for complete access.
All Games Friday, March 30, 2012
FinalWin Prob.pScore
1
Heat
75%101
113
25
Raptors
25%92
101
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
132.98590.5
TOR logo TOR
117.48681.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA113
100%
101
0%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIABosh 1' Driving Slam Dunk (30 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)113
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0TORBargnani 17' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)111
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0TORAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)111
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0TORMISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot111
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)111
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Bosh 2' Alley Oop Dunk111
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0TORDeRozan 2' Driving Layup (28 PTS) (Calderon 16 AST)111
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 1:03MIAWade 1' Driving Dunk (30 PTS)111
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 1:18MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)109
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 1:20TORMISS Calderon 8' Pullup Jump Shot109
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 1:39MIABosh 2' Putback Dunk (28 PTS)109
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 1:39MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)107
99.8%
97
0.2%
Q4 - 1:39MIAMISS Chalmers 7' Driving Jump Shot107
99.7%
97
0.3%
Q4 - 2:02TORDeRozan 7' Driving Hook Shot (26 PTS)107
99.8%
97
0.2%
Q4 - 2:13MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)107
99.8%
95
0.2%
Q4 - 2:13MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)106
99.8%
95
0.2%
Q4 - 2:34TORJohnson 2' Tip Shot (12 PTS)105
99.8%
95
0.2%
Q4 - 2:36TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)105
99.8%
93
0.2%
Q4 - 2:38TORMISS Calderon 2' Driving Reverse Layup105
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 3:02MIAWade 1' Driving Slam Dunk (28 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)105
99.7%
93
0.3%
Q4 - 3:06TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)103
99.6%
93
0.4%
Q4 - 3:39MIABosh 1' Dunk (26 PTS) (James 9 AST)103
98.7%
93
1.3%
Q4 - 3:59MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)101
98.2%
93
1.8%
Q4 - 4:00TORMISS DeRozan 14' Jump Shot101
98.0%
93
2.0%
Q4 - 4:15MIABosh 1' Layup (24 PTS)101
97.4%
93
2.6%
Q4 - 4:17MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)99
96.4%
93
3.6%
Q4 - 4:19MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup99
95.2%
93
4.8%
Q4 - 4:41TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)99
96.4%
93
3.6%
Q4 - 4:41TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)99
96.7%
92
3.3%
Q4 - 5:03MIAWade 7' Pullup Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)99
96.3%
91
3.7%
Q4 - 5:26TORCalderon 10' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)97
95.1%
91
4.9%
Q4 - 5:48MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)97
96.4%
89
3.6%
Q4 - 5:59MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
93.4%
89
6.6%
Q4 - 6:00TORMISS DeRozan 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
92.7%
89
7.3%
Q4 - 6:16TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)94
89.9%
89
10.1%
Q4 - 6:17MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot94
90.7%
89
9.3%
Q4 - 6:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)94
92.5%
89
7.5%
Q4 - 6:29TORMISS Johnson 5' Hook Shot94
91.8%
89
8.2%
Q4 - 6:45MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)94
89.9%
89
10.1%
Q4 - 6:45MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)93
89.5%
89
10.5%
Q4 - 6:58TORJohnson Foul Turnover (P4.T15)92
87.0%
89
13.0%
Q4 - 7:13TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)92
83.0%
89
17.0%
Q4 - 7:14MIAMISS Wade 9' Driving Jump Shot92
84.3%
89
15.7%
Q4 - 7:28TORJohnson Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P3.T14)92
86.8%
89
13.2%
Q4 - 7:45TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)92
83.0%
89
17.0%
Q4 - 7:48MIAMISS Bosh 3' Driving Layup92
84.3%
89
15.7%
Q4 - 7:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)92
86.8%
89
13.2%
Q4 - 7:58MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot92
84.3%
89
15.7%
Q4 - 8:10TORJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)92
86.2%
89
13.8%
Q4 - 8:33MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)92
82.9%
89
17.1%
Q4 - 8:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)91
82.2%
89
17.8%
Q4 - 8:33MIACole Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)90
78.9%
89
21.1%
Q4 - 8:59TORJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Calderon 15 AST)89
74.3%
89
25.7%
Q4 - 9:14MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)89
82.5%
86
17.5%
Q4 - 9:14MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)88
81.9%
86
18.1%
Q4 - 9:27MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
78.7%
86
21.3%
Q4 - 9:30TORMISS Forbes 2' Driving Layup87
77.5%
86
22.5%
Q4 - 9:33TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)87
74.5%
86
25.5%
Q4 - 9:36MIAJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)87
75.8%
86
24.2%
Q4 - 9:56TORBargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Calderon 14 AST)87
78.7%
86
21.3%
Q4 - 10:10TORRAPTORS Rebound87
85.1%
83
14.9%
Q4 - 10:11TORMISS Forbes 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
87.0%
83
13.0%
Q4 - 10:32MIACole 2' Driving Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)87
85.1%
83
14.9%
Q4 - 10:45MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
82.1%
83
17.9%
Q4 - 10:46MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
79.6%
83
20.4%
Q4 - 10:55MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
82.1%
83
17.9%
Q4 - 10:56TORMISS Calderon 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
81.0%
83
19.0%
Q4 - 11:15TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)85
78.2%
83
21.8%
Q4 - 11:16TORMISS DeRozan 20' Pullup Jump Shot85
80.6%
83
19.4%
Q4 - 11:42MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS)85
78.2%
83
21.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR83
74.2%
83
25.8%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIACole 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 8 AST)83
70.7%
83
29.3%
Q3 - 0:33.0TORBargnani 15' Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Calderon 13 AST)80
61.2%
83
38.8%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAAnthony 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)80
66.2%
81
33.8%
Q3 - 1:13TORJohnson 5' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Calderon 12 AST)80
70.8%
81
29.2%
Q3 - 1:29TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
74.8%
79
25.2%
Q3 - 1:30MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot80
75.9%
79
24.1%
Q3 - 1:59TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Calderon 11 AST)80
78.2%
79
21.8%
Q3 - 2:16MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (24 PTS)80
84.0%
76
16.0%
Q3 - 2:40TORBargnani Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)78
81.4%
76
18.6%
Q3 - 2:51MIAJames 10' Running Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)78
78.3%
76
21.7%
Q3 - 3:00TORDeRozan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)76
75.0%
76
25.0%
Q3 - 3:17TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
72.2%
76
27.8%
Q3 - 3:18MIAMISS Harris 2' Running Reverse Layup76
73.4%
76
26.6%
Q3 - 3:29TORDeRozan 2' Driving Layup (22 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST)76
75.8%
76
24.2%
Q3 - 3:39MIACalderon STEAL (1 STL)76
78.8%
74
21.2%
Q3 - 3:53TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)76
81.7%
74
18.3%
Q3 - 3:53TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)76
82.2%
73
17.8%
Q3 - 4:08MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 7 AST)76
83.8%
72
16.2%
Q3 - 4:31TORJohnson 3' Layup (4 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)73
79.1%
72
20.9%
Q3 - 4:58MIAJames 4' Hook Shot (20 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)73
81.4%
70
18.6%
Q3 - 5:11TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)71
78.9%
70
21.1%
Q3 - 5:11TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)71
79.3%
69
20.7%
Q3 - 5:26MIABosh Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T6)71
81.3%
68
18.7%
Q3 - 5:36TORDeRozan 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Calderon 10 AST)71
83.9%
68
16.1%
Q3 - 5:58MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)71
85.8%
66
14.2%
Q3 - 5:58MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)70
85.5%
66
14.5%
Q3 - 6:13MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
84.0%
66
16.0%
Q3 - 6:14TORMISS Bargnani 17' Step Back Jump Shot69
83.3%
66
16.7%
Q3 - 6:35TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
81.5%
66
18.5%
Q3 - 6:36MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
82.3%
66
17.7%
Q3 - 6:50TORBargnani 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Calderon 9 AST)69
84.0%
66
16.0%
Q3 - 7:09TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
87.2%
63
12.8%
Q3 - 7:10MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot69
87.8%
63
12.2%
Q3 - 7:22TORKleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)69
89.0%
63
11.0%
Q3 - 7:22TORKleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)69
89.3%
62
10.7%
Q3 - 7:40MIAWade 2' Alley Oop Layup (17 PTS) (James 6 AST)69
90.3%
61
9.7%
Q3 - 7:46MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
89.0%
61
11.0%
Q3 - 7:47TORMISS Kleiza 20' Jump Shot67
88.5%
61
11.5%
Q3 - 8:06MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)67
87.2%
61
12.8%
Q3 - 8:18TORBargnani 19' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)65
85.6%
61
14.4%
Q3 - 8:42MIAJames 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (18 PTS)65
87.2%
59
12.8%
Q3 - 8:56TORDeRozan 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Calderon 8 AST)63
85.5%
59
14.5%
Q3 - 9:11TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)63
87.2%
57
12.8%
Q3 - 9:12MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot63
87.7%
57
12.3%
Q3 - 9:35TORJohnson 1' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)63
88.8%
57
11.2%
Q3 - 9:45TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
90.2%
55
9.8%
Q3 - 9:47MIAMISS Wade 14' Step Back Jump Shot63
90.6%
55
9.4%
Q3 - 10:09TORBargnani 14' Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)63
91.4%
55
8.6%
Q3 - 10:30MIABosh 2' Running Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)63
92.4%
53
7.6%
Q3 - 10:50TORJohnson 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)61
91.4%
53
8.6%
Q3 - 10:58TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)61
92.4%
51
7.6%
Q3 - 10:59TORMISS Bargnani 19' Pullup Jump Shot61
93.1%
51
6.9%
Q3 - 11:25MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)61
92.3%
51
7.7%
Q3 - 11:30TORJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)59
91.4%
51
8.6%
Q3 - 11:38TORRAPTORS Rebound59
90.1%
51
9.9%
Q3 - 11:39TORMISS Kleiza 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
91.0%
51
9.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR59
90.1%
51
9.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound59
90.1%
51
9.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORMISS DeRozan 21' Running Jump Shot59
91.0%
51
9.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)59
90.1%
51
9.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)58
89.8%
51
10.2%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAHeat Rebound57
88.5%
51
11.5%
Q2 - 0:19.0TORMISS Calderon 2' Driving Layup57
88.2%
51
11.8%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAJames 11' Turnaround Bank Shot (12 PTS)57
87.5%
51
12.5%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
85.5%
51
14.5%
Q2 - 0:48.0TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
85.2%
51
14.8%
Q2 - 1:08MIATuriaf 2' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)55
84.3%
51
15.7%
Q2 - 1:27TORBargnani 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)53
81.9%
51
18.1%
Q2 - 1:47MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)53
84.3%
49
15.7%
Q2 - 2:00TORBargnani 20' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)51
81.9%
49
18.1%
Q2 - 2:17MIAJames 6' Driving Hook Shot (10 PTS)51
84.0%
47
16.0%
Q2 - 2:34TORDavis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)49
82.3%
47
17.7%
Q2 - 2:50MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)49
80.4%
47
19.6%
Q2 - 2:50MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)48
80.0%
47
20.0%
Q2 - 3:07TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)47
79.0%
47
21.0%
Q2 - 3:07TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)47
79.3%
46
20.7%
Q2 - 3:23TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
80.6%
45
19.4%
Q2 - 3:25MIAMISS Turiaf 5' Driving Jump Shot47
81.3%
45
18.7%
Q2 - 3:44TORAnderson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)47
82.7%
45
17.3%
Q2 - 3:47TORAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
80.6%
45
19.4%
Q2 - 3:48MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 247
80.9%
45
19.1%
Q2 - 3:48MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 247
82.1%
45
17.9%
Q2 - 4:10TORAnderson 3' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)47
82.7%
45
17.3%
Q2 - 4:13TORAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)47
84.2%
43
15.8%
Q2 - 4:14TORMISS DeRozan 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
85.4%
43
14.6%
Q2 - 4:43MIAJames 1' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)47
84.2%
43
15.8%
Q2 - 4:54TORCalderon 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)45
82.7%
43
17.3%
Q2 - 5:00MIABosh 5' Alley Oop Layup (14 PTS) (James 5 AST)45
84.2%
41
15.8%
Q2 - 5:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)43
82.8%
41
17.2%
Q2 - 5:09TORMISS Bargnani 16' Pullup Jump Shot43
82.3%
41
17.7%
Q2 - 5:28MIAWade 1' Driving Slam Dunk (13 PTS)43
81.1%
41
18.9%
Q2 - 5:46MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
79.2%
41
20.8%
Q2 - 5:48TORMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
78.6%
41
21.4%
Q2 - 6:08MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 4 AST)41
77.1%
41
22.9%
Q2 - 6:23TORDeRozan 1' Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)39
75.5%
41
24.5%
Q2 - 6:28MIAAnderson STEAL (1 STL)39
77.2%
39
22.8%
Q2 - 6:34MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
79.4%
39
20.6%
Q2 - 6:35MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
77.9%
39
22.1%
Q2 - 6:50TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
79.4%
39
20.6%
Q2 - 6:50TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
79.7%
38
20.3%
Q2 - 7:00TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)39
80.9%
37
19.1%
Q2 - 7:02MIABargnani BLOCK (1 BLK)39
81.8%
37
18.2%
Q2 - 7:19TORJohnson 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)39
83.0%
37
17.0%
Q2 - 7:50MIAWade 1' Driving Slam Dunk (11 PTS)39
84.3%
35
15.7%
Q2 - 7:54TORUzoh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)37
83.0%
35
17.0%
Q2 - 8:17MIAHarris 2' Running Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)37
81.3%
35
18.7%
Q2 - 8:32TORBargnani 16' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Uzoh 2 AST)35
79.7%
35
20.3%
Q2 - 8:47TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
81.3%
33
18.7%
Q2 - 8:48MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot35
81.8%
33
18.2%
Q2 - 9:04TORJohnson 1' Putback Slam Dunk (4 PTS)35
82.9%
33
17.1%
Q2 - 9:07TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)35
84.3%
31
15.7%
Q2 - 9:08TORMISS Bargnani 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup35
85.2%
31
14.8%
Q2 - 9:21TORRAPTORS Rebound35
84.3%
31
15.7%
Q2 - 9:21TORMISS Uzoh 4' Driving Layup35
85.2%
31
14.8%
Q2 - 9:26MIAUzoh STEAL (1 STL)35
84.3%
31
15.7%
Q2 - 9:38MIAMISS Wade Free Throw Technical35
85.7%
31
14.3%
Q2 - 9:52MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
85.7%
31
14.3%
Q2 - 9:54TORMISS Johnson 6' Driving Jump Shot35
85.2%
31
14.8%
Q2 - 10:11TORForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
83.9%
31
16.1%
Q2 - 10:12MIADavis BLOCK (1 BLK)35
84.4%
31
15.6%
Q2 - 10:28TORForbes 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Uzoh 1 AST)35
85.4%
31
14.6%
Q2 - 10:44MIAHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)35
86.5%
29
13.5%
Q2 - 10:57MIAHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
84.1%
29
15.9%
Q2 - 10:58TORMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot32
83.7%
29
16.3%
Q2 - 11:04MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)32
82.4%
29
17.6%
Q2 - 11:09TORJohnson 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)32
83.8%
29
16.2%
Q2 - 11:31TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)32
85.1%
27
14.9%
Q2 - 11:32MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 232
85.2%
27
14.8%
Q2 - 11:32MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)32
86.1%
27
13.9%
Q2 - 11:39TORJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)31
85.1%
27
14.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA31
83.8%
27
16.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound31
85.1%
27
14.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot31
84.2%
27
15.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)31
85.1%
27
14.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)31
84.2%
27
15.8%
Q1 - 0:18.0TORForbes Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)31
84.8%
27
15.2%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAJames 1' Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)31
87.4%
24
12.6%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
86.0%
24
14.0%
Q1 - 0:42.0TORMISS Uzoh 2' Driving Layup29
85.7%
24
14.3%
Q1 - 1:04TORRAPTORS Rebound29
85.1%
24
14.9%
Q1 - 1:04MIAMISS Battier 4' Running Tip Shot29
85.4%
24
14.6%
Q1 - 1:05MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
86.0%
24
14.0%
Q1 - 1:06MIAMISS James 6' Driving Jump Shot29
85.4%
24
14.6%
Q1 - 1:25TORJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T5)29
85.9%
24
14.1%
Q1 - 1:35MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)29
85.1%
24
14.9%
Q1 - 1:53TORDeRozan 18' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)29
85.9%
24
14.1%
Q1 - 2:09TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
87.2%
22
12.8%
Q1 - 2:10MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Finger Roll Layup29
87.5%
22
12.5%
Q1 - 2:34TORJohnson 1' Putback Slam Dunk (2 PTS)29
88.1%
22
11.9%
Q1 - 2:36TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)29
89.1%
20
10.9%
Q1 - 2:37TORMISS DeRozan 13' Jump Shot29
89.7%
20
10.3%
Q1 - 2:52MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)29
89.1%
20
10.9%
Q1 - 3:09TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)26
87.4%
20
12.6%
Q1 - 3:09TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)26
87.5%
19
12.5%
Q1 - 3:12MIADeRozan STEAL (1 STL)26
88.3%
18
11.7%
Q1 - 3:33TORForbes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)26
89.2%
18
10.8%
Q1 - 3:45TORRAPTORS Rebound26
90.8%
15
9.2%
Q1 - 3:46MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot26
91.0%
15
9.0%
Q1 - 4:06TORDeRozan Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)26
91.5%
15
8.5%
Q1 - 4:24TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
90.7%
15
9.3%
Q1 - 4:25MIAMISS James 12' Jump Bank Shot26
91.0%
15
9.0%
Q1 - 4:41TORDeRozan 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)26
91.5%
15
8.5%
Q1 - 4:50MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)26
92.1%
13
7.9%
Q1 - 4:50MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)25
92.0%
13
8.0%
Q1 - 4:59TORCalderon 20' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)24
91.5%
13
8.5%
Q1 - 5:10MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)24
91.6%
11
8.4%
Q1 - 5:28TORCalderon Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)22
91.0%
11
9.0%
Q1 - 5:28TORMISS Calderon Free Throw 1 of 222
91.1%
10
8.9%
Q1 - 5:35TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
91.0%
10
9.0%
Q1 - 5:36MIAMISS James 5' Turnaround Hook Shot22
91.2%
10
8.8%
Q1 - 5:48TORDavis 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)22
91.7%
10
8.3%
Q1 - 5:51TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
92.3%
8
7.7%
Q1 - 5:53TORMISS Johnson 3' Running Layup22
92.7%
8
7.3%
Q1 - 6:13MIAChalmers 21' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
92.1%
8
7.9%
Q1 - 6:26TORCalderon 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)20
91.5%
8
8.5%
Q1 - 6:38MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)20
92.1%
6
7.9%
Q1 - 6:38MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)19
92.0%
6
8.0%
Q1 - 6:49TORKleiza 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)18
91.5%
6
8.5%
Q1 - 7:05MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)18
91.9%
4
8.1%
Q1 - 7:14TORDeRozan 21' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kleiza 1 AST)16
91.3%
4
8.7%
Q1 - 7:20TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
91.9%
2
8.1%
Q1 - 7:21TORMISS Bargnani 9' Fadeaway Jumper16
92.3%
2
7.7%
Q1 - 7:35MIAWade 1' Putback Dunk (6 PTS)16
91.9%
2
8.1%
Q1 - 7:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)14
91.3%
2
8.7%
Q1 - 7:39MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot14
90.8%
2
9.2%
Q1 - 7:55MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
91.4%
2
8.6%
Q1 - 7:56MIAMISS Wade 2' Putback Dunk14
90.9%
2
9.1%
Q1 - 7:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
91.4%
2
8.6%
Q1 - 7:59MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup14
90.9%
2
9.1%
Q1 - 8:19TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)14
91.4%
2
8.6%
Q1 - 8:35MIABosh 1' Running Dunk (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)14
90.7%
2
9.3%
Q1 - 8:46MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
90.1%
2
9.9%
Q1 - 8:47TORMISS DeRozan 21' Jump Shot12
89.8%
2
10.2%
Q1 - 8:59MIABosh 3' Layup (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)12
89.3%
2
10.7%
Q1 - 9:11TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
88.6%
2
11.4%
Q1 - 9:11TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
88.8%
1
11.2%
Q1 - 9:25MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)10
89.4%
0
10.6%
Q1 - 9:31TORBargnani Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
88.6%
0
11.4%
Q1 - 9:49MIAJames 5' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)8
87.9%
0
12.1%
Q1 - 9:55TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
87.0%
0
13.0%
Q1 - 10:13MIAChalmers 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
85.9%
0
14.1%
Q1 - 10:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
85.2%
0
14.8%
Q1 - 10:27TORMISS Bargnani 3' Driving Layup4
84.8%
0
15.2%
Q1 - 10:41MIAWade 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)4
84.1%
0
15.9%
Q1 - 10:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
83.3%
0
16.7%
Q1 - 10:44MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup2
82.5%
0
17.5%
Q1 - 10:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
83.3%
0
16.7%
Q1 - 11:00TORMISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
82.9%
0
17.1%
Q1 - 11:16TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
82.3%
0
17.7%
Q1 - 11:17MIAMISS Bosh 2' Running Finger Roll Layup2
82.6%
0
17.4%
Q1 - 11:26MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
83.2%
0
16.8%
Q1 - 11:28TORMISS Gray 5' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot2
82.9%
0
17.1%
Q1 - 11:46MIABosh 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
82.3%
0
17.7%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Bargnani vs. Anthony: Tip to Bosh0
81.2%
0
18.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.26 62.8%
TOR
1.22 60.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
28
42
67%
TOR
16
26
62%
Midrange
MIA
11
21
52%
TOR
18
32
56%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
TOR
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
Free Throws
MIA
20
24
83%
TOR
18
19
95%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3068%15.0 / 22
C. Bosh3068%15.0 / 22
L. James2662%13.0 / 21
M. Chalmers1478%7.0 / 9
N. Cole6100%3.0 / 3
T. Harris583%2.5 / 3
R. Turiaf233%1.0 / 3
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 0
S. Battier0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan2864%14.0 / 22
A. Bargnani2771%13.5 / 19
A. Johnson1275%6.0 / 8
J. Calderon950%4.5 / 9
J. Johnson975%4.5 / 6
G. Forbes880%4.0 / 5
L. Kleiza433%2.0 / 6
E. Davis2100%1.0 / 1
A. Anderson250%1.0 / 2
A. Gray0-0.0 / 1
B. Uzoh0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+12
-8
89
TOR
70
+13
-16
83
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.26 62.8%
TOR
1.22 60.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
100.5
MIA 132.9 +15.5
TOR 117.4
Pace
91.3
89.6
MIA 90.5 +9.4
TOR 81.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.6
MIA 15.9 +1.8
TOR 17.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.5%
47.5%
MIA 60.4% +2.8%
TOR 57.6%
TO %
15.9%
16.1%
MIA 8.4% +8.2%
TOR 16.6%
ORB %
26.6%
26.0%
MIA 34.4% +2.3%
TOR 32.1%
FTrt
30.7
27.4
MIA 31.2 +4.8
TOR 26.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.8%
60.9%
MIA 59.1%
TOR 69.2% +10.1%
STL %
9.6%
7.2%
MIA 12.9% +7.1%
TOR 5.8%
BLK %
9.0%
8.2%
MIA 8.6% +2.3%
TOR 6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
50.2%
MIA 62.8% +2.0%
TOR 60.8%
Rim FG%
61.1%
59.1%
MIA 66.7% +5.2%
TOR 61.5%
Mid FG%
40.0%
37.2%
MIA 52.4%
TOR 56.3% +3.9%
3P %
35.9%
34.0%
MIA 35.7%
TOR 35.7%
FT %
77.5%
77.0%
MIA 83.3%
TOR 94.7% +11.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
34.1%
MIA 54.5% +18.4%
TOR 36.1%
Mid Att. %
43.6%
45.1%
MIA 27.3% +17.2%
TOR 44.4%
3P Att. %
19.8%
20.9%
MIA 18.2%
TOR 19.4% +1.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions8586
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points113101
Rebounds3030
Assists2627
Steals115
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (1)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)19 (1)21 (2)
Field Goals44-7739-72
At-the-Rim FG28-4216-26
Midrange FG11-2118-32
2-Point FG39-6334-58
3-Point FG5-145-14
Free Throws20-2418-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
1 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 27
38.5
26
62%
4
9
1
0
3
0
1
3
4-6
67%
11-16
69%
0-2
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30
36.2
30
68%
6
6
3
1
0
1
4
2
5-7
71%
11-17
65%
1-2
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28
36.0
30
68%
8
3
1
3
2
1
3
5
8-8
100%
11-18
61%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26
31.0
14
78%
3
5
2
0
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
2-3
67%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30
27.4
0
0%
1
0
1
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34
24.6
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
4
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-4
0%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
17.0
6
100%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29
16.8
2
33%
3
0
2
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 25
12.4
5
83%
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 39
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 29
Mike Miller
#13 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Udonis Haslem
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
113
63%
30
26
11
5
8
0
11
19
20-24
83%
39-63
62%
5-14
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.