FinalWin Prob.pScore
1151%90
66
1949%89
78
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
75.08880.8
BOS logo BOS
86.79098.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS66
0%
78
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAPittman 2' Layup (12 PTS)66
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0BOSMISS Daniels 1' Layup64
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAPittman Dunk (10 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)64
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 1 of 162
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07BOSJohnson 1' Reverse Dunk (6 PTS) (Pavlovic 2 AST)60
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19BOSJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot60
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37BOSPavlovic 19' Step Back Jump Shot (16 PTS)60
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51BOSPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
0.1%
74
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup60
0.1%
74
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02BOSMoore 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Daniels 4 AST)60
0.1%
74
99.9%
Q4 - 2:10MIAChalmers Backcourt Turnover (P3.T25)60
0.3%
71
99.7%
Q4 - 2:30BOSPavlovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)60
0.6%
71
99.4%
Q4 - 2:38MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)60
1.4%
68
98.6%
Q4 - 2:43MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
2.8%
68
97.2%
Q4 - 2:44BOSMISS Daniels 2' Layup60
2.3%
68
97.7%
Q4 - 2:57MIAPittman Traveling Turnover (P5.T23)60
2.3%
68
97.7%
Q4 - 3:10MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)60
3.8%
68
96.2%
Q4 - 3:10BOSMISS Johnson 10' Jump Shot60
3.2%
68
96.8%
Q4 - 3:26BOSJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
2.1%
68
97.9%
Q4 - 3:26MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot60
2.5%
68
97.5%
Q4 - 3:44BOSDaniels Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)60
6.4%
68
93.6%
Q4 - 3:59MIAChalmers 12' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)60
12.0%
65
88.0%
Q4 - 4:13BOSWilliams Foul Turnover (P2.T15)58
8.6%
65
91.4%
Q4 - 4:22MIAChalmers Free Throw 3 of 3 (6 PTS)58
5.8%
65
94.2%
Q4 - 4:22MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 357
5.4%
65
94.6%
Q4 - 4:22MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 3 (5 PTS)57
7.2%
65
92.8%
Q4 - 4:44BOSPavlovic 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)56
4.1%
65
95.9%
Q4 - 4:53BOSMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)56
8.1%
62
91.9%
Q4 - 4:54MIAMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot56
9.1%
62
90.9%
Q4 - 5:16BOSPavlovic 1' Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)56
15.2%
62
84.8%
Q4 - 5:21BOSCELTICS Rebound56
19.7%
60
80.3%
Q4 - 5:22BOSMISS Daniels 3' Layup56
23.9%
60
76.1%
Q4 - 5:34MIAWilliams STEAL (2 STL)56
19.6%
60
80.4%
Q4 - 5:54MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
25.8%
60
74.2%
Q4 - 5:54BOSMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot56
23.8%
60
76.2%
Q4 - 6:15MIAHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)56
22.5%
60
77.5%
Q4 - 6:15MIAHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)55
21.4%
60
78.6%
Q4 - 6:35BOSPavlovic 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)54
17.8%
60
82.2%
Q4 - 6:36BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
22.4%
58
77.6%
Q4 - 6:37BOSMISS Moore 20' Jump Shot54
26.5%
58
73.5%
Q4 - 6:57MIAHoward Traveling Turnover (P4.T21)54
22.3%
58
77.7%
Q4 - 7:12BOSWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)54
30.6%
58
69.4%
Q4 - 7:12BOSWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)54
32.5%
57
67.5%
Q4 - 7:26MIAHoward 3' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)54
36.2%
56
63.8%
Q4 - 7:44MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)52
30.5%
56
69.5%
Q4 - 7:46BOSMISS Williams 11' Turnaround Jump Shot52
28.6%
56
71.4%
Q4 - 8:08MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#20)52
26.9%
56
73.1%
Q4 - 8:08MIAHeat Rebound52
32.1%
56
67.9%
Q4 - 8:08MIAWilliams BLOCK (2 BLK)52
28.4%
56
71.6%
Q4 - 8:32BOSWilliams 2' Layup (3 PTS)52
32.0%
56
68.0%
Q4 - 8:34BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
37.9%
54
62.1%
Q4 - 8:35BOSMISS Johnson 2' Running Layup52
42.2%
54
57.8%
Q4 - 8:47BOSMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)52
37.9%
54
62.1%
Q4 - 8:50MIAJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)52
39.7%
54
60.3%
Q4 - 8:56BOSMoore Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)52
44.1%
54
55.9%
Q4 - 9:04MIAAnthony 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T19)52
39.0%
54
61.0%
Q4 - 9:28BOSDaniels 1' Driving Dunk (10 PTS)52
44.6%
54
55.4%
Q4 - 9:33MIADaniels STEAL (2 STL)52
50.7%
52
49.3%
Q4 - 9:54BOSJohnson 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Pavlovic 1 AST)52
56.5%
52
43.5%
Q4 - 10:12BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
61.7%
50
38.3%
Q4 - 10:13MIAMISS Harris 3PT Jump Shot52
63.3%
50
36.7%
Q4 - 10:27MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)52
66.9%
50
33.1%
Q4 - 10:27BOSMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot52
65.3%
50
34.7%
Q4 - 10:35BOSMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
61.7%
50
38.3%
Q4 - 10:36MIAMISS Howard 5' Jump Shot52
63.3%
50
36.7%
Q4 - 10:42MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)52
66.9%
50
33.1%
Q4 - 10:43MIAMISS Anthony 6' Jump Shot52
63.3%
50
36.7%
Q4 - 10:53MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)52
66.9%
50
33.1%
Q4 - 10:54BOSMISS Daniels 4' Jump Shot52
65.4%
50
34.6%
Q4 - 11:17MIAAnthony 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)52
61.2%
50
38.8%
Q4 - 11:35MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
55.8%
50
44.2%
Q4 - 11:36BOSMISS Pavlovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
54.3%
50
45.7%
Q4 - 11:42BOSMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
50.6%
50
49.4%
Q4 - 11:43MIAMISS Harris 3' Running Jump Shot50
52.2%
50
47.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS50
55.8%
50
44.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIACole 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)50
50.9%
50
49.1%
Q3 - 0:11.0BOSPavlovic 1' Layup (4 PTS)48
45.5%
50
54.5%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIACole Foul Turnover (P4.T17)48
50.9%
48
49.1%
Q3 - 0:43.0BOSBass 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)48
55.6%
48
44.4%
Q3 - 0:51.0BOSBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)48
60.9%
46
39.1%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Cole 2' Layup48
62.3%
46
37.7%
Q3 - 1:02BOSBradley Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)48
64.8%
46
35.2%
Q3 - 1:04MIABradley STEAL (3 STL)48
60.5%
46
39.5%
Q3 - 1:10MIAHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
64.8%
46
35.2%
Q3 - 1:12BOSMISS Bradley 4' Jump Shot48
63.5%
46
36.5%
Q3 - 1:28MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)48
60.5%
46
39.5%
Q3 - 1:54BOSBass 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)46
55.4%
46
44.6%
Q3 - 2:02BOSHollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
59.7%
44
40.3%
Q3 - 2:07MIAMISS Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
61.1%
44
38.9%
Q3 - 2:13MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
64.2%
44
35.8%
Q3 - 2:15BOSMISS Hollins 3' Layup46
62.9%
44
37.1%
Q3 - 2:38BOSBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)46
59.8%
44
40.2%
Q3 - 2:38MIAMISS Harris 21' Jump Shot46
61.2%
44
38.8%
Q3 - 3:02MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
64.0%
44
36.0%
Q3 - 3:03MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot46
61.0%
44
39.0%
Q3 - 3:08MIAHeat Rebound46
64.0%
44
36.0%
Q3 - 3:09MIAPavlovic BLOCK (1 BLK)46
61.0%
44
39.0%
Q3 - 3:32BOSBradley 9' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)46
64.0%
44
36.0%
Q3 - 3:45BOSBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
67.9%
42
32.1%
Q3 - 3:46MIAMISS Chalmers 21' Jump Shot46
69.1%
42
30.9%
Q3 - 4:15BOSPavlovic 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)46
71.4%
42
28.6%
Q3 - 4:42BOSCELTICS Rebound46
74.3%
40
25.7%
Q3 - 4:43BOSMISS Dooling 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
76.9%
40
23.1%
Q3 - 5:00MIAPittman Foul Turnover (P3.T15)46
74.3%
40
25.7%
Q3 - 5:18BOSBass 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)46
77.0%
40
23.0%
Q3 - 5:25BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
79.5%
38
20.5%
Q3 - 5:26MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot46
80.4%
38
19.6%
Q3 - 5:49BOSPierce 16' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)46
82.4%
38
17.6%
Q3 - 6:10MIAHaslem 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Pittman 3 AST)46
83.7%
36
16.3%
Q3 - 6:20MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
81.6%
36
18.4%
Q3 - 6:20MIAMISS Miller 2' Layup44
79.7%
36
20.3%
Q3 - 6:42BOSPierce 9' Fadeaway Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Bradley 3 AST)44
81.6%
36
18.4%
Q3 - 6:52BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
83.7%
34
16.3%
Q3 - 6:52MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot44
84.4%
34
15.6%
Q3 - 7:05MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
84.7%
34
15.3%
Q3 - 7:05BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
84.1%
34
15.9%
Q3 - 7:21BOSHollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
82.6%
34
17.4%
Q3 - 7:22MIAMISS Pittman 3' Hook Shot44
83.3%
34
16.7%
Q3 - 7:43BOSBradley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)44
84.9%
34
15.1%
Q3 - 8:04MIAPittman 2' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)44
82.1%
34
17.9%
Q3 - 8:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)42
80.0%
34
20.0%
Q3 - 8:13MIAMISS Battier 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot42
78.1%
34
21.9%
Q3 - 8:43BOSBradley Driving Layup (6 PTS)42
80.0%
34
20.0%
Q3 - 8:49BOSBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)42
82.1%
32
17.9%
Q3 - 8:50MIAMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
82.8%
32
17.2%
Q3 - 8:58BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T11)42
84.4%
32
15.6%
Q3 - 9:15MIAMiller 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)42
81.6%
32
18.4%
Q3 - 9:29BOSDooling 11' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)39
76.9%
32
23.1%
Q3 - 9:53MIAHaslem 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)39
79.3%
30
20.7%
Q3 - 10:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)37
76.3%
30
23.7%
Q3 - 10:07BOSMISS Bradley 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
75.5%
30
24.5%
Q3 - 10:30MIAMiller 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)37
73.5%
30
26.5%
Q3 - 10:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)34
67.8%
30
32.2%
Q3 - 10:49BOSMISS Bass 12' Jump Shot34
66.8%
30
33.2%
Q3 - 10:59MIABradley STEAL (2 STL)34
64.4%
30
35.6%
Q3 - 11:11BOSBradley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
67.6%
30
32.4%
Q3 - 11:11BOSBradley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
68.2%
29
31.8%
Q3 - 11:21BOSBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)34
70.4%
28
29.6%
Q3 - 11:23MIAMISS Chalmers 6' Floating Jump Shot34
71.3%
28
28.7%
Q3 - 11:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)34
73.3%
28
26.7%
Q3 - 11:41BOSMISS Bass 7' Jump Shot34
72.5%
28
27.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS34
70.4%
28
29.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
70.4%
28
29.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot34
71.3%
28
28.7%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)34
72.3%
28
27.7%
Q2 - 0:14.0BOSMISS Bradley 3' Layup34
71.7%
28
28.3%
Q2 - 0:35.0BOSBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
70.3%
28
29.7%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Chalmers 11' Jump Shot34
71.0%
28
29.0%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)34
72.4%
28
27.6%
Q2 - 1:02BOSMISS Hollins Free Throw 2 of 234
71.6%
28
28.4%
Q2 - 1:02BOSMISS Hollins Free Throw 1 of 234
70.1%
28
29.9%
Q2 - 1:02BOSCELTICS Rebound34
70.0%
28
30.0%
Q2 - 1:02BOSMISS Bradley 4' Jump Shot34
71.3%
28
28.7%
Q2 - 1:16MIAChalmers 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Pittman 2 AST)34
70.0%
28
30.0%
Q2 - 1:35BOSMoore 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)32
66.3%
28
33.7%
Q2 - 1:40BOSMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
70.1%
26
29.9%
Q2 - 1:41MIAMISS Miller 29' 3PT Jump Shot32
70.6%
26
29.4%
Q2 - 2:06BOSDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)32
71.8%
26
28.2%
Q2 - 2:06BOSMISS Daniels Free Throw 1 of 232
72.4%
25
27.6%
Q2 - 2:20MIAPittman 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)32
71.8%
25
28.2%
Q2 - 2:32MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)30
69.2%
25
30.8%
Q2 - 2:33BOSMISS Bass 12' Step Back Jump Shot30
68.3%
25
31.7%
Q2 - 2:52MIAMiller 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)30
66.5%
25
33.5%
Q2 - 3:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
63.7%
25
36.3%
Q2 - 3:09BOSMISS Hollins Free Throw 2 of 228
63.2%
25
36.8%
Q2 - 3:09BOSMISS Hollins Free Throw 1 of 228
61.7%
25
38.3%
Q2 - 3:22MIAHoward 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)28
60.3%
25
39.7%
Q2 - 3:44BOSDaniels 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)26
57.8%
25
42.2%
Q2 - 3:55BOSBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
60.3%
23
39.7%
Q2 - 3:59MIAMISS Pittman 9' Turnaround Hook Shot26
61.4%
23
38.6%
Q2 - 4:24BOSDaniels Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)26
63.2%
23
36.8%
Q2 - 4:29BOSDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
68.4%
20
31.6%
Q2 - 4:30MIAMISS Howard 10' Hook Shot26
69.2%
20
30.8%
Q2 - 4:44MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
71.1%
20
28.9%
Q2 - 4:45BOSMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot26
70.3%
20
29.7%
Q2 - 4:54BOSJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
68.4%
20
31.6%
Q2 - 4:56MIAWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)26
69.2%
20
30.8%
Q2 - 5:05MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
70.7%
20
29.3%
Q2 - 5:05BOSMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot26
70.0%
20
30.0%
Q2 - 5:21MIAHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)26
68.3%
20
31.7%
Q2 - 5:36MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)26
70.7%
20
29.3%
Q2 - 5:36BOSMISS Moore 27' 3PT Jump Shot26
70.0%
20
30.0%
Q2 - 5:56MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)26
68.3%
20
31.7%
Q2 - 6:14MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
62.8%
20
37.2%
Q2 - 6:15BOSMISS Williams 1' Layup23
61.9%
20
38.1%
Q2 - 6:19MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)23
59.7%
20
40.3%
Q2 - 6:23MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
62.8%
20
37.2%
Q2 - 6:23BOSMISS Dooling Free Throw 1 of 123
62.4%
20
37.6%
Q2 - 6:44MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)23
65.0%
18
35.0%
Q2 - 7:05BOSJohnson Foul Turnover (P2.T10)20
59.9%
18
40.1%
Q2 - 7:27MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)20
57.0%
18
43.0%
Q2 - 7:49BOSDooling 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Moore 1 AST)17
51.9%
18
48.1%
Q2 - 7:55BOSDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
57.0%
15
43.0%
Q2 - 7:56MIAMISS Cole 13' Jump Shot17
57.9%
15
42.1%
Q2 - 8:14MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
59.7%
15
40.3%
Q2 - 8:15BOSMISS Daniels Layup17
58.9%
15
41.1%
Q2 - 8:25BOSDooling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
57.0%
15
43.0%
Q2 - 8:26BOSMISS Moore 15' Jump Shot17
58.9%
15
41.1%
Q2 - 8:42BOSDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
57.0%
15
43.0%
Q2 - 8:44MIAMISS Anthony 2' Layup17
57.8%
15
42.2%
Q2 - 8:45MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
59.7%
15
40.3%
Q2 - 8:46MIAMISS Anthony 3' Layup17
57.8%
15
42.2%
Q2 - 8:59BOSJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)17
59.7%
15
40.3%
Q2 - 9:10BOSMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
56.8%
15
43.2%
Q2 - 9:12MIAMISS Howard 5' Turnaround Jump Shot17
57.6%
15
42.4%
Q2 - 9:32MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
59.4%
15
40.6%
Q2 - 9:33BOSMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot17
58.6%
15
41.4%
Q2 - 9:50BOSDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
56.8%
15
43.2%
Q2 - 9:51MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot17
57.6%
15
42.4%
Q2 - 9:57BOSWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)17
59.4%
15
40.6%
Q2 - 10:16BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
56.4%
15
43.6%
Q2 - 10:17MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot17
57.3%
15
42.7%
Q2 - 10:35BOSMoore 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
59.2%
15
40.8%
Q2 - 10:48BOSMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
61.3%
13
38.7%
Q2 - 10:48MIAMISS Cole 10' Jump Shot17
62.2%
13
37.8%
Q2 - 11:14BOSWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (1 PTS)17
63.5%
13
36.5%
Q2 - 11:14BOSJohnson 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)17
65.8%
12
34.2%
Q2 - 11:26BOSDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
67.9%
10
32.1%
Q2 - 11:27MIADaniels BLOCK (1 BLK)17
68.5%
10
31.5%
Q2 - 11:43MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
70.1%
10
29.9%
Q2 - 11:43BOSMISS Johnson 13' Jump Shot17
69.4%
10
30.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS17
67.9%
10
32.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSCELTICS Rebound17
67.9%
10
32.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Dooling 28' 3PT Jump Shot17
69.4%
10
30.6%
Q1 - 0:15.0BOSDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
67.6%
10
32.4%
Q1 - 0:15.0BOSMISS Daniels 15' Jump Shot17
68.7%
10
31.3%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIACole Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)17
67.6%
10
32.4%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
69.3%
10
30.7%
Q1 - 0:50.0BOSMISS Bradley 3' Driving Dunk17
68.8%
10
31.2%
Q1 - 1:00MIACole 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)17
67.6%
10
32.4%
Q1 - 1:04MIAHeat Rebound15
64.7%
10
35.3%
Q1 - 1:05MIAJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)15
63.6%
10
36.4%
Q1 - 1:23BOSBass Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)15
64.7%
10
35.3%
Q1 - 1:27MIABass STEAL (2 STL)15
63.1%
10
36.9%
Q1 - 1:49BOSDaniels 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bradley 2 AST)15
64.7%
10
35.3%
Q1 - 2:07MIABass STEAL (1 STL)15
67.0%
8
33.0%
Q1 - 2:25BOSPierce 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS)15
68.8%
8
31.2%
Q1 - 2:50MIAAnthony 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)15
70.9%
6
29.1%
Q1 - 3:06BOSBradley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
68.8%
6
31.2%
Q1 - 3:06BOSBradley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
69.2%
5
30.8%
Q1 - 3:11BOSHollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
70.6%
4
29.4%
Q1 - 3:12MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup13
71.2%
4
28.8%
Q1 - 3:18MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
72.6%
4
27.4%
Q1 - 3:19BOSMISS Bradley 17' Jump Shot13
72.0%
4
28.0%
Q1 - 3:31BOSDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
70.6%
4
29.4%
Q1 - 3:32MIAMISS Pittman 5' Jump Shot13
71.2%
4
28.8%
Q1 - 3:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)13
72.6%
4
27.4%
Q1 - 3:49BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
72.0%
4
28.0%
Q1 - 4:11MIAPittman 2' Layup (4 PTS)13
70.2%
4
29.8%
Q1 - 4:12MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
68.5%
4
31.5%
Q1 - 4:13MIAMISS Pittman 3' Hook Shot11
67.0%
4
33.0%
Q1 - 4:36BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T6)11
68.5%
4
31.5%
Q1 - 4:49MIADaniels STEAL (1 STL)11
66.4%
4
33.6%
Q1 - 5:11BOSBass 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bradley 1 AST)11
67.7%
4
32.3%
Q1 - 5:24MIAMiller 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T7)11
69.3%
2
30.7%
Q1 - 5:45BOSPierce 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
71.3%
2
28.7%
Q1 - 5:52BOSCELTICS Rebound11
72.8%
0
27.2%
Q1 - 5:53BOSMISS Bradley 2' Layup11
74.1%
0
25.9%
Q1 - 6:08MIABattier 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Pittman 1 AST)11
72.2%
0
27.8%
Q1 - 6:29BOSHollins Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)9
70.6%
0
29.4%
Q1 - 6:48MIAChalmers 4' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
68.8%
0
31.2%
Q1 - 6:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)7
67.1%
0
32.9%
Q1 - 6:59BOSMISS Bass 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot7
66.5%
0
33.5%
Q1 - 7:20MIAPittman Foul Turnover (P2.T6)7
64.7%
0
35.3%
Q1 - 7:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)7
66.7%
0
33.3%
Q1 - 7:27BOSMISS Bradley 20' Pullup Jump Shot7
66.1%
0
33.9%
Q1 - 7:41MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)7
64.7%
0
35.3%
Q1 - 7:54BOSPierce Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T4)5
63.1%
0
36.9%
Q1 - 8:02MIAMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)5
61.2%
0
38.8%
Q1 - 8:03MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
62.9%
0
37.1%
Q1 - 8:04BOSMISS Pavlovic 2' Layup5
62.4%
0
37.6%
Q1 - 8:09MIABradley STEAL (1 STL)5
61.2%
0
38.8%
Q1 - 8:17MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw Technical5
62.9%
0
37.1%
Q1 - 8:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)5
62.9%
0
37.1%
Q1 - 8:27BOSMISS Pavlovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
62.4%
0
37.6%
Q1 - 8:45MIAPittman 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)5
61.1%
0
38.9%
Q1 - 8:56BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)3
59.2%
0
40.8%
Q1 - 9:06BOSBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
57.5%
0
42.5%
Q1 - 9:07MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
58.1%
0
41.9%
Q1 - 9:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)3
59.3%
0
40.7%
Q1 - 9:12MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
58.1%
0
41.9%
Q1 - 9:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
59.3%
0
40.7%
Q1 - 9:24BOSMISS Hollins 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot3
58.8%
0
41.2%
Q1 - 9:37BOSBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
57.5%
0
42.5%
Q1 - 9:37MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
58.1%
0
41.9%
Q1 - 9:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
59.3%
0
40.7%
Q1 - 9:51BOSMISS Pierce 16' Jump Shot3
58.8%
0
41.2%
Q1 - 10:10MIAPittman Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)3
57.1%
0
42.9%
Q1 - 10:20MIAHeat Rebound3
59.1%
0
40.9%
Q1 - 10:20MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup3
57.7%
0
42.3%
Q1 - 10:30MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
59.1%
0
40.9%
Q1 - 10:31BOSMISS Hollins 4' Jump Shot3
58.5%
0
41.5%
Q1 - 10:55MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)3
57.2%
0
42.8%
Q1 - 11:13BOSPierce Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)0
53.5%
0
46.5%
Q1 - 11:18MIAPavlovic STEAL (1 STL)0
52.0%
0
48.0%
Q1 - 11:29BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
53.5%
0
46.5%
Q1 - 11:41MIAMiller Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
52.0%
0
48.0%
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball Hollins vs. Pittman: Tip to Miller0
53.6%
0
46.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.87 43.4%
BOS
0.92 45.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
30
43%
BOS
15
30
50%
Midrange
MIA
9
26
35%
BOS
13
32
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
BOS
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
4
7
57%
BOS
10
16
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Pittman1260%6.0 / 10
J. Jones1179%5.5 / 7
M. Chalmers836%4.0 / 11
M. Miller840%4.0 / 10
U. Haslem675%3.0 / 4
N. Cole627%3.0 / 11
J. Howard630%3.0 / 10
S. Battier563%2.5 / 4
J. Anthony440%2.0 / 5
T. Harris0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Pavlovic1680%8.0 / 10
M. Daniels1354%6.5 / 12
A. Bradley833%4.0 / 12
B. Bass850%4.0 / 8
P. Pierce857%4.0 / 7
E. Moore758%3.5 / 6
K. Dooling770%3.5 / 5
J. Johnson633%3.0 / 9
S. Williams536%2.5 / 7
R. Hollins0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
64
+12
-24
76
BOS
75
+9
-15
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.87 43.4%
BOS
0.92 45.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
100.6
MIA 75.0
BOS 86.7 +11.7
Pace
91.3
90.8
MIA 80.8
BOS 98.8 +18.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.8
MIA 17.8
BOS 14.6 +3.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.5%
49.6%
MIA 42.5%
BOS 45.9% +3.4%
TO %
15.9%
15.4%
MIA 24.7%
BOS 15.6% +9.1%
ORB %
26.6%
19.9%
MIA 19.0% +9.0%
BOS 10.0%
FTrt
30.7
25.7
MIA 9.6
BOS 21.6 +12.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.8%
66.5%
MIA 71.4% +24.5%
BOS 46.9%
STL %
9.6%
8.3%
MIA 8.0%
BOS 12.2% +4.2%
BLK %
9.0%
8.7%
MIA 9.7%
BOS 10.7% +1.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.75 and 2.75.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
51.8%
MIA 43.4%
BOS 45.9% +2.5%
Rim FG%
61.1%
57.7%
MIA 43.3%
BOS 50.0% +6.7%
Mid FG%
40.0%
41.9%
MIA 34.6%
BOS 40.6% +6.0%
3P %
35.9%
36.7%
MIA 35.3% +2.0%
BOS 33.3%
FT %
77.5%
77.8%
MIA 57.1%
BOS 62.5% +5.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
32.5%
MIA 41.1% +0.6%
BOS 40.5%
Mid Att. %
43.6%
48.0%
MIA 35.6% +7.6%
BOS 43.2%
3P Att. %
19.8%
19.4%
MIA 23.3% +7.1%
BOS 16.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions8890
Possession Minutes26.121.9
Points6678
Rebounds4438
Assists2015
Steals711
Blocks66
Turnovers (Team)24 (1)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)4 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (0)34 (0)
Field Goals28-7332-74
At-the-Rim FG13-3015-30
Midrange FG9-2613-32
2-Point FG22-5628-62
3-Point FG6-174-12
Free Throws4-710-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 190 · 26
27.8
8
36%
3
5
1
0
3
3
0
3
2-3
67%
3-9
33%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 285 · 24
25.8
12
60%
4
3
0
2
5
5
2
2
0-0
-
6-10
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 218 · 32
23.6
8
40%
1
1
2
1
5
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-8
25%
F · 6'8" 235 · 32
23.5
6
75%
13
1
1
0
2
0
2
11
0-1
0%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 34
19.6
5
63%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
26.5
11
79%
6
1
0
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-3
33%
3-4
75%
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
25.8
6
27%
2
3
1
0
4
2
1
1
0-1
0%
3-10
30%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 190 · 25
24.4
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
4
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 39
21.8
6
30%
9
2
1
0
4
2
0
9
2-2
100%
2-9
22%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 30
21.1
4
40%
4
0
0
3
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 27
G · 6'4" 220 · 30
C · 7'0" 295 · 29
#21 · C · 6'10" 249 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
66
43%
44
20
7
6
24
0
8
36
4-7
57%
22-56
39%
6-17
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.