| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 TOR | 87.8 | 82 | 79.5 |
 MIA | 117.1 | 82 | 84.7 |
Scoring Opportunities
TOR
68
+11
-14
79
MIA
68
+16
-14
84
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
TOR
0.90 45.0%
MIA
1.12 55.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | TOR | MIA |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | TOR | 72 0% | 96 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:25.0 | TOR | Forbes 10' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) | 72 0% | 96 100% |
| Q4 - 0:36.0 | MIA | Harris Traveling Turnover (P1.T15) | 70 0% | 96 100% |
| Q4 - 0:40.0 | MIA | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 70 0% | 96 100% |
| Q4 - 0:41.0 | TOR | MISS Davis 19' Jump Shot | 70 0% | 96 100% |
| Q4 - 0:58.0 | MIA | Howard 5' Hook Shot (7 PTS) | 70 0% | 96 100% |
| Q4 - 1:15 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 70 0% | 94 100% |
| Q4 - 1:16 | MIA | MISS Harris 3PT Jump Shot | 70 0.1% | 94 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:28 | MIA | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 70 0.1% | 94 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:29 | TOR | MISS Alabi 15' Jump Shot | 70 0.1% | 94 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:34 | TOR | Davis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 70 0.1% | 94 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:35 | TOR | MISS Anderson 2' Driving Layup | 70 0.1% | 94 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:55 | MIA | Curry 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harris 1 AST) | 70 0.1% | 94 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:03 | MIA | Harris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 70 0.1% | 92 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:04 | TOR | MISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 70 0.1% | 92 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:26 | TOR | Alabi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 70 0.1% | 92 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:27 | MIA | MISS Curry 2' Layup | 70 0.1% | 92 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:41 | MIA | Curry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 70 0.1% | 92 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:42 | TOR | MISS Uzoh Free Throw 2 of 2 | 70 0.1% | 92 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:42 | TOR | Uzoh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 70 0.1% | 92 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:50 | TOR | Alabi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 69 0.1% | 92 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:51 | MIA | MISS Cole 20' Jump Shot | 69 0.1% | 92 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:00 | MIA | Curry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 69 0.1% | 92 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:01 | TOR | MISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 69 0.1% | 92 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:19 | MIA | Curry 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Cole 3 AST) | 69 0.1% | 92 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:30 | TOR | Anderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 69 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:30 | TOR | MISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 2 | 68 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:46 | TOR | Alabi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 68 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:47 | MIA | MISS Jones 21' Jump Shot | 68 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:06 | TOR | Forbes 9' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 68 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:31 | MIA | Harris 2' Running Dunk (2 PTS) | 66 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:34 | TOR | Harris STEAL (1 STL) | 66 0.1% | 88 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:41 | TOR | Anderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 66 0.1% | 88 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:42 | MIA | MISS Pittman 3' Layup | 66 0.1% | 88 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:53 | MIA | Pittman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 66 0.1% | 88 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:54 | TOR | MISS Forbes 21' Jump Shot | 66 0.1% | 88 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:29 | TOR | Forbes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 66 0.1% | 88 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:30 | MIA | MISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 66 0.1% | 88 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:47 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 66 0.1% | 88 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:48 | TOR | MISS Forbes 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 66 0.1% | 88 99.9% |
| Q4 - 6:08 | MIA | Anthony 1' Dunk (6 PTS) | 66 0.1% | 88 99.9% |
| Q4 - 6:30 | TOR | Davis 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST) | 66 0.1% | 86 99.9% |
| Q4 - 6:36 | MIA | Cole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14) | 64 0.1% | 86 99.9% |
| Q4 - 6:44 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 64 0.1% | 86 99.9% |
| Q4 - 6:45 | TOR | MISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 64 0.1% | 86 99.9% |
| Q4 - 7:08 | MIA | Miller 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Battier 2 AST) | 64 0.1% | 86 99.9% |
| Q4 - 7:24 | TOR | Forbes Foul Turnover (P2.T13) | 64 0.1% | 84 99.9% |
| Q4 - 7:42 | MIA | Anthony 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Miller 6 AST) | 64 0.2% | 84 99.8% |
| Q4 - 7:57 | TOR | Johnson 1' Tip Shot (18 PTS) | 64 0.2% | 82 99.8% |
| Q4 - 7:58 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 62 0.2% | 82 99.8% |
| Q4 - 7:59 | TOR | MISS Anderson 16' Jump Shot | 62 0.1% | 82 99.9% |
| Q4 - 8:19 | MIA | Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Cole 2 AST) | 62 0.3% | 82 99.7% |
| Q4 - 8:26 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 62 0.4% | 79 99.6% |
| Q4 - 8:27 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot | 62 0.5% | 79 99.5% |
| Q4 - 8:38 | TOR | Davis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 62 0.5% | 79 99.5% |
| Q4 - 8:39 | TOR | MISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup | 62 0.4% | 79 99.6% |
| Q4 - 8:47 | TOR | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 62 0.5% | 79 99.5% |
| Q4 - 8:48 | MIA | MISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 62 0.5% | 79 99.5% |
| Q4 - 8:54 | MIA | Battier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2) | 62 0.4% | 79 99.6% |
| Q4 - 8:55 | MIA | MISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 62 0.5% | 79 99.5% |
| Q4 - 9:05 | TOR | Battier STEAL (2 STL) | 62 0.6% | 79 99.4% |
| Q4 - 9:22 | MIA | Miller 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 62 0.7% | 79 99.3% |
| Q4 - 9:36 | MIA | Battier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 62 0.9% | 77 99.1% |
| Q4 - 9:37 | MIA | MISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 62 1.0% | 77 99.0% |
| Q4 - 9:51 | MIA | Cole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 62 0.9% | 77 99.1% |
| Q4 - 9:52 | TOR | MISS Forbes 10' Jump Shot | 62 0.9% | 77 99.1% |
| Q4 - 10:04 | TOR | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 62 1.3% | 77 98.7% |
| Q4 - 10:05 | MIA | MISS Cole 2' Reverse Layup | 62 1.2% | 77 98.8% |
| Q4 - 10:14 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 62 1.0% | 77 99.0% |
| Q4 - 10:15 | TOR | MISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot | 62 1.1% | 77 98.9% |
| Q4 - 10:30 | MIA | Battier Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13) | 62 1.3% | 77 98.7% |
| Q4 - 10:49 | TOR | Johnson 4' Jump Shot (16 PTS) | 62 1.0% | 77 99.0% |
| Q4 - 10:50 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 60 0.8% | 77 99.2% |
| Q4 - 10:51 | TOR | MISS Anderson 12' Jump Shot | 60 0.7% | 77 99.3% |
| Q4 - 11:14 | MIA | Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cole 1 AST) | 60 1.0% | 77 99.0% |
| Q4 - 11:22 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 60 1.5% | 74 98.5% |
| Q4 - 11:23 | TOR | MISS Davis 10' Jump Shot | 60 1.6% | 74 98.4% |
| Q4 - 11:35 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 60 1.9% | 74 98.1% |
| Q4 - 11:36 | MIA | MISS Cole 1' Driving Layup | 60 1.8% | 74 98.2% |
| Q4 - 11:43 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 60 1.5% | 74 98.5% |
| Q4 - 11:44 | MIA | MISS Miller 1' Driving Layup | 60 1.7% | 74 98.3% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 60 1.5% | 74 98.5% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 60 1.5% | 74 98.5% |
| Q3 - 0:01.0 | MIA | MISS James 8' Jump Bank Shot | 60 2.0% | 74 98.0% |
| Q3 - 0:24.0 | TOR | DeRozan 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 60 1.7% | 74 98.3% |
| Q3 - 0:43.0 | MIA | Howard 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T12) | 58 1.4% | 74 98.6% |
| Q3 - 0:53.0 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 58 1.2% | 74 98.8% |
| Q3 - 0:54.0 | TOR | MISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot | 58 1.2% | 74 98.8% |
| Q3 - 1:13 | TOR | DeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 58 1.5% | 74 98.5% |
| Q3 - 1:14 | MIA | MISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 1 | 58 1.5% | 74 98.5% |
| Q3 - 1:23 | MIA | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 58 1.9% | 72 98.1% |
| Q3 - 1:24 | TOR | MISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 58 2.0% | 72 98.0% |
| Q3 - 1:45 | MIA | Howard 5' Hook Bank Shot (3 PTS) | 58 2.2% | 72 97.8% |
| Q3 - 2:08 | MIA | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 58 2.9% | 70 97.1% |
| Q3 - 2:09 | MIA | MISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 | 58 3.4% | 70 96.6% |
| Q3 - 2:09 | MIA | Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 58 3.0% | 70 97.0% |
| Q3 - 2:22 | TOR | DeRozan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11) | 58 3.5% | 69 96.5% |
| Q3 - 2:46 | MIA | James 18' Fadeaway Jumper (28 PTS) | 58 4.2% | 69 95.8% |
| Q3 - 3:05 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 58 5.1% | 67 94.9% |
| Q3 - 3:06 | TOR | Chalmers BLOCK (1 BLK) | 58 5.4% | 67 94.6% |
| Q3 - 3:18 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 58 6.1% | 67 93.9% |
| Q3 - 3:19 | MIA | MISS Howard 7' Turnaround Hook Shot | 58 5.8% | 67 94.2% |
| Q3 - 3:38 | MIA | Battier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 58 5.1% | 67 94.9% |
| Q3 - 3:39 | TOR | MISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 | 58 5.2% | 67 94.8% |
| Q3 - 3:39 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 58 5.9% | 67 94.1% |
| Q3 - 3:56 | MIA | James 19' Jump Shot (26 PTS) | 57 5.1% | 67 94.9% |
| Q3 - 4:11 | MIA | Jump Ball Chalmers vs. Johnson: Tip to Battier | 57 6.2% | 65 93.8% |
| Q3 - 4:13 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 57 7.5% | 65 92.5% |
| Q3 - 4:14 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 57 6.5% | 65 93.5% |
| Q3 - 4:33 | MIA | Battier Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11) | 57 7.4% | 65 92.6% |
| Q3 - 4:46 | TOR | DeRozan 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST) | 57 6.2% | 65 93.8% |
| Q3 - 5:04 | MIA | Haslem 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST) | 55 5.5% | 65 94.5% |
| Q3 - 5:14 | MIA | James Free Throw Technical (24 PTS) | 55 6.4% | 63 93.6% |
| Q3 - 5:25 | TOR | DeRozan 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST) | 55 7.4% | 62 92.6% |
| Q3 - 5:43 | TOR | Uzoh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 53 6.5% | 62 93.5% |
| Q3 - 5:44 | MIA | MISS James 17' Turnaround Jump Shot | 53 6.1% | 62 93.9% |
| Q3 - 5:50 | TOR | James STEAL (2 STL) | 53 5.4% | 62 94.6% |
| Q3 - 6:14 | MIA | James 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) | 53 6.5% | 62 93.5% |
| Q3 - 6:45 | TOR | Anderson 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Uzoh 2 AST) | 53 8.7% | 59 91.3% |
| Q3 - 6:58 | MIA | James Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P5.T10) | 51 7.6% | 59 92.4% |
| Q3 - 7:05 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 51 6.7% | 59 93.3% |
| Q3 - 7:06 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 18' Jump Shot | 51 7.0% | 59 93.0% |
| Q3 - 7:37 | MIA | Chalmers 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS) | 51 7.7% | 59 92.3% |
| Q3 - 7:44 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 51 8.8% | 57 91.2% |
| Q3 - 7:45 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 14' Fadeaway Jumper | 51 9.2% | 57 90.8% |
| Q3 - 8:07 | TOR | Gray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 51 10.3% | 57 89.7% |
| Q3 - 8:08 | MIA | MISS Howard 15' Jump Shot | 51 9.8% | 57 90.2% |
| Q3 - 8:29 | TOR | Anderson Traveling Turnover (P1.T8) | 51 8.9% | 57 91.1% |
| Q3 - 8:46 | MIA | James 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (20 PTS) | 51 10.3% | 57 89.7% |
| Q3 - 8:54 | MIA | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 51 11.6% | 55 88.4% |
| Q3 - 8:55 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot | 51 12.1% | 55 87.9% |
| Q3 - 9:16 | MIA | James 19' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS) (Jones 1 AST) | 51 13.1% | 55 86.9% |
| Q3 - 9:31 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 51 14.8% | 53 85.2% |
| Q3 - 9:32 | TOR | MISS Uzoh 20' Jump Shot | 51 15.4% | 53 84.6% |
| Q3 - 10:02 | MIA | Pittman 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST) | 51 16.4% | 53 83.6% |
| Q3 - 10:14 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 51 18.3% | 51 81.7% |
| Q3 - 10:15 | TOR | MISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot | 51 19.0% | 51 81.0% |
| Q3 - 10:43 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 51 20.7% | 51 79.3% |
| Q3 - 10:44 | MIA | MISS Pittman 7' Hook Shot | 51 20.0% | 51 80.0% |
| Q3 - 10:44 | MIA | Pittman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 51 18.4% | 51 81.6% |
| Q3 - 10:45 | MIA | MISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot | 51 20.0% | 51 80.0% |
| Q3 - 11:14 | TOR | Uzoh 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS) | 51 18.0% | 51 82.0% |
| Q3 - 11:20 | MIA | James Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9) | 49 16.2% | 51 83.8% |
| Q3 - 11:33 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 49 14.3% | 51 85.7% |
| Q3 - 11:34 | TOR | MISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 49 14.9% | 51 85.1% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | TOR | 49 16.2% | 51 83.8% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | James 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Miller 5 AST) | 49 16.2% | 51 83.8% |
| Q2 - 0:02.0 | TOR | Forbes 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST) | 49 18.3% | 49 81.7% |
| Q2 - 0:08.0 | MIA | Chalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8) | 47 15.9% | 49 84.1% |
| Q2 - 0:26.0 | TOR | Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 47 14.6% | 49 85.4% |
| Q2 - 0:26.0 | TOR | Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 46 14.2% | 49 85.8% |
| Q2 - 0:35.0 | MIA | Pittman 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Miller 4 AST) | 45 12.7% | 49 87.3% |
| Q2 - 0:57.0 | TOR | Forbes 8' Jump Bank Shot (3 PTS) | 45 14.6% | 47 85.4% |
| Q2 - 1:13 | MIA | James 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST) | 43 12.6% | 47 87.4% |
| Q2 - 1:17 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 43 14.6% | 45 85.4% |
| Q2 - 1:18 | TOR | MISS Forbes 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 43 14.9% | 45 85.1% |
| Q2 - 1:35 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 43 15.7% | 45 84.3% |
| Q2 - 1:37 | MIA | MISS Pittman Free Throw 1 of 1 | 43 15.6% | 45 84.4% |
| Q2 - 1:44 | TOR | Forbes Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 43 18.1% | 43 81.9% |
| Q2 - 1:44 | TOR | MISS Forbes Free Throw 1 of 2 | 42 17.6% | 43 82.4% |
| Q2 - 1:54 | MIA | MISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 1 | 42 17.4% | 43 82.6% |
| Q2 - 1:54 | MIA | Haslem 2' Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (James 3 AST) | 42 17.5% | 43 82.5% |
| Q2 - 1:57 | MIA | Pittman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 42 20.1% | 41 79.9% |
| Q2 - 1:58 | TOR | MISS Davis 5' Jump Bank Shot | 42 20.6% | 41 79.4% |
| Q2 - 2:16 | MIA | Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 42 21.5% | 41 78.5% |
| Q2 - 2:36 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 42 26.0% | 38 74.0% |
| Q2 - 2:37 | TOR | MISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 42 26.8% | 38 73.2% |
| Q2 - 2:50 | TOR | Forbes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 42 28.5% | 38 71.5% |
| Q2 - 2:51 | TOR | MISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 42 26.8% | 38 73.2% |
| Q2 - 3:06 | MIA | James Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7) | 42 27.8% | 38 72.2% |
| Q2 - 3:13 | TOR | Miller STEAL (1 STL) | 42 25.1% | 38 74.9% |
| Q2 - 3:36 | MIA | James 1' Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST) | 42 27.9% | 38 72.1% |
| Q2 - 3:46 | TOR | Haslem STEAL (1 STL) | 42 30.0% | 36 70.0% |
| Q2 - 4:02 | MIA | Chalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6) | 42 31.8% | 36 68.2% |
| Q2 - 4:05 | TOR | Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Davis 1 AST) | 42 29.1% | 36 70.9% |
| Q2 - 4:22 | TOR | Anderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 39 24.7% | 36 75.3% |
| Q2 - 4:23 | MIA | MISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot | 39 23.9% | 36 76.1% |
| Q2 - 4:34 | TOR | Alabi Foul Turnover (P2.T5) | 39 22.3% | 36 77.7% |
| Q2 - 4:43 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS) | 39 24.7% | 36 75.3% |
| Q2 - 4:52 | TOR | Alabi Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4) | 39 29.2% | 33 70.8% |
| Q2 - 5:18 | TOR | Alabi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 39 31.1% | 33 68.9% |
| Q2 - 5:19 | MIA | MISS Battier Free Throw 2 of 2 | 39 30.8% | 33 69.2% |
| Q2 - 5:19 | MIA | Battier Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 39 29.3% | 33 70.7% |
| Q2 - 5:34 | TOR | Alabi 1' Layup (2 PTS) | 39 31.2% | 32 68.8% |
| Q2 - 5:35 | TOR | Alabi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 37 28.7% | 32 71.3% |
| Q2 - 5:36 | TOR | MISS Alabi 1' Tip Shot | 37 27.1% | 32 72.9% |
| Q2 - 5:37 | TOR | Alabi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 37 28.7% | 32 71.3% |
| Q2 - 5:38 | TOR | MISS Forbes 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 37 27.1% | 32 72.9% |
| Q2 - 5:49 | MIA | Anthony Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5) | 37 28.7% | 32 71.3% |
| Q2 - 6:17 | TOR | Johnson 1' Reverse Layup (9 PTS) | 37 25.6% | 32 74.4% |
| Q2 - 6:30 | TOR | Uzoh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 35 23.9% | 32 76.1% |
| Q2 - 6:31 | MIA | MISS Jones 21' Jump Shot | 35 23.2% | 32 76.8% |
| Q2 - 6:41 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 35 21.6% | 32 78.4% |
| Q2 - 6:42 | MIA | MISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 35 23.2% | 32 76.8% |
| Q2 - 6:50 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0) | 35 21.6% | 32 78.4% |
| Q2 - 6:51 | MIA | MISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 35 23.2% | 32 76.8% |
| Q2 - 6:57 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 35 21.6% | 32 78.4% |
| Q2 - 6:58 | MIA | MISS Cole 2' Driving Layup | 35 23.2% | 32 76.8% |
| Q2 - 7:06 | MIA | Battier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 35 21.1% | 32 78.9% |
| Q2 - 7:07 | TOR | MISS Forbes 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 35 21.7% | 32 78.3% |
| Q2 - 7:26 | MIA | Cole 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 35 23.2% | 32 76.8% |
| Q2 - 7:43 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 35 25.0% | 30 75.0% |
| Q2 - 7:44 | MIA | MISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 35 26.6% | 30 73.4% |
| Q2 - 8:05 | MIA | Battier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 35 24.5% | 30 75.5% |
| Q2 - 8:06 | MIA | MISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 35 25.9% | 30 74.1% |
| Q2 - 8:25 | TOR | Johnson 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 35 24.5% | 30 75.5% |
| Q2 - 8:51 | MIA | HEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4) | 33 22.7% | 30 77.3% |
| Q2 - 9:20 | TOR | Davis 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Forbes 1 AST) | 33 20.3% | 30 79.7% |
| Q2 - 9:44 | MIA | Anthony 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Miller 3 AST) | 31 18.8% | 30 81.2% |
| Q2 - 10:02 | TOR | Johnson 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 31 20.3% | 28 79.7% |
| Q2 - 10:28 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 29 18.9% | 28 81.1% |
| Q2 - 10:29 | MIA | MISS Miller 21' Jump Shot | 29 18.3% | 28 81.7% |
| Q2 - 10:47 | TOR | Anderson 1' Driving Dunk (12 PTS) | 29 17.2% | 28 82.8% |
| Q2 - 10:55 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 27 16.0% | 28 84.0% |
| Q2 - 10:56 | MIA | MISS Cole 1' Driving Layup | 27 15.5% | 28 84.5% |
| Q2 - 11:01 | TOR | Battier STEAL (1 STL) | 27 14.6% | 28 85.4% |
| Q2 - 11:19 | MIA | Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 2 AST) | 27 15.9% | 28 84.1% |
| Q2 - 11:38 | TOR | Johnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 27 18.7% | 25 81.3% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 24 15.9% | 25 84.1% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 24 14.6% | 25 85.4% |
| Q1 - 0:02.0 | TOR | MISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 24 14.9% | 25 85.1% |
| Q1 - 0:11.0 | MIA | Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST) | 24 15.6% | 25 84.4% |
| Q1 - 0:30.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 24 18.6% | 22 81.4% |
| Q1 - 0:31.0 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 28' 3PT Jump Shot | 24 18.9% | 22 81.1% |
| Q1 - 0:46.0 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw Technical (5 PTS) | 24 19.8% | 22 80.2% |
| Q1 - 1:06 | MIA | James 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Miller 1 AST) | 23 18.0% | 22 82.0% |
| Q1 - 1:12 | MIA | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 19.8% | 20 80.2% |
| Q1 - 1:13 | TOR | Anthony BLOCK (1 BLK) | 23 20.1% | 20 79.9% |
| Q1 - 1:25 | MIA | Cole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 23 20.9% | 20 79.1% |
| Q1 - 1:36 | TOR | Anderson 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 23 19.8% | 20 80.2% |
| Q1 - 2:00 | MIA | Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Battier 1 AST) | 21 18.0% | 20 82.0% |
| Q1 - 2:05 | MIA | Battier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 21 21.0% | 17 79.0% |
| Q1 - 2:06 | MIA | MISS Anthony 1' Dunk | 21 22.0% | 17 78.0% |
| Q1 - 2:14 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 21 21.0% | 17 79.0% |
| Q1 - 2:15 | MIA | MISS Anthony 8' Jump Bank Shot | 21 22.0% | 17 78.0% |
| Q1 - 2:36 | TOR | Anderson 1' Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST) | 21 21.0% | 17 79.0% |
| Q1 - 2:41 | MIA | James Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2) | 19 19.4% | 17 80.6% |
| Q1 - 2:48 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 19 18.2% | 17 81.8% |
| Q1 - 2:49 | TOR | MISS Uzoh 6' Jump Shot | 19 18.5% | 17 81.5% |
| Q1 - 3:09 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 19 19.1% | 17 80.9% |
| Q1 - 3:09 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 1 of 2 | 19 19.4% | 16 80.6% |
| Q1 - 3:23 | TOR | Davis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 19 19.1% | 16 80.9% |
| Q1 - 3:23 | TOR | Davis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 18 18.6% | 16 81.4% |
| Q1 - 3:46 | MIA | Chalmers 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST) | 17 17.8% | 16 82.2% |
| Q1 - 3:58 | TOR | Chalmers STEAL (1 STL) | 17 19.1% | 14 80.9% |
| Q1 - 4:21 | MIA | Haslem 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS) | 17 20.0% | 14 80.0% |
| Q1 - 4:22 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 17 21.3% | 12 78.7% |
| Q1 - 4:23 | MIA | MISS Pittman 2' Layup | 17 22.5% | 12 77.5% |
| Q1 - 4:24 | MIA | Pittman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 17 21.4% | 12 78.6% |
| Q1 - 4:25 | MIA | MISS Pittman 1' Layup | 17 22.5% | 12 77.5% |
| Q1 - 4:47 | TOR | Anderson 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST) | 17 21.4% | 12 78.6% |
| Q1 - 4:52 | MIA | James Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1) | 15 20.1% | 12 79.9% |
| Q1 - 5:03 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 15 18.4% | 12 81.6% |
| Q1 - 5:04 | TOR | MISS Johnson 6' Hook Shot | 15 18.8% | 12 81.2% |
| Q1 - 5:25 | TOR | Uzoh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 15 19.8% | 12 80.2% |
| Q1 - 5:26 | MIA | MISS Pittman 8' Turnaround Jump Shot | 15 19.4% | 12 80.6% |
| Q1 - 5:42 | TOR | Johnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 15 18.4% | 12 81.6% |
| Q1 - 5:53 | MIA | James 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 12 16.1% | 12 83.9% |
| Q1 - 6:07 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 12 16.8% | 10 83.2% |
| Q1 - 6:08 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 19' Jump Shot | 12 17.2% | 10 82.8% |
| Q1 - 6:21 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 12 18.1% | 10 81.9% |
| Q1 - 6:22 | MIA | MISS Jones 9' Jump Shot | 12 17.7% | 10 82.3% |
| Q1 - 6:40 | TOR | Davis 5' Layup (2 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST) | 12 16.8% | 10 83.2% |
| Q1 - 6:48 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 10 15.8% | 10 84.2% |
| Q1 - 6:49 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 7' Running Jump Shot | 10 15.0% | 10 85.0% |
| Q1 - 7:02 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 10 15.5% | 10 84.5% |
| Q1 - 7:02 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 10 15.6% | 9 84.4% |
| Q1 - 7:17 | TOR | Gray 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST) | 10 16.4% | 8 83.6% |
| Q1 - 7:36 | MIA | Haslem 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 8 15.5% | 8 84.5% |
| Q1 - 8:00 | TOR | Anderson 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 8 16.4% | 6 83.6% |
| Q1 - 8:09 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 6 15.1% | 6 84.9% |
| Q1 - 8:10 | TOR | Haslem BLOCK (1 BLK) | 6 14.4% | 6 85.6% |
| Q1 - 8:14 | TOR | Uzoh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 6 15.1% | 6 84.9% |
| Q1 - 8:15 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup | 6 14.8% | 6 85.2% |
| Q1 - 8:36 | TOR | DeRozan 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS) | 6 14.2% | 6 85.8% |
| Q1 - 8:55 | MIA | Pittman Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 4 13.2% | 6 86.8% |
| Q1 - 8:55 | MIA | Pittman Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 4 13.5% | 5 86.5% |
| Q1 - 9:15 | TOR | Anderson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 4 14.0% | 4 86.0% |
| Q1 - 9:39 | MIA | Haslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 2 13.2% | 4 86.8% |
| Q1 - 9:53 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 14.1% | 2 85.9% |
| Q1 - 9:54 | TOR | MISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 2 14.3% | 2 85.7% |
| Q1 - 10:10 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 14.9% | 2 85.1% |
| Q1 - 10:11 | MIA | MISS James 14' Jump Bank Shot | 2 14.6% | 2 85.4% |
| Q1 - 10:22 | TOR | James STEAL (1 STL) | 2 13.9% | 2 86.1% |
| Q1 - 10:36 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 2 14.9% | 2 85.1% |
| Q1 - 10:37 | MIA | MISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 2 14.6% | 2 85.4% |
| Q1 - 10:56 | TOR | DeRozan 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 2 13.9% | 2 86.1% |
| Q1 - 11:13 | TOR | Uzoh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 0 12.9% | 2 87.1% |
| Q1 - 11:14 | TOR | MISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot | 0 12.4% | 2 87.6% |
| Q1 - 11:39 | MIA | James 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 0 12.9% | 2 87.1% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MIA | Jump Ball Pittman vs. Johnson: Tip to James | 0 13.8% | 0 86.2% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
TOR
0.90 45.0%
MIA
1.12 55.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
16
23
70%
MIA
25
36
69%
Midrange
TOR
13
33
39%
MIA
8
23
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
1
1.5
16
6%
9%
MIA
7
10.5
17
41%
62%
Free Throws
TOR
11
15
73%
MIA
9
15
60%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Raptors| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Johnson | 18 | 69% | 9.0 / 13 | |
| A. Anderson | 15 | 39% | 7.5 / 19 | |
| D. DeRozan | 12 | 40% | 6.0 / 15 | |
| G. Forbes | 9 | 41% | 4.5 / 11 | |
| E. Davis | 8 | 57% | 4.0 / 7 | |
| B. Uzoh | 3 | 30% | 1.5 / 5 | |
| A. Johnson | 3 | 38% | 1.5 / 4 | |
| A. Gray | 2 | 100% | 1.0 / 1 | |
| S. Alabi | 2 | 33% | 1.0 / 3 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. James | 28 | 88% | 14.0 / 16 | |
| M. Miller | 13 | 81% | 6.5 / 8 | |
| U. Haslem | 10 | 63% | 5.0 / 8 | |
| M. Chalmers | 9 | 90% | 4.5 / 5 | |
| D. Pittman | 8 | 44% | 4.0 / 9 | |
| S. Battier | 7 | 70% | 3.5 / 5 | |
| J. Howard | 7 | 58% | 3.5 / 6 | |
| J. Anthony | 6 | 60% | 3.0 / 5 | |
| E. Curry | 4 | 67% | 2.0 / 3 | |
| N. Cole | 2 | 13% | 1.0 / 8 | |
| T. Harris | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 | |
| J. Jones | 0 | - | 0.0 / 7 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
TOR
68
+11
-14
79
MIA
68
+16
-14
84
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
TOR
0.90 45.0%
MIA
1.12 55.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 100.5 106.6 | TOR 87.8 +29.3 MIA 117.1 |
| Pace | 89.6 91.3 | TOR 79.5 MIA 84.7 +5.2 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.6 15.8 | TOR 18.1 MIA 17.0 +1.1 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 47.5% 50.5% | TOR 42.4% MIA 57.2% +14.8% |
| TO % | 16.1% 15.9% | TOR 15.1% +1.1% MIA 16.2% |
| ORB % | 26.0% 26.6% | TOR 25.0% MIA 35.5% +10.5% |
| FTrt | 27.4 30.7 | TOR 20.8 +1.1 MIA 19.7 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 60.9% 53.8% | TOR 40.0% MIA 62.5% +22.5% |
| STL % | 7.2% 9.6% | TOR 8.5% MIA 11.0% +2.5% |
| BLK % | 8.2% 9.0% | TOR 8.5% +3.1% MIA 5.4% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 50.2% 53.5% | TOR 45.0% MIA 55.8% +10.8% |
| Rim FG% | 59.1% 61.1% | TOR 69.6% +0.2% MIA 69.4% |
| Mid FG% | 37.2% 40.0% | TOR 39.4% +4.6% MIA 34.8% |
| 3P % | 34.0% 35.9% | TOR 6.3% MIA 41.2% +34.9% |
| FT % | 77.0% 77.5% | TOR 73.3% +13.3% MIA 60.0% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 34.1% 36.7% | TOR 31.9% MIA 47.4% +15.4% |
| Mid Att. % | 45.1% 43.6% | TOR 45.8% MIA 30.3% +15.6% |
| 3P Att. % | 20.9% 19.8% | TOR 22.2% MIA 22.4% +0.1% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
| Game Totals | TOR | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 82 | 82 |
| Possession Minutes | 24.8 | 23.2 |
| Points | 72 | 96 |
| Rebounds | 30 | 41 |
| Assists | 12 | 25 |
| Steals | 7 | 9 |
| Blocks | 5 | 3 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 14 (0) | 14 (2) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 10 (1) | 11 (5) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 20 (4) | 30 (3) |
| Field Goals | 30-72 | 40-76 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 16-23 | 25-36 |
| Midrange FG | 13-33 | 8-23 |
| 2-Point FG | 29-56 | 33-59 |
| 3-Point FG | 1-16 | 7-17 |
| Free Throws | 11-15 | 9-15 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.