FinalWin Prob.pScore
346%100
98
854%101
93
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
114.08680.1
DEN logo DEN
112.08389.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADEN
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA98
100%
93
0%
Q4 - 0:12.0DENHamilton Traveling Turnover (P1.T14)98
99.7%
93
0.3%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)98
98.9%
93
1.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 297
98.8%
93
1.2%
Q4 - 0:18.0DENIguodala 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Lawson 8 AST)97
99.2%
93
0.8%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)97
99.3%
91
0.7%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)96
99.1%
91
0.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAHeat Rebound95
97.9%
91
2.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:11 Def:9)95
94.7%
91
5.3%
Q4 - 0:31.0DENMISS Faried 1' Tip Shot95
97.2%
91
2.8%
Q4 - 0:32.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:10 Def:9)95
94.8%
91
5.2%
Q4 - 0:32.0DENMISS Faried 2' Tip Shot95
97.3%
91
2.7%
Q4 - 0:33.0DENMISS Miller 2' Layup95
97.4%
91
2.6%
Q4 - 0:34.0DENMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)95
95.0%
91
5.0%
Q4 - 0:34.0DENMISS Faried 6' Jump Shot95
97.4%
91
2.6%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIACole 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 12 AST)95
91.1%
91
8.9%
Q4 - 1:03MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)92
73.0%
91
27.0%
Q4 - 1:05DENMISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
68.4%
91
31.6%
Q4 - 1:11DENIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)92
56.8%
91
43.2%
Q4 - 1:12MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
61.7%
91
38.3%
Q4 - 1:37DENIguodala Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)92
69.5%
91
30.5%
Q4 - 1:37DENIguodala Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)92
72.5%
90
27.5%
Q4 - 1:39MIAFaried STEAL (2 STL)92
78.1%
89
21.9%
Q4 - 1:57DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)92
85.3%
89
14.7%
Q4 - 1:57DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)92
87.1%
88
12.9%
Q4 - 1:58DENMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)92
90.2%
87
9.8%
Q4 - 1:59MIAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
91.6%
87
8.4%
Q4 - 2:17MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)92
94.3%
87
5.7%
Q4 - 2:19DENMISS Faried Free Throw 2 of 292
93.9%
87
6.1%
Q4 - 2:19DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 292
92.2%
87
7.8%
Q4 - 2:35MIAJames 16' Fadeaway Jumper (25 PTS)92
89.9%
87
10.1%
Q4 - 2:57MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
83.7%
87
16.3%
Q4 - 2:58DENMISS Lawson 3PT Jump Shot90
81.4%
87
18.6%
Q4 - 3:10MIAMiller STEAL (1 STL)90
75.1%
87
24.9%
Q4 - 3:29DENFaried Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)90
84.3%
87
15.7%
Q4 - 3:45DENFaried REBOUND (Off:9 Def:9)90
71.4%
87
28.6%
Q4 - 3:47MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
74.0%
87
26.0%
Q4 - 4:15DENMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)90
79.6%
87
20.4%
Q4 - 4:38MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)90
89.1%
84
10.9%
Q4 - 4:58MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
79.9%
84
20.1%
Q4 - 4:59DENMISS Faried 4' Jump Shot87
77.7%
84
22.3%
Q4 - 5:19MIAJames 17' Fadeaway Jumper (23 PTS)87
69.0%
84
31.0%
Q4 - 5:35DENLawson Foul Turnover (P2.T12)85
62.2%
84
37.8%
Q4 - 5:38DENMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)85
53.2%
84
46.8%
Q4 - 5:39MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot85
56.0%
84
44.0%
Q4 - 6:06DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)85
60.6%
84
39.4%
Q4 - 6:18MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (21 PTS)85
73.2%
81
26.8%
Q4 - 6:30MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)83
67.6%
81
32.4%
Q4 - 6:31DENMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot83
65.4%
81
34.6%
Q4 - 6:53DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
60.0%
81
40.0%
Q4 - 6:54MIAMISS Cole 3' Jump Shot83
62.4%
81
37.6%
Q4 - 7:20DENBrewer 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)83
66.2%
81
33.8%
Q4 - 7:30DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
71.7%
79
28.3%
Q4 - 7:31MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
73.5%
79
26.5%
Q4 - 7:39MIAHeat Rebound83
77.4%
79
22.6%
Q4 - 7:40MIAMcGee BLOCK (4 BLK)83
73.5%
79
26.5%
Q4 - 7:57DENMcGee 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (18 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)83
77.4%
79
22.6%
Q4 - 8:13MIAHaslem 2' Putback Dunk (8 PTS)83
79.8%
77
20.2%
Q4 - 8:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
75.3%
77
24.7%
Q4 - 8:15MIAMISS Cole 4' Running Jump Shot81
71.9%
77
28.1%
Q4 - 8:34DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)81
75.4%
77
24.6%
Q4 - 8:38DENFaried REBOUND (Off:9 Def:8)81
70.4%
77
29.6%
Q4 - 8:39MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
72.0%
77
28.0%
Q4 - 9:06DENMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)81
73.7%
77
26.3%
Q4 - 9:23MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 11 AST)81
82.0%
74
18.0%
Q4 - 9:50DENMcGee 11' Running Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)79
78.2%
74
21.8%
Q4 - 10:15DENFaried REBOUND (Off:9 Def:7)79
80.4%
72
19.6%
Q4 - 10:16MIAMISS Allen 21' Jump Shot79
81.5%
72
18.5%
Q4 - 10:28DENMcGee 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)79
83.8%
72
16.2%
Q4 - 10:32MIAFaried STEAL (1 STL)79
86.7%
70
13.3%
Q4 - 10:50DENMiller 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS)79
89.1%
70
10.9%
Q4 - 11:09MIACole Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)79
89.9%
68
10.1%
Q4 - 11:10MIAHeat Rebound79
91.7%
68
8.3%
Q4 - 11:11MIAFaried BLOCK (1 BLK)79
90.5%
68
9.5%
Q4 - 11:23DENMiller 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)79
91.7%
68
8.3%
Q4 - 11:36DENMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)79
93.2%
66
6.8%
Q4 - 11:37DENMISS McGee 7' Jump Shot79
94.1%
66
5.9%
Q4 - 11:41DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)79
93.2%
66
6.8%
Q4 - 11:41DENMISS Brewer 17' Jump Shot79
94.1%
66
5.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA79
93.3%
66
6.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound79
94.5%
66
5.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Allen 27' 3PT Running Jump Shot79
93.7%
66
6.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)79
93.6%
66
6.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)79
93.8%
65
6.2%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAJames 19' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)79
94.8%
64
5.2%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAHeat Rebound77
93.7%
64
6.3%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAMcGee BLOCK (3 BLK)77
92.8%
64
7.2%
Q3 - 0:47.0DENMcGee 2' Layup (12 PTS)77
93.7%
64
6.3%
Q3 - 0:48.0DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
94.9%
62
5.1%
Q3 - 0:49.0DENMISS McGee 2' Layup77
95.5%
62
4.5%
Q3 - 1:07MIAAllen 2' Layup (8 PTS) (James 10 AST)77
94.1%
62
5.9%
Q3 - 1:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
92.9%
62
7.1%
Q3 - 1:13DENMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
92.5%
62
7.5%
Q3 - 1:22MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS)75
91.5%
62
8.5%
Q3 - 1:41DENGallinari Foul Turnover (P1.T10)73
89.9%
62
10.1%
Q3 - 2:00DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
88.0%
62
12.0%
Q3 - 2:01MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot73
87.1%
62
12.9%
Q3 - 2:18MIAHeat Rebound73
88.6%
62
11.4%
Q3 - 2:18MIAMISS James 23' Jump Shot73
87.2%
62
12.8%
Q3 - 2:32DENMiller 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)73
88.6%
62
11.4%
Q3 - 2:51DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
90.4%
60
9.6%
Q3 - 2:53MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot73
90.9%
60
9.1%
Q3 - 3:15DENIguodala 2' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)73
91.0%
60
9.0%
Q3 - 3:20DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
92.3%
58
7.7%
Q3 - 3:21MIAMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
92.7%
58
7.3%
Q3 - 3:33DENGallinari 16' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)73
93.5%
58
6.5%
Q3 - 4:00DENNUGGETS Rebound73
94.5%
56
5.5%
Q3 - 4:01MIAMISS Miller 1' Driving Layup73
94.2%
56
5.8%
Q3 - 4:18DENIguodala Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)73
95.0%
56
5.0%
Q3 - 4:49MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)73
93.9%
56
6.1%
Q3 - 5:10DENMcGee 1' Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)70
91.0%
56
9.0%
Q3 - 5:16DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
92.1%
54
7.9%
Q3 - 5:16DENMISS Hamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
93.0%
54
7.0%
Q3 - 5:38MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)70
92.2%
54
7.8%
Q3 - 6:03DENGallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)70
92.7%
54
7.3%
Q3 - 6:17MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 9 AST)70
94.5%
51
5.5%
Q3 - 6:27MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
92.7%
51
7.3%
Q3 - 6:28DENMISS Faried 9' Turnaround Jump Shot67
92.4%
51
7.6%
Q3 - 6:41MIAMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 8 AST)67
91.4%
51
8.6%
Q3 - 7:01DENHamilton 2' Slam Dunk (11 PTS)64
87.6%
51
12.4%
Q3 - 7:07MIAHamilton STEAL (1 STL)64
89.1%
49
10.9%
Q3 - 7:15MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
90.6%
49
9.4%
Q3 - 7:15DENMISS Gallinari 22' Jump Shot64
90.2%
49
9.8%
Q3 - 7:35MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)64
89.2%
49
10.8%
Q3 - 7:35MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 263
88.9%
49
11.1%
Q3 - 7:47DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)63
89.3%
49
10.7%
Q3 - 8:04MIAMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 7 AST)63
86.9%
49
13.1%
Q3 - 8:14MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
83.4%
49
16.6%
Q3 - 8:15DENMISS Iguodala 17' Jump Shot60
82.6%
49
17.4%
Q3 - 8:20MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)60
80.9%
49
19.1%
Q3 - 8:39DENNUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)58
78.8%
49
21.2%
Q3 - 8:39DENNUGGETS Rebound58
75.9%
49
24.1%
Q3 - 8:40DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Turnaround Jump Shot58
77.9%
49
22.1%
Q3 - 8:41DENNUGGETS Rebound58
75.9%
49
24.1%
Q3 - 8:43DENMISS Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
77.9%
49
22.1%
Q3 - 9:06MIACole 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 6 AST)58
75.1%
49
24.9%
Q3 - 9:22DENFaried REBOUND (Off:9 Def:6)56
72.5%
49
27.5%
Q3 - 9:22DENFaried 1' Tip Shot (14 PTS)56
72.5%
49
27.5%
Q3 - 9:23DENMISS Faried 3' Finger Roll Layup56
77.1%
47
22.9%
Q3 - 9:28MIALawson STEAL (2 STL)56
75.1%
47
24.9%
Q3 - 9:41DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)56
78.0%
47
22.0%
Q3 - 9:41DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 256
78.7%
46
21.3%
Q3 - 9:48DENFaried REBOUND (Off:8 Def:6)56
77.8%
46
22.2%
Q3 - 9:49MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot56
78.6%
46
21.4%
Q3 - 10:00DENFaried Foul Turnover (P2.T6)56
80.4%
46
19.6%
Q3 - 10:09MIABosh 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)56
77.0%
46
23.0%
Q3 - 10:17MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
79.6%
46
20.4%
Q3 - 10:18DENMISS Faried 9' Jump Shot56
78.8%
46
21.2%
Q3 - 10:34MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)56
77.0%
46
23.0%
Q3 - 10:34MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)55
76.7%
46
23.3%
Q3 - 10:49DENFaried Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Iguodala 3 AST)54
74.6%
46
25.4%
Q3 - 10:58MIALawson STEAL (1 STL)54
77.1%
44
22.9%
Q3 - 11:07MIAHeat Rebound54
78.7%
44
21.3%
Q3 - 11:08MIAKoufos BLOCK (1 BLK)54
77.0%
44
23.0%
Q3 - 11:21DENKoufos 2' Layup (4 PTS)54
78.8%
44
21.2%
Q3 - 11:22DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)54
80.9%
42
19.1%
Q3 - 11:23DENMISS Gallinari 7' Running Jump Shot54
82.4%
42
17.6%
Q3 - 11:32DENIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
80.9%
42
19.1%
Q3 - 11:33MIAMISS Bosh 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot54
81.6%
42
18.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN54
83.1%
42
16.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound54
80.9%
42
19.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Lawson 47' 3PT Jump Shot54
82.4%
42
17.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 5 AST)54
80.2%
42
19.8%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
75.0%
42
25.0%
Q2 - 0:25.0DENMISS Lawson 7' Fadeaway Jumper51
74.5%
42
25.5%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIABosh 3' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)51
73.2%
42
26.8%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
69.8%
42
30.2%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Cole 4' Jump Shot49
68.4%
42
31.6%
Q2 - 1:03MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
69.1%
42
30.9%
Q2 - 1:04DENMISS Faried 4' Turnaround Jump Shot49
68.6%
42
31.4%
Q2 - 1:07DENFaried REBOUND (Off:8 Def:5)49
67.3%
42
32.7%
Q2 - 1:08DENMISS Faried 2' Layup49
68.6%
42
31.4%
Q2 - 1:11DENFaried REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)49
67.3%
42
32.7%
Q2 - 1:12DENMISS Hamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
68.6%
42
31.4%
Q2 - 1:27DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)49
67.4%
42
32.6%
Q2 - 1:28DENMISS Lawson 3' Driving Layup49
68.6%
42
31.4%
Q2 - 1:32DENNUGGETS Rebound49
67.4%
42
32.6%
Q2 - 1:33DENMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot49
68.6%
42
31.4%
Q2 - 1:53MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
67.4%
42
32.6%
Q2 - 1:53MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)48
66.9%
42
33.1%
Q2 - 1:53MIAHeat Rebound47
63.4%
42
36.6%
Q2 - 1:53DENMISS Iguodala 15' Jump Shot47
62.8%
42
37.2%
Q2 - 2:08DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
60.3%
42
39.7%
Q2 - 2:09MIAMISS James 18' Turnaround Jump Shot47
61.2%
42
38.8%
Q2 - 2:37DENIguodala 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)47
63.3%
42
36.7%
Q2 - 2:53MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)47
66.2%
40
33.8%
Q2 - 2:53MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)46
65.6%
40
34.4%
Q2 - 3:07DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)45
63.1%
40
36.9%
Q2 - 3:07DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)45
63.9%
39
36.1%
Q2 - 3:07DENFaried REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)45
65.4%
38
34.6%
Q2 - 3:08DENIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
65.4%
38
34.6%
Q2 - 3:08DENMISS Iguodala 1' Tip Shot45
67.6%
38
32.4%
Q2 - 3:09DENMISS Hamilton 5' Jump Shot45
67.6%
38
32.4%
Q2 - 3:13DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
65.4%
38
34.6%
Q2 - 3:14MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
66.4%
38
33.6%
Q2 - 3:41DENHamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)45
68.5%
38
31.5%
Q2 - 3:47DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
73.1%
35
26.9%
Q2 - 3:48MIAMISS Cole 12' Jump Shot45
73.9%
35
26.1%
Q2 - 4:07MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
74.7%
35
25.3%
Q2 - 4:08DENMISS Iguodala 3PT Jump Shot45
74.0%
35
26.0%
Q2 - 4:12DENFaried REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)45
72.3%
35
27.7%
Q2 - 4:13DENMISS Lawson 15' Jump Shot45
74.0%
35
26.0%
Q2 - 4:20DENNUGGETS Rebound45
72.3%
35
27.7%
Q2 - 4:21DENMISS Hamilton 11' Running Jump Shot45
74.0%
35
26.0%
Q2 - 4:41MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 4 AST)45
72.3%
35
27.7%
Q2 - 4:59DENHamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Iguodala 2 AST)42
67.7%
35
32.3%
Q2 - 5:19DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)42
71.9%
32
28.1%
Q2 - 5:20MIAMISS James 18' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot42
72.6%
32
27.4%
Q2 - 5:43DENFaried 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)42
74.2%
32
25.9%
Q2 - 5:58MIAJames 15' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)42
76.3%
30
23.7%
Q2 - 6:16MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
73.6%
30
26.4%
Q2 - 6:17MIAMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
71.8%
30
28.2%
Q2 - 6:30MIAHeat Rebound40
73.6%
30
26.4%
Q2 - 6:30MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
71.8%
30
28.2%
Q2 - 6:39MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
73.6%
30
26.4%
Q2 - 6:41DENMISS Brewer 1' Running Layup40
72.9%
30
27.1%
Q2 - 6:45MIAJames 4' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS)40
71.0%
30
29.0%
Q2 - 7:09DENMiller 1' Layup (2 PTS)38
68.3%
30
31.7%
Q2 - 7:29MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)38
70.3%
28
29.7%
Q2 - 7:29MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)37
70.0%
28
30.0%
Q2 - 7:48DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)36
68.3%
28
31.7%
Q2 - 7:48DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 236
69.0%
27
31.0%
Q2 - 8:04MIALewis 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)36
67.3%
27
32.7%
Q2 - 8:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
62.8%
27
37.2%
Q2 - 8:17DENMISS Brewer 3PT Jump Shot33
62.0%
27
38.0%
Q2 - 8:23DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)33
60.2%
27
39.8%
Q2 - 8:25MIAMcGee BLOCK (2 BLK)33
61.0%
27
39.0%
Q2 - 8:38MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
62.8%
27
37.2%
Q2 - 8:39DENMISS Brewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
62.0%
27
38.0%
Q2 - 8:57DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)33
60.3%
27
39.7%
Q2 - 8:58MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot33
61.1%
27
38.9%
Q2 - 9:16MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
62.2%
27
37.8%
Q2 - 9:17DENMISS Brewer 19' Turnaround Jump Shot33
61.4%
27
38.6%
Q2 - 9:25DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)33
59.7%
27
40.3%
Q2 - 9:26DENMISS Brewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
61.4%
27
38.6%
Q2 - 9:42MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)33
59.7%
27
40.3%
Q2 - 9:42MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 232
59.4%
27
40.6%
Q2 - 9:53DENHamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)32
59.8%
27
40.2%
Q2 - 10:10MIAHaslem 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)32
63.9%
24
36.1%
Q2 - 10:25DENMcGee Foul Turnover (P1.T5)30
62.0%
24
38.0%
Q2 - 10:36MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)30
59.3%
24
40.7%
Q2 - 10:50DENMcGee 1' Layup (8 PTS)30
62.0%
24
38.0%
Q2 - 10:53DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
63.9%
22
36.1%
Q2 - 10:54DENMISS McGee 5' Running Jump Shot30
65.8%
22
34.2%
Q2 - 11:10MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)30
63.7%
22
36.3%
Q2 - 11:20DENMcGee 1' Reverse Dunk (6 PTS)28
61.5%
22
38.5%
Q2 - 11:39DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
63.7%
20
36.3%
Q2 - 11:40MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot28
64.4%
20
35.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA28
66.0%
20
34.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound28
66.0%
20
34.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup28
64.0%
20
36.0%
Q1 - 0:05.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
65.1%
20
34.9%
Q1 - 0:05.0DENMISS Hamilton 8' Running Jump Shot28
64.6%
20
35.4%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIACole 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)28
63.5%
20
36.5%
Q1 - 0:51.0DENIguodala Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)26
60.8%
20
39.2%
Q1 - 1:03MIAHaslem 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)26
58.7%
20
41.3%
Q1 - 1:25DENMiller Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)24
55.9%
20
44.1%
Q1 - 1:32DENIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
54.2%
20
45.8%
Q1 - 1:33MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot24
54.7%
20
45.3%
Q1 - 1:56DENGallinari 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)24
55.9%
20
44.1%
Q1 - 2:01DENNUGGETS Rebound24
58.4%
18
41.6%
Q1 - 2:02DENMISS Iguodala 1' Layup24
59.9%
18
40.1%
Q1 - 2:21MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)24
58.4%
18
41.6%
Q1 - 2:42DENMcGee 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)22
56.1%
18
43.9%
Q1 - 3:07MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
58.1%
16
41.9%
Q1 - 3:36DENGallinari 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Iguodala 1 AST)20
56.0%
16
44.0%
Q1 - 3:42DENIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
58.2%
14
41.8%
Q1 - 3:43MIAMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
58.9%
14
41.1%
Q1 - 3:57DENMcGee 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)20
60.5%
14
39.5%
Q1 - 4:10MIAJames Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)20
61.9%
12
38.1%
Q1 - 4:14MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)18
59.9%
12
40.1%
Q1 - 4:15DENMISS Brewer 1' Layup18
59.2%
12
40.8%
Q1 - 4:20DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
57.7%
12
42.3%
Q1 - 4:21MIAMcGee BLOCK (1 BLK)18
58.4%
12
41.6%
Q1 - 4:47DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)18
59.9%
12
40.1%
Q1 - 4:47DENMISS Gallinari Free Throw 1 of 218
60.2%
11
39.8%
Q1 - 5:02MIABosh 4' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)18
58.9%
11
41.1%
Q1 - 5:05MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
57.0%
11
43.0%
Q1 - 5:06MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
55.4%
11
44.6%
Q1 - 5:19MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
57.0%
11
43.0%
Q1 - 5:21DENMISS Iguodala 16' Jump Shot16
56.3%
11
43.7%
Q1 - 5:45MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)16
54.8%
11
45.2%
Q1 - 5:56MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
50.8%
11
49.2%
Q1 - 5:57DENMISS Gallinari Free Throw 2 of 213
50.5%
11
49.5%
Q1 - 5:57DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
48.9%
11
51.1%
Q1 - 6:19MIAJames Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)13
50.1%
10
49.9%
Q1 - 6:24DENFaried Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)11
48.3%
10
51.7%
Q1 - 6:26DENIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
46.1%
10
53.9%
Q1 - 6:27MIAIguodala BLOCK (1 BLK)11
46.8%
10
53.2%
Q1 - 6:41DENKoufos 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)11
48.3%
10
51.7%
Q1 - 6:55DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)11
50.2%
8
49.8%
Q1 - 6:56DENMISS Lawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
51.7%
8
48.3%
Q1 - 7:17MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)11
49.8%
8
50.2%
Q1 - 7:43DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)8
46.3%
8
53.7%
Q1 - 7:43DENFaried 3' Layup (4 PTS)8
46.3%
8
53.7%
Q1 - 7:45DENMISS Lawson 6' Running Bank Shot8
49.5%
6
50.5%
Q1 - 8:10DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
48.0%
6
52.0%
Q1 - 8:10MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot8
48.6%
6
51.4%
Q1 - 8:20DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
50.1%
6
49.9%
Q1 - 8:20DENFaried 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)8
50.1%
6
49.9%
Q1 - 8:21DENMISS Gallinari 3' Driving Layup8
53.2%
4
46.8%
Q1 - 8:38MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
51.8%
4
48.2%
Q1 - 8:55DENIguodala 18' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)8
53.9%
4
46.1%
Q1 - 9:11DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
55.4%
2
44.6%
Q1 - 9:12MIAMISS James 2' Reverse Layup8
56.0%
2
44.0%
Q1 - 9:17MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
57.3%
2
42.7%
Q1 - 9:19DENMISS Faried 4' Jump Shot8
56.7%
2
43.3%
Q1 - 9:27DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
55.4%
2
44.6%
Q1 - 9:28MIAMISS James 15' Jump Shot8
56.0%
2
44.0%
Q1 - 9:45DENIguodala Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)8
57.4%
2
42.6%
Q1 - 9:59MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
55.4%
2
44.6%
Q1 - 10:23MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
53.3%
2
46.7%
Q1 - 10:24MIAMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
51.9%
2
48.1%
Q1 - 10:33DENGallinari 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)6
53.3%
2
46.7%
Q1 - 10:49MIAMiller 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)6
54.8%
0
45.2%
Q1 - 11:04MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
50.8%
0
49.2%
Q1 - 11:06DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
49.3%
0
50.7%
Q1 - 11:06DENMISS Koufos 1' Tip Shot3
50.4%
0
49.6%
Q1 - 11:07DENMISS Gallinari 10' Turnaround Jump Shot3
50.4%
0
49.6%
Q1 - 11:31MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)3
49.4%
0
50.6%
Q1 - 11:43MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
45.9%
0
54.1%
Q1 - 11:44DENMISS Faried 20' Jump Shot0
45.5%
0
54.5%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Koufos vs. Bosh: Tip to Iguodala0
44.4%
0
55.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.11 55.7%
DEN
0.94 47.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
24
50%
DEN
22
40
55%
Midrange
MIA
11
26
42%
DEN
9
28
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
13
19.5
27
48%
72%
DEN
6
9.0
20
30%
45%
Free Throws
MIA
13
16
81%
DEN
13
19
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2752%13.5 / 26
S. Battier18129%9.0 / 7
C. Bosh1458%7.0 / 12
M. Miller1267%6.0 / 9
R. Allen941%4.5 / 11
U. Haslem8100%4.0 / 4
N. Cole729%3.5 / 12
R. Lewis350%1.5 / 3
M. Chalmers0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Miller1995%9.5 / 10
J. McGee1875%9.0 / 12
K. Faried1638%8.0 / 21
D. Gallinari1346%6.5 / 14
J. Hamilton1150%5.5 / 11
A. Iguodala1045%5.0 / 11
K. Koufos467%2.0 / 3
C. Brewer213%1.0 / 8
T. Lawson0-0.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+13
-11
88
DEN
70
+27
-13
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.11 55.7%
DEN
0.94 47.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.1
110.6
MIA 114.0 +1.9
DEN 112.0
Pace
90.9
95.0
MIA 80.1
DEN 89.6 +9.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
14.6
MIA 18.0
DEN 16.1 +1.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.2%
51.5%
MIA 55.2% +9.7%
DEN 45.5%
TO %
14.5%
15.3%
MIA 11.6% +1.1%
DEN 12.7%
ORB %
22.2%
31.4%
MIA 15.6%
DEN 46.7% +31.1%
FTrt
29.7
30.8
MIA 20.8
DEN 21.6 +0.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
60.0%
MIA 66.7% +15.3%
DEN 51.4%
STL %
9.5%
9.7%
MIA 5.8%
DEN 7.2% +1.4%
BLK %
9.1%
10.4%
MIA 13.2%
DEN 14.0% +0.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.0%
53.5%
MIA 55.7% +8.7%
DEN 47.0%
Rim FG%
65.9%
60.5%
MIA 50.0%
DEN 55.0% +5.0%
Mid FG%
41.9%
35.7%
MIA 42.3% +10.2%
DEN 32.1%
3P %
39.6%
34.3%
MIA 48.1% +18.1%
DEN 30.0%
FT %
75.4%
70.1%
MIA 81.3% +12.9%
DEN 68.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
50.1%
MIA 31.2%
DEN 45.5% +14.3%
Mid Att. %
36.7%
28.2%
MIA 33.8%
DEN 31.8% +1.9%
3P Att. %
28.5%
21.7%
MIA 35.1% +12.3%
DEN 22.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.3 and 3.3.
Game TotalsMIADEN
Possessions8683
Possession Minutes25.822.2
Points9893
Rebounds2948
Assists2419
Steals56
Blocks97
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (8)21 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (2)27 (1)
Field Goals36-7737-88
At-the-Rim FG12-2422-40
Midrange FG11-269-28
2-Point FG23-5031-68
3-Point FG13-276-20
Free Throws13-1613-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
42.0
27
52%
7
12
1
3
4
0
1
6
5-6
83%
11-22
50%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 235 · 29
35.7
14
58%
3
0
0
1
2
3
1
2
4-4
100%
5-9
56%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 220 · 34
32.5
18
129%
3
2
1
2
2
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
6-7
86%
G · 6'8" 218 · 33
23.8
12
67%
5
1
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
4-8
50%
G · 6'2" 190 · 26
7.2
0
0%
0
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
38.7
7
29%
1
3
1
1
3
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-10
20%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 205 · 37
26.0
9
41%
3
3
1
0
0
1
1
2
4-6
67%
1-4
25%
1-4
25%
F · 6'8" 235 · 32
17.7
8
100%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-4
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 33
11.7
3
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
C · 6'9" 245 · 30
4.8
0
0%
1
0
0
2
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 24
G · 6'4" 190 · 25
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
56%
29
24
5
9
11
0
5
24
13-16
81%
23-50
46%
13-27
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.