FinalWin Prob.pScore
2818%88
75
482%100
98
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
84.38992.2
MIA logo MIA
111.48885.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA75
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0DETBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Cole 21' Jump Shot75
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0DETDaye 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)75
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0DETWilkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:55.0DETMaxiell 1' Putback Dunk (7 PTS)73
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:56.0DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)71
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:57.0DETMISS Bynum 2' Layup71
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 1:07MIACole 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)71
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 1:19DETMaxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)71
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 1:19DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 270
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 1:37DETMaxiell 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Jerebko 1 AST)70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45MIAMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08DETMISS Bynum 2' Driving Layup68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12DETBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:13MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37DETBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)67
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)66
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)66
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05DETDaye Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T21)66
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:23MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)66
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)66
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31DETMISS Wilkins 21' Jump Shot66
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:43MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)66
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:43MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)66
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:50DETJones STEAL (4 STL)66
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 4:02DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)66
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 4:03MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 2 of 266
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 4:03MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)66
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 4:11DETBynum 2' Layup (4 PTS)66
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)64
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 1 of 264
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20DETPistons Turnover: Backcourt (T#19)64
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)64
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 4:40DETJones STEAL (3 STL)64
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (James 2 AST)64
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14DETMonroe 1' Tip Shot (11 PTS)64
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 5:15DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)62
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 5:16DETMISS Stuckey 2' Driving Layup62
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 5:34MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)62
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 5:35MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 5:35MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot62
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 5:59DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)62
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 5:59DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 1 of 261
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 6:03DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 6:05MIAMISS Bosh 1' Tip Shot61
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 6:06MIABosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)61
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 6:07MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup61
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 6:25DETMonroe 2' Layup (8 PTS)61
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 6:35DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 6:36DETMISS Stuckey 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 6:59MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)59
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 6:59MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)59
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 7:22DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)59
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q4 - 7:27MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)56
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 7:40MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 7:41DETMISS Daye 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 7:59MIAMiller Foul Turnover (P1.T12)56
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 8:03DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)56
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 8:03DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)55
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 8:07MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)54
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 8:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)54
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 8:17DETMISS Stuckey 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 8:29DETBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 8:30MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot54
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 9:02MIAHEAT Rebound54
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 9:03DETMISS Stuckey 13' Jump Shot54
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 9:23MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)54
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 9:40DETMiller STEAL (1 STL)54
0.2%
76
99.8%
Q4 - 9:58MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)54
0.2%
76
99.8%
Q4 - 10:07MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
0.4%
73
99.6%
Q4 - 10:08DETMISS Jerebko 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
0.5%
73
99.5%
Q4 - 10:17DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
0.6%
73
99.4%
Q4 - 10:18DETBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)54
0.5%
73
99.5%
Q4 - 10:24DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
0.6%
73
99.4%
Q4 - 10:26DETMISS Jerebko 2' Layup54
0.5%
73
99.5%
Q4 - 10:35DETBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
0.6%
73
99.4%
Q4 - 10:37DETMISS Daye 14' Jump Shot54
0.5%
73
99.5%
Q4 - 10:55MIABosh 2' Tip Shot (20 PTS)54
0.6%
73
99.4%
Q4 - 10:56MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)54
0.7%
71
99.3%
Q4 - 10:57MIAMISS Bosh 3' Jump Hook Shot54
0.8%
71
99.2%
Q4 - 11:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)54
0.8%
71
99.2%
Q4 - 11:10DETMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
0.9%
71
99.1%
Q4 - 11:28MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)54
1.0%
71
99.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA54
1.3%
69
98.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound54
1.3%
69
98.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot54
1.5%
69
98.5%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
1.5%
69
98.5%
Q3 - 0:08.0DETMISS Knight Free Throw 2 of 254
1.5%
69
98.5%
Q3 - 0:08.0DETKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)54
1.7%
69
98.3%
Q3 - 0:25.0DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
1.5%
69
98.5%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot53
1.4%
69
98.6%
Q3 - 0:37.0DETKnight 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Daye 1 AST)53
1.2%
69
98.8%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAHarris Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)50
0.8%
69
99.2%
Q3 - 0:52.0DETGordon Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)50
0.7%
69
99.3%
Q3 - 0:53.0DETGordon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
0.4%
69
99.6%
Q3 - 0:54.0DETMISS Knight 2' Driving Layup47
0.4%
69
99.6%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAHarris Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)47
0.4%
69
99.6%
Q3 - 1:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)47
0.4%
69
99.6%
Q3 - 1:08DETMISS Daye 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
0.4%
69
99.6%
Q3 - 1:12DETGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
0.5%
69
99.5%
Q3 - 1:13DETMISS Knight 19' Jump Shot47
0.4%
69
99.6%
Q3 - 1:21DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
0.5%
69
99.5%
Q3 - 1:22MIAMISS Anthony 14' Jump Shot47
0.5%
69
99.5%
Q3 - 1:36MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
0.4%
69
99.6%
Q3 - 1:37DETMISS Daye 13' Jump Shot47
0.4%
69
99.6%
Q3 - 2:00MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (26 PTS)47
0.5%
69
99.5%
Q3 - 2:25MIAHEAT Rebound47
0.7%
67
99.3%
Q3 - 2:26MIAMISS Anthony 6' Jump Hook Shot47
0.8%
67
99.2%
Q3 - 2:27MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)47
0.7%
67
99.3%
Q3 - 2:28MIAMISS Haslem 2' Layup47
0.8%
67
99.2%
Q3 - 2:40DETDaye 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)47
0.7%
67
99.3%
Q3 - 2:50DETKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
0.6%
67
99.4%
Q3 - 2:51MIAMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot45
0.5%
67
99.5%
Q3 - 3:14MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)45
0.5%
67
99.5%
Q3 - 3:15DETMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
0.6%
67
99.4%
Q3 - 3:27DETKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
0.7%
67
99.3%
Q3 - 3:28MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot45
0.6%
67
99.4%
Q3 - 3:49DETJerebko Foul Turnover (P1.T16)45
0.5%
67
99.5%
Q3 - 3:55DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
0.7%
67
99.3%
Q3 - 3:56DETTuriaf BLOCK (2 BLK)45
0.6%
67
99.4%
Q3 - 4:07DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
0.7%
67
99.3%
Q3 - 4:08MIAMISS Haslem 5' Jump Shot45
0.7%
67
99.3%
Q3 - 4:34DETChalmers STEAL (1 STL)45
0.6%
67
99.4%
Q3 - 4:45MIAJump Ball Battier vs. Prince: Tip to Gordon45
0.7%
67
99.3%
Q3 - 4:45MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot45
0.7%
67
99.3%
Q3 - 4:59MIABattier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)45
0.6%
67
99.4%
Q3 - 5:00DETMISS Prince 6' Running Hook Shot45
0.6%
67
99.4%
Q3 - 5:24MIABattier 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)45
0.8%
67
99.2%
Q3 - 5:37DETTuriaf STEAL (1 STL)45
0.9%
65
99.1%
Q3 - 5:50DETPistons Rebound45
1.1%
65
98.9%
Q3 - 5:51DETMISS Knight 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
1.0%
65
99.0%
Q3 - 5:54DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)45
1.1%
65
98.9%
Q3 - 5:55DETMISS Prince 18' Jump Shot45
1.0%
65
99.0%
Q3 - 6:12MIAJames 14' Fadeaway Jumper (24 PTS) (Battier 5 AST)45
1.2%
65
98.8%
Q3 - 6:28MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)45
1.4%
63
98.6%
Q3 - 6:29DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot45
1.5%
63
98.5%
Q3 - 6:47MIABattier 7' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)45
1.7%
63
98.3%
Q3 - 7:05MIABattier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)45
2.1%
61
97.9%
Q3 - 7:06MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup45
2.4%
61
97.6%
Q3 - 7:08MIAHEAT Rebound45
2.1%
61
97.9%
Q3 - 7:10MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot45
2.4%
61
97.6%
Q3 - 7:24MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)45
2.1%
61
97.9%
Q3 - 7:25DETMISS Maxiell 17' Jump Shot45
2.2%
61
97.8%
Q3 - 7:43MIATuriaf Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)45
2.5%
61
97.5%
Q3 - 7:51DETKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)45
2.1%
61
97.9%
Q3 - 7:51DETMISS Knight Free Throw 1 of 244
2.1%
61
97.9%
Q3 - 8:05MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)44
2.2%
61
97.8%
Q3 - 8:20MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
3.0%
58
97.0%
Q3 - 8:21DETTuriaf BLOCK (1 BLK)44
3.1%
58
96.9%
Q3 - 8:37MIABosh 1' Dunk (16 PTS) (Battier 4 AST)44
3.5%
58
96.5%
Q3 - 8:41MIABattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
4.0%
56
96.0%
Q3 - 8:42MIAMISS Chalmers 19' Jump Shot44
4.4%
56
95.6%
Q3 - 9:01DETMonroe Foul Turnover (P1.T13)44
4.0%
56
96.0%
Q3 - 9:19MIAChalmers Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T7)44
4.7%
56
95.3%
Q3 - 9:28MIAHEAT Rebound44
4.0%
56
96.0%
Q3 - 9:29DETMISS Stuckey 18' Jump Shot44
4.2%
56
95.8%
Q3 - 9:51MIATuriaf 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS)44
4.7%
56
95.3%
Q3 - 9:54MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)44
5.3%
54
94.7%
Q3 - 9:55MIAMISS Turiaf 9' Jump Shot44
5.9%
54
94.1%
Q3 - 10:20DETKnight 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)44
5.4%
54
94.6%
Q3 - 10:27DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
4.8%
54
95.2%
Q3 - 10:28MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot42
4.5%
54
95.5%
Q3 - 10:39DETBattier STEAL (3 STL)42
4.1%
54
95.9%
Q3 - 10:58MIAJames 15' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)42
4.7%
54
95.3%
Q3 - 11:21DETMaxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)42
5.5%
52
94.5%
Q3 - 11:21DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)41
5.3%
52
94.7%
Q3 - 11:38MIAJames 1' Layup (17 PTS)40
4.9%
52
95.1%
Q3 - 11:39MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)40
5.5%
50
94.5%
Q3 - 11:40MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup40
6.1%
50
93.9%
Q3 - 11:44DETBattier STEAL (2 STL)40
5.5%
50
94.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA40
6.3%
50
93.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound40
5.5%
50
94.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Turiaf 72' 3PT Jump Shot40
6.1%
50
93.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
5.9%
50
94.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0DETMISS Stuckey 3PT Jump Shot40
6.1%
50
93.9%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAHEAT Rebound40
6.5%
50
93.5%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIATuriaf Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)40
6.5%
50
93.5%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIATuriaf Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)40
6.7%
49
93.3%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Turiaf 2' Tip Shot40
8.0%
48
92.0%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
7.6%
48
92.4%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
8.0%
48
92.0%
Q2 - 0:27.0DETPrince 12' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS)40
7.5%
48
92.5%
Q2 - 0:37.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)38
6.5%
48
93.5%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot38
6.3%
48
93.7%
Q2 - 0:58.0DETBattier STEAL (1 STL)38
5.9%
48
94.1%
Q2 - 1:19MIAJames 19' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)38
6.5%
48
93.5%
Q2 - 1:42DETPrince 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)38
7.6%
46
92.4%
Q2 - 2:00MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)36
6.5%
46
93.5%
Q2 - 2:00MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 236
6.7%
45
93.3%
Q2 - 2:04MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
6.7%
45
93.3%
Q2 - 2:06DETMISS Prince 1' Tip Shot36
7.0%
45
93.0%
Q2 - 2:07DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
7.6%
45
92.4%
Q2 - 2:08DETMISS Knight 27' 3PT Jump Shot36
7.0%
45
93.0%
Q2 - 2:35MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)36
7.6%
45
92.4%
Q2 - 2:52DETKnight 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)36
9.5%
42
90.5%
Q2 - 2:58DETKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
8.5%
42
91.5%
Q2 - 2:59MIAMISS James 2' Layup34
8.2%
42
91.8%
Q2 - 3:14DETKnight 12' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)34
7.5%
42
92.5%
Q2 - 3:40MIAJames 1' Putback Dunk (12 PTS)32
6.8%
42
93.2%
Q2 - 3:41MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
7.5%
40
92.5%
Q2 - 3:42MIAMISS Harris 1' Layup32
8.2%
40
91.8%
Q2 - 3:46MIAHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
7.5%
40
92.5%
Q2 - 3:47DETMISS Maxiell 18' Jump Shot32
7.8%
40
92.2%
Q2 - 4:06DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
8.5%
40
91.5%
Q2 - 4:07MIAMISS Turiaf Free Throw 2 of 232
8.4%
40
91.6%
Q2 - 4:07MIATuriaf Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)32
7.9%
40
92.1%
Q2 - 4:17DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)32
8.4%
39
91.6%
Q2 - 4:41DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
9.5%
39
90.5%
Q2 - 4:42MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 132
9.3%
39
90.7%
Q2 - 4:49MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
10.5%
37
89.5%
Q2 - 4:50DETMISS Knight 9' Running Hook Shot32
10.8%
37
89.2%
Q2 - 5:13MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)32
11.7%
37
88.3%
Q2 - 5:13MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)32
11.9%
36
88.1%
Q2 - 5:26DETJones STEAL (2 STL)32
13.0%
35
87.0%
Q2 - 5:27DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
14.3%
35
85.7%
Q2 - 5:29DETMISS Jerebko 21' Jump Shot32
13.4%
35
86.6%
Q2 - 5:46MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)32
14.3%
35
85.7%
Q2 - 5:58MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
15.9%
33
84.1%
Q2 - 5:59DETMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
16.3%
33
83.7%
Q2 - 6:05DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
17.5%
33
82.5%
Q2 - 6:06MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
16.9%
33
83.1%
Q2 - 6:34DETGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)32
15.6%
33
84.4%
Q2 - 6:56MIAHaslem 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)29
13.1%
33
86.9%
Q2 - 7:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
14.1%
31
85.9%
Q2 - 7:16DETMISS Jerebko 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
14.5%
31
85.5%
Q2 - 7:30MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)29
15.6%
31
84.4%
Q2 - 7:37DETJerebko 12' Floating Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)29
14.1%
31
85.9%
Q2 - 7:53MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)27
13.0%
31
87.0%
Q2 - 7:53MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)27
13.1%
30
86.9%
Q2 - 8:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
14.1%
29
85.9%
Q2 - 8:04DETMISS Wilkins 19' Jump Shot27
14.5%
29
85.5%
Q2 - 8:29MIAHaslem Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)27
15.5%
29
84.5%
Q2 - 8:37DETJones STEAL (1 STL)27
14.1%
29
85.9%
Q2 - 9:01MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)27
15.3%
29
84.7%
Q2 - 9:01MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)27
15.5%
28
84.5%
Q2 - 9:10MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
16.6%
27
83.4%
Q2 - 9:11DETMISS Bynum 18' Jump Shot27
17.0%
27
83.0%
Q2 - 9:17DETBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
18.1%
27
81.9%
Q2 - 9:18MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot27
17.6%
27
82.4%
Q2 - 9:40DETGordon Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)27
16.6%
27
83.4%
Q2 - 9:54MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)24
14.0%
27
86.0%
Q2 - 10:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
16.6%
24
83.4%
Q2 - 10:03DETMISS Prince 12' Jump Shot24
17.1%
24
82.9%
Q2 - 10:23MIABosh 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS)24
18.2%
24
81.8%
Q2 - 10:28MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)24
19.6%
22
80.4%
Q2 - 10:29MIAMISS Bosh 6' Jump Shot24
20.8%
22
79.2%
Q2 - 10:50DETPrince 14' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)24
19.6%
22
80.4%
Q2 - 11:12MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)22
18.1%
22
81.9%
Q2 - 11:24DETPistons Turnover: Backcourt (T#6)22
21.1%
19
78.9%
Q2 - 11:35DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
22.9%
19
77.1%
Q2 - 11:36MIAMISS Bosh 5' Jump Shot22
22.4%
19
77.6%
Q2 - 11:48MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
21.1%
19
78.9%
Q2 - 11:49DETMISS Jerebko Free Throw 2 of 222
21.4%
19
78.6%
Q2 - 11:49DETJerebko Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
22.5%
19
77.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA21
21.3%
19
78.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound21
19.5%
19
80.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 30' 3PT Jump Shot21
20.7%
19
79.3%
Q1 - 0:04.0DETBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
19.5%
19
80.5%
Q1 - 0:04.0DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
19.2%
19
80.8%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)19
17.7%
19
82.3%
Q1 - 0:36.0DETPrince 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)19
16.6%
19
83.4%
Q1 - 0:44.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
15.1%
19
84.9%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAMISS James 12' Fadeaway Jumper17
14.8%
19
85.2%
Q1 - 1:06DETAnthony STEAL (1 STL)17
14.1%
19
85.9%
Q1 - 1:22DETGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
15.0%
19
85.0%
Q1 - 1:23MIAMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
14.7%
19
85.3%
Q1 - 1:43DETStuckey Foul Turnover (P2.T4)17
14.1%
19
85.9%
Q1 - 1:53MIAChalmers 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)17
15.0%
19
85.0%
Q1 - 2:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
16.4%
17
83.6%
Q1 - 2:13DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 117
16.5%
17
83.5%
Q1 - 2:27MIAAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)15
15.1%
17
84.9%
Q1 - 2:30MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
14.0%
17
86.0%
Q1 - 2:31MIAMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
14.8%
17
85.2%
Q1 - 2:47DETKnight 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST)15
14.0%
17
86.0%
Q1 - 3:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Monroe: Tip to Prince12
11.9%
17
88.1%
Q1 - 3:01MIAMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
11.5%
17
88.5%
Q1 - 3:16DETKnight Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)12
10.8%
17
89.2%
Q1 - 3:37MIAJames 2' Dunk (8 PTS)12
11.8%
17
88.2%
Q1 - 3:38MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
12.7%
15
87.3%
Q1 - 3:39MIAMISS James 1' Reverse Layup12
13.5%
15
86.5%
Q1 - 3:48MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
12.7%
15
87.3%
Q1 - 3:49MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot12
13.5%
15
86.5%
Q1 - 4:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
12.5%
15
87.5%
Q1 - 4:09DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 112
12.6%
15
87.4%
Q1 - 4:13DETKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
11.6%
15
88.4%
Q1 - 4:14MIAMISS James 2' Layup10
11.3%
15
88.7%
Q1 - 4:19MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
10.7%
15
89.3%
Q1 - 4:20DETBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)10
10.9%
15
89.1%
Q1 - 4:41MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
11.6%
15
88.4%
Q1 - 4:44DETStuckey 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
10.7%
15
89.3%
Q1 - 4:58DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
9.9%
15
90.1%
Q1 - 4:59DETMISS Knight 1' Dunk8
9.3%
15
90.7%
Q1 - 5:13MIAJames 12' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)8
10.1%
15
89.9%
Q1 - 5:25DETBosh STEAL (1 STL)8
10.8%
13
89.2%
Q1 - 5:32DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
11.8%
13
88.2%
Q1 - 5:33DETMISS Monroe 18' Jump Shot8
11.1%
13
88.9%
Q1 - 5:49DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
11.8%
13
88.2%
Q1 - 5:50MIAMISS Turiaf Free Throw 2 of 28
11.6%
13
88.4%
Q1 - 5:50MIATuriaf Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
11.2%
13
88.8%
Q1 - 5:52MIAHEAT Rebound8
11.7%
12
88.3%
Q1 - 5:53MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 28
12.5%
12
87.5%
Q1 - 5:53MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 28
11.9%
12
88.1%
Q1 - 6:04DETMonroe 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS)8
11.6%
12
88.4%
Q1 - 6:05DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
10.8%
12
89.2%
Q1 - 6:06DETMISS Maxiell 1' Dunk6
10.3%
12
89.7%
Q1 - 6:07DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
10.8%
12
89.2%
Q1 - 6:08DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
10.3%
12
89.7%
Q1 - 6:42MIABosh 1' Dunk (6 PTS)6
10.9%
12
89.1%
Q1 - 6:43MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
11.6%
10
88.4%
Q1 - 6:44MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 26
12.4%
10
87.6%
Q1 - 6:44MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 26
11.8%
10
88.2%
Q1 - 6:57DETMonroe 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)6
11.6%
10
88.4%
Q1 - 7:22MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)4
10.8%
10
89.2%
Q1 - 7:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
11.5%
8
88.5%
Q1 - 7:36DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
11.8%
8
88.2%
Q1 - 7:46DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
12.4%
8
87.6%
Q1 - 7:47MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
12.1%
8
87.9%
Q1 - 7:59MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
11.5%
8
88.5%
Q1 - 8:00DETJames BLOCK (1 BLK)4
11.8%
8
88.2%
Q1 - 8:05MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
12.2%
8
87.8%
Q1 - 8:11MIAHEAT Rebound4
11.4%
8
88.6%
Q1 - 8:13MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot4
11.9%
8
88.1%
Q1 - 8:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
11.4%
8
88.6%
Q1 - 8:22DETMISS Stuckey 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
11.6%
8
88.4%
Q1 - 8:45MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
12.2%
8
87.8%
Q1 - 8:59MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
13.1%
6
86.9%
Q1 - 9:00DETMISS Stuckey 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
13.3%
6
86.7%
Q1 - 9:13DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
13.9%
6
86.1%
Q1 - 9:14MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
13.6%
6
86.4%
Q1 - 9:29DETMonroe 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)4
13.0%
6
87.0%
Q1 - 9:50MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
12.2%
6
87.8%
Q1 - 10:15DETKnight 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
13.0%
4
87.0%
Q1 - 10:33MIAJames 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)0
12.3%
4
87.7%
Q1 - 10:45DETStuckey Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
13.0%
2
87.0%
Q1 - 10:49DETKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.0%
2
86.0%
Q1 - 10:50MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
13.7%
2
86.3%
Q1 - 11:00MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
13.0%
2
87.0%
Q1 - 11:01DETMISS Maxiell 18' Jump Shot0
13.1%
2
86.9%
Q1 - 11:31MIATuriaf 2' Layup (2 PTS)0
13.7%
2
86.3%
Q1 - 11:34MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
14.5%
0
85.5%
Q1 - 11:35MIAMISS Turiaf 5' Hook Shot0
15.1%
0
84.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Monroe: Tip to Chalmers0
14.5%
0
85.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.86 43.1%
MIA
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
16
29
55%
MIA
15
29
52%
Midrange
DET
9
27
33%
MIA
14
31
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
3
4.5
19
16%
24%
MIA
7
10.5
23
30%
46%
Free Throws
DET
16
23
70%
MIA
19
29
66%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Knight1657%8.0 / 14
R. Stuckey1139%5.5 / 14
G. Monroe1161%5.5 / 9
B. Gordon975%4.5 / 6
T. Prince833%4.0 / 12
J. Maxiell744%3.5 / 8
W. Bynum650%3.0 / 6
A. Daye433%2.0 / 6
J. Jerebko321%1.5 / 7
D. Wilkins0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2654%13.0 / 24
C. Bosh2248%11.0 / 23
J. Jones18113%9.0 / 8
N. Cole1083%5.0 / 6
M. Chalmers844%4.0 / 9
R. Turiaf844%4.0 / 9
S. Battier467%2.0 / 3
U. Haslem225%1.0 / 4
M. Miller0-0.0 / 5
T. Harris0-0.0 / 3
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
70
+17
-19
87
MIA
75
+24
-13
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.86 43.1%
MIA
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.8
106.6
DET 84.3 +27.1
MIA 111.4
Pace
89.5
91.3
DET 92.2 +7.2
MIA 85.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.8
DET 15.6 +1.3
MIA 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.8%
50.5%
DET 39.3%
MIA 47.6% +8.3%
TO %
16.2%
15.9%
DET 20.5%
MIA 12.8% +7.7%
ORB %
28.1%
26.6%
DET 33.3%
MIA 36.4% +3.1%
FTrt
27.9
30.7
DET 30.7
MIA 34.9 +4.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.8%
53.8%
DET 28.6%
MIA 44.4% +15.8%
STL %
7.7%
9.6%
DET 6.7%
MIA 14.8% +8.1%
BLK %
6.9%
9.0%
DET 5.0%
MIA 8.9% +3.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.5%
53.5%
DET 43.1%
MIA 48.5% +5.4%
Rim FG%
54.5%
61.1%
DET 55.2% +3.5%
MIA 51.7%
Mid FG%
37.3%
40.0%
DET 33.3%
MIA 45.2% +11.9%
3P %
34.6%
35.9%
DET 15.8%
MIA 30.4% +14.6%
FT %
75.2%
77.5%
DET 69.6% +4.1%
MIA 65.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.5%
36.7%
DET 38.7% +3.7%
MIA 34.9%
Mid Att. %
42.0%
43.6%
DET 36.0% +1.3%
MIA 37.3%
3P Att. %
17.5%
19.8%
DET 25.3%
MIA 27.7% +2.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETMIA
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points7598
Rebounds4448
Assists816
Steals613
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)19 (3)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (1)16 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (1)32 (2)
Field Goals28-7536-83
At-the-Rim FG16-2915-29
Midrange FG9-2714-31
2-Point FG25-5629-60
3-Point FG3-197-23
Free Throws16-2319-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 212 · 32
29.3
8
33%
7
1
0
0
1
3
2
5
0-0
-
4-10
40%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 182 · 20
29.1
16
57%
5
1
1
1
2
1
0
5
2-4
50%
4-8
50%
2-4
50%
G · 6'5" 205 · 26
27.5
11
39%
2
0
1
0
2
4
1
1
3-5
60%
4-8
50%
0-5
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 22
26.5
11
61%
7
1
1
1
2
2
3
4
1-2
50%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 260 · 29
24.3
7
44%
5
0
0
0
2
2
4
1
3-4
75%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 231 · 25
23.0
3
21%
4
1
1
0
1
5
1
3
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 205 · 29
22.0
9
75%
3
2
1
0
2
1
2
1
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
G · 6'0" 185 · 29
18.2
6
50%
5
1
0
0
4
2
1
4
4-4
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 38
17.0
0
0%
5
0
1
1
1
2
2
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 220 · 24
13.0
4
33%
0
1
0
0
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
· 6'6" 225 · 32
10.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 232 · 28
G · 6'0" 170 · 30
#20 · F · 6'10" 227 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
75
43%
44
8
6
3
19
0
16
28
16-23
70%
25-56
45%
3-19
16%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.