FinalWin Prob.pScore
2824%98
115
1176%107
116
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
118.697101.6
DEN logo DEN
118.49893.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN115
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)115
0.4%
116
99.6%
Q4 - 0:02.0DETMISS Gordon 21' Jump Shot115
7.2%
116
92.8%
Q4 - 0:05.0DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)115
14.4%
116
85.6%
Q4 - 0:05.0DENMcGee Putback Dunk (15 PTS)115
14.4%
116
85.6%
Q4 - 0:05.0DENMISS Afflalo Free Throw 1 of 1115
95.6%
114
4.4%
Q4 - 0:11.0DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)115
90.7%
112
9.3%
Q4 - 0:12.0DETMISS Prince 11' Jump Shot115
93.3%
112
6.7%
Q4 - 0:32.0DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)115
93.3%
112
6.7%
Q4 - 0:34.0DENMISS Afflalo 9' Jump Shot115
91.5%
112
8.5%
Q4 - 0:40.0DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)115
80.7%
112
19.3%
Q4 - 0:41.0DETMISS Gordon 22' Jump Shot115
84.1%
112
15.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)115
86.9%
112
13.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0DENMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 2115
85.6%
112
14.4%
Q4 - 0:59.0DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)115
80.0%
112
20.0%
Q4 - 0:59.0DETGordon Foul Turnover (P2.T11)115
86.2%
111
13.8%
Q4 - 1:08DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T20)115
91.5%
111
8.5%
Q4 - 1:24DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)115
81.8%
111
18.2%
Q4 - 1:25DETMISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot115
84.4%
111
15.6%
Q4 - 1:45DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)115
86.1%
111
13.9%
Q4 - 1:46DENMISS Chandler 10' Jump Shot115
83.8%
111
16.2%
Q4 - 2:00DETKnight 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Jerebko 2 AST)115
78.2%
111
21.8%
Q4 - 2:24DENChandler 1' Reverse Layup (11 PTS)112
61.5%
111
38.5%
Q4 - 2:52DETGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (45 PTS) (Knight 4 AST)112
64.5%
109
35.5%
Q4 - 3:09DENFaried Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T19)109
46.5%
109
53.5%
Q4 - 3:10DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)109
31.5%
109
68.5%
Q4 - 3:11DENMISS Faried 1' Layup109
41.8%
109
58.2%
Q4 - 3:11DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)109
31.5%
109
68.5%
Q4 - 3:12DENMISS Chandler 16' Jump Shot109
41.8%
109
58.2%
Q4 - 3:30DETMonroe 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Gordon 8 AST)109
31.4%
109
68.6%
Q4 - 3:49DENLawson 10' Jump Shot (25 PTS)107
24.6%
109
75.4%
Q4 - 4:05DETJerebko 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Gordon 7 AST)107
31.5%
107
68.5%
Q4 - 4:21DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS)104
18.0%
107
82.0%
Q4 - 4:45DETJerebko 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Gordon 6 AST)104
23.7%
105
76.3%
Q4 - 5:03DENMcGee 1' Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)102
19.1%
105
80.9%
Q4 - 5:10DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)102
24.5%
103
75.5%
Q4 - 5:11DETMISS Gordon 19' Fadeaway Jumper102
26.6%
103
73.4%
Q4 - 5:28DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)102
31.7%
103
68.3%
Q4 - 5:29DENMISS McGee Free Throw 1 of 1102
30.7%
103
69.3%
Q4 - 5:36DETKnight 2' Layup (13 PTS) (Monroe 2 AST)102
39.0%
101
61.0%
Q4 - 5:42DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)100
31.7%
101
68.3%
Q4 - 6:06DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)100
24.4%
101
75.6%
Q4 - 6:06DETMonroe 2' Tip Shot (11 PTS)100
24.4%
101
75.6%
Q4 - 6:08DETMISS Monroe 3' Running Hook Shot98
16.3%
101
83.7%
Q4 - 6:21DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)98
19.5%
101
80.5%
Q4 - 6:21DENMISS McGee 1' Layup98
18.0%
101
82.0%
Q4 - 6:25DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)98
15.0%
101
85.0%
Q4 - 6:26DENMISS Chandler 19' Fadeaway Jumper98
18.0%
101
82.0%
Q4 - 6:47DETKnight Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)98
14.9%
101
85.1%
Q4 - 7:00DENChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)98
19.5%
101
80.5%
Q4 - 7:00DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)98
20.3%
100
79.7%
Q4 - 7:09DETMonroe 1' Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)98
24.1%
99
75.9%
Q4 - 7:34DENFaried 2' Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)96
19.7%
99
80.3%
Q4 - 7:42DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)96
24.1%
97
75.9%
Q4 - 7:45DENMISS Chandler 17' Jump Shot96
28.1%
97
71.9%
Q4 - 7:51DENNUGGETS Rebound96
24.1%
97
75.9%
Q4 - 7:52DENMISS Faried 5' Jump Shot96
28.1%
97
71.9%
Q4 - 7:55DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)96
24.1%
97
75.9%
Q4 - 7:57DETMISS Gordon 18' Jump Shot96
25.8%
97
74.2%
Q4 - 8:14DENFaried Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T17)96
29.4%
97
70.6%
Q4 - 8:22DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)96
24.5%
97
75.5%
Q4 - 8:23DETMISS Knight 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
25.9%
97
74.1%
Q4 - 8:44DENLawson 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)96
29.4%
97
70.6%
Q4 - 9:03DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)96
39.9%
94
60.1%
Q4 - 9:04DETMISS Bynum 18' Jump Shot96
41.6%
94
58.4%
Q4 - 9:16DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)96
45.7%
94
54.3%
Q4 - 9:17DETMISS Bynum 1' Layup96
41.7%
94
58.3%
Q4 - 9:20DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)96
45.7%
94
54.3%
Q4 - 9:21DENMISS Miller 8' Jump Shot96
43.9%
94
56.1%
Q4 - 9:36DETJerebko Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)96
40.0%
94
60.0%
Q4 - 9:37DENBrewer Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)93
29.1%
94
70.9%
Q4 - 9:41DETKnight Layup (11 PTS) (Bynum 5 AST)93
24.5%
94
75.5%
Q4 - 9:47DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
20.3%
94
79.7%
Q4 - 9:47DENMISS Miller 1' Driving Layup91
19.1%
94
80.9%
Q4 - 10:12DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
17.0%
94
83.0%
Q4 - 10:14DETMISS Knight Free Throw 2 of 291
17.5%
94
82.5%
Q4 - 10:14DETMISS Knight Free Throw 1 of 291
19.8%
94
80.2%
Q4 - 10:23DENMiller Foul Turnover (P2.T15)91
20.5%
94
79.5%
Q4 - 10:25DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)91
17.0%
94
83.0%
Q4 - 10:26DETMcGee BLOCK (3 BLK)91
18.0%
94
82.0%
Q4 - 10:43DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)91
20.5%
94
79.5%
Q4 - 10:47DETMcGee STEAL (1 STL)91
28.8%
91
71.2%
Q4 - 11:04DETBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
33.1%
91
66.9%
Q4 - 11:05DENMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
31.7%
91
68.3%
Q4 - 11:17DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
28.7%
91
71.3%
Q4 - 11:19DETMISS Knight 21' Jump Shot91
30.0%
91
70.0%
Q4 - 11:34DENBrewer Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)91
33.1%
91
66.9%
Q4 - 11:43DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
28.7%
91
71.3%
Q4 - 11:45DETMISS Bynum 19' Jump Shot91
30.0%
91
70.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN91
33.1%
91
66.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
28.7%
91
71.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0DETMISS Bynum 6' Fadeaway Jumper91
29.6%
91
70.4%
Q3 - 0:07.0DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)91
32.4%
91
67.6%
Q3 - 0:26.0DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
42.3%
88
57.7%
Q3 - 0:27.0DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 291
43.0%
88
57.0%
Q3 - 0:27.0DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 291
44.7%
88
55.3%
Q3 - 0:27.0DETPistons Rebound91
47.0%
88
53.0%
Q3 - 0:27.0DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
45.6%
88
54.4%
Q3 - 0:35.0DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)91
42.4%
88
57.6%
Q3 - 0:36.0DETMISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot91
43.8%
88
56.2%
Q3 - 0:47.0DENAfflalo Free Throw 3 of 3 (18 PTS)91
47.0%
88
53.0%
Q3 - 0:47.0DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 3 (17 PTS)91
47.9%
87
52.1%
Q3 - 0:47.0DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 3 (16 PTS)91
49.0%
86
51.0%
Q3 - 1:00DETMonroe 1' Dunk (7 PTS) (Bynum 4 AST)91
57.6%
85
42.4%
Q3 - 1:05DENHarrington Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)89
50.5%
85
49.5%
Q3 - 1:11DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
45.9%
85
54.1%
Q3 - 1:13DETMISS Gordon 23' Jump Shot89
47.4%
85
52.6%
Q3 - 1:29DENMcGee Dunk (9 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)89
50.6%
85
49.4%
Q3 - 1:47DETMonroe 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Gordon 5 AST)89
55.8%
83
44.2%
Q3 - 2:12DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)87
48.6%
83
51.4%
Q3 - 2:12DENHarrington Tip Shot (12 PTS)87
48.6%
83
51.4%
Q3 - 2:13DENMISS Harrington 3' Jump Shot87
56.5%
81
43.5%
Q3 - 2:33DETGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (42 PTS)87
53.4%
81
46.6%
Q3 - 2:33DETGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (41 PTS)86
52.8%
81
47.2%
Q3 - 2:42DENBrewer 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)85
48.8%
81
51.2%
Q3 - 3:01DETKnight 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)85
51.3%
79
48.7%
Q3 - 3:14DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)83
47.1%
79
52.9%
Q3 - 3:15DENMISS McGee 15' Jump Shot83
45.7%
79
54.3%
Q3 - 3:30DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
42.5%
79
57.5%
Q3 - 3:31DETMISS Knight 27' 3PT Jump Shot83
43.9%
79
56.1%
Q3 - 3:45DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)83
47.1%
79
52.9%
Q3 - 3:46DENMISS Brewer Free Throw 2 of 283
46.5%
79
53.5%
Q3 - 3:46DENBrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)83
43.9%
79
56.1%
Q3 - 3:48DETBrewer STEAL (1 STL)83
47.0%
78
53.0%
Q3 - 3:51DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)83
51.6%
78
48.4%
Q3 - 4:09DETKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)83
45.5%
78
54.5%
Q3 - 4:09DETKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)82
44.8%
78
55.2%
Q3 - 4:12DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
42.1%
78
57.9%
Q3 - 4:13DENMISS McGee 1' Slam Dunk81
40.5%
78
59.5%
Q3 - 4:23DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
37.2%
78
62.8%
Q3 - 4:25DETMISS Maxiell 17' Jump Shot81
38.7%
78
61.3%
Q3 - 4:48DENChandler Foul Turnover (P4.T11)81
42.1%
78
57.9%
Q3 - 5:04DETPrince 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gordon 4 AST)81
36.4%
78
63.6%
Q3 - 5:28DENLawson 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS)78
29.5%
78
70.5%
Q3 - 5:48DETGordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (40 PTS)78
32.7%
76
67.3%
Q3 - 5:56DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
26.1%
76
73.9%
Q3 - 5:57DENMISS Faried 2' Dunk75
25.1%
76
74.9%
Q3 - 6:09DETPrince 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Maxiell 1 AST)75
22.4%
76
77.6%
Q3 - 6:31DENFaried 5' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Mozgov 3 AST)72
17.5%
76
82.5%
Q3 - 6:38DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
19.7%
74
80.3%
Q3 - 6:40DETBrewer BLOCK (1 BLK)72
20.6%
74
79.4%
Q3 - 6:49DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
22.6%
74
77.4%
Q3 - 6:50DENMISS Faried 2' Layup72
21.7%
74
78.3%
Q3 - 6:53DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
19.7%
74
80.3%
Q3 - 6:55DETMozgov BLOCK (1 BLK)72
20.6%
74
79.4%
Q3 - 7:12DENFaried 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Brewer 2 AST)72
22.3%
74
77.7%
Q3 - 7:25DETMaxiell Foul Turnover (P2.T7)72
24.9%
72
75.1%
Q3 - 7:42DENAfflalo Foul Turnover (P2.T10)72
28.1%
72
71.9%
Q3 - 7:53DETGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (37 PTS)72
25.0%
72
75.0%
Q3 - 7:53DETGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (36 PTS)71
24.6%
72
75.4%
Q3 - 8:05DENAfflalo 7' Jump Shot (15 PTS)70
22.2%
72
77.8%
Q3 - 8:27DETGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (35 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)70
24.7%
70
75.3%
Q3 - 8:53DENMozgov 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)67
19.7%
70
80.3%
Q3 - 9:08DETMaxiell Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)67
21.7%
68
78.3%
Q3 - 9:17DENAfflalo 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Chandler 3 AST)67
24.3%
68
75.7%
Q3 - 9:24DENNUGGETS Rebound67
27.1%
66
72.9%
Q3 - 9:24DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
27.1%
66
72.9%
Q3 - 9:24DENMISS Mozgov 2' Putback Dunk67
29.2%
66
70.8%
Q3 - 9:25DENMISS Chandler 17' Jump Shot67
29.2%
66
70.8%
Q3 - 9:44DETGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS)67
27.1%
66
72.9%
Q3 - 9:50DENFaried Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)64
21.8%
66
78.2%
Q3 - 10:07DETMaxiell 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gordon 3 AST)64
19.0%
66
81.0%
Q3 - 10:24DENMozgov 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)62
17.0%
66
83.0%
Q3 - 10:35DETKnight 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST)62
19.0%
64
81.0%
Q3 - 10:48DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)59
15.1%
64
84.9%
Q3 - 10:49DETMISS Prince 1' Layup59
13.8%
64
86.2%
Q3 - 10:54DENJump Ball Lawson vs. Knight: Tip to Prince59
15.1%
64
84.9%
Q3 - 11:12DETGordon 17' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)59
13.4%
64
86.6%
Q3 - 11:32DENChandler 1' Slam Dunk (7 PTS)57
11.9%
64
88.1%
Q3 - 11:37DETChandler STEAL (1 STL)57
13.4%
62
86.6%
Q3 - 11:42DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
15.2%
62
84.8%
Q3 - 11:43DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
14.6%
62
85.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET57
13.4%
62
86.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
15.2%
62
84.8%
Q2 - 0:04.0DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot57
14.3%
62
85.7%
Q2 - 0:20.0DENChandler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)57
15.1%
62
84.9%
Q2 - 0:37.0DETBynum 2' Layup (10 PTS)57
13.9%
62
86.1%
Q2 - 0:42.0DENMozgov Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)55
12.0%
62
88.0%
Q2 - 0:42.0DENMISS Mozgov Free Throw 1 of 255
12.4%
61
87.6%
Q2 - 0:49.0DETMaxiell Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)55
12.4%
61
87.6%
Q2 - 0:55.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
10.7%
61
89.3%
Q2 - 0:57.0DENMISS Afflalo 18' Jump Shot53
10.4%
61
89.6%
Q2 - 1:18DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
9.9%
61
90.1%
Q2 - 1:19DETMISS Bynum Free Throw 2 of 253
10.0%
61
90.0%
Q2 - 1:19DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)53
10.9%
61
89.1%
Q2 - 1:19DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
9.6%
61
90.4%
Q2 - 1:22DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
9.3%
61
90.7%
Q2 - 1:29DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
8.8%
61
91.2%
Q2 - 1:30DETMISS Bynum 2' Layup52
9.1%
61
90.9%
Q2 - 1:34DENAfflalo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)52
9.6%
61
90.4%
Q2 - 1:41DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
8.8%
61
91.2%
Q2 - 1:41DENMISS Faried 5' Running Hook Shot52
9.3%
61
90.7%
Q2 - 1:53DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
8.8%
61
91.2%
Q2 - 1:54DETMISS Prince 16' Jump Shot52
9.1%
61
90.9%
Q2 - 2:09DENAfflalo 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)52
9.9%
61
90.1%
Q2 - 2:33DETGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)52
11.1%
59
88.9%
Q2 - 2:33DETGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)51
10.9%
59
89.1%
Q2 - 2:42DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)50
9.9%
59
90.1%
Q2 - 2:42DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)50
10.2%
58
89.8%
Q2 - 3:01DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)50
11.0%
57
89.0%
Q2 - 3:12DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
9.0%
57
91.0%
Q2 - 3:14DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 247
8.8%
57
91.2%
Q2 - 3:14DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)47
8.2%
57
91.8%
Q2 - 3:17DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
8.8%
56
91.2%
Q2 - 3:18DETChandler BLOCK (1 BLK)47
9.2%
56
90.8%
Q2 - 3:20DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
10.0%
56
90.0%
Q2 - 3:22DETMISS Jerebko 18' Jump Shot47
9.2%
56
90.8%
Q2 - 3:50DENAfflalo 4' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)47
10.0%
56
90.0%
Q2 - 4:06DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
11.1%
54
88.9%
Q2 - 4:07DETMISS Gordon Free Throw 1 of 147
11.2%
54
88.8%
Q2 - 4:23DENLawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Mozgov 2 AST)44
9.0%
54
91.0%
Q2 - 4:39DETGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST)44
11.1%
51
88.9%
Q2 - 4:55DENLawson 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)41
9.0%
51
91.0%
Q2 - 5:21DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)41
10.2%
49
89.8%
Q2 - 5:21DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 240
9.6%
49
90.4%
Q2 - 5:37DETPistons Rebound40
10.1%
49
89.9%
Q2 - 5:37DENMISS Harrington 28' 3PT Jump Shot40
9.8%
49
90.2%
Q2 - 5:50DETGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)40
9.2%
49
90.8%
Q2 - 6:02DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
7.7%
49
92.3%
Q2 - 6:03DENMISS Harrington 13' Running Jump Shot37
7.4%
49
92.6%
Q2 - 6:20DETGordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Jerebko 1 AST)37
6.8%
49
93.2%
Q2 - 6:33DETBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
5.6%
49
94.4%
Q2 - 6:33DENMISS Brewer 3' Layup34
5.4%
49
94.6%
Q2 - 6:37DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
5.0%
49
95.0%
Q2 - 6:38DENMISS Brewer 2' Driving Layup34
5.4%
49
94.6%
Q2 - 7:04DETBynum 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Wilkins 2 AST)34
5.1%
49
94.9%
Q2 - 7:10DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)32
4.7%
49
95.3%
Q2 - 7:24DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
4.2%
49
95.8%
Q2 - 7:25DETMISS Gordon 2' Driving Layup32
4.3%
49
95.7%
Q2 - 7:46DENHarrington 16' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)32
4.7%
49
95.3%
Q2 - 8:11DETGordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wilkins 1 AST)32
5.4%
47
94.6%
Q2 - 8:20DETWilkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
4.4%
47
95.6%
Q2 - 8:21DENMISS McGee 8' Hook Shot29
4.3%
47
95.7%
Q2 - 8:44DETWilkins 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)29
4.0%
47
96.0%
Q2 - 8:50DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
3.6%
47
96.4%
Q2 - 8:51DENMISS Brewer 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
3.5%
47
96.5%
Q2 - 9:06DETGordon 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS)27
3.4%
47
96.6%
Q2 - 9:22DENHarrington 17' Fadeaway Bank Shot (8 PTS)25
3.1%
47
96.9%
Q2 - 9:43DETGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)25
3.4%
45
96.6%
Q2 - 9:43DETGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)24
3.3%
45
96.7%
Q2 - 9:53DENMcGee Foul Turnover (P1.T4)23
3.1%
45
96.9%
Q2 - 10:03DETWilkins Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)23
2.9%
45
97.1%
Q2 - 10:05DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)20
2.4%
45
97.6%
Q2 - 10:10DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
2.1%
45
97.9%
Q2 - 10:11DETMISS Jerebko 18' Jump Shot20
2.2%
45
97.8%
Q2 - 10:32DENHarrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)20
2.4%
45
97.6%
Q2 - 10:44DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
2.9%
42
97.1%
Q2 - 10:45DETMISS Wilkins 17' Jump Shot20
3.0%
42
97.0%
Q2 - 11:08DENMcGee 1' Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)20
3.3%
42
96.7%
Q2 - 11:27DETBynum 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)20
3.6%
40
96.4%
Q2 - 11:32DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
3.3%
40
96.7%
Q2 - 11:34DENMISS Brewer 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
3.2%
40
96.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN18
3.0%
40
97.0%
Q1 - 0:04.0DETJerebko Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)18
3.2%
40
96.8%
Q1 - 0:04.0DETJerebko Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
3.2%
40
96.8%
Q1 - 0:24.0DENHarrington 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)16
2.9%
40
97.1%
Q1 - 0:33.0DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
3.5%
37
96.5%
Q1 - 0:34.0DETMISS Jerebko 18' Jump Shot16
3.6%
37
96.4%
Q1 - 0:50.0DENBrewer Dunk (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)16
3.8%
37
96.2%
Q1 - 0:53.0DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
4.2%
35
95.8%
Q1 - 0:54.0DETMcGee BLOCK (2 BLK)16
4.3%
35
95.7%
Q1 - 1:11DENMcGee Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)16
4.7%
35
95.3%
Q1 - 1:11DENMISS McGee Free Throw 1 of 216
4.9%
34
95.1%
Q1 - 1:29DETJerebko 4' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)16
4.9%
34
95.1%
Q1 - 1:30DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
4.3%
34
95.7%
Q1 - 1:31DETMISS Wilkins 22' Jump Shot14
4.1%
34
95.9%
Q1 - 1:48DENMcGee 2' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)14
4.3%
34
95.7%
Q1 - 2:04DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
5.0%
32
95.0%
Q1 - 2:05DETMcGee BLOCK (1 BLK)14
5.1%
32
94.9%
Q1 - 2:24DENLawson Layup (10 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)14
5.4%
32
94.6%
Q1 - 2:29DETAfflalo STEAL (1 STL)14
5.9%
30
94.1%
Q1 - 2:46DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
6.4%
30
93.6%
Q1 - 2:46DENMcGee 1' Putback Slam Dunk (2 PTS)14
6.4%
30
93.6%
Q1 - 2:47DENMISS Afflalo 16' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot14
7.4%
28
92.6%
Q1 - 3:07DETWilkins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)14
7.0%
28
93.0%
Q1 - 3:29DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)14
7.6%
28
92.4%
Q1 - 3:29DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)14
7.7%
27
92.3%
Q1 - 3:51DETMonroe 1' Alley Oop Dunk (3 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)14
8.2%
26
91.8%
Q1 - 3:57DENLawson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)12
7.6%
26
92.4%
Q1 - 4:10DETMaxiell 15' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)12
7.0%
26
93.0%
Q1 - 4:31DENAfflalo 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST)10
6.5%
26
93.5%
Q1 - 4:53DETGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)10
7.0%
24
93.0%
Q1 - 4:53DETGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)9
6.9%
24
93.1%
Q1 - 5:11DENLawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mozgov 1 AST)8
6.8%
24
93.2%
Q1 - 5:28DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
7.9%
21
92.1%
Q1 - 5:29DETMISS Gordon 20' Jump Shot8
8.1%
21
91.9%
Q1 - 5:43DENLawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)8
8.6%
21
91.4%
Q1 - 5:56DENNUGGETS Rebound8
9.9%
18
90.1%
Q1 - 5:56DETMISS Monroe 2' Layup8
10.2%
18
89.8%
Q1 - 5:59DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
10.8%
18
89.2%
Q1 - 6:02DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 28
10.2%
18
89.8%
Q1 - 6:02DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
10.5%
18
89.5%
Q1 - 6:18DENChandler Foul Turnover (P1.T1)7
10.1%
18
89.9%
Q1 - 6:25DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
9.3%
18
90.7%
Q1 - 6:27DETMISS Maxiell 18' Jump Shot7
9.6%
18
90.4%
Q1 - 6:45DENChandler 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)7
10.1%
18
89.9%
Q1 - 7:03DETGordon 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
10.9%
16
89.1%
Q1 - 7:19DENFaried 2' Putback Layup (4 PTS)5
10.3%
16
89.7%
Q1 - 7:20DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
10.9%
14
89.1%
Q1 - 7:23DENMISS Chandler 18' Jump Shot5
11.5%
14
88.5%
Q1 - 7:36DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)5
10.9%
14
89.1%
Q1 - 7:36DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 1 of 24
10.7%
14
89.3%
Q1 - 7:56DENAfflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)4
11.0%
14
89.0%
Q1 - 8:17DETGordon 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
12.6%
11
87.4%
Q1 - 8:33DENMozgov 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)2
11.7%
11
88.3%
Q1 - 8:49DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12.6%
9
87.4%
Q1 - 8:50DETMISS Prince 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot2
12.8%
9
87.2%
Q1 - 9:10DENMozgov 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)2
13.6%
9
86.4%
Q1 - 9:32DETKnight 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)2
14.5%
7
85.5%
Q1 - 9:50DENFaried 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)0
13.6%
7
86.4%
Q1 - 10:01DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.6%
5
85.4%
Q1 - 10:02DETMISS Gordon 20' Jump Shot0
14.9%
5
85.1%
Q1 - 10:19DENChandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)0
15.6%
5
84.4%
Q1 - 10:44DETMonroe Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)0
17.4%
2
82.6%
Q1 - 11:01DENLawson 1' Layup (2 PTS)0
18.3%
2
81.7%
Q1 - 11:07DETLawson STEAL (1 STL)0
19.4%
0
80.6%
Q1 - 11:21DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.4%
0
79.6%
Q1 - 11:23DENMISS Lawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
20.1%
0
79.9%
Q1 - 11:38DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
19.4%
0
80.6%
Q1 - 11:40DETMISS Monroe 18' Jump Shot0
19.7%
0
80.3%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Mozgov vs. Monroe: Tip to Maxiell0
20.4%
0
79.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.24 61.8%
DEN
1.27 63.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
17
29
59%
DEN
26
38
68%
Midrange
DET
9
32
28%
DEN
11
24
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
14
21.0
18
78%
117%
DEN
9
13.5
17
53%
79%
Free Throws
DET
21
30
70%
DEN
15
22
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Gordon4583%22.5 / 27
B. Knight1673%8.0 / 11
G. Monroe1365%6.5 / 10
J. Jerebko1267%6.0 / 9
W. Bynum1042%5.0 / 12
J. Maxiell750%3.5 / 7
T. Prince633%3.0 / 9
D. Wilkins550%2.5 / 5
B. Wallace125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Lawson2596%12.5 / 13
A. Afflalo2382%11.5 / 14
A. Harrington1673%8.0 / 11
J. McGee1563%7.5 / 12
K. Faried1255%6.0 / 11
W. Chandler1146%5.5 / 12
T. Mozgov975%4.5 / 6
C. Brewer536%2.5 / 7
A. Miller0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
86
+7
-11
93
DEN
78
+13
-20
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.24 61.8%
DEN
1.27 63.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.8
109.3
DET 118.6 +0.2
DEN 118.4
Pace
89.5
94.1
DET 101.6 +7.8
DEN 93.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
14.6
DET 14.2 +1.2
DEN 15.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.8%
51.6%
DET 59.5%
DEN 63.9% +4.4%
TO %
16.2%
15.7%
DET 10.7% +7.7%
DEN 18.4%
ORB %
28.1%
27.7%
DET 16.3%
DEN 32.4% +16.1%
FTrt
27.9
32.6
DET 38.0 +10.2
DEN 27.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.8%
61.5%
DET 65.0% +4.1%
DEN 60.9%
STL %
7.7%
8.6%
DET 13.4% +8.3%
DEN 5.1%
BLK %
6.9%
8.1%
DET 8.1%
DEN 9.8% +1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.3 and 2.3.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.5%
54.2%
DET 61.8%
DEN 63.7% +1.9%
Rim FG%
54.5%
59.7%
DET 58.6%
DEN 68.4% +9.8%
Mid FG%
37.3%
39.3%
DET 28.1%
DEN 45.8% +17.7%
3P %
34.6%
33.2%
DET 77.8% +24.9%
DEN 52.9%
FT %
75.2%
73.6%
DET 70.0% +1.8%
DEN 68.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.5%
48.0%
DET 36.7%
DEN 48.1% +11.4%
Mid Att. %
42.0%
27.7%
DET 40.5%
DEN 30.4% +10.1%
3P Att. %
17.5%
24.3%
DET 22.8% +1.3%
DEN 21.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.14 and 3.14.
Game TotalsDETDEN
Possessions9798
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points115116
Rebounds3047
Assists2628
Steals135
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)20 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (0)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (2)36 (1)
Field Goals40-7946-79
At-the-Rim FG17-2926-38
Midrange FG9-3211-24
2-Point FG26-6137-62
3-Point FG14-189-17
Free Throws21-3015-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 205 · 29
41.3
45
83%
0
8
2
0
2
5
0
0
10-11
91%
4-13
31%
9-9
100%
G · 6'2" 182 · 20
32.7
16
73%
0
4
1
0
2
1
0
0
2-4
50%
4-5
80%
2-4
50%
C · 6'11" 265 · 22
29.1
13
65%
11
2
3
1
3
0
2
9
1-2
50%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 212 · 32
28.7
6
33%
2
1
0
2
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-5
0%
2-4
50%
F · 6'7" 260 · 29
21.6
7
50%
3
1
1
1
2
2
0
3
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 231 · 25
26.4
12
67%
6
2
0
0
0
1
2
4
3-3
100%
3-7
43%
1-1
100%
G · 6'0" 185 · 29
21.9
10
42%
3
6
2
0
1
2
1
2
2-3
67%
4-11
36%
0-0
-
· 6'6" 225 · 32
19.4
5
50%
1
2
1
1
1
2
0
1
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 38
18.8
1
25%
4
0
3
0
0
2
1
3
1-4
25%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 26
F · 6'11" 232 · 28
F · 6'11" 220 · 24
G · 6'0" 170 · 29
#20 · F · 6'10" 227 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
115
62%
30
26
13
5
11
0
7
23
21-30
70%
26-61
43%
14-18
78%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.