FinalWin Prob.pScore
542%92
72
758%95
83
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
82.88791.0
MIA logo MIA
95.48783.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA72
0%
83
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAHEAT Rebound72
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0CHIBattier BLOCK (1 BLK)72
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAChalmers 12' Jump Shot (16 PTS)72
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)72
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q4 - 0:53.0CHIMISS Brewer 1' Layup72
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q4 - 0:55.0CHIBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q4 - 0:56.0CHIMISS Gibson 17' Jump Shot72
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q4 - 1:06CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 1:07MIAMISS Chalmers 18' Jump Shot72
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q4 - 1:31CHIGibson 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Brewer 2 AST)72
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 1:51CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 1:52MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Layup70
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q4 - 2:09MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)70
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q4 - 2:10CHIAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)70
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q4 - 2:17CHIKorver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 2:18MIAMISS Haslem 1' Driving Layup70
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q4 - 2:41CHILucas III Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)70
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q4 - 2:41CHILucas III Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)69
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q4 - 2:51MIAAnthony 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (James 6 AST)68
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q4 - 3:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)68
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q4 - 3:07CHIMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q4 - 3:17MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)68
0.8%
79
99.2%
Q4 - 3:17MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)68
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q4 - 3:29MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q4 - 3:30CHIMISS Lucas III 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q4 - 3:34CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)68
3.7%
77
96.3%
Q4 - 3:35CHIMISS Boozer 16' Jump Shot68
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q4 - 3:46CHILucas III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)68
3.5%
77
96.5%
Q4 - 3:47MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot68
3.1%
77
96.9%
Q4 - 4:10CHILucas III Foul Turnover (P2.T14)68
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q4 - 4:14CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)68
3.3%
77
96.7%
Q4 - 4:15MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot68
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q4 - 4:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)68
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q4 - 4:34CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 268
2.3%
77
97.7%
Q4 - 4:34CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)68
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q4 - 4:47CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q4 - 4:48MIAMISS Chalmers 8' Floating Jump Shot67
2.0%
77
98.0%
Q4 - 5:06MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
2.5%
77
97.5%
Q4 - 5:07MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
3.2%
77
96.8%
Q4 - 5:28CHINoah Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)67
2.5%
77
97.5%
Q4 - 5:48MIAHaslem 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)67
3.4%
77
96.6%
Q4 - 6:13CHIBoozer 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)67
6.1%
75
93.9%
Q4 - 6:33MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 5 AST)65
4.7%
75
95.3%
Q4 - 6:44CHIAnthony STEAL (1 STL)65
8.0%
72
92.0%
Q4 - 6:58CHIBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
10.7%
72
89.3%
Q4 - 6:59MIAMISS James 9' Pullup Jump Shot65
9.8%
72
90.2%
Q4 - 7:06MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
9.5%
72
90.5%
Q4 - 7:07CHIAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)65
10.3%
72
89.7%
Q4 - 7:28MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)65
12.3%
72
87.7%
Q4 - 7:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)65
15.4%
70
84.6%
Q4 - 7:38CHIMISS Brewer 16' Jump Shot65
16.6%
70
83.4%
Q4 - 7:55CHIKorver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
19.6%
70
80.4%
Q4 - 7:56MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
18.2%
70
81.8%
Q4 - 8:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)65
17.2%
70
82.8%
Q4 - 8:07CHIMISS Korver 3PT Jump Shot65
18.3%
70
81.7%
Q4 - 8:16CHILucas III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
21.0%
70
79.0%
Q4 - 8:17MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot65
19.8%
70
80.2%
Q4 - 8:25MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
17.1%
70
82.9%
Q4 - 8:26CHIMISS Lucas III 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
18.2%
70
81.8%
Q4 - 8:47MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)65
21.0%
70
79.0%
Q4 - 8:47MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)65
21.8%
69
78.2%
Q4 - 9:02CHIGibson 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lucas III 4 AST)65
26.7%
68
73.3%
Q4 - 9:21MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)63
22.2%
68
77.8%
Q4 - 9:31CHIWade STEAL (3 STL)63
26.7%
66
73.3%
Q4 - 9:44CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
31.5%
66
68.5%
Q4 - 9:45CHIMISS Lucas III 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
28.1%
66
71.9%
Q4 - 9:59MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)63
31.4%
66
68.6%
Q4 - 10:15MIAHEAT Rebound63
27.2%
66
72.8%
Q4 - 10:16CHIMISS Deng 27' 3PT Jump Shot63
28.6%
66
71.4%
Q4 - 10:32CHILucas III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
31.9%
66
68.1%
Q4 - 10:33MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Layup63
30.5%
66
69.5%
Q4 - 10:58CHILucas III 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)63
27.2%
66
72.8%
Q4 - 11:20CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)61
23.7%
66
76.3%
Q4 - 11:21MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot61
22.6%
66
77.4%
Q4 - 11:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
20.1%
66
79.9%
Q4 - 11:38CHIMISS Lucas III 18' Jump Shot61
21.2%
66
78.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHI61
23.7%
66
76.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHIBulls Rebound61
23.7%
66
76.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Lucas III 39' 3PT Jump Shot61
21.1%
66
78.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)61
24.4%
66
75.6%
Q3 - 0:26.0CHILucas III Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)61
21.1%
66
78.9%
Q3 - 0:26.0CHILucas III Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)60
20.5%
66
79.5%
Q3 - 0:29.0CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)59
17.6%
66
82.4%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAMISS James 12' Turnaround Jump Shot59
16.8%
66
83.2%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
15.0%
66
85.0%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot59
16.8%
66
83.2%
Q3 - 1:14CHILucas III 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS)59
15.6%
66
84.4%
Q3 - 1:39MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (25 PTS)57
13.1%
66
86.9%
Q3 - 1:48MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
15.6%
64
84.4%
Q3 - 1:49CHIMISS Lucas III 17' Jump Shot57
16.4%
64
83.6%
Q3 - 2:13CHILucas III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
18.9%
64
81.1%
Q3 - 2:14MIAMISS Miller 15' Jump Shot57
18.1%
64
81.9%
Q3 - 2:28CHIHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)57
16.2%
64
83.8%
Q3 - 2:28CHIHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)56
15.8%
64
84.2%
Q3 - 2:30CHIHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
13.8%
64
86.2%
Q3 - 2:31MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot55
13.2%
64
86.8%
Q3 - 2:56CHIGibson 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Asik 1 AST)55
11.7%
64
88.3%
Q3 - 3:17MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 4 AST)53
10.7%
64
89.3%
Q3 - 3:28MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)53
14.5%
61
85.5%
Q3 - 3:29CHIMISS Lucas III 15' Jump Shot53
15.2%
61
84.8%
Q3 - 3:46MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)53
17.0%
61
83.0%
Q3 - 3:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
14.5%
61
85.5%
Q3 - 3:50CHIMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
15.2%
61
84.8%
Q3 - 3:56MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)53
17.0%
61
83.0%
Q3 - 3:59MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)53
14.5%
61
85.5%
Q3 - 4:00MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
16.2%
61
83.8%
Q3 - 4:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
14.9%
61
85.1%
Q3 - 4:21CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 253
15.2%
61
84.8%
Q3 - 4:21CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 253
16.7%
61
83.3%
Q3 - 4:31MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)53
17.6%
61
82.4%
Q3 - 4:45CHIGibson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)53
22.7%
58
77.3%
Q3 - 4:46CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)50
17.6%
58
82.4%
Q3 - 4:47CHIMISS Deng 22' Jump Shot50
15.7%
58
84.3%
Q3 - 5:07MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)50
18.0%
58
82.0%
Q3 - 5:07MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 250
18.5%
57
81.5%
Q3 - 5:17CHIDeng 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lucas III 3 AST)50
17.8%
57
82.2%
Q3 - 5:29CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
15.7%
57
84.3%
Q3 - 5:30MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 148
15.4%
57
84.6%
Q3 - 5:53CHIWatson Foul Turnover (P3.T10)48
17.7%
55
82.3%
Q3 - 5:55CHIWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
20.6%
55
79.4%
Q3 - 5:56MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot48
19.7%
55
80.3%
Q3 - 6:04MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)48
18.4%
55
81.6%
Q3 - 6:05MIAMISS Pittman 8' Hook Shot48
20.3%
55
79.7%
Q3 - 6:17MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)48
18.4%
55
81.6%
Q3 - 6:18CHIMISS Hamilton 11' Jump Shot48
19.2%
55
80.8%
Q3 - 6:42MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)48
21.1%
55
78.9%
Q3 - 6:59CHINoah Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)48
23.7%
53
76.3%
Q3 - 6:59CHINoah Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)47
23.0%
53
77.0%
Q3 - 7:06MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)46
21.5%
53
78.5%
Q3 - 7:10MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)46
18.9%
53
81.1%
Q3 - 7:11CHIMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot46
19.7%
53
80.3%
Q3 - 7:23CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)46
21.5%
53
78.5%
Q3 - 7:24MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 246
21.1%
53
78.9%
Q3 - 7:24MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)46
19.5%
53
80.5%
Q3 - 7:39CHINoah 1' Dunk (13 PTS)46
21.3%
52
78.7%
Q3 - 8:02MIAWade 2' Dunk (9 PTS) (James 3 AST)44
19.4%
52
80.6%
Q3 - 8:05MIAHEAT Rebound44
21.7%
50
78.3%
Q3 - 8:06MIAMISS James 9' Jump Shot44
23.6%
50
76.4%
Q3 - 8:10MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
21.7%
50
78.3%
Q3 - 8:11CHIMISS Boozer 4' Hook Shot44
22.5%
50
77.5%
Q3 - 8:22CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
24.5%
50
75.5%
Q3 - 8:23MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot44
23.6%
50
76.4%
Q3 - 8:32MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)44
21.6%
50
78.4%
Q3 - 8:33CHIMISS Boozer 12' Jump Shot44
22.5%
50
77.5%
Q3 - 8:51MIAWade 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)44
24.5%
50
75.5%
Q3 - 8:55CHIWade STEAL (2 STL)44
27.2%
48
72.8%
Q3 - 9:05CHIHamilton Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (4 PTS)44
30.4%
48
69.6%
Q3 - 9:05CHIHamilton Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (3 PTS)43
30.0%
48
70.0%
Q3 - 9:13MIAPittman Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)42
24.6%
48
75.4%
Q3 - 9:34CHIWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)42
21.9%
48
78.1%
Q3 - 9:34CHIWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)41
21.5%
48
78.5%
Q3 - 9:51CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
19.6%
48
80.4%
Q3 - 9:52MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 140
19.2%
48
80.8%
Q3 - 10:00CHIWade STEAL (1 STL)40
21.9%
46
78.1%
Q3 - 10:26MIAChalmers 10' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)40
25.0%
46
75.0%
Q3 - 10:37CHIChalmers STEAL (2 STL)40
27.6%
44
72.4%
Q3 - 10:49CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
30.7%
44
69.3%
Q3 - 10:50MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
29.7%
44
70.3%
Q3 - 11:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
28.1%
44
71.9%
Q3 - 11:14CHIMISS Deng 20' Jump Shot40
29.0%
44
71.0%
Q3 - 11:27CHIMISS Hamilton Free Throw Technical40
31.1%
44
68.9%
Q3 - 11:39MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS)40
31.1%
44
68.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA40
33.9%
42
66.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound40
33.9%
42
66.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup40
36.2%
42
63.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
34.8%
42
65.2%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot40
36.3%
42
63.7%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
34.7%
42
65.3%
Q2 - 0:25.0CHIMISS Boozer 7' Jump Shot40
35.4%
42
64.6%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)40
37.0%
42
63.0%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 240
37.6%
41
62.4%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)40
37.7%
41
62.3%
Q2 - 0:39.0CHIMISS Boozer 2' Layup40
38.5%
41
61.5%
Q2 - 0:40.0CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
40.1%
41
59.9%
Q2 - 0:41.0CHIJames BLOCK (1 BLK)40
38.5%
41
61.5%
Q2 - 1:03MIAWade 1' Layup (5 PTS) (James 2 AST)40
40.0%
41
60.0%
Q2 - 1:11MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
44.1%
39
55.9%
Q2 - 1:13CHIMISS Watson 1' Driving Layup40
44.8%
39
55.2%
Q2 - 1:25MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)40
46.3%
39
53.7%
Q2 - 1:30CHIChalmers STEAL (1 STL)40
44.1%
39
55.9%
Q2 - 1:42MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)40
46.3%
39
53.7%
Q2 - 1:42MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)40
47.0%
38
53.0%
Q2 - 1:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
50.6%
37
49.4%
Q2 - 1:57MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot40
52.1%
37
47.9%
Q2 - 2:21CHIBoozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)40
49.6%
37
50.4%
Q2 - 2:21CHIBoozer Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)39
48.8%
37
51.2%
Q2 - 2:37MIAHaslem 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)38
46.5%
37
53.5%
Q2 - 2:51CHIWatson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)38
49.7%
35
50.3%
Q2 - 3:06CHIKorver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
52.7%
35
47.3%
Q2 - 3:07MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot38
51.6%
35
48.4%
Q2 - 3:21MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
49.1%
35
50.9%
Q2 - 3:22CHIMISS Boozer 17' Fadeaway Jumper38
50.2%
35
49.8%
Q2 - 3:38MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)38
52.7%
35
47.3%
Q2 - 4:16CHINoah 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lucas III 2 AST)38
48.8%
35
51.2%
Q2 - 4:28CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
46.1%
35
53.9%
Q2 - 4:29MIAMISS Cole 2' Driving Layup36
45.1%
35
54.9%
Q2 - 4:45CHIBrewer 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lucas III 1 AST)36
42.9%
35
57.1%
Q2 - 5:00CHIBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
40.2%
35
59.8%
Q2 - 5:01MIAMISS Pittman 10' Jump Shot34
39.3%
35
60.7%
Q2 - 5:23CHINoah 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)34
37.5%
35
62.5%
Q2 - 5:37MIAPittman 2' Layup (4 PTS)34
40.1%
35
59.9%
Q2 - 5:38MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
43.1%
33
56.9%
Q2 - 5:39MIAMISS James 1' Driving Layup34
45.0%
33
55.0%
Q2 - 5:47MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)34
43.1%
33
56.9%
Q2 - 5:48CHIMISS Lucas III 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
43.9%
33
56.1%
Q2 - 6:05CHINoah Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (9 PTS)34
45.8%
33
54.2%
Q2 - 6:05CHINoah Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (8 PTS)33
45.1%
33
54.9%
Q2 - 6:05CHIBulls Rebound32
40.3%
33
59.7%
Q2 - 6:06CHIMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
38.1%
33
61.9%
Q2 - 6:11CHILucas III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
40.3%
33
59.7%
Q2 - 6:12MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Dunk32
39.4%
33
60.6%
Q2 - 6:28CHILucas III 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)32
37.2%
33
62.8%
Q2 - 6:46MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)30
35.0%
33
65.0%
Q2 - 6:53MIAHEAT Rebound30
32.1%
33
67.9%
Q2 - 6:54CHIMISS Brewer 20' Jump Shot30
33.0%
33
67.0%
Q2 - 7:13CHIKorver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
35.0%
33
65.0%
Q2 - 7:14CHIMISS Asik Free Throw 2 of 230
32.7%
33
67.3%
Q2 - 7:14CHIMISS Asik Free Throw 1 of 230
33.7%
33
66.3%
Q2 - 7:34MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (3 PTS)30
35.0%
33
65.0%
Q2 - 7:41MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
37.3%
31
62.7%
Q2 - 7:42CHIMISS Brewer 21' Jump Shot30
38.2%
31
61.8%
Q2 - 8:03MIACole 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)30
40.1%
31
59.9%
Q2 - 8:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
42.5%
29
57.5%
Q2 - 8:14CHIMISS Brewer Free Throw 2 of 230
42.9%
29
57.1%
Q2 - 8:14CHIBrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
44.3%
29
55.7%
Q2 - 8:28CHILucas III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
42.6%
29
57.4%
Q2 - 8:29MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup29
41.8%
29
58.2%
Q2 - 8:42CHIAsik Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)29
40.0%
29
60.0%
Q2 - 8:47CHIBulls Rebound29
42.6%
29
57.4%
Q2 - 8:48CHIMISS Brewer 20' Jump Shot29
40.8%
29
59.2%
Q2 - 9:15MIAAnthony 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)29
42.4%
29
57.6%
Q2 - 9:39CHILucas III 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)29
44.8%
27
55.2%
Q2 - 9:44MIABattier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)26
39.9%
27
60.1%
Q2 - 9:46MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
37.3%
27
62.7%
Q2 - 9:47CHIMISS Lucas III 2' Driving Layup26
38.1%
27
61.9%
Q2 - 10:05CHIKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
39.9%
27
60.1%
Q2 - 10:06MIAMISS Chalmers 21' Jump Shot26
39.1%
27
60.9%
Q2 - 10:17CHIGibson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)26
37.2%
27
62.8%
Q2 - 10:20CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
39.9%
27
60.1%
Q2 - 10:21CHIMISS Deng 12' Turnaround Jump Shot26
38.0%
27
62.0%
Q2 - 10:39CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
39.9%
27
60.1%
Q2 - 10:40MIAMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
39.0%
27
61.0%
Q2 - 10:54CHILucas III 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)26
37.2%
27
62.8%
Q2 - 11:00CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
32.9%
27
67.1%
Q2 - 11:01MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup23
32.2%
27
67.8%
Q2 - 11:15MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
30.6%
27
69.4%
Q2 - 11:16CHIMISS Lucas III 10' Floating Jump Shot23
31.3%
27
68.7%
Q2 - 11:40CHIBulls Rebound23
32.9%
27
67.1%
Q2 - 11:41MIAMISS Miller 2' Driving Layup23
32.2%
27
67.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHI23
30.6%
27
69.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
32.9%
27
67.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS James 19' Fadeaway Jumper23
32.1%
27
67.9%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)23
31.0%
27
69.0%
Q1 - 0:10.0CHIMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot23
31.5%
27
68.5%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS)23
32.6%
27
67.4%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
35.2%
25
64.8%
Q1 - 0:41.0CHIMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
35.8%
25
64.2%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)23
37.0%
25
63.0%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)23
37.5%
24
62.5%
Q1 - 1:11MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
39.8%
23
60.2%
Q1 - 1:12CHIMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
40.3%
23
59.7%
Q1 - 1:32MIAJames 17' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)23
41.4%
23
58.6%
Q1 - 1:45CHINoah 7' Hook Shot (7 PTS)23
44.4%
21
55.6%
Q1 - 2:07MIAMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)21
41.7%
21
58.3%
Q1 - 2:30CHINoah Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)21
39.7%
21
60.3%
Q1 - 2:30CHIMISS Noah Free Throw 1 of 220
39.2%
21
60.8%
Q1 - 2:43MIACole Foul Turnover (P1.T2)20
39.5%
21
60.5%
Q1 - 2:50MIAHEAT Rebound20
37.5%
21
62.5%
Q1 - 2:51MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
38.9%
21
61.1%
Q1 - 3:01MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
37.4%
21
62.6%
Q1 - 3:03CHIMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
38.0%
21
62.0%
Q1 - 3:09CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
39.6%
21
60.4%
Q1 - 3:10MIAMISS Haslem 1' Driving Layup20
38.9%
21
61.1%
Q1 - 3:36CHIDeng 1' Driving Reverse Layup (8 PTS)20
37.4%
21
62.6%
Q1 - 3:50CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
35.4%
21
64.6%
Q1 - 3:51MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot18
34.7%
21
65.3%
Q1 - 4:11CHIDeng 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Watson 4 AST)18
33.1%
21
66.9%
Q1 - 4:28MIAJames 12' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)16
31.4%
21
68.6%
Q1 - 4:47CHIDeng 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)16
33.1%
19
66.9%
Q1 - 4:59MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)14
31.4%
19
68.6%
Q1 - 4:59MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 214
31.7%
18
68.3%
Q1 - 5:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
31.4%
18
68.6%
Q1 - 5:03CHIMISS Boozer 8' Jump Shot14
32.0%
18
68.0%
Q1 - 5:18MIAJames 11' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)14
33.4%
18
66.6%
Q1 - 5:30MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
35.1%
16
64.9%
Q1 - 5:32CHIMISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
35.8%
16
64.2%
Q1 - 5:52CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
37.3%
16
62.7%
Q1 - 5:53MIAMISS Chalmers 19' Jump Shot14
36.6%
16
63.4%
Q1 - 6:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
35.1%
16
64.9%
Q1 - 6:12MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
36.5%
16
63.5%
Q1 - 6:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
35.1%
16
64.9%
Q1 - 6:20CHIMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot14
35.7%
16
64.3%
Q1 - 6:41MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)14
37.1%
16
62.9%
Q1 - 6:51CHIBoozer 4' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
40.9%
13
59.1%
Q1 - 7:08MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)12
39.0%
13
61.0%
Q1 - 7:08MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)12
39.4%
12
60.6%
Q1 - 7:13MIAHEAT Rebound12
40.7%
11
59.3%
Q1 - 7:14MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot12
42.1%
11
57.9%
Q1 - 7:33CHIHamilton 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)12
40.7%
11
59.3%
Q1 - 7:51MIAPittman Foul Turnover (P1.T1)10
39.0%
11
61.0%
Q1 - 7:51MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
36.9%
11
63.1%
Q1 - 7:52MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot10
38.4%
11
61.6%
Q1 - 8:03MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
37.1%
11
62.9%
Q1 - 8:04CHIMISS Watson 18' Jump Shot10
37.6%
11
62.4%
Q1 - 8:21MIAPittman 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)10
38.8%
11
61.2%
Q1 - 8:38CHIBulls Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)10
40.7%
9
59.3%
Q1 - 9:04MIAChalmers 1' Layup (6 PTS)10
42.7%
9
57.3%
Q1 - 9:16CHINoah 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)10
44.5%
7
55.5%
Q1 - 9:22CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
42.7%
7
57.3%
Q1 - 9:23MIAMISS Wade 11' Turnaround Jump Shot8
42.1%
7
57.9%
Q1 - 9:45CHINoah 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)8
40.8%
7
59.2%
Q1 - 10:12MIAChalmers 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
39.1%
7
60.9%
Q1 - 10:23CHIBoozer 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Noah 1 AST)6
40.6%
5
59.4%
Q1 - 10:42MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)4
39.2%
5
60.8%
Q1 - 11:00CHIDeng 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Boozer 1 AST)4
42.3%
2
57.7%
Q1 - 11:14MIAChalmers 10' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
40.3%
2
59.7%
Q1 - 11:39CHIBoozer 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
42.1%
0
57.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Pittman vs. Noah: Tip to Deng0
40.4%
0
59.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
0.86 42.9%
MIA
0.94 47.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
8
17
47%
MIA
15
26
58%
Midrange
CHI
15
37
41%
MIA
13
37
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
2
3.0
16
13%
19%
MIA
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
Free Throws
CHI
20
28
71%
MIA
15
21
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Lucas III1644%8.0 / 18
J. Noah15107%7.5 / 7
L. Deng1132%5.5 / 17
C. Boozer1042%5.0 / 12
T. Gibson975%4.5 / 6
R. Hamilton643%3.0 / 7
R. Brewer321%1.5 / 7
C. Watson225%1.0 / 4
K. Korver0-0.0 / 2
O. Asik0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2756%13.5 / 24
D. Wade1847%9.0 / 19
M. Chalmers1647%8.0 / 17
U. Haslem638%3.0 / 8
D. Pittman450%2.0 / 4
J. Anthony4100%2.0 / 2
S. Battier375%1.5 / 2
M. Miller325%1.5 / 6
N. Cole233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
74
+10
-13
84
MIA
75
+13
-12
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
0.86 42.9%
MIA
0.94 47.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
106.6
CHI 82.8
MIA 95.4 +12.6
Pace
88.7
91.3
CHI 91.0 +7.7
MIA 83.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.4
15.8
CHI 15.8 +1.5
MIA 17.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.0%
50.5%
CHI 37.1%
MIA 44.7% +7.6%
TO %
15.1%
15.9%
CHI 14.5%
MIA 13.2% +1.3%
ORB %
32.7%
26.6%
CHI 16.3%
MIA 21.4% +5.1%
FTrt
25.5
30.7
CHI 40.0 +12.4
MIA 27.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.9%
53.8%
CHI 64.0% +20.2%
MIA 43.8%
STL %
7.7%
9.6%
CHI 4.6%
MIA 6.9% +2.3%
BLK %
8.7%
9.0%
CHI 3.2%
MIA 7.4% +4.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.19 and 2.19.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.9%
53.5%
CHI 42.9%
MIA 47.2% +4.3%
Rim FG%
57.0%
61.1%
CHI 47.1%
MIA 57.7% +10.6%
Mid FG%
38.9%
40.0%
CHI 40.5% +5.4%
MIA 35.1%
3P %
37.5%
35.9%
CHI 12.5%
MIA 30.8% +18.3%
FT %
72.2%
77.5%
CHI 71.4%
MIA 71.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.3%
36.7%
CHI 24.3%
MIA 34.2% +9.9%
Mid Att. %
43.3%
43.6%
CHI 52.9%
MIA 48.7% +4.2%
3P Att. %
20.5%
19.8%
CHI 22.9% +5.8%
MIA 17.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions8787
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points7283
Rebounds4045
Assists1614
Steals46
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)36 (3)
Field Goals25-7032-76
At-the-Rim FG8-1715-26
Midrange FG15-3713-37
2-Point FG23-5428-63
3-Point FG2-164-13
Free Throws20-2815-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 220 · 27
39.8
11
32%
3
2
1
0
1
3
1
2
1-4
25%
5-11
45%
0-4
0%
C · 6'11" 230 · 27
33.6
15
107%
10
1
0
1
3
5
1
9
5-6
83%
5-5
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 193 · 34
27.5
6
43%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
4-5
80%
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 258 · 30
22.6
10
42%
5
1
0
0
2
1
1
4
2-2
100%
4-11
36%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 28
19.9
2
25%
1
4
0
0
3
4
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
G · 5'11" 166 · 29
28.1
16
44%
6
4
0
0
2
2
0
6
4-4
100%
3-9
33%
2-7
29%
F · 6'9" 235 · 27
25.4
9
75%
3
0
2
0
1
1
2
1
1-1
100%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 212 · 31
16.4
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 255 · 26
14.4
0
0%
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-2
0%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 235 · 27
12.3
3
21%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 230 · 23
G · 6'2" 188 · 37
F · 6'9" 235 · 34
#1 · G · 6'3" 190 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
72
43%
40
16
4
2
13
0
7
33
20-28
71%
23-54
43%
2-16
13%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.