FinalWin Prob.pScore
242%96
93
158%98
98
ORTG#PossPace
OKC logo OKC
101.19298.8
MIA logo MIA
104.39488.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventOKCMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA93
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)93
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0OKCMISS Sefolosha 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)93
1.1%
98
98.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)93
1.3%
97
98.7%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAHEAT Rebound93
2.5%
96
97.5%
Q4 - 0:16.0OKCMISS Durant 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
3.7%
96
96.3%
Q4 - 0:19.0OKCThunder Rebound93
8.6%
96
91.4%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAMISS James 17' Fadeaway Jumper93
5.9%
96
94.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)93
6.4%
96
93.6%
Q4 - 0:43.0OKCMISS Perkins Free Throw 2 of 293
7.2%
96
92.8%
Q4 - 0:43.0OKCMISS Perkins Free Throw 1 of 293
10.2%
96
89.8%
Q4 - 1:02MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)93
16.3%
96
83.7%
Q4 - 1:29OKCThunder Turnover: Shot Clock (T#20)93
28.7%
94
71.3%
Q4 - 1:29OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)93
42.7%
94
57.3%
Q4 - 1:30OKCMISS Durant 12' Turnaround Jump Shot93
32.7%
94
67.3%
Q4 - 1:54MIAJump Ball Haslem vs. Ibaka: Tip to Perkins93
42.1%
94
57.9%
Q4 - 2:13MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)93
28.9%
94
71.1%
Q4 - 2:14MIAMISS James 5' Jump Shot93
40.0%
94
60.0%
Q4 - 2:34OKCDurant 1' Alley Oop Dunk (30 PTS) (Westbrook 2 AST)93
28.7%
94
71.3%
Q4 - 2:42MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)91
23.5%
94
76.5%
Q4 - 2:42MIAHEAT Rebound91
12.7%
94
87.3%
Q4 - 2:43MIAMISS Haslem 2' Layup91
19.6%
94
80.4%
Q4 - 2:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)91
12.7%
94
87.3%
Q4 - 2:45MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
19.6%
94
80.4%
Q4 - 3:14MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
14.7%
94
85.3%
Q4 - 3:15OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)91
24.5%
94
75.5%
Q4 - 3:15OKCMISS Ibaka 1' Tip Shot91
17.2%
94
82.8%
Q4 - 3:16OKCMISS Westbrook 8' Jump Shot91
17.2%
94
82.8%
Q4 - 3:40MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (34 PTS)91
26.2%
94
73.8%
Q4 - 3:46MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)91
33.2%
92
66.8%
Q4 - 3:47OKCHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)91
36.1%
92
63.9%
Q4 - 3:48OKCHarden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)91
43.0%
92
57.0%
Q4 - 3:49OKCJames BLOCK (1 BLK)91
36.1%
92
63.9%
Q4 - 3:50OKCHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
43.0%
92
57.0%
Q4 - 3:51MIAMISS Chalmers 4' Jump Shot91
39.9%
92
60.1%
Q4 - 4:24OKCDurant 3' Layup (28 PTS)91
32.9%
92
67.1%
Q4 - 4:28MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T12)89
25.6%
92
74.4%
Q4 - 4:54OKCWestbrook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Durant 3 AST)89
18.3%
92
81.7%
Q4 - 5:19MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (32 PTS)86
12.2%
92
87.8%
Q4 - 5:26MIAHEAT Rebound86
16.0%
90
84.0%
Q4 - 5:27MIAMISS James 1' Layup86
19.6%
90
80.4%
Q4 - 5:30OKCJames STEAL (4 STL)86
15.9%
90
84.1%
Q4 - 5:48MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (30 PTS)86
21.3%
90
78.7%
Q4 - 6:11OKCDurant 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Fisher 2 AST)86
28.7%
88
71.3%
Q4 - 6:21OKCFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
18.2%
88
81.8%
Q4 - 6:22MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup83
16.8%
88
83.2%
Q4 - 6:39OKCBosh STEAL (1 STL)83
13.9%
88
86.1%
Q4 - 6:55MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 10 AST)83
18.1%
88
81.9%
Q4 - 7:18MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
29.7%
85
70.3%
Q4 - 7:20OKCMISS Westbrook 10' Jump Shot83
31.6%
85
68.4%
Q4 - 7:23OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)83
36.3%
85
63.7%
Q4 - 7:25OKCWade BLOCK (2 BLK)83
31.6%
85
68.4%
Q4 - 7:43MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 9 AST)83
36.2%
85
63.8%
Q4 - 8:09OKCHarden 1' Layup (12 PTS)83
49.2%
82
50.8%
Q4 - 8:10OKCHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
42.7%
82
57.3%
Q4 - 8:11OKCMISS Harden 2' Driving Layup81
38.5%
82
61.5%
Q4 - 8:26MIAWade 10' Jump Shot (17 PTS)81
42.7%
82
57.3%
Q4 - 8:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
49.2%
80
50.8%
Q4 - 8:31MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
53.6%
80
46.4%
Q4 - 8:39OKCWade STEAL (3 STL)81
49.2%
80
50.8%
Q4 - 8:53OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
55.6%
80
44.4%
Q4 - 8:54MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot81
53.6%
80
46.4%
Q4 - 9:19OKCCollison 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Westbrook 1 AST)81
48.8%
80
51.2%
Q4 - 9:31OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)79
42.7%
80
57.3%
Q4 - 9:32MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
41.0%
80
59.0%
Q4 - 9:41MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
37.1%
80
62.9%
Q4 - 9:42OKCChalmers BLOCK (1 BLK)79
38.8%
80
61.2%
Q4 - 9:56OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
42.7%
80
57.3%
Q4 - 9:58MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot79
41.0%
80
59.0%
Q4 - 10:03MIAHEAT Rebound79
37.2%
80
62.8%
Q4 - 10:04MIAMISS Chalmers 7' Floating Jump Shot79
40.9%
80
59.1%
Q4 - 10:19MIAHEAT Rebound79
37.2%
80
62.8%
Q4 - 10:20MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
40.9%
80
59.1%
Q4 - 10:40OKCCollison Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)79
37.2%
80
62.8%
Q4 - 10:40OKCCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)78
35.9%
80
64.1%
Q4 - 10:55OKCThunder Rebound77
32.0%
80
68.0%
Q4 - 10:55MIAMISS Bosh 6' Turnaround Jump Shot77
30.6%
80
69.4%
Q4 - 11:17OKCDurant 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (23 PTS)77
28.0%
80
72.0%
Q4 - 11:31OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
23.8%
80
76.2%
Q4 - 11:32MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot75
22.6%
80
77.4%
Q4 - 11:51OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)75
20.2%
80
79.8%
Q4 - 11:51OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)74
19.7%
80
80.3%
Q4 - 11:53MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)73
16.9%
80
83.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA73
14.1%
80
85.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound73
14.1%
80
85.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Harris 28' 3PT Jump Shot73
16.0%
80
84.0%
Q3 - 0:03.0OKCDurant 12' Floating Jump Shot (21 PTS)73
15.2%
80
84.8%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAHarris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)71
12.5%
80
87.5%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
17.9%
77
82.1%
Q3 - 0:43.0OKCMISS Durant 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
18.8%
77
81.2%
Q3 - 0:48.0OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)71
20.9%
77
79.1%
Q3 - 0:49.0OKCMISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
18.8%
77
81.2%
Q3 - 1:07MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 8 AST)71
21.4%
77
78.6%
Q3 - 1:26OKCFisher 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)71
29.0%
74
71.0%
Q3 - 1:45MIAHaslem 1' Putback Dunk (6 PTS)69
24.9%
74
75.1%
Q3 - 1:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
29.0%
72
71.0%
Q3 - 1:47MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup69
31.7%
72
68.3%
Q3 - 2:04OKCWestbrook 16' Jump Shot (23 PTS)69
29.1%
72
70.9%
Q3 - 2:12OKCMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
25.5%
72
74.5%
Q3 - 2:13MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup67
24.4%
72
75.6%
Q3 - 2:35OKCHaslem STEAL (1 STL)67
22.0%
72
78.0%
Q3 - 2:42OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
25.4%
72
74.6%
Q3 - 2:43MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
24.3%
72
75.7%
Q3 - 2:55OKCJames STEAL (3 STL)67
22.0%
72
78.0%
Q3 - 3:11MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)67
26.1%
72
73.9%
Q3 - 3:11MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)67
26.7%
71
73.3%
Q3 - 3:28OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)67
29.5%
70
70.5%
Q3 - 3:28OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)66
29.1%
70
70.9%
Q3 - 3:38OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
26.0%
70
74.0%
Q3 - 3:39OKCMISS Westbrook 2' Tip Shot65
23.6%
70
76.4%
Q3 - 3:40OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)65
26.0%
70
74.0%
Q3 - 3:41OKCMISS Ibaka 18' Jump Shot65
23.6%
70
76.4%
Q3 - 3:54MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)65
26.0%
70
74.0%
Q3 - 3:54MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)65
26.7%
69
73.3%
Q3 - 4:08OKCHarden Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)65
29.5%
68
70.5%
Q3 - 4:17MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)62
23.4%
68
76.6%
Q3 - 4:17MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)62
23.8%
67
76.2%
Q3 - 4:28OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)62
26.0%
66
74.0%
Q3 - 4:28OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)61
25.5%
66
74.5%
Q3 - 4:45MIAAnthony 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)60
23.3%
66
76.7%
Q3 - 4:46MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
26.0%
64
74.0%
Q3 - 4:46MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
28.8%
64
71.2%
Q3 - 5:13OKCWestbrook 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS)60
26.4%
64
73.6%
Q3 - 5:25MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)58
23.6%
64
76.4%
Q3 - 5:25MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)58
24.1%
63
75.9%
Q3 - 5:25MIAHEAT Rebound58
26.4%
62
73.6%
Q3 - 5:25OKCMISS Ibaka 19' Jump Shot58
27.5%
62
72.5%
Q3 - 5:47MIABosh 2' Running Dunk (8 PTS) (James 7 AST)58
30.2%
62
69.8%
Q3 - 5:52OKCChalmers STEAL (3 STL)58
33.4%
60
66.6%
Q3 - 6:08OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
37.6%
60
62.4%
Q3 - 6:09MIAMISS Wade 10' Floating Jump Shot58
36.4%
60
63.6%
Q3 - 6:28OKCHarden 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)58
33.6%
60
66.4%
Q3 - 6:39MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)56
30.4%
60
69.6%
Q3 - 6:54OKCWestbrook Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)56
26.8%
60
73.2%
Q3 - 7:05MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)56
30.4%
60
69.6%
Q3 - 7:17MIAHEAT Rebound56
37.1%
57
62.9%
Q3 - 7:18MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
39.8%
57
60.2%
Q3 - 7:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
37.1%
57
62.9%
Q3 - 7:28MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup56
39.8%
57
60.2%
Q3 - 7:37OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)56
37.1%
57
62.9%
Q3 - 7:37OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)55
36.7%
57
63.3%
Q3 - 7:40OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
33.8%
57
66.2%
Q3 - 7:41MIAMISS Bosh 1' Driving Layup54
32.7%
57
67.3%
Q3 - 7:55OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)54
30.3%
57
69.7%
Q3 - 8:00OKCThunder Rebound51
24.3%
57
75.7%
Q3 - 8:01OKCMISS Westbrook 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
22.6%
57
77.4%
Q3 - 8:21MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)51
24.6%
57
75.4%
Q3 - 8:37OKCWestbrook 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)51
27.3%
55
72.7%
Q3 - 8:48OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
24.6%
55
75.4%
Q3 - 8:49MIAMISS James 15' Fadeaway Jumper49
23.7%
55
76.3%
Q3 - 8:59OKCChalmers STEAL (2 STL)49
21.8%
55
78.2%
Q3 - 9:16MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)49
24.7%
55
75.3%
Q3 - 9:18MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
30.5%
52
69.5%
Q3 - 9:19OKCMISS Durant 13' Jump Shot49
31.5%
52
68.5%
Q3 - 9:28MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)49
33.8%
52
66.2%
Q3 - 9:49MIAHEAT Rebound49
30.5%
52
69.5%
Q3 - 9:50OKCMISS Perkins 9' Jump Shot49
31.5%
52
68.5%
Q3 - 9:58OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
33.8%
52
66.2%
Q3 - 9:59MIAMISS Wade 8' Hook Shot49
32.8%
52
67.2%
Q3 - 10:12MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
30.7%
52
69.3%
Q3 - 10:13OKCMISS Durant 7' Turnaround Jump Shot49
31.6%
52
68.4%
Q3 - 10:22OKCThunder Rebound49
34.0%
52
66.0%
Q3 - 10:23MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
32.9%
52
67.1%
Q3 - 10:42OKCSefolosha Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)49
30.6%
52
69.4%
Q3 - 11:03MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)49
34.3%
52
65.7%
Q3 - 11:03MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)49
34.8%
51
65.2%
Q3 - 11:12MIAHEAT Rebound49
37.2%
50
62.8%
Q3 - 11:13MIAMISS Bosh 8' Hook Shot49
39.6%
50
60.4%
Q3 - 11:29OKCChalmers STEAL (1 STL)49
37.2%
50
62.8%
Q3 - 11:37OKCThunder Rebound49
40.7%
50
59.3%
Q3 - 11:38OKCMISS Westbrook 12' Jump Shot49
38.3%
50
61.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0OKC49
40.7%
50
59.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (23 PTS)49
40.7%
50
59.3%
Q2 - 0:13.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
44.4%
48
55.6%
Q2 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot49
46.0%
48
54.0%
Q2 - 0:36.0OKCDurant Driving Dunk (15 PTS)49
44.3%
48
55.7%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAHarris Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)47
40.3%
48
59.7%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
37.9%
48
62.1%
Q2 - 0:58.0OKCMISS Westbrook 2' Driving Layup47
38.6%
48
61.4%
Q2 - 1:12OKCThunder Rebound47
40.1%
48
59.9%
Q2 - 1:13MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
39.5%
48
60.5%
Q2 - 1:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
38.0%
48
62.0%
Q2 - 1:22OKCMISS Westbrook 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
38.7%
48
61.3%
Q2 - 1:45MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (James 5 AST)47
40.1%
48
59.9%
Q2 - 1:52MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
44.3%
46
55.7%
Q2 - 1:53OKCMISS Durant 21' Jump Shot47
45.0%
46
55.0%
Q2 - 2:09MIAJames 1' Running Dunk (21 PTS)47
46.7%
46
53.3%
Q2 - 2:12OKCJames STEAL (2 STL)47
49.8%
44
50.2%
Q2 - 2:23MIAHEAT Rebound47
53.0%
44
47.0%
Q2 - 2:23MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)47
53.0%
44
47.0%
Q2 - 2:23MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 247
53.6%
43
46.4%
Q2 - 2:39OKCHarden 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Durant 2 AST)47
53.0%
43
47.0%
Q2 - 2:44OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
49.8%
43
50.2%
Q2 - 2:45MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
48.9%
43
51.1%
Q2 - 3:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
46.2%
43
53.8%
Q2 - 3:06OKCMISS Westbrook 2' Layup45
47.3%
43
52.7%
Q2 - 3:10OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
49.8%
43
50.2%
Q2 - 3:11MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
48.7%
43
51.3%
Q2 - 3:21MIAHEAT Rebound45
46.3%
43
53.7%
Q2 - 3:22OKCMISS Westbrook 16' Jump Shot45
47.3%
43
52.7%
Q2 - 3:36MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)45
49.8%
43
50.2%
Q2 - 3:59OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)45
55.4%
40
44.6%
Q2 - 3:59OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)44
55.0%
40
45.0%
Q2 - 4:32OKCDurant 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)43
57.9%
37
42.1%
Q2 - 4:50OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
55.2%
37
44.8%
Q2 - 4:51MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot41
54.2%
37
45.8%
Q2 - 5:11OKCSefolosha Foul Turnover (P1.T8)41
52.0%
37
48.0%
Q2 - 5:18MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)41
54.7%
37
45.3%
Q2 - 5:18MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 241
55.3%
36
44.7%
Q2 - 5:33MIAJames Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (14 PTS)41
54.8%
36
45.2%
Q2 - 5:33MIAJames Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (13 PTS)41
55.5%
35
44.5%
Q2 - 5:34OKCWade STEAL (2 STL)41
60.5%
34
39.5%
Q2 - 5:45MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)41
63.2%
34
36.8%
Q2 - 5:45MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 241
63.7%
33
36.3%
Q2 - 5:45MIAWade Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)41
63.3%
33
36.7%
Q2 - 5:57OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)41
65.9%
32
34.1%
Q2 - 6:11MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 4 AST)38
59.9%
32
40.1%
Q2 - 6:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
64.8%
29
35.2%
Q2 - 6:25OKCMISS Durant 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
65.7%
29
34.3%
Q2 - 6:46MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)38
67.7%
29
32.3%
Q2 - 7:00OKCWestbrook 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)38
69.8%
27
30.2%
Q2 - 7:17MIAWade 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (James 3 AST)36
66.9%
27
33.1%
Q2 - 7:27OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)36
69.0%
25
31.0%
Q2 - 7:39OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
64.4%
25
35.6%
Q2 - 7:40MIAMISS Bosh 6' Hook Shot33
63.6%
25
36.4%
Q2 - 7:59OKCCook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)33
61.6%
25
38.4%
Q2 - 8:05MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)30
55.9%
25
44.1%
Q2 - 8:22OKCHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Fisher 1 AST)30
53.2%
25
46.8%
Q2 - 8:28MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)27
48.0%
25
52.0%
Q2 - 8:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
45.3%
25
54.7%
Q2 - 8:36OKCMISS Fisher 21' Jump Shot27
46.2%
25
53.8%
Q2 - 8:47OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
48.1%
25
51.9%
Q2 - 8:48MIAMISS Haslem 2' Layup27
47.2%
25
52.8%
Q2 - 9:01MIAHEAT Rebound27
44.9%
25
55.1%
Q2 - 9:02OKCMISS Harden 2' Driving Layup27
45.8%
25
54.2%
Q2 - 9:14MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
47.6%
25
52.4%
Q2 - 9:14MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
48.1%
24
51.9%
Q2 - 9:31MIAHEAT Rebound27
50.1%
23
49.9%
Q2 - 9:32OKCMISS Cook 16' Jump Shot27
50.9%
23
49.1%
Q2 - 9:50MIAWade 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)27
52.8%
23
47.2%
Q2 - 10:02OKCMohammed 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)27
54.7%
21
45.3%
Q2 - 10:15OKCHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
52.5%
21
47.5%
Q2 - 10:16MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot25
51.7%
21
48.3%
Q2 - 10:39OKCMohammed 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)25
49.7%
21
50.3%
Q2 - 10:44OKCHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
47.5%
21
52.5%
Q2 - 10:45MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot23
46.6%
21
53.4%
Q2 - 10:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
44.7%
21
55.3%
Q2 - 10:58OKCMISS Harden 1' Driving Layup23
45.6%
21
54.4%
Q2 - 11:11OKCCook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
47.1%
21
52.9%
Q2 - 11:12MIAMISS Bosh 2' Dunk23
46.4%
21
53.6%
Q2 - 11:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
44.6%
21
55.4%
Q2 - 11:36OKCBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)23
45.4%
21
54.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
47.2%
21
52.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound23
44.6%
21
55.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 32' 3PT Jump Shot23
46.4%
21
53.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
44.6%
21
55.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0OKCMISS Fisher 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
45.2%
21
54.8%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)23
46.5%
21
53.5%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)23
47.0%
20
53.0%
Q1 - 0:40.0OKCDurant 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)23
49.4%
19
50.6%
Q1 - 0:56.0OKCThunder Rebound20
44.1%
19
55.9%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Cole 12' Jump Shot20
43.5%
19
56.5%
Q1 - 1:09MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
42.3%
19
57.7%
Q1 - 1:10OKCMISS Fisher 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
42.8%
19
57.2%
Q1 - 1:27MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)20
43.9%
19
56.1%
Q1 - 1:50OKCDurant 2' Driving Dunk (8 PTS)20
49.2%
16
50.8%
Q1 - 1:53OKCThunder Rebound18
46.2%
16
53.8%
Q1 - 1:55OKCMISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
45.1%
16
54.9%
Q1 - 2:08OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
46.4%
16
53.6%
Q1 - 2:09MIAMISS Cole 18' Jump Shot18
45.8%
16
54.2%
Q1 - 2:22OKCJames STEAL (1 STL)18
44.3%
16
55.7%
Q1 - 2:44OKCThunder Rebound18
46.4%
16
53.6%
Q1 - 2:45MIAMISS Cole 2' Driving Layup18
45.8%
16
54.2%
Q1 - 2:55OKCAnthony STEAL (1 STL)18
44.4%
16
55.6%
Q1 - 3:01OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
46.4%
16
53.6%
Q1 - 3:01MIAMISS James 13' Jump Shot18
45.7%
16
54.3%
Q1 - 3:25OKCPerkins Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)18
44.1%
16
55.9%
Q1 - 3:37MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)18
46.4%
16
53.6%
Q1 - 3:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
50.8%
13
49.2%
Q1 - 3:44OKCMISS Westbrook 9' Driving Jump Shot18
51.5%
13
48.5%
Q1 - 3:55MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)18
53.2%
13
46.8%
Q1 - 4:05MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
50.2%
13
49.8%
Q1 - 4:06OKCMISS Durant 19' Jump Shot18
51.0%
13
49.0%
Q1 - 4:18OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
52.6%
13
47.4%
Q1 - 4:19MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Layup18
51.9%
13
48.1%
Q1 - 4:33OKCSefolosha 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
50.3%
13
49.7%
Q1 - 4:43OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
48.3%
13
51.7%
Q1 - 4:44OKCMISS Westbrook 8' Jump Shot16
46.6%
13
53.4%
Q1 - 4:45OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
48.3%
13
51.7%
Q1 - 4:46OKCTuriaf BLOCK (2 BLK)16
46.6%
13
53.4%
Q1 - 4:59OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
48.3%
13
51.7%
Q1 - 5:00MIAMISS Bosh 9' Jump Shot16
47.5%
13
52.5%
Q1 - 5:17OKCWestbrook 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
45.4%
13
54.6%
Q1 - 5:26MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)14
43.6%
13
56.4%
Q1 - 5:34MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
41.3%
13
58.7%
Q1 - 5:35OKCWade BLOCK (1 BLK)14
42.0%
13
58.0%
Q1 - 6:00OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
43.6%
13
56.4%
Q1 - 6:01MIAMISS Turiaf 3' Jump Shot14
42.5%
13
57.5%
Q1 - 6:16OKCDurant 1' Driving Dunk (6 PTS)14
41.1%
13
58.9%
Q1 - 6:21MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)12
39.2%
13
60.8%
Q1 - 6:28OKCSefolosha 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
37.2%
13
62.8%
Q1 - 6:47MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)10
35.4%
13
64.6%
Q1 - 6:51MIAHEAT Rebound10
37.2%
11
62.8%
Q1 - 6:52MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot10
38.6%
11
61.4%
Q1 - 7:07OKCThunder Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#3)10
37.1%
11
62.9%
Q1 - 7:16MIATuriaf Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
39.2%
11
60.8%
Q1 - 7:37OKCPerkins 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
37.1%
11
62.9%
Q1 - 7:38OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
35.5%
11
64.5%
Q1 - 7:39OKCMISS Westbrook 3' Running Jump Shot8
34.1%
11
65.9%
Q1 - 7:46MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
35.5%
11
64.5%
Q1 - 7:46MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
35.9%
10
64.1%
Q1 - 8:01OKCDurant 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)8
37.3%
9
62.7%
Q1 - 8:02OKCThunder Rebound6
35.4%
9
64.6%
Q1 - 8:03OKCTuriaf BLOCK (1 BLK)6
34.3%
9
65.7%
Q1 - 8:04OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
35.4%
9
64.6%
Q1 - 8:05OKCMISS Westbrook 14' Jump Shot6
34.3%
9
65.7%
Q1 - 8:07OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
35.4%
9
64.6%
Q1 - 8:08MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup6
34.9%
9
65.1%
Q1 - 8:21OKCIbaka 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Perkins 1 AST)6
33.7%
9
66.3%
Q1 - 8:37MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Turiaf 1 AST)4
32.0%
9
68.0%
Q1 - 8:44MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
35.5%
6
64.5%
Q1 - 8:45MIAMISS James 15' Jump Shot4
36.7%
6
63.3%
Q1 - 9:07OKCDurant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)4
35.8%
6
64.2%
Q1 - 9:11OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
37.5%
6
62.5%
Q1 - 9:12MIAMISS Wade 1' Reverse Layup4
37.0%
6
63.0%
Q1 - 9:16OKCWade STEAL (1 STL)4
35.8%
6
64.2%
Q1 - 9:29MIABosh Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)4
37.5%
6
62.5%
Q1 - 9:42OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
35.7%
6
64.3%
Q1 - 9:42OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
35.5%
6
64.5%
Q1 - 9:47OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
34.0%
6
66.0%
Q1 - 9:48MIAMISS Turiaf 10' Fadeaway Jumper2
33.5%
6
66.5%
Q1 - 10:06OKCIbaka 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Durant 1 AST)2
32.6%
6
67.4%
Q1 - 10:23MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)0
31.3%
6
68.7%
Q1 - 10:32MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.6%
4
67.4%
Q1 - 10:33OKCMISS Westbrook 27' 3PT Jump Shot0
33.1%
4
66.9%
Q1 - 11:02MIAWade 1' Running Dunk (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)0
34.3%
4
65.7%
Q1 - 11:05MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.0%
2
64.0%
Q1 - 11:06OKCMISS Sefolosha 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
36.4%
2
63.6%
Q1 - 11:18OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
37.4%
2
62.6%
Q1 - 11:19MIAMISS Bosh 1' Driving Layup0
37.0%
2
63.0%
Q1 - 11:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.0%
2
64.0%
Q1 - 11:27OKCMISS Perkins 8' Turnaround Hook Shot0
36.4%
2
63.6%
Q1 - 11:47MIAChalmers 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
37.4%
2
62.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Turiaf vs. Ibaka: Tip to James0
39.1%
0
60.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.01 50.5%
MIA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
OKC
17
32
53%
MIA
15
32
47%
Midrange
OKC
13
32
41%
MIA
6
27
22%
3PT | Effective 3PT
OKC
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
MIA
10
15.0
24
42%
63%
Free Throws
OKC
18
20
90%
MIA
26
29
90%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Durant3063%15.0 / 24
R. Westbrook2850%14.0 / 28
J. Harden1255%6.0 / 11
S. Ibaka433%2.0 / 6
T. Sefolosha450%2.0 / 4
N. Collison467%2.0 / 3
N. Mohammed4100%2.0 / 2
D. Cook375%1.5 / 2
K. Perkins225%1.0 / 4
D. Fisher225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3468%17.0 / 25
D. Wade1948%9.5 / 20
M. Chalmers1359%6.5 / 11
C. Bosh1238%6.0 / 16
S. Battier964%4.5 / 7
U. Haslem643%3.0 / 7
T. Harris375%1.5 / 2
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
R. Turiaf0-0.0 / 2
N. Cole0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

OKC
74
+16
-18
90
MIA
81
+18
-13
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.01 50.5%
MIA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.3
106.6
OKC 101.1
MIA 104.3 +3.2
Pace
93.5
91.3
OKC 98.8 +10.8
MIA 88.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
15.8
OKC 14.6 +1.8
MIA 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.6%
50.5%
OKC 46.3% +2.9%
MIA 43.4%
TO %
16.9%
15.9%
OKC 18.2%
MIA 12.8% +5.4%
ORB %
28.0%
26.6%
OKC 32.4% +10.8%
MIA 21.6%
FTrt
33.4
30.7
OKC 24.7
MIA 34.9 +10.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
49.7%
53.8%
OKC 45.7%
MIA 51.6% +5.9%
STL %
8.0%
9.6%
OKC 10.9%
MIA 13.8% +2.9%
BLK %
12.3%
9.0%
OKC 13.6% +1.1%
MIA 12.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.38 and 3.38.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
53.5%
OKC 50.5% +0.5%
MIA 50.0%
Rim FG%
60.8%
61.1%
OKC 53.1% +6.2%
MIA 46.9%
Mid FG%
41.4%
40.0%
OKC 40.6% +18.4%
MIA 22.2%
3P %
35.8%
35.9%
OKC 29.4%
MIA 41.7% +12.3%
FT %
80.6%
77.5%
OKC 90.0% +0.3%
MIA 89.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.6%
36.7%
OKC 39.5% +1.0%
MIA 38.6%
Mid Att. %
38.2%
43.6%
OKC 39.5%
MIA 32.5% +7.0%
3P Att. %
25.2%
19.8%
OKC 21.0%
MIA 28.9% +7.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.3 and 2.3.
Game TotalsOKCMIA
Possessions9294
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points9398
Rebounds4133
Assists1616
Steals1013
Blocks88
Turnovers (Team)18 (2)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)8 (10)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (6)25 (7)
Field Goals35-8131-83
At-the-Rim FG17-3215-32
Midrange FG13-326-27
2-Point FG30-6421-59
3-Point FG5-1710-24
Free Throws18-2026-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 240 · 24
43.5
30
63%
4
3
0
2
9
1
0
4
6-6
100%
9-14
64%
2-7
29%
G · 6'3" 200 · 23
39.5
28
50%
4
2
3
0
4
4
3
1
9-9
100%
8-22
36%
1-4
25%
C · 6'10" 270 · 27
30.6
2
25%
7
2
0
1
2
4
1
6
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 23
24.0
4
33%
7
0
2
5
0
4
3
4
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 220 · 28
20.6
4
50%
4
1
0
0
2
4
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
G · 6'5" 220 · 23
33.8
12
55%
5
5
3
0
1
1
2
3
1-1
100%
4-10
40%
1-1
100%
F · 6'10" 255 · 31
17.4
4
67%
7
1
1
0
0
4
3
4
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 210 · 38
17.0
2
25%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
C · 6'10" 250 · 35
9.7
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
4.0
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
G · 6'4" 200 · 30
F · 6'6" 225 · 25
C · 6'11" 253 · 23
#6 · G · 6'3" 175 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · G · 6'3" 208 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
51%
41
16
10
8
18
0
12
29
18-20
90%
30-64
47%
5-17
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.