FinalWin Prob.pScore
145%95
86
355%96
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
90.59580.2
CHI logo CHI
102.19491.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHI
OT1 - 0:00.0MIA86
0%
96
100%
OT1 - 0:08.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)86
0.1%
96
99.9%
OT1 - 0:09.0CHIMISS Watson 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
96
99.9%
OT1 - 0:27.0CHIJump Ball Brewer vs. Miller: Tip to Watson86
0.1%
96
99.9%
OT1 - 0:30.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)86
0.1%
96
99.9%
OT1 - 0:31.0CHIMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot86
0.1%
96
99.9%
OT1 - 0:57.0CHIButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
0.1%
96
99.9%
OT1 - 0:58.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
96
99.9%
OT1 - 1:02CHIKorver 27' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Watson 9 AST)86
0.2%
96
99.8%
OT1 - 1:21CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
1.3%
93
98.7%
OT1 - 1:23MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 286
1.5%
93
98.5%
OT1 - 1:23MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)86
2.2%
93
97.8%
OT1 - 1:27CHIWatson 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS)85
1.6%
93
98.4%
OT1 - 1:44MIABattier Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T18)85
3.5%
91
96.5%
OT1 - 1:48MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)85
6.0%
91
94.0%
OT1 - 1:50MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup85
4.3%
91
95.7%
OT1 - 2:10CHIGibson 3' Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Watson 8 AST)85
6.5%
91
93.5%
OT1 - 2:26MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)85
8.6%
89
91.4%
OT1 - 2:26MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 284
7.9%
89
92.1%
OT1 - 2:29CHIWatson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)84
10.5%
89
89.5%
OT1 - 2:47CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)84
5.3%
89
94.7%
OT1 - 2:49MIAMISS Bosh 5' Jump Shot84
6.5%
89
93.5%
OT1 - 3:10CHIKorver Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)84
12.0%
89
88.0%
OT1 - 3:25MIAWatson STEAL (3 STL)84
6.8%
89
93.2%
OT1 - 3:41MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)84
15.3%
89
84.7%
OT1 - 3:42CHIMISS Watson 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
13.7%
89
86.3%
OT1 - 4:02CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)84
10.3%
89
89.7%
OT1 - 4:03MIAMISS James 3' Driving Layup84
11.5%
89
88.5%
OT1 - 4:16CHIGibson Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)84
14.7%
89
85.3%
OT1 - 4:19CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)84
26.5%
86
73.5%
OT1 - 4:20MIAAsik BLOCK (2 BLK)84
29.1%
86
70.9%
OT1 - 4:40CHIDeng 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS)84
35.4%
86
64.6%
OT1 - 5:00CHIJump Ball Asik vs. Bosh: Tip to84
43.9%
84
56.1%
Q4 - 0:02.0CHIWatson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Boozer 2 AST)84
60.9%
84
39.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)84
92.7%
81
7.3%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 283
91.1%
81
8.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAHeat Rebound83
94.0%
81
6.0%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot83
86.4%
81
13.6%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)83
86.7%
81
13.3%
Q4 - 0:43.0CHIMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot83
83.5%
81
16.5%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)83
73.4%
81
26.6%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)80
41.8%
81
58.2%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot80
30.3%
81
69.7%
Q4 - 1:05MIAHeat Rebound80
42.8%
81
57.2%
Q4 - 1:05CHIMISS Rose 3' Layup80
37.8%
81
62.2%
Q4 - 1:20MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (20 PTS)80
29.2%
81
70.8%
Q4 - 1:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
20.7%
81
79.3%
Q4 - 1:28CHIMISS Boozer 7' Jump Shot78
17.9%
81
82.1%
Q4 - 1:47MIAWade 4' Driving Layup (18 PTS)78
14.3%
81
85.7%
Q4 - 2:01MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)76
10.3%
81
89.7%
Q4 - 2:03CHIMISS Brewer Free Throw 2 of 276
9.5%
81
90.5%
Q4 - 2:03CHIBrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)76
7.4%
81
92.6%
Q4 - 2:03CHIBrewer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)76
8.8%
80
91.2%
Q4 - 2:03CHIMISS Rose 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
13.4%
80
86.6%
Q4 - 2:20CHIRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
8.6%
80
91.4%
Q4 - 2:22MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot76
10.5%
80
89.5%
Q4 - 2:45CHIBoozer 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Korver 2 AST)76
16.4%
80
83.6%
Q4 - 3:02MIAWade 13' Jump Shot (16 PTS)76
22.8%
78
77.2%
Q4 - 3:28CHIKorver 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Rose 8 AST)74
17.9%
78
82.1%
Q4 - 3:46CHIWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
26.9%
76
73.1%
Q4 - 3:47MIAMISS Miller 2' Layup74
29.4%
76
70.6%
Q4 - 4:14CHIKorver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Brewer 2 AST)74
35.5%
76
64.5%
Q4 - 4:37MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (14 PTS)74
53.7%
73
46.3%
Q4 - 5:01CHIGibson 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS)72
44.8%
73
55.2%
Q4 - 5:14CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)72
52.7%
71
47.3%
Q4 - 5:15MIAMISS Battier 10' Turnaround Hook Shot72
55.5%
71
44.5%
Q4 - 5:33CHIWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)72
61.6%
71
38.4%
Q4 - 5:33CHIMISS Watson Free Throw 1 of 272
62.9%
70
37.1%
Q4 - 5:52MIAWade 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (James 5 AST)72
61.1%
70
38.9%
Q4 - 5:54MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
53.3%
70
46.7%
Q4 - 5:56CHIMISS Boozer 17' Fadeaway Jumper70
50.6%
70
49.4%
Q4 - 6:22CHIBULLS Rebound70
44.6%
70
55.4%
Q4 - 6:22MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot70
47.0%
70
53.0%
Q4 - 6:33MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)70
52.5%
70
47.5%
Q4 - 6:34CHIMISS Gibson 18' Jump Shot70
50.1%
70
49.9%
Q4 - 7:00MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)70
44.5%
70
55.5%
Q4 - 7:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)68
38.5%
70
61.5%
Q4 - 7:14CHIMISS Gibson 17' Jump Shot68
36.4%
70
63.6%
Q4 - 7:32MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)68
31.7%
70
68.3%
Q4 - 7:56CHIKorver 24' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)65
21.3%
70
78.7%
Q4 - 8:15CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
33.2%
67
66.8%
Q4 - 8:16MIAMISS Wade 3' Reverse Layup65
34.9%
67
65.1%
Q4 - 8:45MIAHeat Rebound65
38.9%
67
61.1%
Q4 - 8:46CHIMISS Deng 16' Jump Shot65
37.1%
67
62.9%
Q4 - 9:05CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
34.0%
67
66.0%
Q4 - 9:06MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup65
35.6%
67
64.4%
Q4 - 9:21CHIWatson 8' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)65
39.4%
67
60.6%
Q4 - 9:35CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
45.4%
65
54.6%
Q4 - 9:37CHIMISS Deng 6' Jump Shot65
49.4%
65
50.6%
Q4 - 9:56CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)65
45.4%
65
54.6%
Q4 - 9:57CHIMISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
49.4%
65
50.6%
Q4 - 10:06CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
45.1%
65
54.9%
Q4 - 10:07MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot65
46.8%
65
53.2%
Q4 - 10:30CHIDeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Watson 6 AST)65
50.8%
65
49.2%
Q4 - 10:51MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (23 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)65
61.9%
62
38.1%
Q4 - 11:06CHIWatson 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)63
55.6%
62
44.4%
Q4 - 11:17CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
61.0%
60
39.0%
Q4 - 11:19MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 263
61.7%
60
38.3%
Q4 - 11:19MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)63
65.2%
60
34.8%
Q4 - 11:23CHIAsik Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)62
60.9%
60
39.1%
Q4 - 11:35MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)62
55.8%
60
44.2%
Q4 - 11:35MIAHeat Rebound62
60.9%
60
39.1%
Q4 - 11:35MIAGibson BLOCK (1 BLK)62
57.4%
60
42.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA62
60.9%
60
39.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound62
60.9%
60
39.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
60.9%
60
39.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 4' Jump Shot62
57.4%
60
42.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Miller 2' Layup62
56.8%
60
43.2%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
60.0%
60
40.0%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
56.8%
60
43.2%
Q3 - 0:29.0CHIHamilton 24' Jump Shot (7 PTS)62
60.0%
60
40.0%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P3.T15)62
65.2%
58
34.8%
Q3 - 0:50.0CHIDeng 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Watson 5 AST)62
69.3%
58
30.7%
Q3 - 0:52.0CHIWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
77.6%
55
22.4%
Q3 - 0:53.0CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
77.6%
55
22.4%
Q3 - 0:53.0CHIMISS Asik 3' Tip Shot62
79.8%
55
20.2%
Q3 - 0:54.0CHIMISS Gibson 14' Jump Shot62
79.8%
55
20.2%
Q3 - 1:07MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P2.T14)62
76.4%
55
23.6%
Q3 - 1:12CHIGibson Foul Turnover (P1.T13)62
79.6%
55
20.4%
Q3 - 1:31MIABattier 7' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)62
76.4%
55
23.6%
Q3 - 1:59CHIDeng 2' Dunk (8 PTS)60
72.5%
55
27.5%
Q3 - 2:01CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
74.8%
53
25.2%
Q3 - 2:02MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot60
75.8%
53
24.2%
Q3 - 2:30CHIHamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Watson 4 AST)60
78.3%
53
21.7%
Q3 - 2:40CHIBULLS Rebound60
84.0%
50
16.0%
Q3 - 2:43CHIMISS Deng 21' Jump Shot60
85.7%
50
14.3%
Q3 - 3:07MIAAnthony 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (James 4 AST)60
82.8%
50
17.2%
Q3 - 3:31CHIGibson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)58
80.3%
50
19.7%
Q3 - 3:31CHIGibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)58
81.2%
49
18.8%
Q3 - 3:45MIATuriaf Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)58
82.9%
48
17.1%
Q3 - 3:45MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)58
85.4%
48
14.6%
Q3 - 3:47MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot58
83.7%
48
16.3%
Q3 - 3:56MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
85.4%
48
14.6%
Q3 - 3:57CHIMISS Asik 3' Reverse Layup58
84.6%
48
15.4%
Q3 - 4:07CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)58
81.7%
48
18.3%
Q3 - 4:08MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot58
82.7%
48
17.3%
Q3 - 4:20MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)58
84.6%
48
15.4%
Q3 - 4:21CHIMISS Rose 22' Jump Shot58
83.8%
48
16.2%
Q3 - 4:41MIABosh 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)58
81.8%
48
18.2%
Q3 - 5:04CHIRose Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)56
78.3%
48
21.7%
Q3 - 5:19MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)56
75.0%
48
25.0%
Q3 - 5:28CHIHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)56
78.4%
48
21.6%
Q3 - 5:46MIAWade 9' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)56
75.1%
48
24.9%
Q3 - 5:53MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
72.2%
48
27.8%
Q3 - 5:55CHIMISS Rose 1' Layup54
71.1%
48
28.9%
Q3 - 5:59CHIRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
68.3%
48
31.7%
Q3 - 6:00MIAMISS James 12' Jump Shot54
69.6%
48
30.4%
Q3 - 6:11MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)54
71.2%
48
28.8%
Q3 - 6:12CHIMISS Rose 12' Jump Shot54
70.1%
48
29.9%
Q3 - 6:17CHIHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)54
67.5%
48
32.5%
Q3 - 6:19CHIMISS Boozer 2' Layup54
70.1%
48
29.9%
Q3 - 6:29MIABoozer STEAL (1 STL)54
67.5%
48
32.5%
Q3 - 7:01CHIRose 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)54
69.7%
48
30.3%
Q3 - 7:19MIAJames 16' Jump Shot (21 PTS)54
72.8%
46
27.2%
Q3 - 7:38CHINoah Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)52
69.9%
46
30.1%
Q3 - 7:38CHINoah Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)52
70.6%
45
29.4%
Q3 - 7:38CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)52
72.9%
44
27.1%
Q3 - 7:39CHIMISS Boozer 2' Layup52
75.0%
44
25.0%
Q3 - 7:53MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (19 PTS)52
72.9%
44
27.1%
Q3 - 8:20CHIBoozer 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Rose 7 AST)50
69.3%
44
30.7%
Q3 - 8:38MIABosh 12' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)50
72.2%
42
27.8%
Q3 - 9:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
69.3%
42
30.7%
Q3 - 9:01CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 248
68.1%
42
31.9%
Q3 - 9:01CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 248
65.9%
42
34.1%
Q3 - 9:28MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)48
65.2%
42
34.8%
Q3 - 9:39CHINoah Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)45
58.4%
42
41.6%
Q3 - 9:39CHIMISS Noah Free Throw 1 of 245
59.2%
41
40.8%
Q3 - 10:03MIABosh 2' Layup (12 PTS) (James 3 AST)45
57.7%
41
42.3%
Q3 - 10:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
54.5%
41
45.5%
Q3 - 10:22CHIMISS Rose 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
53.3%
41
46.7%
Q3 - 10:44MIAWade 3' Layup (8 PTS) (James 2 AST)43
50.7%
41
49.3%
Q3 - 10:59CHIBoozer 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Rose 6 AST)41
47.4%
41
52.6%
Q3 - 11:07CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
50.7%
39
49.3%
Q3 - 11:09MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot41
51.8%
39
48.2%
Q3 - 11:27CHIDeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)41
54.3%
39
45.7%
Q3 - 11:33CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)41
60.8%
36
39.2%
Q3 - 11:34MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot41
61.9%
36
38.1%
Q3 - 11:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
64.3%
36
35.7%
Q3 - 11:45CHIMISS Rose 14' Jump Shot41
63.2%
36
36.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHI41
60.8%
36
39.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIBULLS Rebound41
60.8%
36
39.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
61.5%
36
38.5%
Q2 - 0:16.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
63.1%
36
36.9%
Q2 - 0:17.0CHIMISS Rose 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
62.4%
36
37.6%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)41
60.8%
36
39.2%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)40
60.1%
36
39.9%
Q2 - 0:37.0CHIRose Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)39
56.8%
36
43.2%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIANoah STEAL (1 STL)39
54.4%
36
45.6%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
56.8%
36
43.2%
Q2 - 1:00CHIMISS Deng 22' Jump Shot39
56.1%
36
43.9%
Q2 - 1:20MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)39
54.2%
36
45.8%
Q2 - 1:36MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
46.7%
36
53.3%
Q2 - 1:37CHIMISS Brewer 3PT Jump Shot36
46.0%
36
54.0%
Q2 - 2:00MIAMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)36
44.5%
36
55.5%
Q2 - 2:10CHIBoozer Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)33
37.9%
36
62.1%
Q2 - 2:25MIAWade 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)33
34.9%
36
65.1%
Q2 - 2:38MIAHeat Rebound31
32.1%
36
67.9%
Q2 - 2:38CHIMISS Boozer 16' Jump Shot31
31.3%
36
68.7%
Q2 - 2:55MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)31
29.5%
36
70.5%
Q2 - 3:13CHINoah Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)29
27.5%
36
72.5%
Q2 - 3:16MIABrewer STEAL (2 STL)29
24.8%
36
75.2%
Q2 - 3:36MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
27.5%
36
72.5%
Q2 - 3:37CHIMISS Boozer 2' Layup29
26.7%
36
73.3%
Q2 - 4:06CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)29
25.2%
36
74.8%
Q2 - 4:07MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot29
25.9%
36
74.1%
Q2 - 4:34CHIBoozer 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Rose 5 AST)29
27.6%
36
72.4%
Q2 - 4:49MIAJames 16' Turnaround Fadeaway (9 PTS)29
29.9%
34
70.1%
Q2 - 5:15CHIBoozer 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Rose 4 AST)27
28.0%
34
72.0%
Q2 - 5:29MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)27
30.5%
32
69.5%
Q2 - 5:29MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 226
30.0%
32
70.0%
Q2 - 5:33CHIDeng Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)26
30.4%
32
69.6%
Q2 - 6:00CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)26
28.1%
32
71.9%
Q2 - 6:02MIAMISS Chalmers 8' Jump Shot26
29.1%
32
70.9%
Q2 - 6:25CHIBoozer 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS)26
31.0%
32
69.0%
Q2 - 6:45CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)26
33.1%
30
66.9%
Q2 - 6:47MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot26
33.9%
30
66.1%
Q2 - 7:00MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
36.0%
30
64.0%
Q2 - 7:01CHIMISS Watson 3' Driving Layup26
35.3%
30
64.7%
Q2 - 7:07CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)26
33.4%
30
66.6%
Q2 - 7:08MIAMISS Wade 17' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot26
34.2%
30
65.8%
Q2 - 7:33CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
36.1%
30
63.9%
Q2 - 7:33CHIGibson 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)26
36.1%
30
63.9%
Q2 - 7:34CHIMISS Boozer 18' Jump Shot26
40.4%
28
59.6%
Q2 - 7:45CHIKorver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
38.4%
28
61.6%
Q2 - 7:47CHIMISS Korver 3' Layup26
40.4%
28
59.6%
Q2 - 7:51MIAWatson STEAL (2 STL)26
38.4%
28
61.6%
Q2 - 8:11CHIBULLS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)26
41.3%
28
58.7%
Q2 - 8:11CHIBULLS Rebound26
38.7%
28
61.3%
Q2 - 8:11CHIMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
40.5%
28
59.5%
Q2 - 8:38MIABosh 11' Hook Shot (8 PTS)26
38.7%
28
61.3%
Q2 - 8:51MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)24
36.3%
28
63.7%
Q2 - 8:52MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot24
34.6%
28
65.4%
Q2 - 9:17CHIKorver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)24
36.4%
28
63.6%
Q2 - 9:31CHIWatson Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (6 PTS)24
41.1%
25
58.9%
Q2 - 9:31CHIMISS Watson Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 224
41.6%
24
58.4%
Q2 - 9:31MIAWatson STEAL (1 STL)24
43.7%
24
56.3%
Q2 - 9:48CHIKorver 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)24
46.3%
24
53.7%
Q2 - 9:56CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
51.3%
21
48.7%
Q2 - 9:57MIAMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot24
52.2%
21
47.8%
Q2 - 10:22CHIBrewer Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)24
53.8%
21
46.2%
Q2 - 10:40MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)24
51.0%
21
49.0%
Q2 - 10:40MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)23
50.6%
21
49.4%
Q2 - 10:57CHIBrewer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
48.8%
21
51.2%
Q2 - 10:57CHIBrewer 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)22
48.8%
21
51.2%
Q2 - 10:58CHIMISS Gibson 2' Layup22
52.9%
19
47.1%
Q2 - 11:19MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)22
50.8%
19
49.2%
Q2 - 11:19MIAHeat Rebound22
53.4%
19
46.6%
Q2 - 11:19MIAMISS Chalmers 21' Jump Shot22
51.6%
19
48.4%
Q2 - 11:24CHIBrewer Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)22
53.4%
19
46.6%
Q2 - 11:24MIABrewer STEAL (1 STL)22
50.8%
19
49.2%
Q2 - 11:24MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
53.4%
19
46.6%
Q2 - 11:26MIAAsik BLOCK (1 BLK)22
51.6%
19
48.4%
Q2 - 11:44MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
53.4%
19
46.6%
Q2 - 11:45CHIMISS Deng 22' Jump Shot22
52.6%
19
47.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
50.8%
19
49.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound22
53.4%
19
46.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Miller 2' Tip Shot22
51.6%
19
48.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
53.4%
19
46.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot22
51.3%
19
48.7%
Q1 - 0:20.0CHIWatson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)22
52.6%
19
47.4%
Q1 - 0:32.0CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
57.9%
16
42.1%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
58.5%
16
41.5%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAHeat Rebound22
59.8%
16
40.2%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Chalmers 10' Jump Shot22
58.5%
16
41.5%
Q1 - 1:16CHIWatson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)22
59.2%
16
40.8%
Q1 - 1:19CHIBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
62.1%
14
37.9%
Q1 - 1:20CHIMISS Gibson 17' Jump Shot22
63.2%
14
36.8%
Q1 - 1:33MIAAsik STEAL (1 STL)22
62.1%
14
37.9%
Q1 - 1:52MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
63.6%
14
36.4%
Q1 - 1:53CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 222
63.4%
14
36.6%
Q1 - 1:53CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
61.9%
14
38.1%
Q1 - 2:04CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
63.7%
13
36.3%
Q1 - 2:06MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 122
64.0%
13
36.0%
Q1 - 2:08CHIHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)20
61.4%
13
38.6%
Q1 - 2:27MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
59.4%
13
40.6%
Q1 - 2:32MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
57.0%
13
43.0%
Q1 - 2:33MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot18
55.6%
13
44.4%
Q1 - 2:53CHIDeng 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)18
57.0%
13
43.0%
Q1 - 2:57CHIWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
59.5%
11
40.5%
Q1 - 2:58MIAMISS James 6' Hook Shot18
60.1%
11
39.9%
Q1 - 3:15MIAHeat Rebound18
61.3%
11
38.7%
Q1 - 3:15CHIMISS Hamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
60.7%
11
39.3%
Q1 - 3:20CHIRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
59.1%
11
40.9%
Q1 - 3:23CHIMISS Rose 2' Tip Shot18
60.7%
11
39.3%
Q1 - 3:40MIAHaslem 3' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)18
59.1%
11
40.9%
Q1 - 4:01CHIBoozer 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Rose 3 AST)16
56.5%
11
43.5%
Q1 - 4:14MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)16
58.5%
9
41.5%
Q1 - 4:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
60.8%
9
39.2%
Q1 - 4:20CHIMISS Noah 3' Layup16
60.1%
9
39.9%
Q1 - 4:39MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)16
58.6%
9
41.4%
Q1 - 4:58CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
56.6%
9
43.4%
Q1 - 4:58CHIBoozer 2' Putback Layup (5 PTS)14
56.6%
9
43.4%
Q1 - 4:59CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
58.6%
7
41.4%
Q1 - 4:59CHIMISS Noah 2' Tip Shot14
60.2%
7
39.8%
Q1 - 5:01CHIMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot14
59.3%
7
40.7%
Q1 - 5:08MIADeng STEAL (1 STL)14
57.7%
7
42.3%
Q1 - 5:10MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
60.0%
7
40.0%
Q1 - 5:11MIAMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
58.4%
7
41.6%
Q1 - 5:29CHIHamilton Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)14
60.0%
7
40.0%
Q1 - 5:45CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
57.8%
7
42.2%
Q1 - 5:46MIAMISS Miller 23' Jump Shot14
58.5%
7
41.5%
Q1 - 6:02CHIBoozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)14
59.3%
7
40.7%
Q1 - 6:02CHIMISS Boozer Free Throw 1 of 214
59.8%
6
40.2%
Q1 - 6:16MIAWade 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS)14
59.2%
6
40.8%
Q1 - 6:36CHIBoozer 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)12
57.3%
6
42.7%
Q1 - 7:05MIABosh 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)12
58.4%
4
41.6%
Q1 - 7:21CHINoah Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Boozer 1 AST)10
56.8%
4
43.2%
Q1 - 7:39MIAJames 12' Hook Shot (4 PTS)10
58.5%
2
41.5%
Q1 - 7:51MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
56.8%
2
43.2%
Q1 - 7:52CHIMISS Rose 3' Driving Layup8
56.1%
2
43.9%
Q1 - 8:00MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
54.6%
2
45.4%
Q1 - 8:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
52.6%
2
47.4%
Q1 - 8:22CHIMISS Boozer 12' Jump Shot6
52.0%
2
48.0%
Q1 - 8:36CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
50.7%
2
49.3%
Q1 - 8:37MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot6
51.3%
2
48.7%
Q1 - 9:00CHIHamilton 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)6
52.6%
2
47.4%
Q1 - 9:05MIARose STEAL (1 STL)6
54.4%
0
45.6%
Q1 - 9:11CHIRose Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
56.2%
0
43.8%
Q1 - 9:15CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
54.4%
0
45.6%
Q1 - 9:16MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot6
55.0%
0
45.0%
Q1 - 9:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
56.2%
0
43.8%
Q1 - 9:24CHIMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot6
55.7%
0
44.3%
Q1 - 9:41MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)6
54.4%
0
45.6%
Q1 - 9:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
52.5%
0
47.5%
Q1 - 9:56CHIMISS Boozer 16' Jump Shot4
52.0%
0
48.0%
Q1 - 10:15MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
50.2%
0
49.8%
Q1 - 10:24MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
48.7%
0
51.3%
Q1 - 10:25CHIMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
48.0%
0
52.0%
Q1 - 10:30CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
46.6%
0
53.4%
Q1 - 10:31MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot2
47.3%
0
52.7%
Q1 - 10:48MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
48.7%
0
51.3%
Q1 - 10:49CHIMISS Rose 18' Jump Shot2
48.1%
0
51.9%
Q1 - 11:07MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
46.4%
0
53.6%
Q1 - 11:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.7%
0
55.3%
Q1 - 11:19CHIMISS Boozer 13' Jump Bank Shot0
44.2%
0
55.8%
Q1 - 11:27CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
43.2%
0
56.8%
Q1 - 11:28CHIMISS Rose 21' Jump Shot0
44.2%
0
55.8%
Q1 - 11:34CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
43.2%
0
56.8%
Q1 - 11:35MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup0
43.6%
0
56.4%
Q1 - 12:00CHIJump Ball Noah vs. Bosh: Tip to Haslem0
44.7%
0
55.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.91 45.3%
CHI
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
22
55%
CHI
11
25
44%
Midrange
MIA
20
49
41%
CHI
15
39
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
11
36%
55%
CHI
11
16.5
22
50%
75%
Free Throws
MIA
10
16
63%
CHI
11
19
58%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3056%15.0 / 27
D. Wade2148%10.5 / 22
C. Bosh2053%10.0 / 19
M. Chalmers429%2.0 / 7
U. Haslem4100%2.0 / 2
M. Miller317%1.5 / 9
S. Battier250%1.0 / 2
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Boozer1948%9.5 / 20
K. Korver17106%8.5 / 8
L. Deng1653%8.0 / 15
C. Watson1673%8.0 / 11
T. Gibson1155%5.5 / 10
R. Hamilton758%3.5 / 6
J. Noah550%2.5 / 5
R. Brewer350%1.5 / 3
D. Rose28%1.0 / 13
O. Asik0-0.0 / 2
J. Butler0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+17
-17
95
CHI
79
+17
-15
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.91 45.3%
CHI
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
108.0
MIA 90.5 +11.6
CHI 102.1
Pace
91.3
88.7
MIA 80.2
CHI 91.8 +11.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.4
MIA 17.9
CHI 15.7 +2.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.5%
49.0%
MIA 46.3%
CHI 49.4% +3.1%
TO %
15.9%
15.1%
MIA 17.6%
CHI 14.5% +3.1%
ORB %
26.6%
32.7%
MIA 25.0%
CHI 32.6% +7.6%
FTrt
30.7
25.5
MIA 19.5
CHI 22.1 +2.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.8%
61.9%
MIA 47.2%
CHI 70.3% +23.1%
STL %
9.6%
7.7%
MIA 10.5%
CHI 11.7% +1.2%
BLK %
9.0%
8.7%
MIA 12.5% +8.3%
CHI 4.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.19 and 2.19.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
50.9%
MIA 45.3%
CHI 50.0% +4.7%
Rim FG%
61.1%
57.0%
MIA 54.5% +10.5%
CHI 44.0%
Mid FG%
40.0%
38.9%
MIA 40.8% +2.3%
CHI 38.5%
3P %
35.9%
37.5%
MIA 36.4%
CHI 50.0% +13.6%
FT %
77.5%
72.2%
MIA 62.5% +4.6%
CHI 57.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
36.3%
MIA 26.8%
CHI 29.1% +2.2%
Mid Att. %
43.6%
43.3%
MIA 59.8%
CHI 45.3% +14.4%
3P Att. %
19.8%
20.5%
MIA 13.4%
CHI 25.6% +12.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACHI
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes28.424.6
Points8696
Rebounds4145
Assists1726
Steals1011
Blocks83
Turnovers (Team)17 (2)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (7)15 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (4)30 (2)
Field Goals36-8237-86
At-the-Rim FG12-2211-25
Midrange FG20-4915-39
2-Point FG32-7126-64
3-Point FG4-1111-22
Free Throws10-1611-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 27
47.3
30
56%
6
5
1
1
4
1
1
5
5-7
71%
8-18
44%
3-6
50%
F · 6'11" 235 · 28
41.3
20
53%
8
2
0
4
0
1
1
7
4-6
67%
8-15
53%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 30
41.0
21
48%
5
4
2
2
2
3
0
5
1-2
50%
10-21
48%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 26
27.9
4
29%
3
3
2
0
3
4
1
2
0-1
0%
2-6
33%
0-1
0%
C · 6'8" 235 · 32
11.4
4
100%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 34
31.1
2
50%
2
1
2
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 249 · 29
29.5
0
0%
8
0
0
1
3
4
5
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
28.6
3
17%
6
2
1
0
3
2
2
4
0-0
-
0-6
0%
1-3
33%
C · 6'9" 245 · 30
6.9
2
100%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
G · 6'4" 190 · 25
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
F · 6'9" 250 · 39
#34 · C · 7'0" 295 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
86
45%
41
17
10
8
17
0
10
31
10-16
63%
32-71
45%
4-11
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.