FinalWin Prob.pScore
180%103
88
2920%91
73
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
95.79287.7
DET logo DET
80.29196.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA88
100%
73
0%
Q4 - 0:19.0DETKnight 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)88
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIABosh 1' Dunk (15 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)88
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0DETGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T23)86
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)86
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:21DETMISS Prince 4' Hook Shot86
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:27MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)86
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:27MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)85
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:43DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#22)84
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:43DETPISTONS Rebound84
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:44DETMISS Knight 20' Jump Shot84
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 2:07MIAHeat Rebound84
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 2:07MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)84
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 2:08MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot84
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 2:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)84
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 2:11MIAWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)84
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 2:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 2:32DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 2:42DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 2:44MIAMISS James 28' 3PT Jump Shot84
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 2:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 2:49MIAMISS James 11' Fadeaway Jumper84
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 3:04MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 3:06DETMISS Jerebko Reverse Layup84
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 3:26DETGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 3:27MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot84
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 3:52MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)84
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 3:52DETMISS Knight Free Throw 2 of 284
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 3:52DETKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)84
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 3:56MIAJerebko STEAL (1 STL)84
99.8%
70
0.2%
Q4 - 4:00DETGordon Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T21)84
99.8%
70
0.2%
Q4 - 4:10DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
99.8%
70
0.2%
Q4 - 4:13MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot84
99.8%
70
0.2%
Q4 - 4:44DETKnight 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)84
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 5:01MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)84
99.8%
67
0.2%
Q4 - 5:01MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)83
99.8%
67
0.2%
Q4 - 5:08MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
99.8%
67
0.2%
Q4 - 5:09DETMISS Daye 18' Fadeaway Jumper82
99.8%
67
0.2%
Q4 - 5:27MIAWade 12' Running Jump Shot (22 PTS) (James 10 AST)82
99.7%
67
0.3%
Q4 - 5:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)80
99.6%
67
0.4%
Q4 - 5:44MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Bank Shot80
99.5%
67
0.5%
Q4 - 5:53MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)80
99.6%
67
0.4%
Q4 - 5:54DETMISS Jerebko 19' Jump Shot80
99.5%
67
0.5%
Q4 - 6:06DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)80
99.1%
67
0.9%
Q4 - 6:07MIAMISS Haslem 7' Hook Shot80
99.2%
67
0.8%
Q4 - 6:26MIAHeat Rebound80
99.4%
67
0.6%
Q4 - 6:27MIAMISS Wade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot80
99.2%
67
0.8%
Q4 - 6:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)80
99.4%
67
0.6%
Q4 - 6:42DETMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot80
99.3%
67
0.7%
Q4 - 7:05MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS)80
98.9%
67
1.1%
Q4 - 7:21DETDaye 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bynum 6 AST)78
98.6%
67
1.4%
Q4 - 7:41MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)78
98.9%
65
1.1%
Q4 - 7:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)76
98.7%
65
1.3%
Q4 - 7:58DETMISS Jerebko 27' 3PT Jump Shot76
98.5%
65
1.5%
Q4 - 8:17MIAWade 15' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)76
97.8%
65
2.2%
Q4 - 8:20MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)74
97.2%
65
2.8%
Q4 - 8:22MIAMISS Cole 27' 3PT Jump Shot74
96.7%
65
3.3%
Q4 - 8:32MIAHeat Rebound74
97.2%
65
2.8%
Q4 - 8:33MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
96.7%
65
3.3%
Q4 - 8:58DETJerebko 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Bynum 5 AST)74
97.2%
65
2.8%
Q4 - 9:02MIABynum STEAL (2 STL)74
97.4%
63
2.6%
Q4 - 9:13DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T20)74
98.0%
63
2.0%
Q4 - 9:41DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)74
97.5%
63
2.5%
Q4 - 9:42MIAMISS Cole 19' Jump Shot74
97.6%
63
2.4%
Q4 - 9:54DETDaye 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wilkins 1 AST)74
98.0%
63
2.0%
Q4 - 10:22MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)74
98.1%
61
1.9%
Q4 - 10:22MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)73
98.0%
61
2.0%
Q4 - 10:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)72
97.7%
61
2.3%
Q4 - 10:30DETMISS Wilkins 12' Jump Shot72
97.5%
61
2.5%
Q4 - 10:36MIAWallace STEAL (4 STL)72
97.1%
61
2.9%
Q4 - 10:55DETWallace Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Bynum 4 AST)72
97.7%
61
2.3%
Q4 - 11:18DETPISTONS Rebound72
97.9%
59
2.1%
Q4 - 11:19MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot72
98.0%
59
2.0%
Q4 - 11:39DETDaye Layup (2 PTS)72
98.3%
59
1.7%
Q4 - 11:40DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)72
98.6%
57
1.4%
Q4 - 11:42DETMISS Wilkins 1' Layup72
98.8%
57
1.2%
Q4 - 11:46MIAWallace STEAL (3 STL)72
98.6%
57
1.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA72
98.9%
57
1.1%
Q3 - 0:25.0DETBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)72
98.7%
57
1.3%
Q3 - 0:25.0DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)72
98.7%
56
1.3%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIACole Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)72
98.9%
55
1.1%
Q3 - 0:53.0DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T19)72
99.1%
55
0.9%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAWallace STEAL (2 STL)72
98.9%
55
1.1%
Q3 - 1:11DETBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)72
99.0%
55
1.0%
Q3 - 1:11DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)72
99.0%
54
1.0%
Q3 - 1:14MIAMaxiell STEAL (1 STL)72
99.2%
53
0.8%
Q3 - 1:35MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
99.3%
53
0.7%
Q3 - 1:36DETMISS Prince 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
99.3%
53
0.7%
Q3 - 1:55MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)72
99.2%
53
0.8%
Q3 - 2:22DETWilkins 19' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)70
98.9%
53
1.1%
Q3 - 2:27MIAWallace STEAL (1 STL)70
99.1%
51
0.9%
Q3 - 2:43DETWilkins 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bynum 3 AST)70
99.2%
51
0.8%
Q3 - 2:51DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)70
99.5%
48
0.5%
Q3 - 2:53MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot70
99.5%
48
0.5%
Q3 - 3:19DETPrince Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST)70
99.5%
48
0.5%
Q3 - 3:21DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)70
99.6%
46
0.4%
Q3 - 3:24MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot70
99.6%
46
0.4%
Q3 - 3:58DETWilkins 18' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)70
99.7%
46
0.3%
Q3 - 4:18DETWilkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
99.7%
44
0.3%
Q3 - 4:19MIAMISS Wade 15' Fadeaway Jumper70
99.7%
44
0.3%
Q3 - 4:34DETPrince Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T18)70
99.7%
44
0.3%
Q3 - 4:51DETPISTONS Rebound70
99.7%
44
0.3%
Q3 - 4:52MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
99.7%
44
0.3%
Q3 - 4:58MIAHeat Rebound70
99.7%
44
0.3%
Q3 - 4:59MIAPrince BLOCK (1 BLK)70
99.7%
44
0.3%
Q3 - 5:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)70
99.7%
44
0.3%
Q3 - 5:03DETMISS Bynum 9' Running Jump Shot70
99.6%
44
0.4%
Q3 - 5:26DETPISTONS Rebound70
99.6%
44
0.4%
Q3 - 5:27DETMISS Monroe 1' Tip Shot70
99.7%
44
0.3%
Q3 - 5:28DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)70
99.6%
44
0.4%
Q3 - 5:29DETMISS Knight Layup70
99.7%
44
0.3%
Q3 - 5:44MIAChalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)70
99.6%
44
0.4%
Q3 - 5:51MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
99.5%
44
0.5%
Q3 - 5:52MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot67
99.4%
44
0.6%
Q3 - 5:58DETGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T17)67
99.5%
44
0.5%
Q3 - 6:24MIAWade Dunk (16 PTS) (James 9 AST)67
99.3%
44
0.7%
Q3 - 6:28DETGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)65
99.2%
44
0.8%
Q3 - 6:32MIAGordon STEAL (2 STL)65
99.0%
44
1.0%
Q3 - 6:54DETGordon 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Monroe 3 AST)65
99.2%
44
0.8%
Q3 - 6:58DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
99.3%
42
0.7%
Q3 - 6:59MIAMISS Wade 18' Turnaround Jump Shot65
99.3%
42
0.7%
Q3 - 7:20DETGordon 13' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)65
99.3%
42
0.7%
Q3 - 7:41MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)65
99.4%
40
0.6%
Q3 - 7:54MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
99.5%
40
0.5%
Q3 - 7:55DETMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
99.4%
40
0.6%
Q3 - 8:08DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
99.3%
40
0.7%
Q3 - 8:10MIAMISS Wade 1' Reverse Layup65
99.4%
40
0.6%
Q3 - 8:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)65
99.4%
40
0.6%
Q3 - 8:23DETMISS Gordon Free Throw 2 of 265
99.4%
40
0.6%
Q3 - 8:23DETGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)65
99.4%
40
0.6%
Q3 - 8:39MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)65
99.4%
39
0.6%
Q3 - 8:39MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)64
99.4%
39
0.6%
Q3 - 8:40DETMonroe Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)63
99.3%
39
0.7%
Q3 - 8:55MIAChalmers Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)63
99.2%
39
0.8%
Q3 - 8:59DETMonroe Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)63
99.3%
39
0.7%
Q3 - 9:24MIAAnthony 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)63
99.2%
39
0.8%
Q3 - 9:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
99.1%
39
0.9%
Q3 - 9:31DETMISS Knight Layup61
99.0%
39
1.0%
Q3 - 9:41DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
98.9%
39
1.1%
Q3 - 9:42MIAMISS James 17' Fadeaway Jumper61
99.0%
39
1.0%
Q3 - 10:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
99.0%
39
1.0%
Q3 - 10:03DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 261
99.0%
39
1.0%
Q3 - 10:03DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 261
98.9%
39
1.1%
Q3 - 10:19MIAJames Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)61
98.8%
39
1.2%
Q3 - 10:24DETKnight Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)59
98.7%
39
1.3%
Q3 - 10:43MIAAnthony Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)59
98.5%
39
1.5%
Q3 - 10:44MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
98.7%
39
1.3%
Q3 - 10:46MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot59
98.5%
39
1.5%
Q3 - 10:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
98.7%
39
1.3%
Q3 - 11:01DETMISS Maxiell 17' Jump Shot59
98.5%
39
1.5%
Q3 - 11:16DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
98.4%
39
1.6%
Q3 - 11:17MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
98.4%
39
1.6%
Q3 - 11:41DETKnight 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)59
98.6%
39
1.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET59
98.9%
36
1.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound59
98.9%
36
1.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Bynum 1' Layup59
99.0%
36
1.0%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAWade 1' Reverse Layup (14 PTS) (James 8 AST)59
98.8%
36
1.2%
Q2 - 0:25.0DETMonroe Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)57
98.6%
36
1.4%
Q2 - 0:28.0DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)57
98.5%
36
1.5%
Q2 - 0:29.0DETMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
98.6%
36
1.4%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAJames 19' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)57
98.5%
36
1.5%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
98.2%
36
1.8%
Q2 - 1:01DETMISS Maxiell 1' Layup55
98.1%
36
1.9%
Q2 - 1:12DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
98.0%
36
2.0%
Q2 - 1:16MIAMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot55
98.0%
36
2.0%
Q2 - 1:22MIABattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
98.1%
36
1.9%
Q2 - 1:24DETMISS Bynum 10' Running Jump Shot55
98.1%
36
1.9%
Q2 - 1:46MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 7 AST)55
98.0%
36
2.0%
Q2 - 2:12DETPrince 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Monroe 2 AST)53
97.5%
36
2.5%
Q2 - 2:36MIABosh 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)53
98.1%
33
1.9%
Q2 - 2:53DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)51
97.8%
33
2.2%
Q2 - 3:10MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)51
98.2%
30
1.8%
Q2 - 3:12MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
97.8%
30
2.2%
Q2 - 3:13DETMISS Maxiell 8' Jump Shot48
97.7%
30
2.3%
Q2 - 3:19DETGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
97.5%
30
2.5%
Q2 - 3:20MIAMISS James 9' Fadeaway Jumper48
97.6%
30
2.4%
Q2 - 3:38DETGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)48
97.8%
30
2.2%
Q2 - 3:53MIABattier 1' Layup (9 PTS) (James 6 AST)48
97.5%
30
2.5%
Q2 - 3:58DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)46
97.2%
30
2.8%
Q2 - 4:10MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)46
96.7%
30
3.3%
Q2 - 4:10MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)45
96.6%
30
3.4%
Q2 - 4:27DETGordon 18' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)44
96.3%
30
3.7%
Q2 - 4:33MIAGordon STEAL (1 STL)44
96.7%
28
3.3%
Q2 - 4:49DETPrince 1' Driving Dunk (6 PTS)44
97.1%
28
2.9%
Q2 - 5:04MIAWade Dunk (10 PTS) (James 5 AST)44
97.3%
26
2.7%
Q2 - 5:11DETKnight Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)42
97.0%
26
3.0%
Q2 - 5:15MIABattier Layup (7 PTS)42
96.6%
26
3.4%
Q2 - 5:16MIABattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
96.2%
26
3.8%
Q2 - 5:17MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
95.9%
26
4.1%
Q2 - 5:27DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)40
96.2%
26
3.8%
Q2 - 5:41DETPISTONS Rebound40
95.8%
26
4.2%
Q2 - 5:43MIAMISS Battier 6' Hook Shot40
95.9%
26
4.1%
Q2 - 5:58DETPrince 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)40
96.2%
26
3.8%
Q2 - 6:10MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)40
95.5%
26
4.5%
Q2 - 6:19MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
96.0%
26
4.0%
Q2 - 6:20DETMISS Knight Free Throw 2 of 240
96.0%
26
4.0%
Q2 - 6:20DETKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)40
95.7%
26
4.3%
Q2 - 6:25DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
96.0%
25
4.0%
Q2 - 6:28MIAMISS Cole 1' Layup40
96.1%
25
3.9%
Q2 - 6:48DETJerebko 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)40
96.5%
25
3.5%
Q2 - 7:04MIATuriaf Putback Dunk (4 PTS)40
96.7%
23
3.3%
Q2 - 7:05MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
96.3%
23
3.7%
Q2 - 7:08MIAMISS Battier 1' Layup38
96.0%
23
4.0%
Q2 - 7:10MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
96.3%
23
3.7%
Q2 - 7:12MIAMISS Cole 27' 3PT Jump Shot38
96.0%
23
4.0%
Q2 - 7:30MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
96.3%
23
3.7%
Q2 - 7:32DETMISS Jerebko 27' 3PT Jump Shot38
96.2%
23
3.8%
Q2 - 7:47MIABattier 10' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)38
95.9%
23
4.1%
Q2 - 8:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
95.3%
23
4.7%
Q2 - 8:10DETMISS Jerebko Free Throw 1 of 136
95.2%
23
4.8%
Q2 - 8:28MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)36
95.8%
21
4.2%
Q2 - 8:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
94.8%
21
5.2%
Q2 - 8:40DETMISS Wilkins 4' Jump Shot33
94.7%
21
5.3%
Q2 - 8:53MIABynum STEAL (1 STL)33
94.3%
21
5.7%
Q2 - 9:06MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
94.7%
21
5.3%
Q2 - 9:07DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 233
94.6%
21
5.4%
Q2 - 9:07DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 233
94.4%
21
5.6%
Q2 - 9:08DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)33
94.1%
21
5.9%
Q2 - 9:09DETMISS Wilkins Dunk33
94.5%
21
5.5%
Q2 - 9:18DETGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
94.1%
21
5.9%
Q2 - 9:19MIAMISS Cole 18' Jump Shot33
94.3%
21
5.7%
Q2 - 9:28MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
94.7%
21
5.3%
Q2 - 9:29DETMISS Wilkins 15' Jump Shot33
94.5%
21
5.5%
Q2 - 9:42DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)33
94.1%
21
5.9%
Q2 - 9:43DETMISS Gordon 9' Running Jump Shot33
94.5%
21
5.5%
Q2 - 10:01MIAWade 17' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)33
93.9%
21
6.1%
Q2 - 10:18DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)31
93.3%
21
6.7%
Q2 - 10:36DETGordon Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)31
92.6%
21
7.4%
Q2 - 10:51MIACole Driving Layup (2 PTS)31
93.3%
20
6.7%
Q2 - 10:57MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
92.7%
20
7.3%
Q2 - 10:58DETMISS Gordon 1' Layup29
92.5%
20
7.5%
Q2 - 11:07DETWilkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
91.7%
20
8.3%
Q2 - 11:08DETMISS Jerebko 4' Hook Shot29
92.2%
20
7.8%
Q2 - 11:22MIAWade 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Turiaf 1 AST)29
91.7%
20
8.3%
Q2 - 11:40DETWallace Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)27
91.0%
20
9.0%
Q2 - 11:42DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
90.1%
20
9.9%
Q2 - 11:44DETMISS Wallace Driving Layup27
90.7%
20
9.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA27
90.1%
20
9.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound27
91.0%
20
9.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 36' 3PT Jump Shot27
90.4%
20
9.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0DETBynum Driving Layup (2 PTS)27
90.7%
20
9.3%
Q1 - 0:10.0DETWilkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
91.7%
18
8.3%
Q1 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Turiaf Free Throw 2 of 227
91.7%
18
8.3%
Q1 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Turiaf Free Throw 1 of 227
92.1%
18
7.9%
Q1 - 0:11.0DETBynum Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)27
92.2%
18
7.8%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 4 AST)27
91.7%
18
8.3%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
90.7%
18
9.3%
Q1 - 0:40.0DETMISS Bynum 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
90.5%
18
9.5%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
90.1%
18
9.9%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
89.9%
18
10.1%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAHeat Rebound23
89.0%
18
11.0%
Q1 - 0:51.0DETMISS Gordon 3PT Jump Shot23
88.7%
18
11.3%
Q1 - 1:02DETWilkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
88.3%
18
11.7%
Q1 - 1:03MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot23
88.5%
18
11.5%
Q1 - 1:24DETWilkins 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)23
88.9%
18
11.1%
Q1 - 1:38DETPISTONS Rebound23
90.1%
16
9.9%
Q1 - 1:39DETMISS Wallace Layup23
90.5%
16
9.5%
Q1 - 2:06MIATuriaf 1' Layup (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)23
90.0%
16
10.0%
Q1 - 2:23DETGordon 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
89.0%
16
11.0%
Q1 - 2:34MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)21
90.0%
14
10.0%
Q1 - 2:54MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
88.1%
14
11.9%
Q1 - 2:55DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot18
87.9%
14
12.1%
Q1 - 3:08MIAJames 1' Layup (6 PTS)18
87.4%
14
12.6%
Q1 - 3:14MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
86.5%
14
13.5%
Q1 - 3:15DETMISS Prince 18' Jump Shot16
86.1%
14
13.9%
Q1 - 3:24DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)16
85.3%
14
14.7%
Q1 - 3:26MIAMISS Bosh 4' Jump Shot16
85.7%
14
14.3%
Q1 - 3:50DETKnight 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST)16
86.4%
14
13.6%
Q1 - 4:09MIAJames Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)16
88.4%
11
11.6%
Q1 - 4:15DETGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)14
87.6%
11
12.4%
Q1 - 4:25MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
86.5%
11
13.5%
Q1 - 4:25MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
86.3%
11
13.7%
Q1 - 4:40MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
85.5%
11
14.5%
Q1 - 4:41DETMISS Maxiell 18' Jump Shot12
85.2%
11
14.8%
Q1 - 5:01MIAJames 14' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)12
84.0%
11
16.0%
Q1 - 5:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
83.0%
11
17.0%
Q1 - 5:24DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot10
82.6%
11
17.4%
Q1 - 5:38DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
81.6%
11
18.4%
Q1 - 5:39MIAMISS Bosh 6' Fadeaway Jumper10
82.0%
11
18.0%
Q1 - 6:04DETPrince 13' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)10
83.2%
11
16.8%
Q1 - 6:17MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
84.2%
9
15.8%
Q1 - 6:17MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
84.0%
9
16.0%
Q1 - 6:32MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
83.1%
9
16.9%
Q1 - 6:33DETMISS Knight Layup8
82.7%
9
17.3%
Q1 - 6:37DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
81.8%
9
18.2%
Q1 - 6:38DETMISS Maxiell 7' Hook Shot8
82.7%
9
17.3%
Q1 - 6:41DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
81.8%
9
18.2%
Q1 - 6:43DETMISS Knight 1' Layup8
82.7%
9
17.3%
Q1 - 7:01MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
82.2%
9
17.8%
Q1 - 7:03DETGordon Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
83.5%
9
16.5%
Q1 - 7:05DETGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
82.2%
9
17.8%
Q1 - 7:06MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup8
82.6%
9
17.4%
Q1 - 7:27DETKnight 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)8
83.5%
9
16.5%
Q1 - 7:35DETKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
84.4%
7
15.6%
Q1 - 7:36MIAMISS Wade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot8
84.8%
7
15.2%
Q1 - 7:53DETPrince Tip Shot (2 PTS)8
85.5%
7
14.5%
Q1 - 7:54DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
86.4%
5
13.6%
Q1 - 7:55DETMISS Prince 8' Running Jump Shot8
87.1%
5
12.9%
Q1 - 8:16DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
86.8%
5
13.2%
Q1 - 8:17MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot8
87.0%
5
13.0%
Q1 - 8:30MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
87.6%
5
12.4%
Q1 - 8:32DETMISS Knight 7' Floating Jump Shot8
87.3%
5
12.7%
Q1 - 8:39DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
86.7%
5
13.3%
Q1 - 8:40MIAMISS Bosh 9' Fadeaway Jumper8
87.0%
5
13.0%
Q1 - 8:55DETMonroe Layup (2 PTS)8
87.6%
5
12.4%
Q1 - 8:57DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
88.4%
3
11.6%
Q1 - 9:00DETMISS Monroe 1' Layup8
88.9%
3
11.1%
Q1 - 9:12MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)8
88.6%
3
11.4%
Q1 - 9:19MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
87.8%
3
12.2%
Q1 - 9:21DETMISS Gordon 29' 3PT Jump Shot6
87.6%
3
12.4%
Q1 - 9:30DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
87.0%
3
13.0%
Q1 - 9:32MIAMISS Anthony 6' Jump Shot6
87.3%
3
12.7%
Q1 - 9:51DETKnight Foul Turnover (P1.T1)6
87.8%
3
12.2%
Q1 - 10:10MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
86.9%
3
13.1%
Q1 - 10:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
86.2%
3
13.8%
Q1 - 10:16DETMISS Monroe 1' Layup4
85.9%
3
14.1%
Q1 - 10:41MIAAnthony 1' Layup (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)4
85.2%
3
14.8%
Q1 - 10:53MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
84.4%
3
15.6%
Q1 - 10:54DETMISS Maxiell 17' Jump Shot2
84.1%
3
15.9%
Q1 - 11:11MIAAnthony Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
83.7%
3
16.3%
Q1 - 11:22DETKnight 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)0
82.7%
3
17.3%
Q1 - 11:41DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
84.6%
0
15.4%
Q1 - 11:43MIAMISS Bosh 10' Jump Bank Shot0
84.8%
0
15.2%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Monroe vs. Anthony: Tip to Bosh0
85.4%
0
14.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.98 48.9%
DET
0.86 42.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
21
27
78%
DET
13
31
42%
Midrange
MIA
11
34
32%
DET
10
29
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
2
3.0
16
13%
19%
DET
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
Free Throws
MIA
18
20
90%
DET
9
17
53%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2457%12.0 / 21
L. James1750%8.5 / 17
C. Bosh1558%7.5 / 13
S. Battier956%4.5 / 8
U. Haslem857%4.0 / 7
J. Anthony675%3.0 / 4
R. Turiaf467%2.0 / 3
M. Chalmers321%1.5 / 7
N. Cole217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Knight1864%9.0 / 14
T. Prince1146%5.5 / 12
B. Gordon1045%5.0 / 11
D. Wilkins950%4.5 / 9
W. Bynum643%3.0 / 7
J. Jerebko638%3.0 / 8
A. Daye675%3.0 / 4
G. Monroe550%2.5 / 5
B. Wallace220%1.0 / 5
J. Maxiell0-0.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+14
-16
90
DET
70
+15
-21
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.98 48.9%
DET
0.86 42.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
100.8
MIA 95.7 +15.4
DET 80.2
Pace
91.3
89.5
MIA 87.7
DET 96.1 +8.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.2
MIA 16.4
DET 15.0 +1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.5%
46.8%
MIA 45.5% +2.8%
DET 42.7%
TO %
15.9%
16.2%
MIA 16.5% +5.3%
DET 21.8%
ORB %
26.6%
28.1%
MIA 25.0% +1.6%
DET 23.4%
FTrt
30.7
27.9
MIA 26.0 +3.3
DET 22.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.8%
53.8%
MIA 70.6% +15.4%
DET 55.2%
STL %
9.6%
7.7%
MIA 16.3% +5.3%
DET 11.0%
BLK %
9.0%
6.9%
MIA 6.7% +3.4%
DET 3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
49.5%
MIA 48.9% +6.0%
DET 42.9%
Rim FG%
61.1%
54.5%
MIA 77.8% +35.9%
DET 41.9%
Mid FG%
40.0%
37.3%
MIA 32.4%
DET 34.5% +2.1%
3P %
35.9%
34.6%
MIA 12.5%
DET 40.0% +27.5%
FT %
77.5%
75.2%
MIA 90.0% +37.1%
DET 52.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
40.5%
MIA 35.1%
DET 41.3% +6.3%
Mid Att. %
43.6%
42.0%
MIA 44.2%
DET 38.7% +5.5%
3P Att. %
19.8%
17.5%
MIA 20.8% +0.8%
DET 20.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions9291
Possession Minutes25.222.7
Points8873
Rebounds4538
Assists2416
Steals1510
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)21 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (5)11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (1)27 (3)
Field Goals34-7729-75
At-the-Rim FG21-2713-31
Midrange FG11-3410-29
2-Point FG32-6123-60
3-Point FG2-166-15
Free Throws18-209-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 235 · 28
37.5
15
58%
9
2
0
1
1
2
1
8
7-7
100%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 27
37.4
17
50%
6
10
4
1
5
0
0
6
5-5
100%
6-12
50%
0-3
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 30
35.8
24
57%
9
5
3
0
3
0
1
8
4-4
100%
10-18
56%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 26
31.4
3
21%
1
4
3
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-7
14%
C · 6'9" 245 · 30
18.3
6
75%
5
0
1
2
2
3
2
3
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 32
24.3
8
57%
5
1
0
0
2
1
2
3
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 34
19.7
9
56%
4
0
1
0
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
16.6
2
17%
2
1
2
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
C · 6'10" 249 · 29
11.5
4
67%
4
1
1
0
0
2
1
3
0-2
0%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
7.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 285 · 24
C · 7'0" 295 · 29
F · 6'9" 250 · 39
#14 · G · 6'4" 190 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
49%
45
24
15
4
16
0
9
36
18-20
90%
32-61
52%
2-16
13%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.