FinalWin Prob.pScore
733%88
115
167%93
107
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
126.49187.3
MIA logo MIA
118.99094.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS115
100%
107
0%
Q4 - 0:13.0BOSBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)115
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot115
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.0BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)115
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.0BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)114
99.8%
107
0.2%
Q4 - 0:22.0BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)113
99.7%
107
0.3%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot113
99.5%
107
0.5%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)113
98.7%
107
1.3%
Q4 - 0:34.0BOSMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot113
99.1%
107
0.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (36 PTS)113
98.3%
107
1.7%
Q4 - 1:01BOSRondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)113
98.9%
105
1.1%
Q4 - 1:01BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 2112
98.7%
105
1.3%
Q4 - 1:04BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)112
98.9%
105
1.1%
Q4 - 1:05MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot112
98.6%
105
1.4%
Q4 - 1:26BOSPierce 1' Driving Layup (25 PTS)112
96.6%
105
3.4%
Q4 - 1:44MIABosh 2' Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)110
92.6%
105
7.4%
Q4 - 2:00BOSGarnett 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (24 PTS)110
95.1%
103
4.9%
Q4 - 2:22MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS)108
93.4%
103
6.6%
Q4 - 2:34BOSCeltics Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)108
95.1%
101
4.9%
Q4 - 2:34BOSCeltics Rebound108
97.5%
101
2.5%
Q4 - 2:35BOSMISS Rondo 3' Reverse Layup108
96.1%
101
3.9%
Q4 - 3:01MIAWade 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (18 PTS)108
95.9%
101
4.1%
Q4 - 3:09MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)108
97.2%
99
2.8%
Q4 - 3:10BOSMISS Bass 16' Jump Shot108
97.6%
99
2.4%
Q4 - 3:26BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)108
98.4%
99
1.6%
Q4 - 3:27MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2108
98.3%
99
1.7%
Q4 - 3:27MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)108
97.7%
99
2.3%
Q4 - 3:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)108
98.2%
98
1.8%
Q4 - 3:28MIAMISS James 8' Jump Shot108
98.8%
98
1.2%
Q4 - 3:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)108
96.1%
98
3.9%
Q4 - 3:43BOSMISS Rondo 17' Jump Shot108
96.6%
98
3.4%
Q4 - 4:01BOSBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)108
97.5%
98
2.5%
Q4 - 4:02BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot108
96.8%
98
3.2%
Q4 - 4:25MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)108
97.6%
98
2.4%
Q4 - 4:25MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)108
97.8%
97
2.2%
Q4 - 4:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)108
98.3%
96
1.7%
Q4 - 4:30MIAMISS Bosh 1' Tip Shot108
98.7%
96
1.3%
Q4 - 4:31MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)108
98.3%
96
1.7%
Q4 - 4:32MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup108
98.7%
96
1.3%
Q4 - 4:47BOSBass 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Rondo 15 AST)108
98.4%
96
1.6%
Q4 - 5:06MIAJames 12' Fadeaway Jumper (32 PTS)106
95.8%
96
4.2%
Q4 - 5:18BOSRondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)106
97.0%
94
3.0%
Q4 - 5:18BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 2105
96.6%
94
3.4%
Q4 - 5:18BOSAllen Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)105
97.0%
94
3.0%
Q4 - 5:43MIABosh 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)104
96.0%
94
4.0%
Q4 - 5:56BOSPierce 19' Fadeaway Jumper (23 PTS)104
97.1%
92
2.9%
Q4 - 6:16MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)102
94.0%
92
6.0%
Q4 - 6:16MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 2102
94.4%
91
5.6%
Q4 - 6:41BOSGarnett 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS)102
94.0%
91
6.0%
Q4 - 6:58MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P1.T7)100
92.2%
91
7.8%
Q4 - 7:12BOSGarnett 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS)100
87.0%
91
13.0%
Q4 - 7:19BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)98
83.8%
91
16.2%
Q4 - 7:20MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup98
82.6%
91
17.4%
Q4 - 7:37BOSGarnett 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS)98
79.5%
91
20.5%
Q4 - 8:01MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)96
71.8%
91
28.2%
Q4 - 8:01MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)96
72.6%
90
27.4%
Q4 - 8:22BOSGarnett 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Rondo 14 AST)96
76.9%
89
23.1%
Q4 - 8:35BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)94
72.0%
89
28.0%
Q4 - 8:36MIAMISS James 18' Fadeaway Jumper94
70.5%
89
29.5%
Q4 - 9:01BOSAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Rondo 13 AST)94
64.4%
89
35.6%
Q4 - 9:16BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)91
52.8%
89
47.2%
Q4 - 9:17MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot91
51.0%
89
49.0%
Q4 - 9:31MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)91
47.0%
89
53.0%
Q4 - 9:42BOSBass 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)91
53.0%
88
47.0%
Q4 - 10:07BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)89
45.9%
88
54.1%
Q4 - 10:08MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 189
45.2%
88
54.8%
Q4 - 10:19BOSStiemsma Foul Turnover (P2.T13)89
51.6%
86
48.4%
Q4 - 10:33MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)89
57.2%
86
42.8%
Q4 - 10:34MIAHEAT Rebound89
67.8%
83
32.2%
Q4 - 10:35MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot89
71.1%
83
28.9%
Q4 - 10:43BOSChalmers STEAL (3 STL)89
67.8%
83
32.2%
Q4 - 11:02BOSStiemsma REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)89
70.5%
83
29.5%
Q4 - 11:03MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot89
69.1%
83
30.9%
Q4 - 11:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)89
66.0%
83
34.0%
Q4 - 11:07MIAMISS Wade 12' Floating Jump Shot89
69.2%
83
30.8%
Q4 - 11:22BOSGarnett Foul Turnover (P3.T11)89
66.1%
83
33.9%
Q4 - 11:32MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)89
70.6%
83
29.4%
Q4 - 11:46MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)89
75.0%
81
25.0%
Q4 - 11:47MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup89
77.6%
81
22.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA89
75.0%
81
25.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
75.0%
81
25.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 2 of 289
75.6%
81
24.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)89
78.3%
81
21.7%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAJames Driving Finger Roll Layup (29 PTS)88
73.0%
81
27.0%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
77.1%
79
22.9%
Q3 - 0:40.0BOSMISS Pierce 19' Fadeaway Jumper88
78.1%
79
21.9%
Q3 - 1:03MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T6)88
78.7%
79
21.3%
Q3 - 1:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
75.4%
79
24.6%
Q3 - 1:10BOSMISS Rondo 7' Running Hook Shot88
76.5%
79
23.5%
Q3 - 1:26MIAJames 17' Fadeaway Jumper (27 PTS)88
78.8%
79
21.2%
Q3 - 1:50BOSRondo 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS)88
82.1%
77
17.9%
Q3 - 1:56BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
78.8%
77
21.2%
Q3 - 1:57MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot86
77.9%
77
22.1%
Q3 - 2:22BOSBass 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Rondo 12 AST)86
73.3%
77
26.7%
Q3 - 2:45MIABattier 1' Layup (2 PTS)84
69.6%
77
30.4%
Q3 - 2:46MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
73.4%
75
26.6%
Q3 - 2:47MIAMISS Miller 14' Jump Shot84
75.9%
75
24.1%
Q3 - 3:14BOSStiemsma 1' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Rondo 11 AST)84
71.5%
75
28.5%
Q3 - 3:25MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)82
67.9%
75
32.1%
Q3 - 3:25MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)82
68.7%
74
31.3%
Q3 - 3:39MIAJames REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)82
71.6%
73
28.4%
Q3 - 3:40BOSJames BLOCK (1 BLK)82
72.7%
73
27.3%
Q3 - 3:46BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
75.2%
73
24.8%
Q3 - 3:47MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
74.1%
73
25.9%
Q3 - 4:01BOSStiemsma 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rondo 10 AST)82
69.9%
73
30.1%
Q3 - 4:19MIAJames 19' Fadeaway Jumper (23 PTS)80
66.9%
73
33.1%
Q3 - 4:44BOSPierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Rondo 9 AST)80
70.1%
71
29.9%
Q3 - 4:52BOSBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)77
63.0%
71
37.0%
Q3 - 4:53MIAMISS James 1' Layup77
61.6%
71
38.4%
Q3 - 4:54MIAJames REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)77
58.2%
71
41.8%
Q3 - 4:55MIAMISS Bosh 11' Turnaround Jump Shot77
61.6%
71
38.4%
Q3 - 5:05MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
56.9%
71
43.1%
Q3 - 5:06BOSMISS Rondo 19' Jump Shot77
58.3%
71
41.7%
Q3 - 5:18MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)77
61.4%
71
38.6%
Q3 - 5:18MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)77
62.2%
70
37.8%
Q3 - 5:21MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
64.9%
69
35.1%
Q3 - 5:22BOSMISS Pierce 19' Jump Shot77
66.2%
69
33.8%
Q3 - 5:23BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
69.0%
69
31.0%
Q3 - 5:24BOSWade BLOCK (1 BLK)77
66.2%
69
33.8%
Q3 - 5:49MIAJames Foul Turnover (P2.T5)77
69.1%
69
30.9%
Q3 - 5:52MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)77
65.0%
69
35.0%
Q3 - 5:53MIAMISS Bosh 5' Jump Shot77
67.9%
69
32.1%
Q3 - 6:04BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)77
63.4%
69
36.6%
Q3 - 6:04BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 276
62.9%
69
37.1%
Q3 - 6:27MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 7 AST)76
63.8%
69
36.2%
Q3 - 6:35MIAJames REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)76
70.6%
66
29.4%
Q3 - 6:36MIAMISS James 13' Jump Shot76
73.0%
66
27.0%
Q3 - 6:39MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)76
70.6%
66
29.4%
Q3 - 6:40MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot76
73.0%
66
27.0%
Q3 - 6:57BOSRondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)76
70.6%
66
29.4%
Q3 - 6:57BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 275
69.5%
66
30.5%
Q3 - 7:05MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)75
68.8%
66
31.2%
Q3 - 7:20BOSRondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)75
65.3%
66
34.7%
Q3 - 7:20BOSRondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)74
64.2%
66
35.8%
Q3 - 7:30BOSBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
62.0%
66
38.0%
Q3 - 7:31MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
60.8%
66
39.2%
Q3 - 7:43BOSRondo 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)73
58.1%
66
41.9%
Q3 - 8:01MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)71
53.8%
66
46.2%
Q3 - 8:13BOSRondo 13' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)71
57.2%
64
42.8%
Q3 - 8:31MIATuriaf 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)69
53.8%
64
46.2%
Q3 - 8:39BOSGarnett Foul Turnover (P2.T10)69
57.3%
62
42.7%
Q3 - 8:43BOSBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)69
61.2%
62
38.8%
Q3 - 8:44MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup69
60.0%
62
40.0%
Q3 - 8:49MIAJames Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)69
57.3%
62
42.7%
Q3 - 9:05BOSChalmers STEAL (2 STL)69
59.8%
61
40.2%
Q3 - 9:22BOSCeltics Rebound69
63.4%
61
36.6%
Q3 - 9:23BOSMISS Pierce 16' Jump Shot69
60.9%
61
39.1%
Q3 - 9:47MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 6 AST)69
63.5%
61
36.5%
Q3 - 9:51MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
69.9%
58
30.1%
Q3 - 9:52MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot69
72.1%
58
27.9%
Q3 - 10:02BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)69
68.2%
58
31.8%
Q3 - 10:18MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)69
71.5%
58
28.5%
Q3 - 10:18MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 269
72.0%
57
28.0%
Q3 - 10:25MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
71.3%
57
28.7%
Q3 - 10:26BOSMISS Bradley 3PT Jump Shot69
72.3%
57
27.7%
Q3 - 10:41BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
74.4%
57
25.6%
Q3 - 10:42MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
73.5%
57
26.5%
Q3 - 10:58BOSGarnett 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)69
71.4%
57
28.6%
Q3 - 11:16BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)67
67.3%
57
32.7%
Q3 - 11:17MIAMISS Chalmers 13' Jump Shot67
66.4%
57
33.6%
Q3 - 11:23MIAHEAT Rebound67
64.1%
57
35.9%
Q3 - 11:24MIAMISS Turiaf 2' Layup67
66.4%
57
33.6%
Q3 - 11:48BOSBradley 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)67
64.1%
57
35.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS65
61.1%
57
38.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)65
61.1%
57
38.9%
Q2 - 0:11.0BOSPierce 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Rondo 8 AST)65
66.4%
54
33.6%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIABosh 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)63
62.6%
54
37.4%
Q2 - 0:44.0BOSPierce 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)63
66.4%
52
33.6%
Q2 - 1:01MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)61
61.6%
52
38.4%
Q2 - 1:05MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
68.4%
49
31.6%
Q2 - 1:06BOSMISS Bass 13' Jump Shot61
69.0%
49
31.0%
Q2 - 1:28MIAMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)61
70.3%
49
29.7%
Q2 - 1:36BOSWade STEAL (3 STL)61
76.2%
46
23.8%
Q2 - 1:52BOSBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
77.7%
46
22.3%
Q2 - 1:53MIAMISS Wade 13' Floating Jump Shot61
77.3%
46
22.7%
Q2 - 2:12BOSPierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST)61
74.5%
46
25.5%
Q2 - 2:18BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
69.5%
46
30.5%
Q2 - 2:19MIAMISS Turiaf 1' Layup58
68.7%
46
31.3%
Q2 - 2:44BOSBradley 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS)58
66.8%
46
33.2%
Q2 - 2:56BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
64.0%
46
36.0%
Q2 - 2:57MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot56
63.1%
46
36.9%
Q2 - 3:13BOSRondo 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)56
59.7%
46
40.3%
Q2 - 3:39MIAWade 1' Driving Dunk (16 PTS)54
57.3%
46
42.7%
Q2 - 3:52BOSCeltics Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)54
59.8%
44
40.2%
Q2 - 3:52BOSCeltics Rebound54
63.1%
44
36.9%
Q2 - 3:53BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
60.8%
44
39.2%
Q2 - 4:18MIAChalmers 8' Jump Shot (5 PTS)54
61.8%
44
38.2%
Q2 - 4:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
64.4%
42
35.6%
Q2 - 4:25BOSMISS Rondo 11' Floating Jump Shot54
65.3%
42
34.7%
Q2 - 4:36MIAWade 1' Driving Dunk (14 PTS)54
67.3%
42
32.7%
Q2 - 4:39BOSChalmers STEAL (1 STL)54
69.7%
40
30.3%
Q2 - 4:55MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 5 AST)54
72.4%
40
27.6%
Q2 - 5:14BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)54
75.8%
37
24.2%
Q2 - 5:25BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)51
71.2%
37
28.8%
Q2 - 5:26BOSMISS Pierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
69.6%
37
30.4%
Q2 - 5:47MIAJames 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)51
71.2%
37
28.8%
Q2 - 5:55MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
73.7%
35
26.3%
Q2 - 5:56BOSMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot51
74.3%
35
25.7%
Q2 - 6:17MIAWade 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)51
74.6%
35
25.4%
Q2 - 6:32BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)51
76.4%
33
23.6%
Q2 - 6:32BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)50
76.1%
33
23.9%
Q2 - 6:47BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
74.7%
33
25.3%
Q2 - 6:48MIAMISS James 9' Jump Bank Shot49
73.9%
33
26.1%
Q2 - 7:01MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
70.9%
33
29.1%
Q2 - 7:02BOSMISS Garnett 2' Layup49
71.6%
33
28.4%
Q2 - 7:17MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)49
73.3%
33
26.7%
Q2 - 7:17MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)49
73.7%
32
26.3%
Q2 - 7:19MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)49
75.2%
31
24.8%
Q2 - 7:20MIAMISS James 3' Jump Shot49
76.7%
31
23.3%
Q2 - 7:21MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)49
75.2%
31
24.8%
Q2 - 7:22MIAMISS James 6' Jump Shot49
76.7%
31
23.3%
Q2 - 7:35BOSBradley 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)49
75.2%
31
24.8%
Q2 - 7:49BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
73.4%
31
26.6%
Q2 - 7:50MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 247
73.1%
31
26.9%
Q2 - 7:50MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)47
71.6%
31
28.4%
Q2 - 8:01MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
71.8%
30
28.2%
Q2 - 8:02BOSChalmers BLOCK (1 BLK)47
72.4%
30
27.6%
Q2 - 8:07BOSStiemsma REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)47
74.0%
30
26.0%
Q2 - 8:08MIAMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot47
73.3%
30
26.7%
Q2 - 8:25BOSGarnett 1' Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS)47
71.9%
30
28.1%
Q2 - 8:39BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
69.8%
30
30.2%
Q2 - 8:40MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
69.1%
30
30.9%
Q2 - 8:46MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
67.5%
30
32.5%
Q2 - 8:47BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
68.2%
30
31.8%
Q2 - 9:08MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)45
68.5%
30
31.5%
Q2 - 9:08MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 245
68.9%
29
31.1%
Q2 - 9:17BOSPavlovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)45
68.4%
29
31.6%
Q2 - 9:33MIAWade 5' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)42
63.9%
29
36.1%
Q2 - 9:52BOSGarnett 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Stiemsma 1 AST)42
66.2%
27
33.8%
Q2 - 10:04BOSStiemsma REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
63.3%
27
36.7%
Q2 - 10:05MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot40
62.5%
27
37.5%
Q2 - 10:23BOSPavlovic 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)40
60.7%
27
39.3%
Q2 - 10:44MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)37
56.1%
27
43.9%
Q2 - 11:04BOSStiemsma 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)37
60.0%
24
40.0%
Q2 - 11:19MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)35
57.8%
24
42.2%
Q2 - 11:41BOSGarnett 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
60.1%
22
39.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS33
57.9%
22
42.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)33
56.3%
22
43.7%
Q1 - 0:27.0BOSRondo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)33
54.6%
22
45.4%
Q1 - 0:35.0BOSBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
49.3%
22
50.7%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot30
48.7%
22
51.3%
Q1 - 1:01BOSStiemsma 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)30
46.8%
22
53.2%
Q1 - 1:11BOSBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
43.9%
22
56.1%
Q1 - 1:12MIAMISS Battier 2' Layup28
43.4%
22
56.6%
Q1 - 1:33BOSBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)28
42.2%
22
57.8%
Q1 - 1:33BOSBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
41.9%
22
58.1%
Q1 - 1:33BOSCeltics Rebound26
39.4%
22
60.6%
Q1 - 1:34MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot26
38.9%
22
61.1%
Q1 - 1:55BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)26
37.8%
22
62.2%
Q1 - 1:55BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
37.5%
22
62.5%
Q1 - 2:15BOSStiemsma REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
35.1%
22
64.9%
Q1 - 2:16MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
34.6%
22
65.4%
Q1 - 2:39BOSBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
33.3%
22
66.7%
Q1 - 2:39BOSBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
33.0%
22
67.0%
Q1 - 2:39BOSBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
31.1%
22
68.9%
Q1 - 2:40BOSHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)22
29.9%
22
70.1%
Q1 - 2:54BOSStiemsma REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
31.1%
22
68.9%
Q1 - 2:55BOSMISS Bass 9' Turnaround Jump Shot22
29.9%
22
70.1%
Q1 - 3:14MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)22
31.0%
22
69.0%
Q1 - 3:32BOSAllen 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)22
32.9%
20
67.1%
Q1 - 3:41BOSStiemsma REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
29.1%
20
70.9%
Q1 - 3:42MIAMISS James 19' Fadeaway Jumper19
28.5%
20
71.5%
Q1 - 4:09BOSAllen 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)19
26.9%
20
73.1%
Q1 - 4:28MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 4 AST)17
25.3%
20
74.7%
Q1 - 4:37BOSWade STEAL (2 STL)17
28.7%
17
71.3%
Q1 - 4:49MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)17
30.7%
17
69.3%
Q1 - 4:53BOSJames STEAL (1 STL)17
32.4%
15
67.6%
Q1 - 5:13MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)17
34.2%
15
65.8%
Q1 - 5:13MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)17
34.6%
14
65.4%
Q1 - 5:40BOSPierce 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)17
35.9%
13
64.1%
Q1 - 5:44BOSStiemsma REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
34.2%
13
65.8%
Q1 - 5:45MIAMISS Wade 13' Turnaround Jump Shot15
33.6%
13
66.4%
Q1 - 6:11BOSBass 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
31.8%
13
68.2%
Q1 - 6:24MIAJames 6' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)13
30.2%
13
69.8%
Q1 - 6:41MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
31.8%
11
68.2%
Q1 - 6:42BOSMISS Pierce 17' Jump Shot13
32.4%
11
67.6%
Q1 - 6:59MIAWade 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)13
33.7%
11
66.3%
Q1 - 7:05BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
34.8%
9
65.2%
Q1 - 7:05BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
34.6%
9
65.4%
Q1 - 7:11BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
33.3%
9
66.7%
Q1 - 7:12MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot11
32.7%
9
67.3%
Q1 - 7:27BOSRondo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
31.4%
9
68.6%
Q1 - 7:36BOSBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
29.9%
9
70.1%
Q1 - 7:37MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup9
29.4%
9
70.6%
Q1 - 7:48BOSGarnett 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)9
28.1%
9
71.9%
Q1 - 8:02BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
26.5%
9
73.5%
Q1 - 8:03MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot7
26.0%
9
74.0%
Q1 - 8:12MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
25.0%
9
75.0%
Q1 - 8:13BOSMISS Garnett 19' Jump Shot7
25.5%
9
74.5%
Q1 - 8:25BOSBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
26.5%
9
73.5%
Q1 - 8:26MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot7
26.0%
9
74.0%
Q1 - 8:38BOSGarnett 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)7
25.0%
9
75.0%
Q1 - 8:51MIABosh Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)5
23.6%
9
76.4%
Q1 - 9:03BOSBradley 1' Running Dunk (5 PTS)5
22.5%
9
77.5%
Q1 - 9:07BOSBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
21.2%
9
78.8%
Q1 - 9:08MIAMISS Turiaf 14' Jump Shot3
20.8%
9
79.2%
Q1 - 9:19BOSGarnett Foul Turnover (P1.T2)3
20.0%
9
80.0%
Q1 - 9:32MIAWade 2' Layup (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)3
21.2%
9
78.8%
Q1 - 9:43MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
22.4%
7
77.6%
Q1 - 9:44BOSMISS Garnett 9' Jump Shot3
22.8%
7
77.2%
Q1 - 9:57MIATuriaf 6' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)3
23.8%
7
76.2%
Q1 - 10:23BOSBradley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)3
25.1%
5
74.9%
Q1 - 10:30BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.7%
5
77.3%
Q1 - 10:31MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot0
22.3%
5
77.7%
Q1 - 10:40BOSWade STEAL (1 STL)0
21.3%
5
78.7%
Q1 - 10:44MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
22.7%
5
77.3%
Q1 - 10:50MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
21.3%
5
78.7%
Q1 - 10:51BOSMISS Bradley 2' Driving Layup0
21.8%
5
78.2%
Q1 - 11:09MIAJames 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)0
22.7%
5
77.3%
Q1 - 11:17MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.0%
3
76.0%
Q1 - 11:18BOSMISS Pierce 15' Jump Shot0
24.3%
3
75.7%
Q1 - 11:37MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)0
25.1%
3
74.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Garnett: Tip to Chalmers0
27.8%
0
72.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.31 65.3%
MIA
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
10
16
63%
MIA
22
35
63%
Midrange
BOS
24
41
59%
MIA
9
34
26%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
9
13.5
14
64%
96%
MIA
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
Free Throws
BOS
20
25
80%
MIA
21
27
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Pierce2764%13.5 / 21
K. Garnett2480%12.0 / 15
R. Rondo1860%9.0 / 15
B. Bass1260%6.0 / 10
A. Bradley1169%5.5 / 8
R. Allen964%4.5 / 7
G. Stiemsma880%4.0 / 5
S. Pavlovic6150%3.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3662%18.0 / 29
D. Wade2043%10.0 / 23
M. Chalmers1890%9.0 / 10
C. Bosh1343%6.5 / 15
M. Miller660%3.0 / 5
J. Jones675%3.0 / 4
R. Turiaf440%2.0 / 5
S. Battier233%1.0 / 3
U. Haslem233%1.0 / 3
N. Cole0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
79
+8
-12
87
MIA
83
+15
-7
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.31 65.3%
MIA
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.6
106.6
BOS 126.4 +7.5
MIA 118.9
Pace
90.8
91.3
BOS 87.3
MIA 94.0 +6.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.8
BOS 16.5
MIA 15.3 +1.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
50.5%
BOS 66.9% +17.5%
MIA 49.4%
TO %
15.4%
15.9%
BOS 14.6%
MIA 6.6% +8.0%
ORB %
19.9%
26.6%
BOS 19.2%
MIA 27.1% +7.9%
FTrt
25.7
30.7
BOS 35.2 +4.2
MIA 31.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.5%
53.8%
BOS 53.5% +4.8%
MIA 48.7%
STL %
8.3%
9.6%
BOS 3.3%
MIA 7.8% +4.5%
BLK %
8.7%
9.0%
BOS 8.7% +1.7%
MIA 7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.75 and 2.75.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
53.5%
BOS 65.3% +11.3%
MIA 54.0%
Rim FG%
57.7%
61.1%
BOS 62.5%
MIA 62.9% +0.4%
Mid FG%
41.9%
40.0%
BOS 58.5% +32.0%
MIA 26.5%
3P %
36.7%
35.9%
BOS 64.3% +19.9%
MIA 44.4%
FT %
77.8%
77.5%
BOS 80.0% +2.2%
MIA 77.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.5%
36.7%
BOS 22.5%
MIA 40.2% +17.7%
Mid Att. %
48.0%
43.6%
BOS 57.7%
MIA 39.1% +18.7%
3P Att. %
19.4%
19.8%
BOS 19.7%
MIA 20.7% +1.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions9190
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points115107
Rebounds4034
Assists2319
Steals37
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)12 (2)7 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (3)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (1)21 (0)
Field Goals43-7139-87
At-the-Rim FG10-1622-35
Midrange FG24-419-34
2-Point FG34-5731-69
3-Point FG9-148-18
Free Throws20-2521-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 186 · 26
40.5
18
60%
4
15
0
0
3
2
1
3
5-8
63%
5-10
50%
1-1
100%
F · 6'7" 235 · 34
40.5
27
64%
7
2
1
0
1
3
1
6
8-10
80%
5-11
45%
3-5
60%
F · 6'8" 250 · 27
39.0
12
60%
10
0
1
1
2
3
2
8
4-4
100%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 36
33.3
24
80%
9
2
0
2
4
4
0
9
2-2
100%
11-14
79%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 180 · 21
25.1
11
69%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
67%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 205 · 37
34.7
9
64%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
C · 6'11" 260 · 27
19.6
8
80%
7
1
1
2
2
4
1
6
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 28
7.5
6
150%
0
0
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-2
100%
C · 7'0" 240 · 27
G · 6'3" 195 · 32
F · 6'6" 200 · 31
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23
F · 6'10" 221 · 23
#28 · F · 6'6" 215 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · C-F · 6'11" 255 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
115
65%
40
23
3
6
12
0
5
35
20-25
80%
34-57
60%
9-14
64%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.