| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 ORL | 91.0 | 89 | 86.4 |
 MIA | 101.1 | 90 | 92.8 |
Scoring Opportunities
ORL
71
+16
-18
87
MIA
77
+10
-13
87
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
ORL
0.92 46.0%
MIA
1.05 52.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | ORL | MIA |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | ORL | 81 0% | 91 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:16.0 | ORL | Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 81 0.1% | 91 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:17.0 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 81 0.1% | 91 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:39.0 | ORL | Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST) | 81 0.1% | 91 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:51.0 | MIA | Battier Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 78 0.1% | 91 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:51.0 | MIA | Battier Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 78 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:51.0 | MIA | Battier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 78 0.1% | 89 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:52.0 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 16' Jump Shot | 78 0.1% | 89 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:01 | ORL | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 78 0.1% | 89 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:02 | MIA | MISS James 22' Jump Shot | 78 0.1% | 89 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:22 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12) | 78 0.1% | 89 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:23 | ORL | MISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 78 0.1% | 89 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:33 | MIA | Wade 20' Jump Shot (31 PTS) | 78 0.3% | 89 99.7% |
| Q4 - 1:49 | ORL | Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST) | 78 0.6% | 87 99.4% |
| Q4 - 2:00 | MIA | Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 4 AST) | 75 0.2% | 87 99.8% |
| Q4 - 2:16 | ORL | Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 75 0.5% | 84 99.5% |
| Q4 - 2:16 | ORL | Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 74 0.4% | 84 99.6% |
| Q4 - 2:33 | ORL | Magic Rebound | 73 0.4% | 84 99.6% |
| Q4 - 2:34 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 11' Floating Jump Shot | 73 0.3% | 84 99.7% |
| Q4 - 2:54 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 73 0.4% | 84 99.6% |
| Q4 - 2:55 | ORL | MISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 | 73 0.4% | 84 99.6% |
| Q4 - 2:55 | ORL | MISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 | 73 0.5% | 84 99.5% |
| Q4 - 3:09 | ORL | Magic Rebound | 73 0.6% | 84 99.4% |
| Q4 - 3:09 | MIA | MISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper | 73 0.5% | 84 99.5% |
| Q4 - 3:23 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11) | 73 0.3% | 84 99.7% |
| Q4 - 3:24 | ORL | MISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 73 0.4% | 84 99.6% |
| Q4 - 3:46 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS) | 73 1.2% | 84 98.8% |
| Q4 - 4:03 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 73 2.3% | 81 97.7% |
| Q4 - 4:04 | ORL | MISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 73 2.6% | 81 97.4% |
| Q4 - 4:21 | MIA | Wade 1' Layup (29 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST) | 73 3.4% | 81 96.6% |
| Q4 - 4:26 | MIA | Battier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 73 4.7% | 79 95.3% |
| Q4 - 4:27 | MIA | MISS Wade 19' Jump Shot | 73 6.2% | 79 93.8% |
| Q4 - 4:44 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 73 4.7% | 79 95.3% |
| Q4 - 4:45 | ORL | MISS Howard 7' Turnaround Hook Shot | 73 5.3% | 79 94.7% |
| Q4 - 4:51 | ORL | Magic Rebound | 73 6.9% | 79 93.1% |
| Q4 - 4:52 | ORL | MISS Richardson 20' Jump Shot | 73 5.3% | 79 94.7% |
| Q4 - 5:08 | ORL | Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 73 8.8% | 79 91.2% |
| Q4 - 5:10 | MIA | MISS James 8' Jump Shot | 73 7.9% | 79 92.1% |
| Q4 - 5:19 | MIA | Battier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 73 6.3% | 79 93.7% |
| Q4 - 5:20 | ORL | MISS Howard 10' Hook Shot | 73 7.0% | 79 93.0% |
| Q4 - 5:44 | MIA | Wade 3' Reverse Layup (27 PTS) (Battier 1 AST) | 73 8.7% | 79 91.3% |
| Q4 - 6:01 | ORL | Howard 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T20) | 73 12.8% | 77 87.2% |
| Q4 - 6:07 | ORL | Nelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 73 16.8% | 77 83.2% |
| Q4 - 6:08 | MIA | MISS Wade 9' Floating Jump Shot | 73 15.5% | 77 84.5% |
| Q4 - 6:24 | MIA | Battier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 73 12.7% | 77 87.3% |
| Q4 - 6:25 | ORL | MISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 1 | 73 13.2% | 77 86.8% |
| Q4 - 6:47 | MIA | Wade 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (25 PTS) (James 6 AST) | 71 9.9% | 77 90.1% |
| Q4 - 6:51 | ORL | James STEAL (5 STL) | 71 12.7% | 75 87.3% |
| Q4 - 6:56 | ORL | Redick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 71 16.7% | 75 83.3% |
| Q4 - 6:57 | MIA | MISS Wade 15' Fadeaway Jumper | 71 15.4% | 75 84.6% |
| Q4 - 7:11 | ORL | Redick Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T18) | 71 13.5% | 75 86.5% |
| Q4 - 7:30 | MIA | Wade 9' Floating Jump Shot (23 PTS) | 71 17.4% | 75 82.6% |
| Q4 - 7:39 | ORL | James STEAL (4 STL) | 71 21.4% | 73 78.6% |
| Q4 - 7:44 | MIA | Battier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13) | 71 26.9% | 73 73.1% |
| Q4 - 8:08 | ORL | Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Howard 2 AST) | 71 22.2% | 73 77.8% |
| Q4 - 8:25 | MIA | Wade 10' Floating Jump Shot (21 PTS) | 68 14.5% | 73 85.5% |
| Q4 - 8:31 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 68 18.1% | 71 81.9% |
| Q4 - 8:32 | ORL | MISS Davis 16' Jump Shot | 68 19.2% | 71 80.8% |
| Q4 - 8:50 | MIA | Wade 10' Jump Shot (19 PTS) | 68 22.1% | 71 77.9% |
| Q4 - 9:12 | ORL | Duhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST) | 68 27.1% | 69 72.9% |
| Q4 - 9:27 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12) | 65 18.6% | 69 81.4% |
| Q4 - 9:34 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 65 15.3% | 69 84.7% |
| Q4 - 9:35 | ORL | MISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 65 16.3% | 69 83.7% |
| Q4 - 9:51 | MIA | Cole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11) | 65 18.6% | 69 81.4% |
| Q4 - 10:09 | ORL | Davis 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST) | 65 15.8% | 69 84.2% |
| Q4 - 10:19 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9) | 63 13.0% | 69 87.0% |
| Q4 - 10:20 | MIA | MISS Cole 17' Jump Shot | 63 12.3% | 69 87.7% |
| Q4 - 10:32 | ORL | Howard Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16) | 63 10.7% | 69 89.3% |
| Q4 - 10:51 | MIA | Haslem 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST) | 63 13.0% | 69 87.0% |
| Q4 - 11:09 | ORL | Redick Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15) | 63 16.4% | 67 83.6% |
| Q4 - 11:18 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8) | 63 19.4% | 67 80.6% |
| Q4 - 11:19 | MIA | MISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 63 18.4% | 67 81.6% |
| Q4 - 11:36 | ORL | Magic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14) | 63 16.3% | 67 83.7% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | ORL | 63 19.4% | 67 80.6% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | James 17' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS) | 63 19.4% | 67 80.6% |
| Q3 - 0:16.0 | ORL | James STEAL (3 STL) | 63 23.3% | 65 76.7% |
| Q3 - 0:34.0 | ORL | Magic Rebound | 63 26.9% | 65 73.1% |
| Q3 - 0:36.0 | ORL | MISS Davis 1' Layup | 63 24.4% | 65 75.6% |
| Q3 - 0:37.0 | ORL | Davis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 63 26.9% | 65 73.1% |
| Q3 - 0:38.0 | ORL | MISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 63 24.4% | 65 75.6% |
| Q3 - 0:48.0 | ORL | Magic Rebound | 63 26.9% | 65 73.1% |
| Q3 - 0:49.0 | ORL | MISS Davis 18' Jump Shot | 63 24.4% | 65 75.6% |
| Q3 - 1:07 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 63 26.7% | 65 73.3% |
| Q3 - 1:08 | MIA | MISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 63 25.6% | 65 74.4% |
| Q3 - 1:32 | ORL | Magic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12) | 63 23.2% | 65 76.8% |
| Q3 - 1:32 | ORL | Magic Rebound | 63 26.7% | 65 73.3% |
| Q3 - 1:33 | ORL | MISS Redick 14' Jump Shot | 63 24.3% | 65 75.7% |
| Q3 - 1:55 | ORL | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 63 26.7% | 65 73.3% |
| Q3 - 1:56 | MIA | MISS Anthony 6' Jump Bank Shot | 63 25.6% | 65 74.4% |
| Q3 - 2:15 | ORL | Howard Traveling Turnover (P2.T11) | 63 22.9% | 65 77.1% |
| Q3 - 2:29 | MIA | James Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10) | 63 26.4% | 65 73.6% |
| Q3 - 2:43 | ORL | Redick 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) | 63 22.9% | 65 77.1% |
| Q3 - 2:59 | ORL | Duhon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 61 19.8% | 65 80.2% |
| Q3 - 3:00 | ORL | Anthony BLOCK (4 BLK) | 61 17.8% | 65 82.2% |
| Q3 - 3:06 | ORL | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 61 19.8% | 65 80.2% |
| Q3 - 3:07 | MIA | MISS James 13' Jump Shot | 61 19.0% | 65 81.0% |
| Q3 - 3:27 | ORL | Richardson Foul Turnover (P1.T10) | 61 17.0% | 65 83.0% |
| Q3 - 3:46 | MIA | Haslem 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 61 19.8% | 65 80.2% |
| Q3 - 3:58 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 61 22.7% | 63 77.3% |
| Q3 - 3:59 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 10' Floating Jump Shot | 61 25.1% | 63 74.9% |
| Q3 - 4:18 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10) | 61 22.5% | 63 77.5% |
| Q3 - 4:19 | ORL | MISS Davis 17' Jump Shot | 61 23.6% | 63 76.4% |
| Q3 - 4:34 | MIA | Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 5 AST) | 61 26.3% | 63 73.7% |
| Q3 - 4:40 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9) | 61 32.8% | 60 67.2% |
| Q3 - 4:41 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 61 34.2% | 60 65.8% |
| Q3 - 5:00 | MIA | Bosh 1' Layup (20 PTS) (James 4 AST) | 61 37.5% | 60 62.5% |
| Q3 - 5:12 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 61 40.1% | 58 59.9% |
| Q3 - 5:13 | ORL | MISS Howard 8' Hook Shot | 61 41.5% | 58 58.5% |
| Q3 - 5:29 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 61 44.7% | 58 55.3% |
| Q3 - 5:30 | MIA | MISS Wade 12' Jump Shot | 61 43.3% | 58 56.7% |
| Q3 - 5:55 | ORL | Howard 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (16 PTS) | 61 40.2% | 58 59.8% |
| Q3 - 6:13 | ORL | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 59 35.8% | 58 64.2% |
| Q3 - 6:14 | MIA | MISS Wade 12' Jump Shot | 59 34.6% | 58 65.4% |
| Q3 - 6:27 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8) | 59 31.9% | 58 68.1% |
| Q3 - 6:28 | ORL | MISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 1 | 59 32.4% | 58 67.6% |
| Q3 - 6:41 | MIA | Chalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9) | 57 28.8% | 58 71.2% |
| Q3 - 6:48 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 57 25.4% | 58 74.6% |
| Q3 - 6:49 | ORL | MISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 57 26.4% | 58 73.6% |
| Q3 - 6:52 | ORL | Magic Rebound | 57 28.8% | 58 71.2% |
| Q3 - 6:53 | ORL | Wade BLOCK (1 BLK) | 57 26.4% | 58 73.6% |
| Q3 - 7:13 | MIA | Wade 5' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (James 3 AST) | 57 28.3% | 58 71.7% |
| Q3 - 7:17 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 57 31.3% | 56 68.7% |
| Q3 - 7:18 | MIA | MISS Bosh 16' Fadeaway Jumper | 57 33.8% | 56 66.2% |
| Q3 - 7:36 | MIA | James Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 57 31.4% | 56 68.6% |
| Q3 - 7:36 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 | 57 32.1% | 55 67.9% |
| Q3 - 7:37 | ORL | Wade STEAL (1 STL) | 57 34.8% | 55 65.2% |
| Q3 - 8:00 | MIA | Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 57 38.6% | 55 61.4% |
| Q3 - 8:00 | MIA | MISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2 | 57 39.6% | 54 60.4% |
| Q3 - 8:26 | ORL | Richardson Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS) | 57 37.8% | 54 62.2% |
| Q3 - 8:28 | MIA | Bosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8) | 54 31.2% | 54 68.8% |
| Q3 - 8:39 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 54 27.9% | 54 72.1% |
| Q3 - 8:40 | ORL | MISS Howard 1' Alley Oop Dunk | 54 28.9% | 54 71.1% |
| Q3 - 8:54 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 54 31.2% | 54 68.8% |
| Q3 - 8:55 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 15' Floating Jump Shot | 54 30.2% | 54 69.8% |
| Q3 - 9:15 | ORL | Richardson 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST) | 54 27.5% | 54 72.5% |
| Q3 - 9:21 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 52 24.8% | 54 75.2% |
| Q3 - 9:22 | MIA | MISS Wade 17' Jump Shot | 52 23.9% | 54 76.1% |
| Q3 - 9:37 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 52 22.1% | 54 77.9% |
| Q3 - 9:38 | ORL | MISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 52 22.9% | 54 77.1% |
| Q3 - 9:44 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 52 24.8% | 54 75.2% |
| Q3 - 9:45 | MIA | MISS James 13' Turnaround Jump Shot | 52 23.9% | 54 76.1% |
| Q3 - 10:06 | ORL | Nelson 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Howard 1 AST) | 52 21.8% | 54 78.2% |
| Q3 - 10:25 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 50 19.6% | 54 80.4% |
| Q3 - 10:25 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 50 20.1% | 53 79.9% |
| Q3 - 10:25 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 50 21.8% | 52 78.2% |
| Q3 - 10:25 | MIA | MISS Anthony 1' Layup | 50 23.6% | 52 76.4% |
| Q3 - 10:26 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 50 21.8% | 52 78.2% |
| Q3 - 10:27 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 50 23.6% | 52 76.4% |
| Q3 - 10:51 | ORL | Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 50 21.8% | 52 78.2% |
| Q3 - 11:07 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 47 17.6% | 52 82.4% |
| Q3 - 11:08 | MIA | MISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot | 47 17.0% | 52 83.0% |
| Q3 - 11:12 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 47 15.6% | 52 84.4% |
| Q3 - 11:13 | MIA | MISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 47 17.0% | 52 83.0% |
| Q3 - 11:21 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 47 15.6% | 52 84.4% |
| Q3 - 11:22 | ORL | MISS Richardson 18' Fadeaway Jumper | 47 16.2% | 52 83.8% |
| Q3 - 11:48 | MIA | James 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 47 17.6% | 52 82.4% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 47 19.5% | 50 80.5% | |
| Q2 - 0:02.0 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 47 20.2% | 50 79.8% |
| Q2 - 0:03.0 | ORL | MISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 47 20.6% | 50 79.4% |
| Q2 - 0:24.0 | MIA | Chalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7) | 47 21.7% | 50 78.3% |
| Q2 - 0:28.0 | ORL | James STEAL (2 STL) | 47 20.1% | 50 79.9% |
| Q2 - 0:48.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS) | 47 21.7% | 50 78.3% |
| Q2 - 1:04 | ORL | Nelson 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS) | 47 27.1% | 47 72.9% |
| Q2 - 1:11 | ORL | Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 45 23.9% | 47 76.1% |
| Q2 - 1:12 | MIA | MISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 45 23.4% | 47 76.6% |
| Q2 - 1:24 | ORL | Richardson 1' Layup (7 PTS) | 45 22.3% | 47 77.7% |
| Q2 - 1:25 | ORL | Richardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 43 19.5% | 47 80.5% |
| Q2 - 1:26 | ORL | MISS Nelson 13' Turnaround Jump Shot | 43 18.6% | 47 81.4% |
| Q2 - 1:46 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 43 19.5% | 47 80.5% |
| Q2 - 1:46 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 43 19.9% | 46 80.1% |
| Q2 - 2:06 | ORL | Nelson 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST) | 43 21.8% | 45 78.2% |
| Q2 - 2:18 | ORL | Magic Rebound | 41 19.8% | 45 80.2% |
| Q2 - 2:20 | MIA | MISS Wade 8' Jump Shot | 41 19.2% | 45 80.8% |
| Q2 - 2:24 | ORL | James STEAL (1 STL) | 41 17.9% | 45 82.1% |
| Q2 - 2:50 | MIA | Bosh 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 2 AST) | 41 19.8% | 45 80.2% |
| Q2 - 3:05 | ORL | Howard 8' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST) | 41 21.6% | 43 78.4% |
| Q2 - 3:33 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 39 19.9% | 43 80.1% |
| Q2 - 3:34 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2 | 39 19.6% | 43 80.4% |
| Q2 - 3:34 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 39 18.4% | 43 81.6% |
| Q2 - 3:50 | ORL | Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST) | 39 19.6% | 42 80.4% |
| Q2 - 4:08 | ORL | Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 36 16.2% | 42 83.8% |
| Q2 - 4:09 | MIA | MISS Anthony 12' Jump Shot | 36 15.6% | 42 84.4% |
| Q2 - 4:23 | ORL | Turkoglu 1' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST) | 36 14.5% | 42 85.5% |
| Q2 - 4:28 | MIA | James Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6) | 34 13.2% | 42 86.8% |
| Q2 - 4:34 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 34 11.8% | 42 88.2% |
| Q2 - 4:35 | ORL | MISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot | 34 12.2% | 42 87.8% |
| Q2 - 4:40 | ORL | Magic Rebound | 34 13.2% | 42 86.8% |
| Q2 - 4:45 | ORL | Chalmers BLOCK (1 BLK) | 34 12.2% | 42 87.8% |
| Q2 - 4:47 | MIA | Jones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5) | 34 13.2% | 42 86.8% |
| Q2 - 5:08 | ORL | Howard 1' Layup (10 PTS) | 34 12.1% | 42 87.9% |
| Q2 - 5:09 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 32 10.9% | 42 89.1% |
| Q2 - 5:10 | ORL | MISS Howard 1' Layup | 32 10.1% | 42 89.9% |
| Q2 - 5:24 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 32 10.9% | 42 89.1% |
| Q2 - 5:24 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 32 11.1% | 41 88.9% |
| Q2 - 5:32 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 32 12.1% | 40 87.9% |
| Q2 - 5:33 | ORL | MISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 32 12.4% | 40 87.6% |
| Q2 - 5:58 | MIA | James 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) | 32 13.3% | 40 86.7% |
| Q2 - 6:03 | MIA | Battier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 32 14.8% | 38 85.2% |
| Q2 - 6:04 | ORL | MISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 32 15.3% | 38 84.7% |
| Q2 - 6:18 | ORL | Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 32 16.6% | 38 83.4% |
| Q2 - 6:19 | MIA | MISS James 10' Fadeaway Jumper | 32 16.0% | 38 84.0% |
| Q2 - 6:42 | ORL | Richardson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST) | 32 14.8% | 38 85.2% |
| Q2 - 7:00 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 29 12.4% | 38 87.6% |
| Q2 - 7:00 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 29 12.6% | 37 87.4% |
| Q2 - 7:12 | ORL | Nelson Free Throw 3 of 3 (4 PTS) | 29 12.4% | 37 87.6% |
| Q2 - 7:12 | ORL | Nelson Free Throw 2 of 3 (3 PTS) | 28 12.2% | 37 87.8% |
| Q2 - 7:12 | ORL | MISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 3 | 27 12.0% | 37 88.0% |
| Q2 - 7:19 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4) | 27 11.4% | 37 88.6% |
| Q2 - 7:30 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 27 10.2% | 37 89.8% |
| Q2 - 7:31 | ORL | MISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 27 10.5% | 37 89.5% |
| Q2 - 7:48 | ORL | Magic Rebound | 27 11.4% | 37 88.6% |
| Q2 - 7:49 | MIA | MISS Bosh 2' Driving Layup | 27 11.0% | 37 89.0% |
| Q2 - 8:07 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 27 10.5% | 37 89.5% |
| Q2 - 8:08 | ORL | MISS Richardson 1' Driving Layup | 27 10.8% | 37 89.2% |
| Q2 - 8:38 | MIA | Wade 10' Running Bank Shot (9 PTS) | 27 11.6% | 37 88.4% |
| Q2 - 8:56 | ORL | Davis 8' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Redick 3 AST) | 27 12.7% | 35 87.3% |
| Q2 - 9:08 | ORL | Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 25 11.7% | 35 88.3% |
| Q2 - 9:09 | MIA | MISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot | 25 11.4% | 35 88.6% |
| Q2 - 9:23 | ORL | Nelson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6) | 25 10.7% | 35 89.3% |
| Q2 - 9:32 | MIA | Wade Foul Turnover (P1.T3) | 25 11.7% | 35 88.3% |
| Q2 - 9:48 | ORL | Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Redick 2 AST) | 25 10.6% | 35 89.4% |
| Q2 - 10:05 | ORL | Anderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 22 9.1% | 35 90.9% |
| Q2 - 10:06 | MIA | MISS Haslem 3' Jump Shot | 22 8.8% | 35 91.2% |
| Q2 - 10:07 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 22 8.2% | 35 91.8% |
| Q2 - 10:08 | MIA | MISS Haslem 2' Tip Shot | 22 8.8% | 35 91.2% |
| Q2 - 10:09 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 22 8.2% | 35 91.8% |
| Q2 - 10:10 | MIA | MISS Wade 1' Layup | 22 8.8% | 35 91.2% |
| Q2 - 10:14 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 22 8.2% | 35 91.8% |
| Q2 - 10:15 | ORL | Battier BLOCK (1 BLK) | 22 8.5% | 35 91.5% |
| Q2 - 10:28 | ORL | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 22 9.1% | 35 90.9% |
| Q2 - 10:29 | MIA | MISS Wade 10' Floating Jump Shot | 22 8.8% | 35 91.2% |
| Q2 - 10:46 | ORL | Davis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5) | 22 8.2% | 35 91.8% |
| Q2 - 11:02 | MIA | Bosh 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 22 9.3% | 35 90.7% |
| Q2 - 11:19 | MIA | Cole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 22 10.1% | 33 89.9% |
| Q2 - 11:20 | ORL | MISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 22 10.4% | 33 89.6% |
| Q2 - 11:46 | MIA | Wade 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST) | 22 11.1% | 33 88.9% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 22 12.0% | 31 88.0% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 22 12.0% | 31 88.0% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS James 23' Jump Shot | 22 12.8% | 31 87.2% |
| Q1 - 0:19.0 | ORL | Howard 1' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) | 22 12.3% | 31 87.7% |
| Q1 - 0:40.0 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 3 of 3 (2 PTS) | 20 11.1% | 31 88.9% |
| Q1 - 0:40.0 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 2 of 3 (1 PTS) | 20 11.2% | 30 88.8% |
| Q1 - 0:40.0 | MIA | MISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 3 | 20 11.4% | 29 88.6% |
| Q1 - 1:02 | ORL | Howard 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Redick 1 AST) | 20 12.6% | 29 87.4% |
| Q1 - 1:15 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 18 11.3% | 29 88.7% |
| Q1 - 1:15 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 18 11.5% | 28 88.5% |
| Q1 - 1:26 | ORL | Redick Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 18 12.6% | 27 87.4% |
| Q1 - 1:26 | ORL | Redick Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 17 12.5% | 27 87.5% |
| Q1 - 1:27 | ORL | Redick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 16 11.3% | 27 88.7% |
| Q1 - 1:28 | ORL | MISS Howard 1' Layup | 16 10.9% | 27 89.1% |
| Q1 - 1:38 | ORL | Redick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 16 11.3% | 27 88.7% |
| Q1 - 1:39 | MIA | MISS James 18' Jump Shot | 16 11.1% | 27 88.9% |
| Q1 - 1:57 | ORL | Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 16 10.7% | 27 89.3% |
| Q1 - 1:57 | ORL | MISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 | 15 10.3% | 27 89.7% |
| Q1 - 2:09 | ORL | Redick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 15 10.7% | 27 89.3% |
| Q1 - 2:10 | MIA | MISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot | 15 10.5% | 27 89.5% |
| Q1 - 2:30 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 15 10.0% | 27 90.0% |
| Q1 - 2:31 | ORL | MISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 | 15 10.1% | 27 89.9% |
| Q1 - 2:31 | ORL | MISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 | 15 10.5% | 27 89.5% |
| Q1 - 2:43 | MIA | James 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 15 10.7% | 27 89.3% |
| Q1 - 2:56 | ORL | Davis Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 15 11.7% | 25 88.3% |
| Q1 - 2:56 | ORL | Davis Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS) | 14 11.5% | 25 88.5% |
| Q1 - 3:11 | MIA | Haslem 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 13 10.8% | 25 89.2% |
| Q1 - 3:30 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 13 11.6% | 23 88.4% |
| Q1 - 3:31 | ORL | MISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 2 | 13 11.8% | 23 88.2% |
| Q1 - 3:31 | ORL | Davis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 13 12.4% | 23 87.6% |
| Q1 - 4:02 | MIA | Anthony 1' Dunk (2 PTS) | 12 11.7% | 23 88.3% |
| Q1 - 4:03 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 12 12.5% | 21 87.5% |
| Q1 - 4:06 | MIA | MISS James 2' Layup | 12 13.3% | 21 86.7% |
| Q1 - 4:09 | ORL | Chalmers STEAL (2 STL) | 12 12.5% | 21 87.5% |
| Q1 - 4:12 | ORL | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 12 13.6% | 21 86.4% |
| Q1 - 4:14 | ORL | MISS Redick 19' Fadeaway Jumper | 12 12.9% | 21 87.1% |
| Q1 - 4:15 | ORL | Magic Rebound | 12 13.6% | 21 86.4% |
| Q1 - 4:17 | ORL | Anthony BLOCK (3 BLK) | 12 12.9% | 21 87.1% |
| Q1 - 4:18 | ORL | Anderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 12 13.6% | 21 86.4% |
| Q1 - 4:19 | ORL | Anthony BLOCK (2 BLK) | 12 12.9% | 21 87.1% |
| Q1 - 4:39 | MIA | Wade 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS) | 12 13.6% | 21 86.4% |
| Q1 - 4:53 | ORL | Richardson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 12 14.6% | 19 85.4% |
| Q1 - 5:20 | MIA | Wade 2' Layup (3 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST) | 10 14.0% | 19 86.0% |
| Q1 - 5:25 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 10 14.9% | 17 85.1% |
| Q1 - 5:26 | ORL | MISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 10 15.2% | 17 84.8% |
| Q1 - 5:52 | MIA | Bosh 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST) | 10 16.1% | 17 83.9% |
| Q1 - 5:56 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 10 17.1% | 15 82.9% |
| Q1 - 5:57 | ORL | MISS Nelson 10' Jump Shot | 10 17.5% | 15 82.5% |
| Q1 - 6:12 | MIA | James Foul Turnover (P2.T2) | 10 18.4% | 15 81.6% |
| Q1 - 6:14 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 10 17.2% | 15 82.8% |
| Q1 - 6:15 | ORL | Anthony BLOCK (1 BLK) | 10 17.5% | 15 82.5% |
| Q1 - 6:34 | MIA | Bosh 8' Running Hook Shot (10 PTS) | 10 18.5% | 15 81.5% |
| Q1 - 6:58 | ORL | Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST) | 10 19.6% | 13 80.4% |
| Q1 - 7:13 | MIA | Bosh 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS) | 7 17.3% | 13 82.7% |
| Q1 - 7:23 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 7 18.3% | 11 81.7% |
| Q1 - 7:24 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 19' Jump Shot | 7 18.7% | 11 81.3% |
| Q1 - 7:48 | ORL | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 7 19.7% | 11 80.3% |
| Q1 - 7:49 | MIA | MISS Wade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot | 7 19.3% | 11 80.7% |
| Q1 - 8:07 | ORL | Turkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 7 18.3% | 11 81.7% |
| Q1 - 8:29 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 7 19.5% | 11 80.5% |
| Q1 - 8:29 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 7 19.7% | 10 80.3% |
| Q1 - 8:32 | ORL | Chalmers STEAL (1 STL) | 7 19.5% | 10 80.5% |
| Q1 - 8:47 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 7 20.7% | 10 79.3% |
| Q1 - 8:47 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 7 20.9% | 9 79.1% |
| Q1 - 8:58 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 7 22.0% | 8 78.0% |
| Q1 - 8:59 | ORL | MISS Howard 1' Tip Shot | 7 22.4% | 8 77.6% |
| Q1 - 9:00 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 7 23.4% | 8 76.6% |
| Q1 - 9:01 | ORL | MISS Richardson 1' Reverse Layup | 7 22.5% | 8 77.5% |
| Q1 - 9:12 | MIA | Chalmers 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST) | 7 23.4% | 8 76.6% |
| Q1 - 9:25 | ORL | Howard Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 7 24.7% | 6 75.3% |
| Q1 - 9:47 | MIA | Chalmers 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST) | 4 22.0% | 6 78.0% |
| Q1 - 10:01 | ORL | Nelson 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST) | 4 23.2% | 4 76.8% |
| Q1 - 10:07 | MIA | James Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1) | 2 22.2% | 4 77.8% |
| Q1 - 10:19 | ORL | Anderson 1' Layup (2 PTS) | 2 20.8% | 4 79.2% |
| Q1 - 10:20 | ORL | Anderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 0 19.8% | 4 80.2% |
| Q1 - 10:21 | ORL | MISS Howard 2' Layup | 0 18.9% | 4 81.1% |
| Q1 - 10:31 | ORL | Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 19.8% | 4 80.2% |
| Q1 - 10:32 | MIA | MISS James 2' Driving Layup | 0 19.4% | 4 80.6% |
| Q1 - 10:41 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 18.5% | 4 81.5% |
| Q1 - 10:42 | ORL | MISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 0 18.9% | 4 81.1% |
| Q1 - 10:56 | MIA | Bosh 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) | 0 19.8% | 4 80.2% |
| Q1 - 11:14 | ORL | Nelson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1) | 0 20.8% | 2 79.2% |
| Q1 - 11:23 | MIA | Bosh 9' Hook Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 0 21.8% | 2 78.2% |
| Q1 - 11:32 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 23.1% | 0 76.9% |
| Q1 - 11:33 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 22' Jump Shot | 0 23.4% | 0 76.6% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MIA | Jump Ball Anthony vs. Howard: Tip to Nelson | 0 24.2% | 0 75.8% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
ORL
0.92 46.0%
MIA
1.05 52.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
13
27
48%
MIA
12
19
63%
Midrange
ORL
8
24
33%
MIA
20
47
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
9
13.5
25
36%
54%
MIA
2
3.0
8
25%
38%
Free Throws
ORL
12
21
57%
MIA
21
27
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Magic| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Howard | 18 | 43% | 9.0 / 21 | |
| Q. Richardson | 15 | 94% | 7.5 / 8 | |
| J. Nelson | 13 | 43% | 6.5 / 15 | |
| J. Richardson | 12 | 46% | 6.0 / 13 | |
| G. Davis | 9 | 50% | 4.5 / 9 | |
| R. Anderson | 5 | 42% | 2.5 / 6 | |
| J. Redick | 4 | 40% | 2.0 / 5 | |
| C. Duhon | 3 | 75% | 1.5 / 2 | |
| H. Turkoglu | 2 | 20% | 1.0 / 5 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Wade | 31 | 55% | 15.5 / 28 | |
| C. Bosh | 23 | 77% | 11.5 / 15 | |
| L. James | 14 | 41% | 7.0 / 17 | |
| M. Chalmers | 7 | 44% | 3.5 / 8 | |
| U. Haslem | 6 | 50% | 3.0 / 6 | |
| S. Battier | 5 | 125% | 2.5 / 2 | |
| J. Anthony | 3 | 30% | 1.5 / 5 | |
| J. Jones | 2 | 33% | 1.0 / 3 | |
| N. Cole | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
ORL
71
+16
-18
87
MIA
77
+10
-13
87
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
ORL
0.92 46.0%
MIA
1.05 52.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 105.1 106.6 | ORL 91.0 +10.1 MIA 101.1 |
| Pace | 88.9 91.3 | ORL 86.4 MIA 92.8 +6.5 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.3 15.8 | ORL 16.7 MIA 15.5 +1.2 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 50.6% 50.5% | ORL 45.4% MIA 47.3% +1.9% |
| TO % | 15.7% 15.9% | ORL 19.0% MIA 13.1% +5.9% |
| ORB % | 26.5% 26.6% | ORL 20.9% MIA 22.9% +2.0% |
| FTrt | 29.2 30.7 | ORL 27.6 MIA 36.5 +8.9 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 58.1% 53.8% | ORL 60.0% +4.1% MIA 55.9% |
| STL % | 7.6% 9.6% | ORL 10.1% +1.2% MIA 8.9% |
| BLK % | 6.7% 9.0% | ORL 3.0% MIA 13.7% +10.7% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 51.6% 53.5% | ORL 46.0% MIA 52.3% +6.3% |
| Rim FG% | 57.7% 61.1% | ORL 48.1% MIA 63.2% +15.1% |
| Mid FG% | 34.8% 40.0% | ORL 33.3% MIA 42.6% +9.3% |
| 3P % | 37.5% 35.9% | ORL 36.0% +11.0% MIA 25.0% |
| FT % | 66.0% 77.5% | ORL 57.1% MIA 77.8% +20.7% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 36.4% 36.7% | ORL 35.5% +9.9% MIA 25.7% |
| Mid Att. % | 29.0% 43.6% | ORL 31.6% +31.9% MIA 63.5% |
| 3P Att. % | 34.6% 19.8% | ORL 32.9% +22.1% MIA 10.8% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3 and 3.
| Game Totals | ORL | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 89 | 90 |
| Possession Minutes | 24.7 | 23.3 |
| Points | 81 | 91 |
| Rebounds | 36 | 42 |
| Assists | 18 | 19 |
| Steals | 9 | 8 |
| Blocks | 2 | 7 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 18 (2) | 13 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 9 (7) | 8 (2) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 27 (4) | 34 (2) |
| Field Goals | 30-76 | 34-74 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 13-27 | 12-19 |
| Midrange FG | 8-24 | 20-47 |
| 2-Point FG | 21-51 | 32-66 |
| 3-Point FG | 9-25 | 2-8 |
| Free Throws | 12-21 | 21-27 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.