FinalWin Prob.pScore
159%97
90
1641%94
105
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
100.09087.0
IND logo IND
116.79093.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA90
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)90
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0INDCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot90
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0INDHibbert Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T15)90
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)90
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 289
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00INDGeorge 13' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)89
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32INDMISS Granger 13' Jump Shot89
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51MIACollison STEAL (4 STL)89
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 2:02INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 289
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 2:02INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 289
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:16INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)89
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)89
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 2:22MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 289
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)89
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28INDCollison Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)88
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28INDCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)88
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)88
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 288
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)88
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 2:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 2:42INDMISS George 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47INDWest REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:48MIAMISS James 11' Jump Shot87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 3:00INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 3:19INDGranger REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)87
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 3:19MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 287
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 3:19MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 287
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 3:37INDGeorge 3' Driving Layup (14 PTS)87
0.9%
101
99.1%
Q4 - 3:44INDGranger REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)87
1.2%
99
98.8%
Q4 - 3:45INDMISS Hibbert 6' Hook Shot87
1.6%
99
98.4%
Q4 - 3:56INDCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)87
1.2%
99
98.8%
Q4 - 3:58INDMISS Granger 19' Jump Shot87
1.6%
99
98.4%
Q4 - 4:13MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)87
1.1%
99
98.9%
Q4 - 4:30INDGranger Free Throw 3 of 3 (25 PTS)87
1.7%
99
98.3%
Q4 - 4:30INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 3 (24 PTS)87
1.8%
98
98.2%
Q4 - 4:30INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 3 (23 PTS)87
1.9%
97
98.1%
Q4 - 4:42INDWest REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)87
3.4%
96
96.6%
Q4 - 4:43MIAMISS Wade 17' Floating Jump Shot87
3.8%
96
96.2%
Q4 - 5:03INDCollison Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)87
7.7%
96
92.3%
Q4 - 5:07MIAChalmers 2' Putback Layup (12 PTS)87
5.5%
96
94.5%
Q4 - 5:08MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
4.1%
96
95.9%
Q4 - 5:10MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
3.2%
96
96.8%
Q4 - 5:28INDCollison Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)85
4.0%
96
96.0%
Q4 - 5:28INDCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)85
4.2%
95
95.8%
Q4 - 5:31MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)85
5.4%
94
94.6%
Q4 - 5:50INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (West 4 AST)82
2.9%
94
97.1%
Q4 - 5:53INDWest REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)82
5.3%
91
94.7%
Q4 - 5:54INDMISS Collison 3PT Jump Shot82
6.7%
91
93.3%
Q4 - 6:20MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)82
7.6%
91
92.4%
Q4 - 6:20MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)81
7.2%
91
92.8%
Q4 - 6:31INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)80
5.8%
91
94.2%
Q4 - 6:31INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)80
6.0%
90
94.0%
Q4 - 6:46MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)80
7.5%
89
92.5%
Q4 - 7:04INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)77
5.9%
89
94.1%
Q4 - 7:04INDHibbert 2' Putback Layup (11 PTS)77
5.9%
89
94.1%
Q4 - 7:06INDMISS Collison 13' Jump Shot77
9.0%
87
91.0%
Q4 - 7:24MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)77
7.4%
87
92.6%
Q4 - 7:24MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 276
7.1%
87
92.9%
Q4 - 7:31MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)76
7.5%
87
92.5%
Q4 - 7:32INDMISS Hansbrough 18' Jump Shot76
6.9%
87
93.1%
Q4 - 7:48INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)76
5.7%
87
94.3%
Q4 - 7:49MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
6.2%
87
93.8%
Q4 - 7:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
7.5%
87
92.5%
Q4 - 8:00INDMISS Barbosa 27' 3PT Jump Shot76
6.9%
87
93.1%
Q4 - 8:15MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)76
7.5%
87
92.5%
Q4 - 8:33INDBarbosa Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)73
4.5%
87
95.5%
Q4 - 8:50MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)73
7.3%
84
92.7%
Q4 - 9:01INDAmundson Foul Turnover (P1.T13)70
5.8%
84
94.2%
Q4 - 9:15MIAHansbrough STEAL (1 STL)70
4.6%
84
95.4%
Q4 - 9:35INDBarbosa 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)70
5.7%
84
94.3%
Q4 - 9:46MIAWade 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (20 PTS)70
8.9%
81
91.1%
Q4 - 10:11INDBarbosa 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hansbrough 1 AST)67
6.7%
81
93.3%
Q4 - 10:33INDPACERS Rebound67
10.1%
78
89.9%
Q4 - 10:36INDMISS Amundson 15' Jump Shot67
11.6%
78
88.4%
Q4 - 11:06MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)67
11.5%
78
88.5%
Q4 - 11:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
9.4%
78
90.6%
Q4 - 11:28INDMISS George 18' Jump Shot65
8.8%
78
91.2%
Q4 - 11:42INDPACERS Rebound65
7.7%
78
92.3%
Q4 - 11:42INDMISS Barbosa 11' Floating Jump Shot65
8.8%
78
91.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA65
7.7%
78
92.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPACERS Rebound65
7.7%
78
92.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDMISS Granger 15' Jump Shot65
8.8%
78
91.2%
Q3 - 0:19.0INDGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)65
8.9%
78
91.1%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
10.6%
78
89.4%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Turiaf 3' Tip Shot65
9.4%
78
90.6%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot65
9.4%
78
90.6%
Q3 - 0:43.0INDBarbosa 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Amundson 1 AST)65
10.5%
78
89.5%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)65
15.2%
75
84.8%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)64
14.7%
75
85.3%
Q3 - 1:07INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)63
13.8%
75
86.2%
Q3 - 1:07INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)63
14.1%
74
85.9%
Q3 - 1:07INDGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
16.4%
73
83.6%
Q3 - 1:08INDMISS Granger 4' Jump Shot63
18.2%
73
81.8%
Q3 - 1:25INDAmundson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
16.4%
73
83.6%
Q3 - 1:25MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 263
16.7%
73
83.3%
Q3 - 1:25MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)63
18.7%
73
81.3%
Q3 - 1:43INDCollison 17' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)62
16.2%
73
83.8%
Q3 - 1:58MIAChalmers 3' Layup (9 PTS)62
19.2%
71
80.8%
Q3 - 2:04INDHibbert Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)60
17.8%
71
82.2%
Q3 - 2:17MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T14)60
15.1%
71
84.9%
Q3 - 2:33INDGranger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)60
17.6%
71
82.4%
Q3 - 2:46INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
23.7%
68
76.3%
Q3 - 2:47MIAMISS James 12' Jump Shot60
24.7%
68
75.3%
Q3 - 3:19INDGranger Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T11)60
29.0%
68
71.0%
Q3 - 3:27INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
25.3%
68
74.7%
Q3 - 3:28MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot60
26.4%
68
73.6%
Q3 - 3:43INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)60
28.9%
68
71.1%
Q3 - 3:43INDMISS Granger Free Throw 1 of 260
29.4%
67
70.6%
Q3 - 3:45INDWest REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)60
28.8%
67
71.2%
Q3 - 3:46MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot60
30.0%
67
70.0%
Q3 - 4:06INDGranger 13' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)60
33.9%
67
66.1%
Q3 - 4:14INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
37.1%
65
62.9%
Q3 - 4:15MIAHibbert BLOCK (3 BLK)60
38.6%
65
61.4%
Q3 - 4:33INDCollison 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)60
42.0%
65
58.0%
Q3 - 4:38INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
45.5%
63
54.5%
Q3 - 4:39MIAMISS James 13' Fadeaway Jumper60
47.1%
63
52.9%
Q3 - 4:59MIAHeat Rebound60
50.6%
63
49.4%
Q3 - 5:01INDMISS Hibbert 6' Jump Hook Shot60
49.3%
63
50.7%
Q3 - 5:23MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P5.T13)60
46.1%
63
53.9%
Q3 - 5:45INDCollison Foul Turnover (P3.T10)60
50.7%
63
49.3%
Q3 - 5:57MIAAnthony 2' Putback Slam Dunk (2 PTS)60
46.0%
63
54.0%
Q3 - 5:58MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)58
42.4%
63
57.6%
Q3 - 5:59MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
39.3%
63
60.7%
Q3 - 6:21INDCollison 3' Driving Layup (12 PTS)58
43.3%
63
56.7%
Q3 - 6:26INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
47.0%
61
53.0%
Q3 - 6:27MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot58
48.3%
61
51.7%
Q3 - 6:44INDWest 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Collison 3 AST)58
51.3%
61
48.7%
Q3 - 7:09MIAWade 27' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (17 PTS)58
55.0%
59
45.0%
Q3 - 7:21MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
47.5%
59
52.5%
Q3 - 7:23INDMISS George 13' Jump Shot55
46.3%
59
53.7%
Q3 - 7:26INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
43.5%
59
56.5%
Q3 - 7:27INDMISS Collison 19' Jump Shot55
46.3%
59
53.7%
Q3 - 7:48MIAJames 16' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS)55
43.5%
59
56.5%
Q3 - 7:50MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)53
40.0%
59
60.0%
Q3 - 7:50MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 153
36.6%
59
63.4%
Q3 - 7:58MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)51
32.8%
59
67.2%
Q3 - 7:59INDMISS Hibbert 6' Running Bank Shot51
31.7%
59
68.3%
Q3 - 8:14MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)51
30.1%
59
69.9%
Q3 - 8:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)50
29.5%
59
70.5%
Q3 - 8:25INDCollison 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (George 3 AST)49
27.2%
59
72.8%
Q3 - 8:55MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)49
33.3%
56
66.7%
Q3 - 9:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
28.0%
56
72.0%
Q3 - 9:12INDMISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
27.1%
56
72.9%
Q3 - 9:15INDWest REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)46
25.0%
56
75.0%
Q3 - 9:17INDMISS West 2' Layup46
27.0%
56
73.0%
Q3 - 9:18INDWest REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)46
25.0%
56
75.0%
Q3 - 9:19INDMISS West 3' Layup46
27.0%
56
73.0%
Q3 - 9:27INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
25.0%
56
75.0%
Q3 - 9:28MIAHibbert BLOCK (2 BLK)46
25.9%
56
74.1%
Q3 - 9:46INDGeorge 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)46
27.9%
56
72.1%
Q3 - 10:03INDWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)46
35.3%
53
64.7%
Q3 - 10:04MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot46
36.3%
53
63.7%
Q3 - 10:10MIAHeat Rebound46
38.8%
53
61.2%
Q3 - 10:10MIAHibbert BLOCK (1 BLK)46
36.3%
53
63.7%
Q3 - 10:24INDCollison 2' Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (West 3 AST)46
38.7%
53
61.3%
Q3 - 10:27MIAWest STEAL (2 STL)46
41.9%
51
58.1%
Q3 - 10:46INDWest 14' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)46
45.6%
51
54.4%
Q3 - 11:12MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T11)46
49.9%
49
50.1%
Q3 - 11:20INDCollison Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)46
53.5%
49
46.5%
Q3 - 11:28INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
49.9%
49
50.1%
Q3 - 11:30MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot46
51.0%
49
49.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA46
53.5%
49
46.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDGeorge 48' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)46
53.5%
49
46.5%
Q2 - 0:03.0INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
60.9%
46
39.1%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAMISS James 19' Step Back Jump Shot46
61.5%
46
38.5%
Q2 - 0:27.0INDHibbert Foul Turnover (P3.T8)46
63.1%
46
36.9%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)46
60.8%
46
39.2%
Q2 - 0:59.0INDCollison 1' Layup (5 PTS)44
56.8%
46
43.2%
Q2 - 1:00MIACollison STEAL (3 STL)44
60.8%
44
39.2%
Q2 - 1:01INDHibbert 2' Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (George 2 AST)44
63.1%
44
36.9%
Q2 - 1:13MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)44
67.0%
42
33.0%
Q2 - 1:13MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)43
66.4%
42
33.6%
Q2 - 1:13MIAMISS Wade Free Throw Technical42
63.1%
42
36.9%
Q2 - 1:29INDHibbert 2' Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (West 2 AST)42
63.1%
42
36.9%
Q2 - 1:40MIATuriaf 3' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)42
67.0%
40
33.0%
Q2 - 2:01INDCollison Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)40
63.7%
40
36.3%
Q2 - 2:03INDCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
60.6%
40
39.4%
Q2 - 2:05MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot40
61.6%
40
38.4%
Q2 - 2:25INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
63.6%
40
36.4%
Q2 - 2:25INDGranger 2' Putback Layup (11 PTS)40
63.6%
40
36.4%
Q2 - 2:28INDMISS George 17' Jump Shot40
68.4%
38
31.6%
Q2 - 2:32INDPACERS Rebound40
66.5%
38
33.5%
Q2 - 2:33INDMISS George 18' Jump Shot40
68.4%
38
31.6%
Q2 - 2:43INDWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)40
66.5%
38
33.5%
Q2 - 2:45INDMISS West 17' Jump Shot40
68.4%
38
31.6%
Q2 - 2:55MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)40
66.5%
38
33.5%
Q2 - 2:55MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)39
66.0%
38
34.0%
Q2 - 3:10INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)38
64.2%
38
35.8%
Q2 - 3:10INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)38
64.8%
37
35.2%
Q2 - 3:22INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
66.5%
36
33.5%
Q2 - 3:23MIAMISS James 13' Fadeaway Jumper38
67.5%
36
32.5%
Q2 - 3:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
69.6%
36
30.4%
Q2 - 3:37INDMISS Granger 12' Jump Shot38
68.7%
36
31.3%
Q2 - 3:50MIACole Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)38
66.5%
36
33.5%
Q2 - 4:03INDWest 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Granger 3 AST)38
69.3%
36
30.7%
Q2 - 4:11INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
71.6%
34
28.4%
Q2 - 4:12MIAMISS Wade 15' Step Back Jump Shot38
72.4%
34
27.6%
Q2 - 4:38INDGeorge 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS)38
74.2%
34
25.8%
Q2 - 4:53MIATuriaf Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)38
76.2%
32
23.8%
Q2 - 5:09MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)38
78.2%
32
21.8%
Q2 - 5:10INDMISS Collison 12' Jump Shot38
77.6%
32
22.4%
Q2 - 5:21INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
76.3%
32
23.7%
Q2 - 5:22MIAMISS Cole 21' Jump Shot38
76.9%
32
23.1%
Q2 - 5:31MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
78.2%
32
21.8%
Q2 - 5:32INDMISS Granger 18' Jump Shot38
77.6%
32
22.4%
Q2 - 5:44MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (James 2 AST)38
76.2%
32
23.8%
Q2 - 5:48INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)36
74.0%
32
26.0%
Q2 - 5:48MIAHeat Rebound36
71.8%
32
28.2%
Q2 - 5:48MIAWest BLOCK (1 BLK)36
72.5%
32
27.5%
Q2 - 6:02INDWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
71.2%
32
28.8%
Q2 - 6:04INDMISS Barbosa 3PT Jump Shot36
73.0%
32
27.0%
Q2 - 6:30MIABosh 3' Driving Dunk (8 PTS)36
71.2%
32
28.8%
Q2 - 6:42MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
69.3%
32
30.7%
Q2 - 6:43INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
66.4%
32
33.6%
Q2 - 6:43INDMISS Hibbert 1' Tip Shot34
68.4%
32
31.6%
Q2 - 6:45INDMISS Barbosa 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
68.4%
32
31.6%
Q2 - 6:48INDPACERS Rebound34
66.4%
32
33.6%
Q2 - 6:48INDMISS Hansbrough 3' Layup34
68.4%
32
31.6%
Q2 - 7:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
66.6%
32
33.4%
Q2 - 7:09MIAWade 2' Putback Dunk (5 PTS)34
66.6%
32
33.4%
Q2 - 7:10MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
62.5%
32
37.5%
Q2 - 7:27INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)32
64.4%
32
35.6%
Q2 - 7:27INDMISS Hansbrough Free Throw 1 of 232
64.8%
31
35.2%
Q2 - 7:42INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
64.1%
31
35.9%
Q2 - 7:42MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 232
64.5%
31
35.5%
Q2 - 7:42MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)32
66.2%
31
33.8%
Q2 - 7:54INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)31
64.4%
31
35.6%
Q2 - 7:54INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)31
64.8%
30
35.2%
Q2 - 8:11MIABosh 2' Slam Dunk (5 PTS)31
66.6%
29
33.4%
Q2 - 8:38INDBarbosa 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)29
64.3%
29
35.7%
Q2 - 8:52INDHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
66.7%
27
33.3%
Q2 - 8:53MIAMISS Cole 4' Driving Layup29
67.4%
27
32.6%
Q2 - 9:08INDHansbrough 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (3 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)29
68.9%
27
31.1%
Q2 - 9:14INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
70.9%
25
29.1%
Q2 - 9:14MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot29
71.6%
25
28.4%
Q2 - 9:32INDAmundson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)29
73.1%
25
26.9%
Q2 - 9:32INDMISS Amundson Free Throw 1 of 229
74.0%
24
26.0%
Q2 - 9:43MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)29
73.0%
24
27.0%
Q2 - 9:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
68.9%
24
31.1%
Q2 - 9:55INDMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot26
68.2%
24
31.8%
Q2 - 10:08INDAmundson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
66.1%
24
33.9%
Q2 - 10:09MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot26
66.9%
24
33.1%
Q2 - 10:33MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
68.6%
24
31.4%
Q2 - 10:34INDMISS Barbosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
67.9%
24
32.1%
Q2 - 10:58MIATuriaf 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS)26
66.2%
24
33.8%
Q2 - 11:13MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)24
63.9%
24
36.1%
Q2 - 11:14INDMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot24
63.1%
24
36.9%
Q2 - 11:35INDBarbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
61.4%
24
38.6%
Q2 - 11:37MIAMISS James 9' Jump Shot24
62.2%
24
37.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND24
63.9%
24
36.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPACERS Rebound24
61.4%
24
38.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot24
63.1%
24
36.9%
Q1 - 0:07.0MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)24
61.7%
24
38.3%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAJames Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (8 PTS)21
56.6%
24
43.4%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAJames Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (7 PTS)20
56.0%
24
44.0%
Q1 - 0:36.0INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)19
51.8%
24
48.2%
Q1 - 0:36.0INDMISS Hansbrough Free Throw 1 of 219
52.2%
23
47.8%
Q1 - 0:36.0INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
52.3%
23
47.7%
Q1 - 0:37.0INDMISS Jones 3' Reverse Layup19
53.6%
23
46.4%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAHill STEAL (1 STL)19
52.3%
23
47.7%
Q1 - 1:00MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
54.2%
23
45.8%
Q1 - 1:02INDMISS Barbosa 16' Jump Shot19
54.1%
23
45.9%
Q1 - 1:17MIATuriaf Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
52.9%
23
47.1%
Q1 - 1:17MIAMISS Turiaf Free Throw 1 of 218
52.1%
23
47.9%
Q1 - 1:25INDGranger Foul Turnover (P1.T5)18
52.2%
23
47.8%
Q1 - 1:39MIATuriaf Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)18
50.6%
23
49.4%
Q1 - 1:39MIAMISS Turiaf Free Throw 1 of 217
49.8%
23
50.2%
Q1 - 1:39MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
49.9%
23
50.1%
Q1 - 1:40MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot17
48.7%
23
51.3%
Q1 - 2:06INDGranger 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)17
50.6%
23
49.4%
Q1 - 2:33MIAJames 20' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
53.1%
21
46.9%
Q1 - 2:50INDGranger 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (7 PTS)15
50.6%
21
49.4%
Q1 - 3:22INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
53.3%
19
46.7%
Q1 - 3:26MIAMISS James 3' Layup15
54.0%
19
46.0%
Q1 - 3:32INDHibbert Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)15
55.7%
19
44.3%
Q1 - 3:45MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)15
53.3%
19
46.7%
Q1 - 4:01INDWest 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)12
49.3%
19
50.7%
Q1 - 4:02INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
51.3%
17
48.7%
Q1 - 4:03INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
53.0%
17
47.0%
Q1 - 4:12INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
51.3%
17
48.7%
Q1 - 4:13MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
52.0%
17
48.0%
Q1 - 4:30INDHibbert 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)12
53.7%
17
46.3%
Q1 - 4:50MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 1 AST)12
51.3%
17
48.7%
Q1 - 5:17INDCollison 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)9
47.4%
17
52.6%
Q1 - 5:25MIAWest STEAL (1 STL)9
51.4%
14
48.6%
Q1 - 5:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
53.8%
14
46.2%
Q1 - 5:34INDMISS Collison 3' Jump Shot9
53.1%
14
46.9%
Q1 - 5:39MIACollison STEAL (2 STL)9
51.4%
14
48.6%
Q1 - 6:10INDGeorge 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)9
54.1%
14
45.9%
Q1 - 6:15MIACollison STEAL (1 STL)9
55.9%
12
44.1%
Q1 - 6:33MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)9
58.1%
12
41.9%
Q1 - 6:35INDMISS Granger 3' Driving Jump Shot9
57.4%
12
42.6%
Q1 - 6:57MIAJames 2' Layup (4 PTS)9
55.9%
12
44.1%
Q1 - 7:05MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
54.7%
12
45.3%
Q1 - 7:07INDMISS Granger 5' Jump Shot7
54.0%
12
46.0%
Q1 - 7:13INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
52.5%
12
47.5%
Q1 - 7:14MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
53.1%
12
46.9%
Q1 - 7:23MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
54.6%
12
45.4%
Q1 - 7:24MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup7
53.1%
12
46.9%
Q1 - 7:28MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
54.6%
12
45.4%
Q1 - 7:30INDMISS George 2' Layup7
54.0%
12
46.0%
Q1 - 7:36INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
52.4%
12
47.6%
Q1 - 7:38MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
54.6%
12
45.4%
Q1 - 7:38MIAMISS Anthony 1' Tip Shot7
53.1%
12
46.9%
Q1 - 7:39MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
53.1%
12
46.9%
Q1 - 7:53INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)7
54.6%
12
45.4%
Q1 - 7:53INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 27
55.1%
11
44.9%
Q1 - 8:03MIAJames 3' Layup (2 PTS)7
55.1%
11
44.9%
Q1 - 8:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
53.1%
11
46.9%
Q1 - 8:09INDMISS Hibbert 5' Hook Shot5
52.5%
11
47.5%
Q1 - 8:21MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P2.T3)5
51.2%
11
48.8%
Q1 - 8:33INDGranger 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (West 1 AST)5
53.1%
11
46.9%
Q1 - 8:51MIABosh 1' Slam Dunk (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)5
55.0%
9
45.0%
Q1 - 9:04INDWest 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)3
53.9%
9
46.1%
Q1 - 9:16MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)3
55.7%
7
44.3%
Q1 - 9:20INDGeorge Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)3
57.6%
7
42.4%
Q1 - 9:30INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
55.7%
7
44.3%
Q1 - 9:31MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
56.3%
7
43.7%
Q1 - 9:44INDWest Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)3
57.5%
7
42.5%
Q1 - 10:02MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
56.0%
7
44.0%
Q1 - 10:02MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 22
55.7%
7
44.3%
Q1 - 10:16INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (George 1 AST)2
56.2%
7
43.8%
Q1 - 10:35MIAChalmers 3' Layup (2 PTS)2
59.4%
4
40.6%
Q1 - 10:45MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
58.0%
4
42.0%
Q1 - 10:47INDMISS Granger 14' Jump Shot0
57.4%
4
42.6%
Q1 - 10:53INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
56.0%
4
44.0%
Q1 - 10:55MIAMISS Bosh 1' Reverse Layup0
56.6%
4
43.4%
Q1 - 11:17INDGeorge 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)0
58.2%
4
41.8%
Q1 - 11:31MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
59.9%
2
40.1%
Q1 - 11:43INDHibbert 11' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
61.4%
2
38.6%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball Hibbert vs. Anthony: Tip to0
63.1%
0
36.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.03 51.7%
IND
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
23
61%
IND
14
26
54%
Midrange
MIA
7
26
27%
IND
13
37
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
20
40%
60%
IND
10
15.0
18
56%
83%
Free Throws
MIA
24
37
65%
IND
21
28
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2455%12.0 / 22
D. Wade2463%12.0 / 19
C. Bosh1444%7.0 / 16
M. Chalmers1365%6.5 / 10
R. Turiaf660%3.0 / 5
U. Haslem467%2.0 / 3
S. Battier350%1.5 / 3
J. Anthony250%1.0 / 2
N. Cole0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Granger2557%12.5 / 22
D. Collison2071%10.0 / 14
P. George1657%8.0 / 14
L. Barbosa1464%7.0 / 11
R. Hibbert1146%5.5 / 12
D. West1063%5.0 / 8
T. Hansbrough857%4.0 / 7
L. Amundson125%0.5 / 2
G. Hill0-0.0 / 2
D. Jones0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
73
+11
-17
84
IND
76
+20
-14
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.03 51.7%
IND
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
106.4
MIA 100.0
IND 116.7 +16.7
Pace
91.3
91.1
MIA 87.0
IND 93.2 +6.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.7
MIA 16.5
IND 15.5 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.5%
47.4%
MIA 47.8%
IND 51.9% +4.1%
TO %
15.9%
14.4%
MIA 16.6%
IND 14.6% +2.0%
ORB %
26.6%
29.3%
MIA 20.5%
IND 36.8% +16.3%
FTrt
30.7
32.1
MIA 53.6 +19.0
IND 34.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.8%
52.2%
MIA 37.9%
IND 54.1% +16.2%
STL %
9.6%
8.7%
MIA 6.7%
IND 8.9% +2.2%
BLK %
9.0%
8.8%
MIA 11.1% +2.9%
IND 8.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
50.9%
MIA 51.7%
IND 54.1% +2.4%
Rim FG%
61.1%
53.6%
MIA 60.9% +7.1%
IND 53.8%
Mid FG%
40.0%
38.3%
MIA 26.9%
IND 35.1% +8.2%
3P %
35.9%
36.8%
MIA 40.0%
IND 55.6% +15.6%
FT %
77.5%
78.3%
MIA 64.9%
IND 75.0% +10.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
37.8%
MIA 33.3% +1.2%
IND 32.1%
Mid Att. %
43.6%
42.4%
MIA 37.7% +8.0%
IND 45.7%
3P Att. %
19.8%
19.8%
MIA 29.0% +6.8%
IND 22.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions9090
Possession Minutes24.823.2
Points90105
Rebounds3349
Assists1120
Steals68
Blocks74
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)14 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)14 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (1)35 (0)
Field Goals29-6937-81
At-the-Rim FG14-2314-26
Midrange FG7-2613-37
2-Point FG21-4927-63
3-Point FG8-2010-18
Free Throws24-3721-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 27
40.8
24
55%
9
2
1
0
6
1
2
7
4-6
67%
7-17
41%
2-4
50%
F · 6'11" 235 · 28
36.0
14
44%
2
1
0
0
4
1
1
1
6-11
55%
4-10
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 30
35.5
24
63%
5
6
0
4
1
2
1
4
6-8
75%
3-8
38%
4-8
50%
G · 6'2" 190 · 26
27.0
13
65%
4
1
3
0
3
4
1
3
4-6
67%
3-3
100%
1-4
25%
C · 6'9" 245 · 30
17.6
2
50%
2
0
0
2
1
2
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 34
21.7
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
5
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 235 · 32
20.8
4
67%
5
1
1
0
0
4
0
5
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
19.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 249 · 29
17.1
6
60%
5
0
1
1
1
2
2
3
2-4
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 285 · 24
C · 7'0" 295 · 29
F · 6'9" 250 · 39
#13 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#14 · G · 6'4" 190 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
52%
33
11
6
7
17
0
9
24
24-37
65%
21-49
43%
8-20
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.