FinalWin Prob.pScore
2523%91
84
1677%101
116
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
85.79894.1
ATL logo ATL
118.498104.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETATL
Q4 - 0:00.0DET84
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)84
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0ATLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot84
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:30.0ATLRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0DETMISS Russell 6' Running Hook Shot84
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:47.0ATLRadmanovic 4' Driving Jump Shot (7 PTS)84
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 1:00DETRussell Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)84
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:00DETRussell Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)83
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:04DETWilkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:05ATLMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot82
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:19DETRussell Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)82
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:32DETMacklin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)82
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:33ATLMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:57ATLGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 2:00DETMISS Daye Free Throw 2 of 282
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 2:00DETMISS Daye Free Throw 1 of 282
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 2:05DETRussell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)82
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 2:07ATLMISS Pargo 27' 3PT Jump Shot82
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 2:34DETRussell 1' Running Layup (13 PTS) (Wilkins 1 AST)82
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 2:38ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)80
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 2:47ATLStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 2:48DETMISS Russell 18' Jump Shot80
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 3:06DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)80
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 3:07ATLMISS Stackhouse 1' Driving Layup80
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 3:16DETRussell Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)80
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 3:16DETRussell Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)79
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 3:23DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)78
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 3:24ATLMISS Radmanovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 3:30ATLGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 3:31DETMISS Macklin 1' Layup78
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:37DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38ATLMISS Johnson 6' Jump Shot78
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:55DETRussell 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jerebko 1 AST)78
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 4:10DETMacklin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)75
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 4:11ATLMISS Pargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 4:33DETRussell 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)75
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 4:39DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)73
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 4:41ATLMISS Stackhouse 17' Fadeaway Jumper73
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 4:59ATLStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 5:02DETMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 5:21ATLRadmanovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Pargo 8 AST)73
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 5:34ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)73
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 5:35DETMISS Jerebko 1' Layup73
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 5:48ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)73
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 5:48ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)73
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:48ATLHAWKS Rebound73
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 5:48ATLMISS Pargo 17' Jump Shot73
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 6:10DETRussell 1' Running Layup (4 PTS)73
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 6:15ATLPargo Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)71
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 6:23ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)71
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 6:25DETMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 6:41ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)71
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 6:47DETPargo STEAL (2 STL)71
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:55DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:57ATLMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 7:21ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)71
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 7:22DETMISS Russell 2' Driving Layup71
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 7:38DETRussell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)71
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 7:40DETMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 7:52ATLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)71
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 7:52ATLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)71
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 8:11DETGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bynum 3 AST)71
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 8:21ATLMcGrady 2' Reverse Layup (15 PTS) (Pargo 7 AST)68
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 8:29ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)68
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 8:30DETMISS Bynum 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 8:38DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)68
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 8:40ATLMISS McGrady 19' Turnaround Jump Shot68
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 9:09DETGordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST)68
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 9:17ATLMcGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Pargo 6 AST)65
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 9:25DETWilliams STEAL (2 STL)65
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 9:44ATLGreen 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS)65
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 9:48ATLGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)65
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 9:50ATLMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot65
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 10:08DETGordon 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)65
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 10:13DETGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 10:14DETMISS Gordon 19' Jump Shot63
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 10:20DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)63
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 10:22ATLMISS Johnson 5' Driving Jump Shot63
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 10:38DETBynum Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)63
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 10:49DETWilkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 10:50ATLMISS Green Free Throw 2 of 263
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 10:50ATLGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)63
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 10:54ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:56DETMISS Macklin Layup63
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:58DETMacklin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)63
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 11:00DETMacklin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 11:00DETMISS Macklin 1' Tip Shot63
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 11:00DETMacklin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)63
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 11:00DETMISS Macklin 3' Tip Shot63
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 11:00DETMISS Wilkins 1' Layup63
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 11:01DETWilkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)63
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 11:02DETWilkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 11:02DETMISS Wilkins 3' Layup63
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 11:03DETMISS Gordon 2' Layup63
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 11:07DETWilkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 11:09ATLMISS Johnson 1' Layup63
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 11:32DETVillanueva 1' Putback Layup (14 PTS)63
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 11:33DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)61
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 11:35DETMISS Villanueva 9' Driving Jump Shot61
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 11:43DETGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 11:45ATLMISS Williams 3' Layup61
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL61
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound61
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Pargo 41' 3PT Jump Shot61
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0ATLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 0:05.0DETMISS Bynum 1' Driving Layup61
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0ATLGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)61
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0ATLGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)61
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q3 - 0:34.0DETMISS Wilkins Free Throw 2 of 261
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q3 - 0:34.0DETMISS Wilkins Free Throw 1 of 261
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q3 - 0:44.0ATLJohnson Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Green 3 AST)61
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q3 - 0:57.0DETPargo STEAL (1 STL)61
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q3 - 1:12ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)61
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q3 - 1:12ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 261
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 1:24DETMacklin Putback Layup (8 PTS)61
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 1:25DETMacklin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 1:27DETMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 1:40ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)59
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 1:43ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)59
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 1:44DETMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 2:03ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)59
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 2:21DETMacklin 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)59
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 2:40ATLSmith 1' Putback Layup (10 PTS)57
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 2:41ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)57
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 2:43ATLMISS Teague 8' Turnaround Jump Shot57
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 2:51ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 2:53ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 3:08DETVillanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)57
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q3 - 3:24ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)54
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 3:24ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)54
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 3:32ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)54
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q3 - 3:33DETMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q3 - 3:55ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)54
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q3 - 3:57ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)54
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q3 - 3:59DETMISS Knight 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q3 - 4:05DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q3 - 4:07DETMISS Stuckey 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q3 - 4:27ATLCollins 2' Dunk (7 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)54
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q3 - 4:36ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q3 - 4:38DETMISS Monroe 2' Driving Layup54
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q3 - 4:49DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q3 - 4:50ATLMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot54
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q3 - 5:12DETMonroe 1' Reverse Layup (17 PTS)54
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q3 - 5:40ATLTeague 4' Driving Layup (6 PTS)52
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q3 - 5:51DETMaxiell 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST)52
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 6:00DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q3 - 6:02ATLMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot50
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q3 - 6:21DETMonroe 5' Hook Shot (15 PTS)50
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q3 - 6:41DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q3 - 6:42ATLMISS Collins Free Throw 2 of 248
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q3 - 6:42ATLCollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)48
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q3 - 6:51ATLHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q3 - 6:52DETMISS Daye 18' Jump Shot48
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q3 - 7:10ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)48
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 7:10ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)48
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q3 - 7:14DETTeague STEAL (1 STL)48
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 7:19DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q3 - 7:21ATLMISS Hinrich 18' Jump Shot48
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 7:26ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 7:28DETMISS Maxiell 18' Fadeaway Jumper48
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 7:45DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q3 - 7:47ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 7:54ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 7:56DETMISS Daye 15' Jump Shot48
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 8:22ATLCollins 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)48
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q3 - 8:38ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
0.4%
76
99.6%
Q3 - 8:39DETMISS Monroe 19' Jump Shot48
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 8:51DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 8:52ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 9:02ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 9:03DETMISS Knight 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 9:11DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q3 - 9:12ATLMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 9:25DETMaxiell 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)48
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 9:46ATLTeague 9' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)46
0.4%
76
99.6%
Q3 - 10:02DETMonroe 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)46
0.5%
74
99.5%
Q3 - 10:18ATLCollins Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)44
0.5%
74
99.5%
Q3 - 10:38ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
0.4%
74
99.6%
Q3 - 10:39DETMISS Daye Free Throw 1 of 144
0.4%
74
99.6%
Q3 - 10:43DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
0.4%
74
99.6%
Q3 - 10:45ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot42
0.3%
74
99.7%
Q3 - 11:02DETJohnson STEAL (2 STL)42
0.4%
74
99.6%
Q3 - 11:23ATLJohnson 16' Turnaround Fadeaway (11 PTS)42
0.4%
74
99.6%
Q3 - 11:30ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
0.5%
72
99.5%
Q3 - 11:31DETMISS Daye 5' Jump Shot42
0.5%
72
99.5%
Q3 - 11:34DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
0.5%
72
99.5%
Q3 - 11:36DETMISS Maxiell 16' Jump Shot42
0.5%
72
99.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL42
0.5%
72
99.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETRussell 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Macklin 2 AST)42
0.5%
72
99.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0DETMacklin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
0.5%
72
99.5%
Q2 - 0:04.0ATLMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
0.5%
72
99.5%
Q2 - 0:24.0DETVillanueva 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Macklin 1 AST)40
0.4%
72
99.6%
Q2 - 0:36.0ATLPargo 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)38
0.4%
72
99.6%
Q2 - 0:46.0DETJerebko 4' Running Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)38
0.4%
70
99.6%
Q2 - 1:00ATLRadmanovic 1' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Pargo 5 AST)36
0.4%
70
99.6%
Q2 - 1:07DETVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)36
0.5%
68
99.5%
Q2 - 1:07DETVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)35
0.4%
68
99.6%
Q2 - 1:07DETPistons Rebound34
0.4%
68
99.6%
Q2 - 1:07ATLMISS Stackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
0.4%
68
99.6%
Q2 - 1:33DETJerebko 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Russell 1 AST)34
0.4%
68
99.6%
Q2 - 1:45DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
0.3%
68
99.7%
Q2 - 1:46ATLMISS Green 19' Jump Shot31
0.3%
68
99.7%
Q2 - 1:52DETStackhouse STEAL (1 STL)31
0.2%
68
99.8%
Q2 - 1:55DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
0.3%
68
99.7%
Q2 - 1:56ATLMISS Green 9' Jump Shot31
0.3%
68
99.7%
Q2 - 2:01ATLRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
0.3%
68
99.7%
Q2 - 2:02DETMISS Knight 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
0.3%
68
99.7%
Q2 - 2:25ATLStackhouse 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pargo 4 AST)31
0.3%
68
99.7%
Q2 - 2:36ATLRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
0.4%
65
99.6%
Q2 - 2:37DETMISS Knight 16' Jump Shot31
0.4%
65
99.6%
Q2 - 2:53ATLGreen 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (5 PTS)31
0.4%
65
99.6%
Q2 - 3:06ATLRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
0.5%
63
99.5%
Q2 - 3:08DETMISS Monroe 2' Driving Layup31
0.6%
63
99.4%
Q2 - 3:24ATLGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pargo 3 AST)31
0.6%
63
99.4%
Q2 - 3:31ATLPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
0.8%
60
99.2%
Q2 - 3:33DETMISS Daye 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
0.8%
60
99.2%
Q2 - 3:58ATLJohnson 1' Driving Slam Dunk (8 PTS)31
0.9%
60
99.1%
Q2 - 4:13DETMonroe 1' Running Layup (11 PTS)31
1.0%
58
99.0%
Q2 - 4:17ATLPargo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)29
0.9%
58
99.1%
Q2 - 4:25DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)29
0.8%
58
99.2%
Q2 - 4:25DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 1 of 228
0.8%
58
99.2%
Q2 - 4:42ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)28
0.8%
58
99.2%
Q2 - 4:42ATLWilliams Putback Layup (10 PTS)28
0.8%
58
99.2%
Q2 - 4:43ATLMISS Williams 6' Jump Shot28
1.0%
56
99.0%
Q2 - 4:48ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
0.9%
56
99.1%
Q2 - 4:50DETMcGrady BLOCK (1 BLK)28
1.0%
56
99.0%
Q2 - 5:19ATLWilliams 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Green 2 AST)28
1.1%
56
98.9%
Q2 - 5:38ATLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
1.3%
54
98.7%
Q2 - 5:39DETMISS Jerebko 18' Jump Shot28
1.3%
54
98.7%
Q2 - 5:49DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
1.4%
54
98.6%
Q2 - 5:50ATLMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot28
1.4%
54
98.6%
Q2 - 6:04ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
1.4%
54
98.6%
Q2 - 6:06DETMISS Daye 16' Jump Shot28
1.4%
54
98.6%
Q2 - 6:12DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
1.6%
54
98.4%
Q2 - 6:14ATLMISS Williams 3' Running Jump Shot28
1.5%
54
98.5%
Q2 - 6:20DETJohnson STEAL (1 STL)28
1.4%
54
98.6%
Q2 - 6:35ATLMcGrady Dunk (10 PTS) (Pargo 2 AST)28
1.6%
54
98.4%
Q2 - 6:41ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
1.7%
52
98.3%
Q2 - 6:42DETMISS Daye 19' Jump Shot28
1.8%
52
98.2%
Q2 - 6:54DETPistons Rebound28
2.0%
52
98.0%
Q2 - 6:56DETMISS Daye 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
1.8%
52
98.2%
Q2 - 7:13ATLPargo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)28
2.1%
52
97.9%
Q2 - 7:18ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)28
2.5%
49
97.5%
Q2 - 7:20DETMISS Bynum 3PT Jump Shot28
2.6%
49
97.4%
Q2 - 7:41DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
2.8%
49
97.2%
Q2 - 7:42ATLMISS Pargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
2.7%
49
97.3%
Q2 - 8:02DETDaye Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
2.7%
49
97.3%
Q2 - 8:02DETDaye Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
2.7%
49
97.3%
Q2 - 8:17ATLMcGrady 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)26
2.5%
49
97.5%
Q2 - 8:20ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
2.7%
47
97.3%
Q2 - 8:22DETGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)26
2.8%
47
97.2%
Q2 - 8:44ATLMcGrady 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)26
3.0%
47
97.0%
Q2 - 9:06DETJerebko Running Layup (2 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)26
3.4%
45
96.6%
Q2 - 9:12ATLMcGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)24
3.1%
45
96.9%
Q2 - 9:20ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
2.8%
45
97.2%
Q2 - 9:22DETMISS Wilkins 18' Jump Shot24
2.9%
45
97.1%
Q2 - 9:39DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
3.1%
45
96.9%
Q2 - 9:40ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 124
3.1%
45
96.9%
Q2 - 9:54DETJerebko Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)24
3.4%
43
96.6%
Q2 - 10:00DETPistons Rebound24
3.8%
43
96.2%
Q2 - 10:01DETMISS Bynum 21' Jump Shot24
3.7%
43
96.3%
Q2 - 10:06DETMacklin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
4.0%
43
96.0%
Q2 - 10:08ATLMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot24
3.8%
43
96.2%
Q2 - 10:26DETMacklin 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS)24
3.6%
43
96.4%
Q2 - 10:37DETMacklin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
3.3%
43
96.7%
Q2 - 10:38ATLMISS McGrady 14' Running Jump Shot22
3.2%
43
96.8%
Q2 - 10:58DETMacklin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
2.9%
43
97.1%
Q2 - 10:58DETMacklin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
2.8%
43
97.2%
Q2 - 11:20ATLWilliams 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Green 1 AST)20
2.8%
43
97.2%
Q2 - 11:28ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
3.1%
41
96.9%
Q2 - 11:29DETMISS Gordon 19' Jump Shot20
3.2%
41
96.8%
Q2 - 11:44ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
3.4%
41
96.6%
Q2 - 11:44ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
3.4%
40
96.6%
Q2 - 11:47DETWilliams STEAL (1 STL)20
3.7%
39
96.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET20
4.1%
39
95.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound20
4.1%
39
95.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
3.8%
39
96.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0ATLPargo 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
4.2%
39
95.8%
Q1 - 0:28.0DETBynum 5' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
4.7%
37
95.3%
Q1 - 0:33.0DETBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
4.2%
37
95.8%
Q1 - 0:35.0ATLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
4.1%
37
95.9%
Q1 - 0:40.0ATLPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
3.9%
37
96.1%
Q1 - 0:41.0DETMISS Wilkins 16' Jump Shot18
4.0%
37
96.0%
Q1 - 1:01ATLJohnson 1' Running Layup (4 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)18
4.4%
37
95.6%
Q1 - 1:09ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
4.9%
35
95.1%
Q1 - 1:11DETMISS Villanueva 9' Turnaround Jump Shot18
5.0%
35
95.0%
Q1 - 1:34ATLPargo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)18
5.2%
35
94.8%
Q1 - 1:38ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
5.8%
33
94.2%
Q1 - 1:40DETWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)18
6.0%
33
94.0%
Q1 - 1:50ATLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)18
6.2%
33
93.8%
Q1 - 2:06DETMcGrady STEAL (1 STL)18
7.7%
30
92.3%
Q1 - 2:19ATLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)18
8.3%
30
91.7%
Q1 - 2:19ATLMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 218
8.5%
29
91.5%
Q1 - 2:19ATLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
8.4%
29
91.6%
Q1 - 2:20ATLMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
8.8%
29
91.2%
Q1 - 2:30ATLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
8.3%
29
91.7%
Q1 - 2:31DETMISS Monroe 5' Hook Shot18
8.5%
29
91.5%
Q1 - 2:48ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)18
9.0%
29
91.0%
Q1 - 2:48ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
9.1%
28
90.9%
Q1 - 3:06DETMonroe 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)18
9.7%
27
90.3%
Q1 - 3:16DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
9.0%
27
91.0%
Q1 - 3:19ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot16
8.8%
27
91.2%
Q1 - 3:29ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
8.3%
27
91.7%
Q1 - 3:30DETMISS Knight 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
8.5%
27
91.5%
Q1 - 3:51ATLJohnson 1' Driving Reverse Layup (9 PTS)16
9.0%
27
91.0%
Q1 - 4:11DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
9.7%
25
90.3%
Q1 - 4:11DETMonroe 1' Putback Layup (6 PTS)16
9.7%
25
90.3%
Q1 - 4:12DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
9.0%
25
91.0%
Q1 - 4:12DETMISS Monroe Tip Shot14
8.5%
25
91.5%
Q1 - 4:13DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)14
9.0%
25
91.0%
Q1 - 4:13DETMISS Villanueva Putback Layup14
8.5%
25
91.5%
Q1 - 4:15DETMISS Daye 10' Jump Shot14
8.5%
25
91.5%
Q1 - 4:33ATLJohnson Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)14
9.0%
25
91.0%
Q1 - 4:39DETJohnson STEAL (1 STL)14
9.7%
23
90.3%
Q1 - 4:45DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
10.5%
23
89.5%
Q1 - 4:47ATLMISS Smith 5' Hook Shot14
10.3%
23
89.7%
Q1 - 5:04DETVillanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)14
10.0%
23
90.0%
Q1 - 5:24ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)11
8.6%
23
91.4%
Q1 - 5:34DETVillanueva 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)11
9.9%
20
90.1%
Q1 - 5:35DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
9.3%
20
90.7%
Q1 - 5:37DETMISS Daye 15' Jump Shot9
8.7%
20
91.3%
Q1 - 5:52ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
9.3%
20
90.7%
Q1 - 5:52ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
9.4%
19
90.6%
Q1 - 6:06ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
10.0%
18
90.0%
Q1 - 6:09DETMISS Maxiell 14' Turnaround Jump Shot9
10.3%
18
89.7%
Q1 - 6:30ATLSmith 17' Turnaround Fadeaway (6 PTS)9
10.8%
18
89.2%
Q1 - 6:49DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
11.6%
16
88.4%
Q1 - 6:49DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
11.4%
16
88.6%
Q1 - 7:06DETKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
10.9%
16
89.1%
Q1 - 7:07ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot7
10.7%
16
89.3%
Q1 - 7:21DETMonroe 4' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)7
10.1%
16
89.9%
Q1 - 7:33ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)5
9.5%
16
90.5%
Q1 - 7:33ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
9.7%
15
90.3%
Q1 - 7:36DETCollins STEAL (1 STL)5
10.1%
14
89.9%
Q1 - 7:51ATLCollins 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)5
10.9%
14
89.1%
Q1 - 7:58ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
11.6%
12
88.4%
Q1 - 7:59DETSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)5
11.9%
12
88.1%
Q1 - 8:27ATLJohnson 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)5
12.4%
12
87.6%
Q1 - 8:39ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Monroe: Tip to Collins5
13.3%
10
86.7%
Q1 - 8:39DETMISS Knight 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
13.6%
10
86.4%
Q1 - 9:02ATLHinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)5
14.3%
10
85.7%
Q1 - 9:19ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
16.2%
7
83.8%
Q1 - 9:20DETMISS Stuckey 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
16.5%
7
83.5%
Q1 - 9:40ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)5
17.2%
7
82.8%
Q1 - 10:01DETKnight 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)5
18.2%
5
81.8%
Q1 - 10:30ATLHinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)2
16.3%
5
83.7%
Q1 - 10:33ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
18.2%
2
81.8%
Q1 - 10:35ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot2
19.1%
2
80.9%
Q1 - 10:57ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.2%
2
81.8%
Q1 - 10:58DETMISS Knight 22' Jump Shot2
18.6%
2
81.4%
Q1 - 11:14ATLTeague Running Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)2
18.9%
2
81.1%
Q1 - 11:19DETKnight 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
20.1%
0
79.9%
Q1 - 11:36DETKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
19.0%
0
81.0%
Q1 - 11:37ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot0
18.7%
0
81.3%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Monroe: Tip to Teague0
18.0%
0
82.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.82 40.8%
ATL
1.16 58.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
18
34
53%
ATL
23
29
79%
Midrange
DET
7
33
21%
ATL
11
28
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
7
10.5
25
28%
42%
ATL
8
12.0
28
29%
43%
Free Throws
DET
13
19
68%
ATL
24
29
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Monroe1757%8.5 / 15
W. Russell1575%7.5 / 10
C. Villanueva1458%7.0 / 12
V. Macklin850%4.0 / 8
B. Gordon836%4.0 / 11
J. Jerebko770%3.5 / 5
B. Knight528%2.5 / 9
A. Daye415%2.0 / 13
J. Maxiell440%2.0 / 5
W. Bynum220%1.0 / 5
R. Stuckey0-0.0 / 3
D. Wilkins0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady1771%8.5 / 12
I. Johnson1667%8.0 / 12
J. Johnson1359%6.5 / 11
J. Smith1260%6.0 / 10
W. Green1045%5.0 / 11
M. Williams1045%5.0 / 11
J. Pargo950%4.5 / 9
J. Collins788%3.5 / 4
V. Radmanovic788%3.5 / 4
J. Teague650%3.0 / 6
K. Hinrich675%3.0 / 4
J. Stackhouse338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
84
+18
-14
102
ATL
91
+8
-7
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.82 40.8%
ATL
1.16 58.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.8
105.3
DET 85.7 +32.7
ATL 118.4
Pace
89.5
89.9
DET 94.1
ATL 104.0 +9.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.8
DET 15.3
ATL 13.8 +1.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.8%
50.0%
DET 38.6%
ATL 54.1% +15.5%
TO %
16.2%
14.5%
DET 12.2%
ATL 6.7% +5.5%
ORB %
28.1%
23.9%
DET 25.4% +11.4%
ATL 14.0%
FTrt
27.9
25.9
DET 20.7
ATL 34.1 +13.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.8%
61.0%
DET 53.1%
ATL 64.3% +11.2%
STL %
7.7%
8.8%
DET 4.1%
ATL 11.2% +7.1%
BLK %
6.9%
7.2%
DET 7.0% +1.0%
ATL 6.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.5%
52.1%
DET 40.8%
ATL 58.0% +17.2%
Rim FG%
54.5%
60.0%
DET 52.9%
ATL 79.3% +26.4%
Mid FG%
37.3%
38.2%
DET 21.2%
ATL 39.3% +18.1%
3P %
34.6%
37.0%
DET 28.0%
ATL 28.6% +0.6%
FT %
75.2%
74.0%
DET 68.4%
ATL 82.8% +14.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.5%
34.6%
DET 37.0% +2.8%
ATL 34.1%
Mid Att. %
42.0%
40.6%
DET 35.9%
ATL 32.9% +2.9%
3P Att. %
17.5%
24.9%
DET 27.2%
ATL 32.9% +5.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETATL
Possessions9898
Possession Minutes25.022.6
Points84116
Rebounds5250
Assists1727
Steals411
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)7 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (3)6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (1)44 (1)
Field Goals32-9242-85
At-the-Rim FG18-3423-29
Midrange FG7-3311-28
2-Point FG25-6734-57
3-Point FG7-258-28
Free Throws13-1924-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 220 · 24
29.8
4
15%
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
2-5
40%
1-9
11%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 182 · 20
26.9
5
28%
2
3
0
1
3
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-6
17%
C · 6'11" 265 · 22
24.8
17
57%
5
1
1
0
1
3
2
3
3-4
75%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 26
20.5
0
0%
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 260 · 29
14.2
4
40%
5
0
0
0
1
3
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 227 · 26
23.2
8
50%
9
2
0
1
1
3
4
5
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 232 · 28
19.9
14
58%
6
1
0
1
2
4
3
3
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
2-5
40%
· 6'6" 225 · 32
19.1
0
0%
5
1
2
0
0
1
2
3
0-2
0%
0-4
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 231 · 25
18.9
7
70%
8
1
0
0
1
0
0
8
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
G · 6'0" 185 · 29
15.5
2
20%
1
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 205 · 29
14.8
8
36%
2
2
0
0
1
4
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
2-6
33%
G · 6'0" 170 · 30
12.4
15
75%
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
1
4-4
100%
4-7
57%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 212 · 32
#6 · F-C · 6'9" 240 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
41%
52
17
4
4
14
0
15
37
13-19
68%
25-67
37%
7-25
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.