FinalWin Prob.pScore
1238%95
88
1062%99
97
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
94.693103.8
MIA logo MIA
103.29485.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU88
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)88
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0HOUDragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)88
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)85
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)85
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)85
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0HOUMISS Budinger 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)85
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)85
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0HOUDragic Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T19)85
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAJames 1' Driving Dunk (32 PTS)85
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 1:06HOUDragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)85
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q4 - 1:06HOUDragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)84
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q4 - 1:19MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 5 AST)83
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 1:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)83
2.8%
89
97.2%
Q4 - 1:41MIAMISS Miller 2' Driving Layup83
4.2%
89
95.8%
Q4 - 2:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)83
3.0%
89
97.0%
Q4 - 2:03HOUMISS Parsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
3.6%
89
96.4%
Q4 - 2:19MIAMiller 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 4 AST)83
5.7%
89
94.3%
Q4 - 2:25HOUBattier STEAL (5 STL)83
11.9%
86
88.1%
Q4 - 2:43MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS)83
22.2%
86
77.8%
Q4 - 3:19HOUParsons 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS)83
38.6%
83
61.4%
Q4 - 3:34MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (27 PTS)81
32.0%
83
68.0%
Q4 - 3:51HOUPatterson 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)81
39.7%
81
60.3%
Q4 - 4:00HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
31.7%
81
68.3%
Q4 - 4:02MIAMISS James 13' Fadeaway Jumper79
29.0%
81
71.0%
Q4 - 4:16HOUParsons Foul Turnover (P3.T17)79
23.2%
81
76.8%
Q4 - 4:24MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)79
31.5%
81
68.5%
Q4 - 4:24MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)79
33.2%
80
66.8%
Q4 - 4:26MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)79
39.7%
79
60.3%
Q4 - 4:27MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot79
46.9%
79
53.1%
Q4 - 4:29MIACole REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)79
39.7%
79
60.3%
Q4 - 4:31MIAMISS James 16' Turnaround Jump Shot79
46.9%
79
53.1%
Q4 - 4:52MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
39.7%
79
60.3%
Q4 - 4:53HOUHaslem BLOCK (3 BLK)79
42.8%
79
57.2%
Q4 - 5:05MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)79
48.6%
79
51.4%
Q4 - 5:05MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)79
50.2%
78
49.8%
Q4 - 5:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)79
56.5%
77
43.5%
Q4 - 5:16HOUMISS Budinger 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
59.2%
77
40.8%
Q4 - 5:39MIACole 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 3 AST)79
65.1%
77
34.8%
Q4 - 5:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)79
72.0%
75
28.0%
Q4 - 5:51HOUMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
74.2%
75
25.8%
Q4 - 6:13MIAJames 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (23 PTS)79
75.2%
75
24.8%
Q4 - 6:31HOUPatterson 1' Dunk (12 PTS)79
80.2%
73
19.8%
Q4 - 6:32HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
75.3%
73
24.7%
Q4 - 6:33HOUHaslem BLOCK (2 BLK)77
70.9%
73
29.1%
Q4 - 6:49HOULee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
75.3%
73
24.7%
Q4 - 6:50MIAMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
73.5%
73
26.5%
Q4 - 6:59MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
69.0%
73
31.0%
Q4 - 7:00HOUMISS Boykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
71.0%
73
29.0%
Q4 - 7:12HOUBoykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
72.8%
73
27.2%
Q4 - 7:13MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
70.9%
73
29.1%
Q4 - 7:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)77
66.5%
73
33.5%
Q4 - 7:21MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
71.0%
73
29.0%
Q4 - 7:35HOUBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)77
66.5%
73
33.5%
Q4 - 7:35HOUMISS Boykins Free Throw 1 of 276
65.8%
73
34.2%
Q4 - 7:37HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)76
67.0%
73
33.0%
Q4 - 7:38MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot76
65.0%
73
35.0%
Q4 - 7:58HOUPatterson 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Budinger 4 AST)76
60.1%
73
39.9%
Q4 - 8:22MIAAnthony 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)74
52.4%
73
47.6%
Q4 - 8:40HOULee 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Budinger 3 AST)74
58.8%
71
41.2%
Q4 - 8:46HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
46.0%
71
54.0%
Q4 - 8:47MIAMISS Miller 8' Jump Shot71
44.1%
71
55.9%
Q4 - 9:01HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)71
39.7%
71
60.3%
Q4 - 9:27MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)71
45.4%
71
54.6%
Q4 - 9:38MIAHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
57.5%
68
42.5%
Q4 - 9:39HOUMISS Scola 19' Jump Shot71
59.2%
68
40.8%
Q4 - 9:47HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
63.1%
68
36.9%
Q4 - 9:48MIAMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot71
61.4%
68
38.6%
Q4 - 10:20HOUScola 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parsons 2 AST)71
56.2%
68
43.8%
Q4 - 10:29HOUParsons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
50.6%
68
49.4%
Q4 - 10:30MIAMISS Cole 21' Jump Shot69
48.8%
68
51.2%
Q4 - 10:46MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
44.9%
68
55.1%
Q4 - 10:47HOUMISS Budinger 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
46.7%
68
53.3%
Q4 - 11:03MIACole 1' Layup (12 PTS)69
49.7%
68
50.3%
Q4 - 11:04MIACole REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)69
55.2%
66
44.8%
Q4 - 11:05MIAMISS Harris 2' Driving Layup69
58.7%
66
41.3%
Q4 - 11:10HOUHarris STEAL (2 STL)69
55.2%
66
44.8%
Q4 - 11:20HOULee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
60.3%
66
39.7%
Q4 - 11:21MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
58.8%
66
41.2%
Q4 - 11:36MIAHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
55.3%
66
44.7%
Q4 - 11:37HOUMISS Boykins 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
56.8%
66
43.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA69
60.4%
66
39.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound69
55.3%
66
44.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Turnaround Jump Shot69
58.8%
66
41.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0HOUDragic Traveling Turnover (P3.T14)69
54.4%
66
45.6%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)69
59.0%
66
41.0%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)69
60.3%
65
39.7%
Q3 - 0:25.0HOUDragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)69
64.3%
64
35.7%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (21 PTS)66
54.1%
64
45.9%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
59.5%
62
40.5%
Q3 - 0:45.0HOUHarris BLOCK (1 BLK)66
60.9%
62
39.1%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIABattier 9' Hook Shot (9 PTS)66
64.0%
62
36.0%
Q3 - 1:19HOUParsons 2' Driving Layup (21 PTS)66
67.5%
60
32.5%
Q3 - 1:34MIAJames 6' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS)64
62.8%
60
37.2%
Q3 - 1:40HOUBattier STEAL (4 STL)64
67.6%
58
32.4%
Q3 - 2:00MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 2 AST)64
71.5%
58
28.5%
Q3 - 2:11MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)64
77.0%
55
23.0%
Q3 - 2:12HOUMISS Parsons 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
78.0%
55
22.0%
Q3 - 2:27MIAHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)64
80.2%
55
19.8%
Q3 - 2:35HOUHarris STEAL (1 STL)64
77.1%
55
22.9%
Q3 - 2:41MIAAnthony Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)64
80.3%
55
19.7%
Q3 - 2:51MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
77.1%
55
22.9%
Q3 - 2:52HOUJames BLOCK (2 BLK)64
78.1%
55
21.9%
Q3 - 2:56MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T12)64
80.3%
55
19.7%
Q3 - 3:16HOUParsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)64
75.6%
55
24.4%
Q3 - 3:29HOULee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
68.5%
55
31.5%
Q3 - 3:30MIAMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
67.3%
55
32.7%
Q3 - 3:43HOULee 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)61
64.4%
55
35.6%
Q3 - 4:09MIAJames 13' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)59
59.8%
55
40.2%
Q3 - 4:33HOUParsons 1' Layup (16 PTS)59
63.2%
53
36.8%
Q3 - 4:33HOUParsons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
59.8%
53
40.2%
Q3 - 4:34HOUJames BLOCK (1 BLK)57
56.4%
53
43.6%
Q3 - 4:38HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
59.8%
53
40.2%
Q3 - 4:39MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
58.3%
53
41.7%
Q3 - 4:51MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
54.9%
53
45.1%
Q3 - 4:53MIAMISS Cole 2' Driving Layup57
58.3%
53
41.7%
Q3 - 5:04MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
54.0%
53
46.0%
Q3 - 5:05HOUMISS Budinger 3' Running Hook Shot57
55.4%
53
44.6%
Q3 - 5:24MIAJones Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)57
58.6%
53
41.4%
Q3 - 5:24MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)57
59.0%
52
41.0%
Q3 - 5:24MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)57
59.6%
51
40.4%
Q3 - 5:35HOUPatterson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)57
66.0%
50
34.0%
Q3 - 5:55HOUCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)57
70.1%
50
29.9%
Q3 - 5:56HOUMISS Camby 1' Tip Shot57
67.3%
50
32.7%
Q3 - 5:57HOUCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
70.1%
50
29.9%
Q3 - 5:58HOUMISS Patterson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot57
67.3%
50
32.7%
Q3 - 6:14HOURockets Rebound57
68.6%
50
31.4%
Q3 - 6:15MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot57
67.5%
50
32.5%
Q3 - 6:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
64.8%
50
35.2%
Q3 - 6:31HOUMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
66.0%
50
34.0%
Q3 - 6:44HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
68.7%
50
31.3%
Q3 - 6:46MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot57
67.6%
50
32.4%
Q3 - 7:08HOUParsons 1' Tip Shot (14 PTS)57
63.3%
50
36.7%
Q3 - 7:09HOUParsons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
59.9%
50
40.1%
Q3 - 7:10HOUMISS Lee 1' Layup55
57.2%
50
42.8%
Q3 - 7:13HOULee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
59.9%
50
40.1%
Q3 - 7:14MIAMISS James 4' Jump Shot55
58.7%
50
41.3%
Q3 - 7:24HOULee Driving Dunk (9 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)55
56.0%
50
44.0%
Q3 - 7:28HOUDragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
52.4%
50
47.6%
Q3 - 7:29MIAMISS Haslem 2' Jump Shot53
51.1%
50
48.9%
Q3 - 7:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
48.3%
50
51.7%
Q3 - 7:33MIAMISS Cole 6' Floating Jump Shot53
51.2%
50
48.8%
Q3 - 7:50MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
48.3%
50
51.7%
Q3 - 7:51HOUHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)53
49.6%
50
50.4%
Q3 - 8:05HOUParsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
51.9%
50
48.1%
Q3 - 8:06MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot53
50.7%
50
49.3%
Q3 - 8:28MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)53
47.9%
50
52.1%
Q3 - 8:29MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot53
50.7%
50
49.3%
Q3 - 8:47HOUDragic 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Patterson 2 AST)53
47.9%
50
52.1%
Q3 - 8:50HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
44.4%
50
55.6%
Q3 - 8:51MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot51
43.2%
50
56.8%
Q3 - 9:18HOUPatterson 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)51
40.1%
50
59.9%
Q3 - 9:35MIAPittman 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS)49
36.8%
50
63.2%
Q3 - 9:36MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)49
40.2%
48
59.8%
Q3 - 9:37MIAMISS James 9' Jump Shot49
42.7%
48
57.3%
Q3 - 10:00HOUParsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)49
40.2%
48
59.8%
Q3 - 10:24MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)46
33.4%
48
66.6%
Q3 - 10:36HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)46
39.8%
45
60.2%
Q3 - 10:36HOUScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)45
39.0%
45
61.0%
Q3 - 10:44HOUDragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
36.6%
45
63.4%
Q3 - 10:45MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot44
35.5%
45
64.5%
Q3 - 10:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
33.2%
45
66.8%
Q3 - 10:54HOUMISS Scola 11' Turnaround Hook Shot44
34.2%
45
65.8%
Q3 - 11:08MIAPittman Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)44
36.6%
45
63.4%
Q3 - 11:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
33.3%
45
66.7%
Q3 - 11:17HOUMISS Scola 12' Hook Shot44
34.3%
45
65.7%
Q3 - 11:34HOUCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
36.6%
45
63.4%
Q3 - 11:35MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot44
35.6%
45
64.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA44
33.3%
45
66.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
34.0%
45
66.0%
Q2 - 0:03.0HOUMISS Dragic 17' Jump Shot44
34.6%
45
65.4%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)44
36.2%
45
63.8%
Q2 - 0:45.0HOUParsons 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)44
43.3%
42
56.7%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)42
39.3%
42
60.7%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 242
40.2%
41
59.8%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAHEAT Rebound42
40.1%
41
59.9%
Q2 - 0:59.0HOUMISS Dragic 6' Running Jump Shot42
40.8%
41
59.2%
Q2 - 1:03HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
42.1%
41
57.9%
Q2 - 1:04MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot42
41.5%
41
58.5%
Q2 - 1:17HOUScola Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)42
40.0%
41
60.0%
Q2 - 1:39MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)42
42.2%
41
57.8%
Q2 - 1:39MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)42
42.8%
40
57.2%
Q2 - 1:43HOUJames STEAL (1 STL)42
46.4%
39
53.6%
Q2 - 2:01MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)42
48.5%
39
51.5%
Q2 - 2:16HOUScola 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)42
45.4%
39
54.6%
Q2 - 2:33HOUParsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
42.3%
39
57.7%
Q2 - 2:35MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot40
41.4%
39
58.6%
Q2 - 2:40HOUAnthony STEAL (1 STL)40
39.3%
39
60.7%
Q2 - 2:53MIAJames 14' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)40
42.3%
39
57.7%
Q2 - 3:14HOULee Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)40
44.8%
37
55.2%
Q2 - 3:14HOULee Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)39
44.4%
37
55.6%
Q2 - 3:27MIACole 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)38
42.3%
37
57.7%
Q2 - 3:44HOUBattier STEAL (3 STL)38
44.8%
35
55.2%
Q2 - 3:45HOUCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
48.3%
35
51.7%
Q2 - 3:46HOUMISS Boykins 14' Jump Shot38
45.9%
35
54.1%
Q2 - 4:10HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
47.6%
35
52.4%
Q2 - 4:11MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 238
47.1%
35
52.9%
Q2 - 4:11MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)38
45.2%
35
54.8%
Q2 - 4:18MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
47.4%
34
52.6%
Q2 - 4:19MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot38
49.6%
34
50.4%
Q2 - 4:40MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
47.4%
34
52.6%
Q2 - 4:41HOUMISS Budinger 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
48.4%
34
51.6%
Q2 - 4:58MIAAnthony 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)38
50.6%
34
49.4%
Q2 - 5:16MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
53.1%
32
46.9%
Q2 - 5:17HOUAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)38
54.0%
32
46.0%
Q2 - 5:28MIACole Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)38
55.9%
32
44.1%
Q2 - 5:31MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
53.1%
32
46.9%
Q2 - 5:32HOUMISS Morris 3PT Jump Shot38
54.0%
32
46.0%
Q2 - 5:50MIACole 10' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)38
55.9%
32
44.1%
Q2 - 6:06MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
57.6%
30
42.4%
Q2 - 6:07MIAMISS Howard 8' Hook Shot38
59.9%
30
40.1%
Q2 - 6:28HOUDalembert Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T6)38
57.7%
30
42.3%
Q2 - 6:42MIAMiller 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)38
60.9%
30
39.1%
Q2 - 6:59HOUPatterson 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)38
63.1%
28
36.9%
Q2 - 7:16HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
59.9%
28
40.1%
Q2 - 7:17MIAMISS Miller 18' Fadeaway Jumper36
59.0%
28
41.0%
Q2 - 7:48HOUPatterson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Budinger 2 AST)36
57.0%
28
43.0%
Q2 - 8:05MIAAnthony 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS)34
53.8%
28
46.2%
Q2 - 8:06MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)34
56.3%
26
43.7%
Q2 - 8:07MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Layup34
58.2%
26
41.8%
Q2 - 8:14MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
56.3%
26
43.7%
Q2 - 8:15HOUMISS Morris 17' Jump Shot34
57.2%
26
42.8%
Q2 - 8:36MIACole 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)34
59.0%
26
41.0%
Q2 - 8:46HOUPatterson Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)34
61.5%
24
38.5%
Q2 - 8:46MIAHoward 5 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)34
64.1%
24
35.9%
Q2 - 9:15MIAHEAT Rebound34
60.5%
24
39.5%
Q2 - 9:16HOUMISS Patterson 16' Jump Shot34
61.3%
24
38.7%
Q2 - 9:34HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
63.1%
24
36.9%
Q2 - 9:35MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
62.3%
24
37.7%
Q2 - 9:57HOUBudinger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)34
60.6%
24
39.4%
Q2 - 10:05HOUDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
55.3%
24
44.7%
Q2 - 10:06MIAMISS Howard 5' Hook Shot31
54.4%
24
45.6%
Q2 - 10:31HOUBudinger Running Dunk (2 PTS)31
52.5%
24
47.5%
Q2 - 10:35MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)29
50.3%
24
49.7%
Q2 - 10:54HOUPatterson 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Budinger 1 AST)29
47.5%
24
52.5%
Q2 - 11:12MIAAnthony 1' Dunk (4 PTS)27
44.8%
24
55.2%
Q2 - 11:13MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
47.2%
22
52.8%
Q2 - 11:14MIAMISS Miller 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup27
49.0%
22
51.0%
Q2 - 11:28HOUParsons Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)27
47.2%
22
52.8%
Q2 - 11:42HOUParsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
49.8%
22
50.2%
Q2 - 11:43MIAMISS Miller 22' Jump Shot27
49.0%
22
51.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU27
47.2%
22
52.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIABattier 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
49.8%
22
50.2%
Q1 - 0:24.0HOUBattier STEAL (2 STL)27
51.8%
20
48.2%
Q1 - 0:26.0HOUDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
53.6%
20
46.4%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Howard 10' Turnaround Jump Shot27
53.1%
20
46.9%
Q1 - 0:44.0HOUParsons 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)27
51.8%
20
48.2%
Q1 - 0:51.0HOURockets Rebound25
48.9%
20
51.1%
Q1 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot25
48.3%
20
51.7%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
47.0%
20
53.0%
Q1 - 1:00HOUMISS Patterson 18' Jump Shot25
47.6%
20
52.4%
Q1 - 1:21MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)25
48.3%
20
51.7%
Q1 - 1:21MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)25
48.8%
19
51.2%
Q1 - 1:23HOUBattier STEAL (1 STL)25
51.3%
18
48.7%
Q1 - 1:34MIAJames 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)25
53.0%
18
47.0%
Q1 - 1:37MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
56.0%
16
44.0%
Q1 - 1:38MIAMISS James 1' Driving Layup25
57.1%
16
42.9%
Q1 - 1:48MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
56.0%
16
44.0%
Q1 - 1:49HOUMISS Dalembert 16' Jump Shot25
56.5%
16
43.5%
Q1 - 1:53HOURockets Rebound25
57.6%
16
42.4%
Q1 - 1:54HOUMISS Lee 19' Jump Shot25
56.5%
16
43.5%
Q1 - 2:12MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)25
57.4%
16
42.6%
Q1 - 2:12MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
57.9%
15
42.1%
Q1 - 2:25HOUDragic 1' Running Layup (6 PTS)25
59.8%
14
40.2%
Q1 - 2:29MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)23
57.4%
14
42.6%
Q1 - 2:34MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
55.4%
14
44.6%
Q1 - 2:35HOUMISS Camby 19' Jump Shot23
56.0%
14
44.0%
Q1 - 2:48MIAAnthony 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)23
57.4%
14
42.6%
Q1 - 3:02MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
59.2%
12
40.8%
Q1 - 3:03HOUMISS Camby 8' Running Hook Shot23
59.9%
12
40.1%
Q1 - 3:27MIABattier 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
61.5%
12
38.5%
Q1 - 3:54HOUScola 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS)23
63.5%
10
36.5%
Q1 - 4:01HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
60.6%
10
39.4%
Q1 - 4:02HOUMISS Lee 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
59.0%
10
41.0%
Q1 - 4:12MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T5)21
60.7%
10
39.3%
Q1 - 4:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
58.4%
10
41.6%
Q1 - 4:16HOUMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
59.1%
10
40.9%
Q1 - 4:26MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T4)21
60.7%
10
39.3%
Q1 - 4:41HOUParsons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Scola 1 AST)21
58.4%
10
41.6%
Q1 - 5:04MIAJames 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS)18
53.3%
10
46.7%
Q1 - 5:09HOUJones STEAL (1 STL)18
55.2%
8
44.8%
Q1 - 5:14HOUCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
57.5%
8
42.5%
Q1 - 5:15MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot18
56.8%
8
43.2%
Q1 - 5:37HOULee 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)18
55.2%
8
44.8%
Q1 - 5:46MIAJames 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
51.3%
8
48.7%
Q1 - 6:02HOUScola 10' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)15
52.3%
6
47.7%
Q1 - 6:21MIACole 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)13
50.4%
6
49.6%
Q1 - 6:40HOUDragic 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)13
52.3%
4
47.7%
Q1 - 6:48HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
50.4%
4
49.6%
Q1 - 6:49MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot11
49.8%
4
50.2%
Q1 - 7:04HOUParsons 10' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
47.4%
4
52.6%
Q1 - 7:30MIAPittman 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)9
45.7%
4
54.3%
Q1 - 7:50HOUDragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
47.5%
2
52.5%
Q1 - 7:50HOUDragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
47.1%
2
52.9%
Q1 - 7:52MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)7
45.8%
2
54.2%
Q1 - 8:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
43.4%
2
56.6%
Q1 - 8:02MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot7
44.7%
2
55.3%
Q1 - 8:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
43.4%
2
56.6%
Q1 - 8:27HOUMISS Scola 20' Jump Shot7
44.0%
2
56.0%
Q1 - 8:41MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)7
45.3%
2
54.7%
Q1 - 8:49MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
43.4%
2
56.6%
Q1 - 8:50HOUMISS Camby 18' Jump Shot7
44.0%
2
56.0%
Q1 - 9:04MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
45.0%
2
55.0%
Q1 - 9:19HOUCamby Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)7
43.2%
2
56.8%
Q1 - 9:33MIACole 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pittman 1 AST)4
39.6%
2
60.4%
Q1 - 9:40MIAHEAT Rebound4
41.4%
0
58.6%
Q1 - 9:41MIAMISS Cole 6' Driving Jump Shot4
42.7%
0
57.3%
Q1 - 9:53MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)4
41.4%
0
58.6%
Q1 - 9:54MIAMISS James 15' Fadeaway Jumper4
42.7%
0
57.3%
Q1 - 10:18HOUScola 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parsons 1 AST)4
40.9%
0
59.1%
Q1 - 10:29HOUCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
39.4%
0
60.6%
Q1 - 10:30MIAMISS Pittman 1' Layup2
38.8%
0
61.2%
Q1 - 10:33MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
37.5%
0
62.5%
Q1 - 10:34MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot2
38.8%
0
61.2%
Q1 - 10:44MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
37.5%
0
62.5%
Q1 - 10:45HOUMISS Scola 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup2
38.1%
0
61.9%
Q1 - 11:01HOUCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
38.6%
0
61.4%
Q1 - 11:02MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot2
38.2%
0
61.8%
Q1 - 11:17MIAHEAT Rebound2
37.2%
0
62.8%
Q1 - 11:18HOUMISS Lee Free Throw 1 of 12
37.4%
0
62.6%
Q1 - 11:27HOUDragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.6%
0
64.4%
Q1 - 11:28MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
35.1%
0
64.9%
Q1 - 11:37MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
34.2%
0
65.8%
Q1 - 11:39HOUMISS Lee 19' Jump Shot0
34.6%
0
65.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Pittman vs. Camby: Tip to Parsons0
35.6%
0
64.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.05 52.4%
MIA
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
15
25
60%
MIA
14
24
58%
Midrange
HOU
13
31
42%
MIA
16
45
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
MIA
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
Free Throws
HOU
11
13
85%
MIA
22
24
92%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Parsons2388%11.5 / 13
G. Dragic1657%8.0 / 14
C. Lee1458%7.0 / 12
P. Patterson1464%7.0 / 11
L. Scola1255%6.0 / 11
C. Budinger536%2.5 / 7
M. Camby330%1.5 / 5
E. Boykins113%0.5 / 4
S. Dalembert0-0.0 / 1
M. Morris0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3264%16.0 / 25
N. Cole1650%8.0 / 16
M. Miller1146%5.5 / 12
J. Anthony1192%5.5 / 6
S. Battier956%4.5 / 8
J. Jones739%3.5 / 9
U. Haslem525%2.5 / 10
D. Pittman467%2.0 / 3
T. Harris233%1.0 / 3
J. Howard0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
75
+8
-18
83
MIA
80
+19
-14
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.05 52.4%
MIA
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.3
106.6
HOU 94.6 +8.6
MIA 103.2
Pace
92.0
91.3
HOU 103.8 +18.1
MIA 85.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.8
HOU 13.9 +2.9
MIA 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
50.5%
HOU 50.7% +6.6%
MIA 44.1%
TO %
14.8%
15.9%
HOU 18.9%
MIA 13.6% +5.3%
ORB %
27.5%
26.6%
HOU 18.4%
MIA 36.2% +17.8%
FTrt
23.5
30.7
HOU 17.1
MIA 28.2 +11.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
53.8%
HOU 48.6% +20.0%
MIA 28.6%
STL %
8.1%
9.6%
HOU 9.7%
MIA 10.6% +0.9%
BLK %
7.4%
9.0%
HOU 5.8%
MIA 12.5% +6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.4%
53.5%
HOU 52.4% +3.4%
MIA 49.0%
Rim FG%
57.8%
61.1%
HOU 60.0% +1.7%
MIA 58.3%
Mid FG%
39.6%
40.0%
HOU 41.9% +6.3%
MIA 35.6%
3P %
35.9%
35.9%
HOU 35.0% +3.7%
MIA 31.3%
FT %
78.2%
77.5%
HOU 84.6%
MIA 91.7% +7.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.9%
36.7%
HOU 32.9% +4.7%
MIA 28.2%
Mid Att. %
42.1%
43.6%
HOU 40.8% +12.2%
MIA 52.9%
3P Att. %
24.0%
19.8%
HOU 26.3% +7.5%
MIA 18.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsHOUMIA
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes21.526.3
Points8897
Rebounds3748
Assists1710
Steals910
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (1)17 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)31 (4)
Field Goals35-7635-85
At-the-Rim FG15-2514-24
Midrange FG13-3116-45
2-Point FG28-5630-69
3-Point FG7-205-16
Free Throws11-1322-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 200 · 27
38.8
14
58%
4
2
2
1
1
4
0
4
2-3
67%
3-8
38%
2-3
67%
F · 6'10" 230 · 23
37.4
23
88%
6
2
4
1
3
4
2
4
0-0
-
7-8
88%
3-5
60%
G · 6'3" 190 · 26
33.7
16
57%
3
4
0
0
4
3
0
3
5-5
100%
4-8
50%
1-4
25%
C · 6'11" 240 · 38
21.3
3
30%
7
1
0
1
1
0
3
4
1-1
100%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 241 · 32
20.6
12
55%
4
1
1
0
2
4
1
3
2-2
100%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 230 · 23
32.4
14
64%
7
2
1
1
3
1
1
6
0-0
-
7-11
64%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 209 · 24
27.2
5
36%
2
4
1
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
G · 5'5" 133 · 36
14.3
1
13%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 255 · 32
9.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 23
5.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 196 · 26
G · 6'7" 199 · 29
#0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · G · 5'11" 185 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · F · 6'7" 230 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
52%
37
17
9
4
18
0
7
30
11-13
85%
28-56
50%
7-20
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.