Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, April 10, 2012

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	30	Bobcats	29%	94	90
	29	Cavaliers	71%	102	103

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
CHA	102.3	88	83.9
CLE	118.4	87	91.4

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

-10

CLE

+15

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.02 51.1%

CLE

1.11 55.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	CLE
Q4 - 0:00.0	CHA		90 0%	103 100%
Q4 - 0:13.0	CHA	Walker 1' Layup (20 PTS) (Augustin 11 AST)	90 0.1%	103 99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0	CHA	Augustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	88 0%	103 100%
Q4 - 0:18.0	CLE	Erden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	88 0%	103 100%
Q4 - 0:18.0	CLE	MISS Erden 1' Tip Shot	88 0%	103 100%
Q4 - 0:19.0	CLE	MISS Hudson 5' Jump Shot	88 0%	103 100%
Q4 - 0:37.0	CLE	Hudson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	88 0.1%	103 99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0	CHA	MISS Walker 1' Driving Layup	88 0.1%	103 99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0	CLE	Casspi 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)	88 0.1%	103 99.9%
Q4 - 1:08	CLE	Walton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	88 0.1%	100 99.9%
Q4 - 1:11	CHA	Biyombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)	88 0.1%	100 99.9%
Q4 - 1:11	CHA	MISS Biyombo 1' Tip Shot	88 0.1%	100 99.9%
Q4 - 1:13	CHA	MISS Henderson 7' Jump Shot	88 0.1%	100 99.9%
Q4 - 1:28	CLE	Hudson 3' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Sloan 5 AST)	88 0.1%	100 99.9%
Q4 - 1:31	CLE	Sloan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	88 0.2%	98 99.8%
Q4 - 1:33	CHA	Erden BLOCK (1 BLK)	88 0.3%	98 99.7%
Q4 - 1:40	CHA	Biyombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	88 0.5%	98 99.5%
Q4 - 1:41	CHA	MISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot	88 0.4%	98 99.6%
Q4 - 1:51	CLE	Erden Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)	88 0.6%	98 99.4%
Q4 - 1:54	CLE	Erden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	88 0.4%	98 99.6%
Q4 - 1:57	CLE	MISS Hudson 4' Floating Jump Shot	88 0.5%	98 99.5%
Q4 - 2:20	CHA	Biyombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	88 0.3%	98 99.7%
Q4 - 2:20	CHA	Biyombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	87 0.3%	98 99.7%
Q4 - 2:21	CHA	Henderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	86 0.2%	98 99.8%
Q4 - 2:24	CLE	MISS Sloan 7' Jump Shot	86 0.2%	98 99.8%
Q4 - 2:48	CHA	White Dunk (6 PTS) (Henderson 1 AST)	86 0.1%	98 99.9%
Q4 - 2:51	CHA	Henderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	84 0.2%	98 99.8%
Q4 - 2:53	CLE	MISS Casspi 2' Layup	84 0.1%	98 99.9%
Q4 - 3:15	CHA	Biyombo Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Augustin 10 AST)	84 0.1%	98 99.9%
Q4 - 3:30	CLE	Walton Foul Turnover (P1.T12)	82 0.1%	98 99.9%
Q4 - 3:40	CHA	White 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Augustin 9 AST)	82 0.1%	98 99.9%
Q4 - 3:57	CLE	Hudson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Walton 4 AST)	80 0.1%	98 99.9%
Q4 - 4:21	CHA	Augustin 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS)	80 0.2%	95 99.8%
Q4 - 4:32	CHA	Biyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	78 0.1%	95 99.9%
Q4 - 4:33	CLE	MISS Sloan 16' Jump Shot	78 0.1%	95 99.9%
Q4 - 4:53	CHA	Biyombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	78 0.1%	95 99.9%
Q4 - 4:53	CHA	MISS Biyombo Free Throw 1 of 2	77 0.1%	95 99.9%
Q4 - 5:09	CLE	Hudson 2' Dunk (20 PTS) (Sloan 4 AST)	77 0.2%	95 99.8%
Q4 - 5:14	CHA	Sloan STEAL (2 STL)	77 0.2%	93 99.8%
Q4 - 5:35	CLE	Casspi Layup (9 PTS) (Sloan 3 AST)	77 0.3%	93 99.7%
Q4 - 5:42	CLE	Erden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	77 0.5%	91 99.5%
Q4 - 5:43	CHA	MISS Henderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	77 0.5%	91 99.5%
Q4 - 6:03	CLE	CAVALIERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)	77 1.0%	91 99.0%
Q4 - 6:27	CLE	Erden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	77 0.7%	91 99.3%
Q4 - 6:28	CHA	MISS Augustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot	77 0.8%	91 99.2%
Q4 - 6:52	CLE	Hudson 1' Layup (18 PTS)	77 1.0%	91 99.0%
Q4 - 6:58	CLE	Erden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	77 1.3%	89 98.7%
Q4 - 7:01	CHA	Hudson BLOCK (1 BLK)	77 1.9%	89 98.1%
Q4 - 7:13	CHA	White REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	77 2.3%	89 97.7%
Q4 - 7:14	CLE	MISS Hudson 26' 3PT Jump Shot	77 2.1%	89 97.9%
Q4 - 7:29	CLE	Hudson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	77 1.7%	89 98.3%
Q4 - 7:29	CHA	MISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot	77 1.9%	89 98.1%
Q4 - 7:42	CLE	Hudson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)	77 2.3%	89 97.7%
Q4 - 7:55	CHA	Maggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	77 3.8%	86 96.2%
Q4 - 7:55	CHA	Maggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	76 3.7%	86 96.3%
Q4 - 8:11	CLE	Erden 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Walton 3 AST)	75 3.6%	86 96.4%
Q4 - 8:22	CHA	Walker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)	75 4.6%	84 95.4%
Q4 - 8:42	CLE	Hudson 4' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS)	75 5.9%	84 94.1%
Q4 - 9:07	CHA	Walker 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Mullens 3 AST)	75 8.3%	82 91.7%
Q4 - 9:22	CLE	Casspi 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Sloan 2 AST)	73 6.6%	82 93.4%
Q4 - 9:32	CLE	Walton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	73 10.3%	79 89.7%
Q4 - 9:33	CHA	MISS Carroll 3PT Jump Shot	73 11.0%	79 89.0%
Q4 - 9:59	CLE	Walton 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Casspi 2 AST)	73 12.7%	79 87.3%
Q4 - 10:04	CLE	Casspi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	73 19.5%	76 80.5%
Q4 - 10:05	CLE	MISS Casspi 5' Jump Shot	73 22.0%	76 78.0%
Q4 - 10:23	CLE	Erden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	73 19.4%	76 80.6%
Q4 - 10:24	CHA	MISS Maggette 20' Jump Shot	73 20.5%	76 79.5%
Q4 - 10:44	CLE	Casspi Layup (4 PTS) (Hudson 6 AST)	73 23.2%	76 76.8%
Q4 - 10:49	CHA	Hudson STEAL (1 STL)	73 27.5%	74 72.5%
Q4 - 11:15	CLE	Sloan 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Walton 2 AST)	73 32.0%	74 68.0%
Q4 - 11:22	CLE	Casspi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	73 36.9%	72 63.1%
Q4 - 11:23	CLE	MISS Hudson 17' Jump Shot	73 40.4%	72 59.6%
Q4 - 11:44	CHA	White 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)	73 37.0%	72 63.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0	CLE		71 32.0%	72 68.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0	CLE	CAVALIERS Rebound	71 27.6%	72 72.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0	CLE	MISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot	71 30.6%	72 69.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0	CHA	Parker STEAL (2 STL)	71 27.7%	72 72.3%
Q3 - 0:08.0	CLE	Hudson 11' Running Bank Shot (11 PTS)	71 31.6%	72 68.4%
Q3 - 0:29.0	CHA	Henderson 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Augustin 8 AST)	71 36.6%	70 63.4%
Q3 - 0:54.0	CLE	Hudson Foul Turnover (P4.T10)	69 31.7%	70 68.3%
Q3 - 0:57.0	CLE	Erden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	69 27.7%	70 72.3%
Q3 - 0:58.0	CHA	MISS Thomas 10' Jump Shot	69 28.9%	70 71.1%
Q3 - 1:16	CLE	Jamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	69 31.3%	70 68.7%
Q3 - 1:16	CLE	Jamison 1' Putback Layup (17 PTS)	69 31.3%	70 68.7%
Q3 - 1:17	CLE	MISS Hudson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	69 38.9%	68 61.1%
Q3 - 1:35	CHA	Henderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)	69 35.9%	68 64.1%
Q3 - 1:35	CHA	Henderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)	68 35.0%	68 65.0%
Q3 - 1:41	CLE	Gee 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)	67 31.3%	68 68.7%
Q3 - 2:03	CHA	Henderson Driving Dunk (17 PTS)	67 39.1%	65 60.9%
Q3 - 2:27	CLE	Jamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Gee 2 AST)	65 34.9%	65 65.1%
Q3 - 2:46	CLE	CAVALIERS Rebound	65 43.8%	62 56.2%
Q3 - 2:49	CHA	MISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot	65 45.2%	62 54.8%
Q3 - 3:05	CHA	Henderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	65 47.1%	62 52.9%
Q3 - 3:08	CLE	MISS Jamison 9' Floating Jump Shot	65 45.7%	62 54.3%
Q3 - 3:16	CLE	Gee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	65 42.6%	62 57.4%
Q3 - 3:17	CLE	MISS Jamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot	65 45.8%	62 54.2%
Q3 - 3:28	CLE	Hudson Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)	65 42.6%	62 57.4%
Q3 - 3:42	CHA	Brown 8' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)	65 47.0%	61 53.0%
Q3 - 4:04	CLE	Hudson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	63 42.3%	61 57.7%
Q3 - 4:04	CLE	Hudson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	63 43.0%	60 57.0%
Q3 - 4:07	CLE	Hudson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	63 45.8%	59 54.2%
Q3 - 4:08	CHA	MISS Augustin 8' Jump Shot	63 47.4%	59 52.6%
Q3 - 4:15	CHA	Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	63 50.9%	59 49.1%
Q3 - 4:17	CLE	MISS Thompson 2' Layup	63 49.4%	59 50.6%
Q3 - 4:18	CLE	Thompson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	63 45.9%	59 54.1%
Q3 - 4:20	CLE	MISS Thompson 5' Jump Shot	63 49.4%	59 50.6%
Q3 - 4:42	CHA	Thomas 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)	63 45.9%	59 54.1%
Q3 - 4:43	CHA	Thomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	61 42.3%	59 57.7%
Q3 - 4:45	CHA	MISS Henderson 18' Jump Shot	61 38.9%	59 61.1%
Q3 - 5:03	CHA	Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	61 41.2%	59 58.8%
Q3 - 5:04	CLE	MISS Jamison 22' Jump Shot	61 39.9%	59 60.1%
Q3 - 5:19	CHA	Henderson Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)	61 36.9%	59 63.1%
Q3 - 5:39	CLE	Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Jamison 4 AST)	58 29.9%	59 70.1%
Q3 - 5:49	CLE	Gee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	58 36.9%	56 63.1%
Q3 - 5:51	CHA	MISS Augustin 16' Jump Shot	58 38.2%	56 61.8%
Q3 - 6:09	CLE	Parker Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)	58 40.3%	56 59.7%
Q3 - 6:11	CLE	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	58 47.9%	53 52.1%
Q3 - 6:13	CHA	Gee BLOCK (1 BLK)	58 49.2%	53 50.8%
Q3 - 6:24	CHA	Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	58 52.2%	53 47.8%
Q3 - 6:25	CLE	MISS Thompson 9' Jump Shot	58 50.9%	53 49.1%
Q3 - 6:42	CHA	Augustin 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)	58 47.9%	53 52.1%
Q3 - 7:02	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	56 42.9%	53 57.1%
Q3 - 7:02	CLE	MISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot	56 41.7%	53 58.3%
Q3 - 7:08	CLE	Thompson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	56 39.0%	53 61.0%
Q3 - 7:10	CLE	MISS Gee 4' Jump Shot	56 41.7%	53 58.3%
Q3 - 7:16	CLE	Gee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	56 39.0%	53 61.0%
Q3 - 7:18	CHA	MISS Mullens 27' 3PT Jump Shot	56 40.2%	53 59.8%
Q3 - 7:39	CLE	Gee 1' Layup (10 PTS)	56 43.0%	53 57.0%
Q3 - 7:40	CLE	Gee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	56 46.6%	51 53.4%
Q3 - 7:44	CLE	MISS Jamison 22' Jump Shot	56 49.5%	51 50.5%
Q3 - 7:58	CHA	Biyombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	56 46.7%	51 53.3%
Q3 - 7:58	CHA	MISS Biyombo Free Throw 1 of 2	55 45.1%	51 54.9%
Q3 - 8:01	CHA	Henderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	55 46.1%	51 53.9%
Q3 - 8:02	CLE	MISS Parker 19' Jump Shot	55 44.9%	51 55.1%
Q3 - 8:23	CHA	Brown 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Biyombo 1 AST)	55 42.2%	51 57.8%
Q3 - 8:47	CHA	Mullens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	53 38.8%	51 61.2%
Q3 - 8:49	CLE	MISS Thompson 4' Running Jump Shot	53 37.6%	51 62.4%
Q3 - 9:06	CHA	Sloan STEAL (1 STL)	53 34.4%	51 65.6%
Q3 - 9:16	CHA	Mullens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	53 37.9%	51 62.1%
Q3 - 9:17	CLE	MISS Jamison 22' Jump Shot	53 36.9%	51 63.1%
Q3 - 9:34	CHA	Biyombo Layup (6 PTS) (Augustin 7 AST)	53 34.5%	51 65.5%
Q3 - 9:45	CHA	Henderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	51 31.4%	51 68.6%
Q3 - 9:46	CLE	MISS Thompson 17' Jump Shot	51 30.4%	51 69.6%
Q3 - 10:10	CHA	Henderson 1' Layup (12 PTS)	51 27.7%	51 72.3%
Q3 - 10:15	CLE	Sloan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)	49 25.1%	51 74.9%
Q3 - 10:24	CLE	Thompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	49 22.4%	51 77.6%
Q3 - 10:25	CHA	MISS Brown 17' Jump Shot	49 23.2%	51 76.8%
Q3 - 10:43	CHA	Biyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	49 25.1%	51 74.9%
Q3 - 10:45	CLE	MISS Parker 6' Floating Jump Shot	49 24.3%	51 75.7%
Q3 - 11:01	CHA	Augustin 9' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)	49 22.4%	51 77.6%
Q3 - 11:11	CHA	Mullens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	47 20.2%	51 79.8%
Q3 - 11:14	CLE	MISS Sloan 1' Layup	47 19.5%	51 80.5%
Q3 - 11:25	CHA	Biyombo Layup (4 PTS) (Mullens 1 AST)	47 18.0%	51 82.0%
Q3 - 11:43	CLE	Jamison Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS) (Thompson 1 AST)	45 16.1%	51 83.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0	CHA		45 18.0%	49 82.0%
Q2 - 0:07.0	CLE	CAVALIERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)	45 20.1%	49 79.9%
Q2 - 0:31.0	CHA	Walker 2' Layup (16 PTS)	45 18.6%	49 81.4%
Q2 - 0:33.0	CLE	Hudson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)	43 16.2%	49 83.8%
Q2 - 0:36.0	CLE	Hudson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	43 14.9%	49 85.1%
Q2 - 0:37.0	CLE	MISS Jamison 20' Jump Shot	43 15.8%	49 84.2%
Q2 - 0:45.0	CHA	Parker STEAL (1 STL)	43 14.9%	49 85.1%
Q2 - 0:59.0	CLE	Hudson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)	43 16.2%	49 83.8%
Q2 - 1:10	CHA	Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Augustin 6 AST)	43 15.1%	49 84.9%
Q2 - 1:27	CLE	Parker 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jamison 3 AST)	40 11.6%	49 88.4%
Q2 - 1:51	CHA	Augustin Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)	40 15.1%	46 84.9%
Q2 - 2:10	CLE	Jamison 4' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)	37 12.0%	46 88.0%
Q2 - 2:15	CLE	Jamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	37 13.4%	44 86.6%
Q2 - 2:16	CLE	MISS Jamison Free Throw 2 of 2	37 14.7%	44 85.3%
Q2 - 2:16	CLE	MISS Jamison Free Throw 1 of 2	37 13.8%	44 86.2%
Q2 - 2:33	CHA	Henderson 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)	37 13.4%	44 86.6%
Q2 - 2:55	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	35 12.0%	44 88.0%
Q2 - 2:56	CLE	MISS Jamison 1' Driving Layup	35 11.6%	44 88.4%
Q2 - 3:21	CHA	Walker Driving Layup (11 PTS)	35 10.8%	44 89.2%
Q2 - 3:46	CLE	Sloan 2' Layup (2 PTS)	33 9.8%	44 90.2%
Q2 - 3:50	CLE	Sloan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	33 10.8%	42 89.2%
Q2 - 3:52	CLE	MISS Hudson 3PT Jump Shot	33 11.8%	42 88.2%
Q2 - 3:59	CLE	Thompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	33 10.8%	42 89.2%
Q2 - 4:02	CHA	MISS Augustin 10' Floating Jump Shot	33 11.3%	42 88.7%
Q2 - 4:26	CLE	Hudson 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Casspi 1 AST)	33 12.3%	42 87.7%
Q2 - 4:49	CLE	Walton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	33 13.5%	40 86.5%
Q2 - 4:49	CHA	MISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot	33 14.0%	40 86.0%
Q2 - 5:10	CLE	Thompson 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Walton 1 AST)	33 15.2%	40 84.8%
Q2 - 5:26	CHA	Walker 6' Jump Shot (9 PTS)	33 16.8%	38 83.2%
Q2 - 5:32	CHA	Walker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	31 15.2%	38 84.8%
Q2 - 5:33	CHA	Thompson BLOCK (1 BLK)	31 14.2%	38 85.8%
Q2 - 5:37	CHA	Biyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	31 15.2%	38 84.8%
Q2 - 5:38	CHA	MISS White 19' Jump Shot	31 14.2%	38 85.8%
Q2 - 5:56	CHA	White REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	31 15.2%	38 84.8%
Q2 - 5:58	CLE	MISS Casspi 7' Jump Shot	31 14.7%	38 85.3%
Q2 - 6:05	CLE	Thompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	31 13.9%	38 86.1%
Q2 - 6:06	CHA	MISS White 16' Jump Shot	31 14.4%	38 85.6%
Q2 - 6:30	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	31 15.6%	38 84.4%
Q2 - 6:30	CLE	MISS Hudson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	31 15.0%	38 85.0%
Q2 - 6:35	CLE	Thompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	31 13.9%	38 86.1%
Q2 - 6:36	CLE	MISS Hudson 16' Jump Shot	31 15.0%	38 85.0%
Q2 - 6:55	CHA	Walker 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)	31 13.9%	38 86.1%
Q2 - 7:09	CLE	Thompson 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)	29 12.9%	38 87.1%
Q2 - 7:27	CLE	Casspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	29 14.1%	36 85.9%
Q2 - 7:30	CHA	MISS Carroll 10' Floating Jump Shot	29 14.5%	36 85.5%
Q2 - 7:52	CLE	Samuels 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)	29 15.6%	36 84.4%
Q2 - 8:11	CLE	Casspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	29 14.4%	36 85.6%
Q2 - 8:12	CHA	MISS White 16' Jump Shot	29 14.8%	36 85.2%
Q2 - 8:22	CLE	Hudson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)	29 15.8%	36 84.2%
Q2 - 8:47	CHA	Walker 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)	29 14.3%	36 85.7%
Q2 - 8:56	CHA	Carroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	27 13.1%	36 86.9%
Q2 - 8:59	CLE	MISS Hudson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	27 12.7%	36 87.3%
Q2 - 9:05	CLE	Samuels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	27 12.1%	36 87.9%
Q2 - 9:06	CHA	MISS Maggette 16' Jump Shot	27 12.4%	36 87.6%
Q2 - 9:33	CLE	Hudson 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)	27 13.3%	36 86.7%
Q2 - 9:58	CHA	Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)	27 14.4%	34 85.6%
Q2 - 10:21	CLE	Casspi 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Hudson 5 AST)	24 12.3%	34 87.7%
Q2 - 10:26	CLE	Hudson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	24 13.3%	32 86.7%
Q2 - 10:28	CHA	Casspi BLOCK (1 BLK)	24 13.7%	32 86.3%
Q2 - 10:46	CLE	Samuels Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	24 14.7%	32 85.3%
Q2 - 10:46	CLE	Samuels Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	24 15.1%	31 84.9%
Q2 - 10:51	CLE	Samuels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	24 15.8%	30 84.2%
Q2 - 10:52	CHA	Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	24 17.4%	30 82.6%
Q2 - 10:52	CHA	MISS Thomas Putback Dunk	24 16.3%	30 83.7%
Q2 - 10:54	CHA	MISS Maggette 11' Jump Shot	24 16.3%	30 83.7%
Q2 - 11:10	CHA	Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	24 17.5%	30 82.5%
Q2 - 11:11	CLE	MISS Samuels 3' Jump Shot	24 17.0%	30 83.0%
Q2 - 11:32	CHA	Maggette Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)	24 16.0%	30 84.0%
Q2 - 11:41	CHA	Maggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	22 14.8%	30 85.2%
Q2 - 11:43	CLE	MISS Walton 16' Jump Shot	22 14.4%	30 85.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0	CLE		22 13.5%	30 86.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0	CHA	Gee STEAL (2 STL)	22 13.5%	30 86.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0	CLE	Gee Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	22 14.8%	30 85.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0	CLE	Gee Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	22 15.0%	29 85.0%
Q1 - 0:03.0	CLE	Gee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	22 16.3%	28 83.7%
Q1 - 0:03.0	CLE	MISS Gee 1' Layup	22 17.0%	28 83.0%
Q1 - 0:08.0	CLE	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	22 16.3%	28 83.7%
Q1 - 0:12.0	CHA	MISS Augustin 5' Jump Shot	22 16.6%	28 83.4%
Q1 - 0:28.0	CLE	Parker 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Gee 1 AST)	22 17.4%	28 82.6%
Q1 - 0:32.0	CHA	Gee STEAL (1 STL)	22 20.6%	25 79.4%
Q1 - 0:36.0	CLE	Jamison Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)	22 21.9%	25 78.1%
Q1 - 0:43.0	CLE	Hudson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	22 20.6%	25 79.4%
Q1 - 0:44.0	CHA	MISS Henderson 13' Jump Shot	22 21.0%	25 79.0%
Q1 - 1:13	CLE	Jamison 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Hudson 4 AST)	22 21.9%	25 78.1%
Q1 - 1:16	CLE	Hudson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	22 24.0%	23 76.0%
Q1 - 1:18	CHA	MISS Maggette 2' Layup	22 24.3%	23 75.7%
Q1 - 1:24	CHA	Biyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	22 25.2%	23 74.8%
Q1 - 1:26	CLE	MISS Jamison 11' Floating Jump Shot	22 24.8%	23 75.2%
Q1 - 1:39	CLE	CAVALIERS Rebound	22 24.0%	23 76.0%
Q1 - 1:39	CHA	MISS Maggette 1' Driving Layup	22 24.3%	23 75.7%
Q1 - 2:01	CLE	Gee 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)	22 25.4%	23 74.6%
Q1 - 2:06	CLE	CAVALIERS Rebound	22 27.3%	21 72.7%
Q1 - 2:08	CHA	MISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot	22 27.8%	21 72.2%
Q1 - 2:37	CLE	Hudson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	22 29.0%	21 71.0%
Q1 - 2:37	CLE	Hudson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	22 29.3%	20 70.7%
Q1 - 2:39	CHA	Thomas 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Augustin 5 AST)	22 31.1%	19 68.9%
Q1 - 2:44	CLE	Gee Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)	20 29.0%	19 71.0%
Q1 - 2:51	CHA	Henderson 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Augustin 4 AST)	20 27.3%	19 72.7%
Q1 - 2:56	CLE	Gee Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)	18 25.4%	19 74.6%
Q1 - 2:59	CLE	Gee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	18 23.9%	19 76.1%
Q1 - 2:59	CHA	MISS Thomas 20' Jump Shot	18 24.3%	19 75.7%
Q1 - 3:10	CHA	Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	18 25.3%	19 74.7%
Q1 - 3:11	CLE	MISS Jamison 21' Jump Shot	18 24.7%	19 75.3%
Q1 - 3:25	CHA	Augustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)	18 23.5%	19 76.5%
Q1 - 3:42	CLE	Parker 7' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hudson 3 AST)	15 20.5%	19 79.5%
Q1 - 3:57	CHA	Thomas 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Augustin 3 AST)	15 22.0%	17 78.0%
Q1 - 4:16	CLE	Jamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	13 20.3%	17 79.7%
Q1 - 4:16	CLE	Jamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	13 20.7%	16 79.3%
Q1 - 4:31	CLE	Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	13 21.7%	15 78.3%
Q1 - 4:34	CHA	MISS Mullens 8' Running Jump Shot	13 22.2%	15 77.8%
Q1 - 5:00	CLE	Gee 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)	13 23.3%	15 76.7%
Q1 - 5:18	CHA	Biyombo 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)	13 24.7%	13 75.3%
Q1 - 5:36	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	13 26.5%	13 73.5%
Q1 - 5:38	CHA	MISS Augustin 24' 3PT Jump Shot	13 25.3%	13 74.7%
Q1 - 5:46	CHA	Biyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	13 26.5%	13 73.5%
Q1 - 5:49	CLE	MISS Jamison 14' Jump Bank Shot	13 26.0%	13 74.0%
Q1 - 6:06	CHA	Henderson 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)	13 24.5%	13 75.5%
Q1 - 6:26	CLE	Jamison 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Hudson 2 AST)	11 23.1%	13 76.9%
Q1 - 6:32	CLE	Hudson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	11 24.5%	11 75.5%
Q1 - 6:33	CHA	MISS Brown 19' Jump Shot	11 25.0%	11 75.0%
Q1 - 6:49	CLE	Gee 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	11 26.2%	11 73.8%
Q1 - 6:57	CHA	Augustin 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	11 27.7%	9 72.3%
Q1 - 7:19	CLE	Jamison 2' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Hudson 1 AST)	9 25.9%	9 74.1%
Q1 - 7:32	CHA	Henderson Foul Turnover (P1.T1)	9 27.3%	7 72.7%
Q1 - 7:48	CLE	Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jamison 2 AST)	9 29.0%	7 71.0%
Q1 - 8:13	CHA	Augustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	9 31.9%	4 68.1%
Q1 - 8:13	CHA	Augustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	8 31.7%	4 68.3%
Q1 - 8:24	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	7 30.2%	4 69.8%
Q1 - 8:24	CLE	MISS Gee 5' Jump Shot	7 29.7%	4 70.3%
Q1 - 8:40	CHA	Brown Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	7 28.6%	4 71.4%
Q1 - 8:40	CHA	MISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 2	6 28.2%	4 71.8%
Q1 - 8:42	CHA	Mullens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	6 28.6%	4 71.4%
Q1 - 8:44	CLE	MISS Gee 6' Jump Shot	6 28.1%	4 71.9%
Q1 - 9:08	CHA	Henderson 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)	6 26.9%	4 73.1%
Q1 - 9:35	CLE	Parker 8' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Sloan 1 AST)	4 25.5%	4 74.5%
Q1 - 9:49	CLE	Sloan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 27.0%	2 73.0%
Q1 - 9:50	CHA	MISS Mullens 22' Jump Shot	4 27.4%	2 72.6%
Q1 - 10:04	CHA	Mullens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 28.3%	2 71.7%
Q1 - 10:06	CLE	MISS Jamison 22' Jump Shot	4 27.8%	2 72.2%
Q1 - 10:25	CHA	Henderson Dunk (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)	4 26.7%	2 73.3%
Q1 - 10:43	CLE	Thompson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Jamison 1 AST)	2 25.5%	2 74.5%
Q1 - 11:06	CLE	Thompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 26.3%	0 73.7%
Q1 - 11:07	CHA	MISS Henderson 20' Jump Shot	2 26.7%	0 73.3%
Q1 - 11:22	CHA	Augustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 27.5%	0 72.5%
Q1 - 11:23	CLE	MISS Jamison 16' Jump Shot	2 27.1%	0 72.9%
Q1 - 11:38	CHA	Biyombo 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)	2 26.3%	0 73.7%
Q1 - 11:43	CHA	Biyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	0 25.0%	0 75.0%
Q1 - 11:45	CHA	MISS Brown Layup	0 24.2%	0 75.8%
Q1 - 12:00	CLE	Jump Ball Thompson vs. Biyombo: Tip to Augustin	0 25.0%	0 75.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.02 51.1%

CLE

1.11 55.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHA

67%

CLE

62%

Midrange

CHA

34%

CLE

22%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHA

4.5

27%

41%

CLE

16.5

58%

87%

Free Throws

CHA

81%

CLE

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bobcats

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Henderson	21	70%	10.5 / 15
K. Walker	20	77%	10.0 / 13
D. Augustin	16	53%	8.0 / 15
B. Biyombo	12	67%	6.0 / 9
D. White	6	50%	3.0 / 6
T. Thomas	6	38%	3.0 / 8
D. Brown	5	36%	2.5 / 7
C. Maggette	4	25%	2.0 / 8
B. Mullens	0	-	0.0 / 3
M. Carroll	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Hudson	25	63%	12.5 / 20
A. Parker	19	86%	9.5 / 11
A. Jamison	17	40%	8.5 / 21
A. Gee	13	65%	6.5 / 10
O. Casspi	12	75%	6.0 / 8
T. Thompson	6	38%	3.0 / 8
D. Sloan	4	40%	2.0 / 5
L. Walton	3	75%	1.5 / 2
S. Erden	2	50%	1.0 / 2
S. Samuels	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

-10

CLE

+15

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.02 51.1%

CLE

1.11 55.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	95.4 101.2	CHA 102.3 CLE 118.4 +16.1
Pace	90.9 91.3	CHA 83.9 CLE 91.4 +7.5
Avg. Poss. Time	16.3 15.3	CHA 17.2 CLE 15.7 +1.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	43.9% 46.3%	CHA 48.7% CLE 54.8% +6.1%
TO %	14.9% 15.9%	CHA 10.4% +2.3% CLE 12.7%
ORB %	23.6% 29.0%	CHA 18.4% CLE 35.9% +17.5%
FTrt	27.6 30.7	CHA 20.3 +3.4 CLE 16.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	60.5% 57.9%	CHA 51.4% CLE 62.5% +11.1%
STL %	6.6% 7.7%	CHA 6.8% CLE 8.0% +1.2%
BLK %	8.5% 6.2%	CHA 7.8% +0.4% CLE 7.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.79 and 2.79.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	46.9% 49.0%	CHA 51.1% CLE 55.4% +4.3%
Rim FG%	54.8% 54.0%	CHA 66.7% +4.5% CLE 62.2%
Mid FG%	36.1% 33.7%	CHA 34.3% +12.1% CLE 22.2%
3P %	29.5% 34.6%	CHA 27.3% CLE 57.9% +30.6%
FT %	74.6% 71.6%	CHA 81.3% CLE 85.7% +4.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	34.4% 40.9%	CHA 41.8% CLE 44.6% +2.8%
Mid Att. %	48.8% 35.3%	CHA 44.3% CLE 32.5% +11.8%
3P Att. %	16.9% 23.8%	CHA 13.9% CLE 22.9% +9.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Game Totals	CHA	CLE
Possessions	88	87
Possession Minutes	25.2	22.8
Points	90	103
Rebounds	32	45
Assists	19	25
Steals	6	7
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	11 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (1)	14 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (4)	31 (3)
Field Goals	37-79	40-83
At-the-Rim FG	22-33	23-37
Midrange FG	12-35	6-27
2-Point FG	34-68	29-64
3-Point FG	3-11	11-19
Free Throws	13-16	12-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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30 Charlotte Bobcats

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
D.J. Augustin G · 6'0" 183 · 24	39.5	16	53%	2	11	0	0	3	2	0	2	3-3	100%	5-11	45%	1-3	33%
Bismack Biyombo C · 6'9" 255 · 20	36.8	12	67%	8	1	1	3	2	1	4	4	4-6	67%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Gerald Henderson G · 6'5" 215 · 24	35.6	21	70%	5	1	2	0	1	1	0	5	3-3	100%	9-13	69%	0-1	0%
Byron Mullens F · 7'0" 275 · 23	26.6	0	0%	5	3	0	1	0	3	0	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Derrick Brown F · 6'8" 233 · 25	21.9	5	36%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Kemba Walker G · 6'1" 184 · 22	24.0	20	77%	1	2	1	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	7-8	88%	2-5	40%
DJ White F · 6'9" 250 · 26	21.0	6	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Corey Maggette F · 6'6" 225 · 32	15.7	4	25%	1	0	2	0	3	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-7	14%	0-0	-
Tyrus Thomas F · 6'10" 225 · 26	11.5	6	38%	5	0	0	1	0	3	2	3	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Matt Carroll G · 6'6" 212 · 32	7.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Cory Higgins G · 6'5" 180 · 23
Reggie Williams F · 6'6" 205 · 26
DeSagana Diop C · 7'0" 280 · 30
Eduardo Najera #21 · F · 6'8" 235 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	51%	32	19	6	5	10	0	7	25	13-16	81%	34-68	50%	3-11	27%

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30 Charlotte Bobcats

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
D.J. Augustin G · 6'0" 183 · 24	39.5	16	53%	2	11	0	0	3	2	0	2	3-3	100%	5-11	45%	1-3	33%
Bismack Biyombo C · 6'9" 255 · 20	36.8	12	67%	8	1	1	3	2	1	4	4	4-6	67%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Gerald Henderson G · 6'5" 215 · 24	35.6	21	70%	5	1	2	0	1	1	0	5	3-3	100%	9-13	69%	0-1	0%
Byron Mullens F · 7'0" 275 · 23	26.6	0	0%	5	3	0	1	0	3	0	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Derrick Brown F · 6'8" 233 · 25	21.9	5	36%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Kemba Walker G · 6'1" 184 · 22	24.0	20	77%	1	2	1	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	7-8	88%	2-5	40%
DJ White F · 6'9" 250 · 26	21.0	6	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Corey Maggette F · 6'6" 225 · 32	15.7	4	25%	1	0	2	0	3	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-7	14%	0-0	-
Tyrus Thomas F · 6'10" 225 · 26	11.5	6	38%	5	0	0	1	0	3	2	3	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Matt Carroll G · 6'6" 212 · 32	7.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Cory Higgins G · 6'5" 180 · 23
Reggie Williams F · 6'6" 205 · 26
DeSagana Diop C · 7'0" 280 · 30
Eduardo Najera #21 · F · 6'8" 235 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	51%	32	19	6	5	10	0	7	25	13-16	81%	34-68	50%	3-11	27%

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29 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Donald Sloan G · 6'3" 205 · 24	28.6	4	40%	3	5	2	0	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Antawn Jamison F · 6'9" 235 · 36	28.4	17	40%	3	4	0	0	1	1	2	1	2-4	50%	6-17	35%	1-2	50%
Alonzo Gee F · 6'6" 225 · 25	27.0	13	65%	6	2	2	1	2	0	3	3	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	1-1	100%
Anthony Parker G · 6'6" 210 · 37	27.0	19	86%	2	1	2	0	0	2	0	2	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	4-6	67%
Tristan Thompson C · 6'9" 254 · 21	22.3	6	38%	7	1	0	1	0	3	3	4	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Lester Hudson G · 6'3" 190 · 28	36.2	25	63%	8	6	1	1	4	2	1	7	5-5	100%	7-11	64%	2-7	29%
Omri Casspi F · 6'9" 225 · 24	21.0	12	75%	4	2	0	1	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-2	100%
Luke Walton F · 6'8" 235 · 32	19.5	3	75%	3	4	0	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Semih Erden C · 7'0" 240 · 26	16.1	2	50%	7	0	0	1	1	1	2	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Samardo Samuels · 6'9" 260 · 23	9.7	2	50%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Manny Harris G · 6'5" 185 · 23	4.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kyrie Irving G · 6'2" 195 · 20
Daniel Gibson G · 6'2" 200 · 26
Anderson Varejao #17 · F · 6'11" 260 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Luke Harangody #44 · F · 6'7" 245 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	55%	45	25	7	5	11	0	14	31	12-14	86%	29-64	45%	11-19	58%

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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE