Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, March 31, 2012

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	17	Hawks	37%	88	90
	11	76ers	63%	93	95

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
ATL	105.9	85	87.5
PHI	109.2	87	84.6

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+10

-10

PHI

+11

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.06 52.9%

PHI

1.09 54.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	PHI
Q4 - 0:00.0	PHI		90 0%	95 100%
Q4 - 0:05.0	PHI	Turner Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	90 0.1%	95 99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0	PHI	MISS Turner Free Throw 1 of 2	90 0.2%	94 99.8%
Q4 - 0:10.0	PHI	Meeks Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	87 0.1%	94 99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0	PHI	Meeks Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	87 0.1%	93 99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0	PHI	Holiday REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	87 0.3%	92 99.7%
Q4 - 0:18.0	ATL	MISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	87 0.5%	92 99.5%
Q4 - 0:25.0	PHI	Iguodala Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)	87 1.8%	92 98.2%
Q4 - 0:43.0	PHI	Iguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)	87 1.5%	92 98.5%
Q4 - 0:46.0	ATL	MISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot	87 2.0%	92 98.0%
Q4 - 1:00	PHI	Turner 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)	87 4.5%	92 95.5%
Q4 - 1:20	ATL	Smith Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)	87 9.9%	90 90.1%
Q4 - 1:20	ATL	MISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 2	86 8.5%	90 91.5%
Q4 - 1:20	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)	86 10.4%	90 89.6%
Q4 - 1:21	ATL	Brand BLOCK (3 BLK)	86 7.1%	90 92.9%
Q4 - 1:34	PHI	Brand 14' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Meeks 2 AST)	86 11.8%	90 88.2%
Q4 - 1:47	ATL	Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hinrich 6 AST)	86 18.6%	88 81.4%
Q4 - 2:07	PHI	Holiday REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	83 8.8%	88 91.2%
Q4 - 2:07	PHI	Holiday 1' Layup (9 PTS)	83 8.8%	88 91.2%
Q4 - 2:10	PHI	MISS Iguodala 9' Jump Shot	83 17.7%	86 82.3%
Q4 - 2:14	PHI	Hawes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	83 11.6%	86 88.4%
Q4 - 2:17	ATL	Iguodala BLOCK (1 BLK)	83 14.0%	86 86.0%
Q4 - 2:38	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	83 21.6%	86 78.4%
Q4 - 2:39	PHI	MISS Hawes 12' Jump Shot	83 17.9%	86 82.1%
Q4 - 2:58	ATL	Smith 16' Pullup Jump Shot (30 PTS)	83 13.4%	86 86.6%
Q4 - 3:02	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	81 10.1%	86 89.9%
Q4 - 3:05	PHI	MISS Meeks 24' 3PT Jump Shot	81 8.5%	86 91.5%
Q4 - 3:19	ATL	Teague Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	81 5.7%	86 94.3%
Q4 - 3:19	ATL	Teague Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	80 5.2%	86 94.8%
Q4 - 3:25	PHI	Hawes Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	79 4.2%	86 95.8%
Q4 - 3:25	PHI	Hawes Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	79 4.8%	85 95.2%
Q4 - 3:45	ATL	Smith 1' Layup (28 PTS) (Hinrich 5 AST)	79 8.7%	84 91.3%
Q4 - 3:48	ATL	Hinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	77 6.3%	84 93.7%
Q4 - 3:50	PHI	MISS Iguodala 18' Jump Shot	77 5.6%	84 94.4%
Q4 - 4:11	PHI	Brand REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)	77 4.1%	84 95.9%
Q4 - 4:12	PHI	MISS Brand Free Throw 2 of 2	77 5.8%	84 94.2%
Q4 - 4:12	PHI	Brand Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)	77 4.6%	84 95.4%
Q4 - 4:30	PHI	Brand REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)	77 5.8%	83 94.2%
Q4 - 4:32	PHI	MISS Holiday 27' 3PT Jump Shot	77 7.6%	83 92.4%
Q4 - 4:49	PHI	Iguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	77 5.7%	83 94.3%
Q4 - 4:50	ATL	MISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot	77 6.5%	83 93.5%
Q4 - 5:07	PHI	Iguodala 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Brand 5 AST)	77 10.8%	83 89.2%
Q4 - 5:28	ATL	Green 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (Hinrich 4 AST)	77 18.7%	80 81.3%
Q4 - 5:51	PHI	Holiday 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Brand 4 AST)	75 14.3%	80 85.7%
Q4 - 6:10	ATL	Hinrich 20' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)	75 25.6%	77 74.4%
Q4 - 6:25	PHI	Brand 9' Jump Shot (22 PTS)	73 20.5%	77 79.5%
Q4 - 6:44	ATL	Green Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	73 25.5%	75 74.5%
Q4 - 6:44	ATL	MISS Green Free Throw 1 of 2	72 24.5%	75 75.5%
Q4 - 7:01	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	72 26.7%	75 73.3%
Q4 - 7:03	PHI	MISS Hawes 11' Turnaround Jump Shot	72 25.0%	75 75.0%
Q4 - 7:16	PHI	Brand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	72 21.2%	75 78.8%
Q4 - 7:17	ATL	MISS Green 18' Jump Shot	72 22.8%	75 77.2%
Q4 - 7:30	PHI	Iguodala Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	72 26.7%	75 73.3%
Q4 - 7:30	PHI	Iguodala Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)	72 28.1%	74 71.9%
Q4 - 7:35	PHI	Iguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	72 32.0%	73 68.0%
Q4 - 7:37	ATL	MISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot	72 34.0%	73 66.0%
Q4 - 7:59	PHI	Brand Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)	72 38.8%	73 61.2%
Q4 - 8:17	ATL	Johnson Driving Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)	72 51.2%	70 48.8%
Q4 - 8:39	PHI	Brand 14' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Iguodala 3 AST)	70 44.8%	70 55.2%
Q4 - 8:47	PHI	Iguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	70 51.3%	68 48.7%
Q4 - 8:49	ATL	MISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot	70 53.2%	68 46.8%
Q4 - 9:12	PHI	Meeks 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Turner 4 AST)	70 56.0%	68 44.0%
Q4 - 9:36	ATL	Johnson 13' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Green 1 AST)	70 67.5%	65 32.5%
Q4 - 9:58	PHI	Brand Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)	68 61.9%	65 38.1%
Q4 - 10:13	PHI	Brand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	68 70.5%	62 29.5%
Q4 - 10:15	ATL	MISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot	68 72.0%	62 28.0%
Q4 - 10:39	ATL	Hinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	68 75.1%	62 24.9%
Q4 - 10:42	PHI	MISS Meeks 25' 3PT Jump Shot	68 73.8%	62 26.2%
Q4 - 11:07	ATL	Johnson 13' Step Back Jump Shot (15 PTS)	68 69.0%	62 31.0%
Q4 - 11:20	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	66 64.1%	62 35.9%
Q4 - 11:22	PHI	MISS Brand 5' Fadeaway Jumper	66 62.6%	62 37.4%
Q4 - 11:30	PHI	Brand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	66 59.2%	62 40.8%
Q4 - 11:32	PHI	MISS Turner 16' Jump Shot	66 62.7%	62 37.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0	PHI		66 59.3%	62 40.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0	PHI	76ERS Rebound	66 59.3%	62 40.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0	PHI	MISS Turner 19' Jump Shot	66 62.7%	62 37.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0	ATL	Johnson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)	66 58.1%	62 41.9%
Q3 - 0:12.0	ATL	Green REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	64 52.7%	62 47.3%
Q3 - 0:13.0	PHI	MISS Hawes 16' Jump Shot	64 51.3%	62 48.7%
Q3 - 0:32.0	ATL	Hinrich Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)	64 48.1%	62 51.9%
Q3 - 0:53.0	PHI	Young 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)	64 52.8%	62 47.2%
Q3 - 1:03	PHI	Meeks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	64 57.0%	60 43.0%
Q3 - 1:04	ATL	MISS Green 5' Jump Shot	64 58.4%	60 41.6%
Q3 - 1:21	ATL	Hawks Rebound	64 61.5%	60 38.5%
Q3 - 1:21	PHI	MISS Turner 12' Jump Shot	64 60.2%	60 39.8%
Q3 - 1:34	ATL	Smith Foul Turnover (P3.T9)	64 57.1%	60 42.9%
Q3 - 1:49	PHI	Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)	64 61.6%	60 38.4%
Q3 - 2:00	ATL	Johnson Foul Turnover (P2.T8)	64 57.1%	60 42.9%
Q3 - 2:17	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	64 60.0%	60 40.0%
Q3 - 2:18	PHI	MISS Iguodala 19' Step Back Jump Shot	64 58.7%	60 41.3%
Q3 - 2:41	ATL	Smith Alley Oop Layup (26 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)	64 55.5%	60 44.5%
Q3 - 2:50	PHI	Iguodala Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	62 50.9%	60 49.1%
Q3 - 2:50	PHI	MISS Iguodala Free Throw 1 of 2	62 52.2%	59 47.8%
Q3 - 3:09	ATL	Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)	62 49.9%	59 50.1%
Q3 - 3:32	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	59 41.2%	59 58.8%
Q3 - 3:33	PHI	MISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 1	59 40.6%	59 59.4%
Q3 - 3:43	ATL	Smith Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)	59 45.5%	57 54.5%
Q3 - 4:02	PHI	Hawes Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	59 49.7%	57 50.3%
Q3 - 4:02	PHI	Hawes Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	59 51.1%	56 48.9%
Q3 - 4:19	ATL	Johnson 16' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)	59 53.3%	55 46.7%
Q3 - 4:43	PHI	Turner 11' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)	57 49.8%	55 50.2%
Q3 - 4:59	PHI	Hawes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	57 53.4%	53 46.6%
Q3 - 5:02	ATL	MISS Teague Free Throw 2 of 2	57 53.1%	53 46.9%
Q3 - 5:02	ATL	Teague Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	57 55.8%	53 44.2%
Q3 - 5:06	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	56 52.9%	53 47.1%
Q3 - 5:08	PHI	MISS Williams 14' Jump Shot	56 51.5%	53 48.5%
Q3 - 5:24	ATL	Smith Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)	56 48.3%	53 51.7%
Q3 - 5:24	ATL	Smith Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)	55 47.1%	53 52.9%
Q3 - 5:48	PHI	Turner 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)	54 44.7%	53 55.3%
Q3 - 5:54	PHI	Turner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	54 48.4%	51 51.6%
Q3 - 5:55	ATL	MISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot	54 49.8%	51 50.2%
Q3 - 6:22	PHI	Williams 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brand 3 AST)	54 52.0%	51 48.0%
Q3 - 6:33	PHI	76ERS Rebound	54 55.7%	49 44.3%
Q3 - 6:33	PHI	MISS Williams 20' Jump Shot	54 58.6%	49 41.4%
Q3 - 7:02	ATL	Smith 17' Jump Shot (22 PTS)	54 54.4%	49 45.6%
Q3 - 7:23	PHI	Turner 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)	52 50.8%	49 49.2%
Q3 - 7:35	PHI	Brand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	52 54.5%	47 45.5%
Q3 - 7:37	ATL	MISS Smith 6' Hook Shot	52 55.7%	47 44.3%
Q3 - 7:53	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	52 58.5%	47 41.5%
Q3 - 7:55	PHI	MISS Young 14' Jump Shot	52 57.3%	47 42.7%
Q3 - 8:03	PHI	Iguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	52 53.8%	47 46.2%
Q3 - 8:04	ATL	MISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 2	52 54.4%	47 45.6%
Q3 - 8:04	ATL	Smith Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)	52 56.4%	47 43.6%
Q3 - 8:04	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	51 54.1%	47 45.9%
Q3 - 8:05	ATL	MISS Johnson 4' Jump Shot	51 51.3%	47 48.7%
Q3 - 8:18	ATL	Hawks Rebound	51 54.1%	47 45.9%
Q3 - 8:18	ATL	MISS Teague 13' Jump Shot	51 51.3%	47 48.7%
Q3 - 8:34	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	51 54.1%	47 45.9%
Q3 - 8:36	PHI	MISS Holiday 16' Jump Shot	51 52.9%	47 47.1%
Q3 - 8:54	ATL	Teague Layup (5 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)	51 50.1%	47 49.9%
Q3 - 8:58	PHI	Hawes Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)	49 46.6%	47 53.4%
Q3 - 8:59	PHI	Hawes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	49 42.6%	47 57.4%
Q3 - 9:01	PHI	MISS Turner 5' Jump Shot	49 44.7%	47 55.3%
Q3 - 9:18	ATL	Smith 8' Running Hook Shot (19 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)	49 42.1%	47 57.9%
Q3 - 9:32	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	47 38.7%	47 61.3%
Q3 - 9:33	PHI	MISS Holiday 10' Jump Shot	47 37.6%	47 62.4%
Q3 - 9:40	PHI	Holiday REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	47 35.2%	47 64.8%
Q3 - 9:41	ATL	MISS Smith 18' Jump Shot	47 36.3%	47 63.7%
Q3 - 9:58	ATL	Hawks Rebound	47 38.8%	47 61.2%
Q3 - 9:59	PHI	MISS Iguodala 25' 3PT Jump Shot	47 37.7%	47 62.3%
Q3 - 10:13	ATL	Teague 5' Floating Jump Shot (3 PTS)	47 34.9%	47 65.1%
Q3 - 10:20	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	45 31.9%	47 68.1%
Q3 - 10:21	PHI	MISS Turner 16' Jump Shot	45 30.9%	47 69.1%
Q3 - 10:40	ATL	Smith 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)	45 28.7%	47 71.3%
Q3 - 10:51	PHI	Turner 2' Layup (4 PTS)	43 26.1%	47 73.9%
Q3 - 10:52	PHI	Turner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	43 28.7%	45 71.3%
Q3 - 10:55	PHI	MISS Turner 10' Jump Shot	43 30.9%	45 69.1%
Q3 - 11:08	ATL	Smith Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	43 28.9%	45 71.1%
Q3 - 11:08	ATL	Smith Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)	42 28.1%	45 71.9%
Q3 - 11:30	PHI	Holiday 12' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Turner 3 AST)	41 26.3%	45 73.7%
Q3 - 11:37	PHI	Brand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	41 28.9%	43 71.1%
Q3 - 11:38	ATL	MISS Pachulia 3' Layup	41 29.8%	43 70.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0	ATL		41 32.0%	43 68.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0	ATL	Hawks Rebound	41 32.0%	43 68.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0	ATL	MISS Pachulia 10' Jump Shot	41 29.8%	43 70.2%
Q2 - 0:23.0	ATL	Hinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	41 31.7%	43 68.3%
Q2 - 0:24.0	PHI	MISS Meeks 27' 3PT Jump Shot	41 31.0%	43 69.0%
Q2 - 0:45.0	PHI	Brand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	41 29.6%	43 70.4%
Q2 - 0:46.0	ATL	Brand BLOCK (2 BLK)	41 30.2%	43 69.8%
Q2 - 1:09	PHI	Iguodala 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)	41 31.6%	43 68.4%
Q2 - 1:28	ATL	Teague Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)	41 35.4%	41 64.6%
Q2 - 1:51	PHI	Meeks 16' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Iguodala 2 AST)	41 37.4%	41 62.6%
Q2 - 2:01	PHI	Brand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	41 40.5%	39 59.5%
Q2 - 2:03	ATL	MISS Pachulia 13' Jump Shot	41 41.5%	39 58.5%
Q2 - 2:19	PHI	Brand 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Holiday 6 AST)	41 43.7%	39 56.3%
Q2 - 2:34	ATL	Smith 10' Hook Shot (13 PTS)	41 46.8%	37 53.2%
Q2 - 3:03	PHI	Iguodala 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Holiday 5 AST)	39 43.5%	37 56.5%
Q2 - 3:22	ATL	Smith 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)	39 49.1%	34 50.9%
Q2 - 3:38	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	37 46.6%	34 53.4%
Q2 - 3:40	PHI	MISS Holiday 1' Layup	37 45.5%	34 54.5%
Q2 - 4:02	ATL	Johnson 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)	37 42.6%	34 57.4%
Q2 - 4:18	PHI	Iguodala 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)	35 40.0%	34 60.0%
Q2 - 4:25	PHI	Holiday REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	35 42.6%	32 57.4%
Q2 - 4:27	ATL	MISS Hinrich 17' Jump Shot	35 43.6%	32 56.4%
Q2 - 4:52	PHI	Holiday 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Iguodala 1 AST)	35 45.8%	32 54.2%
Q2 - 5:07	ATL	Johnson 12' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)	35 48.4%	30 51.6%
Q2 - 5:21	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	33 45.4%	30 54.6%
Q2 - 5:23	PHI	MISS Meeks 27' 3PT Jump Shot	33 44.5%	30 55.5%
Q2 - 5:31	ATL	Hawes STEAL (1 STL)	33 42.6%	30 57.4%
Q2 - 5:40	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	33 45.4%	30 54.6%
Q2 - 5:42	PHI	MISS Hawes 16' Jump Shot	33 44.5%	30 55.5%
Q2 - 5:50	PHI	Holiday REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	33 42.6%	30 57.4%
Q2 - 5:51	ATL	MISS Smith 15' Jump Shot	33 43.5%	30 56.5%
Q2 - 6:11	PHI	Meeks 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Holiday 4 AST)	33 45.1%	30 54.9%
Q2 - 6:21	PHI	Hawes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	33 50.3%	27 49.7%
Q2 - 6:22	ATL	MISS Johnson 10' Jump Shot	33 51.3%	27 48.7%
Q2 - 6:32	PHI	Brand Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	33 53.6%	27 46.4%
Q2 - 6:32	PHI	Brand Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	33 54.2%	26 45.8%
Q2 - 6:50	PHI	Iguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	33 55.9%	25 44.1%
Q2 - 6:51	ATL	MISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 2	33 56.4%	25 43.6%
Q2 - 6:51	ATL	Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	33 58.3%	25 41.7%
Q2 - 7:19	PHI	Iguodala 15' Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Holiday 3 AST)	32 55.4%	25 44.6%
Q2 - 7:26	PHI	Iguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	32 57.9%	23 42.1%
Q2 - 7:28	ATL	MISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot	32 58.8%	23 41.2%
Q2 - 7:53	PHI	Brand Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)	32 60.8%	23 39.2%
Q2 - 8:10	ATL	Hinrich 20' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)	32 57.1%	23 42.9%
Q2 - 8:27	PHI	Iguodala Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)	30 54.6%	23 45.4%
Q2 - 8:36	PHI	Hawes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	30 51.9%	23 48.1%
Q2 - 8:38	ATL	MISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot	30 52.7%	23 47.3%
Q2 - 8:54	PHI	Meeks 19' Pullup Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)	30 54.6%	23 45.4%
Q2 - 9:11	ATL	Johnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	30 56.1%	21 43.9%
Q2 - 9:11	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	27 51.2%	21 48.8%
Q2 - 9:12	ATL	MISS Williams 10' Jump Shot	27 49.3%	21 50.7%
Q2 - 9:29	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	27 51.2%	21 48.8%
Q2 - 9:32	PHI	MISS Young 4' Running Hook Shot	27 50.4%	21 49.6%
Q2 - 9:39	PHI	Meeks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	27 48.5%	21 51.5%
Q2 - 9:41	ATL	MISS Williams 21' Jump Shot	27 49.3%	21 50.7%
Q2 - 10:04	PHI	Williams 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Young 1 AST)	27 50.9%	21 49.1%
Q2 - 10:24	ATL	Green 9' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)	27 53.1%	19 46.9%
Q2 - 10:35	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	25 50.9%	19 49.1%
Q2 - 10:37	PHI	MISS Young 10' Jump Shot	25 50.0%	19 50.0%
Q2 - 10:52	ATL	Hinrich 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS)	25 48.1%	19 51.9%
Q2 - 11:16	PHI	Young 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)	23 45.4%	19 54.6%
Q2 - 11:41	PHI	Iguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	23 47.8%	17 52.2%
Q2 - 11:42	ATL	MISS Williams 19' Jump Shot	23 48.6%	17 51.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0	ATL		23 50.4%	17 49.6%
Q1 - 0:04.0	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	23 49.3%	17 50.7%
Q1 - 0:05.0	PHI	MISS Iguodala 18' Jump Shot	23 48.7%	17 51.3%
Q1 - 0:25.0	ATL	Turner STEAL (2 STL)	23 47.5%	17 52.5%
Q1 - 0:27.0	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	23 49.4%	17 50.6%
Q1 - 0:31.0	ATL	MISS Teague 4' Jump Shot	23 48.1%	17 51.9%
Q1 - 0:46.0	ATL	Green REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	23 49.4%	17 50.6%
Q1 - 0:47.0	PHI	MISS Young 17' Jump Shot	23 48.8%	17 51.2%
Q1 - 0:57.0	PHI	Battie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	23 47.5%	17 52.5%
Q1 - 0:59.0	ATL	MISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot	23 48.1%	17 51.9%
Q1 - 1:06	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	23 48.7%	17 51.3%
Q1 - 1:08	PHI	MISS Williams 6' Jump Shot	23 48.2%	17 51.8%
Q1 - 1:29	ATL	Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)	23 47.1%	17 52.9%
Q1 - 1:38	PHI	Turner Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)	20 41.8%	17 58.2%
Q1 - 2:00	ATL	Smith Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	20 40.3%	17 59.7%
Q1 - 2:00	ATL	Smith Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)	19 39.5%	17 60.5%
Q1 - 2:14	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	18 37.6%	17 62.4%
Q1 - 2:16	PHI	MISS Williams 11' Jump Shot	18 37.0%	17 63.0%
Q1 - 2:33	ATL	Teague Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	18 35.7%	17 64.3%
Q1 - 2:33	ATL	MISS Teague Free Throw 1 of 2	17 35.2%	17 64.8%
Q1 - 2:38	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	17 35.5%	17 64.5%
Q1 - 2:39	PHI	MISS Battie 7' Jump Shot	17 34.9%	17 65.1%
Q1 - 2:53	ATL	Williams 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)	17 33.6%	17 66.4%
Q1 - 2:58	PHI	Holiday Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)	15 31.4%	17 68.6%
Q1 - 3:21	ATL	Pachulia Layup (4 PTS)	15 29.4%	17 70.6%
Q1 - 3:23	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	13 27.7%	17 72.3%
Q1 - 3:26	ATL	Brand BLOCK (1 BLK)	13 26.4%	17 73.6%
Q1 - 3:36	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	13 27.7%	17 72.3%
Q1 - 3:37	PHI	MISS Brand 17' Jump Shot	13 27.1%	17 72.9%
Q1 - 3:47	PHI	Holiday REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	13 25.9%	17 74.1%
Q1 - 3:49	ATL	MISS Smith 19' Jump Shot	13 26.4%	17 73.6%
Q1 - 4:08	PHI	Brand 12' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Turner 2 AST)	13 27.5%	17 72.5%
Q1 - 4:16	PHI	Battie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	13 29.2%	15 70.8%
Q1 - 4:17	ATL	MISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot	13 29.8%	15 70.2%
Q1 - 4:34	PHI	Turner 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Brand 2 AST)	13 31.2%	15 68.8%
Q1 - 4:54	ATL	Smith 16' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)	13 33.0%	13 67.0%
Q1 - 5:09	PHI	Hawes 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)	11 31.2%	13 68.8%
Q1 - 5:10	PHI	Hawes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	11 32.8%	11 67.2%
Q1 - 5:12	PHI	MISS Holiday 15' Jump Shot	11 34.3%	11 65.7%
Q1 - 5:22	PHI	Hawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	11 32.8%	11 67.2%
Q1 - 5:23	ATL	MISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot	11 33.5%	11 66.5%
Q1 - 5:45	PHI	Brand 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)	11 35.0%	11 65.0%
Q1 - 6:02	ATL	Pachulia 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)	11 36.3%	9 63.7%
Q1 - 6:24	PHI	Brand 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Turner 1 AST)	9 34.6%	9 65.4%
Q1 - 6:32	ATL	Holiday STEAL (1 STL)	9 36.4%	7 63.6%
Q1 - 6:37	PHI	Iguodala Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)	9 38.4%	7 61.6%
Q1 - 6:50	ATL	Johnson 6' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)	9 36.4%	7 63.6%
Q1 - 7:03	ATL	Hawks Rebound	7 34.4%	7 65.6%
Q1 - 7:06	PHI	MISS Turner 14' Jump Shot	7 33.8%	7 66.2%
Q1 - 7:13	PHI	Hawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	7 32.5%	7 67.5%
Q1 - 7:15	ATL	MISS Teague 24' 3PT Jump Shot	7 33.0%	7 67.0%
Q1 - 7:32	PHI	Hawes Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)	7 34.4%	7 65.6%
Q1 - 7:41	PHI	Holiday REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	7 32.5%	7 67.5%
Q1 - 7:43	ATL	MISS Smith 8' Jump Shot	7 33.1%	7 66.9%
Q1 - 7:45	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	7 34.4%	7 65.6%
Q1 - 7:46	ATL	MISS Teague 8' Jump Shot	7 33.1%	7 66.9%
Q1 - 8:09	PHI	Hawes 8' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS) (Holiday 2 AST)	7 34.1%	7 65.9%
Q1 - 8:27	ATL	Hinrich 17' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)	7 35.9%	5 64.1%
Q1 - 8:40	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	5 34.2%	5 65.8%
Q1 - 8:45	ATL	MISS Teague 21' Jump Shot	5 33.0%	5 67.0%
Q1 - 9:14	PHI	Brand 12' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Holiday 1 AST)	5 34.2%	5 65.8%
Q1 - 9:18	PHI	Holiday REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	5 35.9%	3 64.1%
Q1 - 9:20	PHI	MISS Holiday 4' Jump Shot	5 37.1%	3 62.9%
Q1 - 9:35	ATL	Smith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	5 35.9%	3 64.1%
Q1 - 9:40	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	5 37.6%	3 62.4%
Q1 - 9:41	PHI	MISS Iguodala 21' Jump Shot	5 37.1%	3 62.9%
Q1 - 9:56	PHI	Turner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	5 35.9%	3 64.1%
Q1 - 9:57	ATL	MISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot	5 36.4%	3 63.6%
Q1 - 10:02	PHI	Hawes Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)	5 37.5%	3 62.5%
Q1 - 10:04	ATL	Smith Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)	5 35.6%	3 64.4%
Q1 - 10:23	PHI	Iguodala 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brand 1 AST)	2 32.6%	3 67.4%
Q1 - 10:45	PHI	Brand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	2 35.6%	0 64.4%
Q1 - 10:46	PHI	MISS Hawes 13' Jump Shot	2 36.9%	0 63.1%
Q1 - 10:54	ATL	Turner STEAL (1 STL)	2 35.6%	0 64.4%
Q1 - 11:10	PHI	Hawes Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)	2 36.7%	0 63.3%
Q1 - 11:27	ATL	Smith 1' Layup (2 PTS)	2 35.3%	0 64.7%
Q1 - 11:43	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 33.7%	0 66.3%
Q1 - 11:45	PHI	MISS Holiday 6' Jump Shot	0 33.3%	0 66.7%
Q1 - 12:00	PHI	Jump Ball Hawes vs. Smith: Tip to Holiday	0 32.3%	0 67.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.06 52.9%

PHI

1.09 54.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

61%

PHI

69%

Midrange

ATL

48%

PHI

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

6.0

29%

43%

PHI

9.0

50%

75%

Free Throws

ATL

73%

PHI

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Smith	34	77%	17.0 / 22
J. Johnson	15	58%	7.5 / 13
K. Hinrich	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Teague	8	36%	4.0 / 11
W. Green	8	50%	4.0 / 8
I. Johnson	7	70%	3.5 / 5
M. Williams	6	33%	3.0 / 9
Z. Pachulia	4	29%	2.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
E. Brand	25	89%	12.5 / 14
A. Iguodala	18	64%	9.0 / 14
E. Turner	13	46%	6.5 / 14
J. Meeks	12	67%	6.0 / 9
J. Holiday	9	41%	4.5 / 11
S. Hawes	8	44%	4.0 / 9
L. Williams	6	43%	3.0 / 7
T. Young	4	33%	2.0 / 6
T. Battie	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+10

-10

PHI

+11

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.06 52.9%

PHI

1.09 54.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	105.3 103.9	ATL 105.9 PHI 109.2 +3.3
Pace	89.9 89.8	ATL 87.5 +2.9 PHI 84.6
Avg. Poss. Time	15.8 15.9	ATL 16.5 +0.6 PHI 17.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	50.0% 48.0%	ATL 50.0% PHI 51.9% +1.9%
TO %	14.5% 11.9%	ATL 10.7% +0.7% PHI 11.4%
ORB %	23.9% 24.5%	ATL 17.9% PHI 24.3% +6.4%
FTrt	25.9 21.7	ATL 29.7 +5.0 PHI 24.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	61.0% 58.8%	ATL 57.1% PHI 67.6% +10.5%
STL %	8.8% 8.9%	ATL 8.2% +3.6% PHI 4.6%
BLK %	7.2% 8.0%	ATL 3.1% PHI 6.7% +3.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.31 and 3.31.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	52.1% 49.8%	ATL 52.9% PHI 54.6% +1.7%
Rim FG%	60.0% 57.6%	ATL 61.1% PHI 68.8% +7.7%
Mid FG%	38.2% 40.1%	ATL 47.6% +6.8% PHI 40.8%
3P %	37.0% 36.2%	ATL 28.6% PHI 50.0% +21.4%
FT %	74.0% 74.2%	ATL 72.7% PHI 78.9% +6.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	34.6% 30.7%	ATL 24.3% +3.5% PHI 20.8%
Mid Att. %	40.6% 51.9%	ATL 56.8% +6.9% PHI 63.6%
3P Att. %	24.9% 17.5%	ATL 18.9% +3.3% PHI 15.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	PHI
Possessions	85	87
Possession Minutes	23.3	24.7
Points	90	95
Rebounds	35	41
Assists	20	25
Steals	7	4
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (3)	9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (3)	32 (0)
Field Goals	35-74	37-77
At-the-Rim FG	11-18	11-16
Midrange FG	20-42	20-49
2-Point FG	31-60	31-65
3-Point FG	4-14	6-12
Free Throws	16-22	15-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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17 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Joe Johnson F · 6'7" 240 · 31	45.2	15	58%	5	2	1	0	2	2	0	5	0-0	-	6-11	55%	1-2	50%
Kirk Hinrich G · 6'4" 190 · 31	40.6	8	50%	3	6	0	1	2	3	0	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-3	0%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 26	36.2	34	77%	9	5	2	1	3	6	3	6	9-11	82%	11-17	65%	1-1	100%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 24	31.9	8	36%	0	4	1	0	2	1	0	0	4-6	67%	2-7	29%	0-1	0%
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 28	24.3	4	29%	7	0	0	0	0	3	2	5	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 26	27.2	6	33%	3	2	3	0	0	1	1	2	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	1-4	25%
Willie Green G · 6'3" 205 · 31	18.3	8	50%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Ivan Johnson F · 6'8" 255 · 28	16.2	7	70%	6	0	0	0	1	2	1	5	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Jason Collins C · 7'0" 255 · 33
Tracy McGrady G-F · 6'8" 225 · 33
Jerry Stackhouse F · 6'6" 218 · 37
Vladimir Radmanovic F · 6'10" 235 · 31
Erick Dampier C · 6'11" 265 · 37
Jannero Pargo #7 · G · 6'1" 185 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Al Horford #15 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	53%	35	20	7	2	10	0	7	28	16-22	73%	31-60	52%	4-14	29%

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17 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Joe Johnson F · 6'7" 240 · 31	45.2	15	58%	5	2	1	0	2	2	0	5	0-0	-	6-11	55%	1-2	50%
Kirk Hinrich G · 6'4" 190 · 31	40.6	8	50%	3	6	0	1	2	3	0	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-3	0%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 26	36.2	34	77%	9	5	2	1	3	6	3	6	9-11	82%	11-17	65%	1-1	100%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 24	31.9	8	36%	0	4	1	0	2	1	0	0	4-6	67%	2-7	29%	0-1	0%
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 28	24.3	4	29%	7	0	0	0	0	3	2	5	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 26	27.2	6	33%	3	2	3	0	0	1	1	2	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	1-4	25%
Willie Green G · 6'3" 205 · 31	18.3	8	50%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Ivan Johnson F · 6'8" 255 · 28	16.2	7	70%	6	0	0	0	1	2	1	5	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Jason Collins C · 7'0" 255 · 33
Tracy McGrady G-F · 6'8" 225 · 33
Jerry Stackhouse F · 6'6" 218 · 37
Vladimir Radmanovic F · 6'10" 235 · 31
Erick Dampier C · 6'11" 265 · 37
Jannero Pargo #7 · G · 6'1" 185 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Al Horford #15 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	53%	35	20	7	2	10	0	7	28	16-22	73%	31-60	52%	4-14	29%

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11 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andre Iguodala F · 6'6" 215 · 28	42.8	18	64%	8	4	0	1	3	2	0	8	3-4	75%	3-8	38%	3-4	75%
Elton Brand F · 6'9" 254 · 33	37.3	25	89%	10	5	0	3	1	5	4	6	5-6	83%	10-12	83%	0-0	-
Jrue Holiday G · 6'4" 205 · 22	30.4	9	41%	8	6	1	0	1	2	2	6	0-0	-	3-9	33%	1-2	50%
Evan Turner G · 6'7" 220 · 23	30.1	13	46%	3	4	2	0	1	1	1	2	1-2	50%	6-13	46%	0-0	-
Spencer Hawes C · 7'1" 245 · 24	26.5	8	44%	8	0	1	0	4	3	2	6	4-4	100%	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Jodie Meeks G · 6'4" 210 · 25	28.6	12	67%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-6	33%
Thaddeus Young F · 6'8" 230 · 24	20.6	4	33%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Lou Williams G · 6'1" 175 · 25	16.6	6	43%	0	3	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-1	0%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Tony Battie C · 6'11" 240 · 36	7.0	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Sam Young F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Nikola Vucevic C · 6'10" 260 · 21
Lavoy Allen F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23
Craig Brackins F · 6'10" 230 · 24
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	55%	41	25	4	4	11	0	9	32	15-19	79%	31-65	48%	6-12	50%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE