FinalWin Prob.pScore
736%96
95
564%101
99
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo MEM
91.310492.0
SAS logo SAS
95.210496.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

SpursGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMSAS
OT1 - 0:00.0SAS95
0%
99
100%
OT1 - 0:06.0MEMParker STEAL (1 STL)95
0.3%
99
99.7%
OT1 - 0:09.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)95
2.0%
99
98.0%
OT1 - 0:09.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)95
2.4%
98
97.6%
OT1 - 0:11.0MEMBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T19)95
4.9%
97
95.1%
OT1 - 0:14.0MEMBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
18.2%
97
81.8%
OT1 - 0:15.0SASMISS Neal 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
13.0%
97
87.0%
OT1 - 0:43.0MEMConley 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Gay 3 AST)95
10.7%
97
89.3%
OT1 - 0:45.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)92
3.2%
97
96.8%
OT1 - 0:47.0MEMMISS Randolph 1' Layup92
1.9%
97
98.1%
OT1 - 0:57.0SASSPURS Turnover: Backcourt (T#18)92
4.1%
97
95.9%
OT1 - 1:13MEMRandolph 4' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST)92
2.8%
97
97.2%
OT1 - 1:22MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)90
2.0%
97
98.0%
OT1 - 1:22MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)90
2.0%
97
98.0%
OT1 - 1:22MEMMISS Randolph 1' Layup90
1.3%
97
98.7%
OT1 - 1:24MEMMISS Conley 1' Layup90
1.4%
97
98.6%
OT1 - 1:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)90
2.5%
97
97.5%
OT1 - 1:32SASDuncan 1' Tip Shot (27 PTS)90
2.5%
97
97.5%
OT1 - 1:32SASMISS Parker 1' Layup90
5.7%
95
94.3%
OT1 - 1:36SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
4.1%
95
95.9%
OT1 - 1:38SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
6.1%
95
93.9%
OT1 - 1:59SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
4.6%
95
95.4%
OT1 - 2:03MEMMISS Conley 24' 3PT Jump Bank Shot90
5.8%
95
94.2%
OT1 - 2:22SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)90
8.9%
95
91.1%
OT1 - 2:22SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)90
9.9%
94
90.1%
OT1 - 2:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)90
11.9%
93
88.1%
OT1 - 2:31MEMMISS Randolph 1' Layup90
14.1%
93
85.9%
OT1 - 2:48SASParker 18' Jump Shot (28 PTS)90
20.7%
93
79.3%
OT1 - 3:06MEMGrizzlies Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)90
27.3%
91
72.7%
OT1 - 3:06MEMGrizzlies Rebound90
39.9%
91
60.1%
OT1 - 3:07MEMMISS Gasol 16' Jump Shot90
30.8%
91
69.2%
OT1 - 3:33SASParker 1' Layup (26 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)90
38.4%
91
61.6%
OT1 - 3:37MEMDuncan STEAL (1 STL)90
46.4%
89
53.6%
OT1 - 3:55MEMGrizzlies Rebound90
57.1%
89
42.9%
OT1 - 3:56SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
53.9%
89
46.1%
OT1 - 4:10MEMConley Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)90
46.6%
89
53.4%
OT1 - 4:10SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T17)87
29.6%
89
70.4%
OT1 - 4:10MEMGinobili STEAL (6 STL)87
21.5%
89
78.5%
OT1 - 4:17MEMGrizzlies Rebound87
29.6%
89
70.4%
OT1 - 4:17MEMMISS Pondexter 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
23.8%
89
76.2%
OT1 - 4:22MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
29.5%
89
70.5%
OT1 - 4:23MEMMISS Randolph 16' Jump Shot87
23.7%
89
76.3%
OT1 - 4:45SASParker 13' Jump Shot (24 PTS)87
29.5%
89
70.5%
OT1 - 4:58MEMRandolph Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)87
37.2%
87
62.8%
OT1 - 5:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Gasol: Tip to Randolph87
47.7%
87
52.3%
Q4 - 0:07.0MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)87
62.4%
87
37.6%
Q4 - 0:08.0SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup87
51.9%
87
48.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
33.1%
87
66.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0MEMMISS Gay 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
40.1%
87
59.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)87
53.0%
87
47.0%
Q4 - 1:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)87
79.0%
84
21.0%
Q4 - 1:02SASMISS Neal 21' Jump Shot87
85.9%
84
14.1%
Q4 - 1:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)87
76.9%
84
23.1%
Q4 - 1:14MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)87
86.5%
84
13.5%
Q4 - 1:14MEMMISS Randolph 2' Tip Shot87
80.2%
84
19.8%
Q4 - 1:15MEMMISS Conley 2' Layup87
80.1%
84
19.9%
Q4 - 1:40SASNeal Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)87
82.5%
84
17.5%
Q4 - 1:40SASNeal Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)87
83.6%
83
16.4%
Q4 - 1:40SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
88.2%
82
11.8%
Q4 - 1:42MEMMISS Gay 8' Jump Shot87
89.6%
82
10.4%
Q4 - 2:04MEMGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)87
92.5%
82
7.5%
Q4 - 2:06SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
91.2%
82
8.8%
Q4 - 2:18MEMConley Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)87
87.1%
82
12.9%
Q4 - 2:18MEMConley Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)86
86.2%
82
13.8%
Q4 - 2:38SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T16)85
82.9%
82
17.1%
Q4 - 2:55MEMRandolph Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)85
69.2%
82
30.8%
Q4 - 3:05MEMGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)85
79.7%
82
20.3%
Q4 - 3:08SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
77.0%
82
23.0%
Q4 - 3:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)85
69.4%
82
30.6%
Q4 - 3:12SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 285
78.7%
82
21.3%
Q4 - 3:12SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 285
73.0%
82
27.0%
Q4 - 3:25MEMGinobili STEAL (5 STL)85
69.6%
82
30.4%
Q4 - 3:45SASDuncan 17' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)85
73.8%
82
26.2%
Q4 - 3:58MEMGay 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Randolph 2 AST)85
80.1%
80
19.9%
Q4 - 3:58MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)83
74.1%
80
25.9%
Q4 - 4:01MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)83
74.2%
80
25.8%
Q4 - 4:01MEMMISS Randolph 1' Tip Shot83
68.1%
80
31.9%
Q4 - 4:02MEMMISS Conley 6' Jump Shot83
68.2%
80
31.8%
Q4 - 4:25SASParker 1' Driving Layup (22 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)83
74.5%
80
25.5%
Q4 - 4:48MEMConley 1' Layup (10 PTS)83
80.6%
78
19.4%
Q4 - 4:56SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)81
74.7%
78
25.3%
Q4 - 5:02SASNeal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
61.8%
78
38.2%
Q4 - 5:04MEMMISS Randolph 15' Jump Shot81
64.4%
78
35.6%
Q4 - 5:33SASNeal 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)81
70.3%
78
29.7%
Q4 - 5:45MEMRandolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)81
81.9%
75
18.1%
Q4 - 5:45MEMRandolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)80
80.8%
75
19.2%
Q4 - 5:59MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)79
77.0%
75
23.0%
Q4 - 6:01SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
71.0%
75
29.0%
Q4 - 6:16SASSPURS Rebound79
66.2%
75
33.8%
Q4 - 6:17MEMMISS Pondexter 3PT Jump Shot79
68.4%
75
31.6%
Q4 - 6:39SASNeal 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)79
73.3%
75
26.7%
Q4 - 6:45SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
83.0%
72
17.0%
Q4 - 6:46MEMMISS Randolph 1' Layup79
84.4%
72
15.6%
Q4 - 6:48MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)79
87.2%
72
12.8%
Q4 - 6:50MEMMISS Pondexter 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
84.4%
72
15.6%
Q4 - 7:09MEMSpeights REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)79
84.5%
72
15.5%
Q4 - 7:12SASMISS Splitter 1' Layup79
83.3%
72
16.7%
Q4 - 7:28MEMConley 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)79
80.3%
72
19.7%
Q4 - 7:53SASNeal 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)76
70.6%
72
29.4%
Q4 - 8:02SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
73.2%
70
26.8%
Q4 - 8:04MEMMISS Randolph 16' Jump Shot76
74.7%
70
25.3%
Q4 - 8:20SASBonner 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)76
78.0%
70
22.0%
Q4 - 8:29SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
85.6%
67
14.4%
Q4 - 8:31MEMMISS Bayless 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
86.5%
67
13.5%
Q4 - 8:48SASMills 1' Layup (7 PTS)76
88.5%
67
11.5%
Q4 - 8:52MEMMills STEAL (1 STL)76
90.9%
65
9.1%
Q4 - 8:54MEMPondexter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
92.8%
65
7.2%
Q4 - 8:57SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
92.3%
65
7.7%
Q4 - 9:02SASDe Colo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
89.0%
65
11.0%
Q4 - 9:04MEMMISS Speights Layup76
89.7%
65
10.3%
Q4 - 9:04MEMSpeights REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)76
91.1%
65
8.9%
Q4 - 9:04MEMGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)76
91.1%
65
8.9%
Q4 - 9:04MEMMISS Gay 1' Tip Shot76
89.7%
65
10.3%
Q4 - 9:06MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)76
91.1%
65
8.9%
Q4 - 9:06MEMMISS Randolph 1' Layup76
89.7%
65
10.3%
Q4 - 9:09MEMMISS Speights 1' Layup76
89.7%
65
10.3%
Q4 - 9:30SASMills 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)76
91.2%
65
8.8%
Q4 - 9:41MEMPondexter 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)76
94.4%
62
5.6%
Q4 - 9:56SASGinobili Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)73
91.2%
62
8.8%
Q4 - 10:01MEMGinobili STEAL (4 STL)73
87.3%
62
12.7%
Q4 - 10:05SASDe Colo Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)73
89.6%
62
10.4%
Q4 - 10:25SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
87.4%
62
12.6%
Q4 - 10:26MEMMISS Gay 10' Jump Shot73
88.2%
62
11.8%
Q4 - 10:39SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)73
89.8%
62
10.2%
Q4 - 10:50SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
87.5%
62
12.5%
Q4 - 10:51MEMMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
88.2%
62
11.8%
Q4 - 11:04SASDe Colo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)73
88.2%
62
11.8%
Q4 - 11:14SASDe Colo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
85.9%
62
14.1%
Q4 - 11:15MEMMISS Bayless 6' Jump Shot73
86.7%
62
13.3%
Q4 - 11:33SASSplitter 1' Layup (5 PTS) (De Colo 1 AST)73
88.3%
62
11.7%
Q4 - 11:39SASDe Colo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
90.4%
60
9.6%
Q4 - 11:40MEMMISS Speights 9' Jump Shot73
91.0%
60
9.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEM73
92.1%
60
7.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMills 1' Layup (2 PTS)73
92.1%
60
7.9%
Q3 - 0:05.0SASDe Colo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
92.5%
58
7.5%
Q3 - 0:06.0MEMGinobili BLOCK (1 BLK)73
92.9%
58
7.1%
Q3 - 0:30.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound73
93.8%
58
6.2%
Q3 - 0:30.0SASMISS Bonner 5' Jump Shot73
93.4%
58
6.6%
Q3 - 0:44.0SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)73
92.6%
58
7.4%
Q3 - 0:45.0SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup73
93.5%
58
6.5%
Q3 - 0:55.0SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
92.6%
58
7.4%
Q3 - 0:56.0SASMISS Bonner 3PT Jump Shot73
93.5%
58
6.5%
Q3 - 1:17MEMGasol 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)73
91.5%
58
8.5%
Q3 - 1:27SASGinobili Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T10)71
89.8%
58
10.2%
Q3 - 1:30SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
87.9%
58
12.1%
Q3 - 1:32MEMMISS Pondexter 16' Jump Shot71
88.5%
58
11.5%
Q3 - 1:48MEMEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
89.8%
58
10.2%
Q3 - 1:50SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
89.3%
58
10.7%
Q3 - 2:02MEMPondexter Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)71
86.0%
58
14.0%
Q3 - 2:05SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)71
88.1%
58
11.9%
Q3 - 2:20MEMGasol 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS)71
86.1%
58
13.9%
Q3 - 2:38SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)69
83.9%
58
16.1%
Q3 - 2:53MEMArthur Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)69
81.1%
58
18.9%
Q3 - 3:13SASDiaw 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)67
76.5%
58
23.5%
Q3 - 3:17SASNeal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
82.2%
55
17.8%
Q3 - 3:18SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
84.0%
55
16.0%
Q3 - 3:37MEMGasol 14' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Conley 12 AST)67
82.2%
55
17.8%
Q3 - 3:47MEMGrizzlies Rebound65
79.6%
55
20.4%
Q3 - 3:49SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot65
78.7%
55
21.3%
Q3 - 4:03MEMGasol 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Conley 11 AST)65
74.9%
55
25.1%
Q3 - 4:12MEMPondexter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
72.2%
55
27.8%
Q3 - 4:14SASMISS Diaw 13' Jump Shot63
71.0%
55
29.0%
Q3 - 4:39MEMArthur 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Conley 10 AST)63
68.0%
55
32.0%
Q3 - 4:53SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)61
64.8%
55
35.2%
Q3 - 4:53SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)61
65.6%
54
34.4%
Q3 - 4:56SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
68.1%
53
31.9%
Q3 - 4:57MEMMISS Gay 7' Jump Shot61
69.4%
53
30.6%
Q3 - 5:21MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
70.8%
53
29.2%
Q3 - 5:22SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
69.6%
53
30.4%
Q3 - 5:43MEMGinobili STEAL (3 STL)61
66.8%
53
33.2%
Q3 - 5:45MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
70.9%
53
29.1%
Q3 - 5:46MEMParker BLOCK (1 BLK)61
68.0%
53
32.0%
Q3 - 5:58SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P4.T7)61
70.9%
53
29.1%
Q3 - 6:21MEMRandolph 2' Layup (13 PTS)61
65.4%
53
34.6%
Q3 - 6:32MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)59
62.2%
53
37.8%
Q3 - 6:35SASMISS Parker 7' Jump Shot59
60.9%
53
39.1%
Q3 - 6:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)59
57.9%
53
42.1%
Q3 - 6:43MEMMISS Ellington 15' Jump Shot59
59.2%
53
40.8%
Q3 - 6:58SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)59
62.3%
53
37.7%
Q3 - 6:58SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 259
63.0%
52
37.0%
Q3 - 7:12MEMGay 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Conley 9 AST)59
60.4%
52
39.6%
Q3 - 7:29SASParker 1' Layup (17 PTS)57
57.0%
52
43.0%
Q3 - 7:40MEMConley 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Ellington 1 AST)57
60.5%
50
39.5%
Q3 - 7:45SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)55
57.0%
50
43.0%
Q3 - 7:59MEMGasol 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Gay 2 AST)55
52.9%
50
47.1%
Q3 - 8:21SASParker 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS)53
48.8%
50
51.2%
Q3 - 8:37MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
52.2%
48
47.8%
Q3 - 8:37MEMGasol 1' Putback Layup (10 PTS)53
52.2%
48
47.8%
Q3 - 8:39MEMMISS Conley 1' Layup51
45.9%
48
54.1%
Q3 - 8:48MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)51
48.8%
48
51.2%
Q3 - 8:50SASMISS Neal 18' Jump Shot51
47.5%
48
52.5%
Q3 - 8:57SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
44.7%
48
55.3%
Q3 - 9:03MEMMISS Gasol 9' Turnaround Jump Shot51
45.2%
48
54.8%
Q3 - 9:15MEMGrizzlies Rebound51
48.0%
48
52.0%
Q3 - 9:15MEMBlair BLOCK (1 BLK)51
45.3%
48
54.7%
Q3 - 9:22MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
48.0%
48
52.0%
Q3 - 9:25SASMISS Neal 1' Reverse Layup51
46.8%
48
53.2%
Q3 - 9:43MEMConley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)51
44.1%
48
55.9%
Q3 - 9:52MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
48.0%
48
52.0%
Q3 - 9:54SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot51
46.8%
48
53.2%
Q3 - 10:10SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
43.4%
48
56.6%
Q3 - 10:11MEMMISS Randolph 2' Layup51
44.5%
48
55.5%
Q3 - 10:12MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
47.1%
48
52.9%
Q3 - 10:15MEMMISS Randolph 6' Driving Bank Shot51
44.5%
48
55.5%
Q3 - 10:30MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
47.1%
48
52.9%
Q3 - 10:32SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot51
46.0%
48
54.0%
Q3 - 10:47MEMRandolph 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Conley 8 AST)51
43.4%
48
56.6%
Q3 - 10:57MEMGrizzlies Rebound49
40.2%
48
59.8%
Q3 - 10:58SASMISS Duncan 11' Jump Bank Shot49
39.1%
48
60.9%
Q3 - 11:23MEMGay 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)49
36.3%
48
63.7%
Q3 - 11:45SASNeal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)46
30.4%
48
69.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEM46
36.3%
45
63.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound46
39.7%
45
60.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Gay 39' 3PT Running Jump Shot46
37.4%
45
62.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
38.9%
45
61.1%
Q2 - 0:04.0SASMISS Ginobili 22' Jump Shot46
38.2%
45
61.8%
Q2 - 0:27.0MEMRandolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)46
36.7%
45
63.3%
Q2 - 0:27.0MEMRandolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)45
36.0%
45
64.0%
Q2 - 0:27.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound44
32.9%
45
67.1%
Q2 - 0:28.0MEMMISS Conley 10' Jump Shot44
31.5%
45
68.5%
Q2 - 0:39.0SASSplitter 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)44
32.9%
45
67.1%
Q2 - 0:39.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)44
36.7%
43
63.3%
Q2 - 0:42.0SASMISS Parker 5' Running Bank Shot44
38.3%
43
61.7%
Q2 - 0:56.0MEMArthur 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Conley 7 AST)44
36.7%
43
63.3%
Q2 - 1:07SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)42
32.8%
43
67.2%
Q2 - 1:07SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)42
33.6%
42
66.4%
Q2 - 1:29MEMSpeights 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Conley 6 AST)42
36.8%
41
63.2%
Q2 - 1:48SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)40
32.8%
41
67.2%
Q2 - 2:05MEMConley Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)40
35.9%
39
64.1%
Q2 - 2:05MEMConley Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)39
35.4%
39
64.6%
Q2 - 2:24SASParker 1' Layup (13 PTS)38
33.2%
39
66.8%
Q2 - 2:47MEMRandolph 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Conley 5 AST)38
36.0%
37
64.0%
Q2 - 2:55MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
33.1%
37
66.9%
Q2 - 2:57SASMISS Parker 9' Jump Shot36
32.3%
37
67.7%
Q2 - 3:14MEMGay 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS)36
30.2%
37
69.8%
Q2 - 3:36SASDuncan 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)34
28.1%
37
71.9%
Q2 - 3:41MEMGinobili STEAL (2 STL)34
30.2%
35
69.8%
Q2 - 3:47SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)34
33.2%
35
66.8%
Q2 - 4:06MEMBlair STEAL (2 STL)34
30.1%
35
69.9%
Q2 - 4:26SASParker 2' Layup (11 PTS)34
32.8%
35
67.2%
Q2 - 4:31SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
35.2%
33
64.8%
Q2 - 4:33MEMMISS Randolph 5' Jump Shot34
36.1%
33
63.9%
Q2 - 4:48SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)34
38.2%
33
61.8%
Q2 - 5:08MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
43.3%
30
56.7%
Q2 - 5:08MEMGay 1' Hook Shot (6 PTS)34
43.3%
30
56.7%
Q2 - 5:10MEMMISS Conley 8' Driving Jump Shot32
38.7%
30
61.3%
Q2 - 5:14MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
40.5%
30
59.5%
Q2 - 5:16SASMISS Parker 6' Running Jump Shot32
39.7%
30
60.3%
Q2 - 5:23SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)32
37.9%
30
62.1%
Q2 - 5:26MEMMISS Randolph 8' Jump Bank Shot32
38.7%
30
61.3%
Q2 - 5:45SASGinobili Layup (7 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)32
40.6%
30
59.4%
Q2 - 5:53MEMRandolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)32
43.3%
28
56.7%
Q2 - 5:53MEMRandolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)31
42.7%
28
57.3%
Q2 - 5:59SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)30
40.6%
28
59.4%
Q2 - 6:16MEMGasol Foul Turnover (P1.T5)30
37.3%
28
62.7%
Q2 - 6:32SASDuncan 6' Running Bank Shot (12 PTS)30
40.4%
28
59.6%
Q2 - 6:50MEMEllington Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)30
42.6%
26
57.4%
Q2 - 6:50MEMMISS Ellington Free Throw 1 of 229
42.2%
26
57.8%
Q2 - 7:14SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)29
42.5%
26
57.5%
Q2 - 7:14SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 1 of 229
43.3%
25
56.7%
Q2 - 7:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)29
42.2%
25
57.8%
Q2 - 7:20SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot29
44.2%
25
55.8%
Q2 - 7:28MEMSplitter STEAL (1 STL)29
42.2%
25
57.8%
Q2 - 7:45SASDuncan 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS)29
45.2%
25
54.8%
Q2 - 7:56MEMConley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)29
47.5%
23
52.5%
Q2 - 8:07MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
49.6%
23
50.4%
Q2 - 8:09SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
48.8%
23
51.2%
Q2 - 8:17SASSPURS Rebound29
46.9%
23
53.1%
Q2 - 8:17SASMISS Splitter 1' Layup29
48.8%
23
51.2%
Q2 - 8:36MEMArthur 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)29
46.9%
23
53.1%
Q2 - 8:53SASDuncan 1' Layup (8 PTS)27
44.5%
23
55.5%
Q2 - 9:13MEMSpeights Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
46.1%
21
53.9%
Q2 - 9:13MEMSpeights Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
45.6%
21
54.4%
Q2 - 9:13MEMSpeights REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)25
43.8%
21
56.2%
Q2 - 9:14MEMMISS Arthur 10' Jump Shot25
42.0%
21
58.0%
Q2 - 9:20MEMSpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)25
43.8%
21
56.2%
Q2 - 9:21SASMISS Green 17' Jump Shot25
43.0%
21
57.0%
Q2 - 9:42MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)25
41.2%
21
58.8%
Q2 - 9:42MEMArthur 2' Layup (2 PTS)25
41.2%
21
58.8%
Q2 - 9:44MEMDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)23
37.2%
21
62.8%
Q2 - 9:46MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
39.0%
21
61.0%
Q2 - 9:48MEMMISS Bayless 17' Jump Shot23
37.2%
21
62.8%
Q2 - 9:58SASNeal Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)23
39.0%
21
61.0%
Q2 - 10:13MEMBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)23
36.2%
21
63.8%
Q2 - 10:13MEMMISS Bayless Free Throw 1 of 222
35.9%
21
64.1%
Q2 - 10:24MEMSpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
36.6%
21
63.4%
Q2 - 10:26SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
35.8%
21
64.2%
Q2 - 10:32SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
34.0%
21
66.0%
Q2 - 10:34MEMMISS Speights 17' Jump Shot22
34.8%
21
65.2%
Q2 - 10:47MEMSpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
36.6%
21
63.4%
Q2 - 10:50SASMISS Splitter 7' Hook Shot22
35.8%
21
64.2%
Q2 - 11:05SASSPURS Rebound22
34.0%
21
66.0%
Q2 - 11:05MEMGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)22
34.7%
21
65.3%
Q2 - 11:08MEMSpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
36.3%
21
63.7%
Q2 - 11:09SASMISS Neal 3PT Jump Shot22
35.6%
21
64.4%
Q2 - 11:18SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
34.0%
21
66.0%
Q2 - 11:20MEMMISS Speights 14' Jump Shot22
34.7%
21
65.3%
Q2 - 11:34MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
36.3%
21
63.7%
Q2 - 11:35SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Bank Shot22
35.6%
21
64.4%
Q2 - 11:41SASSPURS Rebound22
34.0%
21
66.0%
Q2 - 11:41SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup22
35.6%
21
64.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS22
34.0%
21
66.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
34.0%
21
66.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Bayless 28' 3PT Jump Shot22
34.7%
21
65.3%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)22
35.8%
21
64.2%
Q1 - 0:28.0MEMBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
34.1%
21
65.9%
Q1 - 0:28.0MEMBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
33.8%
21
66.2%
Q1 - 0:34.0MEMSpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
31.6%
21
68.4%
Q1 - 0:36.0SASMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
31.1%
21
68.9%
Q1 - 0:48.0SASGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)20
30.0%
21
70.0%
Q1 - 0:50.0SASMISS Neal 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
31.1%
21
68.9%
Q1 - 1:03MEMGinobili STEAL (1 STL)20
30.1%
21
69.9%
Q1 - 1:04MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
31.5%
21
68.5%
Q1 - 1:06SASMISS Neal 23' Jump Shot20
31.1%
21
68.9%
Q1 - 1:13SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
30.1%
21
69.9%
Q1 - 1:15MEMMISS Arthur 15' Jump Shot20
30.5%
21
69.5%
Q1 - 1:37MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
31.5%
21
68.5%
Q1 - 1:39SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot20
31.1%
21
68.9%
Q1 - 2:00MEMBayless 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Pondexter 1 AST)20
30.1%
21
69.9%
Q1 - 2:04MEMPondexter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
27.9%
21
72.1%
Q1 - 2:06SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot18
27.4%
21
72.6%
Q1 - 2:13SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
26.2%
21
73.8%
Q1 - 2:15MEMMISS Gasol 7' Jump Shot18
26.7%
21
73.3%
Q1 - 2:28MEMGrizzlies Rebound18
27.9%
21
72.1%
Q1 - 2:28MEMMISS Gay 16' Jump Shot18
26.7%
21
73.3%
Q1 - 2:40SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)18
27.9%
21
72.1%
Q1 - 2:52SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
31.9%
18
68.1%
Q1 - 2:54MEMMISS Bayless 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
32.4%
18
67.6%
Q1 - 3:07MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
33.7%
18
66.3%
Q1 - 3:09SASMISS Ginobili 17' Jump Shot18
33.0%
18
67.0%
Q1 - 3:23MEMGasol 3' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Conley 4 AST)18
31.6%
18
68.4%
Q1 - 3:38MEMGrizzlies Rebound16
29.8%
18
70.2%
Q1 - 3:38SASMISS Parker Layup16
29.1%
18
70.9%
Q1 - 3:43SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
27.8%
18
72.2%
Q1 - 3:45MEMMISS Conley Free Throw 2 of 216
28.1%
18
71.9%
Q1 - 3:45MEMConley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
29.3%
18
70.7%
Q1 - 3:48MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
27.9%
18
72.1%
Q1 - 3:50SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
27.3%
18
72.7%
Q1 - 3:58SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
26.0%
18
74.0%
Q1 - 3:59MEMMISS Gasol 6' Jump Shot15
26.6%
18
73.4%
Q1 - 4:18SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)15
27.7%
18
72.3%
Q1 - 4:18SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 215
28.0%
17
72.0%
Q1 - 4:26MEMRandolph Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)15
27.6%
17
72.4%
Q1 - 4:42SASDuncan 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)12
24.3%
17
75.7%
Q1 - 4:56SASSPURS Rebound12
25.9%
15
74.1%
Q1 - 4:58MEMMISS Gasol 7' Jump Shot12
26.4%
15
73.6%
Q1 - 5:12SASParker 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)12
27.8%
15
72.2%
Q1 - 5:31MEMGay 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
29.4%
13
70.6%
Q1 - 5:51SASGinobili 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Blair 2 AST)10
27.8%
13
72.2%
Q1 - 6:10MEMGasol 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Conley 2 AST)10
29.1%
11
70.9%
Q1 - 6:14SASDiaw Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)8
27.6%
11
72.4%
Q1 - 6:19MEMBlair STEAL (1 STL)8
25.9%
11
74.1%
Q1 - 6:29MEMGrizzlies Rebound8
27.7%
11
72.3%
Q1 - 6:31MEMMISS Gasol 18' Jump Shot8
26.5%
11
73.5%
Q1 - 6:43SASDuncan 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS)8
27.7%
11
72.3%
Q1 - 6:59SASSPURS Rebound8
29.2%
9
70.8%
Q1 - 6:59MEMMISS Randolph 8' Running Jump Shot8
29.7%
9
70.3%
Q1 - 7:11MEMEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
30.9%
9
69.1%
Q1 - 7:13SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
30.3%
9
69.7%
Q1 - 7:27MEMEllington 2' Layup (2 PTS)8
29.0%
9
71.0%
Q1 - 7:47SASDuncan 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)6
27.7%
9
72.3%
Q1 - 8:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)6
29.0%
7
71.0%
Q1 - 8:03SASMISS Blair Free Throw 2 of 26
30.5%
7
69.5%
Q1 - 8:03SASBlair Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
29.6%
7
70.4%
Q1 - 8:16MEMGasol 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Conley 1 AST)6
30.6%
6
69.4%
Q1 - 8:26MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
29.1%
6
70.9%
Q1 - 8:28SASMISS Neal 2' Layup4
28.6%
6
71.4%
Q1 - 8:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)4
27.5%
6
72.5%
Q1 - 8:38MEMMISS Ellington 1' Layup4
28.0%
6
72.0%
Q1 - 8:57SASParker Reverse Layup (6 PTS)4
29.1%
6
70.9%
Q1 - 9:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
30.6%
4
69.4%
Q1 - 9:03MEMMISS Gay 6' Jump Shot4
31.2%
4
68.8%
Q1 - 9:26SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
32.4%
4
67.6%
Q1 - 9:26SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)4
32.7%
3
67.3%
Q1 - 9:37SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
33.8%
2
66.2%
Q1 - 9:39SASMISS Neal 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
35.1%
2
64.9%
Q1 - 9:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
33.9%
2
66.1%
Q1 - 9:50MEMMISS Gay 20' Jump Shot4
34.4%
2
65.6%
Q1 - 10:04SASParker 9' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
35.4%
2
64.6%
Q1 - 10:15SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
36.7%
0
63.3%
Q1 - 10:18SASMISS Duncan 9' Turnaround Jump Shot4
38.1%
0
61.9%
Q1 - 10:38MEMGasol 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Randolph 1 AST)4
36.8%
0
63.2%
Q1 - 10:48MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
35.4%
0
64.6%
Q1 - 10:50SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot2
34.9%
0
65.1%
Q1 - 11:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
33.6%
0
66.4%
Q1 - 11:02MEMMISS Randolph 8' Jump Shot2
33.7%
0
66.3%
Q1 - 11:18MEMEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
34.7%
0
65.3%
Q1 - 11:21SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot2
34.3%
0
65.7%
Q1 - 11:43MEMGay 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
33.3%
0
66.7%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Gasol: Tip to Randolph0
31.8%
0
68.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
0.85 42.4%
SAS
0.94 47.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
17
34
50%
SAS
19
30
63%
Midrange
MEM
15
50
30%
SAS
11
30
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
SAS
7
10.5
29
24%
36%
Free Throws
MEM
19
22
86%
SAS
18
24
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Gasol2063%10.0 / 16
M. Conley1856%9.0 / 16
Z. Randolph1735%8.5 / 24
R. Gay1542%7.5 / 18
D. Arthur1063%5.0 / 8
J. Bayless525%2.5 / 10
M. Speights429%2.0 / 7
W. Ellington338%1.5 / 4
Q. Pondexter325%1.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker3060%15.0 / 25
T. Duncan2771%13.5 / 19
G. Neal1338%6.5 / 17
M. Ginobili1031%5.0 / 16
P. Mills7117%3.5 / 3
T. Splitter542%2.5 / 6
M. Bonner338%1.5 / 4
B. Diaw375%1.5 / 2
D. Blair150%0.5 / 1
D. Green0-0.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
85
+25
-19
110
SAS
88
+15
-16
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
0.85 42.4%
SAS
0.94 47.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.0
107.8
MEM 91.3
SAS 95.2 +3.8
Pace
88.5
94.7
MEM 92.0
SAS 96.4 +4.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
15.4
MEM 15.6
SAS 14.9 +0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.2%
53.1%
MEM 38.4%
SAS 45.5% +7.1%
TO %
14.8%
14.8%
MEM 15.5%
SAS 15.3% +0.2%
ORB %
31.0%
20.7%
MEM 34.0% +6.3%
SAS 27.7%
FTrt
26.1
25.8
MEM 22.2
SAS 27.0 +4.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.9%
64.1%
MEM 69.4% +12.6%
SAS 56.8%
STL %
9.6%
8.9%
MEM 9.6%
SAS 11.5% +1.9%
BLK %
9.0%
8.1%
MEM 6.7% +0.7%
SAS 6.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.8%
55.3%
MEM 42.4%
SAS 47.1% +4.7%
Rim FG%
53.9%
60.8%
MEM 50.0%
SAS 63.3% +13.3%
Mid FG%
40.0%
42.4%
MEM 30.0%
SAS 36.7% +6.7%
3P %
34.5%
37.6%
MEM 26.7% +2.6%
SAS 24.1%
FT %
77.3%
79.1%
MEM 86.4% +11.4%
SAS 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.0%
37.7%
MEM 34.3% +0.6%
SAS 33.7%
Mid Att. %
45.4%
35.9%
MEM 50.5%
SAS 33.7% +16.8%
3P Att. %
16.6%
26.4%
MEM 15.2%
SAS 32.6% +17.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMEMSAS
Possessions104104
Possession Minutes27.125.9
Points9599
Rebounds5248
Assists2521
Steals1012
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)16 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)18 (7)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (5)35 (4)
Field Goals36-9937-89
At-the-Rim FG17-3419-30
Midrange FG15-5011-30
2-Point FG32-8430-60
3-Point FG4-157-29
Free Throws19-2218-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 230 · 26
46.5
15
42%
10
3
2
0
4
1
2
8
0-0
-
6-14
43%
1-4
25%
G · 6'0" 175 · 25
41.6
18
56%
2
12
4
0
4
5
1
1
6-7
86%
3-10
30%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 250 · 31
39.1
17
35%
15
2
0
0
3
3
7
8
7-7
100%
5-21
24%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 255 · 28
36.6
20
63%
8
3
2
1
3
5
4
4
0-0
-
10-16
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 200 · 25
21.6
3
38%
3
1
1
0
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 230 · 25
28.5
3
25%
3
1
0
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 200 · 24
20.8
5
25%
1
3
1
0
1
4
0
1
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
0-4
0%
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 25
15.3
4
29%
8
0
0
3
0
2
2
6
2-2
100%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
15.0
10
63%
2
0
0
0
2
1
2
0
0-0
-
5-8
63%
0-0
-
· 6'4" 213 · 31
C · 7'2" 265 · 28
G · 6'2" 183 · 22
#1 · G · 6'6" 205 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
95
42%
52
25
10
4
19
0
18
34
19-22
86%
32-84
38%
4-15
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.