FinalWin Prob.pScore
926%94
107
174%102
120
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
110.397101.7
MIA logo MIA
122.49893.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA107
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAWade Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (29 PTS)107
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAWade Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (28 PTS)107
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)107
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0BOSMISS Barbosa 11' Jump Shot107
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIABosh 2' Dunk (19 PTS) (Chalmers 11 AST)107
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)107
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0BOSMISS Barbosa 15' Jump Shot107
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)107
0.3%
116
99.7%
Q4 - 1:06MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2107
0.3%
116
99.7%
Q4 - 1:06MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)107
0.2%
116
99.8%
Q4 - 1:06MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)107
0.3%
115
99.7%
Q4 - 1:07BOSBosh BLOCK (3 BLK)107
0.4%
115
99.6%
Q4 - 1:15MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)107
0.8%
115
99.2%
Q4 - 1:15MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)107
0.8%
114
99.2%
Q4 - 1:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)107
1.6%
113
98.4%
Q4 - 1:29BOSMISS Rondo 16' Jump Shot107
2.0%
113
98.0%
Q4 - 1:47MIABosh 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Chalmers 10 AST)107
3.8%
113
96.2%
Q4 - 2:09BOSLee 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Rondo 13 AST)107
6.0%
111
94.0%
Q4 - 2:12BOSLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)105
4.4%
111
95.6%
Q4 - 2:13MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot105
3.6%
111
96.4%
Q4 - 2:34BOSBarbosa Layup (16 PTS) (Rondo 12 AST)105
2.4%
111
97.6%
Q4 - 2:43BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)103
1.7%
111
98.3%
Q4 - 2:45MIAMISS Battier 3' Driving Layup103
1.4%
111
98.6%
Q4 - 3:09BOSGarnett 5' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Rondo 11 AST)103
1.2%
111
98.8%
Q4 - 3:40MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)101
1.6%
111
98.4%
Q4 - 4:03BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)101
2.1%
109
97.9%
Q4 - 4:10BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)98
1.0%
109
99.0%
Q4 - 4:11MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot98
0.9%
109
99.1%
Q4 - 4:26BOSLee 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Pierce 5 AST)98
0.7%
109
99.3%
Q4 - 4:37BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)96
0.5%
109
99.5%
Q4 - 4:38MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 296
0.4%
109
99.6%
Q4 - 4:38MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)96
0.3%
109
99.7%
Q4 - 4:51BOSBarbosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)96
0.4%
108
99.6%
Q4 - 5:09MIAWade 1' Dunk (26 PTS) (Chalmers 9 AST)93
0.4%
108
99.6%
Q4 - 5:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)93
0.6%
106
99.4%
Q4 - 5:14MIAMISS Wade 18' Pullup Jump Shot93
0.7%
106
99.3%
Q4 - 5:32BOSRondo 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Pierce 4 AST)93
0.6%
106
99.4%
Q4 - 5:41BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)91
0.4%
106
99.6%
Q4 - 5:42MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot91
0.4%
106
99.6%
Q4 - 5:54MIAAllen Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)91
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 6:09BOSChalmers STEAL (3 STL)91
0.6%
105
99.4%
Q4 - 6:19BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)91
0.9%
105
99.1%
Q4 - 6:20MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot91
0.8%
105
99.2%
Q4 - 6:36BOSBarbosa 20' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)91
0.6%
105
99.4%
Q4 - 6:53MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (24 PTS)89
0.5%
105
99.5%
Q4 - 7:05MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 7:06BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 2 of 289
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 7:06BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 289
1.0%
103
99.0%
Q4 - 7:16MIAAllen Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)89
1.1%
103
98.9%
Q4 - 7:22MIAWade 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (22 PTS)89
1.5%
102
98.5%
Q4 - 7:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
1.9%
100
98.1%
Q4 - 7:45BOSMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot89
2.1%
100
97.9%
Q4 - 8:01MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)89
3.2%
100
96.8%
Q4 - 8:24BOSGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)89
2.4%
100
97.6%
Q4 - 8:24BOSGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)88
2.3%
100
97.7%
Q4 - 8:24BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)87
1.9%
100
98.1%
Q4 - 8:25MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Layup87
1.8%
100
98.2%
Q4 - 8:42BOSRondo 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS)87
1.5%
100
98.5%
Q4 - 8:48BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
1.1%
100
98.9%
Q4 - 8:50MIAMISS Wade 10' Running Hook Shot85
1.0%
100
99.0%
Q4 - 9:12BOSBarbosa 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)85
1.1%
100
98.9%
Q4 - 9:27MIALewis 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 3 AST)82
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 9:43BOSBarbosa 1' Running Layup (6 PTS)82
1.1%
97
98.9%
Q4 - 9:47BOSBarbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
0.9%
97
99.1%
Q4 - 9:48MIAMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 9:56MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 9:57BOSMISS Terry 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup80
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 10:23MIAAllen 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS)80
1.1%
97
98.9%
Q4 - 10:44BOSBarbosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rondo 10 AST)80
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q4 - 10:59BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)77
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 11:00MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 11:13MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 11:14BOSMISS Barbosa Free Throw 2 of 277
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 11:14BOSBarbosa Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)77
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 11:30MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (26 PTS)76
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 11:50BOSGarnett Foul Turnover (P5.T15)76
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS76
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q3 - 0:13.0MIALewis 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)76
1.5%
93
98.5%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q3 - 0:35.0BOSMISS Garnett 13' Jump Shot76
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAChalmers 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)76
2.2%
91
97.8%
Q3 - 1:18BOSGreen Traveling Turnover (P1.T14)76
3.0%
89
97.0%
Q3 - 1:30MIAAllen 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS)76
3.6%
89
96.4%
Q3 - 1:49BOSCeltics Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)76
4.3%
87
95.7%
Q3 - 2:17MIABosh 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Chalmers 8 AST)76
5.6%
87
94.4%
Q3 - 2:34BOSRondo 9' Floating Jump Shot (16 PTS)76
6.6%
85
93.4%
Q3 - 2:53MIALewis 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)74
5.5%
85
94.5%
Q3 - 3:01MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
6.9%
83
93.1%
Q3 - 3:02BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
7.3%
83
92.7%
Q3 - 3:06BOSBass REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)74
8.2%
83
91.8%
Q3 - 3:07BOSMISS Pierce 10' Jump Shot74
7.3%
83
92.7%
Q3 - 3:25MIABosh 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)74
8.2%
83
91.8%
Q3 - 3:37BOSBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)74
9.5%
81
90.5%
Q3 - 3:37BOSBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)73
9.3%
81
90.7%
Q3 - 3:40MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)72
8.2%
81
91.8%
Q3 - 3:58BOSRondo 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)72
6.9%
81
93.1%
Q3 - 4:22MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)70
6.2%
81
93.8%
Q3 - 4:41MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
7.0%
79
93.0%
Q3 - 4:42BOSMISS Terry 15' Jump Shot70
7.4%
79
92.6%
Q3 - 5:01MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)70
8.7%
79
91.3%
Q3 - 5:19MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)70
7.3%
79
92.7%
Q3 - 5:20BOSMISS Rondo 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
7.7%
79
92.3%
Q3 - 5:45MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (24 PTS)70
8.7%
79
91.3%
Q3 - 5:58BOSPierce 21' Jump Shot (23 PTS)70
9.9%
77
90.1%
Q3 - 6:12BOSBass REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)68
8.9%
77
91.1%
Q3 - 6:13MIAMISS Wade 18' Fadeaway Jumper68
8.5%
77
91.5%
Q3 - 6:31BOSBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)68
7.5%
77
92.5%
Q3 - 6:31BOSMISS Bass Free Throw 1 of 267
7.4%
77
92.6%
Q3 - 6:46MIAWade 1' Tip Shot (20 PTS)67
7.7%
77
92.3%
Q3 - 6:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)67
8.7%
75
91.3%
Q3 - 6:48MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
9.8%
75
90.2%
Q3 - 7:05BOSBass 1' Putback Dunk (12 PTS)67
9.0%
75
91.0%
Q3 - 7:07BOSBass REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)65
7.9%
75
92.1%
Q3 - 7:08BOSMISS Pierce 5' Driving Layup65
7.1%
75
92.9%
Q3 - 7:27MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)65
7.9%
75
92.1%
Q3 - 7:27MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)65
8.1%
74
91.9%
Q3 - 7:28BOSChalmers STEAL (2 STL)65
9.0%
73
91.0%
Q3 - 7:42MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)65
10.5%
73
89.5%
Q3 - 8:06BOSPierce 1' Layup (21 PTS) (Rondo 9 AST)65
13.6%
70
86.4%
Q3 - 8:20MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)63
12.1%
70
87.9%
Q3 - 8:30BOSRondo 9' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)63
15.5%
67
84.5%
Q3 - 8:40BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
13.8%
67
86.2%
Q3 - 8:41MIAMISS Bosh 12' Turnaround Jump Shot61
13.2%
67
86.8%
Q3 - 9:06BOSPierce Free Throw 3 of 3 (19 PTS)61
12.1%
67
87.9%
Q3 - 9:06BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 3 (18 PTS)60
11.8%
67
88.2%
Q3 - 9:06BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 3 (17 PTS)59
11.6%
67
88.4%
Q3 - 9:10BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
9.4%
67
90.6%
Q3 - 9:11MIAMISS Wade 8' Floating Jump Shot58
9.0%
67
91.0%
Q3 - 9:31BOSRondo 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)58
8.1%
67
91.9%
Q3 - 9:49BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)56
7.1%
67
92.9%
Q3 - 9:50MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
6.8%
67
93.2%
Q3 - 10:03BOSGarnett 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T11)56
6.2%
67
93.8%
Q3 - 10:23MIAWade 2' Layup (15 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)56
7.2%
67
92.8%
Q3 - 10:34MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
8.1%
65
91.9%
Q3 - 10:35BOSMISS Rondo 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
8.5%
65
91.5%
Q3 - 10:59BOSBass REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)56
9.4%
65
90.6%
Q3 - 11:00MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot56
9.0%
65
91.0%
Q3 - 11:19BOSBass 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)56
8.4%
65
91.6%
Q3 - 11:42MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)54
7.4%
65
92.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA54
9.5%
62
90.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)54
10.1%
62
89.9%
Q2 - 0:03.0BOSMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
10.3%
62
89.7%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAJames 2' Running Dunk (16 PTS)54
10.9%
62
89.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
12.7%
60
87.3%
Q2 - 0:32.0BOSBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)54
13.0%
60
87.0%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)54
13.8%
60
86.2%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)54
14.0%
59
86.0%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAHEAT Rebound54
15.9%
58
84.1%
Q2 - 0:54.0BOSMISS Pierce Layup54
16.3%
58
83.7%
Q2 - 0:57.0BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
17.2%
58
82.8%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAMISS James 4' Jump Shot54
16.8%
58
83.2%
Q2 - 1:09MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
16.1%
58
83.9%
Q2 - 1:10BOSMISS Garnett 1' Tip Shot54
16.5%
58
83.5%
Q2 - 1:11BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
17.3%
58
82.7%
Q2 - 1:12BOSMISS Bass 19' Jump Shot54
16.5%
58
83.5%
Q2 - 1:25BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
17.3%
58
82.7%
Q2 - 1:26MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
16.9%
58
83.1%
Q2 - 1:48BOSGarnett 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rondo 8 AST)54
16.1%
58
83.9%
Q2 - 2:01MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)52
14.3%
58
85.7%
Q2 - 2:01MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 252
14.6%
57
85.4%
Q2 - 2:13BOSRondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)52
14.3%
57
85.7%
Q2 - 2:13BOSRondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)51
13.8%
57
86.2%
Q2 - 2:26MIAWade 1' Driving Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)50
12.8%
57
87.2%
Q2 - 2:39MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)50
14.3%
55
85.7%
Q2 - 2:40BOSMISS Pierce 20' Jump Shot50
14.8%
55
85.2%
Q2 - 3:03MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)50
16.0%
55
84.0%
Q2 - 3:03MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)50
16.3%
54
83.7%
Q2 - 3:06BOSJames STEAL (2 STL)50
17.4%
53
82.6%
Q2 - 3:23BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
19.5%
53
80.5%
Q2 - 3:24MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 150
19.2%
53
80.8%
Q2 - 3:34BOSRondo 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)50
21.1%
51
78.9%
Q2 - 3:40BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
19.5%
51
80.5%
Q2 - 3:41MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Layup48
18.8%
51
81.2%
Q2 - 3:59BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)48
17.4%
51
82.6%
Q2 - 3:59BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)47
17.1%
51
82.9%
Q2 - 4:06BOSBass REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)46
15.9%
51
84.1%
Q2 - 4:07MIAMISS James 9' Turnaround Jump Shot46
15.4%
51
84.6%
Q2 - 4:23BOSRondo 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)46
14.2%
51
85.8%
Q2 - 4:42MIABosh 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)44
13.0%
51
87.0%
Q2 - 4:47MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
14.2%
49
85.8%
Q2 - 4:48BOSMISS Lee 19' Jump Shot44
14.7%
49
85.3%
Q2 - 5:06MIAAllen 25' 3PT Running Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)44
15.8%
49
84.2%
Q2 - 5:30MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
19.1%
46
80.9%
Q2 - 5:31BOSMISS Green 5' Hook Shot44
19.7%
46
80.3%
Q2 - 5:52MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)44
20.9%
46
79.1%
Q2 - 6:01BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)44
22.5%
44
77.5%
Q2 - 6:01BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)43
22.2%
44
77.8%
Q2 - 6:21MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)42
21.0%
44
79.0%
Q2 - 6:21MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 242
21.2%
43
78.8%
Q2 - 6:41BOSRondo 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)42
20.7%
43
79.3%
Q2 - 6:47BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
19.2%
43
80.8%
Q2 - 6:49MIAMISS Wade 3' Running Dunk40
18.6%
43
81.4%
Q2 - 6:57MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
17.3%
43
82.7%
Q2 - 6:58BOSMISS Pierce 1' Driving Layup40
17.8%
43
82.2%
Q2 - 7:02BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
19.1%
43
80.9%
Q2 - 7:03MIAMISS Bosh 4' Jump Shot40
18.6%
43
81.4%
Q2 - 7:06MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
17.3%
43
82.7%
Q2 - 7:08MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot40
18.6%
43
81.4%
Q2 - 7:22BOSBass 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)40
17.3%
43
82.7%
Q2 - 7:38MIAAllen 15' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)38
16.0%
43
84.0%
Q2 - 7:55BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)38
17.3%
41
82.7%
Q2 - 7:55BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)37
17.1%
41
82.9%
Q2 - 8:03BOSBass REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)36
16.0%
41
84.0%
Q2 - 8:04BOSMISS Bass 1' Tip Shot36
15.1%
41
84.9%
Q2 - 8:05BOSBass REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)36
16.0%
41
84.0%
Q2 - 8:06BOSMISS Pierce 1' Driving Layup36
15.1%
41
84.9%
Q2 - 8:14MIALewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)36
16.0%
41
84.0%
Q2 - 8:14MIAMISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 236
16.3%
40
83.7%
Q2 - 8:26BOSTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)36
16.0%
40
84.0%
Q2 - 8:26BOSTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)35
15.8%
40
84.2%
Q2 - 8:31BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
14.7%
40
85.3%
Q2 - 8:32MIAMISS Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
14.3%
40
85.7%
Q2 - 8:53BOSTerry Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)34
13.4%
40
86.6%
Q2 - 8:57BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
11.2%
40
88.8%
Q2 - 9:01MIAMISS Wade 10' Running Jump Shot31
10.9%
40
89.1%
Q2 - 9:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
10.2%
40
89.8%
Q2 - 9:15BOSLewis BLOCK (1 BLK)31
10.5%
40
89.5%
Q2 - 9:25MIACole 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)31
11.3%
40
88.7%
Q2 - 9:42BOSTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)31
13.4%
37
86.6%
Q2 - 9:49BOSTerry Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)31
14.7%
37
85.3%
Q2 - 10:04MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)30
13.6%
37
86.4%
Q2 - 10:11BOSTerry 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
14.6%
35
85.4%
Q2 - 10:32MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)28
13.6%
35
86.4%
Q2 - 10:44BOSTerry Foul Turnover (P2.T8)28
12.3%
35
87.7%
Q2 - 10:46MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)28
13.6%
35
86.4%
Q2 - 10:47BOSWade STEAL (2 STL)28
12.3%
35
87.7%
Q2 - 10:53MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T4)28
13.6%
35
86.4%
Q2 - 10:59BOSGarnett 9' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)28
12.3%
35
87.7%
Q2 - 11:09MIALewis 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)26
11.5%
35
88.5%
Q2 - 11:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
12.5%
33
87.5%
Q2 - 11:20BOSMISS Green Free Throw 2 of 226
12.6%
33
87.4%
Q2 - 11:20BOSGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
13.4%
33
86.6%
Q2 - 11:37MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)25
12.5%
33
87.5%
Q2 - 11:37MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)25
12.7%
32
87.3%
Q2 - 11:38BOSWade STEAL (1 STL)25
13.6%
31
86.4%
Q2 - 11:39BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
14.8%
31
85.2%
Q2 - 11:40MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot25
14.4%
31
85.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
13.6%
31
86.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)25
13.8%
31
86.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0BOSMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
14.1%
31
85.9%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)25
14.7%
31
85.3%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)25
14.8%
30
85.2%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
16.2%
29
83.8%
Q1 - 0:31.0BOSMISS Green 6' Running Hook Shot25
16.5%
29
83.5%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)25
17.3%
29
82.7%
Q1 - 0:58.0BOSPierce Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST)25
19.0%
27
81.0%
Q1 - 1:01BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
17.3%
27
82.7%
Q1 - 1:02MIAMISS James 1' Driving Layup23
17.0%
27
83.0%
Q1 - 1:10MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)23
16.3%
27
83.7%
Q1 - 1:11BOSMISS Green 20' Jump Shot23
16.6%
27
83.4%
Q1 - 1:42MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)23
17.3%
27
82.7%
Q1 - 2:14BOSSullinger 2' Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)23
20.3%
24
79.7%
Q1 - 2:19BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
18.8%
24
81.2%
Q1 - 2:20MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot21
18.4%
24
81.6%
Q1 - 2:33MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)21
17.5%
24
82.5%
Q1 - 2:34BOSMISS Pierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
17.9%
24
82.1%
Q1 - 2:45MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
18.8%
24
81.2%
Q1 - 2:45MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
19.1%
23
80.9%
Q1 - 3:01BOSBass 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)21
20.0%
22
80.0%
Q1 - 3:14MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)19
18.7%
22
81.3%
Q1 - 3:29BOSLee 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bass 1 AST)19
20.0%
20
80.0%
Q1 - 3:34BOSBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)17
18.7%
20
81.3%
Q1 - 3:35BOSMISS Rondo 19' Jump Shot17
17.7%
20
82.3%
Q1 - 3:43BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
18.7%
20
81.3%
Q1 - 3:44MIAMISS Bosh 9' Hook Shot17
18.2%
20
81.8%
Q1 - 3:53BOSBattier STEAL (1 STL)17
17.3%
20
82.7%
Q1 - 4:05MIAWade 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)17
18.4%
20
81.6%
Q1 - 4:09BOSJames STEAL (1 STL)17
19.7%
18
80.3%
Q1 - 4:23MIAJames 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
21.2%
18
78.8%
Q1 - 4:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
22.7%
16
77.3%
Q1 - 4:38BOSMISS Rondo Reverse Layup17
23.2%
16
76.8%
Q1 - 5:07MIABosh 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)17
24.1%
16
75.9%
Q1 - 5:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
25.6%
14
74.4%
Q1 - 5:19MIAMISS Wade 3' Jump Shot17
26.8%
14
73.2%
Q1 - 5:27MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
25.6%
14
74.4%
Q1 - 5:28MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot17
26.8%
14
73.2%
Q1 - 5:48BOSLee 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)17
25.6%
14
74.4%
Q1 - 5:59MIAChalmers 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)14
22.6%
14
77.4%
Q1 - 6:04BOSChalmers STEAL (1 STL)14
23.5%
12
76.5%
Q1 - 6:09BOSBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
25.1%
12
74.9%
Q1 - 6:10MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot14
24.6%
12
75.4%
Q1 - 6:26BOSGarnett Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)14
23.6%
12
76.4%
Q1 - 6:40MIAWade 8' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)14
25.2%
12
74.8%
Q1 - 6:53BOSLee 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)14
26.6%
10
73.4%
Q1 - 6:59MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)12
25.2%
10
74.8%
Q1 - 7:11BOSBass 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)12
23.1%
10
76.9%
Q1 - 7:30MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
22.0%
10
78.0%
Q1 - 7:30MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
22.3%
9
77.7%
Q1 - 7:40MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
23.1%
8
76.9%
Q1 - 7:41BOSMISS Bass 14' Turnaround Jump Shot10
23.6%
8
76.4%
Q1 - 8:00MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)10
24.8%
8
75.2%
Q1 - 8:09MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
22.9%
8
77.1%
Q1 - 8:10BOSMISS Garnett 12' Turnaround Jump Shot10
23.3%
8
76.7%
Q1 - 8:19BOSBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
24.3%
8
75.7%
Q1 - 8:20MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot10
23.9%
8
76.1%
Q1 - 8:32BOSGarnett Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T1)10
22.9%
8
77.1%
Q1 - 8:37MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)10
24.4%
8
75.6%
Q1 - 9:03BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)10
26.8%
5
73.2%
Q1 - 9:21BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
24.2%
5
75.8%
Q1 - 9:22MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
23.7%
5
76.3%
Q1 - 9:33BOSPierce 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)7
22.7%
5
77.3%
Q1 - 9:44MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
21.6%
5
78.4%
Q1 - 10:01BOSPierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)5
22.5%
3
77.5%
Q1 - 10:13BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
20.3%
3
79.7%
Q1 - 10:14MIAMISS Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper2
19.9%
3
80.1%
Q1 - 10:39BOSBass 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)2
19.1%
3
80.9%
Q1 - 10:57BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.2%
3
81.8%
Q1 - 10:58MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup0
17.8%
3
82.2%
Q1 - 11:06MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
17.0%
3
83.0%
Q1 - 11:07BOSMISS Garnett 19' Jump Shot0
17.3%
3
82.7%
Q1 - 11:26MIABattier 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)0
17.9%
3
82.1%
Q1 - 11:40MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.0%
0
80.0%
Q1 - 11:42BOSWade BLOCK (1 BLK)0
20.3%
0
79.7%
Q1 - 11:47BOSBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
21.0%
0
79.0%
Q1 - 11:48BOSBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)0
20.3%
0
79.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Garnett: Tip to Lee0
21.0%
0
79.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.20 60.1%
MIA
1.26 63.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
16
28
57%
MIA
16
25
64%
Midrange
BOS
17
34
50%
MIA
19
38
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
6
9.0
13
46%
69%
MIA
8
12.0
16
50%
75%
Free Throws
BOS
23
28
82%
MIA
26
32
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Pierce2361%11.5 / 19
R. Rondo2063%10.0 / 16
L. Barbosa1689%8.0 / 9
B. Bass1558%7.5 / 13
C. Lee1192%5.5 / 6
K. Garnett956%4.5 / 8
J. Terry850%4.0 / 8
J. Green325%1.5 / 6
J. Sullinger250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2956%14.5 / 26
L. James2672%13.0 / 18
C. Bosh1956%9.5 / 17
R. Allen1995%9.5 / 10
R. Lewis1083%5.0 / 6
M. Chalmers850%4.0 / 8
S. Battier675%3.0 / 4
N. Cole375%1.5 / 2
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
82
+7
-15
89
MIA
90
+5
-8
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.20 60.1%
MIA
1.26 63.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.8
112.1
BOS 110.3
MIA 122.4 +12.1
Pace
92.1
90.9
BOS 101.7 +8.0
MIA 93.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.0
BOS 14.2 +1.2
MIA 15.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.3%
55.2%
BOS 56.0%
MIA 59.5% +3.5%
TO %
14.8%
14.5%
BOS 15.5%
MIA 7.9% +7.6%
ORB %
20.2%
22.2%
BOS 18.4% +5.6%
MIA 12.8%
FTrt
26.3
29.7
BOS 37.3
MIA 40.5 +3.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.4%
60.0%
BOS 61.5% +3.4%
MIA 58.1%
STL %
8.8%
9.5%
BOS 4.1%
MIA 8.2% +4.1%
BLK %
7.3%
9.1%
BOS 3.2%
MIA 8.1% +4.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
57.0%
BOS 60.1%
MIA 63.2% +3.1%
Rim FG%
57.1%
65.9%
BOS 57.1%
MIA 64.0% +6.9%
Mid FG%
43.3%
41.9%
BOS 50.0%
MIA 50.0%
3P %
35.8%
39.6%
BOS 46.2%
MIA 50.0% +3.8%
FT %
77.7%
75.4%
BOS 82.1% +0.8%
MIA 81.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.6%
34.8%
BOS 37.3% +5.7%
MIA 31.6%
Mid Att. %
43.9%
36.7%
BOS 45.3% +2.8%
MIA 48.1%
3P Att. %
21.5%
28.5%
BOS 17.3%
MIA 20.3% +2.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions9798
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points107120
Rebounds4136
Assists2425
Steals48
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (0)5 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (0)31 (2)
Field Goals39-7543-79
At-the-Rim FG16-2816-25
Midrange FG17-3419-38
2-Point FG33-6235-63
3-Point FG6-138-16
Free Throws23-2826-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 186 · 27
43.5
20
63%
7
13
0
0
4
4
0
7
2-4
50%
9-12
75%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 235 · 35
40.6
23
61%
5
5
2
0
0
3
0
5
9-9
100%
4-11
36%
2-4
50%
C · 6'11" 240 · 36
31.7
9
56%
12
2
0
2
5
4
1
11
1-1
100%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 250 · 28
28.3
15
58%
11
1
0
0
1
2
6
5
3-4
75%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 200 · 27
24.0
11
92%
1
1
0
0
1
5
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
80%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 185 · 35
24.9
8
50%
0
1
1
0
3
3
0
0
4-4
100%
2-4
50%
0-3
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
23.1
3
25%
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
3
3-4
75%
0-4
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 194 · 30
15.8
16
89%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
3-3
100%
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 21
8.1
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30
C · 7'0" 275 · 27
F · 6'7" 210 · 24
C · 7'0" 255 · 34
#13 · C · 7'0" 255 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#0 · G · 6'2" 180 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
60%
41
24
4
2
15
0
7
34
23-28
82%
33-62
53%
6-13
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.