FinalWin Prob.pScore
153%98
113
1047%97
110
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
121.593103.5
HOU logo HOU
117.09485.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU113
100%
110
0%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)113
95.0%
110
5.0%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)112
94.0%
110
6.0%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)111
87.2%
110
12.8%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2111
66.6%
110
33.4%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2111
80.4%
110
19.6%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)111
87.1%
110
12.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0HOUMISS Lin 24' 3PT Jump Shot111
81.3%
110
18.7%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (38 PTS)111
63.4%
110
36.6%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)109
45.4%
110
54.6%
Q4 - 0:32.0HOUMISS Harden 4' Driving Layup109
38.0%
110
62.0%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (36 PTS)109
29.0%
110
71.0%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (35 PTS)108
26.2%
110
73.8%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAHeat Rebound107
18.6%
110
81.4%
Q4 - 0:56.0HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot107
15.6%
110
84.4%
Q4 - 1:18HOUROCKETS Rebound107
13.1%
110
86.9%
Q4 - 1:19MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 2107
14.3%
110
85.7%
Q4 - 1:19MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)107
19.4%
110
80.6%
Q4 - 1:29HOUParsons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)106
15.5%
110
84.5%
Q4 - 1:49MIAJames 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (33 PTS)106
35.7%
107
64.3%
Q4 - 2:19HOUMorris 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)103
19.6%
107
80.4%
Q4 - 2:46MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)103
35.6%
104
64.4%
Q4 - 3:02HOUPatterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)100
21.2%
104
78.8%
Q4 - 3:02HOUMISS Patterson Free Throw 1 of 2100
23.1%
103
76.9%
Q4 - 3:28MIABosh 1' Slam Dunk (22 PTS) (James 6 AST)100
19.1%
103
80.9%
Q4 - 3:36MIAHeat Rebound98
18.5%
103
81.5%
Q4 - 3:37HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot98
16.6%
103
83.4%
Q4 - 3:54MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)98
12.5%
103
87.5%
Q4 - 3:54MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)97
11.9%
103
88.1%
Q4 - 4:13HOUPatterson 13' Jump Shot (16 PTS)96
9.0%
103
91.0%
Q4 - 4:24HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)96
12.2%
101
87.8%
Q4 - 4:25MIALin BLOCK (3 BLK)96
13.6%
101
86.4%
Q4 - 4:35MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)96
17.4%
101
82.6%
Q4 - 4:37HOUMISS Parsons 8' Driving Jump Shot96
15.6%
101
84.4%
Q4 - 5:04MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)96
15.5%
101
84.5%
Q4 - 5:11MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)93
8.7%
101
91.3%
Q4 - 5:12MIALin BLOCK (2 BLK)93
6.9%
101
93.1%
Q4 - 5:23MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)93
8.7%
101
91.3%
Q4 - 5:25HOUMISS Lin 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot93
7.8%
101
92.2%
Q4 - 5:42HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
6.1%
101
93.9%
Q4 - 5:43MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
6.8%
101
93.2%
Q4 - 6:13HOUMorris 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Delfino 3 AST)93
11.1%
101
88.9%
Q4 - 6:36MIAJames 2' Layup (27 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)93
18.0%
98
82.0%
Q4 - 6:53HOUDelfino 23' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Douglas 4 AST)91
14.2%
98
85.8%
Q4 - 7:19MIABosh 13' Jump Shot (18 PTS)91
20.5%
96
79.5%
Q4 - 7:37HOUParsons 3' Driving Layup (22 PTS) (Delfino 2 AST)89
16.6%
96
83.4%
Q4 - 7:59MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)89
20.3%
94
79.7%
Q4 - 8:08MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)86
15.0%
94
85.0%
Q4 - 8:10MIAMISS James 3' Layup86
12.9%
94
87.1%
Q4 - 8:15MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)86
15.0%
94
85.0%
Q4 - 8:16HOUMISS Asik 2' Layup86
14.0%
94
86.0%
Q4 - 8:34MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P1.T11)86
12.0%
94
88.0%
Q4 - 8:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)86
14.9%
94
85.1%
Q4 - 8:43MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup86
12.8%
94
87.2%
Q4 - 9:09HOUAsik 3' Layup (19 PTS) (Douglas 3 AST)86
16.6%
94
83.4%
Q4 - 9:16MIAParsons STEAL (2 STL)86
20.3%
92
79.7%
Q4 - 9:25MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)86
24.3%
92
75.7%
Q4 - 9:26HOUMISS Parsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
23.0%
92
77.0%
Q4 - 9:38HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
20.2%
92
79.8%
Q4 - 9:39MIAMISS Lewis 8' Floating Jump Shot86
21.4%
92
78.6%
Q4 - 9:59HOUParsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Douglas 2 AST)86
24.2%
92
75.8%
Q4 - 10:11HOUParsons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
35.1%
89
64.9%
Q4 - 10:12MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot86
36.7%
89
63.3%
Q4 - 10:35HOUAsik Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)86
40.4%
89
59.6%
Q4 - 10:35HOUAsik Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)86
42.8%
88
57.2%
Q4 - 10:48MIAHaslem 3' Layup (10 PTS)86
45.9%
87
54.1%
Q4 - 10:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)84
40.4%
87
59.6%
Q4 - 10:52MIAMISS Chalmers 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot84
36.6%
87
63.4%
Q4 - 11:13HOUParsons Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)84
40.9%
87
59.1%
Q4 - 11:13HOUParsons Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)84
42.7%
86
57.3%
Q4 - 11:16MIADouglas STEAL (1 STL)84
46.2%
85
53.8%
Q4 - 11:24HOUDouglas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)84
51.5%
85
48.5%
Q4 - 11:39MIALewis 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)84
46.2%
85
53.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA82
40.8%
85
59.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound82
40.8%
85
59.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot82
37.3%
85
62.7%
Q3 - 0:24.0HOUPatterson 1' Layup (14 PTS)82
41.4%
85
58.6%
Q3 - 0:25.0HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)82
46.7%
83
53.3%
Q3 - 0:26.0HOUMISS Harden 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot82
50.1%
83
49.9%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 5 AST)82
46.7%
83
53.3%
Q3 - 0:42.0HOUDouglas 8' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST)79
36.5%
83
63.5%
Q3 - 1:00MIAAllen 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)79
41.6%
81
58.4%
Q3 - 1:19HOUHarden 7' Floating Jump Shot (22 PTS)77
37.3%
81
62.7%
Q3 - 1:43MIAJames 19' Step Back Jump Shot (22 PTS)77
42.0%
79
58.0%
Q3 - 2:05HOUMorris 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)75
38.0%
79
62.0%
Q3 - 2:07HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
42.4%
77
57.6%
Q3 - 2:08HOUMISS Delfino 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
45.6%
77
54.4%
Q3 - 2:19HOUDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
42.3%
77
57.7%
Q3 - 2:21MIAMISS James 18' Fadeaway Jumper75
43.8%
77
56.2%
Q3 - 2:42HOUHarden Free Throw 3 of 3 (20 PTS)75
47.0%
77
53.0%
Q3 - 2:42HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 3 (19 PTS)75
47.7%
76
52.3%
Q3 - 2:42HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 375
48.4%
75
51.6%
Q3 - 3:10MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (20 PTS)75
51.8%
75
48.2%
Q3 - 3:24MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)73
47.5%
75
52.5%
Q3 - 3:26HOUMISS Delfino 2' Layup73
46.1%
75
53.9%
Q3 - 3:30HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)73
42.9%
75
57.1%
Q3 - 3:31HOUMISS Delfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
46.1%
75
53.9%
Q3 - 3:43HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
42.9%
75
57.1%
Q3 - 3:44MIAMISS James 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot73
44.3%
75
55.7%
Q3 - 4:06HOUHarden 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS)73
48.0%
75
52.0%
Q3 - 4:18MIAJames 19' Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS)73
51.6%
73
48.4%
Q3 - 4:31HOUDelfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)71
48.0%
73
52.0%
Q3 - 4:42MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS)71
55.9%
70
44.1%
Q3 - 5:03HOUDelfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)69
52.1%
70
47.9%
Q3 - 5:18MIACole Foul Turnover (P2.T8)69
59.7%
67
40.3%
Q3 - 5:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
64.2%
67
35.8%
Q3 - 5:22HOUMISS Parsons 3' Driving Layup69
62.9%
67
37.1%
Q3 - 5:41HOUDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
59.7%
67
40.3%
Q3 - 5:43MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup69
61.1%
67
38.9%
Q3 - 6:00HOUParsons 1' Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Lin 6 AST)69
64.2%
67
35.8%
Q3 - 6:04MIALin STEAL (1 STL)69
67.0%
65
33.0%
Q3 - 6:13HOUParsons Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)69
71.0%
65
29.0%
Q3 - 6:13HOUParsons Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)69
72.1%
64
27.9%
Q3 - 6:26HOULin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
73.7%
63
26.3%
Q3 - 6:27MIAMISS Cole 21' Jump Shot69
74.8%
63
25.2%
Q3 - 6:51MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)69
77.1%
63
22.9%
Q3 - 6:51HOUMISS Lin Free Throw 2 of 269
76.7%
63
23.3%
Q3 - 6:51HOULin Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)69
74.7%
63
25.3%
Q3 - 7:07MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)69
75.9%
62
24.1%
Q3 - 7:25HOULin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parsons 3 AST)66
70.1%
62
29.9%
Q3 - 7:44HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)66
75.9%
59
24.1%
Q3 - 7:44MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 266
76.3%
59
23.7%
Q3 - 7:44MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 266
78.1%
59
21.9%
Q3 - 7:49MIAHeat Rebound66
78.9%
59
21.1%
Q3 - 7:50MIAMISS Wade 7' Running Jump Shot66
76.9%
59
23.1%
Q3 - 7:54MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)66
78.9%
59
21.1%
Q3 - 7:56HOUMISS Harden 4' Driving Layup66
78.0%
59
22.0%
Q3 - 8:02HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)66
75.4%
59
24.6%
Q3 - 8:04MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
76.3%
59
23.7%
Q3 - 8:11MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
78.4%
59
21.6%
Q3 - 8:12HOUMISS Patterson 19' Jump Shot66
77.5%
59
22.5%
Q3 - 8:33MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)66
75.4%
59
24.6%
Q3 - 8:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
69.7%
59
30.3%
Q3 - 8:38MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot63
67.2%
59
32.8%
Q3 - 8:55HOUParsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lin 5 AST)63
69.7%
59
30.3%
Q3 - 9:15MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)63
74.9%
56
25.1%
Q3 - 9:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
69.2%
56
30.8%
Q3 - 9:21MIAMISS James 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot60
66.8%
56
33.2%
Q3 - 9:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
69.2%
56
30.8%
Q3 - 9:30HOUMISS Parsons 29' 3PT Jump Shot60
68.2%
56
31.8%
Q3 - 9:53MIAJames 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)60
65.8%
56
34.2%
Q3 - 9:56MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
62.6%
56
37.4%
Q3 - 9:57HOUMISS Parsons 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
61.5%
56
38.5%
Q3 - 10:06HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)58
59.0%
56
41.0%
Q3 - 10:07MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot58
60.1%
56
39.9%
Q3 - 10:21HOUAsik Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)58
62.6%
56
37.4%
Q3 - 10:21HOUAsik Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)58
64.0%
55
36.0%
Q3 - 10:21HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)58
65.6%
54
34.4%
Q3 - 10:22HOUMISS Lin 3PT Jump Shot58
68.0%
54
32.0%
Q3 - 10:35MIAJames 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (8 PTS)58
65.6%
54
34.4%
Q3 - 10:58HOUPatterson 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Lin 4 AST)56
62.5%
54
37.5%
Q3 - 11:04HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)56
65.5%
52
34.5%
Q3 - 11:06MIAMISS James 14' Jump Shot56
66.5%
52
33.5%
Q3 - 11:21MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
68.7%
52
31.3%
Q3 - 11:23HOUMISS Patterson 2' Layup56
67.7%
52
32.3%
Q3 - 11:29MIAHarden STEAL (1 STL)56
65.5%
52
34.5%
Q3 - 11:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
68.7%
52
31.3%
Q3 - 11:39HOUMISS Patterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
67.8%
52
32.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU56
65.5%
52
34.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)56
65.5%
52
34.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)54
62.5%
52
37.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 4' Driving Layup54
60.1%
52
39.9%
Q2 - 0:10.0HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)54
61.7%
52
38.3%
Q2 - 0:10.0HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)54
62.2%
51
37.8%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)54
65.6%
50
34.4%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 253
65.0%
50
35.0%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
64.8%
50
35.2%
Q2 - 0:42.0HOUMISS Parsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
64.2%
50
35.8%
Q2 - 1:01HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
62.5%
50
37.5%
Q2 - 1:03MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
63.1%
50
36.9%
Q2 - 1:18HOULin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)53
64.5%
50
35.5%
Q2 - 1:32HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)53
71.0%
47
29.0%
Q2 - 1:33MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot53
71.6%
47
28.4%
Q2 - 1:51HOUPatterson 9' Hook Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Lin 3 AST)53
72.7%
47
27.3%
Q2 - 2:02MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)53
74.9%
45
25.1%
Q2 - 2:19HOUParsons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
72.6%
45
27.4%
Q2 - 2:19HOUParsons 1' Layup (8 PTS)51
72.6%
45
27.4%
Q2 - 2:21HOUMISS Asik 1' Layup51
76.6%
43
23.4%
Q2 - 2:22HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)51
75.0%
43
25.0%
Q2 - 2:23HOUMISS Harden 16' Jump Shot51
76.6%
43
23.4%
Q2 - 2:43MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)51
75.0%
43
25.0%
Q2 - 2:50MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
70.1%
43
29.9%
Q2 - 2:53HOUMISS Parsons 2' Reverse Layup48
69.3%
43
30.7%
Q2 - 3:03MIAParsons STEAL (1 STL)48
67.0%
43
33.0%
Q2 - 3:21HOUAsik Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)48
70.0%
43
30.0%
Q2 - 3:21HOUAsik Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)48
71.1%
42
28.9%
Q2 - 3:38MIAJames 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)48
72.1%
41
27.9%
Q2 - 3:44HOULin Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)46
70.0%
41
30.0%
Q2 - 4:03MIABosh 12' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)46
66.6%
41
33.4%
Q2 - 4:08MIAHeat Rebound44
64.2%
41
35.8%
Q2 - 4:10MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot44
62.2%
41
37.8%
Q2 - 4:21HOULin 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Parsons 2 AST)44
64.3%
41
35.7%
Q2 - 4:27HOUParsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
66.7%
39
33.3%
Q2 - 4:28MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
67.5%
39
32.5%
Q2 - 4:40HOUAsik Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)44
69.4%
39
30.6%
Q2 - 4:40HOUAsik Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)44
70.5%
38
29.5%
Q2 - 5:01MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)44
71.5%
37
28.5%
Q2 - 5:09HOUAsik Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)41
66.6%
37
33.4%
Q2 - 5:22MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)41
64.1%
37
35.9%
Q2 - 5:41HOUPatterson 1' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Asik 3 AST)39
61.4%
37
38.6%
Q2 - 6:03HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)39
63.4%
35
36.6%
Q2 - 6:04MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot39
64.4%
35
35.6%
Q2 - 6:27HOUAsik 1' Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Lin 2 AST)39
66.5%
35
33.5%
Q2 - 6:47HOUHarden Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (14 PTS)39
68.5%
33
31.5%
Q2 - 6:47HOUHarden Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (13 PTS)39
68.8%
32
31.2%
Q2 - 6:48HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
73.0%
31
27.0%
Q2 - 6:48MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot39
73.8%
31
26.2%
Q2 - 6:59HOUHarden Foul Turnover (P2.T8)39
75.5%
31
24.5%
Q2 - 7:07HOUROCKETS Rebound39
72.6%
31
27.4%
Q2 - 7:07MIALin BLOCK (1 BLK)39
73.3%
31
26.7%
Q2 - 7:21HOUParsons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lin 1 AST)39
74.9%
31
25.1%
Q2 - 7:37MIAWade 10' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)39
78.5%
28
21.5%
Q2 - 7:50HOUPatterson 3' Layup (6 PTS)37
76.9%
28
23.1%
Q2 - 8:04MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P1.T4)37
77.8%
26
22.2%
Q2 - 8:15MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
79.7%
26
20.3%
Q2 - 8:15HOUMISS Asik Free Throw 2 of 237
79.4%
26
20.6%
Q2 - 8:15HOUMISS Asik Free Throw 1 of 237
78.7%
26
21.3%
Q2 - 8:23HOUDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
77.9%
26
22.1%
Q2 - 8:25MIAMISS Cole 19' Jump Shot37
78.4%
26
21.6%
Q2 - 8:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)37
79.7%
26
20.3%
Q2 - 8:34HOUMISS Asik 3' Layup37
79.2%
26
20.8%
Q2 - 8:57MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)37
77.9%
26
22.1%
Q2 - 8:57MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)36
77.5%
26
22.5%
Q2 - 8:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
76.2%
26
23.8%
Q2 - 8:58MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot35
74.8%
26
25.2%
Q2 - 9:08HOUAsik Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)35
75.6%
26
24.4%
Q2 - 9:08HOUMISS Asik Free Throw 1 of 235
76.4%
25
23.6%
Q2 - 9:18MIAWade Dunk (10 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)35
75.5%
25
24.5%
Q2 - 9:21MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
73.7%
25
26.3%
Q2 - 9:22HOUMISS Delfino 3' Layup33
73.1%
25
26.9%
Q2 - 9:26HOUDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
71.6%
25
28.4%
Q2 - 9:28MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
72.2%
25
27.8%
Q2 - 9:35HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)33
73.7%
25
26.3%
Q2 - 9:35HOUAsik 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)33
73.7%
25
26.3%
Q2 - 9:37HOUMISS Harden 1' Layup33
76.8%
23
23.2%
Q2 - 10:00MIACole 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)33
75.5%
23
24.5%
Q2 - 10:11HOUHarden 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parsons 1 AST)31
73.5%
23
26.5%
Q2 - 10:29MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)31
75.0%
21
25.0%
Q2 - 10:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)29
73.5%
21
26.5%
Q2 - 10:36MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
71.9%
21
28.1%
Q2 - 10:40MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
73.5%
21
26.5%
Q2 - 10:42MIAMISS Lewis 14' Jump Shot29
71.9%
21
28.1%
Q2 - 11:05HOUAsik Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
72.9%
21
27.1%
Q2 - 11:05HOUAsik Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
73.7%
20
26.3%
Q2 - 11:05HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)29
74.8%
19
25.2%
Q2 - 11:07HOUMISS Delfino 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot29
76.0%
19
24.0%
Q2 - 11:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
74.8%
19
25.2%
Q2 - 11:29MIAHaslem 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)29
74.8%
19
25.2%
Q2 - 11:30MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup27
71.6%
19
28.4%
Q2 - 11:34MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
73.0%
19
27.0%
Q2 - 11:36HOUMISS Delfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
72.4%
19
27.6%
Q2 - 11:42MIAWade 2' Layup (8 PTS)27
70.9%
19
29.1%
Q2 - 11:45HOUDouglas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)25
69.0%
19
31.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
66.8%
19
33.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUHarden 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)25
69.0%
19
31.0%
Q1 - 0:11.0MIAHaslem 2' Layup (2 PTS)25
72.7%
16
27.3%
Q1 - 0:12.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
70.3%
16
29.7%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAAsik BLOCK (1 BLK)23
69.2%
16
30.8%
Q1 - 0:31.0HOUDelfino Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)23
70.3%
16
29.7%
Q1 - 0:41.0HOUROCKETS Rebound23
68.7%
16
31.3%
Q1 - 0:42.0HOUMISS Delfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
69.8%
16
30.2%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)23
68.8%
16
31.2%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 222
68.3%
16
31.7%
Q1 - 1:23HOUAsik 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)22
68.0%
16
32.0%
Q1 - 1:31HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
70.5%
14
29.5%
Q1 - 1:33MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
70.9%
14
29.1%
Q1 - 1:46HOUHarden 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Douglas 1 AST)22
71.9%
14
28.1%
Q1 - 1:52HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)22
74.2%
12
25.8%
Q1 - 1:54MIAMISS Lewis 22' Jump Shot22
74.6%
12
25.4%
Q1 - 2:00HOUAsik Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)22
75.5%
12
24.5%
Q1 - 2:14MIACole Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)22
73.9%
12
26.1%
Q1 - 2:21HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)22
75.5%
12
24.5%
Q1 - 2:21HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)22
75.8%
11
24.2%
Q1 - 2:24HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
77.3%
10
22.7%
Q1 - 2:27MIAHarden BLOCK (1 BLK)22
77.7%
10
22.3%
Q1 - 2:35MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
78.8%
10
21.2%
Q1 - 2:36HOUMISS Douglas 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
78.3%
10
21.7%
Q1 - 2:53HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
77.3%
10
22.7%
Q1 - 2:55MIAMISS James 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot22
77.7%
10
22.3%
Q1 - 3:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
78.7%
10
21.3%
Q1 - 3:15HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 2 of 222
78.5%
10
21.5%
Q1 - 3:15HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
77.3%
10
22.7%
Q1 - 3:25HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
78.6%
9
21.4%
Q1 - 3:27MIAPatterson BLOCK (1 BLK)22
79.1%
9
20.9%
Q1 - 3:57HOUHarden 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
80.2%
9
19.8%
Q1 - 4:14MIABosh Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T2)22
80.9%
7
19.1%
Q1 - 4:29HOUPatterson 3' Layup (4 PTS)22
82.4%
7
17.6%
Q1 - 4:41HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
83.5%
5
16.5%
Q1 - 4:43HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
83.5%
5
16.5%
Q1 - 4:43HOUMISS Patterson 1' Tip Shot22
84.4%
5
15.6%
Q1 - 4:45HOUMISS Morris 3PT Jump Shot22
84.4%
5
15.6%
Q1 - 5:01MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)22
82.3%
5
17.7%
Q1 - 5:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
83.6%
5
16.4%
Q1 - 5:03HOUMISS Harden 4' Driving Jump Shot22
83.2%
5
16.8%
Q1 - 5:16MIAWade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
82.4%
5
17.6%
Q1 - 5:28HOUParsons Foul Turnover (P1.T4)20
81.2%
5
18.8%
Q1 - 5:32HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
79.9%
5
20.1%
Q1 - 5:34MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot20
80.3%
5
19.7%
Q1 - 5:44MIAHeat Rebound20
81.3%
5
18.7%
Q1 - 5:45HOUMISS Parsons 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
80.9%
5
19.1%
Q1 - 6:05MIABosh Dunk (10 PTS) (James 4 AST)20
78.9%
5
21.1%
Q1 - 6:13MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
77.7%
5
22.3%
Q1 - 6:15HOUMISS Patterson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot18
77.2%
5
22.8%
Q1 - 6:37MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)18
76.1%
5
23.9%
Q1 - 6:43MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
74.8%
5
25.2%
Q1 - 6:44HOUMISS Harden 2' Driving Layup16
74.3%
5
25.7%
Q1 - 6:48HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
73.1%
5
26.9%
Q1 - 6:50MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot16
73.6%
5
26.4%
Q1 - 7:07HOUParsons 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Asik 2 AST)16
74.2%
5
25.8%
Q1 - 7:25MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 2 AST)16
76.9%
2
23.1%
Q1 - 7:33MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
75.7%
2
24.3%
Q1 - 7:34HOUMISS Parsons 6' Jump Shot14
75.2%
2
24.8%
Q1 - 7:53MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)14
74.0%
2
26.0%
Q1 - 7:59MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
71.2%
2
28.8%
Q1 - 8:00HOUMISS Lin 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
70.6%
2
29.4%
Q1 - 8:23MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)11
69.2%
2
30.8%
Q1 - 8:40HOUPatterson Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Asik 1 AST)9
67.7%
2
32.3%
Q1 - 8:54MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)9
69.2%
0
30.8%
Q1 - 9:09HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)7
67.4%
0
32.6%
Q1 - 9:33MIABosh 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)7
65.7%
0
34.3%
Q1 - 9:43MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
64.1%
0
35.9%
Q1 - 9:44HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
63.6%
0
36.4%
Q1 - 9:52HOUParsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
62.3%
0
37.7%
Q1 - 9:54MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot5
62.9%
0
37.1%
Q1 - 10:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
63.7%
0
36.3%
Q1 - 10:05HOUMISS Lin 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
63.1%
0
36.9%
Q1 - 10:26MIAJames 2' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)5
61.8%
0
38.2%
Q1 - 10:30HOUAsik Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)3
60.4%
0
39.6%
Q1 - 10:32HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
58.5%
0
41.5%
Q1 - 10:34HOUMISS Asik 6' Jump Shot3
59.9%
0
40.1%
Q1 - 10:50MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)3
58.5%
0
41.5%
Q1 - 10:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
57.1%
0
42.9%
Q1 - 10:58HOUMISS Patterson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot1
56.5%
0
43.5%
Q1 - 11:05HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
55.2%
0
44.8%
Q1 - 11:07MIAMISS Bosh 4' Jump Shot1
55.6%
0
44.4%
Q1 - 11:18MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)1
56.6%
0
43.4%
Q1 - 11:29HOULin Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
55.0%
0
45.0%
Q1 - 11:41HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
53.5%
0
46.5%
Q1 - 11:42MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot0
54.0%
0
46.0%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Asik vs. Bosh: Tip to Chalmers0
55.0%
0
45.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.13 56.5%
HOU
1.13 56.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
28
64%
HOU
17
31
55%
Midrange
MIA
17
40
43%
HOU
7
15
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
21
48%
71%
HOU
12
18.0
34
35%
53%
Free Throws
MIA
13
20
65%
HOU
26
33
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3863%19.0 / 30
C. Bosh2475%12.0 / 16
D. Wade1945%9.5 / 21
U. Haslem1083%5.0 / 6
R. Allen857%4.0 / 7
S. Battier6100%3.0 / 3
M. Chalmers440%2.0 / 5
N. Cole217%1.0 / 6
R. Lewis225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Parsons2566%12.5 / 19
J. Harden2252%11.0 / 21
O. Asik1963%9.5 / 15
P. Patterson1757%8.5 / 15
J. Lin950%4.5 / 9
C. Delfino840%4.0 / 10
M. Morris8100%4.0 / 4
T. Douglas250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
82
+16
-11
98
HOU
83
+13
-11
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.13 56.5%
HOU
1.13 56.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.1
109.8
MIA 121.5 +4.5
HOU 117.0
Pace
90.9
96.0
MIA 103.5 +18.1
HOU 85.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
14.2
MIA 13.9 +3.0
HOU 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.2%
52.5%
MIA 56.2% +3.7%
HOU 52.5%
TO %
14.5%
16.4%
MIA 10.1% +0.3%
HOU 10.4%
ORB %
22.2%
26.4%
MIA 31.0% +4.8%
HOU 26.2%
FTrt
29.7
30.8
MIA 22.5
HOU 41.3 +18.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
60.9%
MIA 57.8%
HOU 69.4% +11.6%
STL %
9.5%
8.6%
MIA 4.3%
HOU 5.3% +1.0%
BLK %
9.1%
6.9%
MIA 8.7%
HOU 8.8% +0.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.0%
55.0%
MIA 56.5%
HOU 56.7% +0.2%
Rim FG%
65.9%
58.9%
MIA 64.3% +9.5%
HOU 54.8%
Mid FG%
41.9%
36.3%
MIA 42.5%
HOU 46.7% +4.2%
3P %
39.6%
36.6%
MIA 47.6% +12.3%
HOU 35.3%
FT %
75.4%
75.4%
MIA 65.0%
HOU 78.8% +13.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
42.7%
MIA 31.5%
HOU 38.8% +7.3%
Mid Att. %
36.7%
22.4%
MIA 44.9%
HOU 18.8% +26.2%
3P Att. %
28.5%
34.9%
MIA 23.6%
HOU 42.5% +18.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.94 and 2.94.
Game TotalsMIAHOU
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes21.626.4
Points113110
Rebounds4440
Assists2625
Steals45
Blocks46
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (3)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (3)29 (2)
Field Goals45-8936-80
At-the-Rim FG18-2817-31
Midrange FG17-407-15
2-Point FG35-6824-46
3-Point FG10-2112-34
Free Throws13-2026-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
39.9
38
63%
10
6
0
0
0
1
1
9
5-8
63%
9-18
50%
5-8
63%
G · 6'4" 220 · 31
39.8
19
45%
6
7
1
0
2
2
1
5
3-7
43%
8-17
47%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 220 · 34
34.6
6
100%
0
2
1
3
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-3
67%
C · 6'11" 235 · 29
33.8
24
75%
10
3
0
1
3
3
4
6
4-4
100%
10-14
71%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 26
27.0
4
40%
6
5
1
0
2
4
0
6
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
G · 6'5" 205 · 37
25.6
8
57%
4
3
1
0
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
F · 6'8" 235 · 32
15.4
10
83%
7
0
0
0
0
2
5
2
0-0
-
5-6
83%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
14.8
2
17%
1
0
0
0
3
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 235 · 33
9.2
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
C · 6'9" 245 · 30
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
G · 6'4" 190 · 25
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#55 · F-C · 6'10" 275 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
113
56%
44
26
4
4
11
0
13
31
13-20
65%
35-68
51%
10-21
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.