FinalWin Prob.pScore
156%100
86
944%98
104
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
93.59294.1
MEM logo MEM
116.98987.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMEM
Q4 - 0:00.0MEM86
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAHarrellson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0MEMWroten REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)86
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0MEMMISS Wroten Tip Shot86
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0MEMMISS Wroten 2' Reverse Layup86
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:34.0MEMSelby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Anthony 8' Jump Shot86
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:55.0MEMGRIZZLIES Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)86
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound86
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0MEMMISS Selby 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20MIASelby STEAL (1 STL)86
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22MIAHarrellson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25MIAMISS Cole 3' Layup86
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39MEMMISS Speights 20' Step Back Jump Shot86
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)86
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)85
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05MEMMISS Haddadi 3' Layup84
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:26MIAHarrellson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)84
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:38MEMHaddadi Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)81
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:40MIAWroten STEAL (1 STL)81
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44MIAHarrellson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47MEMMISS Wroten 4' Driving Jump Shot81
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)81
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)80
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00MEMMISS Selby 20' Pullup Jump Shot79
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17MIAHarrellson Dunk (2 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)79
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)77
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49MIAMISS Lewis 20' Jump Shot77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:06MEMConley 30' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Ellington 3 AST)77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:30MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)77
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:30MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 1 of 276
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:35MEMMISS Gasol 16' Jump Shot76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:37MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:37MEMMISS Pondexter 2' Driving Layup76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00MEMPondexter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:02MIAMISS James 22' Pullup Jump Shot76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:22MEMPondexter 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Conley 9 AST)76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:41MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)76
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 5:42MIAMISS Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 5:57MEMEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Conley 8 AST)76
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 6:04MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)76
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 6:06MIAMISS Wade 3' Jump Shot76
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 6:14MEMGay 1' Slam Dunk (18 PTS)76
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q4 - 6:30MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)76
1.6%
90
98.4%
Q4 - 6:33MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 276
1.7%
90
98.3%
Q4 - 6:33MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 276
2.0%
90
98.0%
Q4 - 6:46MEMGay 21' Step Back Jump Shot (16 PTS)76
2.2%
90
97.8%
Q4 - 7:07MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)76
4.0%
88
96.0%
Q4 - 7:09MIAMISS Wade 9' Running Jump Shot76
4.4%
88
95.6%
Q4 - 7:21MEMEllington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Gay 5 AST)76
5.3%
88
94.7%
Q4 - 7:24MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
8.7%
85
91.3%
Q4 - 7:27MIABayless BLOCK (1 BLK)76
9.4%
85
90.6%
Q4 - 7:30MEMBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)76
11.4%
85
88.6%
Q4 - 7:52MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
8.6%
85
91.4%
Q4 - 7:53MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 276
8.9%
85
91.1%
Q4 - 7:53MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)76
10.6%
85
89.4%
Q4 - 7:53MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)75
8.8%
85
91.2%
Q4 - 7:55MIAMISS Wade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot75
7.3%
85
92.7%
Q4 - 8:07MEMRandolph Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)75
10.7%
85
89.3%
Q4 - 8:07MIAGay STEAL (4 STL)75
16.7%
82
83.3%
Q4 - 8:07MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)75
20.5%
82
79.5%
Q4 - 8:09MEMMISS Bayless 20' Jump Shot75
19.3%
82
80.7%
Q4 - 8:34MIABosh 2' Reverse Layup (21 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)75
16.5%
82
83.5%
Q4 - 8:41MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
13.3%
82
86.7%
Q4 - 8:43MEMMISS Gay 2' Running Layup73
12.4%
82
87.6%
Q4 - 8:59MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)73
10.5%
82
89.5%
Q4 - 8:59MIAJames Tip Shot (20 PTS)73
10.5%
82
89.5%
Q4 - 9:01MIAMISS James 5' Driving Jump Shot71
8.6%
82
91.4%
Q4 - 9:11MEMSpeights Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)71
9.9%
82
90.1%
Q4 - 9:11MEMSpeights Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)71
10.4%
81
89.6%
Q4 - 9:11MEMSpeights REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)71
12.3%
80
87.7%
Q4 - 9:11MEMMISS Ellington 20' Jump Shot71
14.2%
80
85.8%
Q4 - 9:39MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)71
12.2%
80
87.8%
Q4 - 10:03MEMBayless 20' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Randolph 1 AST)68
9.2%
80
90.8%
Q4 - 10:19MIAHeat Rebound68
11.2%
78
88.8%
Q4 - 10:19MIALewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)68
11.2%
78
88.8%
Q4 - 10:19MIAMISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 267
10.8%
78
89.2%
Q4 - 10:24MEMBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)67
11.2%
78
88.8%
Q4 - 10:35MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)67
9.1%
78
90.9%
Q4 - 10:36MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
9.7%
78
90.3%
Q4 - 10:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)67
11.1%
78
88.9%
Q4 - 10:48MEMMISS Pondexter Free Throw 2 of 267
10.8%
78
89.2%
Q4 - 10:48MEMMISS Pondexter Free Throw 1 of 267
9.6%
78
90.4%
Q4 - 10:52MIABayless STEAL (1 STL)67
9.1%
78
90.9%
Q4 - 11:02MEMJump Ball Pondexter vs. Allen: Tip to Allen67
12.4%
78
87.6%
Q4 - 11:02MEMMISS Pondexter 2' Layup67
11.7%
78
88.3%
Q4 - 11:16MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)67
10.2%
78
89.8%
Q4 - 11:16MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 266
9.8%
78
90.2%
Q4 - 11:37MEMSpeights 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)66
10.2%
78
89.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA66
12.3%
76
87.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0MEMBayless Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)66
16.1%
76
83.9%
Q3 - 0:10.0MEMEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
13.7%
76
86.3%
Q3 - 0:13.0MIAMISS James 5' Running Bank Shot66
14.3%
76
85.7%
Q3 - 0:33.0MEMSpeights Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)66
16.0%
76
84.0%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAGay STEAL (3 STL)66
13.6%
76
86.4%
Q3 - 0:49.0MEMGay 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)66
16.0%
76
84.0%
Q3 - 1:06MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)66
20.3%
74
79.7%
Q3 - 1:06MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)65
19.7%
74
80.3%
Q3 - 1:06MIAHeat Rebound64
17.3%
74
82.7%
Q3 - 1:06MEMMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
16.5%
74
83.5%
Q3 - 1:33MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)64
14.6%
74
85.4%
Q3 - 1:45MIAHeat Rebound62
12.3%
74
87.7%
Q3 - 1:45MEMMISS Conley 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
11.7%
74
88.3%
Q3 - 2:12MIAAllen 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)62
11.6%
74
88.4%
Q3 - 2:15MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)60
9.9%
74
90.1%
Q3 - 2:16MEMMISS Gay 21' Pullup Jump Shot60
9.3%
74
90.7%
Q3 - 2:41MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)60
8.2%
74
91.8%
Q3 - 2:41MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)59
8.0%
74
92.0%
Q3 - 2:41MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
7.0%
74
93.0%
Q3 - 2:42MIAMISS James 6' Running Jump Shot58
6.1%
74
93.9%
Q3 - 2:54MIAHeat Rebound58
6.9%
74
93.1%
Q3 - 2:54MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
6.1%
74
93.9%
Q3 - 3:10MEMRandolph 1' Dunk (15 PTS) (Gasol 6 AST)58
8.0%
74
92.0%
Q3 - 3:30MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
9.3%
72
90.7%
Q3 - 3:31MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
9.7%
72
90.3%
Q3 - 3:45MEMGay 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Conley 7 AST)58
10.9%
72
89.1%
Q3 - 4:01MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T9)58
15.5%
69
84.5%
Q3 - 4:04MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
18.4%
69
81.6%
Q3 - 4:06MEMMISS Gay 13' Pullup Bank Shot58
17.5%
69
82.5%
Q3 - 4:21MEMConley Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)58
15.5%
69
84.5%
Q3 - 4:27MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound58
17.9%
68
82.1%
Q3 - 4:28MEMMISS Ellington 3PT Jump Shot58
20.1%
68
79.9%
Q3 - 4:47MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound58
17.9%
68
82.1%
Q3 - 4:48MIAMISS Chalmers 7' Running Jump Shot58
18.8%
68
81.2%
Q3 - 5:13MEMEllington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Gasol 5 AST)58
21.9%
68
78.1%
Q3 - 5:31MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)58
27.6%
65
72.4%
Q3 - 5:31MIAHeat Rebound58
31.6%
65
68.4%
Q3 - 5:31MIAMISS Chalmers 20' Fadeaway Bank Shot58
28.8%
65
71.2%
Q3 - 6:02MEMConley 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS)58
32.7%
65
67.3%
Q3 - 6:16MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound58
35.8%
63
64.2%
Q3 - 6:17MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)58
35.8%
63
64.2%
Q3 - 6:17MEMMISS Randolph 1' Layup58
38.7%
63
61.3%
Q3 - 6:19MEMMISS Allen 2' Layup58
38.7%
63
61.3%
Q3 - 6:45MIABosh 7' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)58
35.7%
63
64.3%
Q3 - 6:57MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
32.6%
63
67.4%
Q3 - 6:59MEMMISS Gay 11' Pullup Jump Shot56
31.4%
63
68.6%
Q3 - 7:20MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)56
29.6%
63
70.4%
Q3 - 7:22MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
23.8%
63
76.2%
Q3 - 7:24MEMMISS Randolph 1' Running Layup53
22.9%
63
77.1%
Q3 - 7:34MIAJames 1' Reverse Layup (16 PTS)53
20.9%
63
79.1%
Q3 - 7:53MEMRandolph Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)51
18.7%
63
81.3%
Q3 - 8:09MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)51
16.9%
63
83.1%
Q3 - 8:09MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)50
16.6%
63
83.4%
Q3 - 8:12MEMGay Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)49
15.1%
63
84.9%
Q3 - 8:21MIAGay STEAL (2 STL)49
13.1%
63
86.9%
Q3 - 8:31MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)49
15.1%
63
84.9%
Q3 - 8:34MEMMISS Randolph 14' Step Back Jump Shot49
14.4%
63
85.6%
Q3 - 8:51MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)49
13.1%
63
86.9%
Q3 - 8:52MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot49
13.6%
63
86.4%
Q3 - 9:11MEMConley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)49
15.8%
63
84.2%
Q3 - 9:27MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
13.8%
63
86.2%
Q3 - 9:28MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot49
14.4%
63
85.6%
Q3 - 9:39MEMAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)49
15.7%
63
84.3%
Q3 - 9:39MEMAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)49
16.1%
62
83.9%
Q3 - 9:52MIAWade 2' Layup (8 PTS) (James 5 AST)49
17.6%
61
82.4%
Q3 - 10:03MEMConley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)47
16.8%
61
83.2%
Q3 - 10:18MIABattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)47
14.7%
61
85.3%
Q3 - 10:18MIAMISS Battier Free Throw 1 of 246
14.3%
61
85.7%
Q3 - 10:33MEMRandolph 5' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Conley 6 AST)46
14.8%
61
85.2%
Q3 - 10:53MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 4 AST)46
16.5%
59
83.5%
Q3 - 11:18MEMConley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Gay 4 AST)43
14.2%
59
85.8%
Q3 - 11:40MIABosh 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (13 PTS)43
17.8%
56
82.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEM41
15.9%
56
84.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)41
15.7%
56
84.3%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot41
16.0%
56
84.0%
Q2 - 0:28.0MEMEllington Layup (16 PTS) (Conley 5 AST)41
16.9%
56
83.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
19.3%
54
80.7%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot41
19.8%
54
80.2%
Q2 - 0:44.0MEMGay 1' Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Conley 4 AST)41
20.9%
54
79.1%
Q2 - 0:50.0MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound41
23.7%
52
76.3%
Q2 - 0:52.0MEMMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
25.0%
52
75.0%
Q2 - 1:07MIABattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)41
24.7%
52
75.3%
Q2 - 1:07MIAMISS Battier Free Throw 1 of 240
24.0%
52
76.0%
Q2 - 1:07MIABattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)40
23.8%
52
76.2%
Q2 - 1:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)40
23.8%
52
76.2%
Q2 - 1:07MIAMISS Wade 1' Tip Shot40
22.8%
52
77.2%
Q2 - 1:08MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup40
22.8%
52
77.2%
Q2 - 1:20MEMEllington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Conley 3 AST)40
23.8%
52
76.2%
Q2 - 1:30MIABattier Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)40
29.7%
49
70.3%
Q2 - 1:42MEMConley 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Gay 3 AST)40
31.4%
49
68.6%
Q2 - 1:47MIAGay STEAL (1 STL)40
35.3%
47
64.7%
Q2 - 2:01MEMConley 13' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gay 2 AST)40
38.5%
47
61.5%
Q2 - 2:05MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
41.4%
45
58.6%
Q2 - 2:07MIAGay BLOCK (2 BLK)40
42.3%
45
57.7%
Q2 - 2:23MEMConley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)40
44.4%
45
55.6%
Q2 - 2:38MIABosh 1' Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)40
50.6%
42
49.4%
Q2 - 2:58MEMRandolph 4' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)38
47.4%
42
52.6%
Q2 - 3:26MIAChalmers 9' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)38
50.8%
40
49.2%
Q2 - 3:34MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)36
48.3%
40
51.7%
Q2 - 3:36MEMMISS Gasol 5' Turnaround Jump Shot36
47.3%
40
52.7%
Q2 - 3:46MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)36
44.8%
40
55.2%
Q2 - 3:47MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
48.3%
40
51.7%
Q2 - 3:50MEMMISS Gay 7' Turnaround Bank Shot36
47.2%
40
52.8%
Q2 - 4:02MIAJames 1' Running Layup (14 PTS)36
45.4%
40
54.6%
Q2 - 4:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)34
42.8%
40
57.2%
Q2 - 4:08MEMMISS Randolph 4' Jump Bank Shot34
41.9%
40
58.1%
Q2 - 4:10MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)34
39.8%
40
60.2%
Q2 - 4:12MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
39.8%
40
60.2%
Q2 - 4:12MEMMISS Gasol 1' Tip Shot34
41.9%
40
58.1%
Q2 - 4:14MEMMISS Conley 1' Layup34
41.9%
40
58.1%
Q2 - 4:29MIABattier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)34
39.7%
40
60.3%
Q2 - 4:47MEMEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Conley 2 AST)34
42.8%
40
57.2%
Q2 - 4:53MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
48.3%
37
51.7%
Q2 - 4:55MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
49.3%
37
50.7%
Q2 - 5:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)34
51.7%
37
48.3%
Q2 - 5:04MEMMISS Gay 20' Jump Shot34
50.9%
37
49.1%
Q2 - 5:26MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)34
48.9%
37
51.1%
Q2 - 5:42MEMGay Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)32
46.0%
37
54.0%
Q2 - 5:50MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
43.2%
37
56.8%
Q2 - 5:52MIAMISS Wade 5' Floating Jump Shot32
44.1%
37
55.9%
Q2 - 5:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)32
46.0%
37
54.0%
Q2 - 5:58MIAMISS Lewis 2' Driving Layup32
44.1%
37
55.9%
Q2 - 6:21MEMEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)32
46.6%
37
53.4%
Q2 - 6:36MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound32
51.6%
34
48.4%
Q2 - 6:36MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot32
52.6%
34
47.4%
Q2 - 6:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
54.9%
34
45.1%
Q2 - 6:44MEMMISS Speights 2' Layup32
53.9%
34
46.1%
Q2 - 7:04MIAJames 19' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)32
52.1%
34
47.9%
Q2 - 7:10MIAHeat Rebound30
49.7%
34
50.3%
Q2 - 7:11MIAMISS Cole 12' Floating Jump Shot30
47.7%
34
52.3%
Q2 - 7:27MEMEllington Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)30
49.7%
34
50.3%
Q2 - 7:27MEMEllington Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)30
50.1%
33
49.9%
Q2 - 7:28MEMSpeights REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
52.0%
32
48.0%
Q2 - 7:30MEMMISS Randolph 6' Turnaround Jump Shot30
54.1%
32
45.9%
Q2 - 7:52MIALewis 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)30
52.0%
32
48.0%
Q2 - 7:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
47.0%
32
53.0%
Q2 - 8:00MEMMISS Speights 18' Jump Shot27
46.1%
32
53.9%
Q2 - 8:16MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
44.6%
32
55.4%
Q2 - 8:16MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
44.1%
32
55.9%
Q2 - 8:32MEMBayless 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ellington 2 AST)25
42.1%
32
57.9%
Q2 - 8:53MIAHaslem 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)25
47.1%
29
52.9%
Q2 - 9:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
45.2%
29
54.8%
Q2 - 9:06MIAMISS Haslem 1' Reverse Layup23
43.3%
29
56.7%
Q2 - 9:19MEMPondexter 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Speights 1 AST)23
45.2%
29
54.8%
Q2 - 9:25MEMSpeights REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
47.5%
27
52.5%
Q2 - 9:26MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot23
48.3%
27
51.7%
Q2 - 9:42MEMRandolph Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)23
50.1%
27
49.9%
Q2 - 9:48MEMBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
47.5%
27
52.5%
Q2 - 9:50MIAMISS Allen 4' Running Jump Shot23
48.3%
27
51.7%
Q2 - 10:01MEMRandolph 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Pondexter 1 AST)23
50.3%
27
49.7%
Q2 - 10:15MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)23
52.4%
25
47.6%
Q2 - 10:16MEMMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
54.4%
25
45.6%
Q2 - 10:26MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)23
52.4%
25
47.6%
Q2 - 10:28MIAMISS Wade 5' Turnaround Jump Shot23
53.2%
25
46.8%
Q2 - 10:44MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
55.2%
25
44.8%
Q2 - 10:45MEMMISS Pondexter 3PT Jump Shot23
54.4%
25
45.6%
Q2 - 11:05MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)23
52.4%
25
47.6%
Q2 - 11:05MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
51.9%
25
48.1%
Q2 - 11:19MEMEllington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)21
50.1%
25
49.9%
Q2 - 11:40MIAPondexter STEAL (1 STL)21
54.8%
22
45.2%
Q2 - 11:43MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
57.4%
22
42.6%
Q2 - 11:45MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot21
55.6%
22
44.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEM21
57.4%
22
42.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJames 20' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)21
54.8%
22
45.2%
Q1 - 0:22.0MEMPondexter 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ellington 1 AST)19
52.2%
22
47.8%
Q1 - 0:32.0MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)19
55.1%
20
44.9%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 219
55.4%
20
44.6%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 219
56.9%
20
43.1%
Q1 - 0:39.0MEMSpeights Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)19
56.9%
20
43.1%
Q1 - 0:54.0MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)19
55.1%
20
44.9%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
55.7%
20
44.3%
Q1 - 1:17MEMGay Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)19
57.0%
20
43.0%
Q1 - 1:39MIAJames 5' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)19
55.4%
20
44.6%
Q1 - 1:46MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)17
52.4%
20
47.6%
Q1 - 1:47MEMMISS Speights 20' Jump Shot17
51.9%
20
48.1%
Q1 - 2:01MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)17
50.8%
20
49.2%
Q1 - 2:01MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 216
50.4%
20
49.6%
Q1 - 2:01MIAMISS Allen Free Throw Technical16
50.7%
20
49.3%
Q1 - 2:06MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
50.7%
20
49.3%
Q1 - 2:09MEMSpeights REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
48.5%
20
51.5%
Q1 - 2:09MEMMISS Speights 2' Layup16
50.0%
20
50.0%
Q1 - 2:11MEMMISS Gay 12' Pullup Jump Shot16
50.0%
20
50.0%
Q1 - 2:26MIAJames Putback Layup (6 PTS)16
48.5%
20
51.5%
Q1 - 2:27MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
46.1%
20
53.9%
Q1 - 2:30MIAMISS Chalmers 6' Running Jump Shot14
44.6%
20
55.4%
Q1 - 2:52MEMGasol 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Conley 1 AST)14
46.0%
20
54.0%
Q1 - 3:00MEMSpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
48.5%
18
51.5%
Q1 - 3:01MIAMISS Bosh 8' Jump Shot14
49.4%
18
50.6%
Q1 - 3:17MIAHeat Rebound14
51.0%
18
49.0%
Q1 - 3:19MEMMISS Gasol 6' Fadeaway Jumper14
50.3%
18
49.7%
Q1 - 3:32MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
48.6%
18
51.4%
Q1 - 3:34MIAMISS James 5' Turnaround Jump Shot14
49.3%
18
50.7%
Q1 - 3:50MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)14
51.0%
18
49.0%
Q1 - 3:50MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)14
51.4%
17
48.6%
Q1 - 3:50MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
53.1%
16
46.9%
Q1 - 3:51MEMMISS Gay 1' Finger Roll Layup14
54.8%
16
45.2%
Q1 - 3:57MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
53.1%
16
46.9%
Q1 - 4:00MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot14
53.9%
16
46.1%
Q1 - 4:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
55.6%
16
44.4%
Q1 - 4:04MIAGay BLOCK (1 BLK)14
54.0%
16
46.0%
Q1 - 4:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
55.6%
16
44.4%
Q1 - 4:12MEMMISS Conley 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
54.9%
16
45.1%
Q1 - 4:20MIABosh Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)14
53.3%
16
46.7%
Q1 - 4:56MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)14
55.6%
16
44.4%
Q1 - 4:56MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)14
56.0%
15
44.0%
Q1 - 5:19MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)14
57.4%
14
42.6%
Q1 - 5:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
55.5%
14
44.5%
Q1 - 5:24MIAAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)12
54.0%
14
46.0%
Q1 - 5:29MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
55.5%
14
44.5%
Q1 - 5:31MIAMISS Wade 9' Running Jump Shot12
54.0%
14
46.0%
Q1 - 5:37MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
55.5%
14
44.5%
Q1 - 5:39MIAMISS Chalmers 19' Jump Shot12
54.0%
14
46.0%
Q1 - 5:56MEMRandolph Layup (7 PTS)12
55.5%
14
44.5%
Q1 - 5:57MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
57.4%
12
42.6%
Q1 - 5:58MEMMISS Gasol 7' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot12
59.0%
12
41.0%
Q1 - 6:20MIAJames Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)12
57.3%
12
42.7%
Q1 - 6:23MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
55.5%
12
44.5%
Q1 - 6:26MEMMISS Gay 8' Pullup Bank Shot10
54.9%
12
45.1%
Q1 - 6:39MIAWade 19' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)10
53.3%
12
46.7%
Q1 - 6:55MEMJump Ball Randolph vs. Battier: Tip to Chalmers8
51.5%
12
48.5%
Q1 - 6:55MEMMISS Randolph 5' Turnaround Jump Shot8
50.8%
12
49.2%
Q1 - 7:15MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)8
49.7%
12
50.3%
Q1 - 7:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
48.1%
12
51.9%
Q1 - 7:22MEMMISS Gay 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
47.4%
12
52.6%
Q1 - 7:36MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
45.8%
12
54.2%
Q1 - 7:37MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
46.5%
12
53.5%
Q1 - 7:45MEMConley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
48.0%
12
52.0%
Q1 - 8:00MIABosh Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
45.7%
12
54.3%
Q1 - 8:13MIAHeat Rebound4
44.7%
12
55.3%
Q1 - 8:14MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot4
43.4%
12
56.6%
Q1 - 8:24MEMAllen 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)4
44.7%
12
55.3%
Q1 - 8:35MIAWade 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)4
46.5%
10
53.5%
Q1 - 8:55MEMRandolph Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)2
44.7%
10
55.3%
Q1 - 9:16MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
49.0%
7
51.0%
Q1 - 9:17MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 22
49.3%
7
50.7%
Q1 - 9:17MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 22
50.5%
7
49.5%
Q1 - 9:44MEMConley 6' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)2
51.0%
7
49.0%
Q1 - 9:48MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
52.7%
5
47.3%
Q1 - 9:51MIAMISS Bosh 1' Driving Layup2
53.3%
5
46.7%
Q1 - 10:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
54.7%
5
45.3%
Q1 - 10:02MEMMISS Conley 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
54.4%
5
45.6%
Q1 - 10:08MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
53.0%
5
47.0%
Q1 - 10:09MIAMISS James 15' Jump Shot2
53.6%
5
46.4%
Q1 - 10:27MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
55.0%
5
45.0%
Q1 - 10:27MEMRandolph 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
55.0%
5
45.0%
Q1 - 10:28MEMMISS Randolph Layup2
57.8%
3
42.2%
Q1 - 10:43MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
56.5%
3
43.5%
Q1 - 10:44MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot2
57.1%
3
42.9%
Q1 - 10:56MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
58.4%
3
41.6%
Q1 - 10:58MEMMISS Randolph 3' Driving Layup2
57.8%
3
42.2%
Q1 - 11:16MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
56.8%
3
43.2%
Q1 - 11:35MEMGay 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)0
55.0%
3
45.0%
Q1 - 12:00MEMJump Ball Gasol vs. Bosh: Tip to Randolph0
58.3%
0
41.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.88 43.9%
MEM
1.08 54.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
35
51%
MEM
17
37
46%
Midrange
MIA
8
29
28%
MEM
7
25
28%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
MEM
14
21.0
24
58%
88%
Free Throws
MIA
22
36
61%
MEM
14
16
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2269%11.0 / 16
L. James2048%10.0 / 21
D. Wade825%4.0 / 16
N. Cole750%3.5 / 7
M. Chalmers525%2.5 / 10
S. Battier550%2.5 / 5
R. Allen536%2.5 / 7
U. Haslem550%2.5 / 5
J. Harrellson5125%2.5 / 2
R. Lewis440%2.0 / 5
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
J. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
W. Ellington2589%12.5 / 14
R. Gay2155%10.5 / 19
Z. Randolph1856%9.0 / 16
M. Conley1882%9.0 / 11
Q. Pondexter750%3.5 / 7
J. Bayless583%2.5 / 3
T. Allen467%2.0 / 3
M. Speights429%2.0 / 7
M. Gasol217%1.0 / 6
J. Selby0-0.0 / 2
T. Wroten0-0.0 / 3
H. Haddadi0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+20
-13
99
MEM
75
+16
-14
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.88 43.9%
MEM
1.08 54.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.1
105.0
MIA 93.5 +23.4
MEM 116.9
Pace
90.9
88.5
MIA 94.1 +7.0
MEM 87.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.7
MIA 15.3 +1.2
MEM 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.2%
47.2%
MIA 40.5%
MEM 52.3% +11.8%
TO %
14.5%
14.8%
MIA 12.9% +1.0%
MEM 13.9%
ORB %
22.2%
31.0%
MIA 31.9% +3.7%
MEM 28.2%
FTrt
29.7
26.1
MIA 45.6 +27.0
MEM 18.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
57.9%
MIA 60.0%
MEM 68.4% +8.4%
STL %
9.5%
9.6%
MIA 8.7%
MEM 9.0% +0.3%
BLK %
9.1%
9.0%
MIA 9.7% +3.4%
MEM 6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.0%
49.8%
MIA 43.9%
MEM 54.2% +10.3%
Rim FG%
65.9%
53.9%
MIA 51.4% +5.5%
MEM 45.9%
Mid FG%
41.9%
40.0%
MIA 27.6%
MEM 28.0% +0.4%
3P %
39.6%
34.5%
MIA 26.7%
MEM 58.3% +31.6%
FT %
75.4%
77.3%
MIA 61.1%
MEM 87.5% +26.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
38.0%
MIA 44.3% +1.3%
MEM 43.0%
Mid Att. %
36.7%
45.4%
MIA 36.7%
MEM 29.1% +7.6%
3P Att. %
28.5%
16.6%
MIA 19.0%
MEM 27.9% +8.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsMIAMEM
Possessions9289
Possession Minutes23.524.5
Points86104
Rebounds4343
Assists1826
Steals88
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (5)11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (5)32 (2)
Field Goals30-7938-86
At-the-Rim FG18-3517-37
Midrange FG8-297-25
2-Point FG26-6424-62
3-Point FG4-1514-24
Free Throws22-3614-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
35.7
20
48%
10
6
2
1
2
2
3
7
0-4
0%
10-18
56%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 31
33.4
8
25%
8
3
1
0
1
0
4
4
2-2
100%
3-14
21%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 235 · 29
33.0
22
69%
8
0
0
0
2
0
3
5
6-8
75%
8-12
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 26
23.2
5
25%
2
3
1
0
0
2
0
2
1-3
33%
2-7
29%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 220 · 34
16.0
5
50%
2
0
0
1
2
4
2
0
2-4
50%
0-0
-
1-3
33%
G · 6'5" 205 · 37
25.3
5
36%
1
2
3
1
2
0
0
1
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
21.8
7
50%
4
2
0
0
1
2
0
4
7-8
88%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 32
21.1
5
50%
1
1
0
2
1
3
0
1
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 33
13.3
4
40%
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
0
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
4.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 30
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 24
3.5
5
125%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
#14 · G · 6'4" 190 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
44%
43
18
8
6
13
0
15
28
22-36
61%
26-64
41%
4-15
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.