FinalWin Prob.pScore
1026%95
116
274%104
119
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
119.69797.1
MIA logo MIA
125.39595.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN116
0%
119
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot116
0.8%
119
99.2%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)116
3.7%
119
96.3%
Q4 - 0:14.0DENIguodala 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS)116
51.8%
115
48.2%
Q4 - 0:23.0DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)114
33.1%
115
66.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0DENAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)114
18.8%
115
81.2%
Q4 - 0:31.0DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)114
31.7%
115
68.3%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAMISS James 16' Pullup Jump Shot114
25.6%
115
74.4%
Q4 - 0:53.0DENFaried 2' Layup (22 PTS)114
17.8%
115
82.2%
Q4 - 0:54.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)112
10.9%
115
89.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0DENMISS Lawson 1' Driving Layup112
6.8%
115
93.2%
Q4 - 1:13MIAWade 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)112
12.6%
115
87.4%
Q4 - 1:19MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)112
20.0%
113
80.0%
Q4 - 1:20DENMISS Iguodala 11' Turnaround Jump Shot112
23.3%
113
76.7%
Q4 - 1:42MIAJames 2' Layup (20 PTS)112
32.2%
113
67.8%
Q4 - 2:04DENGallinari 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS)112
42.7%
111
57.3%
Q4 - 2:15DENNuggets Rebound110
34.8%
111
65.2%
Q4 - 2:16DENChalmers BLOCK (1 BLK)110
25.5%
111
74.5%
Q4 - 2:26MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)110
35.0%
111
65.0%
Q4 - 2:26MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)110
37.2%
110
62.8%
Q4 - 2:47DENIguodala 14' Driving Jump Shot (20 PTS)110
42.8%
109
57.2%
Q4 - 3:13MIABosh 1' Dunk (40 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)108
34.2%
109
65.8%
Q4 - 3:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)108
41.8%
107
58.2%
Q4 - 3:20DENMISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot108
46.2%
107
53.8%
Q4 - 3:49MIAChalmers 2' Layup (9 PTS) (James 10 AST)108
50.3%
107
49.7%
Q4 - 4:04DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)108
59.0%
105
41.0%
Q4 - 4:17DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)106
50.6%
105
49.4%
Q4 - 4:18MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot106
47.3%
105
52.7%
Q4 - 4:29DENWade STEAL (2 STL)106
40.0%
105
60.0%
Q4 - 4:43MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (38 PTS)106
50.7%
105
49.3%
Q4 - 4:43MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (37 PTS)106
52.3%
104
47.7%
Q4 - 4:50MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)106
59.4%
103
40.6%
Q4 - 4:51DENMISS Gallinari 2' Layup106
62.5%
103
37.5%
Q4 - 4:57MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)106
69.3%
103
30.7%
Q4 - 5:22DENGallinari 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)106
55.1%
103
44.9%
Q4 - 5:41MIAJames 4' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)103
39.2%
103
60.8%
Q4 - 5:55DENFaried 3' Jump Shot (20 PTS)103
46.8%
101
53.2%
Q4 - 5:56DENFaried REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)101
39.3%
101
60.7%
Q4 - 5:57DENMISS Iguodala 24' 3PT Jump Shot101
33.3%
101
66.7%
Q4 - 6:10MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (James 9 AST)101
37.5%
101
62.5%
Q4 - 6:22DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)101
51.7%
98
48.3%
Q4 - 6:22DENNuggets Rebound101
59.9%
98
40.1%
Q4 - 6:23DENWade BLOCK (4 BLK)101
54.2%
98
45.8%
Q4 - 6:24DENNuggets Rebound101
59.9%
98
40.1%
Q4 - 6:25DENWade BLOCK (3 BLK)101
54.3%
98
45.7%
Q4 - 6:51MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)101
60.0%
98
40.0%
Q4 - 7:04DENMiller 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Gallinari 2 AST)101
68.8%
95
31.2%
Q4 - 7:21DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)99
63.3%
95
36.7%
Q4 - 7:22MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
61.2%
95
38.8%
Q4 - 7:44DENMcGee 1' Reverse Dunk (16 PTS)99
56.2%
95
43.8%
Q4 - 7:47DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)97
49.9%
95
50.1%
Q4 - 7:49DENMISS Gallinari Free Throw 2 of 297
43.3%
95
56.7%
Q4 - 7:49DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)97
48.4%
95
51.6%
Q4 - 8:02MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (36 PTS)96
41.3%
95
58.7%
Q4 - 8:02MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (35 PTS)96
42.2%
94
57.8%
Q4 - 8:08MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
47.7%
93
52.3%
Q4 - 8:09DENMISS McGee 8' Jump Bank Shot96
49.6%
93
50.4%
Q4 - 8:30DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)96
54.1%
93
45.9%
Q4 - 8:31MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
52.2%
93
47.8%
Q4 - 8:43DENFaried 1' Layup (18 PTS)96
47.8%
93
52.2%
Q4 - 8:44DENFaried REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)94
41.4%
93
58.6%
Q4 - 8:45DENMISS Gallinari 7' Jump Shot94
37.1%
93
62.9%
Q4 - 9:02MIAAllen 9' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)94
40.2%
93
59.8%
Q4 - 9:19DENMiller Foul Turnover (P3.T13)94
46.2%
91
53.8%
Q4 - 9:33MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)94
52.1%
91
47.9%
Q4 - 9:38DENLewis STEAL (1 STL)94
58.2%
89
41.8%
Q4 - 9:52DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)94
63.8%
89
36.2%
Q4 - 9:53MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot94
62.1%
89
37.9%
Q4 - 10:01DENBosh STEAL (1 STL)94
55.8%
89
44.2%
Q4 - 10:17MIAChalmers Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T7)94
61.4%
89
38.6%
Q4 - 10:23DENChalmers STEAL (3 STL)94
55.9%
89
44.1%
Q4 - 10:40DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)94
61.5%
89
38.5%
Q4 - 10:41MIAMISS Wade 1' Alley Oop Layup94
59.8%
89
40.2%
Q4 - 10:47DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)94
56.0%
89
44.0%
Q4 - 10:47DENMISS Gallinari Free Throw 1 of 293
55.3%
89
44.7%
Q4 - 10:56DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)93
56.0%
89
44.0%
Q4 - 10:57MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup93
54.3%
89
45.7%
Q4 - 11:16DENMiller 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)93
49.0%
89
51.0%
Q4 - 11:41MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)91
43.7%
89
56.3%
Q4 - 11:41MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)91
44.5%
88
55.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA91
49.1%
87
50.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)91
49.1%
87
50.9%
Q3 - 0:13.0DENIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)88
37.6%
87
62.4%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
36.2%
87
63.8%
Q3 - 0:32.0DENMiller 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)88
33.2%
87
66.8%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)86
28.6%
87
71.4%
Q3 - 0:46.0DENAllen STEAL (2 STL)86
24.8%
87
75.2%
Q3 - 1:04MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)86
28.2%
87
71.8%
Q3 - 1:04MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)86
29.1%
86
70.9%
Q3 - 1:07MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)86
32.4%
85
67.6%
Q3 - 1:08DENMISS Brewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
33.7%
85
66.3%
Q3 - 1:21MIAAnthony Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)86
36.8%
85
63.2%
Q3 - 1:41DENMiller 2' Reverse Layup (8 PTS)86
32.5%
85
67.5%
Q3 - 1:51DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)84
28.3%
85
71.7%
Q3 - 1:52MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
27.1%
85
72.9%
Q3 - 1:58MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
24.5%
85
75.5%
Q3 - 1:59MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot84
27.1%
85
72.9%
Q3 - 2:22DENBrewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Iguodala 3 AST)84
24.0%
85
76.0%
Q3 - 2:41DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
18.0%
85
82.0%
Q3 - 2:42MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
17.1%
85
82.9%
Q3 - 2:51MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
15.3%
85
84.7%
Q3 - 2:52DENMISS Lawson 16' Jump Shot81
16.1%
85
83.9%
Q3 - 3:09DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
18.0%
85
82.0%
Q3 - 3:10MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot81
17.1%
85
82.9%
Q3 - 3:40DENMiller 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)81
15.4%
85
84.6%
Q3 - 3:45DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
13.3%
85
86.7%
Q3 - 3:46MIAMISS James 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup79
12.6%
85
87.4%
Q3 - 3:55MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
11.3%
85
88.7%
Q3 - 3:56DENMISS Iguodala 21' Jump Shot79
11.9%
85
88.1%
Q3 - 4:11MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)79
13.6%
85
86.4%
Q3 - 4:35DENLawson 1' Layup (12 PTS)79
17.7%
82
82.3%
Q3 - 4:36DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)77
15.7%
82
84.3%
Q3 - 4:38DENMISS Brewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
14.0%
82
86.0%
Q3 - 4:49DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
15.7%
82
84.3%
Q3 - 4:50MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup77
14.9%
82
85.1%
Q3 - 5:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
13.4%
82
86.6%
Q3 - 5:03DENMISS Brewer 13' Jump Shot77
14.1%
82
85.9%
Q3 - 5:29MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)77
15.8%
82
84.2%
Q3 - 5:42DENIguodala 9' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)77
17.7%
80
82.3%
Q3 - 6:02MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)75
15.9%
80
84.1%
Q3 - 6:15MIAHEAT Rebound75
17.8%
78
82.2%
Q3 - 6:15DENMISS Lawson 15' Jump Shot75
18.6%
78
81.4%
Q3 - 6:19MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)75
20.6%
78
79.4%
Q3 - 6:44DENLawson 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)75
17.8%
78
82.2%
Q3 - 6:51DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
15.8%
78
84.2%
Q3 - 6:52DENMISS Iguodala 3PT Jump Shot73
14.2%
78
85.8%
Q3 - 7:00DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
15.8%
78
84.2%
Q3 - 7:01MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot73
15.2%
78
84.8%
Q3 - 7:09MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
13.7%
78
86.3%
Q3 - 7:10MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
15.2%
78
84.8%
Q3 - 7:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
13.7%
78
86.3%
Q3 - 7:18DENMISS Gallinari 18' Jump Shot73
14.3%
78
85.7%
Q3 - 7:42MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (30 PTS)73
15.8%
78
84.2%
Q3 - 7:59MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)73
17.8%
76
82.2%
Q3 - 8:00DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
18.6%
76
81.4%
Q3 - 8:14MIAJames 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)73
20.3%
76
79.7%
Q3 - 8:18DENChalmers STEAL (2 STL)73
22.6%
74
77.4%
Q3 - 8:36MIAWade 6' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)73
25.6%
74
74.4%
Q3 - 8:42DENWade STEAL (1 STL)73
28.3%
72
71.7%
Q3 - 8:49MIABosh 2' Layup (28 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)73
31.8%
72
68.2%
Q3 - 9:09DENLawson 8' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)73
34.1%
70
65.9%
Q3 - 9:20DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
31.1%
70
68.9%
Q3 - 9:21DENMISS Iguodala 3PT Jump Shot71
28.9%
70
71.1%
Q3 - 9:31MIABosh 13' Fadeaway Jumper (26 PTS)71
31.1%
70
68.9%
Q3 - 9:53DENIguodala Traveling Turnover (P3.T6)71
34.2%
68
65.8%
Q3 - 9:58MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)71
37.8%
68
62.2%
Q3 - 10:17DENKoufos 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)71
39.7%
66
60.3%
Q3 - 10:22DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)69
36.6%
66
63.4%
Q3 - 10:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)69
33.1%
66
66.9%
Q3 - 10:23MIAMISS Bosh 1' Tip Shot69
35.5%
66
64.5%
Q3 - 10:26MIAMISS Wade 8' Floating Jump Shot69
35.5%
66
64.5%
Q3 - 10:48DENIguodala 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)69
33.2%
66
66.8%
Q3 - 11:02DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
26.8%
66
73.2%
Q3 - 11:03MIAMISS James 1' Alley Oop Layup66
26.0%
66
74.0%
Q3 - 11:09MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
24.1%
66
75.9%
Q3 - 11:11DENMISS Koufos 2' Layup66
24.9%
66
75.1%
Q3 - 11:23MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (James 8 AST)66
26.9%
66
73.1%
Q3 - 11:36DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)66
29.5%
64
70.5%
Q3 - 11:36DENNuggets Rebound66
32.6%
64
67.4%
Q3 - 11:36DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
30.4%
64
69.6%
Q3 - 11:37DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)66
32.6%
64
67.4%
Q3 - 11:38DENJames BLOCK (2 BLK)66
30.4%
64
69.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN66
32.6%
64
67.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound66
32.6%
64
67.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENMISS Brewer 40' 3PT Jump Shot66
30.3%
64
69.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIABosh 1' Dunk (20 PTS) (James 7 AST)66
31.6%
64
68.4%
Q2 - 0:14.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
35.4%
62
64.6%
Q2 - 0:15.0DENMISS McGee Free Throw 2 of 266
35.7%
62
64.3%
Q2 - 0:15.0DENMcGee Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)66
37.2%
62
62.8%
Q2 - 0:15.0DENNuggets Rebound65
34.6%
62
65.4%
Q2 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot65
33.9%
62
66.1%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
32.5%
62
67.5%
Q2 - 0:26.0DENMISS Lawson 19' Jump Shot65
33.1%
62
66.9%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIABosh 1' Layup (18 PTS)65
34.6%
62
65.4%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
38.5%
60
61.5%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Wade 14' Pullup Jump Shot65
40.1%
60
59.9%
Q2 - 1:04DENIguodala 1' Reverse Slam Dunk (13 PTS)65
38.2%
60
61.8%
Q2 - 1:10DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
34.2%
60
65.8%
Q2 - 1:11MIAMISS Anthony 1' Reverse Layup63
33.6%
60
66.4%
Q2 - 1:24DENMcGee Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)63
32.3%
60
67.7%
Q2 - 1:24DENMcGee Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)62
31.2%
60
68.8%
Q2 - 1:48MIABosh 14' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS) (James 6 AST)61
28.7%
60
71.3%
Q2 - 2:08MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
31.2%
58
68.8%
Q2 - 2:11DENMISS Faried 1' Layup61
32.1%
58
67.9%
Q2 - 2:12DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)61
34.0%
58
66.0%
Q2 - 2:13DENMISS Faried 2' Layup61
32.1%
58
67.9%
Q2 - 2:21MIAJames 12' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)61
34.0%
58
66.0%
Q2 - 2:25MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
36.8%
56
63.2%
Q2 - 2:29MIAMISS Bosh 8' Jump Shot61
38.9%
56
61.1%
Q2 - 2:31MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
36.9%
56
63.1%
Q2 - 2:33MIAMISS Anthony 8' Turnaround Hook Shot61
38.9%
56
61.1%
Q2 - 2:43MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
36.9%
56
63.1%
Q2 - 2:45DENMISS Iguodala Free Throw 2 of 261
37.3%
56
62.7%
Q2 - 2:45DENMISS Iguodala Free Throw 1 of 261
39.0%
56
61.0%
Q2 - 2:50MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)61
39.8%
56
60.2%
Q2 - 2:58DENLawson 4' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS)61
36.9%
56
63.1%
Q2 - 3:14MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)59
33.5%
56
66.5%
Q2 - 3:29DENIguodala 9' Jump Shot (11 PTS)59
35.8%
54
64.2%
Q2 - 3:45MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)57
33.5%
54
66.5%
Q2 - 3:45MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)57
34.1%
53
65.9%
Q2 - 3:50MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
35.8%
52
64.2%
Q2 - 3:51DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
36.8%
52
63.2%
Q2 - 4:06DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)57
37.9%
52
62.1%
Q2 - 4:07MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 257
37.5%
52
62.5%
Q2 - 4:07MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)57
35.8%
52
64.2%
Q2 - 4:11MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
37.7%
51
62.3%
Q2 - 4:12DENJames BLOCK (1 BLK)57
38.6%
51
61.4%
Q2 - 4:24MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)57
40.8%
51
59.2%
Q2 - 4:39DENLawson 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)57
43.4%
49
56.6%
Q2 - 4:49MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)55
40.8%
49
59.2%
Q2 - 5:11DENLawson 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)55
42.7%
47
57.3%
Q2 - 5:27MIAWade 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)53
40.0%
47
60.0%
Q2 - 5:31DENChalmers STEAL (1 STL)53
42.7%
45
57.3%
Q2 - 5:35DENIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
45.5%
45
54.5%
Q2 - 5:36MIAMISS Lewis 8' Running Jump Shot53
44.7%
45
55.3%
Q2 - 5:59DENIguodala 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)53
42.8%
45
57.2%
Q2 - 6:22MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)50
36.9%
45
63.1%
Q2 - 6:22MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)50
37.4%
44
62.6%
Q2 - 6:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
39.0%
43
61.0%
Q2 - 6:23MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot50
41.2%
43
58.8%
Q2 - 6:48DENMiller 12' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)50
39.0%
43
61.0%
Q2 - 7:03MIAChalmers 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)48
35.9%
43
64.1%
Q2 - 7:20DENFaried 1' Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)48
38.2%
41
61.8%
Q2 - 7:33DENNuggets Rebound46
36.0%
41
64.0%
Q2 - 7:34MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
35.2%
41
64.8%
Q2 - 7:43DENMiller 2' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Iguodala 2 AST)46
33.3%
41
66.7%
Q2 - 7:58MIALewis 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)44
31.3%
41
68.7%
Q2 - 8:12DENAllen STEAL (1 STL)44
32.8%
39
67.2%
Q2 - 8:25DENNuggets Rebound44
35.2%
39
64.8%
Q2 - 8:26MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot44
34.5%
39
65.5%
Q2 - 8:35MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
32.8%
39
67.2%
Q2 - 8:36DENMISS Brewer 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
33.6%
39
66.4%
Q2 - 8:52MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)44
35.3%
39
64.7%
Q2 - 8:52MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)44
35.7%
38
64.3%
Q2 - 9:06DENBrewer 4' Driving Jump Shot (7 PTS)44
36.5%
37
63.5%
Q2 - 9:24DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)42
34.4%
37
65.6%
Q2 - 9:25MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot42
33.7%
37
66.3%
Q2 - 9:40DENIguodala Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)42
32.1%
37
67.9%
Q2 - 9:55DENNuggets Rebound42
34.5%
37
65.5%
Q2 - 9:56MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot42
33.7%
37
66.3%
Q2 - 10:22DENMcGee 1' Dunk (11 PTS)42
31.8%
37
68.2%
Q2 - 10:23DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)40
30.0%
37
70.0%
Q2 - 10:24DENMISS Brewer 3PT Jump Shot40
28.4%
37
71.6%
Q2 - 10:43DENIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
30.0%
37
70.0%
Q2 - 10:45MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 240
29.7%
37
70.3%
Q2 - 10:45MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 240
28.4%
37
71.6%
Q2 - 11:01DENFaried 1' Layup (14 PTS)40
27.7%
37
72.3%
Q2 - 11:03DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)38
25.8%
37
74.2%
Q2 - 11:04DENMISS McGee Layup38
24.5%
37
75.5%
Q2 - 11:10DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
25.8%
37
74.2%
Q2 - 11:11DENWade BLOCK (2 BLK)38
24.5%
37
75.5%
Q2 - 11:26MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)38
25.8%
37
74.2%
Q2 - 11:41DENBrewer 1' Layup (5 PTS)38
27.7%
35
72.3%
Q2 - 11:44MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)36
25.8%
35
74.2%
Q2 - 11:47DENMcGee 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)36
23.9%
35
76.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN34
22.3%
35
77.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMiller 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 5 AST)34
21.9%
35
78.1%
Q1 - 0:24.0DENMcGee Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)34
25.8%
32
74.2%
Q1 - 0:37.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)31
22.0%
32
78.0%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot31
21.6%
32
78.4%
Q1 - 0:48.0DENBrewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)31
20.7%
32
79.3%
Q1 - 1:06MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)28
17.5%
32
82.5%
Q1 - 1:12MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
19.2%
30
80.8%
Q1 - 1:13DENMISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
19.6%
30
80.4%
Q1 - 1:29MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 4 AST)28
20.3%
30
79.7%
Q1 - 1:45DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)28
23.9%
27
76.1%
Q1 - 1:45DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
23.7%
27
76.3%
Q1 - 2:00MIAJames 18' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
21.9%
27
78.1%
Q1 - 2:18MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
23.7%
25
76.3%
Q1 - 2:19DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 126
23.9%
25
76.1%
Q1 - 2:26DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
22.0%
25
78.0%
Q1 - 2:27MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
21.5%
25
78.5%
Q1 - 2:33MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
20.5%
25
79.5%
Q1 - 2:34DENMISS Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
21.0%
25
79.0%
Q1 - 2:41MIAAllen 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)24
22.0%
25
78.0%
Q1 - 2:55DENMcGee 1' Putback Dunk (4 PTS)24
23.7%
23
76.3%
Q1 - 2:58DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
22.0%
23
78.0%
Q1 - 2:59DENMISS Faried 6' Hook Shot22
21.0%
23
79.0%
Q1 - 3:21MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)22
21.8%
23
78.2%
Q1 - 3:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
25.0%
20
75.0%
Q1 - 3:36DENMISS Gallinari 9' Running Jump Shot22
25.5%
20
74.5%
Q1 - 3:43DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
26.8%
20
73.2%
Q1 - 3:44MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot22
26.3%
20
73.7%
Q1 - 3:55DENMcGee 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)22
25.0%
20
75.0%
Q1 - 3:57DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)20
23.4%
20
76.6%
Q1 - 3:58DENMISS Iguodala 1' Layup20
22.3%
20
77.7%
Q1 - 4:15MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)20
23.0%
20
77.0%
Q1 - 4:15MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)20
23.2%
19
76.8%
Q1 - 4:28DENIguodala 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
24.5%
18
75.5%
Q1 - 4:50MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)18
23.0%
18
77.0%
Q1 - 4:50MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 218
23.3%
17
76.7%
Q1 - 5:04DENFaried 3' Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS)18
22.8%
17
77.2%
Q1 - 5:14DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
21.4%
17
78.6%
Q1 - 5:15MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot16
20.9%
17
79.1%
Q1 - 5:39DENIguodala Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
19.9%
17
80.1%
Q1 - 5:39DENIguodala Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
19.5%
17
80.5%
Q1 - 5:39DENIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
18.7%
17
81.3%
Q1 - 5:40DENMISS Koufos 3' Hook Shot14
17.8%
17
82.2%
Q1 - 6:00DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
18.7%
17
81.3%
Q1 - 6:01MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot14
18.1%
17
81.9%
Q1 - 6:11DENFaried Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T1)14
17.3%
17
82.7%
Q1 - 6:25DENNuggets Rebound14
18.5%
17
81.5%
Q1 - 6:27MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup14
18.1%
17
81.8%
Q1 - 6:30MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
17.3%
17
82.7%
Q1 - 6:31DENMISS Lawson 14' Jump Shot14
17.7%
17
82.3%
Q1 - 6:38DENIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
18.6%
17
81.4%
Q1 - 6:39MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot14
18.2%
17
81.8%
Q1 - 6:57DENFaried 1' Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)14
17.3%
17
82.7%
Q1 - 7:03MIABattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)12
16.3%
17
83.7%
Q1 - 7:03MIABattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)12
16.5%
16
83.5%
Q1 - 7:20DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
17.1%
15
82.9%
Q1 - 7:20DENMISS Gallinari Free Throw 1 of 211
17.0%
15
83.0%
Q1 - 7:36MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)11
17.3%
15
82.7%
Q1 - 7:54MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
18.3%
13
81.7%
Q1 - 7:55DENMISS Gallinari 3PT Jump Shot11
18.7%
13
81.3%
Q1 - 8:10MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)11
19.4%
13
80.6%
Q1 - 8:21DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)11
20.5%
11
79.5%
Q1 - 8:39DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
18.3%
11
81.7%
Q1 - 8:40MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot8
17.9%
11
82.1%
Q1 - 8:45MIAHEAT Rebound8
17.1%
11
82.9%
Q1 - 8:46MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
17.9%
11
82.1%
Q1 - 8:56DENFaried 2' Layup (6 PTS)8
17.1%
11
82.9%
Q1 - 8:57DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
16.1%
11
83.9%
Q1 - 8:58DENMISS Lawson 14' Jump Shot6
15.3%
11
84.7%
Q1 - 9:24MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)6
16.2%
11
83.8%
Q1 - 9:45DENFaried 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)6
18.2%
8
81.8%
Q1 - 9:58MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)4
17.2%
8
82.8%
Q1 - 10:14MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
19.3%
5
80.7%
Q1 - 10:15DENWade BLOCK (1 BLK)4
19.7%
5
80.3%
Q1 - 10:26MIABosh 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 1 AST)4
20.6%
5
79.4%
Q1 - 10:40MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Faried: Tip to James4
21.6%
3
78.4%
Q1 - 10:40DENMISS Gallinari 20' Jump Shot4
22.0%
3
78.0%
Q1 - 11:01MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
22.3%
3
77.7%
Q1 - 11:09DENFaried 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)4
24.8%
0
75.2%
Q1 - 11:21DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
23.5%
0
76.5%
Q1 - 11:22MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
23.2%
0
76.8%
Q1 - 11:41DENIguodala 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
22.5%
0
77.5%
Q1 - 11:47MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
21.2%
0
78.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Koufos: Tip to Chalmers0
20.2%
0
79.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.07 53.7%
MIA
1.23 61.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
29
43
67%
MIA
16
24
67%
Midrange
DEN
15
31
48%
MIA
17
34
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
5
7.5
21
24%
36%
MIA
10
15.0
25
40%
60%
Free Throws
DEN
13
20
65%
MIA
23
27
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Iguodala2265%11.0 / 17
K. Faried2273%11.0 / 15
A. Miller1785%8.5 / 10
J. McGee1673%8.0 / 11
T. Lawson1447%7.0 / 15
D. Gallinari1331%6.5 / 21
C. Brewer1050%5.0 / 10
K. Koufos225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh4074%20.0 / 27
R. Allen2396%11.5 / 12
L. James2053%10.0 / 19
D. Wade1447%7.0 / 15
M. Chalmers950%4.5 / 9
S. Battier867%4.0 / 6
M. Miller350%1.5 / 3
R. Lewis250%1.0 / 2
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 2
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
84
+23
-13
107
MIA
87
+8
-8
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.07 53.7%
MIA
1.23 61.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.6
112.1
DEN 119.6
MIA 125.3 +5.7
Pace
95.0
90.9
DEN 97.1 +2.1
MIA 95.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
16.0
DEN 14.8 +0.3
MIA 15.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
55.2%
DEN 54.2%
MIA 57.8% +3.6%
TO %
15.3%
14.5%
DEN 12.6%
MIA 7.8% +4.8%
ORB %
31.4%
22.2%
DEN 41.9% +22.5%
MIA 19.4%
FTrt
30.8
29.7
DEN 21.1
MIA 32.5 +11.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
60.0%
DEN 26.5%
MIA 60.5% +34.0%
STL %
9.7%
9.5%
DEN 5.2%
MIA 9.5% +4.3%
BLK %
10.4%
9.1%
DEN 5.2%
MIA 10.8% +5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
57.0%
DEN 53.7%
MIA 61.3% +7.6%
Rim FG%
60.5%
65.9%
DEN 67.4% +0.7%
MIA 66.7%
Mid FG%
35.7%
41.9%
DEN 48.4%
MIA 50.0% +1.6%
3P %
34.3%
39.6%
DEN 23.8%
MIA 40.0% +16.2%
FT %
70.1%
75.4%
DEN 65.0%
MIA 85.2% +20.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
50.1%
34.8%
DEN 45.3% +16.3%
MIA 28.9%
Mid Att. %
28.2%
36.7%
DEN 32.6% +8.3%
MIA 41.0%
3P Att. %
21.7%
28.5%
DEN 22.1%
MIA 30.1% +8.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.3 and 3.3.
Game TotalsDENMIA
Possessions9795
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points116119
Rebounds4732
Assists1326
Steals59
Blocks38
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)18 (5)7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (5)25 (2)
Field Goals49-9543-83
At-the-Rim FG29-4316-24
Midrange FG15-3117-34
2-Point FG44-7433-58
3-Point FG5-2110-25
Free Throws13-2023-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 5'11" 195 · 25
40.8
14
47%
4
6
2
1
4
2
2
2
0-0
-
7-15
47%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 29
39.6
22
65%
5
3
1
1
5
2
1
4
2-4
50%
7-10
70%
2-5
40%
F · 6'10" 225 · 24
36.6
13
31%
6
2
0
0
0
1
1
5
6-9
67%
2-8
25%
1-9
11%
F · 6'8" 228 · 23
36.1
22
73%
12
1
1
0
1
5
7
5
0-1
0%
11-15
73%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 265 · 24
13.7
2
25%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 37
27.6
17
85%
2
1
0
0
3
1
1
1
1-1
100%
8-10
80%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 186 · 27
22.8
10
50%
5
0
1
0
0
4
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-7
29%
C · 7'0" 270 · 25
22.7
16
73%
9
0
0
1
0
4
4
5
4-5
80%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 275 · 26
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22
· 6'10" 225 · 23
F · 6'9" 210 · 20
#21 · F · 6'9" 225 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · G · 6'6" 200 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
116
54%
47
13
5
3
13
0
18
29
13-20
65%
44-74
59%
5-21
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.