| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
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 MIA | 110.5 | 95 | 100.4 |
Scoring Opportunities
SAS
77
+17
-19
94
MIA
85
+10
-10
95
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
SAS
1.06 53.2%
MIA
1.09 54.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | SAS | MIA |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | SAS | 100 0% | 105 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:03.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS) | 100 0.1% | 105 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:03.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS) | 100 0.2% | 104 99.8% |
| Q4 - 0:05.0 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 100 0.6% | 103 99.4% |
| Q4 - 0:06.0 | SAS | MISS Neal 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 100 1.6% | 103 98.4% |
| Q4 - 0:13.0 | MIA | Allen Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS) | 100 6.8% | 103 93.2% |
| Q4 - 0:13.0 | MIA | Allen Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS) | 100 7.6% | 102 92.4% |
| Q4 - 0:14.0 | SAS | Splitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 100 13.1% | 101 86.9% |
| Q4 - 0:14.0 | SAS | Splitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 99 10.1% | 101 89.9% |
| Q4 - 0:14.0 | SAS | Splitter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 98 6.8% | 101 93.2% |
| Q4 - 0:15.0 | SAS | MISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 98 2.9% | 101 97.1% |
| Q4 - 0:20.0 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS) | 98 6.9% | 101 93.1% |
| Q4 - 0:20.0 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 1 of 2 | 98 8.4% | 100 91.6% |
| Q4 - 0:21.0 | SAS | Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T20) | 98 6.1% | 100 93.9% |
| Q4 - 0:22.0 | MIA | Allen 27' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (James 7 AST) | 98 17.5% | 100 82.5% |
| Q4 - 0:43.0 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9) | 98 48.9% | 97 51.1% |
| Q4 - 0:44.0 | SAS | MISS Neal 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 98 55.1% | 97 44.9% |
| Q4 - 1:05 | MIA | Wade 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS) | 98 64.7% | 97 35.3% |
| Q4 - 1:10 | SAS | Chalmers STEAL (2 STL) | 98 75.4% | 95 24.6% |
| Q4 - 1:24 | SAS | Diaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 98 83.5% | 95 16.5% |
| Q4 - 1:25 | MIA | MISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 98 80.5% | 95 19.5% |
| Q4 - 1:37 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 98 70.6% | 95 29.4% |
| Q4 - 1:38 | SAS | MISS Neal 9' Floating Jump Shot | 98 74.0% | 95 26.0% |
| Q4 - 1:58 | MIA | James 6' Driving Jump Shot (22 PTS) | 98 79.5% | 95 20.5% |
| Q4 - 2:14 | SAS | Neal 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Mills 2 AST) | 98 85.5% | 93 14.5% |
| Q4 - 2:24 | SAS | Spurs Rebound | 95 72.1% | 93 27.9% |
| Q4 - 2:25 | SAS | MISS De Colo 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 95 62.4% | 93 37.6% |
| Q4 - 2:43 | MIA | Allen Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 95 72.4% | 93 27.6% |
| Q4 - 2:43 | MIA | Allen Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 95 73.5% | 92 26.5% |
| Q4 - 2:50 | SAS | James STEAL (4 STL) | 95 78.5% | 91 21.5% |
| Q4 - 3:00 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS) | 95 84.0% | 91 16.0% |
| Q4 - 3:00 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS) | 95 85.2% | 90 14.8% |
| Q4 - 3:04 | SAS | Splitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 95 88.3% | 89 11.7% |
| Q4 - 3:04 | SAS | MISS Splitter Free Throw 1 of 2 | 94 86.8% | 89 13.2% |
| Q4 - 3:15 | SAS | Splitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 94 89.4% | 89 10.6% |
| Q4 - 3:16 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 94 87.7% | 89 12.3% |
| Q4 - 3:30 | SAS | Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS) | 94 83.1% | 89 16.9% |
| Q4 - 3:30 | SAS | Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS) | 93 82.1% | 89 17.9% |
| Q4 - 3:49 | MIA | Haslem 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (James 6 AST) | 92 71.0% | 89 29.0% |
| Q4 - 3:55 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 92 77.6% | 87 22.4% |
| Q4 - 3:56 | MIA | MISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 92 82.3% | 87 17.7% |
| Q4 - 4:00 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 92 77.7% | 87 22.3% |
| Q4 - 4:01 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 10' Jump Shot | 92 82.4% | 87 17.6% |
| Q4 - 4:16 | SAS | Mills Foul Turnover (P4.T17) | 92 78.0% | 87 22.0% |
| Q4 - 4:37 | MIA | James 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS) | 92 84.6% | 87 15.4% |
| Q4 - 4:48 | SAS | De Colo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Neal 7 AST) | 92 88.6% | 85 11.4% |
| Q4 - 5:09 | SAS | Splitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 89 73.7% | 85 26.3% |
| Q4 - 5:10 | MIA | MISS Wade 13' Jump Shot | 89 71.5% | 85 28.5% |
| Q4 - 5:24 | SAS | Diaw 10' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Splitter 2 AST) | 89 66.2% | 85 33.8% |
| Q4 - 5:29 | SAS | Splitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 87 59.1% | 85 40.9% |
| Q4 - 5:30 | SAS | MISS Neal 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 87 52.8% | 85 47.2% |
| Q4 - 5:50 | MIA | Wade 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS) | 87 59.2% | 85 40.8% |
| Q4 - 6:08 | SAS | De Colo 1' Layup (12 PTS) | 87 62.4% | 83 37.6% |
| Q4 - 6:09 | SAS | De Colo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 85 55.8% | 83 44.2% |
| Q4 - 6:10 | SAS | MISS Mills 1' Layup | 85 50.1% | 83 49.9% |
| Q4 - 6:14 | MIA | James Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10) | 85 55.9% | 83 44.1% |
| Q4 - 6:25 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 85 47.6% | 83 52.4% |
| Q4 - 6:26 | MIA | MISS Wade 16' Jump Shot | 85 53.4% | 83 46.6% |
| Q4 - 6:39 | SAS | Splitter 2' Layup (15 PTS) (De Colo 5 AST) | 85 47.7% | 83 52.3% |
| Q4 - 6:44 | SAS | Mills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 83 40.9% | 83 59.1% |
| Q4 - 6:45 | MIA | MISS Bosh 2' Layup | 83 38.5% | 83 61.5% |
| Q4 - 6:59 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8) | 83 33.2% | 83 66.8% |
| Q4 - 7:00 | SAS | MISS Splitter Free Throw 2 of 2 | 83 34.2% | 83 65.8% |
| Q4 - 7:00 | SAS | Splitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 83 38.1% | 83 61.9% |
| Q4 - 7:00 | SAS | Splitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 82 33.8% | 83 66.2% |
| Q4 - 7:01 | SAS | MISS Diaw Free Throw 2 of 2 | 82 27.8% | 83 72.2% |
| Q4 - 7:01 | SAS | Diaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 82 31.2% | 83 68.8% |
| Q4 - 7:09 | SAS | De Colo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 81 27.4% | 83 72.6% |
| Q4 - 7:10 | MIA | MISS Wade 14' Jump Shot | 81 25.6% | 83 74.4% |
| Q4 - 7:21 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 81 21.8% | 83 78.2% |
| Q4 - 7:22 | SAS | MISS Splitter 2' Layup | 81 23.5% | 83 76.5% |
| Q4 - 7:44 | MIA | Cole 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 5 AST) | 81 27.4% | 83 72.6% |
| Q4 - 8:00 | SAS | Splitter Traveling Turnover (P2.T16) | 81 32.8% | 81 67.2% |
| Q4 - 8:11 | SAS | Anderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 81 38.8% | 81 61.2% |
| Q4 - 8:12 | MIA | MISS Bosh 14' Fadeaway Jumper | 81 37.0% | 81 63.0% |
| Q4 - 8:23 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 81 33.0% | 81 67.0% |
| Q4 - 8:24 | MIA | MISS James 9' Jump Shot | 81 37.0% | 81 63.0% |
| Q4 - 8:25 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 81 33.0% | 81 67.0% |
| Q4 - 8:26 | MIA | MISS Allen 17' Jump Shot | 81 37.0% | 81 63.0% |
| Q4 - 8:31 | SAS | Cole STEAL (1 STL) | 81 33.0% | 81 67.0% |
| Q4 - 8:44 | SAS | Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10) | 81 38.9% | 81 61.1% |
| Q4 - 8:45 | MIA | MISS Cole 2' Driving Layup | 81 37.0% | 81 63.0% |
| Q4 - 9:04 | SAS | Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST) | 81 32.9% | 81 67.1% |
| Q4 - 9:19 | MIA | Allen 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 78 23.2% | 81 76.8% |
| Q4 - 9:27 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7) | 78 27.8% | 79 72.2% |
| Q4 - 9:28 | SAS | MISS Bonner 23' Jump Shot | 78 29.3% | 79 70.7% |
| Q4 - 9:36 | SAS | Spurs Rebound | 78 32.8% | 79 67.2% |
| Q4 - 9:37 | SAS | Bosh BLOCK (1 BLK) | 78 29.3% | 79 70.7% |
| Q4 - 9:58 | MIA | Haslem 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST) | 78 32.8% | 79 67.2% |
| Q4 - 10:17 | SAS | Anderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 78 37.5% | 77 62.5% |
| Q4 - 10:17 | SAS | Anderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 77 36.4% | 77 63.6% |
| Q4 - 10:34 | SAS | De Colo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 76 32.4% | 77 67.6% |
| Q4 - 10:38 | SAS | MISS Neal 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 76 29.1% | 77 70.9% |
| Q4 - 10:46 | SAS | Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 76 32.4% | 77 67.6% |
| Q4 - 10:47 | MIA | MISS Allen 2' Finger Roll Layup | 76 30.9% | 77 69.1% |
| Q4 - 10:49 | MIA | Cole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 76 27.7% | 77 72.3% |
| Q4 - 10:51 | MIA | MISS Miller 1' Driving Layup | 76 30.9% | 77 69.1% |
| Q4 - 10:56 | SAS | Miller STEAL (2 STL) | 76 27.7% | 77 72.3% |
| Q4 - 11:13 | MIA | Cole 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 76 32.3% | 77 67.7% |
| Q4 - 11:24 | MIA | Cole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 76 37.2% | 75 62.8% |
| Q4 - 11:25 | SAS | MISS Blair 1' Layup | 76 38.7% | 75 61.3% |
| Q4 - 11:46 | MIA | Allen 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Miller 1 AST) | 76 42.3% | 75 57.7% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 76 47.7% | 73 52.3% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | SAS | Anderson Free Throw 3 of 3 (7 PTS) | 76 47.7% | 73 52.3% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | SAS | MISS Anderson Free Throw 2 of 3 | 75 46.5% | 73 53.5% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | SAS | Anderson Free Throw 1 of 3 (6 PTS) | 75 50.6% | 73 49.4% |
| Q3 - 0:03.0 | SAS | Anderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 74 41.4% | 73 58.6% |
| Q3 - 0:04.0 | MIA | MISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot | 74 40.0% | 73 60.0% |
| Q3 - 0:25.0 | SAS | De Colo Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 74 36.9% | 73 63.1% |
| Q3 - 0:25.0 | SAS | De Colo Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 73 35.7% | 73 64.3% |
| Q3 - 0:25.0 | MIA | James Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9) | 72 32.0% | 73 68.0% |
| Q3 - 0:32.0 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 72 27.9% | 73 72.1% |
| Q3 - 0:33.0 | SAS | MISS Blair 7' Jump Shot | 72 29.1% | 73 70.9% |
| Q3 - 0:41.0 | MIA | Jump Ball Haslem vs. De Colo: Tip to Blair | 72 32.0% | 73 68.0% |
| Q3 - 0:42.0 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 72 27.9% | 73 72.1% |
| Q3 - 0:43.0 | SAS | MISS Blair Free Throw 1 of 1 | 72 28.5% | 73 71.5% |
| Q3 - 0:57.0 | MIA | James 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS) | 70 23.8% | 73 76.2% |
| Q3 - 1:06 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 70 27.7% | 71 72.3% |
| Q3 - 1:07 | SAS | MISS Neal 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 70 28.9% | 71 71.1% |
| Q3 - 1:19 | SAS | Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 70 31.7% | 71 68.3% |
| Q3 - 1:20 | MIA | MISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 70 30.5% | 71 69.5% |
| Q3 - 1:37 | SAS | Blair 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST) | 70 27.7% | 71 72.3% |
| Q3 - 1:59 | MIA | Allen 6' Running Bank Shot (9 PTS) | 68 23.9% | 71 76.1% |
| Q3 - 2:10 | SAS | Anderson 1' Driving Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Joseph 2 AST) | 68 27.3% | 69 72.7% |
| Q3 - 2:33 | MIA | Allen 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 66 23.8% | 69 76.2% |
| Q3 - 2:42 | MIA | Allen Free Throw Technical (5 PTS) | 66 27.3% | 67 72.7% |
| Q3 - 2:54 | SAS | Diaw 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS) | 66 31.2% | 66 68.8% |
| Q3 - 3:15 | SAS | Blair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 64 27.2% | 66 72.8% |
| Q3 - 3:17 | SAS | MISS Diaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 64 24.7% | 66 75.3% |
| Q3 - 3:47 | MIA | Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS) | 64 27.2% | 66 72.8% |
| Q3 - 4:00 | MIA | Lewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 64 30.7% | 64 69.3% |
| Q3 - 4:01 | SAS | MISS Joseph 21' Jump Shot | 64 31.5% | 64 68.5% |
| Q3 - 4:20 | MIA | Bosh 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST) | 64 34.6% | 64 65.4% |
| Q3 - 4:29 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 64 37.9% | 62 62.1% |
| Q3 - 4:30 | SAS | MISS Blair 5' Jump Shot | 64 39.4% | 62 60.6% |
| Q3 - 4:49 | MIA | Wade 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST) | 64 42.8% | 62 57.2% |
| Q3 - 5:06 | SAS | Neal 10' Floating Jump Shot (15 PTS) | 64 45.4% | 60 54.6% |
| Q3 - 5:25 | SAS | De Colo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 62 41.9% | 60 58.1% |
| Q3 - 5:26 | MIA | MISS Wade 19' Jump Shot | 62 40.5% | 60 59.5% |
| Q3 - 5:36 | SAS | Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Neal 5 AST) | 62 37.3% | 60 62.7% |
| Q3 - 5:52 | MIA | Wade 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 59 30.4% | 60 69.6% |
| Q3 - 6:13 | SAS | De Colo 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Neal 4 AST) | 59 33.1% | 58 66.9% |
| Q3 - 6:17 | MIA | Chalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7) | 57 30.1% | 58 69.9% |
| Q3 - 6:24 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 57 26.4% | 58 73.6% |
| Q3 - 6:25 | SAS | MISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 57 27.5% | 58 72.5% |
| Q3 - 6:42 | SAS | Spurs Rebound | 57 30.1% | 58 69.9% |
| Q3 - 6:42 | SAS | Chalmers BLOCK (1 BLK) | 57 27.5% | 58 72.5% |
| Q3 - 6:48 | MIA | James Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6) | 57 30.1% | 58 69.9% |
| Q3 - 6:59 | SAS | Neal 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS) | 57 26.4% | 58 73.6% |
| Q3 - 7:14 | MIA | James 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 5 AST) | 55 23.6% | 58 76.4% |
| Q3 - 7:25 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 55 26.3% | 56 73.7% |
| Q3 - 7:26 | MIA | MISS Wade 17' Jump Shot | 55 28.6% | 56 71.4% |
| Q3 - 7:40 | SAS | Wade STEAL (1 STL) | 55 26.3% | 56 73.7% |
| Q3 - 7:53 | MIA | Wade Traveling Turnover (P1.T5) | 55 29.6% | 56 70.4% |
| Q3 - 7:56 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 55 26.3% | 56 73.7% |
| Q3 - 7:57 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 6' Jump Shot | 55 28.6% | 56 71.4% |
| Q3 - 8:15 | SAS | De Colo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 55 26.1% | 56 73.9% |
| Q3 - 8:32 | MIA | Bosh 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 4 AST) | 52 21.0% | 56 79.0% |
| Q3 - 8:56 | SAS | Diaw Layup (4 PTS) | 52 23.3% | 54 76.7% |
| Q3 - 8:57 | SAS | Diaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 50 21.0% | 54 79.0% |
| Q3 - 8:58 | SAS | MISS Diaw 4' Hook Shot | 50 19.1% | 54 80.9% |
| Q3 - 9:11 | MIA | Bosh 1' Putback Dunk (14 PTS) | 50 20.9% | 54 79.1% |
| Q3 - 9:12 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 50 23.2% | 52 76.8% |
| Q3 - 9:13 | MIA | MISS James 1' Finger Roll Layup | 50 25.2% | 52 74.8% |
| Q3 - 9:26 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 50 23.2% | 52 76.8% |
| Q3 - 9:27 | SAS | MISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 50 24.1% | 52 75.9% |
| Q3 - 9:51 | MIA | Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 4 AST) | 50 26.1% | 52 73.9% |
| Q3 - 10:08 | SAS | Diaw 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST) | 50 31.3% | 49 68.7% |
| Q3 - 10:18 | SAS | Diaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 48 28.5% | 49 71.5% |
| Q3 - 10:19 | SAS | MISS Splitter 2' Layup | 48 26.4% | 49 73.6% |
| Q3 - 10:25 | MIA | Lewis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4) | 48 28.5% | 49 71.5% |
| Q3 - 10:34 | SAS | James STEAL (3 STL) | 48 25.5% | 49 74.5% |
| Q3 - 10:43 | MIA | James 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 48 28.5% | 49 71.5% |
| Q3 - 10:59 | SAS | Splitter 8' Hook Shot (12 PTS) | 48 31.3% | 47 68.7% |
| Q3 - 11:14 | SAS | De Colo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 46 28.2% | 47 71.8% |
| Q3 - 11:15 | SAS | MISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 46 26.2% | 47 73.8% |
| Q3 - 11:33 | SAS | Diaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 46 28.2% | 47 71.8% |
| Q3 - 11:34 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2 | 46 27.8% | 47 72.2% |
| Q3 - 11:34 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 1 of 2 | 46 26.1% | 47 73.9% |
| Q3 - 11:45 | SAS | Bonner 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Mills 1 AST) | 46 25.4% | 47 74.6% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 44 23.0% | 47 77.0% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 44 20.5% | 47 79.5% |
| Q2 - 0:03.0 | SAS | MISS Neal 18' Jump Shot | 44 21.7% | 47 78.3% |
| Q2 - 0:23.0 | MIA | Bosh Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 3 AST) | 44 22.8% | 47 77.2% |
| Q2 - 0:33.0 | SAS | Spurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11) | 44 25.9% | 45 74.1% |
| Q2 - 0:33.0 | SAS | Spurs Rebound | 44 27.8% | 45 72.2% |
| Q2 - 0:34.0 | SAS | MISS Neal 16' Jump Shot | 44 26.5% | 45 73.5% |
| Q2 - 0:58.0 | MIA | Bosh 2' Layup (10 PTS) (James 3 AST) | 44 27.8% | 45 72.2% |
| Q2 - 1:12 | SAS | Neal Foul Turnover (P4.T10) | 44 31.3% | 43 68.7% |
| Q2 - 1:16 | SAS | Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9) | 44 33.1% | 43 66.9% |
| Q2 - 1:17 | MIA | MISS Allen 17' Jump Shot | 44 32.5% | 43 67.5% |
| Q2 - 1:36 | SAS | Neal 10' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 44 31.3% | 43 68.7% |
| Q2 - 1:58 | SAS | Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 42 27.7% | 43 72.3% |
| Q2 - 1:59 | MIA | MISS Allen 8' Running Jump Shot | 42 27.2% | 43 72.8% |
| Q2 - 2:15 | SAS | Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9) | 42 25.5% | 43 74.5% |
| Q2 - 2:25 | SAS | Diaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 42 27.9% | 43 72.1% |
| Q2 - 2:27 | SAS | MISS Neal 21' Jump Shot | 42 26.2% | 43 73.8% |
| Q2 - 2:34 | SAS | Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8) | 42 27.9% | 43 72.1% |
| Q2 - 2:35 | MIA | MISS Wade 1' Alley Oop Dunk | 42 27.2% | 43 72.8% |
| Q2 - 2:40 | SAS | James STEAL (2 STL) | 42 25.5% | 43 74.5% |
| Q2 - 2:50 | MIA | James 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST) | 42 27.9% | 43 72.1% |
| Q2 - 2:53 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 42 30.5% | 41 69.5% |
| Q2 - 2:54 | SAS | MISS De Colo 22' Jump Shot | 42 31.3% | 41 68.7% |
| Q2 - 3:15 | MIA | Anthony Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3) | 42 32.9% | 41 67.1% |
| Q2 - 3:35 | SAS | Chalmers STEAL (1 STL) | 42 29.9% | 41 70.1% |
| Q2 - 3:47 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS) | 42 33.0% | 41 67.0% |
| Q2 - 4:16 | SAS | Splitter 1' Layup (10 PTS) (De Colo 4 AST) | 42 37.4% | 38 62.6% |
| Q2 - 4:30 | SAS | Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 40 34.9% | 38 65.1% |
| Q2 - 4:31 | MIA | MISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot | 40 34.1% | 38 65.9% |
| Q2 - 4:40 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 40 32.1% | 38 67.9% |
| Q2 - 4:41 | SAS | MISS De Colo 3PT Jump Shot | 40 33.0% | 38 67.0% |
| Q2 - 4:56 | MIA | Bosh 2' Dunk (8 PTS) | 40 35.0% | 38 65.0% |
| Q2 - 5:20 | SAS | Bonner 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 40 37.1% | 36 62.9% |
| Q2 - 5:46 | MIA | Wade 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (James 2 AST) | 38 34.5% | 36 65.5% |
| Q2 - 6:02 | SAS | Neal 23' Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 38 36.3% | 34 63.7% |
| Q2 - 6:08 | SAS | Splitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 36 34.4% | 34 65.6% |
| Q2 - 6:09 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 1' Driving Layup | 36 33.4% | 34 66.6% |
| Q2 - 6:31 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 36 31.4% | 34 68.6% |
| Q2 - 6:32 | SAS | MISS Joseph 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 36 32.3% | 34 67.7% |
| Q2 - 6:55 | MIA | Miller 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST) | 36 34.4% | 34 65.6% |
| Q2 - 7:12 | SAS | Splitter 1' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST) | 36 35.9% | 32 64.1% |
| Q2 - 7:28 | SAS | Splitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 34 33.8% | 32 66.2% |
| Q2 - 7:29 | MIA | MISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot | 34 33.0% | 32 67.0% |
| Q2 - 7:36 | SAS | Miller STEAL (1 STL) | 34 31.2% | 32 68.8% |
| Q2 - 7:52 | MIA | Bosh 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cole 2 AST) | 34 33.9% | 32 66.1% |
| Q2 - 8:02 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 34 35.5% | 30 64.5% |
| Q2 - 8:03 | SAS | MISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 34 36.3% | 30 63.7% |
| Q2 - 8:15 | SAS | Joseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 34 38.1% | 30 61.9% |
| Q2 - 8:16 | MIA | MISS Allen 10' Turnaround Jump Shot | 34 37.3% | 30 62.7% |
| Q2 - 8:28 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 34 35.6% | 30 64.4% |
| Q2 - 8:29 | SAS | MISS Splitter 3' Hook Shot | 34 36.3% | 30 63.7% |
| Q2 - 8:43 | SAS | Anderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 34 38.1% | 30 61.9% |
| Q2 - 8:44 | MIA | MISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 34 37.3% | 30 62.7% |
| Q2 - 8:52 | SAS | Mills 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 34 35.6% | 30 64.4% |
| Q2 - 9:07 | MIA | Haslem Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T2) | 32 32.8% | 30 67.2% |
| Q2 - 9:24 | SAS | Diaw Foul Turnover (P1.T5) | 32 30.5% | 30 69.5% |
| Q2 - 9:42 | MIA | Allen 4' Running Layup (4 PTS) | 32 32.8% | 30 67.2% |
| Q2 - 9:57 | SAS | Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T4) | 32 34.9% | 28 65.1% |
| Q2 - 10:09 | MIA | Bosh 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cole 1 AST) | 32 37.3% | 28 62.7% |
| Q2 - 10:27 | SAS | Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) | 32 39.2% | 26 60.8% |
| Q2 - 10:39 | MIA | Allen 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) | 29 35.0% | 26 65.0% |
| Q2 - 10:44 | SAS | Allen STEAL (1 STL) | 29 36.9% | 24 63.1% |
| Q2 - 11:00 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 29 39.6% | 24 60.4% |
| Q2 - 11:00 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 29 40.0% | 23 60.0% |
| Q2 - 11:18 | SAS | Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 29 41.5% | 22 58.5% |
| Q2 - 11:18 | SAS | Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 28 41.1% | 22 58.9% |
| Q2 - 11:23 | SAS | Diaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 27 39.2% | 22 60.8% |
| Q2 - 11:24 | MIA | MISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot | 27 38.5% | 22 61.5% |
| Q2 - 11:33 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 27 36.8% | 22 63.2% |
| Q2 - 11:34 | SAS | MISS Joseph 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 27 37.6% | 22 62.4% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | SAS | 27 39.2% | 22 60.8% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | SAS | Spurs Rebound | 27 39.2% | 22 60.8% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | SAS | MISS Joseph 46' 3PT Jump Shot | 27 37.6% | 22 62.4% |
| Q1 - 0:03.0 | SAS | Blair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 27 38.4% | 22 61.6% |
| Q1 - 0:04.0 | MIA | MISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 27 37.9% | 22 62.1% |
| Q1 - 0:27.0 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 27 36.7% | 22 63.3% |
| Q1 - 0:28.0 | SAS | MISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 27 37.3% | 22 62.7% |
| Q1 - 0:40.0 | SAS | Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 27 38.5% | 22 61.5% |
| Q1 - 0:41.0 | MIA | MISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot | 27 37.9% | 22 62.1% |
| Q1 - 1:01 | SAS | Blair 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST) | 27 36.4% | 22 63.6% |
| Q1 - 1:16 | SAS | Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 25 33.8% | 22 66.2% |
| Q1 - 1:17 | MIA | MISS Cole 18' Jump Shot | 25 33.3% | 22 66.7% |
| Q1 - 1:29 | SAS | Joseph 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Neal 3 AST) | 25 32.3% | 22 67.7% |
| Q1 - 1:52 | MIA | Cole 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 22 27.8% | 22 72.2% |
| Q1 - 2:10 | SAS | Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Neal 2 AST) | 22 30.0% | 20 70.0% |
| Q1 - 2:20 | SAS | Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 19 26.2% | 20 73.8% |
| Q1 - 2:21 | MIA | MISS Allen 14' Jump Shot | 19 25.7% | 20 74.3% |
| Q1 - 2:38 | SAS | Neal 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Joseph 1 AST) | 19 24.6% | 20 75.4% |
| Q1 - 2:44 | SAS | Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 17 22.8% | 20 77.2% |
| Q1 - 2:45 | MIA | MISS James 7' Fadeaway Jumper | 17 22.3% | 20 77.7% |
| Q1 - 3:03 | SAS | Bonner 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Neal 1 AST) | 17 21.1% | 20 78.9% |
| Q1 - 3:17 | SAS | Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 14 18.3% | 20 81.7% |
| Q1 - 3:18 | MIA | MISS Cole 1' Layup | 14 17.9% | 20 82.1% |
| Q1 - 3:24 | MIA | Lewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 14 16.9% | 20 83.1% |
| Q1 - 3:25 | SAS | MISS Neal 1' Driving Layup | 14 17.3% | 20 82.7% |
| Q1 - 3:37 | SAS | Joseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 14 18.3% | 20 81.7% |
| Q1 - 3:38 | SAS | MISS Joseph 19' Jump Shot | 14 17.3% | 20 82.7% |
| Q1 - 3:47 | SAS | Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 14 18.3% | 20 81.7% |
| Q1 - 3:48 | MIA | MISS James 1' Driving Layup | 14 17.9% | 20 82.1% |
| Q1 - 3:51 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 14 16.9% | 20 83.1% |
| Q1 - 3:52 | SAS | MISS Blair 10' Jump Shot | 14 17.3% | 20 82.7% |
| Q1 - 4:19 | SAS | Anderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 14 18.2% | 20 81.8% |
| Q1 - 4:20 | MIA | MISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot | 14 17.8% | 20 82.2% |
| Q1 - 4:28 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 14 16.9% | 20 83.1% |
| Q1 - 4:29 | SAS | MISS Neal 19' Jump Shot | 14 17.3% | 20 82.7% |
| Q1 - 4:45 | MIA | Cole 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 14 18.2% | 20 81.8% |
| Q1 - 5:05 | SAS | De Colo Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 14 19.7% | 18 80.3% |
| Q1 - 5:05 | SAS | MISS De Colo Free Throw 1 of 2 | 13 19.4% | 18 80.6% |
| Q1 - 5:11 | SAS | Blair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 13 19.8% | 18 80.2% |
| Q1 - 5:12 | MIA | MISS Wade 3' Jump Shot | 13 19.3% | 18 80.7% |
| Q1 - 5:26 | SAS | Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (De Colo 3 AST) | 13 18.4% | 18 81.6% |
| Q1 - 5:38 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 10 16.0% | 18 84.0% |
| Q1 - 5:38 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 10 16.3% | 17 83.7% |
| Q1 - 5:53 | SAS | De Colo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 10 17.1% | 16 82.9% |
| Q1 - 5:53 | SAS | De Colo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 9 16.8% | 16 83.2% |
| Q1 - 6:02 | SAS | Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 8 16.2% | 16 83.8% |
| Q1 - 6:03 | MIA | MISS Wade 2' Layup | 8 15.8% | 16 84.2% |
| Q1 - 6:12 | SAS | Splitter 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) | 8 15.0% | 16 85.0% |
| Q1 - 6:29 | MIA | Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 6 14.1% | 16 85.9% |
| Q1 - 6:38 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 6 16.1% | 13 83.9% |
| Q1 - 6:39 | SAS | MISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 6 16.4% | 13 83.6% |
| Q1 - 7:01 | MIA | James 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 6 17.5% | 13 82.5% |
| Q1 - 7:07 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 6 19.6% | 10 80.4% |
| Q1 - 7:08 | SAS | MISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 6 20.0% | 10 80.0% |
| Q1 - 7:24 | MIA | James 16' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 6 21.1% | 10 78.9% |
| Q1 - 7:39 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 6 22.2% | 8 77.8% |
| Q1 - 7:40 | SAS | MISS Mills 18' Jump Shot | 6 22.6% | 8 77.4% |
| Q1 - 7:51 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS) | 6 23.8% | 8 76.2% |
| Q1 - 8:11 | SAS | Mills 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 6 26.3% | 5 73.7% |
| Q1 - 8:28 | SAS | De Colo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 24.9% | 5 75.1% |
| Q1 - 8:29 | MIA | MISS Bosh 14' Turnaround Jump Shot | 4 24.5% | 5 75.5% |
| Q1 - 8:45 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 23.5% | 5 76.5% |
| Q1 - 8:46 | SAS | MISS Mills 3PT Jump Shot | 4 23.9% | 5 76.1% |
| Q1 - 9:04 | SAS | Splitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 4 25.0% | 5 75.0% |
| Q1 - 9:05 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 1' Driving Layup | 4 24.5% | 5 75.5% |
| Q1 - 9:15 | SAS | James STEAL (1 STL) | 4 23.5% | 5 76.5% |
| Q1 - 9:34 | SAS | Spurs Rebound | 4 24.9% | 5 75.1% |
| Q1 - 9:35 | MIA | MISS Wade 15' Jump Shot | 4 24.5% | 5 75.5% |
| Q1 - 9:46 | SAS | De Colo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 4 23.5% | 5 76.5% |
| Q1 - 10:01 | MIA | James Foul Turnover (P1.T1) | 4 24.9% | 5 75.1% |
| Q1 - 10:07 | MIA | Lewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 23.5% | 5 76.5% |
| Q1 - 10:08 | SAS | MISS Splitter 3' Layup | 4 23.9% | 5 76.1% |
| Q1 - 10:34 | MIA | Chalmers 7' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 4 24.9% | 5 75.1% |
| Q1 - 10:50 | SAS | Splitter 1' Layup (4 PTS) (De Colo 2 AST) | 4 26.1% | 3 73.9% |
| Q1 - 11:05 | MIA | James 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 2 24.5% | 3 75.5% |
| Q1 - 11:22 | SAS | Splitter 1' Layup (2 PTS) (De Colo 1 AST) | 2 27.1% | 0 72.9% |
| Q1 - 11:33 | SAS | Splitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 25.7% | 0 74.3% |
| Q1 - 11:34 | MIA | MISS Wade 10' Jump Shot | 0 25.4% | 0 74.6% |
| Q1 - 11:44 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 0 24.6% | 0 75.4% |
| Q1 - 11:45 | MIA | MISS Bosh 9' Fadeaway Jumper | 0 25.4% | 0 74.6% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MIA | Jump Ball Bosh vs. Splitter: Tip to Wade | 0 24.6% | 0 75.4% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
SAS
1.06 53.2%
MIA
1.09 54.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
16
26
62%
MIA
17
29
59%
Midrange
SAS
10
24
42%
MIA
20
44
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
10
15.0
30
33%
50%
MIA
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
Free Throws
SAS
18
24
75%
MIA
16
19
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Spurs| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Neal | 20 | 45% | 10.0 / 22 | |
| T. Splitter | 18 | 60% | 9.0 / 15 | |
| N. De Colo | 15 | 68% | 7.5 / 11 | |
| B. Diaw | 12 | 75% | 6.0 / 8 | |
| M. Bonner | 10 | 71% | 5.0 / 7 | |
| J. Anderson | 9 | 113% | 4.5 / 4 | |
| P. Mills | 7 | 32% | 3.5 / 11 | |
| D. Blair | 6 | 43% | 3.0 / 7 | |
| C. Joseph | 3 | 25% | 1.5 / 6 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. James | 23 | 61% | 11.5 / 19 | |
| R. Allen | 20 | 59% | 10.0 / 17 | |
| D. Wade | 19 | 50% | 9.5 / 19 | |
| C. Bosh | 18 | 60% | 9.0 / 15 | |
| M. Chalmers | 8 | 50% | 4.0 / 8 | |
| N. Cole | 8 | 44% | 4.0 / 9 | |
| U. Haslem | 4 | 50% | 2.0 / 4 | |
| R. Lewis | 3 | 150% | 1.5 / 1 | |
| M. Miller | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
SAS
77
+17
-19
94
MIA
85
+10
-10
95
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
SAS
1.06 53.2%
MIA
1.09 54.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 107.8 112.1 | SAS 104.2 MIA 110.5 +6.4 |
| Pace | 94.7 90.9 | SAS 91.1 MIA 100.4 +9.4 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 15.4 16.0 | SAS 15.8 MIA 14.3 +1.5 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 53.1% 55.2% | SAS 51.3% MIA 51.7% +0.4% |
| TO % | 14.8% 14.5% | SAS 18.1% MIA 9.6% +8.5% |
| ORB % | 20.7% 22.2% | SAS 26.8% +9.7% MIA 17.1% |
| FTrt | 25.8 29.7 | SAS 30.0 +7.9 MIA 22.1 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 64.1% 60.0% | SAS 61.1% +8.7% MIA 52.4% |
| STL % | 8.9% 9.5% | SAS 5.2% MIA 11.6% +6.4% |
| BLK % | 8.1% 9.1% | SAS 2.7% MIA 4.0% +1.3% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 55.3% 57.0% | SAS 53.2% MIA 54.7% +1.5% |
| Rim FG% | 60.8% 65.9% | SAS 61.5% +2.9% MIA 58.6% |
| Mid FG% | 42.4% 41.9% | SAS 41.7% MIA 45.5% +3.8% |
| 3P % | 37.6% 39.6% | SAS 33.3% MIA 38.5% +5.2% |
| FT % | 79.1% 75.4% | SAS 75.0% MIA 84.2% +9.2% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 37.7% 34.8% | SAS 32.5% MIA 33.7% +1.2% |
| Mid Att. % | 35.9% 36.7% | SAS 30.0% +21.2% MIA 51.2% |
| 3P Att. % | 26.4% 28.5% | SAS 37.5% +22.4% MIA 15.1% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
| Game Totals | SAS | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 96 | 95 |
| Possession Minutes | 25.3 | 22.7 |
| Points | 100 | 105 |
| Rebounds | 45 | 37 |
| Assists | 22 | 22 |
| Steals | 5 | 11 |
| Blocks | 2 | 2 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 19 (1) | 10 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 11 (6) | 7 (3) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 34 (1) | 30 (0) |
| Field Goals | 36-80 | 42-86 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 16-26 | 17-29 |
| Midrange FG | 10-24 | 20-44 |
| 2-Point FG | 26-50 | 37-73 |
| 3-Point FG | 10-30 | 5-13 |
| Free Throws | 18-24 | 16-19 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.