FinalWin Prob.pScore
353%100
95
947%99
89
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
108.08892.3
ATL logo ATL
101.18884.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA95
100%
89
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)95
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)94
99.8%
89
0.2%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)93
99.6%
89
0.4%
Q4 - 0:08.0ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot93
99.2%
89
0.8%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAJames 20' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS)93
97.3%
89
2.7%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)91
91.5%
89
8.5%
Q4 - 0:35.0ATLMISS Horford 3' Alley Oop Layup91
89.0%
89
11.0%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAAllen Traveling Turnover (P2.T15)91
76.5%
89
23.5%
Q4 - 1:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)91
85.6%
89
14.4%
Q4 - 1:05ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 291
84.3%
89
15.7%
Q4 - 1:05ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 291
79.1%
89
20.9%
Q4 - 1:05ATLHAWKS Rebound91
74.5%
89
25.5%
Q4 - 1:06ATLMISS Stevenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
82.5%
89
17.5%
Q4 - 1:22MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (James 9 AST)91
73.1%
89
26.9%
Q4 - 1:41ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)89
61.4%
89
38.6%
Q4 - 1:41ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)89
63.5%
88
36.5%
Q4 - 2:04MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)89
70.7%
87
29.3%
Q4 - 2:13ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)87
63.1%
87
36.9%
Q4 - 2:33MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)87
47.6%
87
52.4%
Q4 - 2:33MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)86
45.7%
87
54.3%
Q4 - 2:35MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)85
39.6%
87
60.4%
Q4 - 2:37MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
29.4%
87
70.6%
Q4 - 2:58ATLKorver Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)85
39.9%
87
60.1%
Q4 - 2:59ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
27.5%
87
72.5%
Q4 - 3:02ATLMISS Korver 2' Running Layup85
35.9%
87
64.1%
Q4 - 3:07ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)85
27.4%
87
72.6%
Q4 - 3:08MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
31.0%
87
69.0%
Q4 - 3:26ATLHorford 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Teague 11 AST)85
40.3%
87
59.7%
Q4 - 3:46ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)85
49.2%
85
50.8%
Q4 - 3:47MIAMISS Chalmers 20' Jump Shot85
52.4%
85
47.6%
Q4 - 4:04ATLTeague 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)85
59.7%
85
40.3%
Q4 - 4:11ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
75.4%
82
24.6%
Q4 - 4:12MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
77.8%
82
22.2%
Q4 - 4:35ATLTeague 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)85
82.6%
82
17.4%
Q4 - 4:49MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 8 AST)85
90.9%
79
9.1%
Q4 - 5:10ATLSmith 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Teague 10 AST)82
79.6%
79
20.4%
Q4 - 5:23MIASmith STEAL (2 STL)82
84.2%
77
15.8%
Q4 - 5:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)82
88.5%
77
11.5%
Q4 - 5:28MIAMISS Lewis 17' Jump Shot82
85.7%
77
14.3%
Q4 - 5:50ATLKorver 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)82
88.6%
77
11.4%
Q4 - 6:09ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)82
89.3%
75
10.7%
Q4 - 6:10MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot82
90.2%
75
9.8%
Q4 - 6:20MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)82
92.1%
75
7.9%
Q4 - 6:23ATLMISS Stevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
91.3%
75
8.7%
Q4 - 6:40MIAHaslem 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T13)82
89.4%
75
10.6%
Q4 - 6:49MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)82
92.2%
75
7.8%
Q4 - 6:51ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 182
91.8%
75
8.2%
Q4 - 7:12ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Haslem: Tip to Horford82
92.7%
73
7.3%
Q4 - 7:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)82
94.5%
73
5.5%
Q4 - 7:32ATLMISS Horford 2' Driving Layup82
94.0%
73
6.0%
Q4 - 7:53MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)82
92.7%
73
7.3%
Q4 - 7:53MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)81
92.4%
73
7.6%
Q4 - 7:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)80
90.8%
73
9.2%
Q4 - 8:00ATLMISS Pachulia 4' Jump Shot80
90.1%
73
9.9%
Q4 - 8:17MIACole Running Layup (6 PTS)80
86.6%
73
13.4%
Q4 - 8:22MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
83.3%
73
16.7%
Q4 - 8:24ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot78
82.2%
73
17.8%
Q4 - 8:42MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)78
79.5%
73
20.5%
Q4 - 9:02ATLPachulia 2' Layup (2 PTS)76
73.6%
73
26.4%
Q4 - 9:25ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)76
78.1%
71
21.9%
Q4 - 9:26MIASmith BLOCK (2 BLK)76
79.3%
71
20.7%
Q4 - 9:43MIAHeat Rebound76
81.9%
71
18.1%
Q4 - 9:45ATLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
80.8%
71
19.2%
Q4 - 10:01MIAAllen 11' Jump Shot (13 PTS)76
76.9%
71
23.1%
Q4 - 10:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
72.7%
71
27.3%
Q4 - 10:25ATLMISS Horford 11' Turnaround Hook Shot74
71.3%
71
28.7%
Q4 - 10:49MIACole 1' Running Layup (4 PTS)74
68.0%
71
32.0%
Q4 - 10:54ATLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)72
62.9%
71
37.1%
Q4 - 11:01ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
57.1%
71
42.9%
Q4 - 11:03MIAMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot72
58.7%
71
41.3%
Q4 - 11:17MIAHeat Rebound72
62.2%
71
37.8%
Q4 - 11:19ATLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
60.7%
71
39.3%
Q4 - 11:31ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
57.1%
71
42.9%
Q4 - 11:32MIAMISS Allen 6' Driving Jump Shot72
58.7%
71
41.3%
Q4 - 11:47ATLHarris Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)72
62.2%
71
37.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL72
57.1%
71
42.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound72
57.1%
71
42.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Pachulia 56' 3PT Jump Shot72
60.7%
71
39.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
57.1%
71
42.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot72
58.6%
71
41.4%
Q3 - 0:14.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)72
61.8%
71
38.2%
Q3 - 0:14.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)72
62.6%
70
37.4%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIALewis 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)72
66.7%
69
33.3%
Q3 - 0:51.0ATLPachulia 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T9)70
61.8%
69
38.2%
Q3 - 1:03MIALewis 2' Layup (5 PTS) (James 7 AST)70
56.8%
69
43.2%
Q3 - 1:26MIAMiller Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)68
51.9%
69
48.1%
Q3 - 1:26MIAHeat Rebound67
47.0%
69
53.0%
Q3 - 1:29ATLMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
45.6%
69
54.4%
Q3 - 1:58MIALewis 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)67
42.2%
69
57.8%
Q3 - 2:19ATLMorrow 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)64
33.9%
69
66.1%
Q3 - 2:25ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)64
38.1%
67
61.9%
Q3 - 2:28MIAMISS Lewis 16' Jump Shot64
39.5%
67
60.5%
Q3 - 2:32MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)64
42.7%
67
57.3%
Q3 - 2:34MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
39.5%
67
60.5%
Q3 - 2:40MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
42.7%
67
57.3%
Q3 - 2:42ATLMISS Morrow 21' Jump Shot64
41.3%
67
58.7%
Q3 - 2:47ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
38.1%
67
61.9%
Q3 - 2:49MIASmith BLOCK (1 BLK)64
39.5%
67
60.5%
Q3 - 3:02ATLMorrow Free Throw 3 of 3 (15 PTS)64
43.4%
67
56.6%
Q3 - 3:02ATLMorrow Free Throw 2 of 3 (14 PTS)64
43.8%
66
56.2%
Q3 - 3:02ATLMorrow Free Throw 1 of 3 (13 PTS)64
44.3%
65
55.7%
Q3 - 3:22ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
52.1%
64
47.9%
Q3 - 3:23MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
53.5%
64
46.5%
Q3 - 3:46ATLHarris 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)64
56.7%
64
43.3%
Q3 - 4:07MIAJames 3' Running Layup (19 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)64
60.3%
62
39.7%
Q3 - 4:22ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)62
56.8%
62
43.2%
Q3 - 4:22ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)62
57.6%
61
42.4%
Q3 - 4:39ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)60
56.8%
60
43.2%
Q3 - 5:00MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)60
51.9%
60
48.1%
Q3 - 5:00MIAHeat Rebound60
56.8%
60
43.2%
Q3 - 5:00MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Turnaround Fadeaway Shot60
53.4%
60
46.6%
Q3 - 5:28ATLStevenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Teague 9 AST)60
56.5%
60
43.5%
Q3 - 5:46MIABosh 10' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)60
63.9%
57
36.1%
Q3 - 6:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
60.4%
57
39.6%
Q3 - 6:03ATLMISS Korver 17' Jump Shot58
59.1%
57
40.9%
Q3 - 6:11ATLHAWKS Rebound58
56.0%
57
44.0%
Q3 - 6:12ATLMISS Stevenson 20' Jump Shot58
59.1%
57
40.9%
Q3 - 6:37MIAChalmers Layup (9 PTS) (James 6 AST)58
56.0%
57
44.0%
Q3 - 6:52ATLTeague 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)56
52.6%
57
47.4%
Q3 - 7:06ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
55.8%
55
44.2%
Q3 - 7:08MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
57.0%
55
43.0%
Q3 - 7:14MIAHeat Rebound56
59.8%
55
40.2%
Q3 - 7:15ATLMISS Stevenson 2' Driving Layup56
58.6%
55
41.4%
Q3 - 7:28ATLHAWKS Rebound56
55.8%
55
44.2%
Q3 - 7:29ATLMISS Korver 3PT Jump Shot56
58.6%
55
41.4%
Q3 - 7:49MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)56
55.8%
55
44.2%
Q3 - 7:54MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
48.4%
55
51.6%
Q3 - 7:56ATLMISS Smith Layup53
47.1%
55
52.9%
Q3 - 8:10MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)53
44.4%
55
55.6%
Q3 - 8:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)50
37.5%
55
62.5%
Q3 - 8:15MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot50
34.8%
55
65.2%
Q3 - 8:26MIAHeat Rebound50
37.5%
55
62.5%
Q3 - 8:27ATLMISS Smith 1' Driving Layup50
36.3%
55
63.7%
Q3 - 8:41ATLHAWKS Rebound50
33.7%
55
66.3%
Q3 - 8:41ATLMISS Stevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
36.3%
55
63.7%
Q3 - 8:57MIAJames 1' Running Layup (17 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)50
33.7%
55
66.3%
Q3 - 9:25ATLKorver 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Teague 8 AST)48
31.2%
55
68.8%
Q3 - 9:30ATLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
37.6%
52
62.4%
Q3 - 9:32MIAMISS Battier 2' Driving Layup48
38.7%
52
61.3%
Q3 - 9:50ATLTeague 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)48
41.3%
52
58.7%
Q3 - 10:05MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (James 5 AST)48
45.1%
50
54.9%
Q3 - 10:22ATLTeague 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)46
41.8%
50
58.2%
Q3 - 10:29MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (15 PTS)46
45.1%
48
54.9%
Q3 - 10:42MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
41.8%
48
58.2%
Q3 - 10:43ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot44
40.7%
48
59.3%
Q3 - 10:58ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
38.2%
48
61.8%
Q3 - 10:59MIAMISS Bosh 5' Driving Jump Shot44
39.3%
48
60.7%
Q3 - 11:16ATLHorford 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Teague 7 AST)44
42.6%
48
57.4%
Q3 - 11:40MIABosh 2' Layup (14 PTS) (James 4 AST)44
45.7%
46
54.3%
Q3 - 11:45MIAHeat Rebound42
42.5%
46
57.5%
Q3 - 11:45MIAHorford BLOCK (2 BLK)42
40.1%
46
59.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA42
42.5%
46
57.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound42
42.5%
46
57.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
42.5%
46
57.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Haslem 1' Tip Shot42
40.1%
46
59.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot42
40.1%
46
59.9%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
42.6%
46
57.4%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot42
41.0%
46
59.0%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
42.6%
46
57.4%
Q2 - 0:28.0ATLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
41.9%
46
58.1%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAJames Foul Turnover (P2.T10)42
40.3%
46
59.7%
Q2 - 0:41.0ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)42
42.6%
46
57.4%
Q2 - 0:41.0ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 242
43.6%
45
56.4%
Q2 - 1:03MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)42
43.9%
45
56.1%
Q2 - 1:20ATLTeague 6' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)42
46.0%
45
54.0%
Q2 - 1:32MIAMiller Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)42
50.3%
43
49.7%
Q2 - 1:43ATLTolliver Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P2.T7)42
52.4%
43
47.6%
Q2 - 1:44ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)42
50.3%
43
49.7%
Q2 - 1:46ATLMISS Smith 4' Jump Shot42
51.7%
43
48.3%
Q2 - 1:57MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)42
50.3%
43
49.7%
Q2 - 1:57MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)41
49.8%
43
50.2%
Q2 - 2:14ATLKorver 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Teague 6 AST)40
46.8%
43
53.2%
Q2 - 2:19MIAKorver STEAL (1 STL)40
52.9%
40
47.1%
Q2 - 2:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
56.0%
40
44.0%
Q2 - 2:22MIAMISS Haslem 7' Jump Shot40
53.9%
40
46.1%
Q2 - 2:40MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
56.0%
40
44.0%
Q2 - 2:41ATLMISS Stevenson 3PT Jump Shot40
55.1%
40
44.9%
Q2 - 2:44ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
53.0%
40
47.0%
Q2 - 2:45ATLMISS Smith 2' Layup40
55.1%
40
44.9%
Q2 - 3:02MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)40
53.0%
40
47.0%
Q2 - 3:23ATLSmith 1' Running Dunk (8 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)38
50.4%
40
49.6%
Q2 - 3:27ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
53.0%
38
47.0%
Q2 - 3:28MIAMISS James 19' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot38
54.0%
38
46.0%
Q2 - 3:50ATLTeague 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)38
56.4%
38
43.6%
Q2 - 4:19MIAJames 20' Turnaround Fadeaway (13 PTS)38
58.8%
36
41.2%
Q2 - 4:40ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T6)36
56.2%
36
43.8%
Q2 - 4:53MIAJames 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)36
53.1%
36
46.9%
Q2 - 5:10ATLSmith 1' Putback Layup (6 PTS)34
50.6%
36
49.4%
Q2 - 5:11ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
53.4%
34
46.6%
Q2 - 5:12ATLMISS Smith Layup34
55.4%
34
44.6%
Q2 - 5:33ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
53.4%
34
46.6%
Q2 - 5:34MIAMISS Allen 22' Jump Shot34
54.3%
34
45.7%
Q2 - 5:48MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
56.2%
34
43.8%
Q2 - 5:50MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
54.3%
34
45.7%
Q2 - 6:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
56.4%
34
43.6%
Q2 - 6:09ATLMISS Morrow 20' Jump Shot34
55.4%
34
44.6%
Q2 - 6:20MIABosh Layup (8 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)34
53.1%
34
46.9%
Q2 - 6:35ATLJohnson 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)32
50.9%
34
49.1%
Q2 - 6:39ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
53.1%
32
46.9%
Q2 - 6:43MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot32
54.1%
32
45.9%
Q2 - 6:55MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
56.4%
32
43.6%
Q2 - 6:56ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot32
55.4%
32
44.6%
Q2 - 7:11MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P1.T6)32
53.3%
32
46.7%
Q2 - 7:20ATLMorrow 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS)32
56.3%
32
43.7%
Q2 - 7:27ATLMorrow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
58.5%
30
41.5%
Q2 - 7:29ATLMISS Morrow 4' Driving Reverse Layup32
60.6%
30
39.4%
Q2 - 7:47MIAAllen 11' Driving Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)32
58.5%
30
41.5%
Q2 - 8:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
56.0%
30
44.0%
Q2 - 8:03ATLMISS Morrow 6' Running Jump Shot30
55.2%
30
44.8%
Q2 - 8:13MIALewis Foul Turnover (P3.T5)30
53.4%
30
46.6%
Q2 - 8:19ATLWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)30
56.0%
30
44.0%
Q2 - 8:41MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)30
53.4%
30
46.6%
Q2 - 8:49MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
48.3%
30
51.7%
Q2 - 8:51ATLMISS Tolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
47.5%
30
52.5%
Q2 - 9:06ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
45.9%
30
54.1%
Q2 - 9:08ATLMISS Morrow 12' Running Jump Shot27
47.7%
30
52.3%
Q2 - 9:17ATLTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
45.8%
30
54.2%
Q2 - 9:19MIAMISS Allen 4' Turnaround Jump Shot27
46.7%
30
53.3%
Q2 - 9:39ATLMorrow 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)27
48.5%
30
51.5%
Q2 - 9:53ATLTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
53.3%
27
46.7%
Q2 - 9:54MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
54.2%
27
45.8%
Q2 - 10:13ATLTolliver Foul Turnover (P1.T4)27
56.0%
27
44.0%
Q2 - 10:34MIAHaslem 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)27
53.2%
27
46.8%
Q2 - 11:04ATLMorrow 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)25
50.8%
27
49.2%
Q2 - 11:27MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T4)25
53.2%
25
46.8%
Q2 - 11:34MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
55.7%
25
44.3%
Q2 - 11:35ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot25
54.9%
25
45.1%
Q2 - 11:48MIALewis Foul Turnover (P2.T3)25
53.2%
25
46.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
55.7%
25
44.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
55.2%
25
44.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Williams 1' Alley Oop Layup25
54.6%
25
45.4%
Q1 - 0:07.0ATLTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
53.4%
25
46.6%
Q1 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Cole 28' 3PT Jump Shot25
53.9%
25
46.1%
Q1 - 0:32.0ATLHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
55.2%
25
44.8%
Q1 - 0:32.0ATLHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
55.6%
24
44.4%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIATolliver STEAL (1 STL)25
58.1%
23
41.9%
Q1 - 0:50.0ATLTolliver 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)25
59.9%
23
40.1%
Q1 - 1:13MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)25
62.5%
21
37.5%
Q1 - 1:27ATLMorrow 11' Driving Jump Shot (5 PTS)22
57.5%
21
42.5%
Q1 - 1:40ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
60.4%
19
39.6%
Q1 - 1:41MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 222
60.6%
19
39.4%
Q1 - 1:41MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)22
62.1%
19
37.9%
Q1 - 1:51MIAHeat Rebound21
59.7%
19
40.3%
Q1 - 1:51ATLMISS Harris 1' Running Layup21
59.2%
19
40.8%
Q1 - 1:56ATLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
58.1%
19
41.9%
Q1 - 1:57MIAMISS Cole 4' Driving Jump Shot21
58.6%
19
41.4%
Q1 - 2:21ATLMorrow 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)21
60.1%
19
39.9%
Q1 - 2:46MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
64.5%
16
35.5%
Q1 - 2:46MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
64.1%
16
35.9%
Q1 - 3:00ATLTolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)19
62.2%
16
37.8%
Q1 - 3:15ATLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
66.4%
13
33.6%
Q1 - 3:16MIAMISS James 11' Running Jump Shot19
67.0%
13
33.0%
Q1 - 3:26MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
68.5%
13
31.5%
Q1 - 3:27ATLMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot19
67.9%
13
32.1%
Q1 - 3:38MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)19
66.4%
13
33.6%
Q1 - 3:52MIAHeat Rebound16
62.3%
13
37.7%
Q1 - 3:53ATLMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
61.7%
13
38.3%
Q1 - 4:15MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
59.9%
13
40.1%
Q1 - 4:15MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
59.6%
13
40.4%
Q1 - 4:33MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
57.9%
13
42.1%
Q1 - 4:35ATLMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
57.2%
13
42.8%
Q1 - 4:42ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
55.6%
13
44.4%
Q1 - 4:44MIAMISS James 1' Running Layup14
56.3%
13
43.7%
Q1 - 4:50ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)14
57.9%
13
42.1%
Q1 - 4:59ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
55.6%
13
44.4%
Q1 - 5:02MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
55.9%
13
44.1%
Q1 - 5:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
57.5%
13
42.5%
Q1 - 5:10ATLMISS Smith 7' Turnaround Hook Shot14
56.8%
13
43.2%
Q1 - 5:37MIABosh 20' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)14
55.3%
13
44.7%
Q1 - 5:54MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
53.3%
13
46.7%
Q1 - 5:56ATLMISS Smith 5' Hook Shot12
52.7%
13
47.3%
Q1 - 6:11MIABattier 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)12
51.0%
13
49.0%
Q1 - 6:15MIAHeat Rebound10
49.2%
13
50.8%
Q1 - 6:15MIAHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)10
47.7%
13
52.3%
Q1 - 6:33MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
49.2%
13
50.8%
Q1 - 6:34ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot10
48.5%
13
51.5%
Q1 - 6:46ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
47.0%
13
53.0%
Q1 - 6:47MIAMISS James 30' 3PT Jump Shot10
47.7%
13
52.3%
Q1 - 7:15ATLHorford 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)10
49.5%
13
50.5%
Q1 - 7:21ATLHAWKS Rebound10
51.1%
11
48.9%
Q1 - 7:22ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot10
52.7%
11
47.3%
Q1 - 7:40MIAJames 2' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)10
51.1%
11
48.9%
Q1 - 7:44ATLHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
49.5%
11
50.5%
Q1 - 8:04ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
47.8%
11
52.2%
Q1 - 8:05MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 18
48.1%
11
51.9%
Q1 - 8:08ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
46.0%
11
54.0%
Q1 - 8:24MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
44.0%
11
56.0%
Q1 - 8:52ATLHorford 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)4
42.2%
11
57.8%
Q1 - 9:04MIABattier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
44.6%
9
55.4%
Q1 - 9:23ATLHorford 4' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)4
46.5%
9
53.5%
Q1 - 9:39ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
48.2%
7
51.8%
Q1 - 9:41MIATeague BLOCK (1 BLK)4
48.8%
7
51.2%
Q1 - 9:57ATLKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)4
50.2%
7
49.8%
Q1 - 9:59ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
53.7%
4
46.3%
Q1 - 10:01ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
55.1%
4
44.9%
Q1 - 10:13MIAChalmers Running Layup (2 PTS)4
53.7%
4
46.3%
Q1 - 10:24ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)2
52.3%
4
47.7%
Q1 - 10:38ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
53.7%
2
46.3%
Q1 - 10:40MIAMISS Chalmers 13' Running Jump Shot2
54.3%
2
45.7%
Q1 - 10:56ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)2
55.7%
2
44.3%
Q1 - 11:05ATLHAWKS Rebound2
57.1%
0
42.9%
Q1 - 11:06ATLMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot2
58.1%
0
41.9%
Q1 - 11:28MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
57.1%
0
42.9%
Q1 - 11:36MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
55.4%
0
44.6%
Q1 - 11:38ATLMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
54.9%
0
45.1%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Bosh: Tip to Teague0
53.9%
0
46.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 55.2%
ATL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
26
69%
ATL
12
26
46%
Midrange
MIA
12
28
43%
ATL
13
30
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
ATL
9
13.5
25
36%
54%
Free Throws
MIA
14
16
88%
ATL
12
16
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2467%12.0 / 18
L. James2158%10.5 / 18
R. Allen1765%8.5 / 13
M. Chalmers1260%6.0 / 10
R. Lewis758%3.5 / 6
N. Cole650%3.0 / 6
M. Miller450%2.0 / 4
S. Battier225%1.0 / 4
U. Haslem233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Teague20100%10.0 / 10
A. Morrow1771%8.5 / 12
J. Smith1331%6.5 / 21
K. Korver1155%5.5 / 10
A. Horford1056%5.0 / 9
A. Tolliver583%2.5 / 3
D. Harris450%2.0 / 4
D. Stevenson321%1.5 / 7
L. Williams214%1.0 / 7
Z. Pachulia233%1.0 / 3
I. Johnson250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
74
+12
-14
86
ATL
75
+14
-13
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 55.2%
ATL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.1
104.6
MIA 108.0 +6.8
ATL 101.1
Pace
90.9
92.9
MIA 92.3 +8.2
ATL 84.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.4
MIA 15.6 +1.5
ATL 17.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.2%
51.7%
MIA 53.3% +5.8%
ATL 47.5%
TO %
14.5%
15.2%
MIA 15.3%
ATL 12.9% +2.4%
ORB %
22.2%
22.2%
MIA 21.6% +1.6%
ATL 20.0%
FTrt
29.7
24.4
MIA 21.1 +1.3
ATL 19.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
65.1%
MIA 59.5% +0.7%
ATL 58.8%
STL %
9.5%
8.7%
MIA 9.1% +4.6%
ATL 4.5%
BLK %
9.1%
7.1%
MIA 3.6%
ATL 9.3% +5.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.0%
53.2%
MIA 55.2% +5.2%
ATL 50.0%
Rim FG%
65.9%
62.5%
MIA 69.2% +23.0%
ATL 46.2%
Mid FG%
41.9%
38.3%
MIA 42.9%
ATL 43.3% +0.4%
3P %
39.6%
37.1%
MIA 31.8%
ATL 36.0% +4.2%
FT %
75.4%
71.5%
MIA 87.5% +12.5%
ATL 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
34.9%
MIA 34.2% +2.1%
ATL 32.1%
Mid Att. %
36.7%
36.5%
MIA 36.8% +0.2%
ATL 37.0%
3P Att. %
28.5%
28.6%
MIA 28.9%
ATL 30.9% +1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions8888
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points9589
Rebounds3636
Assists2220
Steals84
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)7 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (7)29 (0)
Field Goals37-7634-81
At-the-Rim FG18-2612-26
Midrange FG12-2813-30
2-Point FG30-5425-56
3-Point FG7-229-25
Free Throws14-1612-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 235 · 29
37.7
24
67%
5
2
3
1
2
2
3
2
10-10
100%
7-11
64%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
35.7
21
58%
11
9
1
0
2
2
2
9
1-3
33%
10-15
67%
0-2
0%
G · 6'8" 218 · 33
30.8
4
50%
6
2
0
0
1
2
2
4
1-1
100%
0-0
-
1-4
25%
G · 6'2" 190 · 26
26.6
12
60%
1
3
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
50%
2-4
50%
F · 6'8" 220 · 34
20.3
2
25%
0
0
1
1
1
4
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'5" 205 · 37
24.1
17
65%
1
1
0
0
2
4
0
1
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
3-5
60%
F · 6'8" 235 · 32
23.9
2
33%
10
0
0
0
2
1
1
9
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 33
20.6
7
58%
0
1
1
0
4
4
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
20.3
6
50%
2
4
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-2
0%
C · 6'9" 245 · 30
G · 6'4" 190 · 25
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 24
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
55%
36
22
8
2
14
0
8
28
14-16
88%
30-54
56%
7-22
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.