Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, March 24, 2012

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	16	Hawks	54%	95	95
	24	Wizards	46%	93	92

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
ATL	113.1	84	86.1
WAS	109.5	84	82.0

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+14

-11

WAS

+15

-8

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.08 54.0%

WAS

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	WAS
Q4 - 0:00.0	ATL		95 100%	92 0%
Q4 - 0:12.0	ATL	Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)	95 93.2%	92 6.8%
Q4 - 0:12.0	ATL	Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)	94 92.3%	92 7.7%
Q4 - 0:23.0	ATL	Hinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	93 84.4%	92 15.6%
Q4 - 0:24.0	WAS	MISS Crawford 21' Jump Shot	93 79.2%	92 20.8%
Q4 - 0:46.0	ATL	Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)	93 62.5%	92 37.5%
Q4 - 1:04	ATL	Hawks Rebound	90 32.5%	92 67.5%
Q4 - 1:04	ATL	MISS Hinrich 19' Jump Shot	90 23.1%	92 76.9%
Q4 - 1:08	ATL	Radmanovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)	90 33.1%	92 66.9%
Q4 - 1:10	ATL	MISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot	90 24.0%	92 76.0%
Q4 - 1:25	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	90 35.6%	92 64.4%
Q4 - 1:29	WAS	MISS Wall 19' Jump Shot	90 31.9%	92 68.1%
Q4 - 1:35	WAS	Booker REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)	90 24.3%	92 75.7%
Q4 - 1:36	ATL	MISS Radmanovic 1' Layup	90 27.8%	92 72.2%
Q4 - 1:38	ATL	Radmanovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)	90 36.7%	92 63.3%
Q4 - 1:44	ATL	MISS Pachulia 21' Jump Shot	90 28.5%	92 71.5%
Q4 - 1:58	ATL	Hinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	90 36.9%	92 63.1%
Q4 - 1:59	WAS	MISS Singleton 20' Jump Shot	90 33.1%	92 66.9%
Q4 - 2:23	ATL	Hawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)	90 24.1%	92 75.9%
Q4 - 2:23	ATL	Hawks Rebound	90 39.7%	92 60.3%
Q4 - 2:26	ATL	Nene BLOCK (3 BLK)	90 28.3%	92 71.7%
Q4 - 2:48	WAS	Booker 1' Layup (8 PTS)	90 40.0%	92 60.0%
Q4 - 3:11	ATL	Smith 22' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)	90 47.9%	90 52.1%
Q4 - 3:23	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	88 40.9%	90 59.1%
Q4 - 3:24	WAS	MISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot	88 36.1%	90 63.9%
Q4 - 3:36	ATL	Johnson 19' Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS)	88 32.4%	90 67.6%
Q4 - 3:57	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	86 24.8%	90 75.2%
Q4 - 3:58	WAS	MISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 2	86 23.8%	90 76.2%
Q4 - 3:58	WAS	Nene Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)	86 19.9%	90 80.1%
Q4 - 4:17	ATL	Johnson 7' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)	86 23.9%	89 76.1%
Q4 - 4:40	WAS	Nene 1' Dunk (20 PTS) (Booker 3 AST)	84 17.9%	89 82.1%
Q4 - 4:55	WAS	Booker REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)	84 23.6%	87 76.4%
Q4 - 4:57	ATL	MISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2	84 24.6%	87 75.4%
Q4 - 4:57	ATL	Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	84 29.4%	87 70.6%
Q4 - 5:00	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	83 24.2%	87 75.8%
Q4 - 5:02	ATL	MISS Radmanovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot	83 23.2%	87 76.8%
Q4 - 5:20	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	83 27.7%	87 72.3%
Q4 - 5:21	WAS	MISS Singleton 24' 3PT Jump Shot	83 25.6%	87 74.4%
Q4 - 5:42	ATL	Hinrich 6' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)	83 21.0%	87 79.0%
Q4 - 5:58	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	81 16.2%	87 83.8%
Q4 - 5:59	WAS	MISS Ubiles 10' Jump Shot	81 14.7%	87 85.3%
Q4 - 6:21	ATL	Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Radmanovic 2 AST)	81 14.8%	87 85.2%
Q4 - 6:39	WAS	Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Booker 2 AST)	78 8.8%	87 91.2%
Q4 - 7:01	ATL	Green 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Radmanovic 1 AST)	78 17.3%	84 82.7%
Q4 - 7:18	ATL	Hinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	76 13.9%	84 86.1%
Q4 - 7:20	WAS	MISS Mason Jr. 22' Jump Shot	76 12.8%	84 87.2%
Q4 - 7:29	WAS	Nene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)	76 10.6%	84 89.4%
Q4 - 7:30	ATL	MISS Williams 19' Jump Shot	76 11.5%	84 88.5%
Q4 - 7:40	ATL	Green REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	76 13.8%	84 86.2%
Q4 - 7:41	WAS	MISS Mack 12' Jump Shot	76 12.7%	84 87.3%
Q4 - 8:03	WAS	WIZARDS Rebound	76 12.9%	84 87.1%
Q4 - 8:04	ATL	MISS Williams 20' Jump Shot	76 13.8%	84 86.2%
Q4 - 8:22	ATL	Hinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	76 15.8%	84 84.2%
Q4 - 8:23	WAS	MISS Mack 16' Jump Shot	76 14.8%	84 85.2%
Q4 - 8:48	ATL	Mack STEAL (1 STL)	76 12.7%	84 87.3%
Q4 - 9:02	WAS	Booker Foul Turnover (P3.T8)	76 17.7%	84 82.3%
Q4 - 9:17	ATL	Radmanovic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)	76 14.5%	84 85.5%
Q4 - 9:29	WAS	Ubiles 26' 3PT Running Bank Shot (10 PTS)	76 17.6%	84 82.4%
Q4 - 9:58	ATL	Williams 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Teague 9 AST)	76 25.7%	81 74.3%
Q4 - 10:10	WAS	Ubiles Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)	74 22.8%	81 77.2%
Q4 - 10:27	WAS	Booker REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)	74 31.7%	78 68.3%
Q4 - 10:28	ATL	MISS Green Free Throw 2 of 2	74 32.3%	78 67.7%
Q4 - 10:28	ATL	Green Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	74 35.9%	78 64.1%
Q4 - 10:48	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	73 31.6%	78 68.4%
Q4 - 10:49	WAS	MISS Crawford 18' Jump Shot	73 30.2%	78 69.8%
Q4 - 11:08	ATL	Radmanovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Teague 8 AST)	73 28.3%	78 71.7%
Q4 - 11:16	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	70 20.3%	78 79.7%
Q4 - 11:17	WAS	MISS Seraphin 6' Jump Shot	70 19.3%	78 80.7%
Q4 - 11:38	ATL	Johnson 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Green 2 AST)	70 17.1%	78 82.9%
Q4 - 11:46	ATL	Green REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	68 14.2%	78 85.8%
Q4 - 11:47	ATL	MISS Teague 4' Layup	68 12.5%	78 87.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0	ATL		68 14.2%	78 85.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0	ATL	Hawks Rebound	68 14.2%	78 85.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0	ATL	MISS Williams 36' 3PT Jump Shot	68 13.9%	78 86.1%
Q3 - 0:03.0	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	68 15.5%	78 84.5%
Q3 - 0:04.0	WAS	MISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot	68 14.8%	78 85.2%
Q3 - 0:23.0	ATL	Radmanovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Teague 7 AST)	68 13.2%	78 86.8%
Q3 - 0:31.0	ATL	MISS Teague Free Throw Technical	65 9.0%	78 91.0%
Q3 - 0:41.0	WAS	Vesely Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	65 9.0%	78 91.0%
Q3 - 0:41.0	WAS	MISS Vesely Free Throw 1 of 2	65 9.6%	77 90.4%
Q3 - 0:51.0	ATL	Teague 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)	65 9.1%	77 90.9%
Q3 - 1:00	WAS	Vesely Running Tip Shot (4 PTS)	63 7.4%	77 92.6%
Q3 - 1:02	WAS	Vesely REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	63 10.0%	75 90.0%
Q3 - 1:03	WAS	MISS Mack 8' Jump Shot	63 11.2%	75 88.8%
Q3 - 1:27	ATL	Williams 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)	63 9.9%	75 90.1%
Q3 - 1:31	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	61 8.2%	75 91.8%
Q3 - 1:32	WAS	MISS Ubiles 11' Jump Shot	61 7.8%	75 92.2%
Q3 - 1:43	WAS	Crawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	61 6.9%	75 93.1%
Q3 - 1:44	ATL	MISS Smith 19' Jump Shot	61 7.3%	75 92.7%
Q3 - 2:05	WAS	Crawford 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS)	61 9.3%	75 90.7%
Q3 - 2:16	ATL	Smith Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)	61 10.9%	73 89.1%
Q3 - 2:22	ATL	Teague Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)	58 7.8%	73 92.2%
Q3 - 2:37	WAS	Crawford 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS)	57 6.5%	73 93.5%
Q3 - 3:02	ATL	Pachulia 6' Running Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Teague 6 AST)	57 8.8%	71 91.2%
Q3 - 3:24	WAS	Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)	55 7.4%	71 92.6%
Q3 - 3:35	WAS	Crawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	55 10.2%	68 89.8%
Q3 - 3:36	WAS	MISS Wall 3PT Jump Shot	55 11.5%	68 88.5%
Q3 - 3:57	ATL	Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	55 10.2%	68 89.8%
Q3 - 3:57	ATL	Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	54 9.9%	68 90.1%
Q3 - 4:00	WAS	Crawford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)	53 8.7%	68 91.3%
Q3 - 4:15	WAS	Booker REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)	53 7.9%	68 92.1%
Q3 - 4:17	ATL	MISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 2	53 8.1%	68 91.9%
Q3 - 4:17	ATL	MISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 2	53 9.0%	68 91.0%
Q3 - 4:33	WAS	Singleton 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wall 3 AST)	53 9.5%	68 90.5%
Q3 - 4:43	WAS	Booker REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)	53 10.8%	66 89.2%
Q3 - 4:43	ATL	MISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot	53 11.4%	66 88.6%
Q3 - 5:01	WAS	Seraphin Putback Dunk (4 PTS)	53 13.8%	66 86.2%
Q3 - 5:04	WAS	Seraphin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	53 15.6%	64 84.4%
Q3 - 5:05	WAS	MISS Singleton 3PT Jump Shot	53 17.4%	64 82.6%
Q3 - 5:09	WAS	Seraphin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	53 15.6%	64 84.4%
Q3 - 5:10	WAS	MISS Wall 10' Jump Shot	53 17.4%	64 82.6%
Q3 - 5:32	ATL	Teague 1' Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)	53 15.6%	64 84.4%
Q3 - 6:02	WAS	Wall Foul Turnover (P2.T6)	51 14.8%	64 85.2%
Q3 - 6:12	WAS	Booker REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)	51 12.7%	64 87.3%
Q3 - 6:13	ATL	MISS Smith 22' Jump Shot	51 13.3%	64 86.7%
Q3 - 6:23	ATL	Hinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	51 14.7%	64 85.3%
Q3 - 6:25	ATL	MISS Teague 1' Layup	51 13.3%	64 86.7%
Q3 - 6:30	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	51 14.7%	64 85.3%
Q3 - 6:31	WAS	MISS Wall 19' Jump Shot	51 14.0%	64 86.0%
Q3 - 6:44	ATL	Pachulia Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T9)	51 12.6%	64 87.4%
Q3 - 6:52	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	51 14.7%	64 85.3%
Q3 - 6:53	WAS	MISS Crawford 20' Jump Shot	51 14.0%	64 86.0%
Q3 - 7:11	ATL	Pachulia 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)	51 13.6%	64 86.4%
Q3 - 7:24	WAS	Wall Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	49 11.9%	64 88.1%
Q3 - 7:24	WAS	Wall Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	49 12.2%	63 87.8%
Q3 - 7:40	ATL	Pachulia 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)	49 13.5%	62 86.5%
Q3 - 7:59	ATL	Hawks Rebound	47 11.9%	62 88.1%
Q3 - 8:00	WAS	MISS Crawford 18' Jump Shot	47 11.4%	62 88.6%
Q3 - 8:15	WAS	Nene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)	47 10.9%	62 89.1%
Q3 - 8:16	ATL	MISS Smith 10' Jump Shot	47 11.4%	62 88.6%
Q3 - 8:19	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	47 12.5%	62 87.5%
Q3 - 8:21	ATL	MISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot	47 11.4%	62 88.6%
Q3 - 8:36	WAS	Nene 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS)	47 12.5%	62 87.5%
Q3 - 8:54	ATL	Smith Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	47 14.1%	60 85.9%
Q3 - 8:54	ATL	MISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 2	46 13.6%	60 86.4%
Q3 - 9:07	WAS	Nene 1' Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)	46 14.9%	60 85.1%
Q3 - 9:15	WAS	Nene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)	46 16.8%	58 83.2%
Q3 - 9:16	ATL	MISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot	46 17.4%	58 82.6%
Q3 - 9:33	WAS	Wall Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	46 19.0%	58 81.0%
Q3 - 9:33	WAS	Wall Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	46 19.4%	57 80.6%
Q3 - 9:37	WAS	Booker REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)	46 21.2%	56 78.8%
Q3 - 9:38	ATL	MISS Smith 20' Jump Shot	46 22.0%	56 78.0%
Q3 - 9:57	WAS	Booker Tip Shot (6 PTS)	46 23.9%	56 76.1%
Q3 - 10:00	WAS	Booker REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)	46 26.5%	54 73.5%
Q3 - 10:01	WAS	MISS Crawford 19' Jump Shot	46 29.7%	54 70.3%
Q3 - 10:06	ATL	Crawford STEAL (2 STL)	46 27.5%	54 72.5%
Q3 - 10:08	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	46 30.7%	54 69.3%
Q3 - 10:09	WAS	MISS Nene 16' Jump Shot	46 29.7%	54 70.3%
Q3 - 10:26	WAS	WIZARDS Rebound	46 27.5%	54 72.5%
Q3 - 10:26	ATL	MISS Hinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot	46 28.4%	54 71.6%
Q3 - 10:50	WAS	Crawford 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)	46 30.6%	54 69.4%
Q3 - 11:06	ATL	Pachulia 1' Putback Layup (5 PTS)	46 34.6%	52 65.4%
Q3 - 11:08	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	44 31.7%	52 68.3%
Q3 - 11:10	ATL	MISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot	44 29.5%	52 70.5%
Q3 - 11:17	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	44 31.6%	52 68.4%
Q3 - 11:18	WAS	MISS Singleton 3' Jump Shot	44 30.7%	52 69.3%
Q3 - 11:36	ATL	Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)	44 28.5%	52 71.5%
Q3 - 11:42	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	41 23.4%	52 76.6%
Q3 - 11:43	WAS	MISS Wall 9' Jump Shot	41 22.6%	52 77.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0	WAS		41 20.9%	52 79.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0	WAS	WIZARDS Rebound	41 20.9%	52 79.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0	WAS	MISS Crawford 41' 3PT Jump Shot	41 22.6%	52 77.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0	WAS	Vesely REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	41 20.9%	52 79.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0	ATL	MISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	41 23.0%	52 77.0%
Q2 - 0:24.0	WAS	Wall Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	41 24.1%	52 75.9%
Q2 - 0:24.0	WAS	Wall Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	41 24.6%	51 75.4%
Q2 - 0:39.0	ATL	Smith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)	41 27.3%	50 72.7%
Q2 - 0:55.0	WAS	Singleton 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)	41 29.3%	50 70.7%
Q2 - 1:00	ATL	Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)	41 32.8%	48 67.2%
Q2 - 1:25	WAS	Wall 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)	38 27.2%	48 72.8%
Q2 - 1:45	ATL	Teague 8' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)	38 30.7%	46 69.3%
Q2 - 2:08	WAS	Booker 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)	36 28.4%	46 71.6%
Q2 - 2:10	WAS	Booker REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)	36 30.9%	44 69.1%
Q2 - 2:14	WAS	MISS Wall 4' Jump Shot	36 32.9%	44 67.1%
Q2 - 2:20	ATL	Wall STEAL (2 STL)	36 30.9%	44 69.1%
Q2 - 2:33	WAS	Nene Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Wall 2 AST)	36 33.7%	44 66.3%
Q2 - 2:53	ATL	Smith 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)	36 36.5%	42 63.5%
Q2 - 3:12	WAS	Singleton Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)	34 34.7%	42 65.3%
Q2 - 3:22	ATL	Smith 17' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)	34 31.5%	42 68.5%
Q2 - 3:38	WAS	Singleton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)	32 29.3%	42 70.7%
Q2 - 3:58	ATL	Teague Layup (2 PTS)	32 34.2%	39 65.8%
Q2 - 4:02	WAS	Booker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)	30 32.4%	39 67.6%
Q2 - 4:22	WAS	WIZARDS Rebound	30 29.6%	39 70.4%
Q2 - 4:23	ATL	MISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot	30 30.4%	39 69.6%
Q2 - 4:47	WAS	Singleton 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wall 1 AST)	30 32.3%	39 67.7%
Q2 - 4:54	WAS	Nene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)	30 34.8%	37 65.2%
Q2 - 4:55	ATL	MISS Teague 27' 3PT Jump Shot	30 35.7%	37 64.3%
Q2 - 5:18	WAS	Nene 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Singleton 1 AST)	30 38.4%	37 61.6%
Q2 - 5:42	ATL	Johnson 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)	30 41.2%	35 58.8%
Q2 - 6:01	ATL	Hinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	28 39.2%	35 60.8%
Q2 - 6:02	WAS	MISS Nene 14' Jump Shot	28 38.2%	35 61.8%
Q2 - 6:29	ATL	Hinrich Foul Turnover (P1.T5)	28 36.1%	35 63.9%
Q2 - 6:52	WAS	Vesely 1' Running Slam Dunk (2 PTS)	28 39.1%	35 60.9%
Q2 - 6:57	ATL	Vesely STEAL (1 STL)	28 41.4%	33 58.6%
Q2 - 7:16	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	28 45.0%	33 55.0%
Q2 - 7:18	WAS	MISS Mack 7' Jump Shot	28 44.1%	33 55.9%
Q2 - 7:36	ATL	Williams Layup (6 PTS)	28 42.0%	33 58.0%
Q2 - 7:39	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	26 39.7%	33 60.3%
Q2 - 7:42	ATL	Nene BLOCK (2 BLK)	26 37.7%	33 62.3%
Q2 - 7:45	ATL	Radmanovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	26 39.7%	33 60.3%
Q2 - 7:46	ATL	MISS Teague 28' 3PT Jump Shot	26 37.6%	33 62.4%
Q2 - 7:51	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	26 39.7%	33 60.3%
Q2 - 7:52	WAS	MISS Ubiles 24' 3PT Jump Shot	26 38.8%	33 61.2%
Q2 - 8:11	WAS	Nene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)	26 37.6%	33 62.4%
Q2 - 8:13	ATL	MISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 2	26 38.0%	33 62.0%
Q2 - 8:13	ATL	Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	26 39.6%	33 60.4%
Q2 - 8:28	WAS	Mason Jr. 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mack 1 AST)	25 37.7%	33 62.3%
Q2 - 8:42	ATL	Hinrich 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)	25 40.1%	31 59.9%
Q2 - 8:59	ATL	Hawks Rebound	23 37.6%	31 62.4%
Q2 - 8:59	WAS	MISS Ubiles 24' 3PT Jump Shot	23 36.9%	31 63.1%
Q2 - 9:14	WAS	Seraphin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	23 35.7%	31 64.3%
Q2 - 9:15	ATL	MISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot	23 36.4%	31 63.6%
Q2 - 9:19	ATL	Radmanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	23 38.2%	31 61.8%
Q2 - 9:21	ATL	MISS Williams 16' Jump Shot	23 36.4%	31 63.6%
Q2 - 9:43	WAS	Ubiles 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Vesely 1 AST)	23 38.1%	31 61.9%
Q2 - 10:07	WAS	Ubiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	23 40.5%	29 59.5%
Q2 - 10:09	ATL	MISS Radmanovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot	23 41.3%	29 58.7%
Q2 - 10:33	WAS	Ubiles 14' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)	23 43.2%	29 56.8%
Q2 - 10:39	WAS	Ubiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	23 45.4%	27 54.6%
Q2 - 10:40	ATL	MISS Green 11' Jump Shot	23 46.3%	27 53.7%
Q2 - 10:59	WAS	Seraphin 1' Layup (2 PTS)	23 48.2%	27 51.8%
Q2 - 11:13	WAS	Vesely REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	23 50.5%	25 49.5%
Q2 - 11:15	WAS	MISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot	23 52.3%	25 47.7%
Q2 - 11:19	WAS	Crawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	23 50.5%	25 49.5%
Q2 - 11:22	ATL	Ubiles BLOCK (1 BLK)	23 51.3%	25 48.7%
Q2 - 11:37	WAS	Mack 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	23 53.1%	25 46.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0	ATL		23 55.4%	23 44.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0	WAS	Crawford 21' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)	23 58.0%	23 42.0%
Q1 - 0:24.0	ATL	Williams 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)	23 60.4%	21 39.6%
Q1 - 0:40.0	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	21 57.5%	21 42.5%
Q1 - 0:41.0	WAS	MISS Seraphin 7' Jump Shot	21 57.0%	21 43.0%
Q1 - 0:57.0	ATL	Smith 20' Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Green 1 AST)	21 55.7%	21 44.3%
Q1 - 1:18	WAS	Crawford 22' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)	19 52.9%	21 47.1%
Q1 - 1:24	ATL	Crawford STEAL (1 STL)	19 55.9%	19 44.1%
Q1 - 1:32	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	19 57.5%	19 42.5%
Q1 - 1:33	WAS	MISS Seraphin 17' Jump Shot	19 57.0%	19 43.0%
Q1 - 1:55	ATL	Johnson 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)	19 55.9%	19 44.1%
Q1 - 1:59	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	17 52.9%	19 47.1%
Q1 - 2:01	WAS	MISS Mack 16' Jump Shot	17 52.8%	19 47.2%
Q1 - 2:15	ATL	Smith Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)	17 51.3%	19 48.7%
Q1 - 2:20	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	14 46.6%	19 53.4%
Q1 - 2:21	WAS	MISS Wall 15' Jump Shot	14 45.9%	19 54.1%
Q1 - 2:26	ATL	Wall STEAL (1 STL)	14 44.5%	19 55.5%
Q1 - 2:31	WAS	Wall Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)	14 46.6%	19 53.4%
Q1 - 2:41	WAS	Crawford Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)	14 44.5%	19 55.5%
Q1 - 2:54	ATL	Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	14 46.8%	18 53.2%
Q1 - 2:54	ATL	Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	13 46.4%	18 53.6%
Q1 - 3:12	WAS	Crawford 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	12 44.8%	18 55.2%
Q1 - 3:23	WAS	Booker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	12 46.9%	16 53.1%
Q1 - 3:24	ATL	MISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot	12 47.6%	16 52.4%
Q1 - 3:34	ATL	Hawks Rebound	12 49.3%	16 50.7%
Q1 - 3:35	ATL	MISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot	12 47.6%	16 52.4%
Q1 - 3:42	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12 49.3%	16 50.7%
Q1 - 3:43	WAS	MISS Singleton 24' 3PT Jump Shot	12 48.6%	16 51.4%
Q1 - 4:08	WAS	WIZARDS Rebound	12 47.0%	16 53.0%
Q1 - 4:08	ATL	MISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	12 47.7%	16 52.3%
Q1 - 4:27	WAS	Crawford 14' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)	12 49.4%	16 50.6%
Q1 - 4:49	ATL	Johnson 1' Layup (2 PTS)	12 51.4%	14 48.6%
Q1 - 5:03	WAS	Jump Ball Nene vs. Smith: Tip to Pachulia	10 49.5%	14 50.5%
Q1 - 5:03	WAS	Nene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)	10 47.1%	14 52.9%
Q1 - 5:03	WAS	MISS Nene 10' Jump Shot	10 48.7%	14 51.3%
Q1 - 5:23	ATL	Smith Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)	10 47.1%	14 52.9%
Q1 - 5:37	WAS	Nene 12' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)	7 43.1%	14 56.9%
Q1 - 6:00	ATL	Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)	7 45.0%	12 55.0%
Q1 - 6:13	ATL	Hinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 41.5%	12 58.5%
Q1 - 6:14	WAS	MISS Singleton 24' 3PT Jump Shot	4 40.9%	12 59.1%
Q1 - 6:33	WAS	Singleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 39.4%	12 60.6%
Q1 - 6:34	ATL	MISS Smith 16' Jump Shot	4 40.0%	12 60.0%
Q1 - 6:52	WAS	Nene 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)	4 41.5%	12 58.5%
Q1 - 7:01	WAS	Booker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	4 43.9%	10 56.1%
Q1 - 7:02	ATL	MISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot	4 44.6%	10 55.4%
Q1 - 7:28	WAS	Crawford 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)	4 46.1%	10 53.9%
Q1 - 7:32	WAS	Nene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	4 47.8%	8 52.2%
Q1 - 7:33	WAS	MISS Booker 2' Layup	4 49.3%	8 50.7%
Q1 - 7:35	WAS	Booker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)	4 47.8%	8 52.2%
Q1 - 7:39	WAS	MISS Booker 3' Jump Shot	4 49.3%	8 50.7%
Q1 - 7:43	WAS	Wall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	4 47.8%	8 52.2%
Q1 - 7:53	ATL	Nene BLOCK (1 BLK)	4 48.5%	8 51.5%
Q1 - 8:00	WAS	Booker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)	4 50.0%	8 50.0%
Q1 - 8:23	ATL	Johnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	4 48.4%	8 51.6%
Q1 - 8:41	WAS	Nene Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)	4 50.2%	8 49.8%
Q1 - 8:41	WAS	Nene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	4 54.1%	5 45.9%
Q1 - 8:41	WAS	MISS Booker Layup	4 55.4%	5 44.6%
Q1 - 8:44	WAS	Booker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	4 54.1%	5 45.9%
Q1 - 8:45	WAS	MISS Nene 5' Jump Shot	4 55.4%	5 44.6%
Q1 - 9:00	WAS	Nene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	4 54.1%	5 45.9%
Q1 - 9:01	WAS	MISS Wall 17' Jump Shot	4 55.9%	5 44.1%
Q1 - 9:17	ATL	Pachulia 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)	4 54.5%	5 45.5%
Q1 - 9:40	WAS	Booker 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)	2 52.7%	5 47.3%
Q1 - 9:43	WAS	Booker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	2 54.5%	3 45.5%
Q1 - 9:45	WAS	MISS Singleton 25' 3PT Jump Shot	2 55.8%	3 44.2%
Q1 - 9:52	WAS	Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	2 54.5%	3 45.5%
Q1 - 9:53	ATL	MISS Hinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot	2 55.1%	3 44.9%
Q1 - 10:06	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 56.5%	3 43.5%
Q1 - 10:07	WAS	MISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot	2 55.9%	3 44.1%
Q1 - 10:34	ATL	Smith 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	2 54.5%	3 45.5%
Q1 - 10:50	ATL	Teague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 53.0%	3 47.0%
Q1 - 10:51	WAS	MISS Booker 21' Jump Shot	0 52.4%	3 47.6%
Q1 - 10:59	WAS	Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 51.0%	3 49.0%
Q1 - 11:01	ATL	MISS Smith 21' Jump Shot	0 52.0%	3 48.0%
Q1 - 11:23	WAS	Nene Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	0 53.1%	3 46.9%
Q1 - 11:36	WAS	Wall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 56.5%	0 43.5%
Q1 - 11:37	ATL	MISS Hinrich 2' Layup	0 56.9%	0 43.1%
Q1 - 12:00	WAS	Jump Ball Nene vs. Smith: Tip to Pachulia	0 58.0%	0 42.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.08 54.0%

WAS

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

71%

WAS

73%

Midrange

ATL

51%

WAS

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

10.5

30%

46%

WAS

6.0

22%

33%

Free Throws

ATL

67%

WAS

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Smith	20	56%	10.0 / 18
J. Johnson	16	62%	8.0 / 13
Z. Pachulia	13	72%	6.5 / 9
M. Williams	13	54%	6.5 / 12
K. Hinrich	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Teague	9	45%	4.5 / 10
V. Radmanovic	6	50%	3.0 / 6
I. Johnson	5	83%	2.5 / 3
W. Green	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Nene	21	75%	10.5 / 14
J. Crawford	20	53%	10.0 / 19
E. Ubiles	10	63%	5.0 / 8
C. Singleton	9	41%	4.5 / 11
T. Booker	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Wall	8	31%	4.0 / 13
J. Vesely	5	83%	2.5 / 3
R. Mason Jr.	5	83%	2.5 / 3
K. Seraphin	4	40%	2.0 / 5
S. Mack	2	17%	1.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+14

-11

WAS

+15

-8

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.08 54.0%

WAS

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	105.3 100.7	ATL 113.1 +3.6 WAS 109.5
Pace	89.9 92.9	ATL 86.1 +4.1 WAS 82.0
Avg. Poss. Time	15.8 15.4	ATL 16.7 +0.8 WAS 17.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	50.0% 47.2%	ATL 53.3% +6.2% WAS 47.1%
TO %	14.5% 15.7%	ATL 12.3% WAS 8.1% +4.2%
ORB %	23.9% 27.4%	ATL 28.6% WAS 31.1% +2.5%
FTrt	25.9 25.3	ATL 27.6 +11.1 WAS 16.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	61.0% 52.3%	ATL 59.5% +25.3% WAS 34.2%
STL %	8.8% 8.6%	ATL 6.0% WAS 7.1% +1.1%
BLK %	7.2% 10.1%	ATL 4.5% WAS 7.5% +3.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	52.1% 49.6%	ATL 54.0% +3.5% WAS 50.5%
Rim FG%	60.0% 58.4%	ATL 71.4% WAS 72.7% +1.3%
Mid FG%	38.2% 37.3%	ATL 51.3% +11.3% WAS 40.0%
3P %	37.0% 32.0%	ATL 30.4% +8.2% WAS 22.2%
FT %	74.0% 72.8%	ATL 66.7% WAS 85.7% +19.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	34.6% 37.0%	ATL 18.4% WAS 25.9% +7.5%
Mid Att. %	40.6% 43.3%	ATL 51.3% +1.6% WAS 52.9%
3P Att. %	24.9% 19.6%	ATL 30.3% +9.1% WAS 21.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	WAS
Possessions	84	84
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.6
Points	95	92
Rebounds	41	39
Assists	22	13
Steals	5	6
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	14 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (2)	25 (4)
Field Goals	37-76	38-85
At-the-Rim FG	10-14	16-22
Midrange FG	20-39	18-45
2-Point FG	30-53	34-67
3-Point FG	7-23	4-18
Free Throws	14-21	12-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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16 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 24	36.7	9	45%	1	9	1	0	3	5	0	1	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	0-4	0%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 26	35.2	20	56%	9	2	3	2	2	1	2	7	4-5	80%	8-15	53%	0-2	0%
Kirk Hinrich G · 6'4" 190 · 31	31.8	10	56%	7	2	0	0	1	4	1	6	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Joe Johnson F · 6'7" 240 · 31	30.4	16	62%	5	3	0	0	2	1	0	5	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	2-4	50%
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 28	24.5	13	72%	4	1	0	1	1	2	1	3	3-6	50%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 26	25.1	13	54%	3	0	1	0	1	0	1	2	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	1-3	33%
Ivan Johnson F · 6'8" 255 · 28	17.6	5	83%	6	1	0	0	0	2	0	6	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Vladimir Radmanovic F · 6'10" 235 · 31	17.4	6	50%	4	2	0	0	1	1	4	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Willie Green G · 6'3" 205 · 31	15.1	3	38%	2	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Jason Collins C · 7'0" 255 · 33	6.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tracy McGrady G-F · 6'8" 225 · 33
Jerry Stackhouse F · 6'6" 218 · 37
Erick Dampier C · 6'11" 265 · 37
Jannero Pargo #7 · G · 6'1" 185 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Al Horford #15 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	54%	41	22	5	3	11	0	10	31	14-21	67%	30-53	57%	7-23	30%

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16 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 24	36.7	9	45%	1	9	1	0	3	5	0	1	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	0-4	0%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 26	35.2	20	56%	9	2	3	2	2	1	2	7	4-5	80%	8-15	53%	0-2	0%
Kirk Hinrich G · 6'4" 190 · 31	31.8	10	56%	7	2	0	0	1	4	1	6	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Joe Johnson F · 6'7" 240 · 31	30.4	16	62%	5	3	0	0	2	1	0	5	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	2-4	50%
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 28	24.5	13	72%	4	1	0	1	1	2	1	3	3-6	50%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 26	25.1	13	54%	3	0	1	0	1	0	1	2	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	1-3	33%
Ivan Johnson F · 6'8" 255 · 28	17.6	5	83%	6	1	0	0	0	2	0	6	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Vladimir Radmanovic F · 6'10" 235 · 31	17.4	6	50%	4	2	0	0	1	1	4	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Willie Green G · 6'3" 205 · 31	15.1	3	38%	2	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Jason Collins C · 7'0" 255 · 33	6.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tracy McGrady G-F · 6'8" 225 · 33
Jerry Stackhouse F · 6'6" 218 · 37
Erick Dampier C · 6'11" 265 · 37
Jannero Pargo #7 · G · 6'1" 185 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Al Horford #15 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	54%	41	22	5	3	11	0	10	31	14-21	67%	30-53	57%	7-23	30%

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24 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jordan Crawford G · 6'4" 195 · 23	36.0	20	53%	3	2	2	0	1	1	1	2	1-1	100%	8-13	62%	1-6	17%
Nene C · 6'11" 250 · 30	33.3	21	75%	11	2	0	3	1	3	4	7	3-4	75%	9-13	69%	0-0	-
Trevor Booker F · 6'8" 228 · 24	32.4	8	50%	14	3	0	0	3	5	5	9	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-0	-
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 22	31.6	8	31%	2	3	2	0	2	1	0	2	6-6	100%	1-8	13%	0-2	0%
Chris Singleton F · 6'9" 228 · 22	29.7	9	41%	1	1	0	0	1	5	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-6	17%
Edwin Ubiles F-G · 6'6" 204 · 25	18.3	10	63%	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Shelvin Mack G · 6'3" 203 · 22	16.4	2	17%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-0	-
Jan Vesely F · 7'0" 242 · 22	15.1	5	83%	3	1	1	0	0	1	2	1	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Kevin Seraphin F-C · 6'10" 278 · 22	14.7	4	40%	3	0	0	0	0	3	2	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Roger Mason Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 32	12.5	5	83%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Maurice Evans G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33
Brian Cook C-F · 6'9" 250 · 31
Andray Blatche #7 · C-F · 6'11" 260 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Rashard Lewis #9 · F · 6'10" 235 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	51%	39	13	6	4	8	0	14	25	12-14	86%	34-67	51%	4-18	22%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE