FinalWin Prob.pScore
1335%96
91
1065%101
98
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
95.89591.8
DEN logo DEN
105.39497.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN91
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)91
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 0:29.0DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)91
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 0:33.0DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 0:34.0BOSMISS Bass 15' Jump Shot91
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q4 - 0:54.0DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)91
4.0%
96
96.0%
Q4 - 0:54.0DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)91
4.7%
95
95.3%
Q4 - 0:54.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)91
7.1%
94
92.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
8.8%
94
91.2%
Q4 - 1:11BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)91
15.7%
94
84.3%
Q4 - 1:12DENMISS Harrington 2' Layup91
13.4%
94
86.6%
Q4 - 1:27BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)91
10.2%
94
89.8%
Q4 - 1:27BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)90
9.5%
94
90.5%
Q4 - 1:39BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)89
7.3%
94
92.7%
Q4 - 1:40DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
6.3%
94
93.7%
Q4 - 2:01BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)89
4.5%
94
95.5%
Q4 - 2:01BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)88
4.3%
94
95.7%
Q4 - 2:18DENFaried 1' Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Lawson 10 AST)87
3.3%
94
96.7%
Q4 - 2:27DENFaried REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)87
4.4%
92
95.6%
Q4 - 2:29DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
7.1%
92
92.9%
Q4 - 2:47DENFaried REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)87
4.4%
92
95.6%
Q4 - 2:48BOSMISS Garnett 20' Jump Shot87
5.4%
92
94.6%
Q4 - 3:00DENLawson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Afflalo 4 AST)87
9.8%
92
90.2%
Q4 - 3:29BOSBass 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Garnett 5 AST)87
18.7%
89
81.3%
Q4 - 3:51DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)85
16.7%
89
83.3%
Q4 - 3:51DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)85
18.2%
88
81.8%
Q4 - 3:52DENFaried REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)85
22.1%
87
77.9%
Q4 - 3:53DENMISS Harrington 3PT Jump Shot85
27.5%
87
72.5%
Q4 - 4:07BOSPierce 19' Step Back Jump Shot (22 PTS)85
21.9%
87
78.1%
Q4 - 4:23DENGallinari Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T22)83
16.4%
87
83.6%
Q4 - 4:35DENNUGGETS Rebound83
11.3%
87
88.7%
Q4 - 4:36BOSMISS Garnett 14' Jump Shot83
12.7%
87
87.3%
Q4 - 4:49DENAfflalo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T21)83
16.3%
87
83.7%
Q4 - 5:05BOSGarnett 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Rondo 16 AST)83
13.8%
87
86.2%
Q4 - 5:16BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
10.4%
87
89.6%
Q4 - 5:17DENMISS Afflalo 17' Turnaround Jump Shot81
9.4%
87
90.6%
Q4 - 5:41BOSGarnett 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Rondo 15 AST)81
7.4%
87
92.6%
Q4 - 5:42BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
5.5%
87
94.5%
Q4 - 5:45BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
4.4%
87
95.6%
Q4 - 5:51BOSDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
5.5%
87
94.5%
Q4 - 5:52DENMISS Harrington 3PT Jump Shot79
5.0%
87
95.0%
Q4 - 6:28BOSGarnett 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)79
5.1%
87
94.9%
Q4 - 6:36BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)77
3.9%
87
96.1%
Q4 - 6:37DENMISS Harrington Layup77
3.5%
87
96.5%
Q4 - 6:40DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
2.8%
87
97.2%
Q4 - 6:41DENMISS Gallinari 2' Layup77
3.5%
87
96.5%
Q4 - 6:56BOSDaniels Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)77
2.8%
87
97.2%
Q4 - 7:02DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T20)77
4.8%
87
95.2%
Q4 - 7:18BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)77
3.5%
87
96.5%
Q4 - 7:18BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)76
3.4%
87
96.6%
Q4 - 7:35DENHarrington 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Lawson 9 AST)75
2.8%
87
97.2%
Q4 - 7:52BOSBrewer STEAL (3 STL)75
3.5%
85
96.5%
Q4 - 8:08DENHarrington Foul Turnover (P2.T19)75
5.6%
85
94.4%
Q4 - 8:18BOSLawson STEAL (2 STL)75
4.4%
85
95.6%
Q4 - 8:31BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)75
5.6%
85
94.4%
Q4 - 8:32DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
5.2%
85
94.8%
Q4 - 8:45BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T13)75
4.4%
85
95.6%
Q4 - 9:05BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
6.5%
85
93.5%
Q4 - 9:06DENMISS Fernandez 2' Driving Layup75
6.1%
85
93.9%
Q4 - 9:23BOSDaniels 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Rondo 14 AST)75
5.2%
85
94.8%
Q4 - 9:39DENHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)73
4.1%
85
95.9%
Q4 - 9:39DENMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 273
4.3%
84
95.7%
Q4 - 9:47BOSDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)73
4.1%
84
95.9%
Q4 - 9:47BOSMISS Daniels Free Throw 1 of 272
3.9%
84
96.1%
Q4 - 9:59DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)72
4.1%
84
95.9%
Q4 - 9:59DENKoufos 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS)72
4.1%
84
95.9%
Q4 - 10:00DENMISS Brewer 3' Reverse Layup72
6.0%
82
94.0%
Q4 - 10:05DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
5.8%
82
94.2%
Q4 - 10:06BOSKoufos BLOCK (2 BLK)72
6.2%
82
93.8%
Q4 - 10:10BOSBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
7.2%
82
92.8%
Q4 - 10:10BOSMISS Daniels 2' Layup72
6.2%
82
93.8%
Q4 - 10:15BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
7.2%
82
92.8%
Q4 - 10:16BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
6.2%
82
93.8%
Q4 - 10:25BOSBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
7.1%
82
92.9%
Q4 - 10:26DENMISS Fernandez 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
6.7%
82
93.3%
Q4 - 10:49BOSBradley Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)72
5.8%
82
94.2%
Q4 - 10:49BOSBradley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)71
5.4%
82
94.6%
Q4 - 11:07DENNUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)70
5.2%
82
94.8%
Q4 - 11:32BOSBradley Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)70
4.3%
82
95.7%
Q4 - 11:32BOSBradley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)69
4.1%
82
95.9%
Q4 - 11:47DENFree Throw 1 of 168
3.4%
82
96.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS68
4.3%
80
95.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSCeltics Rebound68
5.2%
80
94.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0BOSMISS Rondo 22' Jump Shot68
5.1%
80
94.9%
Q3 - 0:09.0DENBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)68
5.8%
80
94.2%
Q3 - 0:09.0DENMISS Brewer Free Throw 1 of 268
6.1%
79
93.9%
Q3 - 0:29.0DENFernandez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
5.9%
79
94.1%
Q3 - 0:29.0BOSMISS Bradley 19' Jump Shot68
6.2%
79
93.8%
Q3 - 0:40.0DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17)68
7.0%
79
93.0%
Q3 - 0:44.0DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
5.8%
79
94.2%
Q3 - 0:45.0BOSMISS Stiemsma 11' Hook Shot68
6.2%
79
93.8%
Q3 - 1:08DENNUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)68
7.4%
79
92.6%
Q3 - 1:08DENNUGGETS Rebound68
6.3%
79
93.7%
Q3 - 1:09DENMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot68
7.0%
79
93.0%
Q3 - 1:10DENMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)68
6.2%
79
93.8%
Q3 - 1:11DENMISS Miller 4' Jump Shot68
7.0%
79
93.0%
Q3 - 1:32BOSRondo 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)68
6.2%
79
93.8%
Q3 - 2:00DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)66
5.1%
79
94.9%
Q3 - 2:01DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)66
4.7%
79
95.3%
Q3 - 2:02DENMISS Miller 9' Jump Shot66
5.3%
79
94.7%
Q3 - 2:13BOSRondo 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)66
4.7%
79
95.3%
Q3 - 2:20DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)64
3.9%
79
96.1%
Q3 - 2:47BOSRondo 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Pietrus 1 AST)64
3.3%
79
96.7%
Q3 - 3:09DENAfflalo 2' Dunk (15 PTS) (Lawson 8 AST)62
3.1%
79
96.9%
Q3 - 3:15BOSLawson STEAL (1 STL)62
3.6%
77
96.4%
Q3 - 3:22BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
4.3%
77
95.7%
Q3 - 3:23DENMISS Mozgov 18' Jump Shot62
4.1%
77
95.9%
Q3 - 3:45BOSStiemsma 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)62
3.6%
77
96.4%
Q3 - 3:59DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)60
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q3 - 3:59DENMISS Afflalo Free Throw 1 of 260
3.1%
76
96.9%
Q3 - 4:08DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
3.3%
76
96.7%
Q3 - 4:10BOSMISS Pietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
3.5%
76
96.5%
Q3 - 4:36DENGallinari 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS)60
4.0%
76
96.0%
Q3 - 4:56BOSRondo 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)60
4.5%
74
95.5%
Q3 - 5:11DENMozgov 1' Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)58
4.3%
74
95.7%
Q3 - 5:29BOSBass 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)58
4.9%
72
95.1%
Q3 - 5:44BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q3 - 5:45DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
4.0%
72
96.0%
Q3 - 6:01DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
3.9%
72
96.1%
Q3 - 6:02BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
4.1%
72
95.9%
Q3 - 6:11DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)56
4.6%
72
95.4%
Q3 - 6:17DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)56
3.9%
72
96.1%
Q3 - 6:19BOSMISS Garnett 21' Jump Shot56
4.1%
72
95.9%
Q3 - 6:35DENGallinari 3' Layup (18 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)56
4.6%
72
95.4%
Q3 - 6:41BOSFaried STEAL (1 STL)56
5.3%
70
94.7%
Q3 - 6:55DENGallinari Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)56
6.2%
70
93.8%
Q3 - 7:07DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
5.7%
70
94.3%
Q3 - 7:08BOSMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
6.0%
70
94.0%
Q3 - 7:20DENAfflalo Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)56
6.6%
70
93.4%
Q3 - 7:20DENAfflalo 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)56
7.6%
69
92.4%
Q3 - 7:41BOSRondo Foul Turnover (P4.T10)56
8.7%
67
91.3%
Q3 - 7:48DENLawson 16' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)56
10.1%
67
89.9%
Q3 - 8:09BOSPierce 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Rondo 13 AST)56
11.8%
65
88.2%
Q3 - 8:22BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
9.1%
65
90.9%
Q3 - 8:23DENMISS Mozgov 11' Turnaround Jump Shot53
8.7%
65
91.3%
Q3 - 8:52BOSPierce 2' Layup (15 PTS) (Garnett 4 AST)53
7.8%
65
92.2%
Q3 - 9:03DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)51
7.1%
65
92.9%
Q3 - 9:03DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)51
7.3%
64
92.7%
Q3 - 9:18BOSGarnett 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Rondo 12 AST)51
8.1%
63
91.9%
Q3 - 9:28BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
7.1%
63
92.9%
Q3 - 9:30DENMISS Gallinari 22' Jump Shot49
6.8%
63
93.2%
Q3 - 9:42BOSAllen 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Rondo 11 AST)49
6.1%
63
93.9%
Q3 - 9:59DENFaried 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Mozgov 1 AST)47
5.3%
63
94.7%
Q3 - 10:12DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
6.4%
61
93.6%
Q3 - 10:13BOSMISS Bass 12' Jump Shot47
6.7%
61
93.3%
Q3 - 10:26DENAfflalo 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)47
7.4%
61
92.6%
Q3 - 10:31BOSMozgov STEAL (1 STL)47
8.4%
59
91.6%
Q3 - 10:41DENAfflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)47
9.6%
59
90.4%
Q3 - 11:01BOSBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)47
12.7%
56
87.3%
Q3 - 11:01BOSBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)46
12.5%
56
87.5%
Q3 - 11:21DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)45
11.3%
56
88.7%
Q3 - 11:21DENMISS Gallinari Free Throw 1 of 245
11.5%
55
88.5%
Q3 - 11:39BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST)45
11.2%
55
88.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS42
8.8%
55
91.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSCeltics Rebound42
8.8%
55
91.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSMozgov BLOCK (1 BLK)42
8.0%
55
92.0%
Q2 - 0:07.0DENGallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)42
9.2%
55
90.8%
Q2 - 0:26.0DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
12.0%
52
88.0%
Q2 - 0:27.0BOSMISS Pierce 2' Driving Layup42
12.3%
52
87.7%
Q2 - 0:43.0DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)42
13.1%
52
86.9%
Q2 - 0:43.0DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)42
13.3%
51
86.7%
Q2 - 1:02BOSPietrus 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)42
15.4%
50
84.6%
Q2 - 1:19DENNUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)40
13.3%
50
86.7%
Q2 - 1:43BOSGarnett Dunk (10 PTS) (Rondo 10 AST)40
12.3%
50
87.7%
Q2 - 1:55DENAfflalo 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)38
10.6%
50
89.4%
Q2 - 2:06BOSGarnett 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Rondo 9 AST)38
12.4%
48
87.6%
Q2 - 2:16BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
11.1%
48
88.9%
Q2 - 2:17BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
10.2%
48
89.8%
Q2 - 2:44DENFaried 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Gallinari 3 AST)36
11.1%
48
88.9%
Q2 - 2:50DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)36
12.4%
46
87.6%
Q2 - 2:52BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
12.8%
46
87.2%
Q2 - 3:08DENFaried 2' Putback Layup (6 PTS)36
14.2%
46
85.8%
Q2 - 3:10DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)36
15.5%
44
84.5%
Q2 - 3:10DENMISS Afflalo 6' Jump Shot36
16.8%
44
83.2%
Q2 - 3:29BOSGallinari STEAL (1 STL)36
15.5%
44
84.5%
Q2 - 3:41DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)36
17.4%
44
82.6%
Q2 - 3:41DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)36
17.6%
43
82.4%
Q2 - 3:41DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
19.0%
42
81.0%
Q2 - 3:41DENMISS Gallinari 2' Driving Layup36
20.5%
42
79.5%
Q2 - 4:04BOSPierce 11' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)36
19.1%
42
80.9%
Q2 - 4:21DENFaried Putback Layup (4 PTS)34
17.5%
42
82.5%
Q2 - 4:23DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)34
19.1%
40
80.9%
Q2 - 4:24DENMISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
20.6%
40
79.4%
Q2 - 4:42BOSDaniels 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Rondo 8 AST)34
19.1%
40
80.9%
Q2 - 4:46DENFaried Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)32
17.5%
40
82.5%
Q2 - 4:49DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)32
15.7%
40
84.3%
Q2 - 4:50BOSMISS Daniels 2' Layup32
16.2%
40
83.8%
Q2 - 5:13DENFaried Foul Turnover (P1.T9)32
17.7%
40
82.3%
Q2 - 5:19DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)32
16.2%
40
83.8%
Q2 - 5:21BOSMISS Bass 17' Jump Shot32
16.6%
40
83.4%
Q2 - 5:27BOSDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
17.7%
40
82.3%
Q2 - 5:29DENMISS Lawson 21' Jump Shot32
17.2%
40
82.8%
Q2 - 5:50BOSDaniels Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)32
16.1%
40
83.9%
Q2 - 6:06BOSCeltics Rebound29
13.7%
40
86.3%
Q2 - 6:07DENMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 129
13.5%
40
86.5%
Q2 - 6:15DENNUGGETS Rebound29
14.9%
38
85.1%
Q2 - 6:16BOSKoufos BLOCK (1 BLK)29
15.4%
38
84.6%
Q2 - 6:28BOSBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
16.6%
38
83.4%
Q2 - 6:30DENMISS Miller 1' Layup29
16.0%
38
84.0%
Q2 - 6:35BOSBrewer STEAL (2 STL)29
14.8%
38
85.2%
Q2 - 6:38BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
16.6%
38
83.4%
Q2 - 6:39DENMISS Miller 8' Jump Shot29
16.0%
38
84.0%
Q2 - 7:02BOSBass Foul Turnover (P2.T6)29
15.2%
38
84.8%
Q2 - 7:18DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)29
16.8%
38
83.2%
Q2 - 7:42BOSAllen 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)29
15.1%
38
84.9%
Q2 - 7:57DENHarrington 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Fernandez 3 AST)27
13.9%
38
86.1%
Q2 - 8:05BOSMiller STEAL (2 STL)27
15.6%
36
84.4%
Q2 - 8:19DENBrewer 1' Dunk (7 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)27
17.1%
36
82.9%
Q2 - 8:25BOSMiller STEAL (1 STL)27
18.6%
34
81.4%
Q2 - 8:42DENBrewer 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)27
20.3%
34
79.7%
Q2 - 8:47BOSBrewer STEAL (1 STL)27
22.0%
32
78.0%
Q2 - 9:13DENBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)27
24.0%
32
76.0%
Q2 - 9:13DENMISS Brewer Free Throw 1 of 227
24.5%
31
75.5%
Q2 - 9:25BOSBradley 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)27
23.9%
31
76.1%
Q2 - 9:44DENNUGGETS Rebound25
22.1%
31
77.9%
Q2 - 9:44DENKoufos Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P1.T7)25
22.1%
31
77.9%
Q2 - 9:45DENMISS Koufos 3' Layup25
21.6%
31
78.4%
Q2 - 9:46DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)25
20.3%
31
79.7%
Q2 - 9:47DENMISS Brewer 1' Layup25
21.6%
31
78.4%
Q2 - 10:10BOSGarnett 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)25
20.4%
31
79.6%
Q2 - 10:27BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
19.0%
31
81.0%
Q2 - 10:27DENMISS Koufos 7' Jump Hook Shot23
18.5%
31
81.5%
Q2 - 10:50DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
17.3%
31
82.7%
Q2 - 10:51BOSMISS Bradley 18' Jump Shot23
17.8%
31
82.2%
Q2 - 11:01BOSAllen Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)23
19.1%
31
80.9%
Q2 - 11:11DENKoufos 1' Layup (2 PTS)22
17.7%
31
82.3%
Q2 - 11:14DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
19.1%
29
80.9%
Q2 - 11:15DENMISS Harrington 10' Jump Shot22
20.2%
29
79.8%
Q2 - 11:39DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
19.1%
29
80.9%
Q2 - 11:40BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
19.6%
29
80.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN22
20.7%
29
79.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound22
19.0%
29
81.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Miller 82' 3PT Jump Shot22
20.2%
29
79.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSGarnett 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)22
19.0%
29
81.0%
Q1 - 0:17.0DENBrewer 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Fernandez 2 AST)20
17.7%
29
82.3%
Q1 - 0:36.0BOSGarnett 15' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
19.5%
27
80.5%
Q1 - 0:56.0DENHarrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Fernandez 1 AST)18
17.7%
27
82.3%
Q1 - 1:15BOSBradley Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)18
21.3%
24
78.7%
Q1 - 1:22DENFernandez Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)16
19.4%
24
80.6%
Q1 - 1:27DENFernandez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
18.4%
24
81.6%
Q1 - 1:28BOSMISS Pietrus 3PT Jump Shot16
18.7%
24
81.3%
Q1 - 1:46DENFernandez 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)16
19.4%
24
80.6%
Q1 - 1:52DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
22.9%
21
77.1%
Q1 - 1:53BOSMISS Rondo 2' Reverse Layup16
23.3%
21
76.7%
Q1 - 2:10BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
24.5%
21
75.5%
Q1 - 2:12DENMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 216
24.3%
21
75.7%
Q1 - 2:12DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
23.2%
21
76.8%
Q1 - 2:12DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
24.6%
20
75.4%
Q1 - 2:12DENMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot16
25.7%
20
74.3%
Q1 - 2:23DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)16
24.6%
20
75.4%
Q1 - 2:24BOSMISS Stiemsma 19' Jump Shot16
25.1%
20
74.9%
Q1 - 2:43DENHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)16
26.2%
20
73.8%
Q1 - 2:57BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)16
24.6%
20
75.4%
Q1 - 3:02BOSPierce Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)16
26.2%
20
73.8%
Q1 - 3:14BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
24.5%
20
75.5%
Q1 - 3:16DENMISS Harrington 3PT Jump Shot15
24.0%
20
76.0%
Q1 - 3:22DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
22.8%
20
77.2%
Q1 - 3:23BOSMISS Bass 3' Jump Shot15
23.3%
20
76.7%
Q1 - 3:43DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)15
24.5%
20
75.5%
Q1 - 3:43DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)15
24.8%
19
75.2%
Q1 - 3:45DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
26.2%
18
73.8%
Q1 - 3:46BOSMISS Pierce 17' Jump Shot15
26.7%
18
73.3%
Q1 - 4:01DENHarrington 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)15
27.8%
18
72.2%
Q1 - 4:17BOSBass Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)15
29.5%
16
70.5%
Q1 - 4:21BOSStiemsma REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
31.5%
16
68.5%
Q1 - 4:22DENMISS Lawson 21' Jump Shot15
30.9%
16
69.1%
Q1 - 4:38BOSPierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)15
29.5%
16
70.5%
Q1 - 4:46BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
26.1%
16
73.9%
Q1 - 4:48DENMISS Harrington 14' Turnaround Jump Shot12
25.5%
16
74.5%
Q1 - 5:09DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
24.5%
16
75.5%
Q1 - 5:10BOSMISS Bass 18' Jump Shot12
25.0%
16
75.0%
Q1 - 5:29DENMozgov 2' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)12
26.2%
16
73.8%
Q1 - 5:38DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
27.7%
14
72.3%
Q1 - 5:39BOSMISS Rondo 19' Jump Shot12
28.3%
14
71.7%
Q1 - 5:50DENMozgov 5' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Gallinari 2 AST)12
29.6%
14
70.4%
Q1 - 6:01DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
31.0%
12
69.0%
Q1 - 6:02BOSMISS Stiemsma 18' Jump Shot12
31.6%
12
68.4%
Q1 - 6:12DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)12
32.9%
12
67.1%
Q1 - 6:15BOSStiemsma 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)12
31.0%
12
69.0%
Q1 - 6:31DENMozgov Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)10
29.4%
12
70.6%
Q1 - 6:42DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)10
27.6%
12
72.4%
Q1 - 6:43BOSMISS Pierce 18' Jump Shot10
28.2%
12
71.8%
Q1 - 7:01DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
29.4%
12
70.6%
Q1 - 7:01DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
29.8%
11
70.2%
Q1 - 7:02DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)10
30.8%
10
69.2%
Q1 - 7:03DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot10
32.1%
10
67.9%
Q1 - 7:08DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
30.8%
10
69.2%
Q1 - 7:10BOSMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot10
31.4%
10
68.6%
Q1 - 7:22DENAfflalo 16' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)10
32.7%
10
67.3%
Q1 - 7:46BOSRondo 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)10
34.3%
8
65.7%
Q1 - 7:52BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
32.7%
8
67.3%
Q1 - 7:53DENMISS Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
32.1%
8
67.9%
Q1 - 8:23BOSAllen 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)8
30.8%
8
69.2%
Q1 - 8:29DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
29.1%
8
70.9%
Q1 - 8:48BOSPierce 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)6
27.6%
8
72.4%
Q1 - 9:01DENGallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)4
26.3%
8
73.7%
Q1 - 9:16BOSRondo 1' Layup (2 PTS)4
29.3%
5
70.7%
Q1 - 9:31DENMozgov 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)2
27.8%
5
72.2%
Q1 - 9:40BOSPierce 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
29.3%
3
70.7%
Q1 - 10:03BOSCeltics Rebound0
28.0%
3
72.0%
Q1 - 10:03DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
27.5%
3
72.5%
Q1 - 10:15DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.3%
3
73.7%
Q1 - 10:16BOSMISS Pierce 21' Jump Shot0
26.8%
3
73.2%
Q1 - 10:31DENMozgov Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
28.0%
3
72.0%
Q1 - 10:35DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.3%
3
73.7%
Q1 - 10:36BOSMISS Allen 8' Jump Shot0
26.8%
3
73.2%
Q1 - 10:42BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.0%
3
72.0%
Q1 - 10:44DENMISS Afflalo Driving Finger Roll Layup0
27.5%
3
72.5%
Q1 - 10:52DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)0
26.3%
3
73.7%
Q1 - 10:53BOSMISS Rondo 1' Layup0
26.8%
3
73.2%
Q1 - 11:06BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.7%
3
72.3%
Q1 - 11:07DENMISS Gallinari 12' Jump Shot0
27.4%
3
72.6%
Q1 - 11:15DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
26.5%
3
73.5%
Q1 - 11:16BOSFaried BLOCK (1 BLK)0
26.9%
3
73.1%
Q1 - 11:32DENGallinari 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)0
27.8%
3
72.2%
Q1 - 11:38DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
30.6%
0
69.4%
Q1 - 11:39DENMISS Afflalo 17' Jump Shot0
31.5%
0
68.5%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Mozgov vs. Garnett: Tip to Lawson0
30.6%
0
69.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.07 53.5%
DEN
1.06 53.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
17
27
63%
DEN
22
33
67%
Midrange
BOS
16
34
47%
DEN
5
21
24%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
3
4.5
15
20%
30%
DEN
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
Free Throws
BOS
16
17
94%
DEN
24
31
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Garnett2279%11.0 / 14
P. Pierce2261%11.0 / 18
R. Rondo1255%6.0 / 11
M. Daniels880%4.0 / 5
A. Bradley867%4.0 / 6
R. Allen735%3.5 / 10
B. Bass630%3.0 / 10
G. Stiemsma440%2.0 / 5
M. Pietrus233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Gallinari2067%10.0 / 15
K. Faried18100%9.0 / 9
A. Afflalo1550%7.5 / 15
A. Harrington1139%5.5 / 14
T. Mozgov867%4.0 / 6
C. Brewer857%4.0 / 7
T. Lawson758%3.5 / 6
K. Koufos660%3.0 / 5
R. Fernandez350%1.5 / 3
A. Miller213%1.0 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
79
+6
-16
85
DEN
75
+17
-19
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.07 53.5%
DEN
1.06 53.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.6
109.3
BOS 95.8 +9.5
DEN 105.3
Pace
90.8
94.1
BOS 91.8
DEN 97.4 +5.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
14.6
BOS 15.7
DEN 14.8 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
51.6%
BOS 49.3%
DEN 50.7% +1.4%
TO %
15.4%
15.7%
BOS 16.1% +4.0%
DEN 20.1%
ORB %
19.9%
27.7%
BOS 11.1%
DEN 37.8% +26.7%
FTrt
25.7
32.6
BOS 22.4
DEN 41.9 +19.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.5%
61.5%
BOS 75.0%
DEN 76.5% +1.5%
STL %
8.3%
8.6%
BOS 7.4%
DEN 10.6% +3.2%
BLK %
8.7%
8.1%
BOS 13.0% +6.4%
DEN 6.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.75 and 2.75.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
54.2%
BOS 53.5% +0.3%
DEN 53.2%
Rim FG%
57.7%
59.7%
BOS 63.0%
DEN 66.7% +3.7%
Mid FG%
41.9%
39.3%
BOS 47.1% +23.3%
DEN 23.8%
3P %
36.7%
33.2%
BOS 20.0%
DEN 35.0% +15.0%
FT %
77.8%
73.6%
BOS 94.1% +16.7%
DEN 77.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.5%
48.0%
BOS 35.5%
DEN 44.6% +9.1%
Mid Att. %
48.0%
27.7%
BOS 44.7%
DEN 28.4% +16.4%
3P Att. %
19.4%
24.3%
BOS 19.7%
DEN 27.0% +7.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.14 and 3.14.
Game TotalsBOSDEN
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes24.823.2
Points9199
Rebounds2746
Assists2726
Steals710
Blocks74
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)19 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (2)14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (2)32 (2)
Field Goals36-7634-74
At-the-Rim FG17-2722-33
Midrange FG16-345-21
2-Point FG33-6127-54
3-Point FG3-157-20
Free Throws16-1724-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 186 · 26
43.9
12
55%
5
16
1
1
6
2
2
3
0-0
-
6-11
55%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 37
41.8
7
35%
4
1
3
1
2
2
0
4
1-1
100%
3-4
75%
0-6
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 36
32.9
22
79%
9
5
1
0
3
1
1
8
4-4
100%
9-12
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 235 · 34
31.0
22
61%
3
3
0
1
0
6
0
3
3-3
100%
5-10
50%
3-7
43%
F · 6'8" 250 · 27
27.5
6
30%
2
0
0
1
2
2
1
1
2-2
100%
2-9
22%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 200 · 31
19.9
8
80%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-3
67%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 180 · 21
14.6
8
67%
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
4-4
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 215 · 30
13.4
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 260 · 26
9.0
4
40%
1
0
1
3
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 32
5.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 28
F · 6'10" 221 · 23
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23
#44 · F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · C-F · 6'11" 255 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
54%
27
27
7
7
16
0
4
23
16-17
94%
33-61
54%
3-15
20%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.