FinalWin Prob.pScore
2910%92
108
190%109
110
ORTG#PossPace
CLE logo CLE
118.79189.2
MIA logo MIA
120.99192.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCLEMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0CLE108
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)108
2.6%
110
97.4%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 2 of 2108
6.1%
110
93.9%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)108
2.1%
110
97.9%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)108
4.5%
109
95.5%
Q4 - 0:03.0CLEWade BLOCK (2 BLK)108
6.1%
109
93.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 5 AST)108
28.3%
109
71.7%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAHEAT Rebound108
62.5%
106
37.5%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot108
76.6%
106
23.4%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)108
55.8%
106
44.2%
Q4 - 0:42.0CLEMISS Varejao 21' Jump Shot108
61.8%
106
38.2%
Q4 - 1:08CLEGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)108
66.9%
106
33.1%
Q4 - 1:09CLEMISS Gibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot108
55.5%
106
44.5%
Q4 - 1:32MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)108
61.1%
106
38.9%
Q4 - 1:40MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)108
79.3%
103
20.7%
Q4 - 1:41CLEBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)108
81.7%
103
18.3%
Q4 - 1:52MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (30 PTS)108
85.4%
103
14.6%
Q4 - 1:58CLEGibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Pargo 7 AST)108
90.5%
101
9.5%
Q4 - 2:14CLEGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)105
80.0%
101
20.0%
Q4 - 2:15MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot105
76.8%
101
23.2%
Q4 - 2:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)105
68.2%
101
31.8%
Q4 - 2:23CLEMISS Waiters 17' Jump Shot105
72.3%
101
27.7%
Q4 - 2:40CLEWaiters Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (16 PTS)105
80.4%
101
19.6%
Q4 - 2:40CLEWaiters Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (15 PTS)104
78.3%
101
21.7%
Q4 - 2:41MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T18)103
60.8%
101
39.2%
Q4 - 2:54CLEVarejao 1' Tip Shot (10 PTS)103
41.9%
101
58.1%
Q4 - 2:55CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)101
34.0%
101
66.0%
Q4 - 2:56CLEMISS Pargo 1' Driving Layup101
25.9%
101
74.1%
Q4 - 3:09MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)101
34.6%
101
65.4%
Q4 - 3:09MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2101
36.5%
100
63.5%
Q4 - 3:19MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)101
31.8%
100
68.2%
Q4 - 3:20CLEMISS Varejao 16' Jump Shot101
35.8%
100
64.2%
Q4 - 3:40MIAWade 2' Layup (17 PTS) (James 4 AST)101
38.8%
100
61.2%
Q4 - 3:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)101
47.4%
98
52.6%
Q4 - 3:55CLEMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
50.6%
98
49.4%
Q4 - 4:09MIAWade 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)101
58.3%
98
41.7%
Q4 - 4:16CLEVarejao Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)101
66.4%
96
33.6%
Q4 - 4:28MIABosh 5' Jump Shot (23 PTS)98
48.9%
96
51.1%
Q4 - 4:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)98
57.6%
94
42.4%
Q4 - 4:30MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot98
64.6%
94
35.4%
Q4 - 4:50CLEVarejao Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)98
57.8%
94
42.2%
Q4 - 4:50CLEVarejao Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)97
55.1%
94
44.9%
Q4 - 5:10MIAAllen 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)96
43.7%
94
56.3%
Q4 - 5:31CLEMiles 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)96
51.6%
92
48.4%
Q4 - 5:57CLEGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)94
44.1%
92
55.9%
Q4 - 5:58MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot94
41.4%
92
58.6%
Q4 - 6:07MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)94
32.0%
92
68.0%
Q4 - 6:08CLEMISS Gibson 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
34.3%
92
65.7%
Q4 - 6:32MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)94
39.8%
92
60.2%
Q4 - 6:41MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
54.2%
89
45.8%
Q4 - 6:42CLEMISS Gee 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
56.7%
89
43.3%
Q4 - 7:07MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS)94
56.6%
89
43.4%
Q4 - 7:30CLEVarejao Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)94
69.2%
86
30.8%
Q4 - 7:30CLEVarejao Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)93
67.5%
86
32.5%
Q4 - 7:32CLEMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
63.5%
86
36.5%
Q4 - 7:33MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot92
61.4%
86
38.6%
Q4 - 8:00CLEGibson Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)92
56.5%
86
43.5%
Q4 - 8:16MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 3 AST)89
40.1%
86
59.9%
Q4 - 8:36CLEWaiters 26' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)89
52.9%
83
47.1%
Q4 - 8:58MIAHaslem 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)86
40.2%
83
59.8%
Q4 - 9:07MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
43.8%
81
56.2%
Q4 - 9:08CLEMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
45.6%
81
54.4%
Q4 - 9:31MIAMiller Foul Turnover (P2.T17)86
49.8%
81
50.2%
Q4 - 9:43CLEWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)86
44.0%
81
56.0%
Q4 - 9:43CLEMISS Waiters Free Throw 1 of 285
42.7%
81
57.3%
Q4 - 9:46MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)85
43.9%
81
56.1%
Q4 - 10:04MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
35.9%
81
64.1%
Q4 - 10:05CLEMISS Casspi 2' Driving Layup85
37.5%
81
62.5%
Q4 - 10:15MIABosh 11' Jump Bank Shot (21 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)85
41.3%
81
58.7%
Q4 - 10:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)85
46.9%
79
53.1%
Q4 - 10:21MIAMISS Cole 21' Jump Shot85
50.9%
79
49.1%
Q4 - 10:43CLECasspi Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)85
47.0%
79
53.0%
Q4 - 10:43CLECasspi Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)84
45.5%
79
54.5%
Q4 - 10:53MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)83
41.5%
79
58.5%
Q4 - 11:07CLEMiles 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Zeller 1 AST)83
45.1%
77
54.9%
Q4 - 11:28MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P2.T15)80
34.8%
77
65.2%
Q4 - 11:41CLEPargo Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)80
30.2%
77
69.8%
Q4 - 11:41CLEMISS Pargo Free Throw 1 of 279
28.9%
77
71.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA79
30.1%
77
69.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLEMiles 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS)79
25.8%
77
74.2%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (25 PTS)77
21.2%
77
78.8%
Q3 - 0:44.0CLEPargo Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)77
25.1%
75
74.9%
Q3 - 0:44.0CLEPargo Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)76
24.0%
75
76.0%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (23 PTS)75
21.3%
75
78.7%
Q3 - 1:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
24.0%
73
76.0%
Q3 - 1:07CLEMISS Pargo 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup75
25.1%
73
74.9%
Q3 - 1:28MIAJames 1' Layup (21 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)75
27.8%
73
72.2%
Q3 - 1:41MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
32.0%
71
68.0%
Q3 - 1:42CLEMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
33.3%
71
66.7%
Q3 - 2:03CLEWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
34.0%
71
66.0%
Q3 - 2:04MIAMISS Allen 1' Driving Layup75
32.7%
71
67.3%
Q3 - 2:19MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
30.0%
71
70.0%
Q3 - 2:20CLEMISS Casspi Free Throw 2 of 275
30.5%
71
69.5%
Q3 - 2:20CLECasspi Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)75
32.9%
71
67.1%
Q3 - 2:31MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T14)74
30.1%
71
69.9%
Q3 - 2:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
26.3%
71
73.7%
Q3 - 2:46MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
28.9%
71
71.1%
Q3 - 3:06CLECasspi 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Pargo 6 AST)74
24.7%
71
75.3%
Q3 - 3:19MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)71
18.9%
71
81.1%
Q3 - 3:19MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)71
19.4%
70
80.6%
Q3 - 3:31CLEZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)71
21.6%
69
78.4%
Q3 - 3:31CLEMISS Zeller Free Throw 1 of 270
20.7%
69
79.3%
Q3 - 3:31CLEZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)70
21.8%
69
78.2%
Q3 - 3:32CLEMISS Casspi 20' Jump Shot70
19.6%
69
80.4%
Q3 - 3:40CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)70
21.8%
69
78.2%
Q3 - 3:41MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup70
20.8%
69
79.2%
Q3 - 3:46CLEWade STEAL (1 STL)70
18.8%
69
81.2%
Q3 - 4:03MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)70
21.4%
69
78.6%
Q3 - 4:03MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)70
22.0%
68
78.0%
Q3 - 4:24CLEThompson 1' Dunk (13 PTS)70
23.9%
67
76.1%
Q3 - 4:25CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
21.4%
67
78.6%
Q3 - 4:27CLEWade BLOCK (1 BLK)68
19.1%
67
80.9%
Q3 - 4:49MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)68
21.4%
67
78.6%
Q3 - 5:00MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
27.2%
64
72.8%
Q3 - 5:01CLEMISS Varejao 17' Jump Shot68
27.3%
64
72.7%
Q3 - 5:27MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)68
30.1%
64
69.9%
Q3 - 5:27MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)68
30.6%
63
69.4%
Q3 - 5:43CLEGee Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)68
33.2%
62
66.8%
Q3 - 6:00MIAJames 1' Layup (15 PTS)68
37.6%
62
62.4%
Q3 - 6:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
38.7%
60
61.3%
Q3 - 6:03MIAMISS James 4' Jump Shot68
41.8%
60
58.2%
Q3 - 6:21CLEChalmers STEAL (3 STL)68
38.8%
60
61.2%
Q3 - 6:27MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)68
43.3%
60
56.7%
Q3 - 6:40CLEPargo Traveling Turnover (P3.T8)68
38.9%
60
61.1%
Q3 - 7:02MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)68
41.0%
60
59.0%
Q3 - 7:08CLEGee Foul Turnover (P1.T7)68
37.1%
60
62.9%
Q3 - 7:24MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)68
41.1%
60
58.9%
Q3 - 7:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
44.6%
58
55.4%
Q3 - 7:32CLEMISS Gibson 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
45.9%
58
54.1%
Q3 - 7:58MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)68
48.9%
58
51.1%
Q3 - 8:02MIAChalmers Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (4 PTS)68
43.0%
58
57.0%
Q3 - 8:02MIAChalmers Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (3 PTS)68
43.9%
57
56.1%
Q3 - 8:04CLEChalmers STEAL (2 STL)68
50.5%
56
49.5%
Q3 - 8:18CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)68
54.7%
56
45.3%
Q3 - 8:19MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup68
53.5%
56
46.5%
Q3 - 8:25CLEThompson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)68
50.6%
56
49.4%
Q3 - 8:25CLEMISS Thompson Free Throw 1 of 267
49.3%
56
50.7%
Q3 - 8:35MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10)67
51.0%
56
49.0%
Q3 - 8:39MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
46.9%
56
53.1%
Q3 - 8:40CLEMISS Pargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
48.1%
56
51.9%
Q3 - 8:42CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)67
51.0%
56
49.0%
Q3 - 8:43CLEMISS Thompson 5' Hook Shot67
48.1%
56
51.9%
Q3 - 9:06MIAJames 1' Reverse Layup (13 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)67
48.9%
56
51.1%
Q3 - 9:15CLEThompson 3' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Varejao 3 AST)67
52.4%
54
47.6%
Q3 - 9:35CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
49.0%
54
51.0%
Q3 - 9:36MIAMISS Bosh 1' Tip Shot65
47.8%
54
52.2%
Q3 - 9:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
45.1%
54
54.9%
Q3 - 9:38MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 265
48.5%
54
51.5%
Q3 - 9:38MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)65
46.1%
54
53.9%
Q3 - 9:48CLEGee Free Throw 3 of 3 (12 PTS)65
48.8%
53
51.2%
Q3 - 9:48CLEGee Free Throw 2 of 3 (11 PTS)64
48.2%
53
51.8%
Q3 - 9:48CLEGee Free Throw 1 of 3 (10 PTS)63
47.5%
53
52.5%
Q3 - 10:05CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
39.2%
53
60.8%
Q3 - 10:06MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
38.1%
53
61.9%
Q3 - 10:27CLEPargo 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)62
35.8%
53
64.2%
Q3 - 10:46MIAWade 16' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)60
32.9%
53
67.1%
Q3 - 10:55CLEPargo Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)60
35.9%
51
64.1%
Q3 - 10:55CLEMISS Pargo Free Throw 1 of 259
35.0%
51
65.0%
Q3 - 11:07MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)59
34.0%
51
66.0%
Q3 - 11:20CLECavaliers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)59
37.0%
49
63.0%
Q3 - 11:43CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)59
40.5%
49
59.5%
Q3 - 11:44MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 259
40.1%
49
59.9%
Q3 - 11:44MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)59
37.9%
49
62.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA59
40.4%
48
59.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound59
40.4%
48
59.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 42' 3PT Jump Shot59
42.8%
48
57.2%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
39.1%
48
60.9%
Q2 - 0:05.0CLEMISS Varejao 5' Jump Shot59
39.8%
48
60.2%
Q2 - 0:28.0CLECavaliers Rebound59
41.4%
48
58.6%
Q2 - 0:29.0CLEMISS Pargo 27' 3PT Jump Shot59
39.8%
48
60.2%
Q2 - 0:49.0CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)59
41.5%
48
58.5%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot59
40.8%
48
59.2%
Q2 - 1:03CLEVarejao 1' Finger Roll Layup (3 PTS) (Pargo 5 AST)59
38.2%
48
61.8%
Q2 - 1:15MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T9)57
34.2%
48
65.8%
Q2 - 1:33CLEPargo 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)57
32.4%
48
67.6%
Q2 - 1:42CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)54
26.2%
48
73.8%
Q2 - 1:43MIAMISS Wade 10' Turnaround Hook Shot54
25.7%
48
74.3%
Q2 - 1:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
24.6%
48
75.4%
Q2 - 1:50MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
25.7%
48
74.3%
Q2 - 2:17CLECasspi 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Pargo 4 AST)54
23.3%
48
76.7%
Q2 - 2:37MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)51
19.2%
48
80.8%
Q2 - 2:37MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 251
19.6%
47
80.4%
Q2 - 2:46CLEVarejao Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)51
19.2%
47
80.8%
Q2 - 2:56MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)51
21.2%
47
78.8%
Q2 - 2:56MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)51
21.7%
46
78.3%
Q2 - 3:12CLEThompson 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Casspi 1 AST)51
22.2%
45
77.8%
Q2 - 3:17MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)49
20.5%
45
79.5%
Q2 - 3:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
18.3%
45
81.7%
Q2 - 3:28CLEMISS Varejao 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
19.0%
45
81.0%
Q2 - 3:54MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)49
20.5%
45
79.5%
Q2 - 3:54MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)49
20.8%
44
79.2%
Q2 - 3:57MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
22.2%
43
77.8%
Q2 - 3:58CLEMISS Waiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
23.0%
43
77.0%
Q2 - 4:05CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)49
23.5%
43
76.5%
Q2 - 4:06MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot49
22.8%
43
77.2%
Q2 - 4:28CLEThompson 1' Layup (6 PTS)49
21.4%
43
78.6%
Q2 - 4:43MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 2 AST)47
19.7%
43
80.3%
Q2 - 5:03CLEWaiters 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Pargo 3 AST)47
20.9%
41
79.1%
Q2 - 5:24CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)44
17.4%
41
82.6%
Q2 - 5:25MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 244
17.2%
41
82.8%
Q2 - 5:25MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)44
16.1%
41
83.9%
Q2 - 5:38MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
17.4%
40
82.6%
Q2 - 5:39CLEAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)44
17.9%
40
82.1%
Q2 - 6:03MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)44
18.8%
40
81.2%
Q2 - 6:03MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)44
19.1%
39
80.9%
Q2 - 6:24MIAHEAT Rebound44
20.2%
38
79.8%
Q2 - 6:25CLEMISS Waiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
20.8%
38
79.2%
Q2 - 6:29CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
22.4%
38
77.6%
Q2 - 6:30MIAMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
21.7%
38
78.3%
Q2 - 6:54CLEGibson 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miles 1 AST)44
20.2%
38
79.8%
Q2 - 7:01CLECavaliers Rebound42
18.1%
38
81.9%
Q2 - 7:02CLEMISS Zeller 1' Layup42
16.9%
38
83.1%
Q2 - 7:22CLECavaliers Rebound42
18.1%
38
81.9%
Q2 - 7:23CLEMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
16.9%
38
83.1%
Q2 - 7:46MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)42
18.2%
38
81.8%
Q2 - 8:04CLEMiles 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gibson 3 AST)42
20.7%
35
79.3%
Q2 - 8:19MIAMiller 14' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)39
17.6%
35
82.4%
Q2 - 8:45CLEPargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)39
19.1%
33
80.9%
Q2 - 8:50CLEPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
16.2%
33
83.8%
Q2 - 8:51MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
15.8%
33
84.2%
Q2 - 9:03CLEPargo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
14.2%
33
85.8%
Q2 - 9:03CLEPargo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)35
13.9%
33
86.1%
Q2 - 9:09MIAAllen 13' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
13.1%
33
86.9%
Q2 - 9:26CLEPargo Foul Turnover (P1.T3)34
14.3%
31
85.7%
Q2 - 9:36MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)34
15.6%
31
84.4%
Q2 - 9:36MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 234
15.8%
30
84.2%
Q2 - 9:49CLEZeller 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Gibson 2 AST)34
15.6%
30
84.4%
Q2 - 10:08MIAMiller Foul Turnover (P1.T7)32
14.4%
30
85.6%
Q2 - 10:15MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
13.0%
30
87.0%
Q2 - 10:16CLEMISS Gibson 3PT Jump Shot32
13.4%
30
86.6%
Q2 - 10:29MIACole 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)32
14.4%
30
85.6%
Q2 - 10:48CLECasspi 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gibson 1 AST)32
15.4%
28
84.6%
Q2 - 11:08MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)29
13.1%
28
86.9%
Q2 - 11:08MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)29
13.3%
27
86.7%
Q2 - 11:25MIAHEAT Rebound29
14.2%
26
85.8%
Q2 - 11:25CLEMISS Gibson 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
14.6%
26
85.4%
Q2 - 11:44CLECavaliers Rebound29
15.5%
26
84.5%
Q2 - 11:45MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot29
15.1%
26
84.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA29
14.2%
26
85.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound29
14.2%
26
85.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Cole 10' Floating Jump Shot29
15.1%
26
84.9%
Q1 - 0:04.0CLECasspi 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pargo 2 AST)29
14.2%
26
85.8%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)26
11.8%
26
88.2%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
14.2%
23
85.8%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
14.8%
23
85.2%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
14.2%
23
85.8%
Q1 - 0:53.0CLEMISS Gee Free Throw 2 of 226
14.3%
23
85.7%
Q1 - 0:53.0CLEMISS Gee Free Throw 1 of 226
15.2%
23
84.8%
Q1 - 0:54.0CLECasspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
15.1%
23
84.9%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Allen 2' Driving Layup26
14.8%
23
85.2%
Q1 - 1:11MIAHEAT Rebound26
14.0%
23
86.0%
Q1 - 1:11MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup26
14.6%
23
85.4%
Q1 - 1:12CLEGee 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS)26
14.0%
23
86.0%
Q1 - 1:43MIAHaslem Illegal Assist Turnover (P1.T6)24
12.7%
23
87.3%
Q1 - 1:43MIAHEAT Rebound24
11.9%
23
88.1%
Q1 - 1:43MIAMISS Allen 1' Jump Bank Shot24
12.4%
23
87.6%
Q1 - 1:49CLEChalmers STEAL (1 STL)24
11.9%
23
88.1%
Q1 - 2:07CLEGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
12.7%
23
87.3%
Q1 - 2:08MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
12.4%
23
87.6%
Q1 - 2:16MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
11.7%
23
88.3%
Q1 - 2:17CLEJames BLOCK (1 BLK)24
12.0%
23
88.0%
Q1 - 2:18CLEZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
12.7%
23
87.3%
Q1 - 2:19CLEMISS Zeller 10' Jump Shot24
12.0%
23
88.0%
Q1 - 2:39MIAJames 1' Driving Dunk (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)24
12.7%
23
87.3%
Q1 - 2:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
13.8%
21
86.2%
Q1 - 2:45CLEMISS Waiters 1' Driving Layup24
14.1%
21
85.9%
Q1 - 2:51CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)24
14.8%
21
85.2%
Q1 - 2:52CLEMISS Gee 18' Jump Shot24
14.1%
21
85.9%
Q1 - 3:14MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)24
14.5%
21
85.5%
Q1 - 3:30CLEZeller 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Varejao 2 AST)24
16.9%
18
83.1%
Q1 - 3:42MIAWade 8' Jump Bank Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)22
15.7%
18
84.3%
Q1 - 4:04CLEGee 1' Driving Dunk (7 PTS)22
16.2%
16
83.8%
Q1 - 4:20CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)20
15.1%
16
84.9%
Q1 - 4:21MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
14.7%
16
85.3%
Q1 - 4:31MIAHEAT Rebound20
13.9%
16
86.1%
Q1 - 4:32CLEMISS Waiters Driving Layup20
14.3%
16
85.7%
Q1 - 4:34MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)20
15.1%
16
84.9%
Q1 - 4:46CLEGibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gee 1 AST)20
14.0%
16
86.0%
Q1 - 4:52CLECavaliers Rebound17
12.0%
16
88.0%
Q1 - 4:53CLEMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
11.4%
16
88.6%
Q1 - 5:06MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)17
11.9%
16
88.1%
Q1 - 5:26CLEGee 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Varejao 1 AST)17
13.7%
13
86.3%
Q1 - 5:30CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
11.9%
13
88.1%
Q1 - 5:31CLEMISS Zeller 8' Jump Shot14
11.3%
13
88.7%
Q1 - 5:46MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)14
11.9%
13
88.1%
Q1 - 5:46MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 214
12.1%
12
87.9%
Q1 - 6:12CLEThompson 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)14
11.5%
12
88.5%
Q1 - 6:31MIAJames 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)12
10.8%
12
89.2%
Q1 - 6:41MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
10.0%
12
90.0%
Q1 - 6:42CLEMISS Varejao Free Throw 2 of 212
10.1%
12
89.9%
Q1 - 6:42CLEVarejao Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
10.5%
12
89.5%
Q1 - 6:42CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
10.0%
12
90.0%
Q1 - 6:43CLEMISS Pargo 1' Driving Layup11
9.5%
12
90.5%
Q1 - 6:59CLEGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
10.0%
12
90.0%
Q1 - 7:00MIAMISS Bosh 8' Jump Shot11
9.8%
12
90.2%
Q1 - 7:17CLEWaiters 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)11
9.0%
12
91.0%
Q1 - 7:31CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
8.5%
12
91.5%
Q1 - 7:33MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot9
8.3%
12
91.7%
Q1 - 7:45MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
7.8%
12
92.2%
Q1 - 7:46CLEMISS Varejao 17' Jump Shot9
8.0%
12
92.0%
Q1 - 8:01MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)9
8.3%
12
91.7%
Q1 - 8:19CLEWaiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Thompson 1 AST)9
9.5%
9
90.5%
Q1 - 8:35MIABosh 1' Tip Shot (7 PTS)6
8.3%
9
91.7%
Q1 - 8:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
8.9%
7
91.1%
Q1 - 8:37MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup6
9.3%
7
90.7%
Q1 - 8:39MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
8.9%
7
91.1%
Q1 - 8:40MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot6
9.3%
7
90.7%
Q1 - 8:53CLEBattier STEAL (1 STL)6
8.9%
7
91.1%
Q1 - 9:10MIAChalmers 1' Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)6
9.4%
7
90.6%
Q1 - 9:16MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
10.0%
5
90.0%
Q1 - 9:17CLEMISS Waiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
10.3%
5
89.7%
Q1 - 9:25MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)6
10.8%
5
89.2%
Q1 - 9:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
10.0%
5
90.0%
Q1 - 9:30CLEMISS Gee 17' Jump Shot6
10.3%
5
89.7%
Q1 - 9:49MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)6
10.8%
5
89.2%
Q1 - 9:49MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)6
10.9%
4
89.1%
Q1 - 10:02CLEPargo 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)6
11.2%
3
88.8%
Q1 - 10:07MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)4
10.6%
3
89.4%
Q1 - 10:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
9.9%
3
90.1%
Q1 - 10:14CLEMISS Pargo 10' Jump Shot4
10.1%
3
89.9%
Q1 - 10:34MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)4
10.7%
3
89.3%
Q1 - 10:45CLEGee 4' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)4
11.9%
0
88.1%
Q1 - 10:58MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
11.3%
0
88.7%
Q1 - 11:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
10.3%
0
89.7%
Q1 - 11:09CLEMISS Pargo 20' Jump Shot2
10.4%
0
89.6%
Q1 - 11:18CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
10.9%
0
89.1%
Q1 - 11:19MIAMISS Wade 1' Reverse Layup2
10.7%
0
89.3%
Q1 - 11:43CLEThompson 2' Layup (2 PTS)2
10.3%
0
89.7%
Q1 - 11:44CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
9.7%
0
90.3%
Q1 - 11:45CLEMISS Varejao 15' Jump Shot0
9.3%
0
90.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Varejao: Tip to Pargo0
9.7%
0
90.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
1.14 56.8%
MIA
1.25 62.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CLE
14
27
52%
MIA
14
24
58%
Midrange
CLE
7
21
33%
MIA
13
26
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CLE
14
21.0
31
45%
68%
MIA
9
13.5
19
47%
71%
Free Throws
CLE
24
33
73%
MIA
29
37
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Waiters1657%8.0 / 14
J. Pargo1647%8.0 / 17
O. Casspi1594%7.5 / 8
T. Thompson1381%6.5 / 8
A. Gee1260%6.0 / 10
D. Gibson1161%5.5 / 9
A. Varejao1038%5.0 / 13
C. Miles1071%5.0 / 7
T. Zeller542%2.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3075%15.0 / 20
C. Bosh2368%11.5 / 17
D. Wade1845%9.0 / 20
R. Allen1771%8.5 / 12
S. Battier990%4.5 / 5
M. Miller563%2.5 / 4
M. Chalmers467%2.0 / 3
U. Haslem2100%1.0 / 1
N. Cole233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CLE
81
+14
-10
95
MIA
73
+14
-18
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
1.14 56.8%
MIA
1.25 62.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.5
112.1
CLE 118.7
MIA 120.9 +2.2
Pace
92.2
90.9
CLE 89.2
MIA 92.9 +3.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
16.0
CLE 16.1
MIA 15.5 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.3%
55.2%
CLE 53.2%
MIA 58.7% +5.5%
TO %
14.5%
14.5%
CLE 10.5% +6.9%
MIA 17.4%
ORB %
28.2%
22.2%
CLE 25.0%
MIA 29.0% +4.0%
FTrt
26.5
29.7
CLE 41.8
MIA 53.6 +11.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.6%
60.0%
CLE 60.0% +1.7%
MIA 58.3%
STL %
8.5%
9.5%
CLE 9.9% +4.4%
MIA 5.5%
BLK %
6.8%
9.1%
CLE 0.0%
MIA 10.4% +10.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.8%
57.0%
CLE 56.8%
MIA 62.5% +5.7%
Rim FG%
53.8%
65.9%
CLE 51.9%
MIA 58.3% +6.4%
Mid FG%
39.1%
41.9%
CLE 33.3%
MIA 50.0% +16.7%
3P %
34.6%
39.6%
CLE 45.2%
MIA 47.4% +2.2%
FT %
75.6%
75.4%
CLE 72.7%
MIA 78.4% +5.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.1%
34.8%
CLE 34.2%
MIA 34.8% +0.6%
Mid Att. %
41.0%
36.7%
CLE 26.6% +11.1%
MIA 37.7%
3P Att. %
22.9%
28.5%
CLE 39.2% +11.7%
MIA 27.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsCLEMIA
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points108110
Rebounds3239
Assists2121
Steals95
Blocks05
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (1)30 (3)
Field Goals35-7936-69
At-the-Rim FG14-2714-24
Midrange FG7-2113-26
2-Point FG21-4827-50
3-Point FG14-319-19
Free Throws24-3329-37
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 215 · 21
37.5
16
57%
1
2
1
0
1
2
0
1
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
3-9
33%
C · 6'11" 260 · 30
35.1
10
38%
15
4
4
0
1
4
5
10
6-7
86%
2-8
25%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 219 · 27
33.0
16
47%
1
7
1
0
4
4
0
1
6-8
75%
2-9
22%
2-4
50%
F · 6'6" 225 · 25
28.8
12
60%
5
1
1
0
2
5
1
4
3-5
60%
3-6
50%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 254 · 22
22.6
13
81%
5
1
0
0
1
1
2
3
1-2
50%
6-7
86%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 27
28.1
11
61%
1
3
1
0
0
5
0
1
1-1
100%
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
C · 7'0" 250 · 23
20.8
5
42%
2
1
0
0
1
3
2
0
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 220 · 26
17.7
10
71%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 225 · 24
15.0
15
94%
1
1
1
0
0
3
0
1
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
4-4
100%
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 24
· 6'9" 260 · 24
G · 6'3" 205 · 25
F · 6'8" 235 · 33
#2 · G · 6'2" 195 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#44 · F · 6'7" 245 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
239
108
57%
32
21
9
0
10
0
10
22
24-33
73%
21-48
44%
14-31
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.