FinalWin Prob.pScore
1956%102
96
2444%100
105
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
104.392105.4
TOR logo TOR
112.99382.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENTOR
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR96
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)96
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0DENLawson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)96
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)96
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 296
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 296
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)96
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot96
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0TORKleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)96
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 0:39.0TORKleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)96
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 0:40.0TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)96
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 0:42.0DENMISS Chandler 9' Floating Jump Shot96
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 0:54.0DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)96
1.6%
103
98.4%
Q4 - 0:55.0TORMISS Kleiza 3PT Jump Shot96
1.4%
103
98.6%
Q4 - 1:16TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)96
1.5%
103
98.5%
Q4 - 1:18DENMISS Lawson 20' Pullup Jump Shot96
1.9%
103
98.1%
Q4 - 1:24DENLawson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)96
3.3%
103
96.7%
Q4 - 1:25TORMISS Johnson 5' Jump Hook Shot96
2.8%
103
97.2%
Q4 - 1:45TORMISS Calderon Free Throw Technical96
2.7%
103
97.3%
Q4 - 1:46TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
2.8%
103
97.2%
Q4 - 1:47DENMISS Afflalo 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup96
3.3%
103
96.7%
Q4 - 1:51DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)96
4.8%
103
95.2%
Q4 - 1:52TORMISS DeRozan 21' Jump Shot96
4.1%
103
95.9%
Q4 - 2:12TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)96
2.6%
103
97.4%
Q4 - 2:13DENMISS Afflalo 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup96
3.1%
103
96.9%
Q4 - 2:22DENLawson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)96
5.0%
103
95.0%
Q4 - 2:23DENMISS Chandler 14' Pullup Jump Shot96
3.1%
103
96.9%
Q4 - 2:35TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS)96
5.0%
103
95.0%
Q4 - 2:59TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)96
13.3%
100
86.7%
Q4 - 3:00DENMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
15.5%
100
84.5%
Q4 - 3:21TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)96
21.7%
100
78.3%
Q4 - 3:21TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)96
22.8%
99
77.2%
Q4 - 3:35DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)96
33.1%
98
66.9%
Q4 - 3:35DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)95
31.7%
98
68.3%
Q4 - 3:45DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)94
25.7%
98
74.3%
Q4 - 3:47TORMISS Davis 6' Turnaround Hook Shot94
23.3%
98
76.7%
Q4 - 4:01DENBargnani STEAL (1 STL)94
18.2%
98
81.8%
Q4 - 4:10DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)94
25.1%
98
74.9%
Q4 - 4:12TORMISS DeRozan 14' Pullup Jump Shot94
22.8%
98
77.2%
Q4 - 4:30TORForbes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)94
17.9%
98
82.1%
Q4 - 4:31DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
19.8%
98
80.2%
Q4 - 4:49TORBargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Calderon 10 AST)94
24.8%
98
75.2%
Q4 - 5:14TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)94
43.2%
95
56.8%
Q4 - 5:15DENMISS Afflalo 10' Fadeaway Jumper94
45.9%
95
54.1%
Q4 - 5:31TORBargnani 15' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS) (Calderon 9 AST)94
52.1%
95
47.9%
Q4 - 5:43TORForbes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)94
59.9%
93
40.1%
Q4 - 5:45TORMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
65.8%
93
34.2%
Q4 - 6:04TORForbes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)94
59.9%
93
40.1%
Q4 - 6:05DENMISS Chandler 15' Jump Shot94
62.2%
93
37.8%
Q4 - 6:24TORForbes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Calderon 8 AST)94
67.3%
93
32.7%
Q4 - 6:38TORDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)94
78.8%
90
21.2%
Q4 - 6:40DENMISS Lawson 16' Step Back Jump Shot94
80.4%
90
19.6%
Q4 - 6:55DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)94
83.7%
90
16.3%
Q4 - 6:56TORMISS Anderson 15' Pullup Jump Shot94
82.3%
90
17.7%
Q4 - 7:17TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)94
77.6%
90
22.4%
Q4 - 7:20DENBargnani BLOCK (1 BLK)94
79.2%
90
20.8%
Q4 - 7:29DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)94
82.4%
90
17.6%
Q4 - 7:31TORMISS Forbes 2' Driving Layup94
81.1%
90
18.9%
Q4 - 7:38TORForbes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)94
77.7%
90
22.3%
Q4 - 7:40DENMISS Chandler 8' Driving Hook Shot94
79.2%
90
20.8%
Q4 - 8:08TORUzoh 3' Driving Hook Shot (5 PTS)94
80.9%
90
19.1%
Q4 - 8:27DENMiller 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS)94
84.7%
88
15.3%
Q4 - 8:42DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)92
81.0%
88
19.0%
Q4 - 8:43TORMISS Forbes 21' Jump Shot92
79.8%
88
20.2%
Q4 - 8:57TORForbes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)92
76.8%
88
23.2%
Q4 - 8:58DENMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 292
77.4%
88
22.6%
Q4 - 8:58DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)92
80.1%
88
19.9%
Q4 - 9:15TORAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)91
75.5%
88
24.5%
Q4 - 9:15TORAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)91
75.9%
87
24.1%
Q4 - 9:36DENHarrington 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)91
79.8%
86
20.2%
Q4 - 9:53DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)89
75.6%
86
24.4%
Q4 - 9:54TORMISS Davis 10' Jump Shot89
74.2%
86
25.8%
Q4 - 10:09DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)89
70.1%
86
29.9%
Q4 - 10:09DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)88
68.9%
86
31.1%
Q4 - 10:09DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)87
65.1%
86
34.9%
Q4 - 10:11DENMISS Harrington 2' Driving Layup87
61.5%
86
38.5%
Q4 - 10:20TORDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)87
65.1%
86
34.9%
Q4 - 10:39DENAfflalo 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)87
59.9%
86
40.1%
Q4 - 10:46TORUzoh Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)85
54.3%
86
45.7%
Q4 - 10:46TORMISS Uzoh Free Throw 1 of 285
55.8%
85
44.2%
Q4 - 10:55DENMiller Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)85
54.3%
85
45.7%
Q4 - 11:14DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
59.5%
85
40.5%
Q4 - 11:15TORMISS Uzoh 6' Turnaround Bank Shot85
57.9%
85
42.1%
Q4 - 11:21TORDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)85
54.4%
85
45.6%
Q4 - 11:22TORMISS Anderson 19' Jump Shot85
58.0%
85
42.0%
Q4 - 11:36TORForbes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)85
54.4%
85
45.6%
Q4 - 11:37DENMISS Afflalo 8' Floating Jump Shot85
56.0%
85
44.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN85
59.5%
85
40.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0TORUzoh 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)85
59.3%
85
40.7%
Q3 - 0:06.0DENDavis STEAL (1 STL)85
64.5%
83
35.5%
Q3 - 0:08.0DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)85
68.7%
83
31.3%
Q3 - 0:09.0TORMISS DeRozan 14' Pullup Jump Shot85
67.4%
83
32.6%
Q3 - 0:24.0TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)85
64.5%
83
35.5%
Q3 - 0:25.0DENMISS Mozgov Dunk85
65.8%
83
34.2%
Q3 - 0:34.0TORAnderson 1' Putback Dunk (5 PTS)85
68.7%
83
31.3%
Q3 - 0:34.0TORAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)85
73.2%
81
26.8%
Q3 - 0:34.0TORMISS Davis 9' Turnaround Hook Shot85
75.7%
81
24.3%
Q3 - 0:37.0TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)85
73.2%
81
26.8%
Q3 - 0:38.0TORMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
75.7%
81
24.3%
Q3 - 0:46.0TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)85
73.2%
81
26.8%
Q3 - 0:47.0DENMISS Lawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
74.3%
81
25.7%
Q3 - 1:03TORDavis 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)85
76.1%
81
23.9%
Q3 - 1:16TORUzoh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
79.7%
79
20.3%
Q3 - 1:18DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
80.6%
79
19.4%
Q3 - 1:31TORDeRozan Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T9)85
82.5%
79
17.5%
Q3 - 1:46DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)85
79.7%
79
20.3%
Q3 - 1:46DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)84
79.2%
79
20.8%
Q3 - 2:06DENMiller Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)83
75.4%
79
24.6%
Q3 - 2:06TORDavis 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS)82
71.8%
79
28.2%
Q3 - 2:06TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)82
75.3%
77
24.7%
Q3 - 2:06TORMISS DeRozan 1' Tip Shot82
77.7%
77
22.3%
Q3 - 2:07TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)82
75.3%
77
24.7%
Q3 - 2:08TORMISS DeRozan 3' Jump Shot82
77.7%
77
22.3%
Q3 - 2:14TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)82
75.4%
77
24.6%
Q3 - 2:17TORMISS Davis 12' Hook Shot82
77.7%
77
22.3%
Q3 - 2:18TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)82
75.4%
77
24.6%
Q3 - 2:19TORMISS DeRozan 18' Jump Shot82
77.7%
77
22.3%
Q3 - 2:32DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)82
75.4%
77
24.6%
Q3 - 2:32DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)81
74.8%
77
25.2%
Q3 - 2:33DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)80
71.8%
77
28.2%
Q3 - 2:35DENMISS Harrington 2' Driving Layup80
69.1%
77
30.9%
Q3 - 2:53TORAnderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)80
71.8%
77
28.2%
Q3 - 3:11DENChandler 2' Layup (13 PTS) (Lawson 9 AST)80
78.1%
74
21.9%
Q3 - 3:15TORDeRozan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)78
75.1%
74
24.9%
Q3 - 3:29DENLawson 1' Driving Slam Dunk (22 PTS)78
71.4%
74
28.6%
Q3 - 3:43TORDeRozan 14' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)76
67.8%
74
32.2%
Q3 - 3:56DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)76
71.4%
72
28.6%
Q3 - 3:56DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)75
70.8%
72
29.2%
Q3 - 4:05TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)74
67.7%
72
32.3%
Q3 - 4:25DENHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)74
74.2%
69
25.8%
Q3 - 4:25DENMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 273
73.4%
69
26.6%
Q3 - 4:41TORDeRozan 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)73
74.8%
69
25.2%
Q3 - 4:55TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
77.4%
67
22.6%
Q3 - 4:56DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
78.5%
67
21.5%
Q3 - 5:13DENNuggets Rebound73
79.9%
67
20.1%
Q3 - 5:13TORMISS Kleiza 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
78.9%
67
21.1%
Q3 - 5:28TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
76.8%
67
23.2%
Q3 - 5:30TORMISS Bargnani 22' Jump Shot73
79.0%
67
21.0%
Q3 - 5:52DENMcGee 1' Driving Slam Dunk (8 PTS)73
76.8%
67
23.2%
Q3 - 5:56TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)71
74.0%
67
26.0%
Q3 - 6:13DENFaried 1' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)71
70.0%
67
30.0%
Q3 - 6:29TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)69
66.8%
67
33.2%
Q3 - 6:29TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)69
67.4%
66
32.6%
Q3 - 6:32TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
70.0%
65
30.0%
Q3 - 6:33DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
71.1%
65
28.9%
Q3 - 6:39DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
73.5%
65
26.5%
Q3 - 6:41TORMISS DeRozan 2' Running Layup69
72.5%
65
27.5%
Q3 - 6:56DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)69
70.0%
65
30.0%
Q3 - 6:56DENNuggets Rebound69
73.5%
65
26.5%
Q3 - 6:56DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
71.1%
65
28.9%
Q3 - 7:21TORKleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)69
72.6%
65
27.4%
Q3 - 7:21TORKleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)69
73.4%
64
26.6%
Q3 - 7:44DENLawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)69
75.5%
63
24.5%
Q3 - 7:51TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)66
69.5%
63
30.5%
Q3 - 8:06DENAfflalo Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)66
65.8%
63
34.2%
Q3 - 8:07DENLawson 7' Jump Hook Shot (15 PTS)65
62.3%
63
37.7%
Q3 - 8:15DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
58.9%
63
41.1%
Q3 - 8:16TORMISS Calderon 17' Pullup Jump Shot63
57.8%
63
42.2%
Q3 - 8:26TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)63
55.0%
63
45.0%
Q3 - 8:28TORMISS Kleiza 3PT Jump Shot63
57.7%
63
42.3%
Q3 - 8:44DENChandler 3' Layup (11 PTS)63
55.0%
63
45.0%
Q3 - 8:46DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
51.5%
63
48.5%
Q3 - 8:47DENMISS Chandler 3' Driving Layup61
48.7%
63
51.3%
Q3 - 8:53DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
51.5%
63
48.5%
Q3 - 8:54TORMISS Calderon 15' Jump Shot61
50.3%
63
49.7%
Q3 - 9:08DENChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)61
47.8%
63
52.2%
Q3 - 9:08DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)60
47.2%
63
52.8%
Q3 - 9:12DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
44.3%
63
55.7%
Q3 - 9:13TORMISS Bargnani 1' Reverse Layup59
43.1%
63
56.9%
Q3 - 9:24TORGray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
40.6%
63
59.4%
Q3 - 9:26TORMISS Bargnani 1' Driving Dunk59
43.1%
63
56.9%
Q3 - 9:36TORGray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
40.6%
63
59.4%
Q3 - 9:38DENGray BLOCK (1 BLK)59
41.7%
63
58.3%
Q3 - 9:52TORDeRozan 4' Driving Jump Shot (8 PTS)59
44.3%
63
55.7%
Q3 - 9:56TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
47.8%
61
52.2%
Q3 - 9:57TORMISS DeRozan 15' Jump Shot59
50.4%
61
49.6%
Q3 - 10:15DENLawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)59
48.3%
61
51.7%
Q3 - 10:23DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
41.5%
61
58.5%
Q3 - 10:23TORMISS Kleiza 22' Jump Shot56
40.4%
61
59.6%
Q3 - 10:38DENMcGee Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)56
37.8%
61
62.2%
Q3 - 10:38DENMISS McGee Free Throw 1 of 255
36.6%
61
63.4%
Q3 - 10:52TORKleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (DeRozan 5 AST)55
38.0%
61
62.0%
Q3 - 11:17DENChandler 13' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)55
45.6%
58
54.4%
Q3 - 11:37TORGray 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kleiza 2 AST)53
42.3%
58
57.7%
Q3 - 11:47TORCalderon Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)53
45.5%
56
54.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN53
48.9%
55
51.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORKleiza 35' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bargnani 2 AST)53
52.6%
55
47.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0DENHarrington 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)53
59.8%
52
40.2%
Q2 - 0:05.0DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
55.7%
52
44.3%
Q2 - 0:07.0TORMISS Forbes 6' Jump Shot51
55.0%
52
45.0%
Q2 - 0:18.0DENHarrington 2' Driving Dunk (5 PTS) (Lawson 8 AST)51
53.3%
52
46.7%
Q2 - 0:22.0TORForbes Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)49
49.1%
52
50.9%
Q2 - 0:32.0DENMiller 2' Running Layup (5 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)49
46.7%
52
53.3%
Q2 - 0:36.0DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)47
42.5%
52
57.5%
Q2 - 0:37.0TORMISS DeRozan 12' Turnaround Jump Shot47
41.8%
52
58.2%
Q2 - 0:51.0TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
40.1%
52
59.9%
Q2 - 0:53.0DENJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)47
40.8%
52
59.2%
Q2 - 1:03TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)47
42.9%
52
57.1%
Q2 - 1:03TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 247
43.4%
51
56.6%
Q2 - 1:23DENAfflalo 1' Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)47
43.9%
51
56.1%
Q2 - 1:30TORKleiza 3' Layup (5 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST)45
39.7%
51
60.3%
Q2 - 1:45TORForbes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
43.9%
49
56.1%
Q2 - 1:46DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
44.5%
49
55.5%
Q2 - 2:01DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
47.0%
49
53.0%
Q2 - 2:02TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
46.0%
49
54.0%
Q2 - 2:25DENLawson 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)45
43.8%
49
56.2%
Q2 - 2:35TORBargnani Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)43
40.7%
49
59.3%
Q2 - 2:47TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
37.7%
49
62.3%
Q2 - 2:48TORMISS DeRozan 11' Pullup Jump Shot43
39.8%
49
60.2%
Q2 - 3:01DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)43
38.3%
49
61.7%
Q2 - 3:09DENNuggets Rebound40
33.1%
49
66.9%
Q2 - 3:09TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 240
32.7%
49
67.3%
Q2 - 3:09TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)40
30.9%
49
69.1%
Q2 - 3:18DENDeRozan STEAL (1 STL)40
32.7%
48
67.3%
Q2 - 3:33TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)40
35.8%
48
64.2%
Q2 - 3:33TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)40
36.2%
47
63.8%
Q2 - 3:45DENFaried 2' Slam Dunk (6 PTS)40
38.2%
46
61.8%
Q2 - 3:47DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
35.8%
46
64.2%
Q2 - 3:49DENMISS McGee 6' Driving Hook Shot38
33.6%
46
66.4%
Q2 - 4:05TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)38
36.2%
46
63.8%
Q2 - 4:05TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)38
36.6%
45
63.4%
Q2 - 4:18TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
38.8%
44
61.2%
Q2 - 4:19DENMISS Lawson 19' Jump Shot38
39.7%
44
60.3%
Q2 - 4:36TORJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T3)38
41.9%
44
58.1%
Q2 - 4:43TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
38.8%
44
61.2%
Q2 - 4:44DENMISS Lawson 19' Jump Shot38
39.7%
44
60.3%
Q2 - 4:55TORBargnani 2' Tip Shot (12 PTS)38
41.9%
44
58.1%
Q2 - 4:57TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
44.6%
42
55.4%
Q2 - 4:58TORMISS Johnson 10' Jump Shot38
46.8%
42
53.2%
Q2 - 5:24TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
45.4%
42
54.6%
Q2 - 5:25TORMISS Forbes 3PT Jump Shot38
47.3%
42
52.7%
Q2 - 5:28TORForbes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)38
45.4%
42
54.6%
Q2 - 5:29TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
47.3%
42
52.7%
Q2 - 5:49DENHarrington 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)38
45.4%
42
54.6%
Q2 - 6:05TORCalderon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Forbes 2 AST)35
40.5%
42
59.5%
Q2 - 6:11TORForbes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
45.4%
39
54.6%
Q2 - 6:12DENMISS Miller 5' Driving Hook Shot35
46.5%
39
53.5%
Q2 - 6:19DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)35
48.8%
39
51.2%
Q2 - 6:20TORMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot35
47.7%
39
52.3%
Q2 - 6:38DENLawson 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)35
45.5%
39
54.5%
Q2 - 6:53TORJohnson 2' Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)33
43.1%
39
56.9%
Q2 - 7:12DENLawson 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)33
46.1%
37
53.9%
Q2 - 7:29TORForbes 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (DeRozan 4 AST)31
43.6%
37
56.4%
Q2 - 7:48DENLawson 14' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
48.7%
34
51.3%
Q2 - 8:00DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
46.3%
34
53.7%
Q2 - 8:02TORMISS DeRozan 6' Jump Shot29
45.9%
34
54.1%
Q2 - 8:27DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)29
44.0%
34
56.0%
Q2 - 8:27DENMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 228
43.6%
34
56.4%
Q2 - 8:32DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
44.1%
34
55.9%
Q2 - 8:33TORMISS Davis 15' Jump Shot28
43.3%
34
56.7%
Q2 - 8:56DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)28
41.4%
34
58.6%
Q2 - 9:10TORDeRozan 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
39.5%
34
60.5%
Q2 - 9:28DENBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)26
41.8%
32
58.2%
Q2 - 9:28DENBrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)25
41.2%
32
58.8%
Q2 - 9:41TORAnderson Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)24
39.4%
32
60.6%
Q2 - 9:58DENMozgov 1' Running Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)24
36.9%
32
63.1%
Q2 - 10:03TORBargnani Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)22
35.0%
32
65.0%
Q2 - 10:23DENUzoh STEAL (1 STL)22
32.4%
32
67.6%
Q2 - 10:46TORForbes 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)22
34.9%
32
65.1%
Q2 - 10:53TORForbes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
37.0%
30
63.0%
Q2 - 10:54TORMISS Davis 12' Jump Shot22
38.8%
30
61.2%
Q2 - 11:12TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
37.3%
30
62.7%
Q2 - 11:13DENMISS Brewer 3PT Jump Shot22
38.1%
30
61.9%
Q2 - 11:42TORForbes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Uzoh 1 AST)22
39.8%
30
60.2%
Q2 - 11:49TORMISS Bargnani Free Throw Technical22
44.5%
27
55.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR22
44.4%
27
55.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound22
44.4%
27
55.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS Uzoh 33' 3PT Running Jump Shot22
46.3%
27
53.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENMozgov Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T6)22
45.2%
27
54.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENNuggets Rebound22
47.0%
27
53.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENMISS Harrington 3' Jump Shot22
45.7%
27
54.3%
Q1 - 0:20.0DENNuggets Rebound22
47.0%
27
53.0%
Q1 - 0:22.0TORMISS Kleiza 8' Turnaround Hook Shot22
46.4%
27
53.6%
Q1 - 0:34.0DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)22
45.1%
27
54.9%
Q1 - 0:34.0DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
47.0%
27
53.0%
Q1 - 0:35.0DENMISS Mozgov 2' Layup22
45.7%
27
54.3%
Q1 - 0:37.0DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
47.0%
27
53.0%
Q1 - 0:39.0DENJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)22
45.7%
27
54.3%
Q1 - 0:59.0TORJohnson 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Forbes 1 AST)22
47.0%
27
53.0%
Q1 - 1:12DENMozgov Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)22
50.4%
25
49.6%
Q1 - 1:19DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
52.0%
25
48.0%
Q1 - 1:20TORMISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
51.5%
25
48.5%
Q1 - 1:38DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
50.3%
25
49.7%
Q1 - 1:38DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
49.9%
25
50.1%
Q1 - 1:51DENNuggets Rebound20
47.3%
25
52.7%
Q1 - 1:52TORMISS Kleiza 5' Hook Shot20
46.8%
25
53.2%
Q1 - 2:08TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
45.9%
25
54.1%
Q1 - 2:09DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot20
46.5%
25
53.5%
Q1 - 2:20DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
48.0%
25
52.0%
Q1 - 2:22DENMISS Mozgov 5' Jump Hook Shot20
46.5%
25
53.5%
Q1 - 2:44DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)20
47.9%
25
52.1%
Q1 - 2:46DENMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
46.5%
25
53.5%
Q1 - 2:49DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
47.9%
25
52.1%
Q1 - 2:51DENMISS Miller 12' Jump Shot20
46.5%
25
53.5%
Q1 - 3:11DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
48.5%
25
51.5%
Q1 - 3:12TORMISS DeRozan 18' Jump Shot20
47.7%
25
52.3%
Q1 - 3:24DENBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)20
46.1%
25
53.9%
Q1 - 3:24DENMISS Brewer Free Throw 1 of 219
45.5%
25
54.5%
Q1 - 3:47TORCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kleiza 1 AST)19
46.2%
25
53.8%
Q1 - 4:05TORRAPTORS Rebound19
50.7%
22
49.3%
Q1 - 4:06DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot19
51.4%
22
48.6%
Q1 - 4:27DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
53.0%
22
47.0%
Q1 - 4:28TORMISS Bargnani 20' Jump Shot19
52.3%
22
47.7%
Q1 - 4:42DENMcGee 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (5 PTS)19
50.7%
22
49.3%
Q1 - 4:56DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
48.6%
22
51.4%
Q1 - 4:57TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 217
48.3%
22
51.7%
Q1 - 4:57TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 217
46.8%
22
53.2%
Q1 - 5:12DENAfflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)17
46.4%
22
53.6%
Q1 - 5:23TORCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (DeRozan 3 AST)14
42.5%
22
57.5%
Q1 - 5:37DENMcGee Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)14
46.4%
19
53.6%
Q1 - 5:43DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
42.5%
19
57.5%
Q1 - 5:44TORMISS DeRozan 18' Jump Shot11
41.8%
19
58.2%
Q1 - 5:50TORGray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
40.2%
19
59.8%
Q1 - 5:52DENMISS Faried 5' Jump Hook Shot11
40.9%
19
59.1%
Q1 - 6:02TORGray 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)11
42.9%
19
57.1%
Q1 - 6:22DENFaried 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (McGee 1 AST)11
44.8%
17
55.2%
Q1 - 6:38TORDeRozan 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)9
42.9%
17
57.1%
Q1 - 6:56DENChandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)9
44.7%
15
55.3%
Q1 - 7:11TORBargnani 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)6
41.7%
15
58.3%
Q1 - 7:16TORRAPTORS Rebound6
43.4%
13
56.6%
Q1 - 7:16TORMISS Kleiza 8' Turnaround Jump Shot6
44.9%
13
55.1%
Q1 - 7:25TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
43.4%
13
56.6%
Q1 - 7:26DENMISS Chandler 17' Step Back Jump Shot6
44.1%
13
55.9%
Q1 - 7:39DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
45.6%
13
54.4%
Q1 - 7:40TORMISS Gray 11' Jump Shot6
44.9%
13
55.1%
Q1 - 8:03DENCalderon STEAL (1 STL)6
44.1%
13
55.9%
Q1 - 8:18DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
45.9%
13
54.1%
Q1 - 8:19TORMISS Bargnani Free Throw 2 of 26
45.7%
13
54.3%
Q1 - 8:19TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)6
44.3%
13
55.7%
Q1 - 8:34DENAfflalo 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)6
46.0%
12
54.0%
Q1 - 8:44TORKleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)4
44.0%
12
56.0%
Q1 - 9:02DENFaried 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)4
48.6%
9
51.4%
Q1 - 9:06DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
46.8%
9
53.2%
Q1 - 9:08TORMISS Bargnani 11' Jump Shot2
46.2%
9
53.8%
Q1 - 9:22TORRAPTORS Rebound2
44.9%
9
55.1%
Q1 - 9:23DENMISS Chandler 18' Step Back Jump Shot2
45.4%
9
54.6%
Q1 - 9:35TORGray 13' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
46.7%
9
53.3%
Q1 - 9:49DENChandler 1' Layup (2 PTS)2
48.6%
7
51.4%
Q1 - 9:54DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
46.7%
7
53.3%
Q1 - 9:55DENKleiza BLOCK (1 BLK)0
45.4%
7
54.6%
Q1 - 10:11TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)0
47.4%
7
52.6%
Q1 - 10:11TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)0
47.7%
6
52.3%
Q1 - 10:27DENAfflalo Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)0
48.9%
5
51.1%
Q1 - 10:38TORBargnani 2' Driving Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)0
51.0%
5
49.0%
Q1 - 10:46TORGray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
52.5%
3
47.5%
Q1 - 10:47DENMISS Afflalo 6' Driving Jump Shot0
53.1%
3
46.9%
Q1 - 11:05TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)0
54.6%
3
45.4%
Q1 - 11:13DENChandler Illegal Screen Turnover (P1.T1)0
58.0%
0
42.0%
Q1 - 11:28DENNuggets Rebound0
59.5%
0
40.5%
Q1 - 11:28TORMISS DeRozan 16' Jump Shot0
59.0%
0
41.0%
Q1 - 11:45TORGray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
57.9%
0
42.1%
Q1 - 11:47DENMISS Chandler 16' Jump Shot0
58.4%
0
41.6%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Bargnani vs. McGee: Tip to Lawson0
59.5%
0
40.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.99 49.5%
TOR
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
22
37
59%
TOR
12
20
60%
Midrange
DEN
6
23
26%
TOR
11
44
25%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
5
7.5
20
25%
38%
TOR
12
18.0
22
55%
82%
Free Throws
DEN
25
30
83%
TOR
23
33
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Lawson2659%13.0 / 22
A. Afflalo1544%7.5 / 17
W. Chandler1343%6.5 / 15
A. Harrington1142%5.5 / 13
K. Faried1071%5.0 / 7
J. McGee880%4.0 / 5
A. Miller857%4.0 / 7
C. Brewer350%1.5 / 3
T. Mozgov225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Bargnani2668%13.0 / 19
D. DeRozan1734%8.5 / 25
L. Kleiza1554%7.5 / 14
G. Forbes1169%5.5 / 8
J. Calderon1083%5.0 / 6
A. Anderson758%3.5 / 6
A. Gray675%3.0 / 4
B. Uzoh550%2.5 / 5
A. Johnson440%2.0 / 5
E. Davis425%2.0 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
82
+14
-10
96
TOR
83
+19
-10
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.99 49.5%
TOR
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.3
100.5
DEN 104.3
TOR 112.9 +8.6
Pace
94.1
89.6
DEN 105.4 +22.9
TOR 82.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
16.6
DEN 13.7 +3.8
TOR 17.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.6%
47.5%
DEN 44.4%
TOR 47.7% +3.3%
TO %
15.7%
16.1%
DEN 11.4%
TOR 9.0% +2.4%
ORB %
27.7%
26.0%
DEN 27.3%
TOR 35.4% +8.1%
FTrt
32.6
27.4
DEN 37.5
TOR 38.4 +0.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.5%
60.9%
DEN 54.5%
TOR 71.4% +16.9%
STL %
8.6%
7.2%
DEN 6.5% +1.1%
TOR 5.4%
BLK %
8.1%
8.2%
DEN 4.7%
TOR 8.3% +3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.3 and 2.3.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
50.2%
DEN 49.5%
TOR 51.5% +2.0%
Rim FG%
59.7%
59.1%
DEN 59.5%
TOR 60.0% +0.5%
Mid FG%
39.3%
37.2%
DEN 26.1% +1.1%
TOR 25.0%
3P %
33.2%
34.0%
DEN 25.0%
TOR 54.5% +29.5%
FT %
73.6%
77.0%
DEN 83.3% +13.6%
TOR 69.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
48.0%
34.1%
DEN 46.3% +23.0%
TOR 23.3%
Mid Att. %
27.7%
45.1%
DEN 28.7% +22.4%
TOR 51.2%
3P Att. %
24.3%
20.9%
DEN 25.0%
TOR 25.6% +0.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.14 and 3.14.
Game TotalsDENTOR
Possessions9293
Possession Minutes20.927.1
Points96105
Rebounds4349
Assists1825
Steals65
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)17 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (5)32 (2)
Field Goals33-8035-86
At-the-Rim FG22-3712-20
Midrange FG6-2311-44
2-Point FG28-6023-64
3-Point FG5-2012-22
Free Throws25-3023-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 5'11" 195 · 24
38.9
26
59%
4
9
2
0
1
1
3
1
6-6
100%
7-12
58%
2-7
29%
G · 6'5" 210 · 26
36.9
15
44%
4
2
0
0
1
5
1
3
4-4
100%
4-11
36%
1-5
20%
F · 6'9" 225 · 25
32.9
13
43%
8
1
0
1
2
2
2
6
2-2
100%
4-13
31%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 228 · 22
23.3
10
71%
5
1
1
0
1
3
2
3
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 270 · 24
23.2
8
80%
7
1
1
2
0
4
0
7
2-3
67%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 32
31.0
11
42%
7
2
0
0
0
1
1
6
2-4
50%
3-6
50%
1-5
20%
G · 6'3" 200 · 36
26.7
8
57%
4
2
2
0
2
2
0
4
4-5
80%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 186 · 26
15.2
3
50%
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
1
3-4
75%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C · 7'1" 275 · 26
12.0
2
25%
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 265 · 23
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34
G · 6'6" 200 · 23
#8 · F · 6'10" 225 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · · 6'6" 185 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
50%
43
18
6
3
10
0
12
31
25-30
83%
28-60
47%
5-20
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.