| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 DET | 101.1 | 93 | 83.5 |
 OKC | 115.4 | 91 | 102.7 |
Scoring Opportunities
DET
78
+21
-15
99
OKC
75
+8
-16
83
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
DET
0.95 47.5%
OKC
1.22 61.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | DET | OKC |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | DET | 94 0% | 105 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:04.0 | DET | Prince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 94 0% | 105 100% |
| Q4 - 0:05.0 | DET | MISS Knight 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 94 0% | 105 100% |
| Q4 - 0:20.0 | OKC | Durant Driving Dunk (25 PTS) | 94 0.1% | 105 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:43.0 | DET | Jerebko Dunk (2 PTS) (Stuckey 6 AST) | 94 0.1% | 103 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:46.0 | OKC | Durant Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T17) | 92 0.1% | 103 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:09 | OKC | Ibaka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 92 0.1% | 103 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:10 | DET | MISS Prince 3' Jump Shot | 92 0.1% | 103 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:18 | DET | Drummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3) | 92 0.1% | 103 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:18 | OKC | MISS Perkins Free Throw 2 of 2 | 92 0.1% | 103 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:18 | OKC | Perkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 92 0.1% | 103 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:23 | DET | Drummond Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15) | 92 0.1% | 102 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:26 | DET | Drummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2) | 92 0.3% | 102 99.7% |
| Q4 - 1:27 | OKC | MISS Westbrook 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 92 0.2% | 102 99.8% |
| Q4 - 1:47 | DET | Drummond 2' Layup (22 PTS) | 92 0.3% | 102 99.7% |
| Q4 - 1:48 | DET | Drummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1) | 90 0.2% | 102 99.8% |
| Q4 - 1:49 | DET | MISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 90 0.1% | 102 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:53 | DET | Knight REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 90 0.2% | 102 99.8% |
| Q4 - 1:54 | DET | MISS Stuckey 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 90 0.1% | 102 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:16 | OKC | Westbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 90 0.2% | 102 99.8% |
| Q4 - 2:16 | OKC | Westbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 90 0.2% | 101 99.8% |
| Q4 - 2:25 | OKC | Durant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12) | 90 0.3% | 100 99.7% |
| Q4 - 2:26 | DET | MISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 2 | 90 0.3% | 100 99.7% |
| Q4 - 2:26 | DET | Drummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS) | 90 0.4% | 100 99.6% |
| Q4 - 2:47 | OKC | Perkins 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Westbrook 6 AST) | 89 0.3% | 100 99.7% |
| Q4 - 3:05 | DET | Drummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS) | 89 0.7% | 98 99.3% |
| Q4 - 3:05 | DET | Drummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS) | 88 0.6% | 98 99.4% |
| Q4 - 3:12 | DET | Knight REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 87 0.5% | 98 99.5% |
| Q4 - 3:13 | OKC | MISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 87 0.4% | 98 99.6% |
| Q4 - 3:24 | DET | Drummond Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS) | 87 0.3% | 98 99.7% |
| Q4 - 3:37 | OKC | Ibaka 3' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Perkins 6 AST) | 84 0.3% | 98 99.7% |
| Q4 - 3:58 | DET | Prince 23' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Stuckey 4 AST) | 84 0.4% | 96 99.6% |
| Q4 - 4:16 | OKC | Martin Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 82 0.3% | 96 99.7% |
| Q4 - 4:16 | OKC | MISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 2 | 82 0.3% | 95 99.7% |
| Q4 - 4:36 | DET | Monroe 1' Dunk (14 PTS) | 82 0.3% | 95 99.7% |
| Q4 - 4:40 | OKC | Durant Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16) | 80 0.2% | 95 99.8% |
| Q4 - 4:56 | DET | Monroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 80 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:56 | DET | MISS Monroe Free Throw 1 of 2 | 79 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:56 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 79 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:57 | DET | MISS Prince 10' Jump Shot | 79 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:16 | OKC | Ibaka 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Perkins 5 AST) | 79 0.2% | 95 99.8% |
| Q4 - 5:34 | DET | Bynum 3' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 79 0.3% | 93 99.7% |
| Q4 - 5:47 | OKC | Durant Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS) | 77 0.2% | 93 99.8% |
| Q4 - 5:47 | OKC | Durant Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS) | 77 0.2% | 92 99.8% |
| Q4 - 5:52 | OKC | Ibaka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 77 0.3% | 91 99.7% |
| Q4 - 5:54 | DET | MISS Monroe 2' Layup | 77 0.4% | 91 99.6% |
| Q4 - 6:15 | OKC | Durant 15' Step Back Jump Shot (21 PTS) | 77 0.7% | 91 99.3% |
| Q4 - 6:29 | DET | Bynum Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14) | 77 0.9% | 89 99.1% |
| Q4 - 6:54 | OKC | Martin 6' Driving Bank Shot (15 PTS) | 77 1.3% | 89 98.7% |
| Q4 - 7:02 | DET | Martin STEAL (3 STL) | 77 2.1% | 87 97.9% |
| Q4 - 7:22 | OKC | Maynor 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Martin 2 AST) | 77 2.8% | 87 97.2% |
| Q4 - 7:42 | DET | Drummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 77 4.6% | 84 95.4% |
| Q4 - 7:42 | DET | MISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 2 | 76 4.2% | 84 95.8% |
| Q4 - 7:42 | DET | Drummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1) | 76 4.7% | 84 95.3% |
| Q4 - 7:43 | DET | MISS English 3PT Jump Shot | 76 3.8% | 84 96.2% |
| Q4 - 7:55 | DET | Monroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8) | 76 4.7% | 84 95.3% |
| Q4 - 7:56 | OKC | MISS Martin 18' Jump Shot | 76 4.3% | 84 95.7% |
| Q4 - 8:10 | OKC | Sefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 76 4.2% | 84 95.8% |
| Q4 - 8:11 | DET | MISS Singler 19' Step Back Jump Shot | 76 4.5% | 84 95.5% |
| Q4 - 8:40 | OKC | Martin Layup (13 PTS) | 76 5.3% | 84 94.7% |
| Q4 - 8:43 | DET | Martin STEAL (2 STL) | 76 6.8% | 82 93.2% |
| Q4 - 9:04 | OKC | Martin Traveling Turnover (P3.T15) | 76 9.2% | 82 90.8% |
| Q4 - 9:25 | DET | Singler 2' Layup (7 PTS) | 76 7.4% | 82 92.6% |
| Q4 - 9:26 | DET | Singler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 74 5.9% | 82 94.1% |
| Q4 - 9:28 | DET | MISS Monroe 1' Layup | 74 5.0% | 82 95.0% |
| Q4 - 9:29 | DET | Monroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 74 5.9% | 82 94.1% |
| Q4 - 9:30 | DET | MISS Knight 17' Jump Shot | 74 5.0% | 82 95.0% |
| Q4 - 9:59 | OKC | Ibaka 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Maynor 3 AST) | 74 5.8% | 82 94.2% |
| Q4 - 10:09 | DET | Singler Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T11) | 74 7.7% | 80 92.3% |
| Q4 - 10:22 | OKC | Ibaka Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS) | 74 9.5% | 80 90.5% |
| Q4 - 10:22 | OKC | MISS Ibaka Free Throw 1 of 2 | 74 10.0% | 79 90.0% |
| Q4 - 10:22 | OKC | Ibaka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 74 9.5% | 79 90.5% |
| Q4 - 10:23 | OKC | MISS Martin 4' Jump Shot | 74 10.9% | 79 89.1% |
| Q4 - 10:38 | DET | Singler 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Knight 6 AST) | 74 9.5% | 79 90.5% |
| Q4 - 10:44 | DET | Knight REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 71 6.2% | 79 93.8% |
| Q4 - 10:45 | OKC | MISS Maynor 2' Driving Layup | 71 5.8% | 79 94.2% |
| Q4 - 10:53 | DET | Knight Traveling Turnover (P3.T10) | 71 5.0% | 79 95.0% |
| Q4 - 10:54 | DET | Knight REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 71 6.2% | 79 93.8% |
| Q4 - 10:55 | DET | MISS Knight 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 71 5.4% | 79 94.6% |
| Q4 - 11:07 | OKC | Ibaka Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 71 6.7% | 79 93.3% |
| Q4 - 11:07 | OKC | Ibaka Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 71 7.1% | 78 92.9% |
| Q4 - 11:22 | DET | Monroe Dunk (11 PTS) (Knight 5 AST) | 71 8.2% | 77 91.8% |
| Q4 - 11:38 | OKC | Martin 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST) | 69 6.7% | 77 93.3% |
| Q4 - 11:43 | DET | Collison STEAL (1 STL) | 69 10.0% | 74 90.0% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | OKC | 69 12.0% | 74 88.0% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | OKC | THUNDER Rebound | 69 9.9% | 74 90.1% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | DET | MISS Prince 18' Step Back Jump Shot | 69 10.5% | 74 89.5% |
| Q3 - 0:12.0 | OKC | Ibaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 69 12.2% | 74 87.8% |
| Q3 - 0:12.0 | OKC | Ibaka 1' Layup (16 PTS) | 69 12.2% | 74 87.8% |
| Q3 - 0:12.0 | OKC | MISS Durant 2' Layup | 69 16.5% | 72 83.5% |
| Q3 - 0:30.0 | DET | Monroe 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Knight 4 AST) | 69 14.8% | 72 85.2% |
| Q3 - 0:32.0 | OKC | Ibaka Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14) | 67 12.2% | 72 87.8% |
| Q3 - 0:56.0 | DET | Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Knight 3 AST) | 67 10.3% | 72 89.7% |
| Q3 - 1:11 | DET | Monroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 64 7.3% | 72 92.7% |
| Q3 - 1:13 | OKC | MISS Ibaka 10' Jump Shot | 64 6.9% | 72 93.1% |
| Q3 - 1:29 | DET | Drummond 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Monroe 6 AST) | 64 6.1% | 72 93.9% |
| Q3 - 1:46 | OKC | Ibaka Foul Turnover (P1.T13) | 62 5.0% | 72 95.0% |
| Q3 - 2:02 | DET | Drummond 2' Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Monroe 5 AST) | 62 4.4% | 72 95.6% |
| Q3 - 2:19 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 60 3.7% | 72 96.3% |
| Q3 - 2:20 | OKC | MISS Martin 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 60 3.5% | 72 96.5% |
| Q3 - 2:27 | DET | Martin STEAL (1 STL) | 60 3.1% | 72 96.9% |
| Q3 - 2:51 | OKC | Ibaka Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 60 3.7% | 72 96.3% |
| Q3 - 2:51 | OKC | Ibaka Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 60 3.9% | 71 96.1% |
| Q3 - 2:59 | OKC | Durant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11) | 60 4.4% | 70 95.6% |
| Q3 - 3:01 | DET | MISS Stuckey 7' Jump Shot | 60 4.9% | 70 95.1% |
| Q3 - 3:20 | OKC | Westbrook Foul Turnover (P3.T12) | 60 5.5% | 70 94.5% |
| Q3 - 3:30 | DET | Prince 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST) | 60 4.6% | 70 95.4% |
| Q3 - 3:32 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 58 3.9% | 70 96.1% |
| Q3 - 3:32 | DET | MISS Drummond 3' Layup | 58 3.5% | 70 96.5% |
| Q3 - 3:33 | DET | Drummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 58 3.9% | 70 96.1% |
| Q3 - 3:35 | DET | Ibaka BLOCK (3 BLK) | 58 3.5% | 70 96.5% |
| Q3 - 3:54 | OKC | Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Westbrook 5 AST) | 58 3.9% | 70 96.1% |
| Q3 - 4:06 | DET | Stuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 58 5.6% | 67 94.4% |
| Q3 - 4:06 | DET | Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 57 5.5% | 67 94.5% |
| Q3 - 4:19 | OKC | THUNDER Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11) | 56 4.9% | 67 95.1% |
| Q3 - 4:48 | DET | Knight 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST) | 56 4.0% | 67 96.0% |
| Q3 - 4:51 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 54 3.5% | 67 96.5% |
| Q3 - 4:52 | DET | Ibaka BLOCK (2 BLK) | 54 3.0% | 67 97.0% |
| Q3 - 5:17 | OKC | Ibaka 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Perkins 4 AST) | 54 3.7% | 67 96.3% |
| Q3 - 5:31 | OKC | Perkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 54 4.2% | 65 95.8% |
| Q3 - 5:32 | DET | MISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 | 54 4.3% | 65 95.7% |
| Q3 - 5:32 | DET | Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 54 4.6% | 65 95.4% |
| Q3 - 5:33 | DET | Maxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 53 4.3% | 65 95.7% |
| Q3 - 5:34 | DET | MISS Stuckey 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 53 3.8% | 65 96.2% |
| Q3 - 5:57 | OKC | Durant 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Perkins 3 AST) | 53 4.3% | 65 95.7% |
| Q3 - 6:19 | DET | Stuckey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Knight 2 AST) | 53 5.1% | 63 94.9% |
| Q3 - 6:34 | OKC | Sefolosha Foul Turnover (P2.T10) | 50 3.8% | 63 96.2% |
| Q3 - 6:42 | DET | Westbrook STEAL (1 STL) | 50 3.2% | 63 96.8% |
| Q3 - 6:49 | DET | Stuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 50 3.8% | 63 96.2% |
| Q3 - 6:50 | DET | MISS Monroe 3' Turnaround Jump Shot | 50 3.4% | 63 96.6% |
| Q3 - 7:09 | OKC | Westbrook Dunk (8 PTS) (Perkins 2 AST) | 50 4.0% | 63 96.0% |
| Q3 - 7:23 | DET | Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Monroe 4 AST) | 50 4.6% | 61 95.4% |
| Q3 - 7:41 | OKC | Perkins 3' Layup (6 PTS) | 47 3.4% | 61 96.6% |
| Q3 - 7:42 | OKC | Perkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 47 4.0% | 59 96.0% |
| Q3 - 7:44 | OKC | MISS Durant 7' Jump Shot | 47 4.4% | 59 95.6% |
| Q3 - 7:47 | OKC | Durant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10) | 47 4.0% | 59 96.0% |
| Q3 - 7:49 | DET | Ibaka BLOCK (1 BLK) | 47 4.2% | 59 95.8% |
| Q3 - 7:56 | DET | Maxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 47 4.6% | 59 95.4% |
| Q3 - 7:57 | DET | MISS Monroe 6' Jump Shot | 47 4.1% | 59 95.9% |
| Q3 - 8:20 | OKC | Durant Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 47 4.8% | 59 95.2% |
| Q3 - 8:20 | OKC | Durant Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 47 4.8% | 58 95.2% |
| Q3 - 8:41 | DET | Knight 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST) | 47 5.4% | 57 94.6% |
| Q3 - 9:04 | DET | Maxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 44 4.2% | 57 95.8% |
| Q3 - 9:04 | OKC | MISS Westbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 | 44 4.1% | 57 95.9% |
| Q3 - 9:04 | OKC | Westbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 44 3.7% | 57 96.3% |
| Q3 - 9:15 | DET | Knight Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6) | 44 4.2% | 56 95.8% |
| Q3 - 9:30 | OKC | Westbrook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Durant 2 AST) | 44 4.8% | 56 95.2% |
| Q3 - 9:45 | DET | Monroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 44 6.3% | 53 93.7% |
| Q3 - 9:45 | DET | Monroe 1' Tip Shot (7 PTS) | 44 6.3% | 53 93.7% |
| Q3 - 9:47 | DET | MISS Stuckey 4' Jump Shot | 42 5.0% | 53 95.0% |
| Q3 - 10:13 | OKC | Ibaka 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 42 5.6% | 53 94.4% |
| Q3 - 10:22 | OKC | Durant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9) | 42 6.3% | 51 93.7% |
| Q3 - 10:23 | DET | MISS Prince 20' Jump Shot | 42 6.6% | 51 93.4% |
| Q3 - 10:45 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 42 7.3% | 51 92.7% |
| Q3 - 10:46 | OKC | MISS Durant 19' Jump Shot | 42 7.0% | 51 93.0% |
| Q3 - 10:57 | OKC | Durant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8) | 42 6.3% | 51 93.7% |
| Q3 - 10:58 | DET | MISS Maxiell 14' Jump Shot | 42 6.6% | 51 93.4% |
| Q3 - 11:20 | OKC | Ibaka 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Perkins 1 AST) | 42 7.4% | 51 92.6% |
| Q3 - 11:31 | OKC | Durant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 42 8.3% | 49 91.7% |
| Q3 - 11:31 | DET | MISS Monroe 13' Jump Shot | 42 8.6% | 49 91.4% |
| Q3 - 11:44 | DET | Monroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 42 9.4% | 49 90.6% |
| Q3 - 11:45 | OKC | MISS Perkins 4' Jump Shot | 42 9.1% | 49 90.9% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | OKC | 42 8.3% | 49 91.7% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | OKC | THUNDER Rebound | 42 8.3% | 49 91.7% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | DET | MISS Prince 13' Jump Shot | 42 8.6% | 49 91.4% |
| Q2 - 0:16.0 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 42 9.5% | 49 90.5% |
| Q2 - 0:16.0 | OKC | MISS Ibaka 3PT Jump Shot | 42 9.3% | 49 90.7% |
| Q2 - 0:33.0 | OKC | Durant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 42 8.7% | 49 91.3% |
| Q2 - 0:33.0 | DET | MISS Monroe 16' Jump Shot | 42 9.0% | 49 91.0% |
| Q2 - 0:45.0 | DET | Stuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 42 9.5% | 49 90.5% |
| Q2 - 0:46.0 | OKC | MISS Perkins 3' Hook Shot | 42 9.3% | 49 90.7% |
| Q2 - 0:57.0 | OKC | Durant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 42 8.7% | 49 91.3% |
| Q2 - 0:58.0 | DET | MISS Monroe 1' Layup | 42 9.0% | 49 91.0% |
| Q2 - 1:08 | OKC | Durant 4' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Westbrook 4 AST) | 42 9.7% | 49 90.3% |
| Q2 - 1:25 | DET | Knight Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 42 11.3% | 47 88.7% |
| Q2 - 1:25 | DET | Knight Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 41 11.0% | 47 89.0% |
| Q2 - 1:46 | OKC | Durant Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS) | 40 9.7% | 47 90.3% |
| Q2 - 1:55 | OKC | Durant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 40 12.6% | 44 87.4% |
| Q2 - 1:56 | DET | MISS Knight 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 40 12.9% | 44 87.1% |
| Q2 - 2:03 | OKC | Perkins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9) | 40 13.8% | 44 86.2% |
| Q2 - 2:29 | DET | Stuckey 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Knight 1 AST) | 40 12.4% | 44 87.6% |
| Q2 - 2:33 | DET | Monroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 38 11.1% | 44 88.9% |
| Q2 - 2:34 | OKC | MISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 38 10.7% | 44 89.3% |
| Q2 - 2:55 | DET | Stuckey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Monroe 3 AST) | 38 9.9% | 44 90.1% |
| Q2 - 3:14 | OKC | Perkins 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 35 8.0% | 44 92.0% |
| Q2 - 3:36 | OKC | Durant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 35 8.8% | 42 91.2% |
| Q2 - 3:38 | DET | MISS Prince 1' Layup | 35 9.2% | 42 90.8% |
| Q2 - 3:44 | OKC | Westbrook Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8) | 35 10.0% | 42 90.0% |
| Q2 - 3:50 | DET | Perkins STEAL (1 STL) | 35 8.8% | 42 91.2% |
| Q2 - 4:08 | OKC | Sefolosha Layup (4 PTS) (Durant 1 AST) | 35 10.0% | 42 90.0% |
| Q2 - 4:13 | DET | Durant STEAL (1 STL) | 35 11.0% | 40 89.0% |
| Q2 - 4:38 | OKC | Westbrook 2' Layup (2 PTS) | 35 12.3% | 40 87.7% |
| Q2 - 4:43 | OKC | Westbrook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 35 13.4% | 38 86.6% |
| Q2 - 4:44 | OKC | MISS Martin 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 35 14.5% | 38 85.5% |
| Q2 - 4:58 | OKC | Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 35 13.4% | 38 86.6% |
| Q2 - 4:59 | DET | MISS Bynum 18' Step Back Jump Shot | 35 13.9% | 38 86.1% |
| Q2 - 5:13 | DET | Drummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 35 14.9% | 38 85.1% |
| Q2 - 5:14 | OKC | MISS Westbrook 17' Pullup Jump Shot | 35 14.4% | 38 85.6% |
| Q2 - 5:20 | OKC | Perkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 35 13.5% | 38 86.5% |
| Q2 - 5:21 | DET | MISS Jerebko 3PT Jump Shot | 35 13.9% | 38 86.1% |
| Q2 - 5:33 | DET | Singler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 35 14.9% | 38 85.1% |
| Q2 - 5:35 | DET | MISS English 16' Jump Shot | 35 13.9% | 38 86.1% |
| Q2 - 6:03 | OKC | Durant 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Westbrook 3 AST) | 35 14.9% | 38 85.1% |
| Q2 - 6:20 | DET | Bynum Layup (4 PTS) (Jerebko 2 AST) | 35 16.1% | 36 83.9% |
| Q2 - 6:23 | OKC | Sefolosha Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7) | 33 14.9% | 36 85.1% |
| Q2 - 6:32 | DET | Drummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 33 13.3% | 36 86.7% |
| Q2 - 6:32 | DET | Drummond 1' Layup (9 PTS) | 33 13.3% | 36 86.7% |
| Q2 - 6:33 | DET | MISS Bynum 2' Layup | 31 11.4% | 36 88.6% |
| Q2 - 6:39 | OKC | Collison Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6) | 31 12.3% | 36 87.7% |
| Q2 - 6:52 | OKC | Sefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 31 11.0% | 36 89.0% |
| Q2 - 6:53 | DET | MISS Bynum 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 31 11.4% | 36 88.6% |
| Q2 - 7:10 | OKC | Martin Foul Turnover (P2.T5) | 31 12.3% | 36 87.7% |
| Q2 - 7:30 | DET | Singler 1' Layup (2 PTS) (English 1 AST) | 31 11.1% | 36 88.9% |
| Q2 - 7:32 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 29 10.2% | 36 89.8% |
| Q2 - 7:33 | DET | MISS Bynum 19' Jump Shot | 29 9.4% | 36 90.6% |
| Q2 - 7:47 | OKC | Maynor 9' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 29 10.2% | 36 89.8% |
| Q2 - 7:56 | OKC | Collison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 29 11.0% | 34 89.0% |
| Q2 - 7:57 | DET | MISS Singler 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 29 11.4% | 34 88.6% |
| Q2 - 8:09 | OKC | Collison 21' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Maynor 2 AST) | 29 12.3% | 34 87.7% |
| Q2 - 8:27 | DET | Drummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 29 13.4% | 32 86.6% |
| Q2 - 8:27 | DET | Drummond 2' Tip Shot (7 PTS) | 29 13.4% | 32 86.6% |
| Q2 - 8:29 | DET | MISS Bynum 8' Floating Jump Shot | 27 11.5% | 32 88.5% |
| Q2 - 8:50 | OKC | Maynor 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Martin 1 AST) | 27 12.3% | 32 87.7% |
| Q2 - 8:55 | OKC | Collison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 27 14.6% | 29 85.4% |
| Q2 - 8:58 | OKC | MISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 27 15.6% | 29 84.4% |
| Q2 - 9:10 | DET | Drummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 27 14.4% | 29 85.6% |
| Q2 - 9:10 | DET | MISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 2 | 26 14.0% | 29 86.0% |
| Q2 - 9:18 | OKC | Collison Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4) | 26 14.5% | 29 85.5% |
| Q2 - 9:32 | DET | Drummond 5' Driving Bank Shot (4 PTS) | 26 13.2% | 29 86.8% |
| Q2 - 9:54 | OKC | Martin 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 24 12.2% | 29 87.8% |
| Q2 - 10:09 | DET | Bynum 2' Layup (2 PTS) | 24 14.4% | 26 85.6% |
| Q2 - 10:12 | OKC | Martin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 22 13.4% | 26 86.6% |
| Q2 - 10:25 | OKC | Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 22 12.1% | 26 87.9% |
| Q2 - 10:26 | DET | MISS Jerebko 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 22 12.5% | 26 87.5% |
| Q2 - 10:39 | OKC | Maynor 16' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 22 13.4% | 26 86.6% |
| Q2 - 10:51 | DET | Maynor STEAL (1 STL) | 22 14.4% | 24 85.6% |
| Q2 - 10:58 | DET | Stuckey Free Throw Technical (5 PTS) | 22 15.9% | 24 84.1% |
| Q2 - 11:19 | OKC | Maynor 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Collison 1 AST) | 21 14.5% | 24 85.5% |
| Q2 - 11:38 | DET | Drummond 1' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Jerebko 1 AST) | 21 17.1% | 21 82.9% |
| Q2 - 11:51 | OKC | Martin Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS) | 19 15.8% | 21 84.2% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | DET | 19 18.5% | 18 81.5% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | DET | Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 19 20.1% | 18 79.9% |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | OKC | MISS Durant 2' Layup | 19 19.3% | 18 80.7% |
| Q1 - 0:13.0 | DET | Prince Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 19 18.6% | 18 81.4% |
| Q1 - 0:13.0 | DET | Prince Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 18 18.2% | 18 81.8% |
| Q1 - 0:32.0 | DET | Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 17 16.9% | 18 83.1% |
| Q1 - 0:34.0 | OKC | MISS Martin 3PT Jump Shot | 17 16.5% | 18 83.5% |
| Q1 - 0:45.0 | DET | Prince 3' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 17 15.8% | 18 84.2% |
| Q1 - 1:00 | OKC | Durant 4' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 15 14.4% | 18 85.6% |
| Q1 - 1:06 | OKC | Durant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 15 15.8% | 16 84.2% |
| Q1 - 1:07 | DET | MISS Stuckey 3' Layup | 15 16.1% | 16 83.9% |
| Q1 - 1:27 | OKC | Durant 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Maynor 1 AST) | 15 16.7% | 16 83.3% |
| Q1 - 1:44 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 15 19.9% | 13 80.1% |
| Q1 - 1:44 | DET | Monroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 15 19.9% | 13 80.1% |
| Q1 - 1:44 | DET | MISS Monroe Free Throw 1 of 2 | 14 19.5% | 13 80.5% |
| Q1 - 1:44 | OKC | Durant Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2) | 14 19.5% | 13 80.5% |
| Q1 - 1:49 | OKC | Durant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 14 18.5% | 13 81.5% |
| Q1 - 1:50 | DET | Jerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 14 19.5% | 13 80.5% |
| Q1 - 1:50 | DET | MISS Jerebko 2' Tip Shot | 14 18.8% | 13 81.2% |
| Q1 - 1:51 | DET | MISS Prince 3' Layup | 14 18.8% | 13 81.2% |
| Q1 - 2:20 | OKC | Martin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 14 19.5% | 13 80.5% |
| Q1 - 2:20 | OKC | Martin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 14 19.7% | 12 80.3% |
| Q1 - 2:29 | DET | Stuckey 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Prince 3 AST) | 14 21.1% | 11 78.9% |
| Q1 - 2:33 | DET | Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 12 19.5% | 11 80.5% |
| Q1 - 2:34 | OKC | MISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 12 19.1% | 11 80.9% |
| Q1 - 2:45 | OKC | Westbrook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 12 18.2% | 11 81.8% |
| Q1 - 2:46 | DET | MISS Knight 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 12 18.6% | 11 81.4% |
| Q1 - 3:01 | OKC | Ibaka Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 12 19.3% | 11 80.7% |
| Q1 - 3:01 | OKC | Ibaka Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 12 19.6% | 10 80.4% |
| Q1 - 3:17 | DET | Knight Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Prince 2 AST) | 12 20.7% | 9 79.3% |
| Q1 - 3:27 | OKC | Westbrook Foul Turnover (P1.T1) | 10 19.3% | 9 80.7% |
| Q1 - 3:30 | OKC | Collison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 10 17.9% | 9 82.1% |
| Q1 - 3:33 | DET | Martin BLOCK (1 BLK) | 10 18.3% | 9 81.7% |
| Q1 - 3:40 | DET | Monroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 10 19.3% | 9 80.7% |
| Q1 - 3:41 | OKC | MISS Collison Free Throw 2 of 2 | 10 19.1% | 9 80.9% |
| Q1 - 3:41 | OKC | Collison Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 10 18.3% | 9 81.7% |
| Q1 - 3:43 | OKC | Collison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 10 19.2% | 8 80.8% |
| Q1 - 3:44 | OKC | MISS Westbrook 12' Jump Shot | 10 20.3% | 8 79.7% |
| Q1 - 4:02 | DET | Prince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 10 18.7% | 8 81.3% |
| Q1 - 4:11 | DET | Maxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 10 20.2% | 8 79.8% |
| Q1 - 4:12 | OKC | MISS Martin 3PT Jump Shot | 10 19.7% | 8 80.3% |
| Q1 - 4:36 | DET | Monroe 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Prince 1 AST) | 10 18.8% | 8 81.2% |
| Q1 - 4:49 | DET | Monroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 8 17.5% | 8 82.5% |
| Q1 - 4:50 | OKC | Westbrook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 8 16.2% | 8 83.8% |
| Q1 - 4:50 | OKC | MISS Westbrook 2' Layup | 8 17.1% | 8 82.9% |
| Q1 - 4:53 | OKC | MISS Westbrook 3' Layup | 8 17.1% | 8 82.9% |
| Q1 - 5:19 | DET | Knight 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Monroe 2 AST) | 8 16.2% | 8 83.8% |
| Q1 - 5:36 | DET | Knight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 6 15.1% | 8 84.9% |
| Q1 - 5:38 | OKC | MISS Durant 3' Running Jump Shot | 6 14.8% | 8 85.2% |
| Q1 - 5:46 | OKC | Perkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 6 14.0% | 8 86.0% |
| Q1 - 5:47 | DET | MISS Monroe 4' Turnaround Jump Shot | 6 14.3% | 8 85.7% |
| Q1 - 6:12 | OKC | Sefolosha Driving Dunk (2 PTS) | 6 14.9% | 8 85.1% |
| Q1 - 6:16 | OKC | Sefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 6 15.9% | 6 84.1% |
| Q1 - 6:18 | DET | MISS Stuckey 2' Driving Layup | 6 16.2% | 6 83.8% |
| Q1 - 6:33 | OKC | Perkins 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 6 17.1% | 6 82.9% |
| Q1 - 6:47 | OKC | Ibaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 6 18.2% | 4 81.8% |
| Q1 - 6:48 | DET | MISS Prince 10' Pullup Jump Shot | 6 18.6% | 4 81.4% |
| Q1 - 7:14 | DET | Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 6 19.1% | 4 80.9% |
| Q1 - 7:16 | OKC | MISS Westbrook 2' Driving Layup | 6 18.7% | 4 81.3% |
| Q1 - 7:23 | OKC | Ibaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 6 17.7% | 4 82.3% |
| Q1 - 7:25 | DET | MISS Monroe 1' Layup | 6 18.2% | 4 81.8% |
| Q1 - 7:36 | DET | Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 6 19.1% | 4 80.9% |
| Q1 - 7:37 | OKC | MISS Durant 10' Turnaround Jump Shot | 6 18.7% | 4 81.3% |
| Q1 - 7:42 | OKC | Durant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 6 17.8% | 4 82.2% |
| Q1 - 7:42 | OKC | MISS Ibaka 3PT Jump Shot | 6 18.7% | 4 81.3% |
| Q1 - 8:06 | OKC | THUNDER Rebound | 6 17.4% | 4 82.6% |
| Q1 - 8:07 | DET | MISS Stuckey 2' Reverse Layup | 6 17.8% | 4 82.2% |
| Q1 - 8:22 | DET | Monroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 6 18.7% | 4 81.3% |
| Q1 - 8:23 | OKC | MISS Westbrook 19' Jump Shot | 6 18.3% | 4 81.7% |
| Q1 - 8:44 | DET | Monroe 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 6 17.5% | 4 82.5% |
| Q1 - 8:57 | DET | Monroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 16.5% | 4 83.5% |
| Q1 - 8:58 | OKC | MISS Sefolosha 3PT Jump Shot | 4 16.1% | 4 83.9% |
| Q1 - 9:05 | OKC | Ibaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 15.3% | 4 84.7% |
| Q1 - 9:06 | DET | MISS Maxiell 4' Jump Shot | 4 15.6% | 4 84.4% |
| Q1 - 9:17 | DET | Maxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 4 16.4% | 4 83.6% |
| Q1 - 9:20 | OKC | MISS Ibaka 5' Jump Shot | 4 16.0% | 4 84.0% |
| Q1 - 9:30 | OKC | Sefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 15.3% | 4 84.7% |
| Q1 - 9:31 | DET | MISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot | 4 15.6% | 4 84.4% |
| Q1 - 9:50 | OKC | Ibaka 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Westbrook 2 AST) | 4 16.4% | 4 83.6% |
| Q1 - 10:11 | DET | Monroe Traveling Turnover (P1.T1) | 4 17.1% | 2 82.9% |
| Q1 - 10:26 | DET | Knight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 18.3% | 2 81.7% |
| Q1 - 10:27 | OKC | MISS Durant 17' Jump Shot | 4 17.9% | 2 82.1% |
| Q1 - 10:45 | DET | Stuckey 4' Driving Bank Shot (2 PTS) | 4 17.1% | 2 82.9% |
| Q1 - 11:03 | OKC | Ibaka 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Westbrook 1 AST) | 2 15.8% | 2 84.2% |
| Q1 - 11:11 | OKC | Westbrook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 16.8% | 0 83.2% |
| Q1 - 11:12 | DET | MISS Maxiell 6' Turnaround Hook Shot | 2 17.0% | 0 83.0% |
| Q1 - 11:24 | DET | Maxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 17.6% | 0 82.4% |
| Q1 - 11:25 | OKC | MISS Perkins 2' Layup | 2 17.4% | 0 82.6% |
| Q1 - 11:41 | DET | Prince 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST) | 2 16.8% | 0 83.2% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | OKC | Jump Ball Ibaka vs. Monroe: Tip to Prince | 0 15.8% | 0 84.2% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
DET
0.95 47.5%
OKC
1.22 61.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
25
46
54%
OKC
16
28
57%
Midrange
DET
5
22
23%
OKC
14
23
61%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
OKC
8
12.0
20
40%
60%
Free Throws
DET
16
22
73%
OKC
21
26
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Pistons| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Drummond | 22 | 79% | 11.0 / 14 | |
| T. Prince | 16 | 47% | 8.0 / 17 | |
| R. Stuckey | 15 | 50% | 7.5 / 15 | |
| G. Monroe | 14 | 41% | 7.0 / 17 | |
| B. Knight | 11 | 50% | 5.5 / 11 | |
| K. Singler | 7 | 70% | 3.5 / 5 | |
| W. Bynum | 6 | 38% | 3.0 / 8 | |
| J. Jerebko | 2 | 25% | 1.0 / 4 | |
| J. Maxiell | 1 | 13% | 0.5 / 4 | |
| K. English | 0 | - | 0.0 / 2 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Thunder| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Durant | 25 | 69% | 12.5 / 18 | |
| S. Ibaka | 25 | 74% | 12.5 / 17 | |
| K. Martin | 16 | 50% | 8.0 / 16 | |
| E. Maynor | 13 | 108% | 6.5 / 6 | |
| R. Westbrook | 10 | 42% | 5.0 / 12 | |
| K. Perkins | 9 | 56% | 4.5 / 8 | |
| T. Sefolosha | 4 | 67% | 2.0 / 3 | |
| N. Collison | 3 | 75% | 1.5 / 2 | |
| R. Jackson | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
DET
78
+21
-15
99
OKC
75
+8
-16
83
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
DET
0.95 47.5%
OKC
1.22 61.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 103.8 111.9 | DET 101.1 OKC 115.4 +14.3 |
| Pace | 90.9 93.9 | DET 83.5 OKC 102.7 +19.2 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 15.8 15.5 | DET 17.2 OKC 14.0 +3.2 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 48.7% 52.7% | DET 44.8% OKC 59.2% +14.4% |
| TO % | 15.9% 15.5% | DET 13.4% +3.7% OKC 17.1% |
| ORB % | 28.3% 26.6% | DET 34.8% +10.6% OKC 24.2% |
| FTrt | 28.2 33.8 | DET 25.3 OKC 36.6 +11.3 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 58.5% 56.1% | DET 66.7% +11.4% OKC 55.3% |
| STL % | 7.6% 8.8% | DET 8.6% OKC 8.8% +0.2% |
| BLK % | 8.0% 12.0% | DET 7.8% +1.9% OKC 5.9% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 50.7% 56.4% | DET 47.5% OKC 61.0% +13.5% |
| Rim FG% | 55.8% 62.2% | DET 54.3% OKC 57.1% +2.8% |
| Mid FG% | 36.1% 41.8% | DET 22.7% OKC 60.9% +38.2% |
| 3P % | 35.6% 37.7% | DET 31.6% OKC 40.0% +8.4% |
| FT % | 69.9% 82.8% | DET 72.7% OKC 80.8% +8.1% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 45.1% 35.7% | DET 52.9% +13.4% OKC 39.4% |
| Mid Att. % | 33.2% 39.9% | DET 25.3% +7.1% OKC 32.4% |
| 3P Att. % | 21.7% 24.4% | DET 21.8% OKC 28.2% +6.3% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
| Game Totals | DET | OKC |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 93 | 91 |
| Possession Minutes | 26.7 | 21.3 |
| Points | 94 | 105 |
| Rebounds | 41 | 38 |
| Assists | 24 | 21 |
| Steals | 8 | 8 |
| Blocks | 4 | 4 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 15 (0) | 16 (1) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 16 (5) | 8 (0) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 25 (3) | 30 (3) |
| Field Goals | 36-87 | 38-71 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 25-46 | 16-28 |
| Midrange FG | 5-22 | 14-23 |
| 2-Point FG | 30-68 | 30-51 |
| 3-Point FG | 6-19 | 8-20 |
| Free Throws | 16-22 | 21-26 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.