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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 8, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Cavaliers30%95117
21Nets70%102122
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.2
45.3
26.4
6
23%
1
14
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
3-12
3-6
25%
45%
0-1
0%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 35.8
44.1
34.3
34
77%
3
3
1
1
1
5
1
2
6-7
86%
8-14
5-11
57%
47%
4-5
80%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.9
41.2
28.8
22
61%
11
5
0
1
0
1
1
10
7-7
100%
6-13
3-7
46%
48%
1-2
50%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 21.1
33.1
26.0
15
55%
15
2
1
1
2
2
10
5
1-4
25%
7-12
4-7
58%
47%
0-0
-
Manny Harris
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.5
29.9
15.9
4
45%
6
2
3
0
0
1
0
6
0-1
0%
2-2
2-4
100%
41%
0-2
0%
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.7
28.9
24.7
26
57%
4
3
2
1
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
3-10
3-6
30%
45%
6-12
50%
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 23.2
19.9
17.3
3
40%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
3-4
75%
0-2
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.8
13.8
17.1
7
39%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-7
1-3
29%
49%
1-2
50%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.0
8.9
11.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 36.8
19.1
1
1-3
46%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 20.0
14.4
0
2-5
49%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.1
6.8
0
0-1
40%
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.7
5.2
0
1-1
53%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 29.5
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.2
39.1
32.5
16
48%
11
3
1
1
1
1
4
7
4-4
100%
6-15
5-10
40%
51%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.8
38.6
27.1
18
45%
2
10
4
1
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
8-12
4-8
67%
50%
0-7
0%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.5
33.6
13.0
9
59%
10
0
1
0
0
1
6
4
5-6
83%
2-5
1-2
40%
50%
0-0
-
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.2
29.2
26.7
14
57%
7
2
1
1
0
4
3
4
2-3
67%
6-11
4-7
55%
49%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.7
17.3
34.1
7
48%
3
1
2
1
0
1
2
1
3-3
100%
2-4
4-8
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.2
37.8
26.1
32
79%
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
5-5
100%
6-11
4-7
55%
56%
5-7
71%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.5
29.4
23.5
24
63%
4
0
0
1
1
0
1
3
5-5
100%
5-10
3-6
50%
49%
3-7
43%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.0
17.4
10.7
0
0%
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-3
0%
Jordan Williams
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.5
12.2
19.3
0
0%
4
0
1
1
0
0
2
2
0-2
0%
0-1
2-5
0%
53%
0-0
-
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 26.0
10.4
10.0
2
26%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.2
12.3
0
2-3
45%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.4
5.8
0
1-1
48%
Dennis Horner
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.2
2.2
0
0-0
50%
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.5
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.