FinalWin Prob.pScore
1520%94
95
180%105
99
ORTG#PossPace
PHX logo PHX
105.69095.2
MIA logo MIA
108.89186.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatSunsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatSunsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPHXMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA95
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0PHXHill 7' Jump Shot (19 PTS)95
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 0:04.0PHXHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)93
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0PHXMISS Frye 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0PHXSuns Rebound93
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 0:13.0PHXMISS Hill 14' Jump Shot93
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0PHXHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)93
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 0:16.0PHXMISS Nash 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0PHXNash REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)93
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 0:21.0PHXMISS Frye 27' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)93
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)93
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)93
1.0%
97
99.0%
Q4 - 0:23.0PHXMISS Frye 1' Layup93
1.4%
97
98.6%
Q4 - 0:27.0PHXSuns Rebound93
3.3%
97
96.7%
Q4 - 0:29.0PHXMISS Dudley Free Throw 2 of 293
1.5%
97
98.5%
Q4 - 0:29.0PHXDudley Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)93
2.6%
97
97.4%
Q4 - 0:43.0PHXNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
2.3%
97
97.7%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
1.9%
97
98.1%
Q4 - 1:07PHXHill 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Nash 10 AST)92
1.9%
97
98.1%
Q4 - 1:17PHXHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)90
1.4%
97
98.6%
Q4 - 1:18MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot90
1.2%
97
98.8%
Q4 - 1:38MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)90
1.1%
97
98.9%
Q4 - 1:39PHXMISS Hill 12' Jump Shot90
1.3%
97
98.7%
Q4 - 1:52MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS)90
2.2%
97
97.8%
Q4 - 2:07PHXSuns Turnover: Shot Clock (T#20)90
3.3%
95
96.7%
Q4 - 2:31PHXGortat REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)90
6.6%
95
93.4%
Q4 - 2:32MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 190
6.0%
95
94.0%
Q4 - 2:32MIAWade Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)90
3.2%
95
96.8%
Q4 - 2:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)90
13.3%
92
86.7%
Q4 - 2:37PHXMISS Gortat 9' Jump Shot90
16.1%
92
83.9%
Q4 - 2:41PHXGortat REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)90
24.7%
92
75.3%
Q4 - 2:42PHXJames BLOCK (2 BLK)90
16.1%
92
83.9%
Q4 - 2:59MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)90
23.7%
92
76.3%
Q4 - 2:59MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)90
25.0%
91
75.0%
Q4 - 3:22PHXHill Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T19)90
29.5%
90
70.5%
Q4 - 3:41PHXFrye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
38.5%
90
61.5%
Q4 - 3:42MIAMISS James 13' Fadeaway Jumper90
35.6%
90
64.4%
Q4 - 3:57MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)90
29.3%
90
70.7%
Q4 - 3:58PHXMISS Dudley 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
32.0%
90
68.0%
Q4 - 4:09MIAWade Running Dunk (16 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)90
38.8%
90
61.2%
Q4 - 4:14PHXChalmers STEAL (5 STL)90
47.5%
88
52.5%
Q4 - 4:36MIABosh 1' Layup (27 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)90
58.2%
88
41.8%
Q4 - 4:46MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)90
66.6%
86
33.4%
Q4 - 4:48MIAMISS James 12' Jump Shot90
72.8%
86
27.2%
Q4 - 5:09MIAHEAT Rebound90
61.0%
86
39.0%
Q4 - 5:10MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot90
66.7%
86
33.3%
Q4 - 5:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)90
61.2%
86
38.8%
Q4 - 5:30PHXMISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
63.8%
86
36.2%
Q4 - 5:51PHXLopez REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)90
69.5%
86
30.5%
Q4 - 5:52MIAMISS Wade 11' Running Jump Shot90
67.1%
86
32.9%
Q4 - 6:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)90
56.4%
86
43.6%
Q4 - 6:08PHXMISS Lopez 2' Layup90
58.8%
86
41.2%
Q4 - 6:10PHXLopez REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)90
64.0%
86
36.0%
Q4 - 6:11PHXMISS Lopez 2' Layup90
58.8%
86
41.2%
Q4 - 6:23MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)90
64.2%
86
35.8%
Q4 - 6:23MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)90
65.5%
85
34.5%
Q4 - 6:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)90
70.5%
84
29.5%
Q4 - 6:30MIAMISS Chalmers 7' Running Jump Shot90
74.9%
84
25.1%
Q4 - 6:39MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)90
70.6%
84
29.4%
Q4 - 6:40PHXMISS Lopez Tip Shot90
72.6%
84
27.4%
Q4 - 6:41PHXLopez REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)90
76.8%
84
23.2%
Q4 - 6:42PHXMISS Telfair 1' Driving Layup90
72.6%
84
27.4%
Q4 - 6:56MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)90
76.9%
84
23.1%
Q4 - 6:56MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)90
77.9%
83
22.1%
Q4 - 7:00MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
81.6%
82
18.4%
Q4 - 7:01PHXMISS Morris 19' Jump Shot90
78.7%
82
21.3%
Q4 - 7:14MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)90
82.1%
82
17.9%
Q4 - 7:14MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)90
82.9%
81
17.1%
Q4 - 7:29PHXBrown 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Telfair 1 AST)90
85.6%
80
14.4%
Q4 - 7:41PHXRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
77.8%
80
22.2%
Q4 - 7:42MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
76.2%
80
23.8%
Q4 - 8:04PHXMorris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Brown 3 AST)87
68.7%
80
31.3%
Q4 - 8:23MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (25 PTS)84
56.8%
80
43.2%
Q4 - 8:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
63.1%
78
36.9%
Q4 - 8:33PHXMISS Morris 11' Jump Shot84
64.9%
78
35.1%
Q4 - 8:53MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)84
68.9%
78
31.1%
Q4 - 8:53MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)84
70.0%
77
30.0%
Q4 - 9:04PHXTelfair 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)84
70.8%
76
29.2%
Q4 - 9:19MIAWade 1' Tip Shot (10 PTS)81
60.1%
76
39.9%
Q4 - 9:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)81
65.8%
74
34.2%
Q4 - 9:21MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot81
69.3%
74
30.7%
Q4 - 9:37PHXRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)81
65.9%
74
34.1%
Q4 - 9:37PHXRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)80
65.0%
74
35.0%
Q4 - 9:56MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)79
60.2%
74
39.8%
Q4 - 10:06MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
52.1%
74
47.9%
Q4 - 10:07PHXMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot79
53.8%
74
46.2%
Q4 - 10:21PHXRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
57.8%
74
42.2%
Q4 - 10:22MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 279
57.0%
74
43.0%
Q4 - 10:22MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 279
53.3%
74
46.7%
Q4 - 10:34PHXLopez 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)79
52.2%
74
47.8%
Q4 - 10:35PHXLopez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)77
46.6%
74
53.4%
Q4 - 10:36PHXMISS Lopez 7' Hook Shot77
42.7%
74
57.3%
Q4 - 10:53MIABosh 1' Layup (23 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)77
46.6%
74
53.4%
Q4 - 11:16PHXTelfair 12' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)77
50.5%
72
49.5%
Q4 - 11:39PHXBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
45.0%
72
55.0%
Q4 - 11:40MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Bank Shot75
43.5%
72
56.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA75
40.0%
72
60.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0PHXTelfair Traveling Turnover (P2.T17)75
38.8%
72
61.2%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (16 PTS)75
43.4%
72
56.6%
Q3 - 0:35.0PHXHill Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)75
48.9%
70
51.1%
Q3 - 0:42.0PHXMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
53.7%
70
46.3%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
52.2%
70
47.8%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)75
49.0%
70
51.0%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Layup75
52.2%
70
47.8%
Q3 - 1:16PHXHill 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Nash 9 AST)75
47.2%
70
52.8%
Q3 - 1:20PHXGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
42.1%
70
57.9%
Q3 - 1:21MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
40.7%
70
59.3%
Q3 - 1:44PHXMorris 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)73
37.7%
70
62.3%
Q3 - 2:09MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)71
31.7%
70
68.3%
Q3 - 2:22PHXMorris Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)71
27.8%
70
72.2%
Q3 - 2:26PHXBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
21.0%
70
79.0%
Q3 - 2:27MIAMISS Haslem 7' Jump Shot68
20.1%
70
79.9%
Q3 - 2:35PHXChalmers STEAL (4 STL)68
18.0%
70
82.0%
Q3 - 3:02MIAJames 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)68
20.6%
70
79.4%
Q3 - 3:22PHXBrown 1' Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)68
23.6%
68
76.4%
Q3 - 3:27PHXNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
20.6%
68
79.4%
Q3 - 3:28MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot66
19.7%
68
80.3%
Q3 - 3:43MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)66
17.7%
68
82.3%
Q3 - 3:44PHXMISS Morris Free Throw 2 of 266
18.1%
68
81.9%
Q3 - 3:44PHXMISS Morris Free Throw 1 of 266
19.8%
68
80.2%
Q3 - 3:55MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)66
20.6%
68
79.4%
Q3 - 3:55MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)66
21.2%
67
78.8%
Q3 - 4:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
23.1%
66
76.9%
Q3 - 4:06PHXBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)66
24.2%
66
75.8%
Q3 - 4:24MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)66
26.9%
66
73.1%
Q3 - 4:24MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 266
27.6%
65
72.4%
Q3 - 4:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)66
26.3%
65
73.7%
Q3 - 4:28MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot66
29.2%
65
70.8%
Q3 - 4:51PHXMorris Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)66
26.3%
65
73.7%
Q3 - 4:51PHXMorris Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)65
25.5%
65
74.5%
Q3 - 5:05MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)64
23.1%
65
76.9%
Q3 - 5:05MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)64
23.6%
64
76.4%
Q3 - 5:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
25.9%
63
74.1%
Q3 - 5:06MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot64
28.4%
63
71.6%
Q3 - 5:23PHXChalmers STEAL (3 STL)64
25.9%
63
74.1%
Q3 - 5:31PHXDudley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)64
29.6%
63
70.4%
Q3 - 5:32PHXMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot64
27.0%
63
73.0%
Q3 - 5:40PHXDudley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
29.6%
63
70.4%
Q3 - 5:41MIAMISS Chalmers 13' Floating Jump Shot64
28.4%
63
71.6%
Q3 - 6:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
25.9%
63
74.1%
Q3 - 6:01MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
27.5%
63
72.5%
Q3 - 6:18PHXChalmers STEAL (2 STL)64
25.2%
63
74.8%
Q3 - 6:22PHXNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
28.7%
63
71.3%
Q3 - 6:23MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot64
27.6%
63
72.4%
Q3 - 6:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
25.3%
63
74.7%
Q3 - 6:39PHXMISS Dudley 14' Jump Shot64
26.3%
63
73.7%
Q3 - 6:53MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)64
28.7%
63
71.3%
Q3 - 6:53MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)64
29.3%
62
70.7%
Q3 - 6:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
31.8%
61
68.2%
Q3 - 6:54MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot64
34.5%
61
65.5%
Q3 - 7:03MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)64
30.8%
61
69.2%
Q3 - 7:04PHXMISS Hill 16' Jump Shot64
31.9%
61
68.1%
Q3 - 7:09PHXFrye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
34.4%
61
65.6%
Q3 - 7:10PHXMISS Nash 20' Jump Shot64
31.9%
61
68.1%
Q3 - 7:16MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)64
34.4%
61
65.6%
Q3 - 7:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
30.9%
61
69.1%
Q3 - 7:20PHXMISS Gortat 10' Turnaround Jump Shot64
31.9%
61
68.1%
Q3 - 7:38MIABosh 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (21 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)64
34.5%
61
65.5%
Q3 - 7:57PHXFrye Foul Turnover (P3.T12)64
37.9%
59
62.1%
Q3 - 8:06MIABosh 14' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (James 6 AST)64
40.8%
59
59.2%
Q3 - 8:25PHXGortat 2' Layup (13 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)64
44.2%
57
55.8%
Q3 - 8:36PHXGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
40.8%
57
59.2%
Q3 - 8:37MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 162
40.3%
57
59.7%
Q3 - 8:55PHXNash 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)62
44.3%
55
55.7%
Q3 - 9:05MIAPittman 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)60
39.5%
55
60.5%
Q3 - 9:23PHXHill 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Frye 2 AST)60
43.0%
53
57.0%
Q3 - 9:38MIAPittman Tip Shot (4 PTS)58
39.6%
53
60.4%
Q3 - 9:39MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
43.0%
51
57.0%
Q3 - 9:40MIAMISS Wade 7' Floating Jump Shot58
45.6%
51
54.4%
Q3 - 10:05MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
41.3%
51
58.7%
Q3 - 10:06PHXMISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 258
41.8%
51
58.2%
Q3 - 10:06PHXHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)58
44.1%
51
55.9%
Q3 - 10:10PHXHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
41.5%
51
58.5%
Q3 - 10:11MIAMISS James 1' Layup57
40.4%
51
59.6%
Q3 - 10:22PHXPittman STEAL (2 STL)57
38.0%
51
62.0%
Q3 - 10:38MIABosh 1' Layup (17 PTS)57
41.6%
51
58.4%
Q3 - 10:39MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
44.9%
49
55.1%
Q3 - 10:40MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot57
47.5%
49
52.5%
Q3 - 10:56PHXHill 13' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)57
44.9%
49
55.1%
Q3 - 11:13PHXSuns Rebound55
40.4%
49
59.6%
Q3 - 11:14MIAMISS Pittman 6' Jump Shot55
39.3%
49
60.7%
Q3 - 11:41PHXGortat 10' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)55
37.0%
49
63.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA53
34.0%
49
66.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
30.8%
49
69.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0PHXMISS Dudley 1' Layup53
31.3%
49
68.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)53
32.8%
49
67.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 253
33.3%
48
66.7%
Q2 - 0:09.0PHXDudley 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)53
33.6%
48
66.4%
Q2 - 0:15.0PHXHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
30.0%
48
70.0%
Q2 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup51
29.3%
48
70.7%
Q2 - 0:30.0PHXHill 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)51
28.0%
48
72.0%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIABosh 2' Dunk (15 PTS) (James 5 AST)49
24.7%
48
75.3%
Q2 - 0:51.0PHXDudley 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)49
28.0%
46
72.0%
Q2 - 1:02PHXHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
24.3%
46
75.7%
Q2 - 1:03MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
23.8%
46
76.2%
Q2 - 1:29PHXDudley 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Frye 1 AST)47
22.7%
46
77.3%
Q2 - 1:41PHXGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
17.9%
46
82.1%
Q2 - 1:42MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
17.5%
46
82.5%
Q2 - 1:48MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
16.6%
46
83.4%
Q2 - 1:49PHXJones BLOCK (1 BLK)44
17.0%
46
83.0%
Q2 - 2:09PHXFrye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
18.0%
46
82.0%
Q2 - 2:10MIAMISS James 17' Fadeaway Jumper44
17.4%
46
82.6%
Q2 - 2:25MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
16.2%
46
83.8%
Q2 - 2:26PHXMISS Gortat Free Throw 2 of 244
16.4%
46
83.6%
Q2 - 2:26PHXGortat Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)44
17.4%
46
82.6%
Q2 - 2:27MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)43
16.2%
46
83.8%
Q2 - 2:53PHXNash 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dudley 1 AST)43
14.6%
46
85.4%
Q2 - 3:08MIAJames 1' Driving Dunk (11 PTS)40
11.7%
46
88.3%
Q2 - 3:15PHXPittman STEAL (1 STL)40
12.8%
44
87.2%
Q2 - 3:24MIAPittman Foul Turnover (P1.T8)40
14.5%
44
85.5%
Q2 - 3:43PHXHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)40
12.8%
44
87.2%
Q2 - 3:43PHXHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
12.6%
44
87.4%
Q2 - 3:53PHXSuns Rebound38
11.7%
44
88.3%
Q2 - 3:54PHXCole BLOCK (1 BLK)38
10.7%
44
89.3%
Q2 - 4:00MIAJames 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)38
11.7%
44
88.3%
Q2 - 4:05PHXBattier STEAL (2 STL)38
12.8%
42
87.2%
Q2 - 4:14PHXDudley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)38
14.3%
42
85.7%
Q2 - 4:15PHXMISS Hill 20' Jump Shot38
13.2%
42
86.8%
Q2 - 4:26PHXGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)38
14.3%
42
85.7%
Q2 - 4:27MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup38
13.8%
42
86.2%
Q2 - 4:45MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
12.8%
42
87.2%
Q2 - 4:46PHXBattier BLOCK (1 BLK)38
13.2%
42
86.8%
Q2 - 5:04MIABattier Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)38
14.2%
42
85.8%
Q2 - 5:24PHXGortat 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)38
12.9%
42
87.1%
Q2 - 5:37MIAWade 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)36
11.6%
42
88.4%
Q2 - 5:56PHXTelfair Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)36
12.9%
40
87.1%
Q2 - 6:06MIACole 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 4 AST)36
14.4%
40
85.6%
Q2 - 6:26PHXTelfair Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)36
15.6%
38
84.4%
Q2 - 6:26PHXTelfair Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)35
15.3%
38
84.7%
Q2 - 6:26PHXTelfair Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)34
15.0%
38
85.0%
Q2 - 6:31PHXSuns Rebound33
13.1%
38
86.9%
Q2 - 6:32PHXMISS Brown 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
12.1%
38
87.9%
Q2 - 6:48PHXSuns Rebound33
13.1%
38
86.9%
Q2 - 6:49MIAMISS Battier 2' Layup33
12.6%
38
87.4%
Q2 - 6:50MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
11.7%
38
88.3%
Q2 - 6:51MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot33
12.6%
38
87.4%
Q2 - 7:18PHXFrye 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)33
11.7%
38
88.3%
Q2 - 8:01MIAHaslem 2' Dunk (7 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)31
10.8%
38
89.2%
Q2 - 8:04PHXMISS Brown Free Throw Technical31
11.8%
36
88.2%
Q2 - 8:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
11.8%
36
88.2%
Q2 - 8:23PHXMISS Lopez 12' Jump Shot31
12.1%
36
87.9%
Q2 - 8:27PHXSuns Rebound31
13.0%
36
87.0%
Q2 - 8:28PHXMISS Redd 10' Jump Bank Shot31
12.1%
36
87.9%
Q2 - 8:54MIACole 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)31
13.0%
36
87.0%
Q2 - 9:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
14.0%
34
86.0%
Q2 - 9:04PHXMISS Redd 19' Jump Shot31
14.4%
34
85.6%
Q2 - 9:23MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)31
15.4%
34
84.6%
Q2 - 9:39PHXRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)31
16.7%
32
83.3%
Q2 - 9:39PHXRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)30
16.5%
32
83.5%
Q2 - 9:46MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)29
15.4%
32
84.6%
Q2 - 10:01PHXRedd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)29
14.1%
32
85.9%
Q2 - 10:25MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)26
12.0%
32
88.0%
Q2 - 10:39PHXLopez Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)26
12.9%
30
87.1%
Q2 - 10:39PHXLopez Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
12.7%
30
87.3%
Q2 - 10:58MIABattier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)24
12.0%
30
88.0%
Q2 - 11:12PHXLopez 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)24
11.0%
30
89.0%
Q2 - 11:35MIACurry 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)22
10.1%
30
89.9%
Q2 - 11:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
11.0%
28
89.0%
Q2 - 11:38MIAMISS Cole 3' Running Layup22
11.7%
28
88.3%
Q2 - 11:43PHXBattier STEAL (1 STL)22
11.0%
28
89.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHX22
12.0%
28
88.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJames 16' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)22
12.0%
28
88.0%
Q1 - 0:21.0PHXDudley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
11.2%
26
88.8%
Q1 - 0:22.0PHXCurry BLOCK (1 BLK)20
11.4%
26
88.6%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Curry 2' Layup20
11.7%
26
88.3%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAHEAT Rebound20
11.1%
26
88.9%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAMISS James 1' Running Layup20
11.7%
26
88.3%
Q1 - 0:40.0PHXChalmers STEAL (1 STL)20
11.1%
26
88.9%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)20
11.9%
26
88.1%
Q1 - 1:13PHXBrown 9' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)20
14.4%
23
85.6%
Q1 - 1:25PHXMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
13.0%
23
87.0%
Q1 - 1:26MIAMISS James 13' Turnaround Jump Shot18
12.7%
23
87.3%
Q1 - 1:49PHXBrown 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gortat 1 AST)18
12.2%
23
87.8%
Q1 - 1:51PHXGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
11.0%
23
89.0%
Q1 - 1:53PHXMISS Brown 21' Jump Shot16
10.6%
23
89.4%
Q1 - 2:07MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)16
11.2%
23
88.8%
Q1 - 2:16PHXMorris Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)16
10.4%
23
89.6%
Q1 - 2:33MIABosh 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)16
11.2%
23
88.8%
Q1 - 2:57PHXMorris 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
12.2%
21
87.8%
Q1 - 3:06PHXMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
11.1%
21
88.9%
Q1 - 3:07MIAMISS Bosh 1' Driving Dunk14
10.9%
21
89.1%
Q1 - 3:18MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
10.2%
21
89.8%
Q1 - 3:20PHXMISS Dudley 20' Jump Shot14
10.5%
21
89.5%
Q1 - 3:36MIAHaslem 7' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 3 AST)14
11.2%
21
88.8%
Q1 - 3:54PHXGortat 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)14
12.0%
19
88.0%
Q1 - 4:07MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)12
11.0%
19
89.0%
Q1 - 4:07MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 212
11.2%
18
88.8%
Q1 - 4:24PHXNash 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)12
10.9%
18
89.1%
Q1 - 4:45PHXMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
10.2%
18
89.8%
Q1 - 4:46MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 210
10.1%
18
89.9%
Q1 - 4:46MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
9.6%
18
90.4%
Q1 - 5:04PHXGortat 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)10
10.4%
17
89.6%
Q1 - 5:11PHXNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
9.7%
17
90.3%
Q1 - 5:12PHXMISS Morris 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
9.1%
17
90.9%
Q1 - 5:37MIAJames 1' Running Layup (4 PTS)8
9.7%
17
90.3%
Q1 - 5:42MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
10.3%
15
89.7%
Q1 - 5:43PHXWade BLOCK (1 BLK)8
10.6%
15
89.4%
Q1 - 5:51MIAPittman 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)8
11.2%
15
88.8%
Q1 - 6:12PHXGortat 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)8
12.0%
13
88.0%
Q1 - 6:30MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)6
11.2%
13
88.8%
Q1 - 6:30MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)6
11.3%
12
88.7%
Q1 - 6:35PHXBosh STEAL (2 STL)6
12.0%
11
88.0%
Q1 - 6:52MIABosh 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)6
12.9%
11
87.1%
Q1 - 7:02PHXJames STEAL (2 STL)6
13.7%
9
86.3%
Q1 - 7:08MIABosh 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)6
14.8%
9
85.2%
Q1 - 7:19PHXJames STEAL (1 STL)6
15.6%
7
84.4%
Q1 - 7:25PHXHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
16.8%
7
83.2%
Q1 - 7:26MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot6
16.5%
7
83.5%
Q1 - 7:44PHXHill 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)6
15.7%
7
84.3%
Q1 - 8:03MIAJames Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)4
14.5%
7
85.5%
Q1 - 8:09MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
13.6%
7
86.4%
Q1 - 8:10PHXJames BLOCK (1 BLK)4
13.8%
7
86.2%
Q1 - 8:22MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
14.5%
7
85.5%
Q1 - 8:27PHXBosh STEAL (1 STL)4
15.5%
5
84.5%
Q1 - 8:34PHXMISS Nash Free Throw Technical4
16.5%
5
83.5%
Q1 - 8:43PHXSuns Rebound4
16.5%
5
83.5%
Q1 - 8:45PHXMISS Dudley 20' Jump Shot4
15.8%
5
84.2%
Q1 - 8:51MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
16.5%
5
83.5%
Q1 - 9:10PHXNash 1' Layup (2 PTS)4
15.4%
5
84.6%
Q1 - 9:14MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
14.5%
5
85.5%
Q1 - 9:23PHXHill 14' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)2
13.6%
5
86.4%
Q1 - 9:44MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 2 AST)0
12.7%
5
87.3%
Q1 - 10:00MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.6%
3
86.4%
Q1 - 10:01PHXMISS Frye 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
13.9%
3
86.1%
Q1 - 10:13MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)0
14.6%
3
85.4%
Q1 - 10:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.4%
1
84.6%
Q1 - 10:31PHXMISS Hill 15' Jump Shot0
15.7%
1
84.3%
Q1 - 10:47PHXFrye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
16.5%
1
83.5%
Q1 - 10:48MIAMISS Pittman 2' Layup0
16.1%
1
83.9%
Q1 - 10:49MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
15.4%
1
84.6%
Q1 - 10:50MIAMISS Pittman 3' Layup0
16.1%
1
83.9%
Q1 - 11:15MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.2%
1
84.8%
Q1 - 11:16PHXMISS Gortat 1' Tip Shot0
15.5%
1
84.5%
Q1 - 11:17PHXGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
16.0%
1
84.0%
Q1 - 11:18PHXMISS Dudley 2' Reverse Layup0
15.5%
1
84.5%
Q1 - 11:37MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)0
16.1%
1
83.9%
Q1 - 11:37MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 20
16.2%
0
83.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Gortat: Tip to Chalmers0
16.1%
0
83.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHX
1.03 51.6%
MIA
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
PHX
14
27
52%
MIA
23
34
68%
Midrange
PHX
16
38
42%
MIA
12
33
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
PHX
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
MIA
1
1.5
9
11%
17%
Free Throws
PHX
17
24
71%
MIA
26
35
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
PHX logo Suns
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Hill1959%9.5 / 16
M. Gortat1346%6.5 / 14
M. Morris1267%6.0 / 9
J. Dudley1042%5.0 / 12
S. Nash964%4.5 / 7
S. Brown964%4.5 / 7
S. Telfair8100%4.0 / 4
M. Redd758%3.5 / 6
R. Lopez638%3.0 / 8
C. Frye214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2976%14.5 / 19
L. James2050%10.0 / 20
D. Wade1948%9.5 / 20
U. Haslem1563%7.5 / 12
D. Pittman650%3.0 / 6
N. Cole450%2.0 / 4
J. Jones375%1.5 / 2
E. Curry250%1.0 / 2
M. Chalmers113%0.5 / 4
S. Battier0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

PHX
71
+20
-19
91
MIA
79
+15
-12
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHX
1.03 51.6%
MIA
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.4
106.6
PHX 105.6
MIA 108.8 +3.2
Pace
92.5
91.3
PHX 95.2 +9.0
MIA 86.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
15.8
PHX 15.1 +1.6
MIA 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.9%
50.5%
PHX 48.8% +0.8%
MIA 48.0%
TO %
14.6%
15.9%
PHX 18.1%
MIA 11.6% +6.5%
ORB %
25.8%
26.6%
PHX 33.3%
MIA 33.3%
FTrt
25.7
30.7
PHX 30.0
MIA 46.1 +16.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.6%
53.8%
PHX 58.3%
MIA 66.7% +8.4%
STL %
7.0%
9.6%
PHX 6.7%
MIA 14.3% +7.6%
BLK %
8.4%
9.0%
PHX 11.9%
MIA 12.3% +0.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.3%
53.5%
PHX 51.6%
MIA 52.1% +0.5%
Rim FG%
60.9%
61.1%
PHX 51.9%
MIA 67.6% +15.7%
Mid FG%
41.2%
40.0%
PHX 42.1% +5.7%
MIA 36.4%
3P %
34.3%
35.9%
PHX 40.0% +28.9%
MIA 11.1%
FT %
75.8%
77.5%
PHX 70.8%
MIA 74.3% +3.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.7%
36.7%
PHX 33.8%
MIA 44.7% +11.0%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
43.6%
PHX 47.5%
MIA 43.4% +4.1%
3P Att. %
23.8%
19.8%
PHX 18.8% +6.9%
MIA 11.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsPHXMIA
Possessions9091
Possession Minutes22.725.3
Points9599
Rebounds4041
Assists2124
Steals613
Blocks88
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (6)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)28 (0)
Field Goals36-8036-76
At-the-Rim FG14-2723-34
Midrange FG16-3812-33
2-Point FG30-6535-67
3-Point FG6-151-9
Free Throws17-2426-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 225 · 39
35.4
19
59%
7
3
0
0
5
2
2
5
3-4
75%
8-13
62%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 28
35.1
13
46%
8
1
0
1
0
3
3
5
1-2
50%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 178 · 38
33.9
9
64%
5
10
1
0
7
2
2
3
0-1
0%
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
G · 6'7" 240 · 27
31.2
10
42%
4
1
1
1
0
4
3
1
1-2
50%
3-9
33%
1-2
50%
F · 6'11" 255 · 29
25.2
2
14%
4
2
2
2
3
5
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-3
0%
F · 6'10" 245 · 23
22.0
12
67%
4
0
1
1
1
5
0
4
3-5
60%
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 215 · 26
19.9
9
64%
3
3
0
2
1
0
0
3
0-1
0%
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
G · 6'0" 170 · 27
14.2
8
100%
0
1
0
1
2
1
0
0
3-3
100%
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
C · 7'0" 277 · 24
12.9
6
38%
4
0
1
0
0
3
3
1
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 33
10.3
7
58%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
0-3
0%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 190 · 29
F · 6'9" 219 · 30
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 29
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
52%
40
21
6
8
19
0
14
26
17-24
71%
30-65
46%
6-15
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.