 - 3:45DENMISS Lawson 2' Layup66
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q3 - 3:50DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q3 - 3:50TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
2.1%
83
97.9%
Q3 - 4:03DENLawson 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Iguodala 7 AST)66
2.6%
83
97.4%
Q3 - 4:30TORJohnson 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)66
3.0%
81
97.0%
Q3 - 4:31TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
2.6%
81
97.4%
Q3 - 4:32TORMcGee BLOCK (2 BLK)64
2.2%
81
97.8%
Q3 - 4:46DENGallinari 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Iguodala 6 AST)64
2.6%
81
97.4%
Q3 - 5:05TORLowry 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)64
3.8%
78
96.2%
Q3 - 5:18DENGallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)62
3.3%
78
96.7%
Q3 - 5:34TORLowry 5' Running Hook Shot (10 PTS)62
4.4%
75
95.6%
Q3 - 5:51DENFaried 6' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS) (McGee 1 AST)60
3.8%
75
96.2%
Q3 - 6:12DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
4.7%
73
95.3%
Q3 - 6:13TORMISS Pietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
4.9%
73
95.1%
Q3 - 6:24DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)60
5.6%
73
94.4%
Q3 - 6:36TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)60
4.7%
73
95.3%
Q3 - 6:36TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)59
4.6%
73
95.4%
Q3 - 6:43TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
4.1%
73
95.9%
Q3 - 6:46DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 258
4.0%
73
96.0%
Q3 - 6:46DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)58
3.6%
73
96.4%
Q3 - 6:48DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)58
4.0%
72
96.0%
Q3 - 6:49DENMISS Lawson 16' Jump Shot58
4.5%
72
95.5%
Q3 - 6:56DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)58
4.0%
72
96.0%
Q3 - 6:57TORMISS DeRozan 17' Fadeaway Jumper58
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q3 - 7:11DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)58
5.0%
72
95.0%
Q3 - 7:11DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 258
5.3%
71
94.7%
Q3 - 7:16TORLowry Inbound Turnover (P3.T11)58
5.0%
71
95.0%
Q3 - 7:18DENKoufos 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Iguodala 5 AST)58
5.8%
71
94.2%
Q3 - 7:36TORBargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)58
6.6%
69
93.4%
Q3 - 7:49DENFaried 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Gallinari 3 AST)55
5.0%
69
95.0%
Q3 - 8:10TORLowry 13' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)55
5.9%
67
94.1%
Q3 - 8:22TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
5.2%
67
94.8%
Q3 - 8:23DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)53
4.4%
67
95.6%
Q3 - 8:23DENMISS Koufos 1' Tip Shot53
5.0%
67
95.0%
Q3 - 8:24DENMISS Koufos 2' Layup53
5.0%
67
95.0%
Q3 - 8:42TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)53
4.4%
67
95.6%
Q3 - 8:42TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)52
4.3%
67
95.7%
Q3 - 9:01DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)51
4.1%
67
95.9%
Q3 - 9:01DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)51
4.3%
66
95.7%
Q3 - 9:08TORGallinari STEAL (1 STL)51
4.6%
65
95.4%
Q3 - 9:26DENLawson 7' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Faried 2 AST)51
5.4%
65
94.6%
Q3 - 9:42DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
6.1%
63
93.9%
Q3 - 9:43TORMISS Pietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
6.4%
63
93.6%
Q3 - 9:48TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
7.1%
63
92.9%
Q3 - 9:51DENMISS Faried 6' Running Hook Shot51
6.8%
63
93.2%
Q3 - 10:09TORDeRozan 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS)51
6.2%
63
93.8%
Q3 - 10:26DENIguodala 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)49
5.5%
63
94.5%
Q3 - 10:39TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)49
6.2%
61
93.8%
Q3 - 10:54TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
4.8%
61
95.2%
Q3 - 10:55DENMISS Faried 8' Jump Shot46
4.6%
61
95.4%
Q3 - 11:08DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
4.4%
61
95.6%
Q3 - 11:09TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
4.6%
61
95.4%
Q3 - 11:20DENIguodala Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)46
5.1%
61
94.9%
Q3 - 11:40TORBargnani 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS)46
4.4%
61
95.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR44
3.9%
61
96.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENLawson 1' Layup (8 PTS)44
3.9%
61
96.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
4.4%
59
95.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENMISS Gallinari 23' Jump Shot44
5.2%
59
94.8%
Q2 - 0:09.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)44
4.9%
59
95.1%
Q2 - 0:09.0TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
5.1%
59
94.9%
Q2 - 0:35.0DENFaried Foul Turnover (P2.T8)44
5.4%
59
94.6%
Q2 - 0:46.0TORDeRozan 9' Jump Shot (14 PTS)44
4.9%
59
95.1%
Q2 - 0:58.0DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
4.2%
59
95.8%
Q2 - 0:58.0DENMcGee 1' Tip Shot (11 PTS)42
4.2%
59
95.8%
Q2 - 0:59.0DENMISS McGee 2' Layup42
5.2%
57
94.8%
Q2 - 1:13DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)42
5.2%
57
94.8%
Q2 - 1:15TORMISS Bargnani Free Throw 2 of 242
5.2%
57
94.8%
Q2 - 1:15TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)42
5.7%
57
94.3%
Q2 - 1:27TORCalderon Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)41
4.9%
57
95.1%
Q2 - 1:43DENMcGee Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)40
4.4%
57
95.6%
Q2 - 1:43DENMcGee Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)40
4.6%
56
95.4%
Q2 - 1:55TORDeRozan 2' Layup (12 PTS)40
5.2%
55
94.8%
Q2 - 2:13DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)38
4.7%
55
95.3%
Q2 - 2:15TORBargnani 3' Layup (12 PTS) (Valanciunas 1 AST)38
4.2%
55
95.8%
Q2 - 2:21TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
3.7%
55
96.3%
Q2 - 2:22TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
3.4%
55
96.6%
Q2 - 2:39DENGallinari 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)36
3.7%
55
96.3%
Q2 - 2:59DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)36
4.2%
53
95.8%
Q2 - 3:00TORMISS Bargnani 17' Jump Shot36
4.3%
53
95.7%
Q2 - 3:20DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)36
5.0%
53
95.0%
Q2 - 3:32TORValanciunas 2' Reverse Dunk (7 PTS)36
4.3%
53
95.7%
Q2 - 3:47DENIguodala Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)34
3.9%
53
96.1%
Q2 - 3:53TORIguodala STEAL (2 STL)34
3.4%
53
96.6%
Q2 - 4:15DENHamilton 8' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Iguodala 4 AST)34
4.1%
53
95.9%
Q2 - 4:25TORFaried STEAL (1 STL)34
4.6%
51
95.4%
Q2 - 4:42DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)34
5.2%
51
94.8%
Q2 - 4:42DENHamilton 1' Putback Layup (6 PTS)34
5.2%
51
94.8%
Q2 - 4:45DENMISS Gallinari 1' Layup34
6.2%
49
93.8%
Q2 - 4:51TORMiller STEAL (1 STL)34
5.7%
49
94.3%
Q2 - 5:12DENHamilton 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)34
6.6%
49
93.4%
Q2 - 5:17DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
7.3%
47
92.7%
Q2 - 5:18DENMISS Koufos 3' Layup34
7.9%
47
92.1%
Q2 - 5:26DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)34
7.3%
47
92.7%
Q2 - 5:27TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
7.6%
47
92.4%
Q2 - 5:35TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
8.1%
47
91.9%
Q2 - 5:37DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
7.3%
47
92.7%
Q2 - 5:37DENMISS Hamilton 1' Tip Shot34
7.9%
47
92.1%
Q2 - 5:39DENMISS Koufos 5' Jump Shot34
7.9%
47
92.1%
Q2 - 5:41DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
7.3%
47
92.7%
Q2 - 5:41DENMISS Gallinari 19' Jump Shot34
7.9%
47
92.1%
Q2 - 5:58TORDeRozan 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)34
7.3%
47
92.7%
Q2 - 6:10DENKoufos Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)32
6.9%
47
93.1%
Q2 - 6:16DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
7.5%
45
92.5%
Q2 - 6:16TORMISS Valanciunas 4' Hook Shot32
7.8%
45
92.2%
Q2 - 6:51DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
8.4%
45
91.6%
Q2 - 6:51DENBrewer 2' Tip Shot (15 PTS)32
8.4%
45
91.6%
Q2 - 6:52DENMISS Brewer 1' Putback Layup32
9.9%
43
90.1%
Q2 - 6:53DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
9.2%
43
90.8%
Q2 - 6:54DENMISS Brewer 1' Layup32
9.9%
43
90.1%
Q2 - 7:05TORValanciunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)32
9.5%
43
90.5%
Q2 - 7:05TORMISS Valanciunas Free Throw 1 of 231
9.3%
43
90.7%
Q2 - 7:16DENBrewer 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)31
9.6%
43
90.4%
Q2 - 7:29DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)31
11.5%
40
88.5%
Q2 - 7:30TORMISS DeRozan 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
11.8%
40
88.2%
Q2 - 7:51DENHamilton 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)31
12.7%
40
87.3%
Q2 - 8:13TORDeRozan 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)31
14.1%
38
85.9%
Q2 - 8:29TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
11.8%
38
88.2%
Q2 - 8:30DENMISS Brewer 17' Jump Shot28
11.4%
38
88.6%
Q2 - 8:56TORBargnani 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)28
10.7%
38
89.3%
Q2 - 9:13TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
10.0%
38
90.0%
Q2 - 9:14DENMISS McGee Free Throw 2 of 226
9.8%
38
90.2%
Q2 - 9:14DENMISS McGee Free Throw 1 of 226
9.4%
38
90.6%
Q2 - 9:24TORBrewer STEAL (2 STL)26
9.0%
38
91.0%
Q2 - 9:30DENBrewer 3' Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)26
10.0%
38
90.0%
Q2 - 9:36DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
10.8%
36
89.2%
Q2 - 9:36TORMcGee BLOCK (1 BLK)26
11.1%
36
88.9%
Q2 - 10:07DENMcGee Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)26
12.1%
36
87.9%
Q2 - 10:12DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
13.0%
34
87.0%
Q2 - 10:13TORMISS Calderon 20' Jump Shot26
13.4%
34
86.6%
Q2 - 10:28DENMcGee Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)26
14.4%
34
85.6%
Q2 - 10:28DENMISS McGee Free Throw 1 of 226
14.8%
33
85.2%
Q2 - 10:43TORRoss 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)26
14.2%
33
85.8%
Q2 - 11:02DENBrewer 1' Dunk (8 PTS)24
13.2%
33
86.8%
Q2 - 11:07TORBrewer STEAL (1 STL)24
14.4%
31
85.6%
Q2 - 11:17DENMiller 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
15.6%
31
84.4%
Q2 - 11:42DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
16.9%
29
83.1%
Q2 - 11:43TORMISS Davis 5' Turnaround Jump Shot24
17.3%
29
82.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR24
18.4%
29
81.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENKoufos 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Iguodala 3 AST)24
18.2%
29
81.8%
Q1 - 0:13.0TORValanciunas 6' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)24
20.0%
27
80.0%
Q1 - 0:34.0DENBrewer 1' Layup (6 PTS)22
18.2%
27
81.8%
Q1 - 0:37.0TORKoufos STEAL (2 STL)22
20.0%
25
80.0%
Q1 - 0:48.0TORRaptors Rebound22
21.2%
25
78.8%
Q1 - 0:49.0TORMISS Davis 14' Jump Shot22
20.4%
25
79.6%
Q1 - 1:05DENMcGee Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
21.2%
25
78.8%
Q1 - 1:05DENMcGee Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
21.8%
24
78.2%
Q1 - 1:05DENNUGGETS Rebound22
23.3%
23
76.7%
Q1 - 1:05TORMISS Calderon 3PT Jump Shot22
23.6%
23
76.4%
Q1 - 1:21DENBrewer 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Iguodala 2 AST)22
24.5%
23
75.5%
Q1 - 1:25DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
26.7%
21
73.3%
Q1 - 1:26TORMISS DeRozan 18' Jump Shot22
27.1%
21
72.9%
Q1 - 1:45DENBrewer 1' Dunk (2 PTS)22
28.1%
21
71.9%
Q1 - 1:50TORKoufos STEAL (1 STL)22
30.5%
19
69.5%
Q1 - 2:01DENKoufos Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)22
32.1%
19
67.9%
Q1 - 2:13TORJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T2)22
30.2%
19
69.8%
Q1 - 2:25TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
32.1%
19
67.9%
Q1 - 2:27DENMISS Brewer 10' Jump Shot22
31.5%
19
68.5%
Q1 - 2:48TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)22
30.2%
19
69.8%
Q1 - 2:50TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
26.4%
19
73.6%
Q1 - 2:51TORMISS Bargnani 15' Turnaround Jump Shot19
25.2%
19
74.8%
Q1 - 3:04TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
26.2%
19
73.8%
Q1 - 3:05DENMISS Faried 18' Jump Shot19
25.6%
19
74.4%
Q1 - 3:20TORDeRozan 2' Layup (2 PTS)19
24.4%
19
75.6%
Q1 - 3:23TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)17
22.9%
19
77.1%
Q1 - 3:24TORMISS Bargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
21.7%
19
78.3%
Q1 - 3:35DENMcGee 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Iguodala 1 AST)17
22.9%
19
77.1%
Q1 - 3:47DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
24.4%
17
75.6%
Q1 - 3:48TORMISS Lowry 1' Layup17
25.0%
17
75.0%
Q1 - 3:58TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
26.2%
17
73.8%
Q1 - 3:59DENMISS Lawson 3PT Jump Shot17
25.7%
17
74.3%
Q1 - 4:13TORLowry 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)17
24.1%
17
75.9%
Q1 - 4:22TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
22.6%
17
77.4%
Q1 - 4:30DENMISS Faried Free Throw 2 of 215
22.4%
17
77.6%
Q1 - 4:30DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)15
21.5%
17
78.5%
Q1 - 4:30DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)15
22.5%
16
77.5%
Q1 - 4:31DENMISS Lawson 2' Layup15
23.6%
16
76.4%
Q1 - 4:34TORIguodala STEAL (1 STL)15
22.5%
16
77.5%
Q1 - 4:54DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)15
24.2%
16
75.8%
Q1 - 4:54DENGallinari Dunk (3 PTS)15
24.2%
16
75.8%
Q1 - 4:54DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
27.0%
14
73.0%
Q1 - 4:58DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)15
25.7%
14
74.3%
Q1 - 4:59DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
27.0%
14
73.0%
Q1 - 5:24TORBargnani 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)15
25.5%
14
74.5%
Q1 - 5:48DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)13
24.1%
14
75.9%
Q1 - 6:07TORJohnson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)13
26.7%
11
73.3%
Q1 - 6:20DENGallinari Foul Turnover (P2.T3)11
25.3%
11
74.7%
Q1 - 6:29TORBargnani 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)11
23.7%
11
76.3%
Q1 - 6:39TORRaptors Rebound9
22.4%
11
77.6%
Q1 - 6:42TORMISS Lowry 23' Jump Shot9
21.3%
11
78.7%
Q1 - 7:00TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
22.4%
11
77.6%
Q1 - 7:01DENMISS Koufos 15' Jump Shot9
21.8%
11
78.2%
Q1 - 7:12DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
20.7%
11
79.3%
Q1 - 7:13DENMISS Koufos Free Throw 2 of 29
22.1%
11
77.9%
Q1 - 7:13DENMISS Koufos Free Throw 1 of 29
21.4%
11
78.6%
Q1 - 7:14DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)9
20.7%
11
79.3%
Q1 - 7:15DENMISS Lawson 11' Fadeaway Jumper9
21.8%
11
78.2%
Q1 - 7:27TORValanciunas 2' Layup (2 PTS)9
20.7%
11
79.3%
Q1 - 7:30TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
19.7%
11
80.3%
Q1 - 7:31TORMISS Bargnani 13' Jump Shot7
18.7%
11
81.3%
Q1 - 7:49DENLawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)7
19.7%
11
80.3%
Q1 - 8:02DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
21.9%
8
78.1%
Q1 - 8:03TORMISS Bargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
22.3%
8
77.7%
Q1 - 8:14DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)7
23.3%
8
76.7%
Q1 - 8:14DENMISS Gallinari Free Throw 1 of 27
23.5%
7
76.5%
Q1 - 8:17DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
23.3%
7
76.7%
Q1 - 8:18TORMISS Pietrus 17' Turnaround Jump Shot7
23.7%
7
76.3%
Q1 - 8:36DENFaried 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)7
24.8%
7
75.2%
Q1 - 8:45DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
26.1%
5
73.9%
Q1 - 8:46TORMISS Lowry 1' Layup7
26.6%
5
73.4%
Q1 - 8:52DENGallinari Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)7
27.7%
5
72.3%
Q1 - 8:54DENNUGGETS Rebound7
26.1%
5
73.9%
Q1 - 8:54DENMISS Koufos 3' Layup7
27.2%
5
72.8%
Q1 - 9:02DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
26.0%
5
74.0%
Q1 - 9:03TORMISS Valanciunas 8' Turnaround Jump Shot7
26.4%
5
73.6%
Q1 - 9:16TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
27.5%
5
72.5%
Q1 - 9:18DENMISS Iguodala 3PT Jump Shot7
27.0%
5
73.0%
Q1 - 9:34TORBargnani 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
26.0%
5
74.0%
Q1 - 9:54DENLawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gallinari 2 AST)5
24.7%
5
75.3%
Q1 - 10:00DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
27.4%
2
72.6%
Q1 - 10:01DENMISS Iguodala 10' Jump Shot5
28.1%
2
71.9%
Q1 - 10:12DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
27.0%
2
73.0%
Q1 - 10:13TORKoufos BLOCK (1 BLK)5
27.5%
2
72.5%
Q1 - 10:25TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
28.7%
2
71.3%
Q1 - 10:26DENMISS Faried 10' Jump Shot5
28.2%
2
71.8%
Q1 - 10:29DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
27.1%
2
72.9%
Q1 - 10:31DENMISS Faried 4' Jump Shot5
28.2%
2
71.8%
Q1 - 10:51TORPietrus 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)5
27.1%
2
72.9%
Q1 - 11:14DENKoufos 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)2
24.1%
2
75.9%
Q1 - 11:34TORBargnani 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
25.4%
0
74.6%
Q1 - 11:49DENFaried Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
24.1%
0
75.9%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Koufos vs. Valanciunas: Tip to Faried0
23.0%
0
77.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.12 56.1%
DEN
1.07 53.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
16
26
62%
DEN
24
44
55%
Midrange
TOR
17
32
53%
DEN
10
26
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
9
13.5
28
32%
48%
DEN
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
Free Throws
TOR
17
19
89%
DEN
27
43
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Lowry2457%12.0 / 21
A. Bargnani2355%11.5 / 21
D. DeRozan1869%9.0 / 13
T. Ross1275%6.0 / 8
A. Johnson1179%5.5 / 7
J. Valančiūnas758%3.5 / 6
E. Davis660%3.0 / 5
J. Calderon450%2.0 / 4
M. Pietrus330%1.5 / 5
J. Lucas III233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Brewer1963%9.5 / 15
K. Faried1856%9.0 / 16
J. McGee1765%8.5 / 13
T. Lawson1650%8.0 / 16
D. Gallinari1354%6.5 / 12
K. Koufos1038%5.0 / 13
A. Miller880%4.0 / 5
J. Hamilton850%4.0 / 8
A. Iguodala433%2.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
84
+13
-16
97
DEN
79
+24
-17
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.12 56.1%
DEN
1.07 53.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.6
110.6
TOR 110.0
DEN 117.7 +7.7
Pace
90.7
95.0
TOR 93.0
DEN 103.9 +10.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
14.6
TOR 15.5
DEN 13.9 +1.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.8%
51.5%
TOR 54.1% +3.5%
DEN 50.6%
TO %
14.4%
15.3%
TOR 14.5%
DEN 14.1% +0.4%
ORB %
25.6%
31.4%
TOR 23.1%
DEN 45.1% +22.0%
FTrt
27.4
30.8
TOR 22.1
DEN 50.6 +28.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.2%
60.0%
TOR 45.2%
DEN 62.5% +17.3%
STL %
7.9%
9.7%
TOR 9.0%
DEN 11.5% +2.5%
BLK %
7.9%
10.4%
TOR 12.9% +0.8%
DEN 12.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.9%
53.5%
TOR 56.1% +2.8%
DEN 53.3%
Rim FG%
59.3%
60.5%
TOR 61.5% +7.0%
DEN 54.5%
Mid FG%
39.2%
35.7%
TOR 53.1% +14.6%
DEN 38.5%
3P %
34.3%
34.3%
TOR 32.1%
DEN 40.0% +7.9%
FT %
78.8%
70.1%
TOR 89.5% +26.7%
DEN 62.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.6%
50.1%
TOR 30.2%
DEN 51.8% +21.5%
Mid Att. %
42.5%
28.2%
TOR 37.2%
DEN 30.6% +6.6%
3P Att. %
24.9%
21.7%
TOR 32.6% +14.9%
DEN 17.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.3 and 3.3.
Game TotalsTORDEN
Possessions10096
Possession Minutes25.822.2
Points110113
Rebounds3753
Assists1925
Steals911
Blocks97
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)23 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (1)30 (2)
Field Goals42-8640-85
At-the-Rim FG16-2624-44
Midrange FG17-3210-26
2-Point FG33-5834-70
3-Point FG9-286-15
Free Throws17-1927-43
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 7'0" 245 · 27
40.3
23
55%
4
0
0
1
2
2
0
4
1-2
50%
8-12
67%
2-8
25%
G · 6'6" 220 · 23
39.5
18
69%
7
2
2
1
1
4
1
6
1-1
100%
7-10
70%
1-3
33%
G · 6'0" 196 · 27
33.8
24
57%
3
7
0
3
3
4
1
2
11-11
100%
5-12
42%
1-4
25%
F · 6'6" 215 · 31
25.1
3
30%
0
0
1
0
1
4
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 265 · 21
22.9
7
58%
4
1
2
3
0
4
2
2
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22
24.0
12
75%
6
0
0
0
2
4
1
5
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
2-5
40%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23
17.1
6
60%
9
3
2
1
1
2
3
6
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 31
16.4
4
50%
0
5
0
0
3
2
0
0
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 26
15.5
11
79%
4
1
1
0
2
4
1
3
0-0
-
4-6
67%
1-1
100%
G · 5'11" 166 · 30
5.4
2
33%
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 234 · 28
C · 7'0" 270 · 28
F · 6'7" 240 · 22
#2 · G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
56%
37
19
9
9
16
0
9
28
17-19
89%
33-58
57%
9-28
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.