FinalWin Prob.pScore
1227%91
97
173%99
82
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo MEM
110.28881.2
MIA logo MIA
93.28896.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MEM97
100%
82
0%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)97
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)97
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0MEMSpeights 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Cunningham 3 AST)97
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0MEMPondexter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)95
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAHarris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)95
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0MEMMISS Pargo 16' Jump Shot95
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 1:21MIAHoward 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)95
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 1:25MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)95
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26MIAMISS Chalmers 7' Floating Jump Shot95
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:45MEMMayo 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)95
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:07MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)93
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:08MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:17MEMRandolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)93
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:17MEMRandolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)92
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:38MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)91
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:51MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)91
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 2:53MEMMISS Randolph 2' Tip Shot91
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:54MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)91
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:55MEMMISS Gay 16' Jump Shot91
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 3:13MIAWade 10' Floating Jump Shot (17 PTS)91
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 3:30MEMRandolph 3' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Conley 4 AST)91
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:37MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)89
99.7%
73
0.3%
Q4 - 3:42MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)89
99.5%
73
0.5%
Q4 - 3:43MEMMISS Randolph 2' Reverse Layup89
99.6%
73
0.4%
Q4 - 4:02MIAAnthony 1' Putback Dunk (7 PTS)89
99.7%
73
0.3%
Q4 - 4:04MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)89
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 4:05MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup89
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 4:24MEMConley Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)89
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 4:24MEMConley Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)88
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 4:50MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)87
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 5:01MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)87
99.6%
68
0.4%
Q4 - 5:02MEMMISS Mayo 19' Jump Shot87
99.7%
68
0.3%
Q4 - 5:24MIAHarris 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 6 AST)87
99.7%
68
0.3%
Q4 - 5:44MIAJump Ball Harris vs. Gasol: Tip to87
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 5:55MEMMayo Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)87
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 6:02MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)86
99.6%
66
0.4%
Q4 - 6:03MIAMISS Harris 1' Driving Layup86
99.6%
66
0.4%
Q4 - 6:06MIAHarris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)86
99.5%
66
0.5%
Q4 - 6:07MIAMISS James 4' Layup86
99.6%
66
0.4%
Q4 - 6:17MEMMayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Randolph 2 AST)86
99.5%
66
0.5%
Q4 - 6:26MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
99.1%
66
0.9%
Q4 - 6:27MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot83
99.0%
66
1.0%
Q4 - 6:44MIAHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
98.8%
66
1.2%
Q4 - 6:45MEMMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
98.9%
66
1.1%
Q4 - 7:03MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)83
98.5%
66
1.5%
Q4 - 7:04MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot83
98.4%
66
1.6%
Q4 - 7:21MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)83
98.1%
66
1.9%
Q4 - 7:23MEMMISS Cunningham Free Throw 2 of 283
98.1%
66
1.9%
Q4 - 7:23MEMMISS Cunningham Free Throw 1 of 283
98.4%
66
1.6%
Q4 - 7:27MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)83
98.6%
66
1.4%
Q4 - 7:28MIAMISS Wade 9' Running Jump Shot83
98.4%
66
1.6%
Q4 - 7:47MEMRandolph 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Cunningham 2 AST)83
98.1%
66
1.9%
Q4 - 8:09MIAJames 3' Layup (21 PTS)81
96.4%
66
3.6%
Q4 - 8:10MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)81
97.2%
64
2.8%
Q4 - 8:11MIAMISS James 8' Jump Shot81
97.6%
64
2.4%
Q4 - 8:19MEMGrizzlies Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)81
97.2%
64
2.8%
Q4 - 8:19MEMGrizzlies Rebound81
97.8%
64
2.2%
Q4 - 8:20MEMMISS Randolph 6' Jump Shot81
97.4%
64
2.6%
Q4 - 8:22MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)81
97.8%
64
2.2%
Q4 - 8:23MEMMISS Gay 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
97.4%
64
2.6%
Q4 - 8:42MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
97.8%
64
2.2%
Q4 - 8:43MIAMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
97.7%
64
2.3%
Q4 - 8:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)81
97.3%
64
2.7%
Q4 - 8:53MEMMISS Randolph 11' Fadeaway Jumper81
97.5%
64
2.5%
Q4 - 9:18MEMGrizzlies Rebound81
97.0%
64
3.0%
Q4 - 9:19MIAMISS Bosh 9' Hook Shot81
96.8%
64
3.2%
Q4 - 9:40MEMArenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Randolph 1 AST)81
96.3%
64
3.7%
Q4 - 9:46MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)78
94.1%
64
5.9%
Q4 - 9:47MEMMISS Cunningham 19' Jump Shot78
93.2%
64
6.8%
Q4 - 10:03MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
92.8%
64
7.2%
Q4 - 10:04MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot78
92.3%
64
7.7%
Q4 - 10:14MEMWade STEAL (2 STL)78
91.1%
64
8.9%
Q4 - 10:28MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)78
92.8%
64
7.2%
Q4 - 10:29MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 178
92.6%
64
7.4%
Q4 - 10:42MEMArenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Mayo 6 AST)78
94.2%
62
5.8%
Q4 - 10:52MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
91.2%
62
8.8%
Q4 - 10:53MIAMISS Harris 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup75
90.7%
62
9.3%
Q4 - 11:11MIAHEAT Rebound75
87.5%
62
12.5%
Q4 - 11:12MEMMISS Pondexter 3PT Jump Shot75
88.2%
62
11.8%
Q4 - 11:29MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)75
89.7%
62
10.3%
Q4 - 11:29MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 275
90.2%
61
9.8%
Q4 - 11:29MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)75
89.7%
61
10.3%
Q4 - 11:30MIAMISS Harris 2' Driving Layup75
91.0%
61
9.0%
Q4 - 11:45MEMSpeights 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Arenas 1 AST)75
89.8%
61
10.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEM73
87.6%
61
12.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound73
87.6%
61
12.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0MEMMISS Randolph 41' 3PT Jump Shot73
83.9%
61
16.1%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAJames 1' Layup (19 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)73
85.6%
61
14.4%
Q3 - 0:25.0MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)73
88.2%
59
11.8%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS)70
83.1%
59
16.9%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAHEAT Rebound70
86.0%
57
14.0%
Q3 - 1:05MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
85.9%
57
14.1%
Q3 - 1:22MEMMayo 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)70
84.3%
57
15.7%
Q3 - 1:38MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)68
81.5%
57
18.5%
Q3 - 1:55MEMConley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)68
86.8%
54
13.2%
Q3 - 2:16MIAAnthony 1' Layup (4 PTS)65
79.2%
54
20.8%
Q3 - 2:17MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)65
82.0%
52
18.0%
Q3 - 2:18MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot65
83.9%
52
16.1%
Q3 - 2:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
82.1%
52
17.9%
Q3 - 2:29MEMAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)65
82.9%
52
17.1%
Q3 - 2:45MIAAnthony 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)65
84.8%
52
15.2%
Q3 - 3:08MEMConley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)65
85.2%
50
14.8%
Q3 - 3:26MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)62
80.2%
50
19.8%
Q3 - 3:46MEMRandolph 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS)62
77.2%
50
22.8%
Q3 - 4:00MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)60
74.0%
50
26.0%
Q3 - 4:01MIAMISS James 2' Reverse Layup60
71.4%
50
28.6%
Q3 - 4:07MIAHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
68.4%
50
31.6%
Q3 - 4:08MIAMISS James 9' Jump Shot60
71.4%
50
28.6%
Q3 - 4:24MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)60
68.5%
50
31.5%
Q3 - 4:25MIAMISS James 1' Driving Layup60
71.5%
50
28.5%
Q3 - 4:32MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
68.5%
50
31.5%
Q3 - 4:33MEMAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)60
69.9%
50
30.1%
Q3 - 5:00MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 5 AST)60
72.8%
50
27.2%
Q3 - 5:16MEMGay 6' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)60
73.8%
48
26.2%
Q3 - 5:38MIAWade 1' Layup (13 PTS)58
70.9%
48
29.1%
Q3 - 5:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)58
73.8%
46
26.2%
Q3 - 5:41MIAMISS Bosh 1' Driving Layup58
76.3%
46
23.7%
Q3 - 6:01MEMGay 13' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)58
71.8%
46
28.2%
Q3 - 6:28MIAJames 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)56
68.8%
46
31.2%
Q3 - 6:37MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
72.0%
44
28.0%
Q3 - 6:38MEMMISS Gasol 13' Fadeaway Jumper56
73.0%
44
27.0%
Q3 - 7:00MIAWade 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)56
75.4%
44
24.6%
Q3 - 7:17MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)56
75.9%
42
24.1%
Q3 - 7:17MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)55
75.2%
42
24.8%
Q3 - 7:30MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)54
73.2%
42
26.8%
Q3 - 7:30MIAHEAT Rebound54
69.9%
42
30.1%
Q3 - 7:31MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot54
72.2%
42
27.8%
Q3 - 7:58MEMPondexter 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Speights 1 AST)54
69.9%
42
30.1%
Q3 - 8:04MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)52
65.5%
42
34.5%
Q3 - 8:06MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
61.8%
42
38.2%
Q3 - 8:07MEMMISS Conley 10' Floating Jump Shot52
63.0%
42
37.0%
Q3 - 8:23MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 4 AST)52
65.6%
42
34.4%
Q3 - 8:36MIAHEAT Rebound52
68.7%
40
31.3%
Q3 - 8:37MEMMISS Gay 2' Layup52
69.7%
40
30.3%
Q3 - 8:57MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)52
72.0%
40
28.0%
Q3 - 9:05MIAHEAT Rebound52
73.3%
38
26.7%
Q3 - 9:06MEMMISS Conley 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
74.2%
38
25.8%
Q3 - 9:22MEMGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)52
76.2%
38
23.8%
Q3 - 9:23MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
75.4%
38
24.6%
Q3 - 9:37MEMGay 20' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)52
73.4%
38
26.6%
Q3 - 9:56MIAWade Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (James 3 AST)50
70.6%
38
29.4%
Q3 - 10:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
71.4%
36
28.6%
Q3 - 10:03MEMMISS Gay 19' Jump Shot50
72.3%
36
27.7%
Q3 - 10:24MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)50
74.5%
36
25.5%
Q3 - 10:24MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)50
75.0%
35
25.0%
Q3 - 10:31MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
77.0%
34
23.0%
Q3 - 10:32MEMMISS Gasol 19' Jump Shot50
77.8%
34
22.2%
Q3 - 10:56MEMSpeights REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
79.6%
34
20.4%
Q3 - 10:58MIAMISS Wade 1' Tip Shot50
78.8%
34
21.2%
Q3 - 10:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)50
77.0%
34
23.0%
Q3 - 11:01MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot50
77.2%
34
22.8%
Q3 - 11:17MEMGasol 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)50
75.5%
34
24.5%
Q3 - 11:47MIATuriaf 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)48
73.0%
34
27.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA48
75.5%
32
24.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)48
75.5%
32
24.5%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
75.4%
32
24.6%
Q2 - 0:16.0MEMConley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mayo 5 AST)48
74.3%
32
25.7%
Q2 - 0:41.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound45
68.2%
32
31.8%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 245
67.9%
32
32.1%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)45
65.8%
32
34.2%
Q2 - 0:43.0MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)45
68.9%
31
31.1%
Q2 - 0:43.0MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 244
68.2%
31
31.8%
Q2 - 1:03MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)44
66.9%
31
33.1%
Q2 - 1:03MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 244
67.5%
30
32.5%
Q2 - 1:06MEMJames STEAL (2 STL)44
67.8%
30
32.2%
Q2 - 1:23MEMCunningham REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
69.7%
30
30.3%
Q2 - 1:24MEMMISS Pondexter 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
68.4%
30
31.6%
Q2 - 1:41MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
69.7%
30
30.3%
Q2 - 1:42MIAMISS Harris 3PT Jump Shot44
69.2%
30
30.8%
Q2 - 1:54MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
67.9%
30
32.1%
Q2 - 1:55MEMMISS Randolph 5' Jump Shot44
68.5%
30
31.5%
Q2 - 2:03MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
68.6%
30
31.4%
Q2 - 2:04MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot44
67.8%
30
32.2%
Q2 - 2:12MIAHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
65.8%
30
34.2%
Q2 - 2:13MEMMISS Mayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
66.7%
30
33.3%
Q2 - 2:29MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)44
68.7%
30
31.3%
Q2 - 2:30MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
67.9%
30
32.1%
Q2 - 2:50MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
66.0%
30
34.0%
Q2 - 2:51MEMMISS Gay 14' Jump Shot44
66.8%
30
33.2%
Q2 - 3:09MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)44
67.5%
30
32.5%
Q2 - 3:12MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
64.3%
30
35.7%
Q2 - 3:13MEMTuriaf BLOCK (1 BLK)44
65.3%
30
34.7%
Q2 - 3:31MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)44
67.5%
30
32.5%
Q2 - 3:31MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)44
67.9%
29
32.1%
Q2 - 3:56MIAHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
69.8%
28
30.2%
Q2 - 3:57MEMMISS Randolph 5' Hook Shot44
70.7%
28
29.3%
Q2 - 4:16MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)44
71.0%
28
29.0%
Q2 - 4:28MEMMayo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Conley 3 AST)44
75.6%
25
24.4%
Q2 - 4:40MIAHarris 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)42
73.5%
25
26.5%
Q2 - 5:02MEMGay Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)42
74.5%
23
25.5%
Q2 - 5:03MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)42
76.5%
23
23.5%
Q2 - 5:04MIAMISS Harris 2' Layup42
75.9%
23
24.1%
Q2 - 5:15MEMGay 18' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)42
74.5%
23
25.5%
Q2 - 5:45MIAJames 2' Layup (4 PTS)40
72.2%
23
27.8%
Q2 - 5:46MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
74.5%
21
25.5%
Q2 - 5:47MIAMISS Wade 2' Dunk40
76.0%
21
24.0%
Q2 - 6:08MEMSpeights 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Cunningham 1 AST)40
72.6%
21
27.4%
Q2 - 6:16MEMCunningham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
70.8%
21
29.2%
Q2 - 6:17MEMMISS Randolph 7' Jump Shot38
68.8%
21
31.2%
Q2 - 6:18MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
70.8%
21
29.2%
Q2 - 6:19MEMMISS Randolph 2' Driving Layup38
68.9%
21
31.1%
Q2 - 6:33MIABosh 8' Hook Shot (10 PTS)38
70.8%
21
29.2%
Q2 - 6:51MEMRandolph 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)38
72.8%
19
27.2%
Q2 - 6:52MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
70.9%
19
29.1%
Q2 - 6:53MEMMISS Randolph 7' Jump Shot36
69.0%
19
31.0%
Q2 - 7:13MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)36
69.2%
19
30.8%
Q2 - 7:22MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
71.3%
17
28.7%
Q2 - 7:23MEMMISS Cunningham 20' Jump Shot36
72.0%
17
28.0%
Q2 - 7:38MEMCunningham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
73.7%
17
26.3%
Q2 - 7:39MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Layup36
73.0%
17
27.0%
Q2 - 7:58MEMArenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mayo 4 AST)36
71.3%
17
28.7%
Q2 - 8:12MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
65.2%
17
34.8%
Q2 - 8:13MIAMISS Bosh 9' Hook Shot33
64.5%
17
35.5%
Q2 - 8:29MEMSpeights Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)33
62.7%
17
37.3%
Q2 - 8:30MEMSpeights REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
57.8%
17
42.2%
Q2 - 8:31MEMHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)30
55.9%
17
44.1%
Q2 - 8:49MIABosh 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)30
57.8%
17
42.2%
Q2 - 9:15MEMArenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mayo 3 AST)30
58.7%
15
41.3%
Q2 - 9:23MEMSpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
53.9%
15
46.1%
Q2 - 9:24MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot27
53.0%
15
47.0%
Q2 - 9:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
51.2%
15
48.8%
Q2 - 9:33MEMMISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
52.0%
15
48.0%
Q2 - 9:49MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)27
53.9%
15
46.1%
Q2 - 9:49MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)27
54.4%
14
45.6%
Q2 - 9:56MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
56.3%
13
43.7%
Q2 - 9:57MEMMISS Randolph 14' Fadeaway Jumper27
57.1%
13
42.9%
Q2 - 10:09MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
58.3%
13
41.7%
Q2 - 10:10MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot27
57.5%
13
42.5%
Q2 - 10:20MEMRandolph 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
55.6%
13
44.4%
Q2 - 10:34MEMCunningham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
53.3%
13
46.7%
Q2 - 10:35MIAMISS Cole 15' Jump Shot25
52.5%
13
47.5%
Q2 - 10:43MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
50.6%
13
49.4%
Q2 - 10:44MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
52.5%
13
47.5%
Q2 - 10:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
50.6%
13
49.4%
Q2 - 10:54MEMMISS Mayo 2' Driving Layup25
51.4%
13
48.6%
Q2 - 11:01MEMSpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
52.5%
13
47.5%
Q2 - 11:02MIAMISS Battier 12' Jump Shot25
51.7%
13
48.3%
Q2 - 11:12MIAWade Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)25
49.9%
13
50.1%
Q2 - 11:28MEMSpeights Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)25
52.4%
12
47.6%
Q2 - 11:45MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
55.1%
12
44.9%
Q2 - 11:46MIAMISS Wade 6' Turnaround Jump Shot25
54.3%
12
45.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
52.5%
12
47.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound25
52.5%
12
47.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Cole 33' 3PT Jump Shot25
52.8%
12
47.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0MEMMayo Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P2.T6)25
51.5%
12
48.5%
Q1 - 0:10.0MIACole Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)25
53.4%
12
46.6%
Q1 - 0:27.0MEMGay Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Mayo 2 AST)25
51.6%
12
48.4%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIABattier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)23
48.7%
12
51.3%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAHEAT Rebound23
46.8%
12
53.2%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot23
48.1%
12
51.9%
Q1 - 0:59.0MEMConley 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)23
46.8%
12
53.2%
Q1 - 1:18MIAHarris Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)21
42.9%
12
57.1%
Q1 - 1:21MEMHaslem STEAL (1 STL)21
45.9%
10
54.1%
Q1 - 1:28MIAHarris 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)21
47.6%
10
52.4%
Q1 - 1:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
50.6%
8
49.4%
Q1 - 1:33MEMMISS Mayo 12' Jump Shot21
51.1%
8
48.9%
Q1 - 1:37MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
52.2%
8
47.8%
Q1 - 1:38MEMMISS Mayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
51.1%
8
48.9%
Q1 - 1:53MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)21
52.3%
8
47.7%
Q1 - 2:00MIAHEAT Rebound21
50.6%
8
49.4%
Q1 - 2:01MIAMISS Haslem 2' Layup21
51.1%
8
48.9%
Q1 - 2:24MEMRandolph 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Mayo 1 AST)21
49.7%
8
50.3%
Q1 - 2:32MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)19
47.2%
8
52.8%
Q1 - 2:33MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot19
46.6%
8
53.4%
Q1 - 2:41MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
45.2%
8
54.8%
Q1 - 2:42MEMMISS Gay 19' Jump Shot19
45.8%
8
54.2%
Q1 - 3:10MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)19
46.6%
8
53.4%
Q1 - 3:21MEMGrizzlies Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)19
44.3%
8
55.7%
Q1 - 3:21MEMGrizzlies Rebound19
46.7%
8
53.3%
Q1 - 3:22MEMMISS Gay 20' Jump Shot19
45.0%
8
55.0%
Q1 - 3:48MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)19
46.7%
8
53.3%
Q1 - 3:51MEMWade STEAL (1 STL)19
44.4%
8
55.6%
Q1 - 4:10MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
45.6%
8
54.4%
Q1 - 4:11MIAMISS Wade 1' Running Dunk19
44.9%
8
55.1%
Q1 - 4:15MEMJames STEAL (1 STL)19
43.3%
8
56.7%
Q1 - 4:21MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
45.6%
8
54.4%
Q1 - 4:22MIAMISS James 16' Fadeaway Jumper19
44.9%
8
55.1%
Q1 - 4:51MEMGay 2' Running Dunk (7 PTS)19
43.3%
8
56.7%
Q1 - 4:57MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)17
41.4%
8
58.6%
Q1 - 5:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
38.2%
8
61.8%
Q1 - 5:03MEMMISS Gasol 6' Turnaround Hook Shot17
38.8%
8
61.2%
Q1 - 5:22MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)17
40.4%
8
59.6%
Q1 - 5:31MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)17
38.2%
8
61.8%
Q1 - 5:31MEMMISS Gay Free Throw 1 of 216
37.8%
8
62.2%
Q1 - 5:31MEMGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
38.4%
8
61.6%
Q1 - 5:32MEMMISS Gay 6' Turnaround Jump Shot16
36.9%
8
63.1%
Q1 - 5:53MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)16
38.5%
8
61.5%
Q1 - 6:16MEMGasol 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Conley 2 AST)16
35.4%
8
64.6%
Q1 - 6:36MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)14
33.7%
8
66.3%
Q1 - 6:54MEMGay 6' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)14
35.4%
6
64.6%
Q1 - 6:58MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
33.7%
6
66.3%
Q1 - 6:59MEMMISS Gay Running Dunk12
32.4%
6
67.6%
Q1 - 7:03MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)12
32.9%
6
67.1%
Q1 - 7:17MEMConley 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
31.0%
6
69.0%
Q1 - 7:34MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 1 AST)10
29.5%
6
70.5%
Q1 - 7:50MEMSpeights 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)10
31.0%
4
69.0%
Q1 - 8:05MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Turiaf 1 AST)8
29.0%
4
71.0%
Q1 - 8:18MEMSpeights Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
30.6%
2
69.4%
Q1 - 8:18MEMSpeights Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
30.3%
2
69.7%
Q1 - 8:36MIAWade 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T2)6
29.0%
2
71.0%
Q1 - 8:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
27.5%
2
72.5%
Q1 - 8:46MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup6
28.5%
2
71.5%
Q1 - 8:55MIAHEAT Rebound6
27.5%
2
72.5%
Q1 - 8:56MEMMISS Conley 20' Jump Shot6
27.9%
2
72.1%
Q1 - 9:17MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)6
28.7%
2
71.3%
Q1 - 9:27MEMPondexter 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)6
27.2%
2
72.8%
Q1 - 9:28MEMPondexter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
25.8%
2
74.2%
Q1 - 9:29MEMMISS Speights 17' Jump Shot4
24.8%
2
75.2%
Q1 - 9:43MIABosh 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
25.8%
2
74.2%
Q1 - 10:01MEMGay 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Conley 1 AST)4
26.7%
0
73.3%
Q1 - 10:26MEMSpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
25.6%
0
74.4%
Q1 - 10:27MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
25.1%
0
74.9%
Q1 - 10:47MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.1%
0
75.9%
Q1 - 10:48MEMMISS Speights 2' Driving Layup2
24.5%
0
75.5%
Q1 - 11:01MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
24.8%
0
75.2%
Q1 - 11:02MIAMISS Chalmers 18' Jump Shot2
24.4%
0
75.6%
Q1 - 11:13MEMSpeights 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
23.7%
0
76.3%
Q1 - 11:27MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.4%
0
77.6%
Q1 - 11:28MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot0
22.1%
0
77.9%
Q1 - 11:43MEMSpeights 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)0
21.4%
0
78.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Turiaf vs. Gasol: Tip to Speights0
22.5%
0
77.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.04 52.2%
MIA
0.88 44.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
9
21
43%
MIA
18
33
55%
Midrange
MEM
21
44
48%
MIA
11
31
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
8
12.0
17
47%
71%
MIA
4
6.0
18
22%
33%
Free Throws
MEM
13
17
76%
MIA
12
16
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Gay1743%8.5 / 20
M. Conley1583%7.5 / 9
M. Speights1575%7.5 / 10
Z. Randolph1439%7.0 / 18
G. Arenas12120%6.0 / 5
M. Gasol1056%5.0 / 9
O. Mayo1050%5.0 / 10
Q. Pondexter450%2.0 / 4
D. Cunningham0-0.0 / 3
J. Pargo0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2150%10.5 / 21
D. Wade2053%10.0 / 19
C. Bosh1959%9.5 / 16
T. Harris1045%5.0 / 11
J. Anthony788%3.5 / 4
R. Turiaf2100%1.0 / 1
J. Howard2100%1.0 / 1
M. Chalmers110%0.5 / 5
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 2
S. Battier0-0.0 / 4
N. Cole0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
78
+15
-10
93
MIA
74
+19
-14
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.04 52.2%
MIA
0.88 44.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.1
106.6
MEM 110.2
MIA 93.2 +17.0
Pace
90.7
91.3
MEM 81.2
MIA 96.5 +15.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.8
MEM 17.7
MIA 14.9 +2.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.3%
50.5%
MEM 51.2% +8.5%
MIA 42.7%
TO %
15.3%
15.9%
MEM 11.8% +3.4%
MIA 15.2%
ORB %
29.9%
26.6%
MEM 31.6%
MIA 31.8% +0.2%
FTrt
27.7
30.7
MEM 20.7 +1.2
MIA 19.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.2%
53.8%
MEM 52.6% +1.1%
MIA 51.5%
STL %
10.5%
9.6%
MEM 9.1% +2.3%
MIA 6.8%
BLK %
8.8%
9.0%
MEM 9.4% +3.2%
MIA 6.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.1%
53.5%
MEM 52.2% +8.1%
MIA 44.1%
Rim FG%
57.1%
61.1%
MEM 42.9%
MIA 54.5% +11.6%
Mid FG%
38.9%
40.0%
MEM 47.7% +12.2%
MIA 35.5%
3P %
32.6%
35.9%
MEM 47.1% +24.9%
MIA 22.2%
FT %
75.9%
77.5%
MEM 76.5% +1.5%
MIA 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.4%
36.7%
MEM 25.6%
MIA 40.2% +14.6%
Mid Att. %
47.0%
43.6%
MEM 53.7%
MIA 37.8% +15.9%
3P Att. %
15.7%
19.8%
MEM 20.7%
MIA 22.0% +1.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMEMMIA
Possessions8888
Possession Minutes26.021.9
Points9782
Rebounds4240
Assists2017
Steals86
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)14 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)14 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)26 (4)
Field Goals38-8233-82
At-the-Rim FG9-2118-33
Midrange FG21-4411-31
2-Point FG30-6529-64
3-Point FG8-174-18
Free Throws13-1712-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 230 · 26
36.6
17
43%
3
1
3
0
2
3
2
1
1-2
50%
8-17
47%
0-2
0%
C · 7'1" 255 · 27
35.5
10
56%
9
2
1
3
1
3
0
9
4-5
80%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 24
35.3
15
83%
1
4
3
0
2
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
3-4
75%
F · 6'10" 255 · 25
24.6
15
75%
5
1
0
1
2
4
1
4
3-3
100%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 230 · 24
23.1
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
G · 6'5" 210 · 24
29.3
10
50%
4
6
0
1
2
0
1
3
1-1
100%
3-7
43%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 250 · 31
28.9
14
39%
14
2
1
0
0
1
5
9
2-2
100%
6-16
38%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 230 · 25
12.1
0
0%
4
3
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 30
12.1
12
120%
0
1
0
0
1
4
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
4-5
80%
G · 6'2" 219 · 26
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 265 · 27
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
· 6'4" 213 · 30
#0 · F · 6'9" 235 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#2 · G · 6'2" 183 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
52%
42
20
8
6
10
0
12
30
13-17
76%
30-65
46%
8-17
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.