FinalWin Prob.pScore
371%103
110
2629%95
89
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
115.89592.2
ORL logo ORL
95.79395.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASORL
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS110
100%
89
0%
Q4 - 0:17.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)110
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0ORLMISS Moore 23' Jump Shot110
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0ORLMoore REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)110
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0ORLMISS O'Quinn 13' Jump Shot110
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0SASJoseph 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)110
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0ORLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)108
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:09SASJoseph Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)108
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:25ORLMoore 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)108
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:43SASAnderson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)108
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46ORLMoore Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)106
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 1:54ORLMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)106
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 1:56SASMISS Joseph 26' 3PT Jump Shot106
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:16ORLHarkless 2' Layup (4 PTS)106
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:24SASHarkless STEAL (1 STL)106
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:40ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)106
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:40ORLHarkless 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)106
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:42ORLMISS Nicholson 10' Running Hook Shot106
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 3:00SASDe Colo 2' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS)106
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 3:19ORLO'Quinn 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Moore 1 AST)104
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 3:24ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)104
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 3:26SASMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot104
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 3:37SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)104
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 3:38ORLMISS O'Quinn 18' Jump Shot104
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 3:54SASBlair 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Joseph 1 AST)104
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 4:04ORLMoore Layup (9 PTS)102
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 4:23ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)102
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 4:24SASMISS Bonner 15' Pullup Jump Shot102
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 4:47ORLNicholson 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS)102
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 5:09SASSplitter 6' Hook Shot (9 PTS)102
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 5:27ORLNicholson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (O'Quinn 2 AST)100
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 5:32ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)100
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 5:35ORLMISS Smith 7' Floating Jump Shot100
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 5:41SASJones STEAL (1 STL)100
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 5:43SASJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)100
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 5:45ORLMISS Smith 7' Jump Shot100
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 6:03SASJoseph 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)100
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 6:13SASSpurs Rebound98
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 6:15SASMISS Neal 18' Jump Shot98
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 6:27SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)98
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 6:29ORLMISS Moore 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 6:35ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)98
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 6:37SASJones BLOCK (1 BLK)98
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 6:49ORLO'Quinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)98
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 6:49ORLO'Quinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)98
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 6:49ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)98
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 6:49ORLMISS O'Quinn 2' Layup98
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 6:50ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)98
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 6:53ORLMISS O'Quinn 3' Layup98
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 7:17SASNeal 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (De Colo 1 AST)98
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 7:33ORLJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (O'Quinn 1 AST)95
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 7:56SASSplitter 2' Layup (7 PTS)95
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 8:11ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)93
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 8:11ORLO'Quinn 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)93
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 8:14ORLMISS Jones 5' Running Jump Shot93
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 8:27ORLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)93
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 8:28SASMISS Neal 10' Jump Shot93
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 8:38SASDe Colo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 8:40ORLMISS McRoberts 19' Jump Shot93
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 8:56SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)93
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 8:56SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)92
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 9:02ORLMoore 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)91
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 9:16SASNeal 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Diaw 5 AST)91
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 9:20SASSpurs Rebound89
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 9:20SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 9:37SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 9:38ORLMISS Moore 18' Jump Shot89
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 9:49ORLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 9:51SASMISS De Colo 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 10:00ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)89
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 10:14SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)89
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 10:14SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)88
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 10:16ORLMcRoberts Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)87
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 10:22SASMcRoberts STEAL (1 STL)87
99.6%
66
0.4%
Q4 - 10:30ORLNelson 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)87
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 10:46SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Splitter 2 AST)87
99.7%
64
0.3%
Q4 - 11:01SASSpurs Rebound84
99.5%
64
0.5%
Q4 - 11:02ORLMISS Davis 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot84
99.4%
64
0.6%
Q4 - 11:26SASDe Colo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)84
99.3%
64
0.7%
Q4 - 11:28ORLMcRoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)84
99.5%
64
0.5%
Q4 - 11:43SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Diaw 4 AST)84
99.3%
64
0.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL81
99.0%
64
1.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASDiaw 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (3 PTS)81
98.7%
64
1.3%
Q3 - 0:19.0SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
98.2%
64
1.8%
Q3 - 0:22.0ORLMISS Moore Free Throw 2 of 279
98.2%
64
1.8%
Q3 - 0:22.0ORLMoore Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)79
97.9%
64
2.1%
Q3 - 0:24.0ORLMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
98.2%
63
1.8%
Q3 - 0:25.0SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
98.3%
63
1.7%
Q3 - 0:44.0ORLAfflalo Double Dribble Turnover (P4.T12)79
98.5%
63
1.5%
Q3 - 0:47.0ORLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
98.2%
63
1.8%
Q3 - 0:49.0SASMISS Green 20' Jump Shot79
98.3%
63
1.7%
Q3 - 1:02SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
98.3%
63
1.7%
Q3 - 1:04ORLMISS Moore 18' Jump Shot79
98.2%
63
1.8%
Q3 - 1:19SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)79
98.0%
63
2.0%
Q3 - 1:35SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
97.1%
63
2.9%
Q3 - 1:37ORLMISS Afflalo 3' Driving Layup76
96.9%
63
3.1%
Q3 - 1:44ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
96.4%
63
3.6%
Q3 - 1:45SASMISS Splitter 7' Hook Shot76
96.6%
63
3.4%
Q3 - 1:54SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)76
97.1%
63
2.9%
Q3 - 1:55ORLMISS Afflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
96.9%
63
3.1%
Q3 - 2:10SASDiaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)76
96.0%
63
4.0%
Q3 - 2:10SASMISS Diaw Free Throw 1 of 275
95.8%
63
4.2%
Q3 - 2:29ORLJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)75
96.0%
63
4.0%
Q3 - 2:29ORLJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)75
96.2%
62
3.8%
Q3 - 2:29ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
96.7%
61
3.3%
Q3 - 2:30ORLMISS Nelson 9' Running Jump Shot75
97.1%
61
2.9%
Q3 - 2:53SASDuncan 2' Layup (15 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)75
96.7%
61
3.3%
Q3 - 3:05SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)73
95.7%
61
4.3%
Q3 - 3:06SASMISS Neal 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
95.2%
61
4.8%
Q3 - 3:26ORLNelson 11' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)73
95.8%
61
4.2%
Q3 - 3:40SASParker 10' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)73
96.4%
59
3.6%
Q3 - 3:51SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
95.8%
59
4.2%
Q3 - 3:53ORLMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
95.5%
59
4.5%
Q3 - 3:59ORLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
94.9%
59
5.1%
Q3 - 4:01SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
94.9%
59
5.1%
Q3 - 4:23ORLAfflalo 13' Step Back Jump Shot (16 PTS)71
95.6%
59
4.4%
Q3 - 4:31ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)71
96.1%
57
3.9%
Q3 - 4:32ORLMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 271
96.7%
57
3.3%
Q3 - 4:32ORLMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 271
96.4%
57
3.6%
Q3 - 4:40ORLMAGIC Rebound71
96.1%
57
3.9%
Q3 - 4:41ORLMISS Redick 3PT Jump Shot71
96.6%
57
3.4%
Q3 - 4:48ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
96.1%
57
3.9%
Q3 - 4:50SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
96.4%
57
3.6%
Q3 - 5:12ORLAfflalo 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Redick 4 AST)71
96.5%
57
3.5%
Q3 - 5:15ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
97.0%
55
3.0%
Q3 - 5:17ORLMISS Nelson 2' Layup71
97.3%
55
2.7%
Q3 - 5:29SASNeal 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS)71
97.0%
55
3.0%
Q3 - 5:44ORLAfflalo 11' Jump Shot (12 PTS)69
96.5%
55
3.5%
Q3 - 5:52ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
97.0%
53
3.0%
Q3 - 5:53SASMISS Blair 16' Jump Shot69
97.2%
53
2.8%
Q3 - 6:09ORLNelson 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (10 PTS)69
97.3%
53
2.7%
Q3 - 6:28SASNeal 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)69
97.6%
51
2.4%
Q3 - 6:41ORLVucevic 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Redick 3 AST)67
97.3%
51
2.7%
Q3 - 6:45ORLMAGIC Rebound67
97.6%
49
2.4%
Q3 - 6:45ORLMISS Davis 7' Jump Hook Shot67
97.9%
49
2.1%
Q3 - 6:59ORLMAGIC Rebound67
97.6%
49
2.4%
Q3 - 6:59SASMISS Parker 8' Floating Jump Shot67
97.8%
49
2.2%
Q3 - 7:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
97.7%
49
2.3%
Q3 - 7:10ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)67
97.4%
49
2.6%
Q3 - 7:10ORLMISS Vucevic 1' Tip Shot67
97.6%
49
2.4%
Q3 - 7:11ORLMISS Vucevic 3' Layup67
97.6%
49
2.4%
Q3 - 7:13ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
97.4%
49
2.6%
Q3 - 7:14ORLMISS Harkless 2' Layup67
97.6%
49
2.4%
Q3 - 7:15ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)67
97.4%
49
2.6%
Q3 - 7:17ORLMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
97.6%
49
2.4%
Q3 - 7:34SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)67
97.4%
49
2.6%
Q3 - 7:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
96.5%
49
3.5%
Q3 - 7:47ORLMISS Davis 5' Hook Shot64
96.3%
49
3.7%
Q3 - 8:05SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P1.T11)64
95.7%
49
4.3%
Q3 - 8:22ORLAfflalo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)64
96.3%
49
3.7%
Q3 - 8:34SASBlair 4' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Neal 2 AST)64
95.7%
49
4.3%
Q3 - 8:41SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
95.1%
49
4.9%
Q3 - 8:42ORLMISS Davis 14' Jump Shot62
94.9%
49
5.1%
Q3 - 9:03SASNeal 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)62
94.0%
49
6.0%
Q3 - 9:13SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
93.2%
49
6.8%
Q3 - 9:14ORLMISS Vucevic 16' Jump Shot60
92.9%
49
7.1%
Q3 - 9:34SASNeal 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)60
92.2%
49
7.8%
Q3 - 9:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
91.1%
49
8.9%
Q3 - 9:44ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
90.8%
49
9.2%
Q3 - 9:57ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
89.8%
49
10.2%
Q3 - 9:58SASMISS Blair Free Throw 2 of 258
90.0%
49
10.0%
Q3 - 9:58SASBlair Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)58
90.7%
49
9.3%
Q3 - 10:10ORLDavis 11' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)57
89.9%
49
10.1%
Q3 - 10:28SASBlair Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)57
91.0%
47
9.0%
Q3 - 10:42ORLDavis 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)57
92.2%
47
7.8%
Q3 - 11:00SASNeal 17' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)57
93.1%
45
6.9%
Q3 - 11:16ORLAfflalo 15' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)55
92.1%
45
7.9%
Q3 - 11:23ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
93.0%
43
7.0%
Q3 - 11:25SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot55
93.2%
43
6.8%
Q3 - 11:40ORLAfflalo 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)55
93.9%
43
6.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL55
94.6%
41
5.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASDuncan 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)55
94.6%
41
5.4%
Q2 - 0:04.0SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
92.4%
41
7.6%
Q2 - 0:06.0ORLMISS Moore 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
92.3%
41
7.7%
Q2 - 0:28.0SASParker 2' Driving Reverse Layup (12 PTS)52
91.8%
41
8.2%
Q2 - 0:32.0ORLMoore 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)50
90.4%
41
9.6%
Q2 - 0:42.0SASDuncan 7' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)50
91.8%
39
8.2%
Q2 - 0:59.0ORLNicholson 2' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Ayon 1 AST)48
90.5%
39
9.5%
Q2 - 1:14SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)48
91.6%
37
8.4%
Q2 - 1:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
88.9%
37
11.1%
Q2 - 1:19ORLMISS Redick 12' Turnaround Jump Shot45
88.7%
37
11.3%
Q2 - 1:41SASDuncan 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)45
88.1%
37
11.9%
Q2 - 2:04ORLMoore 6' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)43
86.2%
37
13.8%
Q2 - 2:12ORLAyon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
87.6%
35
12.4%
Q2 - 2:13SASMISS Parker 7' Running Bank Shot43
88.0%
35
12.0%
Q2 - 2:33SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)43
88.9%
35
11.1%
Q2 - 2:34ORLMISS Moore 11' Floating Jump Shot43
88.5%
35
11.5%
Q2 - 2:59SASNeal Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)43
87.6%
35
12.4%
Q2 - 3:16ORLRedick 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)40
84.9%
35
15.1%
Q2 - 3:22ORLAyon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
86.1%
33
13.9%
Q2 - 3:24SASMISS Blair 9' Hook Shot40
86.6%
33
13.4%
Q2 - 3:43ORLAyon Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)40
87.7%
33
12.3%
Q2 - 3:53ORLAyon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
86.1%
33
13.9%
Q2 - 3:55SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
86.6%
33
13.4%
Q2 - 4:14ORLAyon 2' Layup (4 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)40
87.4%
33
12.6%
Q2 - 4:30SASNeal Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)40
88.6%
31
11.4%
Q2 - 4:30SASMISS Neal Free Throw 1 of 239
88.4%
31
11.6%
Q2 - 4:34ORLRedick Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)39
88.7%
31
11.3%
Q2 - 4:41ORLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
87.3%
31
12.7%
Q2 - 4:42SASMISS Neal 18' Jump Shot39
87.8%
31
12.2%
Q2 - 4:44SASSpurs Rebound39
88.7%
31
11.3%
Q2 - 4:45SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup39
87.8%
31
12.2%
Q2 - 5:00SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)39
88.7%
31
11.3%
Q2 - 5:02ORLMISS Redick 17' Jump Shot39
88.2%
31
11.8%
Q2 - 5:12ORLMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
87.3%
31
12.7%
Q2 - 5:13SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot39
87.7%
31
12.3%
Q2 - 5:31ORLNelson 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)39
88.5%
31
11.5%
Q2 - 5:46SASGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)39
89.6%
29
10.4%
Q2 - 6:01ORLAfflalo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)36
87.2%
29
12.8%
Q2 - 6:14SASNeal Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T9)36
85.6%
29
14.4%
Q2 - 6:14ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)36
87.2%
29
12.8%
Q2 - 6:28SASParker 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)36
85.7%
29
14.3%
Q2 - 6:48ORLJones 7' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)34
84.5%
29
15.5%
Q2 - 7:01ORLMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
85.6%
27
14.4%
Q2 - 7:03SASMISS Neal 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
86.0%
27
14.0%
Q2 - 7:17SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
87.0%
27
13.0%
Q2 - 7:18ORLMISS Davis 20' Jump Shot34
86.6%
27
13.4%
Q2 - 7:25ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
85.6%
27
14.4%
Q2 - 7:27SASDavis BLOCK (1 BLK)34
86.0%
27
14.0%
Q2 - 7:43ORLNelson 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)34
87.0%
27
13.0%
Q2 - 8:00SASSplitter 1' Dunk (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)34
88.0%
25
12.0%
Q2 - 8:09SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
86.7%
25
13.3%
Q2 - 8:10ORLMISS Davis 12' Jump Shot32
86.3%
25
13.7%
Q2 - 8:27ORLMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
85.4%
25
14.6%
Q2 - 8:29SASMISS Splitter 4' Hook Shot32
85.8%
25
14.2%
Q2 - 8:32SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
86.7%
25
13.3%
Q2 - 8:33SASMISS Neal 18' Jump Shot32
85.8%
25
14.2%
Q2 - 8:46SASSpurs Rebound32
86.7%
25
13.3%
Q2 - 8:46ORLMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
86.3%
25
13.7%
Q2 - 8:49ORLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
85.4%
25
14.6%
Q2 - 8:52ORLMISS Afflalo 2' Layup32
86.3%
25
13.7%
Q2 - 8:57SASNelson STEAL (2 STL)32
85.4%
25
14.6%
Q2 - 9:05SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
86.6%
25
13.4%
Q2 - 9:06ORLMISS Nelson 12' Running Jump Shot32
86.2%
25
13.8%
Q2 - 9:15SASGreen Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T7)32
85.3%
25
14.7%
Q2 - 9:25ORLDavis 3' Layup (8 PTS)32
86.6%
25
13.4%
Q2 - 9:47SASDe Colo 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)32
87.6%
23
12.4%
Q2 - 9:53SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
86.6%
23
13.4%
Q2 - 9:54ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
86.2%
23
13.8%
Q2 - 10:05ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
85.0%
23
15.0%
Q2 - 10:06SASMISS De Colo 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
85.4%
23
14.6%
Q2 - 10:26ORLRedick Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)30
86.4%
23
13.6%
Q2 - 10:35SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)30
85.0%
23
15.0%
Q2 - 10:35SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 1 of 229
84.6%
23
15.4%
Q2 - 10:44ORLNelson 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)29
85.2%
23
14.8%
Q2 - 10:50SASNelson STEAL (1 STL)29
86.2%
21
13.8%
Q2 - 11:02ORLVucevic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)29
87.2%
21
12.8%
Q2 - 11:11ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
86.0%
21
14.0%
Q2 - 11:12SASMISS Diaw 1' Tip Shot29
86.4%
21
13.6%
Q2 - 11:12SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)29
87.2%
21
12.8%
Q2 - 11:13SASMISS De Colo 14' Jump Shot29
86.4%
21
13.6%
Q2 - 11:25SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
87.2%
21
12.8%
Q2 - 11:26SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
86.4%
21
13.6%
Q2 - 11:41ORLRedick 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Vucevic 1 AST)29
87.2%
21
12.8%
Q2 - 11:43ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
89.2%
18
10.8%
Q2 - 11:45ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
89.9%
18
10.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL29
89.2%
18
10.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound29
89.2%
18
10.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Davis 16' Jump Shot29
89.9%
18
10.1%
Q1 - 0:07.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
89.1%
18
10.9%
Q1 - 0:08.0ORLMISS Davis 20' Jump Shot29
89.5%
18
10.5%
Q1 - 0:28.0SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Green 1 AST)29
89.1%
18
10.9%
Q1 - 0:39.0ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
86.8%
18
13.2%
Q1 - 0:39.0ORLDavis 2' Layup (6 PTS)26
86.8%
18
13.2%
Q1 - 0:39.0ORLMISS Davis 2' Layup26
88.6%
16
11.4%
Q1 - 1:03SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)26
88.0%
16
12.0%
Q1 - 1:25SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
85.6%
16
14.4%
Q1 - 1:27SASMISS De Colo 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
85.0%
16
15.0%
Q1 - 1:49ORLAyon 1' Layup (2 PTS)23
85.6%
16
14.4%
Q1 - 1:51ORLAyon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
87.0%
14
13.0%
Q1 - 1:52ORLMISS Moore 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
87.5%
14
12.5%
Q1 - 1:57ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
87.0%
14
13.0%
Q1 - 1:59SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot23
87.2%
14
12.8%
Q1 - 2:09ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)23
87.8%
14
12.2%
Q1 - 2:09ORLMAGIC Rebound23
86.9%
14
13.1%
Q1 - 2:10ORLMISS Nelson 14' Running Jump Shot23
87.5%
14
12.5%
Q1 - 2:37SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)23
86.9%
14
13.1%
Q1 - 2:52SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
84.6%
14
15.4%
Q1 - 2:53ORLMISS Redick 23' Jump Shot20
84.2%
14
15.8%
Q1 - 3:07SASDuncan 7' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)20
83.5%
14
16.5%
Q1 - 3:20SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
82.3%
14
17.7%
Q1 - 3:22ORLMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot18
81.8%
14
18.2%
Q1 - 3:45SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)18
80.8%
14
19.2%
Q1 - 3:51SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
77.9%
14
22.1%
Q1 - 3:52ORLMISS Moore 18' Jump Shot15
77.4%
14
22.6%
Q1 - 4:03SASDuncan 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)15
76.4%
14
23.6%
Q1 - 4:21ORLMoore Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)13
74.9%
14
25.1%
Q1 - 4:34SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)13
73.1%
14
26.9%
Q1 - 4:41SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
74.9%
14
25.1%
Q1 - 4:42ORLMISS Afflalo 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot13
74.4%
14
25.6%
Q1 - 4:59SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)13
73.1%
14
26.9%
Q1 - 5:03SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
69.6%
14
30.4%
Q1 - 5:05ORLMISS Nicholson 16' Jump Shot10
69.1%
14
30.9%
Q1 - 5:17ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
67.7%
14
32.3%
Q1 - 5:18SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot10
68.3%
14
31.7%
Q1 - 5:33ORLRedick 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)10
69.6%
14
30.4%
Q1 - 5:46SASBlair 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)10
71.3%
12
28.7%
Q1 - 5:56ORLAfflalo 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)8
69.6%
12
30.4%
Q1 - 6:06ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
71.5%
10
28.5%
Q1 - 6:07SASMISS Duncan 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot8
72.0%
10
28.0%
Q1 - 6:35ORLAfflalo 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)8
73.2%
10
26.8%
Q1 - 6:38ORLMAGIC Rebound8
74.7%
8
25.3%
Q1 - 6:39ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
75.8%
8
24.2%
Q1 - 6:46SASVucevic STEAL (1 STL)8
74.7%
8
25.3%
Q1 - 7:00ORLNelson 19' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)8
76.3%
8
23.7%
Q1 - 7:22SASDuncan 2' Layup (2 PTS)8
77.7%
6
22.3%
Q1 - 7:24SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)6
76.6%
6
23.4%
Q1 - 7:27SASVucevic BLOCK (1 BLK)6
75.4%
6
24.6%
Q1 - 7:40ORLVucevic Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)6
76.6%
6
23.4%
Q1 - 7:55SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
74.9%
6
25.1%
Q1 - 7:55SASBlair 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)6
74.9%
6
25.1%
Q1 - 7:56SASMISS Parker 12' Jump Shot4
72.4%
6
27.6%
Q1 - 8:12ORLAfflalo 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)4
74.2%
6
25.8%
Q1 - 8:25SASAfflalo STEAL (2 STL)4
75.5%
4
24.5%
Q1 - 8:37SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
77.0%
4
23.0%
Q1 - 8:39ORLMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot4
76.5%
4
23.5%
Q1 - 8:53ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
75.5%
4
24.5%
Q1 - 8:54ORLMISS Afflalo 8' Running Jump Shot4
76.5%
4
23.5%
Q1 - 9:00ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
75.5%
4
24.5%
Q1 - 9:02SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot4
76.3%
4
23.7%
Q1 - 9:19ORLDavis 3' Layup (4 PTS)4
77.3%
4
22.7%
Q1 - 9:37SASBlair 1' Layup (2 PTS)4
78.4%
2
21.6%
Q1 - 9:39SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
77.3%
2
22.7%
Q1 - 9:40SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot2
76.3%
2
23.7%
Q1 - 9:58SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
77.3%
2
22.7%
Q1 - 10:00ORLMISS Harkless 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
76.8%
2
23.2%
Q1 - 10:09SASAfflalo STEAL (1 STL)2
75.9%
2
24.1%
Q1 - 10:24ORLDavis 11' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)2
77.4%
2
22.6%
Q1 - 10:45SASParker 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
78.4%
0
21.6%
Q1 - 10:56SASSpurs Rebound0
77.4%
0
22.6%
Q1 - 10:58SASMISS Green 9' Floating Jump Shot0
76.4%
0
23.6%
Q1 - 11:17ORLAfflalo Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
77.3%
0
22.7%
Q1 - 11:38SASBlair 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)0
76.2%
0
23.8%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Vucevic vs. Duncan: Tip to Parker0
77.3%
0
22.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.21 60.4%
ORL
0.86 43.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
19
25
76%
ORL
19
30
63%
Midrange
SAS
14
34
41%
ORL
20
50
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
11
16.5
25
44%
66%
ORL
2
3.0
15
13%
20%
Free Throws
SAS
11
15
73%
ORL
5
8
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili20100%10.0 / 10
G. Neal1956%9.5 / 17
T. Duncan1568%7.5 / 11
T. Parker1458%7.0 / 12
D. Blair1161%5.5 / 9
D. Green956%4.5 / 8
T. Splitter956%4.5 / 8
N. De Colo433%2.0 / 6
C. Joseph467%2.0 / 3
B. Diaw350%1.5 / 3
J. Anderson250%1.0 / 2
M. Bonner0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Afflalo1650%8.0 / 16
J. Nelson1450%7.0 / 14
G. Davis1238%6.0 / 16
E. Moore1139%5.5 / 14
J. Redick739%3.5 / 9
D. Jones770%3.5 / 5
A. Nicholson660%3.0 / 5
K. O'Quinn643%3.0 / 7
M. Harkless450%2.0 / 4
G. Ayon4100%2.0 / 2
N. Vučević225%1.0 / 4
J. McRoberts0-0.0 / 1
I. Smith0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
79
+12
-16
91
ORL
77
+23
-16
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.21 60.4%
ORL
0.86 43.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.8
102.0
SAS 115.8
ORL 95.7 +20.1
Pace
94.7
91.9
SAS 92.2
ORL 95.9 +3.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
15.7
SAS 15.6
ORL 15.0 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.1%
48.5%
SAS 58.9% +14.7%
ORL 44.2%
TO %
14.8%
15.2%
SAS 15.0%
ORL 14.7% +0.3%
ORB %
20.7%
25.4%
SAS 22.2%
ORL 36.7% +14.5%
FTrt
25.8
19.7
SAS 17.9 +9.5
ORL 8.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.1%
60.5%
SAS 59.1% +20.1%
ORL 39.0%
STL %
8.9%
7.0%
SAS 12.6% +4.0%
ORL 8.6%
BLK %
8.1%
7.0%
SAS 11.3% +6.2%
ORL 5.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
50.2%
SAS 60.4% +17.2%
ORL 43.2%
Rim FG%
60.8%
58.5%
SAS 76.0% +12.7%
ORL 63.3%
Mid FG%
42.4%
39.6%
SAS 41.2% +1.2%
ORL 40.0%
3P %
37.6%
32.9%
SAS 44.0% +30.7%
ORL 13.3%
FT %
79.1%
75.5%
SAS 73.3% +10.8%
ORL 62.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.7%
35.4%
SAS 29.8%
ORL 31.6% +1.8%
Mid Att. %
35.9%
42.3%
SAS 40.5% +12.2%
ORL 52.6%
3P Att. %
26.4%
22.3%
SAS 29.8% +14.0%
ORL 15.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASORL
Possessions9593
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points11089
Rebounds3946
Assists2616
Steals128
Blocks93
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)18 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)28 (1)
Field Goals44-8441-95
At-the-Rim FG19-2519-30
Midrange FG14-3420-50
2-Point FG33-5939-80
3-Point FG11-252-15
Free Throws11-155-8
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 210 · 28
32.3
19
56%
4
2
3
0
3
1
0
4
2-3
67%
7-12
58%
1-4
25%
F · 6'6" 215 · 25
31.6
9
56%
5
1
0
2
3
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
0%
3-6
50%
G · 6'2" 185 · 31
29.8
14
58%
1
8
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 250 · 37
27.2
15
68%
4
0
2
5
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
6-10
60%
1-1
100%
C · 6'7" 270 · 24
23.6
11
61%
6
1
1
0
2
1
3
3
1-2
50%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 35
23.5
20
100%
4
5
1
0
1
3
1
3
2-2
100%
0-0
-
6-9
67%
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31
21.8
3
50%
7
5
1
1
0
1
3
4
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28
16.5
9
56%
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
3
3-4
75%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 195 · 25
15.7
4
33%
1
1
2
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-3
0%
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33
6.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 21
6.8
4
67%
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 24
4.3
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 185 · 24
#2 · F · 6'7" 225 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G-F · 6'8" 220 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
60%
39
26
12
9
16
0
8
31
11-15
73%
33-59
56%
11-25
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.